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2022-08-09 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2042
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.84%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
45.9%
in alpha space · 21.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.47%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTGateEthereum4.77384.7919+0.38%4.9377+3.43%0.0057✓0.71887k2022-08-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08810.088387+0.33%0.0919+4.31%0.0088✓0.89127k2022-08-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.02185.0376+0.32%4.7-6.41%0.0743✗0.14367k2022-08-10
XMRMoneroMonero158.78159.2739+0.31%167.53+5.51%0.0155✓1.031.2M2022-08-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.26196+0.25%0.2616+0.11%0.0018✓0.0135k2022-08-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1270.12729+0.23%0.1324+4.25%0.0101✓0.864,5002022-08-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.435250.436198+0.22%0.46429+6.67%0.0269✓1.04124k2022-08-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,209.6023,255.37+0.20%23,919.30+3.06%0.0049✗0.9712k2022-08-10
TRXTRONTron0.0684650.068591+0.18%0.070307+2.69%0.0041✓0.60216k2022-08-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.008265+0.18%0.00837+1.45%0.0099✗0.661.6M2022-08-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09770.097864+0.17%0.1008+3.17%0.0048✗1.017,6272022-08-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012050.00001207+0.17%0.0000124+2.90%0.0067✗0.99864k2022-08-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25120.251583+0.15%0.2649+5.45%0.0163✓1.0491k2022-08-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064850.006494+0.13%0.006634+2.30%0.0033✗0.734,4282022-08-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21830.218576+0.13%0.2383+9.16%0.0379✓1.421,2802022-08-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.05990.059968+0.11%0.0635+6.01%0.0189✓1.12185k2022-08-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.808911+0.11%0.883+9.28%0.0558✓0.93377k2022-08-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,158.2723,182.26+0.10%23,962.18+3.47%0.0010✓1.00455.4M2022-08-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5392.5414+0.09%2.734+7.68%0.0443✓0.8486k2022-08-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.16891.1699+0.09%1.2251+4.81%0.0137✓0.9552k2022-08-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061810.006186+0.08%0.006078-1.67%0.0346✗0.5050k2022-08-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.044640.044667+0.06%0.04665+4.50%0.0148✓0.842,3482022-08-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43170.431956+0.06%0.4553+5.47%0.0067✓1.35207k2022-08-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.15480.154892+0.06%0.1652+6.72%0.0278✓1.07110k2022-08-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04750.047527+0.06%0.0495+4.21%0.0074✓0.9810k2022-08-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001658+0.06%0.001757+6.04%0.0308✓0.808,9342022-08-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033560.003358+0.05%0.003961+18.03%0.1355✓0.87988k2022-08-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.05890.058926+0.04%0.0607+3.06%0.0131✗1.25339k2022-08-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.665210.665491+0.04%0.71796+7.93%0.0289✓1.3857k2022-08-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.29562.296+0.02%2.3862+3.95%0.0013✓1.0938k2022-08-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01750.017503+0.02%0.01893+8.17%0.0548✓0.69167k2022-08-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12320.123214+0.01%0.1265+2.68%0.0037✗0.88370k2022-08-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59180.591829+0.00%0.6134+3.65%0.0027✗1.13318k2022-08-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.51710.51706-0.01%0.5471+5.80%0.0179✗1.1350k2022-08-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009870.009869-0.01%0.01031+4.46%0.0186✗0.745.3M2022-08-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.355090.355059-0.01%0.36767+3.54%0.0039✓1.1413k2022-08-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0181.0178-0.02%1.046+2.75%0.0087✗0.543.7M2022-08-10
CBKCobakEthereum1.10541.1051-0.02%1.145+3.58%0.0019✗0.9812k2022-08-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2941.2937-0.02%1.348+4.17%0.0012✓1.241.1M2022-08-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13650.136464-0.03%0.1428+4.62%0.0076✗1.1155k2022-08-10
KCSKuCoinnative10.53610.5329-0.03%10.779+2.31%0.0117✓1.021.9M2022-08-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22610.226028-0.03%0.2326+2.87%0.0189✓1.3997k2022-08-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031560.03155-0.03%0.03518+11.47%0.0735✗1.0414k2022-08-10
