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2022-08-17 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0987
188 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-9.64%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
77.7%
in alpha space · 81.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.65%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.87e-76.65e-7-3.29%7.18e-7+4.46%0.0812✗0.63164k2022-08-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.22220.218634-1.60%0.2086-6.12%0.0414✓0.851.2M2022-08-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.046850.046207-1.37%0.04449-5.04%0.0315✓0.9821k2022-08-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9665.8886-1.30%13.257+122.21%0.8139✗0.371.2M2022-08-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.0939.5833-1.26%41.14+2.62%0.0454✗1.051.8M2022-08-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.41071.3956-1.07%1.396-1.04%0.0065✓0.941.0M2022-08-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6823.6438-1.04%3.641-1.11%0.0048✓0.86124k2022-08-18
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.65774.6117-0.99%5.4949+17.97%0.1817✗1.00140k2022-08-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,298.3023,080.09-0.94%23,152.40-0.63%0.0095✗0.977,5932022-08-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04390.043532-0.84%0.0388-11.62%0.1089✓0.9576k2022-08-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.81143.7797-0.83%4.5519+19.43%0.1889✗0.462.0M2022-08-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.17690.175441-0.82%0.1668-5.71%0.0439✓1.01140k2022-08-18
FISStafiEthereum0.41420.411035-0.76%0.399-3.67%0.0238✓0.901922022-08-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.2939.99-0.74%39.6-1.71%0.0008✓1.3816.5M2022-08-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000014760.00001465-0.74%0.00001348-8.67%0.0770✓0.96827k2022-08-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.6854-0.74%9.82+12.23%0.1254✗0.401.8M2022-08-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.525.4796-0.73%6.1+10.51%0.1097✗0.372.0M2022-08-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.226.1753-0.72%6.85+10.13%0.1061✗0.361.1M2022-08-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.4219.2853-0.69%19.39-0.15%0.0098✗0.682.2M2022-08-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0801150.079565-0.69%0.074632-6.84%0.0573✓1.031.9M2022-08-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.49.3369-0.67%8.78-6.60%0.0544✓1.08523k2022-08-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07780.077292-0.65%0.0761-2.19%0.0078✓1.181.4M2022-08-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.20421.1964-0.65%1.21+0.48%0.0187✗1.1412k2022-08-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1444.1182-0.62%4.646+12.11%0.1226✗0.301.5M2022-08-18
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08320.082686-0.62%0.08299-0.25%0.0053✓0.251.0M2022-08-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,164.6211,095.82-0.62%10,215.91-8.50%0.0739✓1.336.8M2022-08-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015460.001536-0.61%0.001535-0.67%0.0046✓0.791.6M2022-08-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.47123.451-0.58%4.0274+16.02%0.1565✗0.311.8M2022-08-18
STEEMSteemnative0.27560.274001-0.58%0.2646-3.99%0.0293✓0.87550k2022-08-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.944.9116-0.58%5.62+13.77%0.1373✗0.391.1M2022-08-18
METISMetisEthereum38.7938.5702-0.57%38-2.04%0.0021✓1.96408k2022-08-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018080.01798-0.55%0.01773-1.94%0.0100✓0.62153k2022-08-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.922.904-0.55%2.7-7.53%0.0651✓1.19269k2022-08-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0151840.015101-0.55%0.0147-3.19%0.0230✓0.602.1M2022-08-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09833.0819-0.53%3.88+25.23%0.2336✗0.501.3M2022-08-18
XEMNEMnative0.0502950.05003-0.53%0.04862-3.33%0.0227✓0.9043k2022-08-18
QTUMQtumQtum4.0123.9908-0.53%3.7671-6.10%0.0513✓0.9848k2022-08-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0219640.02185-0.52%0.023053+4.96%0.0549✗0.20233k2022-08-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7415.6589-0.52%14.14-10.17%0.0949✓1.092.6M2022-08-18
API3Api3Ethereum2.2662.2544-0.51%2.113-6.75%0.0588✓0.92680k2022-08-18
HIVEHivenative0.59610.593078-0.51%0.5858-1.73%0.0062✓0.952.0M2022-08-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5150.512433-0.50%0.478-7.18%0.0631✓0.999,8012022-08-18
XVGVergenative0.003780.003761-0.49%0.00366-3.17%0.0207✓1.02528k2022-08-18
