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2022-08-21 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1454
188 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-5.85%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.1%
in alpha space · 50.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.56%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022630.022764+0.59%0.02253-0.44%0.0054✓0.8813.4M2022-08-22
BORABORAKlay Token0.301990.303466+0.49%0.29531-2.21%0.0214✗1.0413k2022-08-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1743.1883+0.45%3.083-2.87%0.0300✗0.63803k2022-08-22
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4782.4881+0.41%2.4125-2.64%0.0241✗1.2113k2022-08-22
GTGateEthereum4.56934.5877+0.40%4.5685-0.02%0.0001✓0.77827k2022-08-22
CBKCobakEthereum0.963870.967747+0.40%0.93212-3.29%0.0321✗0.9712k2022-08-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06960.069867+0.38%0.0685-1.58%0.0146✗0.91121k2022-08-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046740.04691+0.36%0.0462-1.16%0.0115✗0.6816k2022-08-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7241.7297+0.33%1.719-0.29%0.0005✓1.20121k2022-08-22
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8760.878705+0.31%0.855-2.40%0.0249✗0.434.4M2022-08-22
AAVEAaveEthereum85.8986.1389+0.29%88.51+3.05%0.0358✓1.556.3M2022-08-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.70.70202+0.29%0.701+0.14%0.0037✓0.92324k2022-08-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.370860.371929+0.29%0.36185-2.43%0.0221✗0.9690k2022-08-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.94841.9537+0.27%1.918-1.56%0.0125✗1.0636k2022-08-22
XMRMoneroMonero154.56154.9536+0.25%153.73-0.54%0.0023✓1.001.1M2022-08-22
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08980.090021+0.25%0.0891-0.78%0.0048✗0.989,9252022-08-22
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17590.176314+0.24%0.1649-6.25%0.0594✗1.351,5232022-08-22
ETHEthereumEthereum1,617.841,621.38+0.22%1,624.78+0.43%0.0096✓1.33548.6M2022-08-22
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5621.5654+0.22%1.515-3.01%0.0261✗1.19156k2022-08-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.007180.007195+0.21%0.00698-2.79%0.0268✗0.651.3M2022-08-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,631.3021,673.65+0.20%21,122.20-2.35%0.0204✗0.957,5932022-08-22
DIADIAEthereum0.413340.414127+0.19%0.39068-5.48%0.0531✗0.9370k2022-08-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48960.490446+0.17%0.4905+0.18%0.0064✓1.11400k2022-08-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.02481.0265+0.17%1.0995+7.29%0.0770✓1.474.7M2022-08-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,518.6221,553.39+0.16%21,398.25-0.56%0.0016✗1.00463.8M2022-08-22
DODODODOEthereum0.13930.139513+0.15%0.137-1.65%0.0125✗1.002.1M2022-08-22
GALAGALAEthereum0.0540.05408+0.15%0.0533-1.30%0.0089✗1.00253k2022-08-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39180.392347+0.14%0.3834-2.14%0.0160✗1.25239k2022-08-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1080.10815+0.14%0.1111+2.87%0.0329✓1.073.7M2022-08-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2240.224299+0.13%0.2183-2.54%0.0215✗1.0067k2022-08-22
C98Coin98Ethereum0.42860.429145+0.13%0.4022-6.16%0.0586✗1.1175k2022-08-22
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.30e-79.31e-7+0.13%8.90e-7-4.30%0.0406✗0.8218k2022-08-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2880.28836+0.12%0.28-2.78%0.0253✗0.73878k2022-08-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1090.109135+0.12%0.1051-3.58%0.0337✗0.713,8252022-08-22
MANADecentralandEthereum0.852550.853551+0.12%0.83161-2.46%0.0209✗0.92524k2022-08-22
