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2022-08-02 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0015
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.74%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
38.9%
in alpha space · 53.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.72%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.6351.6073-1.70%1.993+21.90%0.2293✗1.982.1M2022-08-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.1720.8364-1.58%21.98+3.83%0.0596✗0.852.2M2022-08-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.1968.0737-1.49%8.087-1.33%0.0092✓1.062.4M2022-08-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.5936.0612-1.45%36.06-1.45%0.0099✓1.397.8M2022-08-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.33363.2866-1.41%3.3577+0.72%0.0278✗0.891.3M2022-08-03
ORCAOrcaSolana1.08221.0676-1.35%1.0027-7.35%0.0507✓1.67211k2022-08-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.038540.038021-1.35%0.03749-2.72%0.0035✓1.4713.4M2022-08-03
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.086480.08534-1.32%0.08121-6.09%0.0390✓1.48778k2022-08-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,752.2710,613.51-1.29%10,725.04-0.25%0.0206✗1.414.4M2022-08-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.7927.4379-1.27%27.64-0.54%0.0172✗1.38721k2022-08-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.17.9978-1.26%10.73+32.47%0.3037✗1.37297k2022-08-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2181.2041-1.14%1.125-7.64%0.0630✓0.681.7M2022-08-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.516.4361-1.13%6.43-1.23%0.0035✓0.621.3M2022-08-03
HIVEHivenative0.59420.588133-1.02%0.596+0.30%0.0217✗1.171.5M2022-08-03
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0171.9999-0.85%2.024+0.35%0.0221✗1.42247k2022-08-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.735.6816-0.84%5.82+1.57%0.0284✗0.60809k2022-08-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.99920.991027-0.82%1.0178+1.86%0.0349✗1.151.1M2022-08-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.165.1182-0.81%4.981-3.47%0.0233✓0.542.2M2022-08-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.04673.0227-0.79%3.2654+7.18%0.0828✗0.771.0M2022-08-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.13590.13486-0.77%0.1338-1.55%0.0000✓1.10712k2022-08-03
QNTQuantEthereum103.43102.6856-0.72%105.18+1.69%0.0312✗1.004.2M2022-08-03
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8160.810155-0.72%0.78-4.41%0.0273✓1.484,1662022-08-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009280.009219-0.65%0.00868-6.47%0.0512✓1.26375k2022-08-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2852.2702-0.65%2.246-1.71%0.0007✓1.40185k2022-08-03
METISMetisEthereum33.2132.9998-0.63%35.3+6.29%0.0813✗1.94229k2022-08-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8013.7776-0.62%3.71-2.39%0.0057✓1.735.0M2022-08-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5264.4994-0.59%4.478-1.06%0.0006✓0.581.3M2022-08-03
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0680.067619-0.56%0.0682+0.29%0.0154✗0.95229k2022-08-03
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.5161-0.56%0.517-0.39%0.0100✗1.1513k2022-08-03
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54740.544394-0.55%0.5411-1.15%0.0040✓1.40234k2022-08-03
XVSVenusEthereum6.576.534-0.55%6.43-2.13%0.0060✓1.391.2M2022-08-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0214840.021368-0.54%0.019949-7.14%0.0653✓0.48165k2022-08-03
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100130.000099594-0.54%0.00009997-0.16%0.0175✗1.91552k2022-08-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9513.9303-0.52%3.905-1.16%0.0001✓0.89922k2022-08-03
WOOWOOEthereum0.2250.22382-0.52%0.207-8.00%0.0686✓1.331,6972022-08-03
API3Api3Ethereum1.9661.9558-0.52%1.997+1.58%0.0300✗1.28637k2022-08-03
STEEMSteemnative0.25020.248917-0.51%0.2495-0.28%0.0103✗1.11768k2022-08-03
ELAElastosEthereum1.7961.7869-0.51%1.799+0.17%0.0113✗0.64189k2022-08-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6080.605006-0.49%0.633+4.11%0.0552✗1.3988k2022-08-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031440.031286-0.49%0.03127-0.54%0.0083✗1.2314k2022-08-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.33591.3294-0.49%1.334-0.14%0.0140✗1.466.4M2022-08-03
