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2022-08-27 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0250
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.23%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
61.3%
in alpha space · 87.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.41%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum82.1182.1601+0.06%78.57-4.31%0.0068✗1.556.7M2022-08-28
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0566.0584+0.04%5.739-5.23%0.0221✗1.3210.1M2022-08-28
FLOWFlownative1.8231.8236+0.03%1.692-7.19%0.0425✗1.331.2M2022-08-28
GTGateEthereum4.3764.3764+0.01%4.3228-1.22%0.0064✓0.77798k2022-08-28
GITCOINGITCOIN2.08592.0857-0.01%2.0034-3.96%0.0105✓1.2213k2022-08-28
OPTIMOptimism1.0251.0248-0.02%1.054+2.83%0.0705✗1.743.4M2022-08-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.0420.0349-0.03%18.53-7.53%0.0467✓1.2923.0M2022-08-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6822.6813-0.03%3.876+44.52%0.3847✗0.66650k2022-08-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4041.4035-0.03%1.36-3.13%0.0028✓1.18130k2022-08-28
SOLSolanaSolana31.5431.5242-0.05%30.45-3.46%0.0064✓1.1668.8M2022-08-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.09080.09075-0.06%0.0854-5.95%0.0376✓0.95414k2022-08-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2968890.296688-0.07%0.291277-1.89%0.0082✗1.09620k2022-08-28
CBKCobakEthereum0.864060.863461-0.07%0.84626-2.06%0.0037✗0.9814k2022-08-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.68530.68479-0.07%0.6463-5.69%0.0229✓1.44257k2022-08-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064280.06423-0.08%0.06229-3.10%0.0035✓1.122.4M2022-08-28
XTZTezosTezos1.46761.4664-0.08%1.426-2.83%0.0010✓1.11336k2022-08-28
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016060.001604-0.10%0.001587-1.18%0.0128✗0.98538k2022-08-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,491.221,489.53-0.11%1,426.63-4.33%0.0103✓1.35597.1M2022-08-28
DODODODOEthereum0.12460.124458-0.11%0.1182-5.14%0.0289✓0.931.9M2022-08-28
DIADIAEthereum0.367740.36731-0.12%0.36304-1.28%0.0118✗0.9651k2022-08-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20670.206451-0.12%0.2024-2.08%0.0050✗1.0261k2022-08-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.06121.0599-0.12%1.0043-5.36%0.0233✓1.25981k2022-08-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8295.8217-0.13%5.639-3.26%0.0108✓0.8610.1M2022-08-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.16485.1583-0.13%5.175+0.20%0.0066✗0.14138k2022-08-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.96610.964848-0.13%0.9332-3.41%0.0037✓1.22999k2022-08-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.15240.152197-0.13%0.1381-9.38%0.0707✓1.091,7802022-08-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015180.01516-0.13%0.01478-2.64%0.0090✓0.67165k2022-08-28
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7574.7505-0.14%4.649-2.27%0.0118✗1.379.3M2022-08-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1461.1444-0.14%1.129-1.48%0.0105✗0.992.1M2022-08-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03480.034748-0.15%0.0345-0.86%0.0150✗0.9186k2022-08-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.37452.295-0.15%51.793-1.11%0.0083✗0.74332k2022-08-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06080.060708-0.15%0.0604-0.66%0.0248✗1.23984k2022-08-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.911.8815-0.16%11.33-4.79%0.0199✓1.131.9M2022-08-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6590.657962-0.16%0.645-2.12%0.0092✗1.195.0M2022-08-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10150.101338-0.16%0.1013-0.20%0.0208✗0.87212k2022-08-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22010.219744-0.16%0.2134-3.04%0.0033✗1.34133k2022-08-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.2879-0.16%1.23-4.65%0.0227✓0.96170k2022-08-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.06040.060301-0.16%0.0582-3.64%0.0076✓1.14252k2022-08-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5090.508166-0.16%0.489-3.93%0.0083✓1.242,6092022-08-28
COMPCompoundEthereum46.0946.0144-0.16%43.85-4.86%0.0179✓1.2412k2022-08-28
XVSVenusEthereum4.874.8619-0.17%4.82-1.03%0.0122✗0.851.6M2022-08-28
NANOnanopayBase0.8828390.881335-0.17%0.862501-2.30%0.0019✓0.8184k2022-08-28