IMXImmutableEthereum0.87370.874693+0.11%0.85-2.71%0.0226✗1.082.2M2022-08-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009450.00946+0.11%0.00929-1.69%0.0139✗0.756.4M2022-08-22
ZENHorizenBase16.7316.7479+0.11%17.06+1.97%0.0247✓1.11125k2022-08-22
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7280.728754+0.10%0.713-2.06%0.0169✗0.89263k2022-08-22
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.261369+0.10%0.2612+0.04%0.0006✓0.0187k2022-08-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.09121.0922+0.09%1.1382+4.30%0.0460✓0.8655k2022-08-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.1113.1138+0.09%3.003-3.47%0.0274✗1.575.0M2022-08-22
APEApeCoinEthereum5.195.1946+0.09%5.205+0.29%0.0096✓1.3510.9M2022-08-22
SOLSolanaSolana36.4836.5117+0.09%35.43-2.88%0.0236✗1.1675.2M2022-08-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.11855.1226+0.08%5.1079-0.21%0.0021✗0.14171k2022-08-22
ZECZcashZcash64.6264.6697+0.08%65.09+0.73%0.0128✓1.122.0M2022-08-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.391.391+0.07%1.38-0.72%0.0026✗0.95182k2022-08-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015010.001502+0.06%0.001778+18.45%0.1727✓0.729,7092022-08-22
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017780.001779+0.05%0.001746-1.80%0.0137✗0.89790k2022-08-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075220.075256+0.05%0.07313-2.78%0.0220✗1.1929k2022-08-22
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0721.0725+0.05%1.053-1.77%0.0116✗1.211.1M2022-08-22
STORJStorjEthereum0.588840.589066+0.04%0.5697-3.25%0.0262✗1.2945k2022-08-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059150.005917+0.03%0.005817-1.65%0.0132✗0.672,6422022-08-22
XTZTezosTezos1.63271.6332+0.03%1.589-2.68%0.0212✗1.11494k2022-08-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11150.111529+0.03%0.1106-0.81%0.0035✗0.86259k2022-08-22
BANDBandEthereum1.3521.3523+0.02%1.347-0.37%0.0030✓1.23518k2022-08-22
COMPCompoundEthereum50.9150.9215+0.02%50.45-0.90%0.0024✗1.2315k2022-08-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.087.0815+0.02%7.045-0.49%0.0008✓1.0719.5M2022-08-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2431.2433+0.02%1.22-1.85%0.0134✗0.982.2M2022-08-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3088290.308875+0.01%0.305622-1.04%0.0045✗1.08843k2022-08-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.9722.9732+0.01%22.56-1.78%0.0109✗1.2924.5M2022-08-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51330.513353+0.01%0.5031-1.99%0.0156✗0.82694k2022-08-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4596.4596+0.01%6.382-1.19%0.0069✗0.935.3M2022-08-22
STEEMSteemnative0.23750.23752+0.01%0.2327-2.02%0.0155✗0.90528k2022-08-22
ADACardanoCardano0.46240.462428+0.01%0.4615-0.19%0.0038✓1.0442.0M2022-08-22
OPTIMOptimism1.1761.1761+0.00%1.169-0.60%0.0036✓1.723.6M2022-08-22
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.164090.164096+0.00%0.15772-3.88%0.0278✗2.126362022-08-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022570.02257-0.00%0.02224-1.46%0.0099✓0.87444k2022-08-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30620.306196-0.00%0.3032-0.98%0.0047✓0.928.2M2022-08-22
SGBSongbirdnative0.02590.025899-0.00%0.0253-2.32%0.0198✓0.6437k2022-08-22
BTTCBTTC9.00e-79.00e-7-0.01%8.90e-7-1.11%0.0065✓0.803.0M2022-08-22
QTUMQtumQtum3.46923.4687-0.01%3.4703+0.03%0.0060✗0.9943k2022-08-22
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05970.059688-0.02%0.0597+0.00%0.0054✗0.92112k2022-08-22
HIVEHivenative0.56380.563681-0.02%0.5535-1.83%0.0132✓0.891.9M2022-08-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021910.021905-0.02%0.021328-2.66%0.0221✓0.8213k2022-08-22