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13780.137128-0.49%0.1349-2.10%0.0073✓1.2761k2022-08-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05310.052841-0.49%0.0546+2.82%0.0418✗1.26269k2022-08-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.39260.390712-0.48%0.40592+3.39%0.0482✗1.39583k2022-08-03
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.5426-0.48%1.52-1.94%0.0130✓0.24250k2022-08-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086760.086348-0.48%0.08771+1.09%0.0254✗1.3629k2022-08-03
DODODODOEthereum0.17160.170785-0.48%0.1708-0.47%0.0090✗1.233.5M2022-08-03
RADRadworksEthereum2.462.4486-0.46%2.47+0.41%0.0164✗1.07327k2022-08-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08570.085309-0.46%0.0861+0.47%0.0175✗1.15132k2022-08-03
COMPCompoundEthereum56.3356.0733-0.46%55.76-1.01%0.0043✓1.3833k2022-08-03
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6386.6079-0.45%7.168+7.98%0.0938✗1.7311.9M2022-08-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.055.0271-0.45%5.08+0.59%0.0155✗0.711.3M2022-08-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8833.8654-0.45%3.826-1.47%0.0061✓0.581.9M2022-08-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14350.142854-0.45%0.1448+0.91%0.0204✗0.963.5M2022-08-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05810.057841-0.45%0.0585+0.69%0.0205✗1.28799k2022-08-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8230.819378-0.44%0.816-0.85%0.0083✗1.734.8M2022-08-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.549.4984-0.44%9.55+0.10%0.0091✗0.521.7M2022-08-03
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7162.7042-0.43%2.695-0.77%0.0068✗1.4250k2022-08-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016640.001657-0.43%0.001704+2.40%0.0354✗1.029,4962022-08-03
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.07770.077369-0.43%0.07828+0.75%0.0170✗0.731,0512022-08-03
XVGVergenative0.003710.003694-0.42%0.00373+0.54%0.0189✗1.30559k2022-08-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.722.7085-0.42%2.81+3.31%0.0477✗1.52198k2022-08-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.16740.166704-0.42%0.1552-7.29%0.0627✓1.23101k2022-08-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.80832.7967-0.41%2.8485+1.43%0.0253✗0.971.1M2022-08-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.9414.8782-0.41%16.44+10.04%0.1101✗1.432.0M2022-08-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04630.046113-0.40%0.0458-1.08%0.0027✓1.338,6502022-08-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.036.0058-0.40%5.99-0.66%0.0026✓0.73689k2022-08-03
SCSiacoinnative0.004620.004601-0.40%0.00456-1.30%0.0003✓1.31112k2022-08-03
XEMNEMnative0.0486950.048503-0.40%0.049291+1.22%0.0247✗1.1937k2022-08-03
UNIUniswapEthereum8.2488.2155-0.39%8.907+7.99%0.0907✗1.389.2M2022-08-03
FTTFTXEthereum29.429.2844-0.39%29.1-1.02%0.0005✓0.9610.8M2022-08-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97320.96938-0.39%1.0343+6.28%0.0712✗0.883.6M2022-08-03
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.62.5899-0.39%2.672+2.77%0.0438✗1.7595k2022-08-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15960.158991-0.38%0.1588-0.50%0.0077✗1.24508k2022-08-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156280.015569-0.38%0.015785+1.00%0.0201✗0.882.1M2022-08-03
QTUMQtumQtum3.96813.9535-0.37%3.8986-1.75%0.0062✓1.0845k2022-08-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031570.003145-0.37%0.003141-0.51%0.0058✗1.001.0M2022-08-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0210.9793-0.37%10.82-1.81%0.0060✓1.20250k2022-08-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0440.043839-0.37%0.04345-1.25%0.0021✓0.952,3002022-08-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3180.316843-0.36%0.3182+0.06%0.0124✗1.1477k2022-08-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9853.9706-0.36%3.978-0.18%0.0069✗0.711.5M2022-08-03
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7420.739327-0.36%0.744+0.27%0.0149✗1.20806k2022-08-03
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.183.1686-0.36%3.17-0.31%0.0040✗0.4994k2022-08-03
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.260861-0.36%0.2612-0.23%0.0014✓0.0128k2022-08-03
STORJStorjEthereum0.659710.657402-0.35%0.64899-1.62%0.0021✓1.5188k2022-08-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0665290.066297-0.35%0.0662-0.49%0.0068✗1.151.7M2022-08-03
BANDBandEthereum1.6351.6293-0.35%1.689+3.30%0.0463✗1.44337k2022-08-03
FORTFortaEthereum0.30390.302852-0.34%0.3183+4.74%0.0578✗1.12300k2022-08-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.44620.444669-0.34%0.4399-1.41%0.0002✓1.47278k2022-08-03
