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2022-08-30 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0722
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-5.49%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
69.4%
in alpha space · 45.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000010890.000001062-2.49%9.25e-7-14.99%0.1473✓0.851.1M2022-08-31
LUNATerraTerra 20.000158370.00015524-1.98%0.00022156+39.90%0.3474✗0.70429k2022-08-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.00235.9063-1.60%7.8611+30.97%0.2822✗0.326.5M2022-08-31
XECeCashnative0.000045890.000045217-1.47%0.00004452-2.99%0.0258✓0.871.7M2022-08-31
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9940.980801-1.33%0.91-8.45%0.0794✓0.384.2M2022-08-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.48112.3228-1.27%13.005+4.20%0.0477✗0.528.9M2022-08-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1333.0964-1.17%2.922-6.73%0.0640✓0.51650k2022-08-31
ORCAOrcaSolana0.91920.909395-1.07%0.9023-1.84%0.0249✓1.45167k2022-08-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.61895.5684-0.90%6.6294+17.98%0.1719✗0.215.4M2022-08-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.987.9116-0.86%7.66-4.01%0.0452✓1.09462k2022-08-31
AVTAventusEthereum1.611.5966-0.83%1.52-5.59%0.0479✓-0.11116k2022-08-31
FLOWFlownative2.0121.9967-0.76%2.072+2.98%0.0211✗1.351.3M2022-08-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11150.110717-0.70%0.1161+4.13%0.0390✗0.71220k2022-08-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,874.588,812.40-0.70%9,021.07+1.65%0.0072✗1.376.2M2022-08-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008060.008004-0.70%0.00799-0.87%0.0150✓1.12477k2022-08-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51230.508751-0.69%0.5054-1.35%0.0156✓0.76579k2022-08-31
METISMetisEthereum31.0530.8361-0.69%31.03-0.06%0.0162✓1.90288k2022-08-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0227850.02263-0.68%0.030314+33.04%0.2911✗0.10266k2022-08-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.84293.8171-0.67%4.0516+5.43%0.0526✗0.603.8M2022-08-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06170.061288-0.67%0.0622+0.81%0.0002✓1.27908k2022-08-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13250.131621-0.66%0.1324-0.08%0.0003✓0.533.6M2022-08-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9772.9576-0.65%2.959-0.60%0.0177✓1.543.8M2022-08-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035290.035062-0.64%0.03519-0.28%0.0084✓1.0240k2022-08-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.18811.1804-0.64%1.1394-4.10%0.0459✓0.891.3M2022-08-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3317.2209-0.63%17.27-0.35%0.0053✓0.69880k2022-08-31
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6710.666871-0.62%0.663-1.19%0.0160✓0.86228k2022-08-31
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003995-0.61%0.00404+0.50%0.0007✓1.00152k2022-08-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024050.023902-0.61%0.02304-4.20%0.0463✓0.81459k2022-08-31
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.082370.081872-0.60%0.08149-1.07%0.0053✓0.05478k2022-08-31
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43010.427577-0.59%0.439+2.07%0.0128✗1.1596k2022-08-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.3132.1234-0.58%32.41+0.31%0.0089✓1.5012.9M2022-08-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05790.057566-0.58%0.0574-0.86%0.0139✓0.9398k2022-08-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0214610.021337-0.58%0.02152+0.27%0.0011✓0.8114k2022-08-31
OPTIMOptimism1.0831.0768-0.57%1.129+4.25%0.0267✗1.753.2M2022-08-31
BORABORAKlay Token0.293320.291643-0.57%0.31172+6.27%0.0543✗1.0412k2022-08-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1030.102412-0.57%0.1026-0.39%0.0109✓1.083.3M2022-08-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.195.1606-0.57%5.61+8.09%0.0783✗0.442.0M2022-08-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0086.9687-0.56%7.033+0.36%0.0031✓1.0411.6M2022-08-31
KSMKusamaHydration47.4747.207-0.55%47.42-0.11%0.0071✓0.99543k2022-08-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.318.2641-0.55%8.84+6.38%0.0617✗0.481.9M2022-08-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7953.7742-0.55%3.743-1.37%0.0199✓0.98252k2022-08-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30980.308112-0.54%0.3041-1.84%0.0257✓1.07111k2022-08-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8613.7848-0.54%14.14+2.02%0.0125✗1.10909k2022-08-31