MOVRMoonriverBase12.539112.5177-0.17%12.062-3.80%0.0136✓0.9635k2022-08-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06750.067384-0.17%0.06897+2.18%0.0525✗1.2028k2022-08-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.6712.6662-0.18%2.607-2.40%0.0015✓0.86749k2022-08-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.472.4655-0.18%2.33-5.67%0.0441✓0.5189k2022-08-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.13220.131953-0.19%0.13172-0.36%0.0277✗1.21210k2022-08-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6520.650783-0.19%0.631-3.22%0.0079✓0.94266k2022-08-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.04881.0468-0.19%1.0384-0.99%0.0128✗0.8551k2022-08-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.24240.241927-0.20%0.2362-2.56%0.0006✓0.9681k2022-08-28
IMXImmutableEthereum0.78960.788036-0.20%0.7744-1.93%0.0088✗1.082.0M2022-08-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.541550.54047-0.20%0.52437-3.17%0.0010✓1.2843k2022-08-28
TRXTRONTron0.0629350.062809-0.20%0.061392-2.45%0.0084✓0.59151k2022-08-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08450.084331-0.20%0.0792-6.27%0.0397✓0.9414k2022-08-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum109.98-0.20%9.51-4.90%0.0193✓1.18439k2022-08-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.282280.281713-0.20%0.29294+3.78%0.0647✗1.0512k2022-08-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336220.335536-0.20%0.32806-2.43%0.0014✓0.9852k2022-08-28
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19570.195291-0.21%0.1903-2.76%0.0015✓1.00149k2022-08-28
KCSKuCoinnative9.1349.1147-0.21%8.816-3.48%0.0103✓0.941.6M2022-08-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.790.788314-0.21%0.7842-0.73%0.0297✗1.43161k2022-08-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.112.1054-0.22%1.95-7.58%0.0467✓1.23281k2022-08-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00870.00868-0.22%0.00848-2.53%0.0047✓0.776.4M2022-08-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34920.348415-0.22%0.3261-6.62%0.0360✓1.24191k2022-08-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.550.548761-0.23%0.525-4.55%0.0176✓1.0984k2022-08-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.3760.37515-0.23%0.3673-2.31%0.0063✗1.1289k2022-08-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.2680.267387-0.23%0.2638-1.57%0.0093✗0.94100k2022-08-28
QTUMQtumQtum3.12693.1198-0.23%2.9825-4.62%0.0204✓1.0127k2022-08-28
XECeCashnative0.000036880.000036794-0.23%0.00004676+26.79%0.2615✗0.901.7M2022-08-28
ZENHorizenBase15.215.1638-0.24%14.8-2.63%0.0028✗1.11125k2022-08-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.142.1349-0.24%2.08-2.80%0.0068✓0.79407k2022-08-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056180.005605-0.24%0.005519-1.76%0.0010✓0.672,5882022-08-28
XMRMoneroMonero145.16144.8102-0.24%146.4+0.85%0.0353✗1.001.2M2022-08-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.961.9552-0.24%1.828-6.73%0.0253✓1.7294k2022-08-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,036.6919,987.66-0.24%19,554.03-2.41%0.0025✓1.00474.0M2022-08-28
BANDBandEthereum1.2211.218-0.25%1.192-2.38%0.0086✗1.24518k2022-08-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10350.103242-0.25%0.0996-3.77%0.0186✓0.713,4822022-08-28
DASHDashDash45.1345.0143-0.26%44.14-2.19%0.0042✗0.98486k2022-08-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.329760.328903-0.26%0.31363-4.89%0.0233✓0.99391k2022-08-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.0352.8917-0.26%53.38+0.66%0.0334✗0.9913.0M2022-08-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1710.170554-0.26%0.164-4.09%0.0128✓1.08434k2022-08-28
STXStacksnative0.36380.362844-0.26%0.3529-3.00%0.0007✓1.17432k2022-08-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35690.355946-0.27%0.34-4.74%0.0188✓1.11175k2022-08-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.00660.006582-0.28%0.00642-2.73%0.0091✓0.651.1M2022-08-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.05090.050759-0.28%0.0493-3.14%0.0050✓0.99252k2022-08-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78791.7829-0.28%1.7152-4.07%0.0125✓1.0733k2022-08-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9360.933378-0.28%0.916-2.14%0.0109✗1.221.4M2022-08-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03660.036497-0.28%0.0357-2.46%0.0015✓0.8411k2022-08-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45670.455411-0.28%0.4349-4.77%0.0188✓1.12386k2022-08-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.14190.141499-0.28%0.1396-1.62%0.0112✗1.01166k2022-08-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012160.000012125-0.29%0.00001177-3.21%0.0069✓0.94895k2022-08-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.280.279195-0.29%0.275-1.79%0.0025✓0.72772k2022-08-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5316.5121-0.29%6.251-4.29%0.0149✓1.0719.3M2022-08-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9630.960187-0.29%0.9334-3.07%0.0147✓0.563.6M2022-08-28