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.03140.031293-0.34%0.0308-1.91%0.0065✓1.301,2932022-08-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011750.000011711-0.34%0.00001183+0.68%0.0190✗1.23986k2022-08-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2120.211296-0.33%0.213+0.47%0.0189✗1.51821k2022-08-03
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.189170.18855-0.33%0.18804-0.60%0.0139✗2.311,2222022-08-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.2217.1638-0.33%17.17-0.29%0.0099✗1.321.3M2022-08-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.1631.1592-0.33%1.1385-2.11%0.0105✓1.0643k2022-08-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05691.0535-0.33%1.0372-1.87%0.0082✓1.0313k2022-08-03
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09360.093296-0.32%0.0972+3.85%0.0496✗1.206,7862022-08-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12380.123399-0.32%0.1288+4.04%0.0500✗0.994,9522022-08-03
XMRMoneroMonero156.99156.4824-0.32%157.11+0.08%0.0119✗1.101.3M2022-08-03
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022660.002259-0.32%0.002255-0.49%0.0055✗1.001.6M2022-08-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.397950.396685-0.32%0.39422-0.94%0.0023✓1.19118k2022-08-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31980.318792-0.32%0.32+0.06%0.0122✗1.173.3M2022-08-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1151360.114776-0.31%0.114184-0.83%0.0019✓0.996.9M2022-08-03
MOVRMoonriverBase14.577414.5321-0.31%14.6221+0.31%0.0145✗1.1668k2022-08-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03960.039477-0.31%0.0413+4.29%0.0540✗1.2474k2022-08-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,989.4022,918.97-0.31%22,825.00-0.72%0.0031✓1.00414.2M2022-08-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021540.021475-0.30%0.0213-1.11%0.0009✓1.01159k2022-08-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7440.74174-0.30%0.767+3.09%0.0405✗0.97377k2022-08-03
IMXImmutableEthereum1.04511.0419-0.30%1.0834+3.66%0.0490✗1.391.4M2022-08-03
ADACardanoCardano0.49660.495103-0.30%0.5009+0.87%0.0204✗1.2241.9M2022-08-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11680.116452-0.30%0.118+1.03%0.0231✗1.382.8M2022-08-03
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.67e-7-0.30%9.60e-7-1.03%0.0014✓0.836.6M2022-08-03
DIADIAEthereum0.455270.453932-0.29%0.46564+2.28%0.0310✗0.7863k2022-08-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61320.611398-0.29%0.6036-1.57%0.0046✓1.14664k2022-08-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3641.36-0.29%1.359-0.37%0.0083✗1.272.5M2022-08-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.48941.4852-0.28%1.4589-2.05%0.0076✓1.44675k2022-08-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin58.0957.9274-0.28%57.78-0.53%0.0057✗1.1513.7M2022-08-03
GMTGMTEthereum0.9080.90546-0.28%0.905-0.33%0.0124✗1.79513k2022-08-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.049460.049322-0.28%0.04834-2.26%0.0137✓0.9015k2022-08-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1797.1591-0.28%7.285+1.48%0.0264✗1.2618.3M2022-08-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum87.9779-0.28%7.861-1.74%0.0059✓1.236.9M2022-08-03
XECeCashnative0.000042820.000042702-0.28%0.00004244-0.89%0.0021✓1.151.9M2022-08-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.53960.538111-0.28%0.5453+1.06%0.0214✗1.13335k2022-08-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.929.8927-0.28%10.165+2.47%0.0369✗1.3614.4M2022-08-03
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001010.000001007-0.27%9.80e-7-2.97%0.0202✓1.0025k2022-08-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.571.5658-0.27%1.6+1.91%0.0312✗1.33115k2022-08-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0243720.024307-0.27%0.023056-5.40%0.0459✓0.9710k2022-08-03
GALAGALAEthereum0.05950.059342-0.27%0.0583-2.02%0.0076✓1.40161k2022-08-03
C98Coin98Ethereum0.48410.482831-0.26%0.4744-2.00%0.0096✓1.1247k2022-08-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07450.074306-0.26%0.0773+3.76%0.0473✗1.08679k2022-08-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.77133.4233-0.26%133.7-0.05%0.0106✗1.194.3M2022-08-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.16892.1633-0.26%2.1759+0.32%0.0145✗1.2132k2022-08-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3280.327158-0.26%0.332+1.22%0.0221✗1.031.1M2022-08-03