XVGVergenative0.003260.003259-0.03%0.00321-1.53%0.0094✓1.04537k2022-08-22
TRXTRONTron0.0659240.065906-0.03%0.065631-0.44%0.0009✓0.59179k2022-08-22
WOOWOOEthereum0.17680.176746-0.03%0.1683-4.81%0.0431✓1.051,7442022-08-22
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12430.12426-0.03%0.1214-2.33%0.0176✓1.0139k2022-08-22
KCSKuCoinnative9.6289.6246-0.04%9.582-0.48%0.0009✗0.951.9M2022-08-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04120.041184-0.04%0.0406-1.46%0.0092✓0.9011k2022-08-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.28.1968-0.04%7.79-5.00%0.0446✓1.12638k2022-08-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5720.571744-0.04%0.552-3.50%0.0288✓1.1390k2022-08-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143850.143785-0.05%0.1406-2.26%0.0155✓1.24246k2022-08-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38480.384573-0.06%0.3773-1.95%0.0129✓1.10175k2022-08-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.6855.6471-0.06%57.22+2.77%0.0335✗1.0013.1M2022-08-22
KSMKusamaHydration50.6450.6098-0.06%50.58-0.12%0.0050✗0.99543k2022-08-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.95854.9217-0.07%55.291+0.61%0.0109✗0.75340k2022-08-22
FIDABonfidaSolana0.470.469671-0.07%0.439-6.60%0.0619✓1.009,5622022-08-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03770.037673-0.07%0.0372-1.33%0.0073✓0.9581k2022-08-22
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2292.2273-0.07%2.192-1.66%0.0095✓1.1560k2022-08-22
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85690.856229-0.08%0.8216-4.12%0.0330✓1.47214k2022-08-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.14990.149772-0.09%0.1467-2.13%0.0151✓1.00149k2022-08-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29490.294632-0.09%0.2905-1.49%0.0088✓0.953.5M2022-08-22
SCSiacoinnative0.004210.004206-0.10%0.0041-2.61%0.0199✓0.99152k2022-08-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.10110.100998-0.10%0.0981-2.97%0.0238✓0.94414k2022-08-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.64410.6332-0.10%11.09+4.19%0.0483✗1.1110.4M2022-08-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6360.635309-0.11%0.623-2.04%0.0133✓1.1296k2022-08-22
METISMetisEthereum34.7634.7193-0.12%32.76-5.75%0.0476✓1.87365k2022-08-22
DASHDashDash46.846.7417-0.12%47.23+0.92%0.0159✗0.98493k2022-08-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.9718.9463-0.12%18.19-4.11%0.0368✓0.701.7M2022-08-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013480.000013462-0.13%0.00001316-2.37%0.0176✓0.91827k2022-08-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.06540.065309-0.14%0.0641-1.99%0.0123✓1.15289k2022-08-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.1813.1609-0.15%13.67+3.72%0.0443✗1.132.4M2022-08-22
AVTAventusEthereum1.381.3779-0.15%1.6+15.94%0.1491✗-0.05105k2022-08-22
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38410.383511-0.15%0.3755-2.24%0.0139✓1.28182k2022-08-22
UMAUMAEthereum2.9142.9095-0.15%2.876-1.30%0.0069✓0.84749k2022-08-22
XECeCashnative0.000039550.000039488-0.16%0.00003884-1.80%0.0116✓0.891.8M2022-08-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017360.017333-0.16%0.01775+2.25%0.0275✗0.67159k2022-08-22
XEMNEMnative0.0462330.04616-0.16%0.045657-1.25%0.0063✓0.8333k2022-08-22
FTTFTXEthereum27.7227.6762-0.16%27.72+0.00%0.0069✗0.958.5M2022-08-22
LUNATerraTerra 20.000090380.000090237-0.16%0.00009153+1.27%0.0189✗0.83327k2022-08-22
GLMGolemEthereum0.26280.262377-0.16%0.2541-3.31%0.0267✓0.9584k2022-08-22
STXStacksnative0.3950.394326-0.17%0.387-2.03%0.0123✓1.15492k2022-08-22