STEEMSteemnative0.25080.250715-0.03%0.266+6.06%0.0272✗0.94681k2022-08-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3651.3645-0.04%1.444+5.79%0.0192✗1.102.5M2022-08-10
XTZTezosTezos1.80571.805-0.04%1.8733+3.74%0.0020✓1.15530k2022-08-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0690280.068993-0.05%0.071244+3.21%0.0032✓1.041.6M2022-08-10
LUNATerraTerra 20.000096780.000096724-0.06%0.00009856+1.84%0.0024✓0.62421k2022-08-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.71959.6838-0.06%62.292+4.31%0.0181✗0.72321k2022-08-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.1859.1416-0.06%61.61+4.11%0.0050✗1.0513.7M2022-08-10
SCSiacoinnative0.004510.004507-0.07%0.00485+7.54%0.0352✗1.1299k2022-08-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050770.050735-0.07%0.05257+3.55%0.0093✗0.7717k2022-08-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.190920.190778-0.07%0.19756+3.48%0.0422✓2.261,0642022-08-10
SOLSolanaSolana40.3540.3184-0.08%42.5+5.33%0.0101✗1.2579.4M2022-08-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.52581.5245-0.09%1.6203+6.19%0.0165✗1.30698k2022-08-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34520.344894-0.09%0.3644+5.56%0.0215✗0.988.4M2022-08-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0552930.055241-0.09%0.057508+4.01%0.0226✗0.5229k2022-08-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3280.327684-0.10%0.34+3.66%0.0081✗0.841.1M2022-08-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.9452.9421-0.10%3.098+5.20%0.0221✗0.87585k2022-08-10
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.69e-7-0.10%0.00000101+4.12%0.0151✗0.776.0M2022-08-10
XECeCashnative0.00004340.000043353-0.11%0.00004643+6.98%0.0392✗0.861.9M2022-08-10
DASHDashDash52.9752.9113-0.11%54.6+3.08%0.0029✓1.00552k2022-08-10
ADACardanoCardano0.5130.512413-0.11%0.5376+4.80%0.0107✗1.0940.5M2022-08-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3441840.343774-0.12%0.369005+7.21%0.0326✗1.12875k2022-08-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,703.351,701.31-0.12%1,854.12+8.85%0.0416✗1.30453.9M2022-08-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.5279-0.14%1.52-0.65%0.0078✓0.07173k2022-08-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.810.808901-0.14%0.884+9.14%0.0484✗1.18968k2022-08-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.32860.32815-0.14%0.3479+5.87%0.0229✗1.043.5M2022-08-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.26010.259739-0.14%0.2716+4.42%0.0112✗0.9865k2022-08-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.9490.947622-0.15%0.98+3.27%0.0176✓1.50469k2022-08-10
XVGVergenative0.003680.003675-0.15%0.00383+4.08%0.0031✗1.12517k2022-08-10
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01981.0182-0.15%1.072+5.12%0.0139✗1.10543k2022-08-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.44990.449202-0.16%0.4648+3.31%0.0058✓1.17165k2022-08-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.68e-7-0.16%0.00000103+6.19%0.0367✗0.7322k2022-08-10
DIADIAEthereum0.481560.480793-0.16%0.48951+1.65%0.0004✓0.5268k2022-08-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0201610.020128-0.16%0.020275+0.57%0.0015✓0.17215k2022-08-10
FTTFTXEthereum29.8829.831-0.16%31.37+4.99%0.0188✗0.929.4M2022-08-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7160.714791-0.17%0.766+6.98%0.0238✗1.33137k2022-08-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.89562.8907-0.17%3.0285+4.59%0.0010✓1.3313k2022-08-10
NANOnanopayBase1.03761.0359-0.17%1.0722+3.33%0.0071✗0.8056k2022-08-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.711.7071-0.17%1.82+6.43%0.0278✗1.06140k2022-08-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1220430.121832-0.17%0.125982+3.23%0.0017✗0.937.1M2022-08-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.29e-7-0.18%3.34e-7+1.41%0.0074✓0.68150k2022-08-10
KSMKusamaHydration60.2660.147-0.19%62.92+4.41%0.0087✗1.07489k2022-08-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032150.032089-0.19%0.03296+2.52%0.0083✓1.0313.9M2022-08-10
AAVEAaveEthereum97.9697.7751-0.19%111.17+13.49%0.0755✗1.558.2M2022-08-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.042714-0.20%0.0441+3.04%0.0040✓1.0577k2022-08-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62340.622127-0.20%0.6574+5.45%0.0245✗0.90755k2022-08-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031790.031722-0.21%0.03249+2.20%0.0204✓1.301,7322022-08-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.11290.112625-0.24%0.1219+7.97%0.0426✗1.07566k2022-08-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07120.071025-0.25%0.0739+3.79%0.0121✗0.81151k2022-08-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83682.8296-0.26%2.9592+4.31%0.0250✗0.581.2M2022-08-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.872.8624-0.26%3.02+5.23%0.0364✗0.50110k2022-08-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0228290.022768-0.27%0.024212+6.06%0.0324✗0.8512k2022-08-10
