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2022-08-31 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0278
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.55%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
49.5%
in alpha space · 40.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.43%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.0319.1712+0.74%21.47+12.82%0.1103✓0.701.6M2022-09-01
AAVEAaveEthereum84.8584.8295-0.02%86.42+1.85%0.0121✗1.526.2M2022-09-01
GTGateEthereum4.30084.2997-0.03%4.3083+0.17%0.0013✓0.77798k2022-09-01
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.032.0286-0.07%1.97-2.96%0.0315✓0.5193k2022-09-01
FORTFortaEthereum0.23250.232277-0.10%0.2309-0.69%0.0098✓0.9076k2022-09-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013580.013566-0.11%0.01325-2.43%0.0264✓0.67201k2022-09-01
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015030.001501-0.12%0.00149-0.86%0.0116✓0.97424k2022-09-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.08990.089791-0.12%0.0925+2.89%0.0257✗0.95381k2022-09-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.298090.297687-0.14%0.297461-0.21%0.0054✓1.09547k2022-09-01
SOLSolanaSolana31.531.4568-0.14%31.62+0.38%0.0002✓1.1665.9M2022-09-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1319.1024-0.14%19.3+0.89%0.0048✗1.2922.5M2022-09-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21840.218085-0.14%0.2265+3.71%0.0323✗1.30135k2022-09-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.91551.8312-0.16%52.447+1.02%0.0086✗0.74302k2022-09-01
TRXTRONTron0.0634280.063316-0.18%0.063287-0.22%0.0030✓0.61142k2022-09-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.05770.057593-0.19%0.0557-3.47%0.0382✓1.13258k2022-09-01
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.94270.940883-0.19%0.9424-0.03%0.0035✓1.21912k2022-09-01
GMTGMTEthereum0.67230.671-0.19%0.6827+1.55%0.0114✗1.39226k2022-09-01
XTZTezosTezos1.51081.5077-0.21%1.5398+1.92%0.0163✗1.12296k2022-09-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03490.034825-0.22%0.0353+1.15%0.0097✗0.9186k2022-09-01
NANOnanopayBase0.8946030.892527-0.23%0.9001+0.61%0.0049✗0.8360k2022-09-01
DIADIAEthereum0.37170.370828-0.23%0.37505+0.90%0.0073✗0.9540k2022-09-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6730.671409-0.24%0.674+0.15%0.0013✓1.214.1M2022-09-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21120.210693-0.24%0.2105-0.33%0.0053✓1.0358k2022-09-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.551180.549845-0.24%0.54872-0.45%0.0076✓1.3135k2022-09-01
SUSHISushiEthereum1.03471.0321-0.25%1.06+2.45%0.0215✗1.22996k2022-09-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.006190.006174-0.25%0.00616-0.48%0.0051✓0.641.0M2022-09-01
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.127279-0.25%0.1272-0.31%0.0050✓1.031.7M2022-09-01
MOVRMoonriverBase12.3812.3487-0.25%12.1573-1.80%0.0197✓0.9730k2022-09-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.08189-0.26%0.0821+0.00%0.0014✓0.9411k2022-09-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.110.0741-0.26%10.09-0.10%0.0036✓1.22313k2022-09-01
KCSKuCoinnative9.0018.9775-0.26%9.143+1.58%0.0142✗0.951.4M2022-09-01
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7614.7484-0.26%4.764+0.06%0.0024✓1.348.5M2022-09-01
RADRadworksEthereum2.132.1243-0.27%2.24+5.16%0.0498✗0.76287k2022-09-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10330.10302-0.27%0.1013-1.94%0.0205✓0.86188k2022-09-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4750.473675-0.28%0.489+2.95%0.0267✗1.202,7102022-09-01
DASHDashDash44.5544.4256-0.28%44.79+0.54%0.0041✗0.97438k2022-09-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10030.100017-0.28%0.0996-0.70%0.0072✓0.722,5272022-09-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.07081.0678-0.28%1.047-2.22%0.0233✓0.8644k2022-09-01
UMAUMAEthereum2.7282.7203-0.28%2.735+0.26%0.0017✓0.87706k2022-09-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072740.072533-0.28%0.07449+2.41%0.0217✗1.1626k2022-09-01
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32030.319381-0.29%0.3184-0.59%0.0080✓1.17138k2022-09-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.317940.317024-0.29%0.31561-0.73%0.0079✓0.81340k2022-09-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020260.020201-0.29%0.02063+1.83%0.0175✗0.8311.1M2022-09-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6630.66107-0.29%0.668+0.75%0.0063✗0.98207k2022-09-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.24470.243986-0.29%0.2424-0.94%0.0105✓0.9475k2022-09-01