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.172.1663-0.17%2.096-3.41%0.0234✓1.72115k2022-08-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06750.067383-0.17%0.0655-2.96%0.0215✓1.211.2M2022-08-22
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6110.60993-0.18%0.595-2.62%0.0179✓1.223,1462022-08-22
XYMSymbolnative0.0510480.050957-0.18%0.04966-2.72%0.0228✓0.5330k2022-08-22
XLMStellarStellar0.1109770.110778-0.18%0.109492-1.34%0.0068✓0.867.4M2022-08-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05140.051307-0.18%0.0509-0.97%0.0025✓0.97798k2022-08-22
NANOnanopayBase0.9277620.926089-0.18%0.913455-1.54%0.0093✓0.7970k2022-08-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.07791.076-0.18%1.0364-3.85%0.0343✓0.553.9M2022-08-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04020.040126-0.18%0.03992-0.70%0.0005✓0.832,6252022-08-22
GMTGMTEthereum0.8040.802399-0.20%0.784-2.49%0.0152✓1.43373k2022-08-22
UNIUniswapEthereum7.2117.1965-0.20%6.983-3.16%0.0229✓1.2910.7M2022-08-22
SUSHISushiEthereum1.211.2074-0.21%1.19-1.65%0.0075✓1.251.0M2022-08-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.938.9094-0.23%9.64+7.95%0.0812✗0.432.4M2022-08-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04730.047185-0.24%0.0461-2.54%0.0178✓0.98192k2022-08-22
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02710.027034-0.24%0.02625-3.14%0.0223✓1.273,2032022-08-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7220.720162-0.25%0.704-2.49%0.0151✓1.364.8M2022-08-22
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9190.916656-0.26%0.9-2.07%0.0115✓1.211.2M2022-08-22
MOVRMoonriverBase14.107114.0708-0.26%13.4763-4.47%0.0378✓0.9644k2022-08-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0146590.01462-0.27%0.01426-2.72%0.0213✓0.651.8M2022-08-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.4347.4138-0.27%7.401-0.44%0.0040✗1.0214.0M2022-08-22
UOSUltraEthereum0.320010.319094-0.29%0.32171+0.53%0.0133✗0.92353k2022-08-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.4110.3787-0.30%10.09-3.07%0.0216✓1.17318k2022-08-22
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21190.211258-0.30%0.2125+0.28%0.0115✗1.00149k2022-08-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05121.0479-0.31%1.0344-1.59%0.0068✓1.1112k2022-08-22
XVSVenusEthereum5.915.8914-0.32%5.66-4.23%0.0353✓0.841.6M2022-08-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15560.155105-0.32%0.1493-4.05%0.0327✓0.97616k2022-08-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067710.006749-0.32%0.006798+0.40%0.0097✗0.4555k2022-08-22
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.091060.090767-0.32%0.0872-4.24%0.0396✓0.09972k2022-08-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13810.137651-0.33%0.1283-7.10%0.0671✓0.584.4M2022-08-22
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.762.7507-0.34%2.72-1.45%0.0084✓0.5093k2022-08-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.4715-0.34%2.41-2.82%0.0183✓1.22281k2022-08-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4714.4199-0.35%14.28-1.31%0.0029✓1.231.4M2022-08-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0692790.069033-0.36%0.068381-1.30%0.0038✓1.021.9M2022-08-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,749.398,718.23-0.36%8,930.03+2.06%0.0316✗1.367.3M2022-08-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.67119.2427-0.36%122.68+2.52%0.0347✗1.114.9M2022-08-22
QNTQuantEthereum110.77110.3741-0.36%107.36-3.08%0.0230✓0.843.4M2022-08-22
FORTFortaEthereum0.27050.269511-0.37%0.2744+1.44%0.0235✗0.98132k2022-08-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22980.22892-0.38%0.217-5.57%0.0459✓1.35111k2022-08-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4136.388-0.39%6.323-1.40%0.0054✓0.8510.1M2022-08-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.370780.369321-0.39%0.40324+8.75%0.0936✗1.02418k2022-08-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0037420.003727-0.40%0.003502-6.41%0.0576✓0.851.0M2022-08-22