FTTFTXEthereum30.1129.962-0.49%29.95-0.53%0.0057✗0.939.1M2022-08-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6430.639862-0.49%0.621-3.42%0.0224✓1.16105k2022-08-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70661.6984-0.48%1.7628+3.29%0.0450✗1.20598k2022-08-18
GMTGMTEthereum0.9670.962422-0.47%0.914-5.48%0.0423✓1.43469k2022-08-18
QNTQuantEthereum109.91109.396-0.47%108.5-1.28%0.0028✓0.833.6M2022-08-18
ELAElastosEthereum1.9911.9817-0.47%2.043+2.61%0.0370✗1.00181k2022-08-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06620.065895-0.46%0.0629-4.98%0.0414✓0.78116k2022-08-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001680.001672-0.46%0.0017+1.19%0.0209✗0.699,5772022-08-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.7511.6963-0.46%11.446-2.59%0.0143✓1.1312.0M2022-08-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010860.010811-0.45%0.01017-6.35%0.0563✓0.745.8M2022-08-18
ADACardanoCardano0.53860.536158-0.45%0.5121-4.92%0.0392✓1.0343.6M2022-08-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37410.372438-0.44%0.3673-1.82%0.0067✓1.11105k2022-08-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0039360.003919-0.44%0.003748-4.78%0.0393✓0.791.0M2022-08-18
XMRMoneroMonero168.3167.5657-0.44%160.98-4.35%0.0339✓0.951.2M2022-08-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13810.137501-0.43%0.1361-1.45%0.0035✓1.0441k2022-08-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.29130.290051-0.43%0.2892-0.72%0.0031✓0.9381k2022-08-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8991.891-0.42%1.771-6.74%0.0574✓1.25142k2022-08-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08710.086735-0.42%0.08792+0.94%0.0211✗1.1529k2022-08-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008140.008106-0.42%0.00782-3.93%0.0287✓1.11456k2022-08-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.893.8738-0.42%4.414+13.47%0.1318✗0.191.9M2022-08-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1213050.120801-0.42%0.115928-4.43%0.0354✓0.897.8M2022-08-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.36.2739-0.41%6.95+10.32%0.1048✗0.381.6M2022-08-18
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1076.0817-0.41%5.771-5.50%0.0436✓1.3611.8M2022-08-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07930.078975-0.41%0.0738-6.94%0.0626✓0.79130k2022-08-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.8816.8113-0.41%16.13-4.44%0.0333✓1.231.6M2022-08-18
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98420.980213-0.41%0.9372-4.78%0.0347✓1.55244k2022-08-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14530.144712-0.40%0.1341-7.71%0.0722✓0.614.4M2022-08-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05090.050695-0.40%0.0494-2.95%0.0195✓0.98212k2022-08-18
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077550.07724-0.40%0.07494-3.37%0.0252✓0.789142022-08-18
UNIUniswapEthereum7.9617.9294-0.40%7.574-4.86%0.0374✓1.3010.3M2022-08-18
RARESuperRareEthereum0.24860.247618-0.40%0.2303-7.36%0.0660✓1.00111k2022-08-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.18211.1774-0.39%1.1146-5.71%0.0449✓1.525.6M2022-08-18
STXStacksnative0.45670.454919-0.39%0.4453-2.50%0.0141✓1.11808k2022-08-18
ZECZcashZcash74.2273.9315-0.39%70.09-5.56%0.0462✓1.102.0M2022-08-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0921.0878-0.38%1.0066-7.82%0.0735✓0.623.9M2022-08-18
RADRadworksEthereum2.372.3609-0.38%2.4+1.27%0.0223✗0.90636k2022-08-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.5260.2893-0.38%60-0.86%0.0017✓1.0013.5M2022-08-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,341.1723,252.40-0.38%23,189.46-0.65%0.0038✓1.00482.6M2022-08-18
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009510.000094739-0.38%0.00009318-2.02%0.0100✓1.01336k2022-08-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2170.21618-0.38%0.203-6.45%0.0557✓1.10696k2022-08-18
DIADIAEthereum0.460510.458777-0.38%0.45212-1.82%0.0087✓0.9170k2022-08-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8541.8471-0.37%1.817-2.00%0.0091✓1.12170k2022-08-18
COMPCompoundEthereum58.3158.0936-0.37%56.05-3.88%0.0278✓1.2420k2022-08-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10180.101425-0.37%0.0944-7.27%0.0653✓0.9912k2022-08-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34080.339546-0.37%0.3336-2.11%0.0116✓0.938.3M2022-08-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41880.417264-0.37%0.4086-2.44%0.0128✓1.26239k2022-08-18
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0019550.001948-0.36%0.00192-1.79%0.0079✓1.00950k2022-08-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05990.059683-0.36%0.0544-9.18%0.0859✓1.03877k2022-08-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5252.516-0.36%2.389-5.39%0.0441✓1.1864k2022-08-18