STEEMSteemnative0.22110.220452-0.29%0.2183-1.27%0.0124✗0.91504k2022-08-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27960.278777-0.29%0.2731-2.32%0.0027✓0.953.3M2022-08-28
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.77e-7-0.30%8.60e-7-2.27%0.0002✓0.8117k2022-08-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04740.047258-0.30%0.0455-4.01%0.0142✓0.97843k2022-08-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28890.288034-0.30%0.2823-2.28%0.0024✓0.927.4M2022-08-28
XVGVergenative0.002920.002911-0.30%0.00289-1.03%0.0179✗1.03520k2022-08-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11860.118242-0.30%0.1184-0.17%0.0263✗1.0232k2022-08-28
METISMetisEthereum30.0529.9582-0.31%29.26-2.63%0.0224✗1.89327k2022-08-28
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.67e-7-0.31%8.50e-7-2.30%0.0007✓0.802.4M2022-08-28
PROPropyEthereum0.750.747696-0.31%0.73-2.67%0.0156✓0.3486k2022-08-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3036.2835-0.31%6.275-0.44%0.0214✗0.935.2M2022-08-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.778420.776002-0.31%0.74832-3.87%0.0140✓0.92512k2022-08-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0282.0216-0.31%1.944-4.14%0.0112✓1.1549k2022-08-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001370.001365-0.32%0.001346-1.74%0.0051✗0.802.1M2022-08-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.26114.8902-0.32%112.59-2.32%0.0074✗1.134.8M2022-08-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,933.0019,868.96-0.32%19,646.40-1.44%0.0118✗0.9511k2022-08-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05690.056717-0.32%0.0554-2.64%0.0016✓0.9099k2022-08-28
ZECZcashZcash61.3661.1619-0.32%61.17-0.31%0.0276✗1.131.9M2022-08-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06390.063693-0.32%0.0619-3.13%0.0067✓0.90111k2022-08-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.691.6845-0.33%1.6-5.33%0.0285✓0.94704k2022-08-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04360.043456-0.33%0.0419-3.90%0.0126✓0.98175k2022-08-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16930.168741-0.33%0.1592-5.97%0.0246✓1.382,1742022-08-28
ADACardanoCardano0.450.448513-0.33%0.4291-4.64%0.0189✓1.0440.7M2022-08-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14040.139935-0.33%0.1337-4.77%0.0220✓0.97624k2022-08-28
SCSiacoinnative0.003890.003877-0.33%0.00393+1.03%0.0379✗1.00152k2022-08-28
FTTFTXEthereum25.825.7143-0.33%25.35-1.74%0.0091✗0.967.4M2022-08-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.410613-0.34%0.412+0.00%0.0275✗0.998,1172022-08-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030410.003031-0.34%0.002987-1.78%0.0071✗0.891.1M2022-08-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045180.045022-0.35%0.04418-2.21%0.0020✓0.6916k2022-08-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.226.1974-0.36%5.87-5.63%0.0439✓0.432.5M2022-08-28
ELAElastosEthereum1.7581.7516-0.36%1.733-1.42%0.0124✗0.94143k2022-08-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8912.8804-0.37%2.966+2.59%0.0678✗1.583.8M2022-08-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0447.0176-0.37%6.861-2.60%0.0024✓1.0213.7M2022-08-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.660503-0.38%0.645-2.71%0.0021✓0.89248k2022-08-28
QNTQuantEthereum94.3894.0236-0.38%92.31-2.19%0.0025✓0.863.4M2022-08-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1055940.105192-0.38%0.102736-2.71%0.0029✓0.857.4M2022-08-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.813.747-0.38%13.16-4.64%0.0136✓1.231.1M2022-08-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7845.7617-0.39%5.809+0.43%0.0177✗0.395.3M2022-08-28
HIVEHivenative0.53350.531403-0.39%0.5282-0.99%0.0156✗0.891.6M2022-08-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78241.7754-0.39%1.6656-6.55%0.0383✓1.051.2M2022-08-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014540.001448-0.40%0.001503+3.37%0.0546✗0.729,7092022-08-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31440.313154-0.40%0.3044-3.18%0.0001✓1.16112k2022-08-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131780.013125-0.40%0.013002-1.34%0.0063✗0.651.4M2022-08-28
KSMKusamaHydration45.8445.655-0.40%45.4-0.96%0.0184✗0.99572k2022-08-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.04791.0437-0.40%0.9934-5.20%0.0130✓1.494.7M2022-08-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.594.5714-0.40%4.34-5.45%0.0405✓0.471.3M2022-08-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.17311.1278-0.40%10.559-5.50%0.0251✓1.1210.4M2022-08-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006740.006712-0.41%0.006708-0.47%0.0100✗0.4458k2022-08-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.186.1544-0.41%6.04-2.27%0.0084✓0.421.9M2022-08-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0634220.063159-0.41%0.06175-2.64%0.0028✓1.041.7M2022-08-28