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83240.827956-0.53%0.8327+0.04%0.0066✓1.041.8M2022-08-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.512252-0.53%0.515+0.00%0.0081✓1.1483k2022-08-31
UOSUltraEthereum0.345820.343993-0.53%0.35+1.21%0.0063✗0.93347k2022-08-31
BANDBandEthereum1.2331.2267-0.51%1.275+3.41%0.0246✗1.19460k2022-08-31
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066520.066181-0.51%0.06618-0.51%0.0096✓0.829142022-08-31
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0191.0138-0.51%1.078+5.79%0.0466✗1.251.4M2022-08-31
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.31864.2967-0.51%4.8276+11.79%0.1047✗1.00147k2022-08-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046610.046379-0.50%0.04593-1.46%0.0181✓0.7116k2022-08-31
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.153790.15304-0.49%0.15568+1.23%0.0069✓2.046042022-08-31
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.259543-0.48%0.247-5.29%0.0497✓0.0191k2022-08-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.92811.8708-0.48%11.825-0.86%0.0170✓1.1110.8M2022-08-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0994.0796-0.47%4.337+5.81%0.0558✗0.462.0M2022-08-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.146.1111-0.47%6.7+9.12%0.0865✗0.471.7M2022-08-31
XEMNEMnative0.0434150.043211-0.47%0.043941+1.21%0.0067✗0.8530k2022-08-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029930.002979-0.47%0.002994+0.03%0.0058✓0.921.1M2022-08-31
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18110.180256-0.47%0.1824+0.72%0.0045✓1.382,2912022-08-31
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4250.42302-0.47%0.418-1.65%0.0240✓1.028,1172022-08-31
HIVEHivenative0.54890.546367-0.46%0.5573+1.53%0.0097✗0.861.3M2022-08-31
MANADecentralandEthereum0.770640.767098-0.46%0.77191+0.16%0.0042✓0.88509k2022-08-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.114.0911-0.46%4.449+8.25%0.0812✗0.232.3M2022-08-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13890.138263-0.46%0.1395+0.43%0.0031✓1.01510k2022-08-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.06351.0586-0.46%1.1463+7.79%0.0617✗1.514.5M2022-08-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5561.549-0.45%1.522-2.19%0.0314✓1.1877k2022-08-31
ELAElastosEthereum1.8231.8147-0.45%1.818-0.27%0.0090✓0.91121k2022-08-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061420.061148-0.44%0.061277-0.23%0.0104✓1.061.6M2022-08-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0492.04-0.44%2.012-1.81%0.0273✓1.1444k2022-08-31
QTUMQtumQtum3.11583.1022-0.44%3.149+1.06%0.0030✓1.0125k2022-08-31
FTTFTXEthereum26.626.4839-0.44%26.73+0.49%0.0022✓0.977.3M2022-08-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131480.013091-0.44%0.013176+0.21%0.0009✓0.631.0M2022-08-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.212.147-0.43%12.5+2.46%0.0161✗1.061.9M2022-08-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7515.7265-0.43%6.047+5.15%0.0489✗0.474.4M2022-08-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.072.0613-0.42%2.15+3.86%0.0287✗1.14232k2022-08-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5586.5304-0.42%6.628+1.07%0.0024✓1.0617.7M2022-08-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7115.6872-0.42%5.746+0.61%0.0001✓0.869.5M2022-08-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81681.8092-0.41%1.7939-1.26%0.0213✓1.0833k2022-08-31
STXStacksnative0.36130.35981-0.41%0.365+1.02%0.0005✓1.17393k2022-08-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0065370.006511-0.40%0.006495-0.64%0.0074✓0.4258k2022-08-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.4522-0.40%4.79+7.16%0.0669✗0.531.1M2022-08-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04290.042731-0.39%0.044+2.56%0.0179✗0.97156k2022-08-31
QNTQuantEthereum95.6395.2547-0.39%96.47+0.88%0.0025✓0.863.5M2022-08-31
XYMSymbolnative0.0429660.042797-0.39%0.043128+0.38%0.0016✓0.5228k2022-08-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.048213-0.39%0.0484+0.00%0.0079✓0.99796k2022-08-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.13520.134684-0.38%0.13698+1.32%0.0027✓1.20200k2022-08-31
XVGVergenative0.002920.002909-0.38%0.00335+14.73%0.1294✗1.00486k2022-08-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.00148-0.38%0.00156+4.98%0.0442✗0.699,0932022-08-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.05070.050507-0.38%0.0503-0.79%0.0157✓0.98237k2022-08-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013480.001343-0.38%0.001342-0.46%0.0102✓0.792.1M2022-08-31
COMPCompoundEthereum4746.8218-0.38%47.14+0.30%0.0079✓1.2411k2022-08-31