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.57e-7-0.36%9.60e-7+0.00%0.0087✗0.795.3M2022-08-18
XYMSymbolnative0.0535190.053329-0.35%0.053014-0.94%0.0027✓0.5033k2022-08-18
DODODODOEthereum0.1590.158438-0.35%0.1456-8.43%0.0781✓0.982.1M2022-08-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.83133.3573-0.35%129.12-3.52%0.0251✓1.105.1M2022-08-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12260.12217-0.35%0.1149-6.28%0.0541✓1.113.8M2022-08-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.5053.4928-0.35%3.249-7.30%0.0621✓1.575.2M2022-08-18
OPTIMOptimism1.3211.3164-0.35%1.196-9.46%0.0834✓1.933.6M2022-08-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16970.169112-0.35%0.1565-7.78%0.0705✓1.07616k2022-08-18
MANADecentralandEthereum0.967770.964484-0.34%0.92322-4.60%0.0376✓0.94623k2022-08-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0239350.023854-0.34%0.023478-1.91%0.0106✓0.8113k2022-08-18
ZENHorizenBase19.0118.9456-0.34%17.89-5.89%0.0500✓1.12130k2022-08-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.4133.4015-0.34%3.348-1.90%0.0117✓0.63853k2022-08-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.0618.0337-0.34%7.645-5.16%0.0425✓1.0820.0M2022-08-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.329720.328607-0.34%0.33395+1.28%0.0219✗0.89402k2022-08-18
DASHDashDash52.8752.6939-0.33%50.36-4.75%0.0390✓0.97548k2022-08-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4762.4678-0.33%2.408-2.75%0.0131✓1.76134k2022-08-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024860.024778-0.33%0.024-3.46%0.0261✓0.89310k2022-08-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12140.120999-0.33%0.1192-1.81%0.0093✓0.87311k2022-08-18
KSMKusamaHydration54.7754.5918-0.33%51.69-5.62%0.0480✓1.01595k2022-08-18
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.922.9105-0.33%2.85-2.40%0.0176✓0.5296k2022-08-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.07080.070574-0.32%0.0683-3.53%0.0252✓1.16331k2022-08-18
FLOWFlownative2.5652.5568-0.32%2.528-1.44%0.0030✓1.281.0M2022-08-18
XVSVenusEthereum65.981-0.32%6.28+4.67%0.0547✗0.911.5M2022-08-18
UMAUMAEthereum3.2633.2528-0.31%3.137-3.86%0.0308✓0.83719k2022-08-18
XTZTezosTezos1.88471.8788-0.31%1.7895-5.05%0.0414✓1.11488k2022-08-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.007940.007915-0.31%0.00764-3.78%0.0312✓0.641.6M2022-08-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.6165.5986-0.31%7.441+32.50%0.2850✗0.083.4M2022-08-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54010.538432-0.31%0.5295-1.96%0.0094✓1.12388k2022-08-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31980.318814-0.31%0.3055-4.47%0.0362✓0.993.6M2022-08-18
XECeCashnative0.000043330.000043197-0.31%0.00004285-1.11%0.0024✓0.871.9M2022-08-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.387.3575-0.31%6.869-6.92%0.0624✓0.975.4M2022-08-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.3728.3467-0.30%8.083-3.45%0.0254✓1.0314.4M2022-08-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.361.3559-0.30%1.318-3.09%0.0218✓1.002.5M2022-08-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7730.770668-0.30%0.731-5.43%0.0467✓0.94344k2022-08-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09970.099401-0.30%0.1138+14.14%0.1405✗0.80215k2022-08-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.19750.196908-0.30%0.1857-5.97%0.0517✓1.051,7922022-08-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche25.5625.4835-0.30%24.19-5.36%0.0432✓1.3728.7M2022-08-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.652840.650889-0.30%0.63604-2.57%0.0145✓1.3147k2022-08-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050730.050579-0.30%0.05035-0.75%0.0002✓0.7216k2022-08-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.383270.382153-0.29%0.37197-2.95%0.0213✓0.88435k2022-08-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.20162.1952-0.29%2.1323-3.15%0.0222✓1.0536k2022-08-18
AVTAventusEthereum1.41.396-0.28%1.44+2.86%0.0306✗-0.06124k2022-08-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.409860.408724-0.28%0.3928-4.16%0.0333✓0.9995k2022-08-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.1938.1703-0.28%7.478-8.73%0.0832✓0.819.9M2022-08-18
SCSiacoinnative0.004680.004667-0.27%0.00465-0.64%0.0029✗1.01158k2022-08-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.0630.062829-0.27%0.058-7.94%0.0733✓1.02253k2022-08-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006750.006732-0.27%0.007064+4.65%0.0511✗0.4555k2022-08-18
KCSKuCoinnative10.25610.2283-0.27%10.11-1.42%0.0053✓0.971.9M2022-08-18
SOLSolanaSolana40.5540.4427-0.26%39.51-2.56%0.0156✓1.1981.1M2022-08-18