RARESuperRareEthereum0.2010.200409-0.29%0.2038+1.39%0.0125✗1.00116k2022-09-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012080.000012044-0.29%0.00001229+1.74%0.0162✗0.95776k2022-09-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,554.001,549.41-0.30%1,586.23+2.07%0.0176✗1.38660.9M2022-09-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.15310.152647-0.30%0.149-2.68%0.0289✓1.121,5282022-09-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.334160.333168-0.30%0.34021+1.81%0.0167✗0.9945k2022-09-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062110.061924-0.30%0.06427+3.48%0.0326✗1.072.0M2022-09-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008580.008554-0.30%0.00869+1.28%0.0127✗0.725.5M2022-09-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038450.038335-0.30%0.03845+0.00%0.0004✓0.812,7072022-09-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2051.2014-0.30%1.198-0.58%0.0070✓0.991.6M2022-09-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056680.005651-0.31%0.005808+2.46%0.0244✗0.692,1952022-09-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05950.059317-0.31%0.058-2.52%0.0261✓0.87101k2022-09-01
XMRMoneroMonero149.22148.7572-0.31%154.26+3.38%0.0320✗1.021.3M2022-09-01
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.67e-7-0.31%8.80e-7+1.15%0.0112✗0.7916k2022-09-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.256.2302-0.32%6.313+1.01%0.0096✗0.864.9M2022-09-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95350.950334-0.33%0.9574+0.41%0.0053✗0.493.6M2022-09-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.8453.66-0.33%57.56+6.91%0.0660✗0.9812.6M2022-09-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34620.345039-0.34%0.346-0.06%0.0025✓1.25176k2022-09-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1680.167431-0.34%0.171+1.79%0.0170✗0.97324k2022-09-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,048.2619,980.01-0.34%20,133.65+0.43%0.0034✓1.00504.7M2022-09-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5280.52618-0.34%0.527-0.19%0.0029✓1.0576k2022-09-01
PROPropyEthereum0.730.727463-0.35%0.71-2.74%0.0255✓0.2979k2022-09-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.425-0.35%1.461+2.17%0.0200✗1.17116k2022-09-01
ADACardanoCardano0.44580.444234-0.35%0.4576+2.65%0.0257✗0.9437.1M2022-09-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.14450.143988-0.35%0.1435-0.69%0.0077✓1.02130k2022-09-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28850.287473-0.36%0.2936+1.77%0.0173✗0.906.0M2022-09-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28090.279894-0.36%0.2842+1.17%0.0112✗0.953.1M2022-09-01
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155680.155118-0.36%0.15694+0.81%0.0030✓2.035722022-09-01
ZENHorizenBase15.5315.4736-0.36%15.87+2.19%0.0206✗1.11107k2022-09-01
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024550.024461-0.36%0.02463+0.33%0.0015✓1.283,4352022-09-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2820.280942-0.38%0.276-2.13%0.0208✓0.72668k2022-09-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,990.4019,915.00-0.38%20,192.40+1.01%0.0098✗0.9415k2022-09-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72761.7211-0.38%1.7801+3.04%0.0296✗0.961.2M2022-09-01
COMPCompoundEthereum47.1446.9598-0.38%48.03+1.89%0.0172✗1.259,8512022-09-01
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.77e-7-0.38%8.90e-7+1.14%0.0118✗0.791.9M2022-09-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.3049-0.39%1.32+0.76%0.0076✗0.91111k2022-09-01
ZECZcashZcash59.8859.6484-0.39%58.98-1.50%0.0162✓1.161.7M2022-09-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.16114.7117-0.39%116.73+1.36%0.0126✗1.144.6M2022-09-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35130.34992-0.39%0.3534+0.60%0.0053✗1.07116k2022-09-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136980.136437-0.40%0.13757+0.43%0.0032✓1.20190k2022-09-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12360.123105-0.40%0.124+0.32%0.0028✓1.0423k2022-09-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.79391.7867-0.40%1.803+0.50%0.0045✗1.0830k2022-09-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03570.035556-0.40%0.0367+2.80%0.0283✗0.799,5472022-09-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.05030.050097-0.40%0.0506+0.60%0.0059✗0.97217k2022-09-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45940.457528-0.41%0.4685+1.98%0.0188✗1.14383k2022-09-01
STEEMSteemnative0.22910.228165-0.41%0.2258-1.44%0.0143✓0.90489k2022-09-01