STEEMSteemnative0.2260.225153-0.37%0.2291+1.37%0.0067✗0.91501k2022-08-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.036.0074-0.37%6.4+6.14%0.0576✗0.482.1M2022-08-31
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024740.024647-0.37%0.02455-0.77%0.0191✓1.283,3752022-08-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12270.122242-0.37%0.1236+0.73%0.0014✓1.0625k2022-08-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1024110.10203-0.37%0.104365+1.91%0.0130✗0.817.0M2022-08-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35610.354792-0.37%0.3513-1.35%0.0227✓1.09131k2022-08-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.14640.145863-0.37%0.1445-1.30%0.0216✓1.03138k2022-08-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.282973-0.36%0.282-0.70%0.0120✓0.72686k2022-08-31
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.77e-7-0.36%8.80e-7+0.00%0.0057✓0.792.0M2022-08-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73011.7239-0.36%1.7276-0.14%0.0092✓0.971.2M2022-08-31
ADACardanoCardano0.4530.451378-0.36%0.4458-1.59%0.0236✓0.9537.8M2022-08-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28790.28687-0.36%0.2809-2.43%0.0324✓0.963.1M2022-08-31
API3Api3Ethereum1.6321.6262-0.36%1.65+1.10%0.0036✗0.93579k2022-08-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0360.035871-0.36%0.0357-0.83%0.0142✓0.809,5472022-08-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.321.3153-0.35%1.31-0.76%0.0148✓0.91121k2022-08-31
PROPropyEthereum0.740.737387-0.35%0.73-1.35%0.0135✓0.2979k2022-08-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29170.290682-0.35%0.2885-1.10%0.0182✓0.916.5M2022-08-31
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.8432-0.35%4.86+0.00%0.0066✓0.861.5M2022-08-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.19670.19602-0.35%0.2179+10.78%0.0960✗0.843.1M2022-08-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.69114.2941-0.35%115.16+0.41%0.0059✓1.144.6M2022-08-31
CBKCobakEthereum0.883310.880268-0.34%0.89656+1.50%0.0063✗1.0214k2022-08-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06250.062285-0.34%0.0595-4.80%0.0561✓0.87105k2022-08-31
ZECZcashZcash59.8759.6663-0.34%59.88+0.02%0.0101✓1.161.7M2022-08-31
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1746.1532-0.34%6.142-0.52%0.0172✓1.309.5M2022-08-31
XMRMoneroMonero148.87148.377-0.33%149.22+0.24%0.0063✓1.021.3M2022-08-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96330.960133-0.33%0.9535-1.02%0.0129✓0.503.6M2022-08-31
ZENHorizenBase15.815.7482-0.33%15.53-1.71%0.0271✓1.1193k2022-08-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,869.3019,805.32-0.32%19,990.40+0.61%0.0018✓0.9413k2022-08-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.4254-0.32%1.43+0.00%0.0107✓1.17123k2022-08-31
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.77e-7-0.32%8.70e-7-1.14%0.0177✓0.8016k2022-08-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1690.168469-0.31%0.168-0.59%0.0144✓0.98340k2022-08-31
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.891.8841-0.31%1.915+1.32%0.0035✓1.6890k2022-08-31
GITCOINGITCOIN2.07682.0703-0.31%2.1594+3.98%0.0290✗1.1113k2022-08-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44710.445725-0.31%0.4594+2.75%0.0168✗1.14364k2022-08-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057870.00577-0.30%0.005668-2.05%0.0258✓0.692,3002022-08-31
DASHDashDash45.5145.3724-0.30%44.55-2.11%0.0297✓0.97438k2022-08-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012180.000012143-0.30%0.00001208-0.82%0.0164✓0.95828k2022-08-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2576.2382-0.30%6.25-0.11%0.0087✓0.905.0M2022-08-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,813.1719,753.79-0.30%20,048.26+1.19%0.0030✓1.00490.8M2022-08-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037990.037877-0.30%0.03845+1.21%0.0054✗0.812,8422022-08-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.0152.8537-0.29%53.84+1.57%0.0069✗0.9812.7M2022-08-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336470.335515-0.28%0.33416-0.69%0.0158✓1.0046k2022-08-31
UMAUMAEthereum2.7752.7673-0.28%2.728-1.69%0.0246✓0.88706k2022-08-31
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063270.063096-0.28%0.06211-1.83%0.0284✓1.072.1M2022-08-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008640.008616-0.27%0.00858-0.69%0.0128✓0.735.6M2022-08-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.24420.243538-0.27%0.2447+0.20%0.0068✓0.9881k2022-08-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.319820.318978-0.26%0.31794-0.59%0.0133✓0.85350k2022-08-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1881.1849-0.26%1.205+1.43%0.0051✗0.991.7M2022-08-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6520.65036-0.25%0.663+1.69%0.0079✗0.97207k2022-08-31