COMPCompoundEthereum59.2459.0769-0.28%65.2+10.06%0.0550✗1.2835k2022-08-10
BANDBandEthereum1.7671.762-0.28%1.849+4.64%0.0023✓1.35383k2022-08-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7442.7349-0.33%2.856+4.08%0.0019✓1.2254k2022-08-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.34890.3477-0.34%0.37799+8.34%0.0528✗0.90396k2022-08-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.961.9531-0.35%2.075+5.87%0.0268✗0.99588k2022-08-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.06593.0551-0.35%3.2108+4.73%0.0368✗0.381.4M2022-08-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002140.002132-0.37%0.002157+0.79%0.0225✓1.001.2M2022-08-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089460.08913-0.37%0.08979+0.37%0.0006✓0.231.1M2022-08-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.10271.0986-0.37%1.1615+5.33%0.0315✗0.714.4M2022-08-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0153410.015283-0.37%0.015766+2.77%0.0070✗0.712.1M2022-08-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.085980.085654-0.38%0.08743+1.69%0.0181✓1.1329k2022-08-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405040.403461-0.39%0.41642+2.81%0.0043✓1.05481k2022-08-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2190.218138-0.39%0.229+4.57%0.0060✗1.25716k2022-08-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03821.0341-0.39%1.4709+41.68%0.3199✗0.95907k2022-08-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8560.852551-0.40%0.88+2.80%0.0191✓1.494.4M2022-08-10
PROPropyEthereum0.780.776842-0.40%0.77-1.28%0.0248✓0.4783k2022-08-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05380.053582-0.41%0.0548+1.86%0.0132✓1.04248k2022-08-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.516837-0.42%0.532+2.50%0.0055✓1.0113k2022-08-10
HIVEHivenative0.60670.604052-0.44%0.6261+3.20%0.0005✓1.042.4M2022-08-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.38911.3388-0.44%11.986+5.24%0.0138✗1.2214.4M2022-08-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.758.711-0.45%9.062+3.57%0.0009✓1.1318.6M2022-08-10
IMXImmutableEthereum1.10741.1024-0.45%1.133+2.31%0.0156✓1.262.0M2022-08-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16970.168932-0.45%0.1861+9.66%0.0590✗1.11548k2022-08-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.670.666968-0.45%0.697+4.03%0.0015✓1.2591k2022-08-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.4327.3043-0.46%29.18+6.38%0.0185✗1.4030.7M2022-08-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7630.759433-0.47%0.79+3.54%0.0035✓1.262,7022022-08-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4232-0.48%1.58+10.49%0.0605✗1.291.2M2022-08-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0133.9939-0.48%4.079+1.64%0.0118✗0.272.2M2022-08-10
ZENHorizenBase19.9219.8241-0.48%21.93+10.09%0.0604✗1.19118k2022-08-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.518.4688-0.48%8.75+2.82%0.0269✗0.171.8M2022-08-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9540.949348-0.49%0.976+2.31%0.0066✓1.01263k2022-08-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008710.008667-0.49%0.00896+2.87%0.0055✓1.14457k2022-08-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.30380.302301-0.49%0.3078+1.32%0.0191✓1.09294k2022-08-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3372.3254-0.49%2.452+4.92%0.0134✗1.16172k2022-08-10
METISMetisEthereum42.6542.4389-0.49%47.24+10.76%0.0432✗1.88328k2022-08-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.7134.0031-0.52%142.18+5.55%0.0208✗1.135.0M2022-08-10
DODODODOEthereum0.17140.1705-0.52%0.1819+6.13%0.0291✗1.042.8M2022-08-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5644.5394-0.54%4.752+4.12%0.0374✗0.251.1M2022-08-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9273.9054-0.55%4.046+3.03%0.0227✗0.371.6M2022-08-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.2360.234677-0.56%0.2472+4.75%0.0136✗1.121,5612022-08-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13960.138808-0.57%0.1462+4.73%0.0110✗1.203.1M2022-08-10
XEMNEMnative0.0493070.049024-0.57%0.052134+5.73%0.0269✗1.0137k2022-08-10
QTUMQtumQtum4.01453.9911-0.58%4.1947+4.49%0.0149✗1.0257k2022-08-10