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.8401-0.41%4.91+1.03%0.0107✗0.851.5M2022-09-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013420.001336-0.41%0.001346+0.31%0.0038✓0.792.1M2022-09-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064950.006468-0.41%0.006401-1.45%0.0122✓0.4158k2022-09-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1043650.103934-0.41%0.105077+0.68%0.0075✗0.817.0M2022-09-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.048199-0.42%0.0486+0.41%0.0041✓0.99781k2022-09-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.651.6431-0.42%1.693+2.61%0.0260✗0.93579k2022-09-01
QNTQuantEthereum96.4796.0608-0.42%95.02-1.50%0.0145✓0.863.5M2022-09-01
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2470.245934-0.43%0.2187-11.46%0.1174✓-0.0091k2022-09-01
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18240.181611-0.43%0.1809-0.82%0.0098✓1.382,2912022-09-01
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1426.115-0.44%6.315+2.82%0.0266✗1.308.9M2022-09-01
ELAElastosEthereum1.8181.8099-0.44%1.789-1.60%0.0155✓0.91121k2022-09-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4180.416146-0.44%0.414-0.96%0.0095✓1.027,9102022-09-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0440.043805-0.44%0.0441+0.23%0.0026✓0.96147k2022-09-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9151.9065-0.44%1.955+2.09%0.0180✗1.6883k2022-09-01
XYMSymbolnative0.0431280.042934-0.45%0.042711-0.97%0.0074✓0.5227k2022-09-01
CBKCobakEthereum0.896560.892522-0.45%0.8799-1.86%0.0185✓1.0113k2022-09-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.82511.7716-0.45%12.73+7.65%0.0735✗1.1111.4M2022-09-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0122.0027-0.46%2.05+1.89%0.0185✗1.1342k2022-09-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131760.013115-0.46%0.013315+1.05%0.0125✗0.63932k2022-09-01
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066180.06587-0.47%0.06737+1.80%0.0188✗0.877702022-09-01
FTTFTXEthereum26.7326.6049-0.47%26.91+0.67%0.0073✗0.977.3M2022-09-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0612770.060983-0.48%0.062347+1.75%0.0176✗1.061.5M2022-09-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05740.057123-0.48%0.0569-0.87%0.0079✓0.9398k2022-09-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.350.348297-0.49%0.3455-1.29%0.0120✓0.94347k2022-09-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045930.045703-0.49%0.0454-1.15%0.0097✓0.7115k2022-09-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5221.5144-0.50%1.533+0.72%0.0072✗1.1870k2022-09-01
XEMNEMnative0.0439410.043722-0.50%0.044086+0.33%0.0047✓0.8529k2022-09-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.6286.5947-0.50%6.927+4.51%0.0447✗1.0517.4M2022-09-01
HIVEHivenative0.55730.554496-0.50%0.5486-1.56%0.0143✓0.841.1M2022-09-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0476.0157-0.52%6.087+0.66%0.0098✗0.484.4M2022-09-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023040.022921-0.52%0.02281-1.00%0.0083✓0.81459k2022-09-01
STXStacksnative0.3650.363099-0.52%0.3628-0.60%0.0058✓1.16384k2022-09-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.46.3663-0.53%6.87+7.34%0.0740✗0.502.1M2022-09-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13950.138764-0.53%0.141+1.08%0.0117✗1.01509k2022-09-01
MANADecentralandEthereum0.771910.767838-0.53%0.78027+1.08%0.0123✗0.88509k2022-09-01
GITCOINGITCOIN2.15942.148-0.53%2.2908+6.09%0.0596✗1.1213k2022-09-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001560.001552-0.53%0.001534-1.67%0.0144✓0.709,0932022-09-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029940.002978-0.53%0.002879-3.84%0.0377✓0.921.1M2022-09-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7433.7229-0.54%3.853+2.94%0.0302✗0.97259k2022-09-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30410.302379-0.57%0.3074+1.09%0.0119✗1.07107k2022-09-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.512.429-0.57%13.45+7.60%0.0745✗1.061.9M2022-09-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.21790.216658-0.57%0.2143-1.65%0.0145✓0.843.1M2022-09-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80145.7681-0.57%5.5317-4.65%0.0423✓0.10115k2022-09-01
KSMKusamaHydration47.4247.1475-0.57%47.43+0.02%0.0018✓0.99522k2022-09-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.7623-0.58%4.79+0.00%0.0035✓0.531.1M2022-09-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7465.7123-0.59%5.77+0.42%0.0064✗0.869.1M2022-09-01
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83270.827773-0.59%0.8299-0.34%0.0019✓1.041.7M2022-09-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021520.021392-0.59%0.021111-1.90%0.0167✓0.8113k2022-09-01
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.081490.081001-0.60%0.08-1.83%0.0126✓0.05451k2022-09-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.3374.311-0.60%4.31-0.62%0.0023✓0.482.0M2022-09-01