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7810.778937-0.26%0.743-4.87%0.0412✓0.93280k2022-08-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6720.670234-0.26%0.642-4.46%0.0352✓1.20130k2022-08-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3611.3302-0.26%11.03-2.90%0.0194✓1.14313k2022-08-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25350.252851-0.26%0.2486-1.93%0.0104✓1.0183k2022-08-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.92612.9186-0.26%2.6889-8.11%0.0741✓1.2113k2022-08-18
MOVRMoonriverBase14.827214.7894-0.25%14.4976-2.22%0.0137✓0.9553k2022-08-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12090.120594-0.25%0.1195-1.16%0.0045✓0.714,2082022-08-18
SUSHISushiEthereum1.371.3665-0.25%1.3-5.11%0.0417✓1.261.1M2022-08-18
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.17940.178948-0.25%0.18133+1.08%0.0278✗2.236712022-08-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.006520.006503-0.25%0.006288-3.56%0.0291✓0.703,0362022-08-18
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2181.215-0.25%1.151-5.50%0.0460✓1.241.1M2022-08-18
FORTFortaEthereum0.2940.293267-0.25%0.2898-1.43%0.0049✓1.07160k2022-08-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.158730.158339-0.25%0.15849-0.15%0.0090✗1.24250k2022-08-18
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.68e-7-0.24%9.60e-7-1.03%0.0029✓0.7721k2022-08-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.21191.2091-0.24%1.1895-1.85%0.0106✓0.8855k2022-08-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8040.802106-0.24%0.741-7.84%0.0700✓1.414.6M2022-08-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.92259.7819-0.23%57.502-4.04%0.0343✓0.71365k2022-08-18
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02990.029831-0.23%0.0286-4.35%0.0337✓1.302,9912022-08-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.56530.564009-0.23%0.5397-4.53%0.0387✓0.82755k2022-08-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04270.042604-0.23%0.0427+0.00%0.0084✗0.9411k2022-08-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025750.025692-0.22%0.02349-8.78%0.0839✓0.8814.3M2022-08-18
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9280.92592-0.22%0.922-0.65%0.0037✗1.221.1M2022-08-18
NANOnanopayBase0.978230.976136-0.21%0.990146+1.22%0.0191✗0.7577k2022-08-18
ETHEthereumEthereum1,834.611,830.72-0.21%1,845.90+0.62%0.0169✗1.33534.1M2022-08-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045180.045085-0.21%0.0449-0.62%0.0011✓0.802,6002022-08-18
BANDBandEthereum1.5631.5597-0.21%1.471-5.89%0.0502✓1.28529k2022-08-18
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.43710.436229-0.20%0.4199-3.94%0.0291✓1.39209k2022-08-18
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.260785-0.20%0.2612-0.04%0.0017✓0.0165k2022-08-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3030.302413-0.19%0.296-2.31%0.0167✓0.721.0M2022-08-18
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19540.195033-0.19%0.1833-6.19%0.0527✓1.431,3972022-08-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2410.24056-0.18%0.2341-2.86%0.0182✓1.38117k2022-08-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6540.652866-0.17%0.666+1.83%0.0277✗1.192,9182022-08-18
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47010.469287-0.17%0.4375-6.93%0.0627✓1.1464k2022-08-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.10910.108913-0.17%0.1036-5.04%0.0436✓0.99456k2022-08-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.96510.96347-0.17%0.9002-6.72%0.0603✓1.182.2M2022-08-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3480820.347504-0.17%0.334316-3.95%0.0319✓1.05916k2022-08-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42060.419965-0.15%0.3993-5.06%0.0432✓1.11190k2022-08-18
PROPropyEthereum0.780.77886-0.15%0.77-1.28%0.0087✓0.42105k2022-08-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.085980.08586-0.14%0.07686-10.61%0.1031✓1.172.4M2022-08-18
TRXTRONTron0.0681260.068044-0.12%0.067418-1.04%0.0052✓0.61182k2022-08-18
AAVEAaveEthereum100.14100.0278-0.11%94.86-5.27%0.0431✓1.536.4M2022-08-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.611.6083-0.11%1.45-9.94%0.0973✓0.97182k2022-08-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.344910.344563-0.10%0.34084-1.18%0.0041✓1.0413k2022-08-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30115.2958-0.10%5.3268+0.48%0.0067✗0.14217k2022-08-18
GTGateEthereum4.84494.8424-0.05%4.8482+0.07%0.0060✗0.73882k2022-08-18
CBKCobakEthereum1.11151.1114-0.01%1.1-1.04%0.0042✓0.9412k2022-08-18
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9090.910672+0.18%0.881-3.08%0.0301✗0.464.4M2022-08-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.