ELAElastosEthereum1.8761.8686-0.40%1.818-3.09%0.0221✓0.95151k2022-08-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4794.4613-0.40%4.978+11.14%0.1114✗0.321.6M2022-08-22
PROPropyEthereum0.730.726927-0.42%0.71-2.74%0.0214✓0.38105k2022-08-22
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070570.070271-0.42%0.07069+0.17%0.0105✗0.829772022-08-22
API3Api3Ethereum1.9141.9057-0.43%1.89-1.25%0.0032✓0.90657k2022-08-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1870.186145-0.46%0.184-1.60%0.0056✓1.07608k2022-08-22
RADRadworksEthereum2.382.3687-0.47%2.32-2.52%0.0161✓0.84833k2022-08-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.045.0161-0.47%5.41+7.34%0.0780✗0.431.3M2022-08-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.7633.5952-0.49%34.05+0.86%0.0215✗1.4416.5M2022-08-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.5946.5606-0.51%7.119+7.96%0.0832✗0.274.9M2022-08-22
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33660.334871-0.51%0.3507+4.19%0.0526✗1.15110k2022-08-22
FLOWFlownative2.1632.1517-0.52%2.13-1.53%0.0028✓1.311.2M2022-08-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.945.9089-0.52%6.52+9.76%0.1005✗0.373.1M2022-08-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.79081.7814-0.53%1.9268+7.59%0.0845✗1.07698k2022-08-22
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.068490.068129-0.53%0.0684-0.13%0.0102✗1.122.4M2022-08-22
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.68123.6618-0.53%4.4842+21.81%0.2057✗0.551.8M2022-08-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.356.3142-0.56%7.03+10.71%0.1095✗0.382.1M2022-08-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.18720.186076-0.60%0.2228+19.02%0.1847✗0.821.5M2022-08-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.566.5189-0.63%6.95+5.95%0.0662✗0.381.5M2022-08-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.96864.9331-0.71%6.1535+23.85%0.2221✗0.192.1M2022-08-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.1015.0639-0.73%5.285+3.61%0.0432✗0.082.2M2022-08-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.30191.2924-0.73%1.3574+4.26%0.0544✗0.951.2M2022-08-22
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.13534.1047-0.74%4.3949+6.28%0.0739✗1.00171k2022-08-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0234270.023252-0.75%0.023564+0.58%0.0139✗0.11240k2022-08-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015180.001506-0.77%0.001485-2.20%0.0102✓0.771.6M2022-08-22
FISStafiEthereum0.37150.36835-0.85%–pending––0.911922022-08-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10060.099705-0.89%0.1-0.60%0.0068✓0.69234k2022-08-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.91985.8589-1.03%6.4198+8.45%0.0924✗0.172.4M2022-08-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038180.037754-1.12%0.03687-3.43%0.0181✓0.9923k2022-08-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum44.3643.8128-1.23%45.2+1.89%0.0362✗0.891.8M2022-08-22
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.12e-77.00e-7-1.75%6.81e-7-4.37%0.0228✓0.76170k2022-08-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009470.00928-2.01%0.00844-10.88%0.0885✓1.14456k2022-08-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.0944.9758-2.32%4.77-6.36%0.0368✓0.97133k2022-08-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.73812.3052-3.40%14.607+14.67%0.1739✗0.441.6M2022-08-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.