SCSiacoinnative0.004040.004016-0.60%0.00402-0.50%0.0031✓0.99144k2022-09-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.13941.1325-0.61%1.1439+0.39%0.0063✗0.881.3M2022-09-01
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4390.43634-0.61%0.4267-2.80%0.0272✓1.15100k2022-09-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.511815-0.62%0.514-0.19%0.0006✓1.1483k2022-09-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10260.101951-0.63%0.1049+2.24%0.0240✗1.073.1M2022-09-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035190.034966-0.64%0.03497-0.63%0.0042✓1.0140k2022-09-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9592.94-0.64%2.931-0.95%0.0096✓1.543.7M2022-09-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.14631.1389-0.64%1.1541+0.68%0.0067✗1.534.5M2022-09-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4132.1998-0.65%32.92+1.57%0.0157✗1.5112.7M2022-09-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0336.9872-0.65%7.184+2.15%0.0234✗1.0410.9M2022-09-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50540.502099-0.65%0.5023-0.61%0.0028✓0.75544k2022-09-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007990.007938-0.65%0.00795-0.50%0.0032✓1.12477k2022-09-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.152.1358-0.66%2.28+6.05%0.0605✗1.14217k2022-09-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.76.6552-0.67%6.91+3.13%0.0355✗0.481.7M2022-09-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4494.4192-0.67%4.485+0.81%0.0137✗0.242.3M2022-09-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2717.1533-0.68%17.1-0.98%0.0060✓0.69818k2022-09-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13240.131498-0.68%0.1398+5.59%0.0590✗0.523.5M2022-09-01
BANDBandEthereum1.2751.2659-0.71%1.292+1.33%0.0153✗1.19460k2022-09-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.848.7768-0.72%9.54+7.92%0.0813✗0.491.9M2022-09-01
QTUMQtumQtum3.1493.1262-0.72%3.1819+1.05%0.0134✗1.0125k2022-09-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.658194-0.72%0.669+0.90%0.0126✗0.86228k2022-09-01
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.82764.7923-0.73%4.8782+1.05%0.0135✗1.00150k2022-09-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1414.0348-0.74%14.02-0.85%0.0057✓1.10909k2022-09-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.311720.309362-0.76%0.30195-3.13%0.0287✓1.0512k2022-09-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06220.061725-0.76%0.0612-1.61%0.0140✓1.28908k2022-09-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11610.115212-0.76%0.117+0.78%0.0123✗0.73216k2022-09-01
METISMetisEthereum31.0330.792-0.77%30.57-1.48%0.0153✓1.90288k2022-09-01
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0781.0697-0.77%1.059-1.76%0.0154✓1.261.5M2022-09-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.667.6006-0.78%7.62-0.52%0.0021✓1.08430k2022-09-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.615.5646-0.81%5.79+3.21%0.0378✗0.452.0M2022-09-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.5073-0.84%1.53+0.66%0.0155✗-0.13128k2022-09-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9222.8973-0.85%2.946+0.82%0.0145✗0.50650k2022-09-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,021.078,944.01-0.85%9,216.45+2.17%0.0241✗1.386.0M2022-09-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.05164.0162-0.87%4.1452+2.31%0.0291✗0.604.2M2022-09-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.910.902043-0.87%0.974+7.03%0.0752✗0.374.0M2022-09-01
OPTIMOptimism1.1291.1188-0.90%1.178+4.34%0.0443✗1.713.2M2022-09-01
FLOWFlownative2.0722.0502-1.05%2.047-1.21%0.0073✓1.351.3M2022-09-01
XECeCashnative0.000044520.000043999-1.17%0.00004614+3.64%0.0438✗0.861.7M2022-09-01
XVGVergenative0.003350.00331-1.19%0.00318-5.07%0.0444✓1.01486k2022-09-01
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90230.889942-1.37%0.8971-0.58%0.0018✓1.45167k2022-09-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.00512.8152-1.46%12.927-0.60%0.0065✓0.529.7M2022-09-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0303140.029817-1.64%0.026903-11.25%0.1034✓0.13280k2022-09-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.62946.5125-1.76%6.7053+1.14%0.0282✗0.235.4M2022-09-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.25e-79.06e-7-2.12%8.97e-7-3.04%0.0129✓0.831.3M2022-09-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.86117.6506-2.68%7.8225-0.49%0.0207✓0.367.0M2022-09-01
LUNATerraTerra 20.000221560.000215047-2.94%0.00027606+24.60%0.2466✗0.74429k2022-09-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.