STXStacksnative0.47780.474976-0.59%0.4979+4.21%0.0070✗1.18892k2022-08-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28163.2617-0.61%3.3964+3.50%0.0232✗0.501.8M2022-08-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08110.080604-0.61%0.0827+1.97%0.0129✓1.131.4M2022-08-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3611.2901-0.61%12.16+7.04%0.0354✗1.14306k2022-08-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.3110.2464-0.62%10.61+2.91%0.0039✓1.14482k2022-08-10
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.4697-0.62%6.71+3.07%0.0017✓1.121.4M2022-08-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7022.6851-0.63%2.928+8.36%0.0272✗1.74131k2022-08-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.5817.4697-0.63%18.55+5.52%0.0176✗1.241.4M2022-08-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.892.8715-0.64%3.04+5.19%0.0132✗1.28227k2022-08-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8257.7748-0.64%8.348+6.68%0.0353✗1.055.9M2022-08-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026320.02615-0.65%0.02661+1.10%0.0109✓0.83159k2022-08-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.14570.144757-0.65%0.1532+5.15%0.0262✗0.891.1M2022-08-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.29261.2842-0.65%1.3894+7.49%0.0296✗1.446.8M2022-08-10
ORCAOrcaSolana0.95310.946766-0.66%0.9791+2.73%0.0213✓1.61296k2022-08-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9028.8424-0.67%9.529+7.04%0.0372✗1.1011.8M2022-08-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.265.2243-0.68%5.43+3.23%0.0277✗0.322.1M2022-08-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06420.063761-0.68%0.0686+6.85%0.0347✗1.13827k2022-08-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0322.0181-0.68%2.049+0.84%0.0257✓1.20234k2022-08-10
ZECZcashZcash79.8179.2542-0.70%78.7-1.39%0.0487✓1.222.0M2022-08-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.515.4716-0.70%5.68+3.09%0.0253✗0.361.1M2022-08-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.173820.172608-0.70%0.17975+3.41%0.0047✓1.32216k2022-08-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17650.175262-0.70%0.1704-3.46%0.0525✓0.713.9M2022-08-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.855.8087-0.71%5.97+2.05%0.0148✗0.37894k2022-08-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.611-0.72%2.59-1.52%0.0409✓0.96726k2022-08-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.4616.4135-0.73%6.395-1.02%0.0091✓0.183.4M2022-08-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.824.7834-0.76%4.92+2.07%0.0141✗0.411.3M2022-08-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.3874.3534-0.77%4.198-4.31%0.0626✓0.771.1M2022-08-10
UNIUniswapEthereum8.4398.3741-0.77%9.22+9.25%0.0515✗1.319.9M2022-08-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5715.4499-0.77%16.17+3.85%0.0043✓1.212.6M2022-08-10
MOVRMoonriverBase17.038916.9058-0.78%17.7+3.88%0.0108✗1.0358k2022-08-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0447.9804-0.79%8.306+3.26%0.0099✗0.885.7M2022-08-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.5720.4066-0.79%21.15+2.82%0.0113✗0.722.6M2022-08-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8123.7812-0.81%4.199+10.15%0.0497✗1.615.2M2022-08-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51630.512063-0.82%0.537+4.01%0.0021✓1.33245k2022-08-10
APEApeCoinEthereum7.0246.9642-0.85%7.116+1.31%0.0260✓1.3911.9M2022-08-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.14511.1353-0.86%1.1836+3.36%0.0042✓1.1013k2022-08-10
QNTQuantEthereum125.81124.7241-0.86%126.64+0.66%0.0149✓0.884.2M2022-08-10
ELAElastosEthereum2.1012.0827-0.87%2.108+0.33%0.0230✓1.03261k2022-08-10
OPTIMOptimism1.6181.603-0.93%1.569-3.03%0.0882✓1.953.1M2022-08-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,188.0111,083.62-0.93%11,510.60+2.88%0.0078✓1.345.4M2022-08-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.436.0595-0.94%38.83+6.68%0.0270✗1.3813.5M2022-08-10
FLOWFlownative2.9972.9675-0.98%3.057+2.00%0.0143✓1.29587k2022-08-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.102850.101804-1.02%0.10427+1.38%0.0201✓1.291.6M2022-08-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.44530.440717-1.03%0.4951+11.18%0.0789✗1.1080k2022-08-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.08250.081568-1.13%0.08525+3.33%0.0178✗0.779072022-08-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13360.131278-1.74%0.1362+1.95%0.0077✓0.85203k2022-08-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.3538.5747-1.97%38.68-1.70%0.0388✓1.221.3M2022-08-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014790.001438-2.75%0.001521+2.81%0.0256✓0.881.3M2022-08-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.