DIADIAEthereum0.376440.375512-0.25%0.3717-1.26%0.0215✓0.9640k2022-08-31
ETHEthereumEthereum1,524.811,521.08-0.24%1,554.00+1.91%0.0052✗1.37628.3M2022-08-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.0910.0654-0.24%10.1+0.10%0.0110✓1.22318k2022-08-31
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32520.324406-0.24%0.3203-1.51%0.0265✓1.17138k2022-08-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071090.070917-0.24%0.07274+2.32%0.0116✗1.1726k2022-08-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.102455-0.24%0.1033+0.58%0.0019✓0.86192k2022-08-31
KCSKuCoinnative8.9738.9516-0.24%9.001+0.31%0.0058✓0.961.5M2022-08-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5190.517783-0.23%0.528+1.73%0.0070✗1.0677k2022-08-31
APEApeCoinEthereum4.8094.7978-0.23%4.761-1.00%0.0235✓1.348.7M2022-08-31
NANOnanopayBase0.9005080.898405-0.23%0.894603-0.66%0.0140✓0.8363k2022-08-31
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08150.081311-0.23%0.0821+0.74%0.0015✓0.9513k2022-08-31
MOVRMoonriverBase12.316712.2884-0.23%12.38+0.51%0.0040✓0.9732k2022-08-31
SUSHISushiEthereum1.05061.0482-0.23%1.0347-1.51%0.0274✓1.23973k2022-08-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020380.020334-0.22%0.02026-0.59%0.0135✓0.8411.4M2022-08-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.04581.0435-0.22%1.0708+2.39%0.0156✗0.8748k2022-08-31
STORJStorjEthereum0.54020.539011-0.22%0.55118+2.03%0.0068✗1.3237k2022-08-31
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.127324-0.22%0.1276+0.00%0.0100✓1.031.7M2022-08-31
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19560.195179-0.22%0.201+2.76%0.0176✗1.00121k2022-08-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.00620.006187-0.21%0.00619-0.16%0.0070✓0.631.0M2022-08-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6690.667577-0.21%0.673+0.60%0.0060✓1.204.3M2022-08-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.0970.096797-0.21%0.1003+3.40%0.0270✗0.722,7842022-08-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.14870.148389-0.21%0.1531+2.96%0.0182✗1.111,5282022-08-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.39185.3806-0.21%5.8014+7.60%0.0742✗0.10115k2022-08-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20890.208466-0.21%0.2112+1.10%0.0008✓1.0459k2022-08-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.035228-0.20%0.0349-1.13%0.0202✓0.9287k2022-08-31
TRXTRONTron0.0647050.064575-0.20%0.063428-1.97%0.0251✓0.61129k2022-08-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33410.333443-0.20%0.3462+3.62%0.0229✗1.24176k2022-08-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4970.496052-0.19%0.475-4.43%0.0578✓1.222,7102022-08-31
XTZTezosTezos1.49731.4946-0.18%1.5108+0.90%0.0025✓1.12296k2022-08-31
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95130.949623-0.18%0.9427-0.90%0.0216✓1.21963k2022-08-31
RADRadworksEthereum2.062.0564-0.18%2.13+3.40%0.0262✗0.76329k2022-08-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22110.220762-0.15%0.2184-1.22%0.0262✓1.31135k2022-08-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.05760.057512-0.15%0.0577+0.17%0.0101✓1.13258k2022-08-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.014220.0142-0.14%0.01358-4.50%0.0525✓0.67174k2022-08-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.58251.5092-0.14%51.915+0.65%0.0010✓0.75322k2022-08-31
FORTFortaEthereum0.24610.245753-0.14%0.2325-5.53%0.0662✓0.9176k2022-08-31
GMTGMTEthereum0.65660.655831-0.12%0.6723+2.39%0.0084✗1.39226k2022-08-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2989690.29862-0.12%0.29809-0.29%0.0147✓1.09549k2022-08-31
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001546-0.11%0.001503-2.91%0.0399✓0.98433k2022-08-31
SOLSolanaSolana31.4831.4473-0.10%31.5+0.06%0.0120✓1.1665.9M2022-08-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3819.3599-0.10%19.13-1.29%0.0273✓1.3023.0M2022-08-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.08890.08883-0.08%0.0899+1.12%0.0007✓0.95393k2022-08-31
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.072.0692-0.04%2.03-1.93%0.0251✓0.5197k2022-08-31
AAVEAaveEthereum84.3884.374-0.01%84.85+0.56%0.0123✓1.526.3M2022-08-31
GTGateEthereum4.25494.2555+0.01%4.3008+1.08%0.0015✓0.77775k2022-08-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.3122.4528+0.64%19.03-14.70%0.1739✗0.721.5M2022-08-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.