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.35320.351732-0.42%0.32-9.40%0.0670✓1.13152k2022-08-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.631.6232-0.42%1.511-7.30%0.0423✓1.2093k2022-08-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.510.507869-0.42%0.488-4.31%0.0120✓1.1488k2022-08-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10330.102856-0.43%0.0992-3.97%0.0095✓1.093.7M2022-08-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206730.020583-0.43%0.020386-1.39%0.0106✗0.8313k2022-08-28
XYMSymbolnative0.04540.0452-0.44%0.044396-2.21%0.0053✓0.5230k2022-08-28
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.260047-0.44%0.261-0.08%0.0038✓0.0191k2022-08-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023030.022928-0.44%0.02162-6.12%0.0379✓0.8613.0M2022-08-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038280.038107-0.45%0.03732-2.51%0.0009✓0.822,8422022-08-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2124.1922-0.47%3.998-5.08%0.0384✓0.372.0M2022-08-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.340040.338437-0.47%0.36389+7.01%0.0955✗0.94321k2022-08-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,782.658,741.22-0.47%8,473.37-3.52%0.0022✓1.376.8M2022-08-28
XEMNEMnative0.0447080.044496-0.47%0.042995-3.83%0.0135✓0.8530k2022-08-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.4032-0.48%1.39-1.42%0.0104✓-0.04115k2022-08-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12360.123005-0.48%0.1202-2.75%0.0091✓0.573.9M2022-08-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.337.2945-0.48%7.2-1.77%0.0141✗1.11592k2022-08-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative3332.8397-0.49%30.93-6.27%0.0248✓1.4415.4M2022-08-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024690.02457-0.49%0.0242-1.98%0.0160✗1.283,4352022-08-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.234.2094-0.49%4.096-3.17%0.0240✓0.142.3M2022-08-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022610.022499-0.49%0.02214-2.08%0.0024✓0.76444k2022-08-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.840.835727-0.51%0.84+0.00%0.0151✗0.414.2M2022-08-28
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.26554.2436-0.51%4.3886+2.89%0.0580✗1.00158k2022-08-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.5417.4459-0.54%16.67-4.96%0.0282✓0.71965k2022-08-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10160.101053-0.54%0.0981-3.44%0.0111✓0.76247k2022-08-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007570.007529-0.54%0.00825+8.98%0.1189✗1.13477k2022-08-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068190.06782-0.54%0.06712-1.57%0.0096✗0.829142022-08-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.295.2597-0.57%5.16-2.46%0.0089✓0.422.6M2022-08-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.48.3518-0.57%8.09-3.69%0.0207✓0.462.1M2022-08-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.220.218687-0.60%0.2102-4.45%0.0197✓0.823.1M2022-08-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035990.035771-0.61%0.03552-1.31%0.0174✗1.0031k2022-08-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.73533.7119-0.63%3.6555-2.14%0.0009✓0.593.7M2022-08-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum38.1737.9146-0.67%37.2-2.54%0.0018✓0.851.7M2022-08-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1344.1056-0.69%4.106-0.68%0.0239✗0.98245k2022-08-28
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085470.084871-0.70%0.08638+1.06%0.0192✗0.07613k2022-08-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0232380.023067-0.74%0.022963-1.18%0.0015✓0.12258k2022-08-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.37281.3615-0.82%1.201-12.51%0.1027✓0.931.6M2022-08-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.2595.2156-0.83%5.5537+5.60%0.0680✗0.215.2M2022-08-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157620.156224-0.89%0.15977+1.36%0.0732✗2.086362022-08-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57530.568952-1.10%0.4996-13.16%0.1101✓0.82625k2022-08-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.08015.0226-1.13%5.4352+6.99%0.0851✗0.254.6M2022-08-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.00013390.000131896-1.50%0.0001251-6.57%0.0323✓0.85340k2022-08-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.22713.0107-1.64%12.382-6.39%0.0378✓0.486.1M2022-08-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.59e-77.46e-7-1.68%7.78e-7+2.50%0.0618✗0.82198k2022-08-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.