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.271.2668-0.25%1.259-0.87%0.0028✗1.241.2M2022-08-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.8522.7919-0.25%23.04+0.83%0.0222✗1.5827.5M2022-08-03
MANADecentralandEthereum0.959430.956997-0.25%0.96+0.06%0.0125✗1.31532k2022-08-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32670.325877-0.25%0.3267+0.00%0.0107✗1.148.0M2022-08-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.11340.113114-0.25%0.1109-2.20%0.0106✓1.27491k2022-08-03
ZENHorizenBase17.1717.127-0.25%17.15-0.12%0.0111✗1.36116k2022-08-03
NANOnanopayBase1.02351.021-0.25%1.0243+0.08%0.0100✗0.9558k2022-08-03
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2020.201508-0.24%0.1999-1.04%0.0020✓1.401,1742022-08-03
KSMKusamaHydration60.9560.8026-0.24%61.31+0.59%0.0167✗1.17372k2022-08-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009650.009627-0.24%0.00976+1.14%0.0204✗0.935.0M2022-08-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.16260.162209-0.24%0.16304+0.27%0.0161✗1.53212k2022-08-03
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7740.772151-0.24%0.79+2.07%0.0315✗1.21218k2022-08-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25020.249605-0.24%0.2461-1.64%0.0053✓1.23110k2022-08-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11550.115227-0.24%0.116+0.43%0.0144✗1.08370k2022-08-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0730.072829-0.23%0.062-15.07%0.1556✓0.75159k2022-08-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010850.001082-0.23%0.001087+0.16%0.0129✗1.251.4M2022-08-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.008390.008371-0.23%0.00819-2.38%0.0154✓0.901.6M2022-08-03
ETHEthereumEthereum1,631.281,627.60-0.23%1,618.82-0.76%0.0036✗1.26396.1M2022-08-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.9287.9104-0.22%8.003+0.95%0.0204✗1.2310.4M2022-08-03
ZECZcashZcash61.4961.3539-0.22%61.85+0.59%0.0169✗1.231.6M2022-08-03
STXStacksnative0.43980.438827-0.22%0.4663+6.03%0.0696✗1.24808k2022-08-03
UMAUMAEthereum2.9342.9275-0.22%2.964+1.02%0.0204✗1.12619k2022-08-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7090.707436-0.22%0.686-3.24%0.0202✓1.4797k2022-08-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067160.006701-0.22%0.006698-0.27%0.0033✗0.5338k2022-08-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.95360.8243-0.21%60.311-1.05%0.0025✓0.83344k2022-08-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062040.006191-0.21%0.006208+0.06%0.0090✗0.879,1592022-08-03
XYMSymbolnative0.056050.055934-0.21%0.055731-0.57%0.0006✓0.5922k2022-08-03
FISStafiEthereum0.3810.380216-0.21%–pending––0.941722022-08-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4192.414-0.21%2.475+2.32%0.0315✗0.91104k2022-08-03
SUSHISushiEthereum1.361.3573-0.20%1.43+5.15%0.0624✗1.421.1M2022-08-03
KCSKuCoinnative9.9389.9188-0.19%10.028+0.91%0.0188✗1.092.0M2022-08-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017940.017907-0.19%0.01768-1.45%0.0068✓0.83207k2022-08-03
DASHDashDash48.5348.4396-0.19%48.77+0.49%0.0147✗1.10574k2022-08-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,023.6022,982.21-0.18%22,844.10-0.78%0.0010✓0.9814k2022-08-03
SOLSolanaSolana39.8139.7399-0.18%38.55-3.17%0.0207✓1.3681.1M2022-08-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.340610.340038-0.17%0.335893-1.38%0.0031✓1.271.1M2022-08-03
GLMGolemEthereum0.26360.263157-0.17%0.2598-1.44%0.0052✓1.0767k2022-08-03
FLOWFlownative1.8741.8709-0.16%1.84-1.81%0.0075✓1.28430k2022-08-03
AAVEAaveEthereum93.4293.2798-0.15%94.97+1.66%0.0298✗1.6510.2M2022-08-03
XTZTezosTezos1.71391.7116-0.13%1.7204+0.38%0.0141✗1.26510k2022-08-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23080.230515-0.12%0.2311+0.13%0.0131✗1.4797k2022-08-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.39e-73.39e-7-0.12%3.49e-7+2.95%0.0372✗0.97178k2022-08-03
UOSUltraEthereum0.302050.3017-0.12%0.30931+2.40%0.0331✗1.14398k2022-08-03
PROPropyEthereum0.760.759356-0.08%0.74-2.63%0.0216✓0.5883k2022-08-03
TRXTRONTron0.068310.068272-0.06%0.067799-0.75%0.0017✓0.73369k2022-08-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.06985.0673-0.05%5.0151-1.08%0.0088✓0.21214k2022-08-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40290.402701-0.05%0.4022-0.17%0.0082✗1.31127k2022-08-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.06120.061184-0.03%0.0587-4.08%0.0313✓1.42350k2022-08-03
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089960.089987+0.03%0.08801-2.17%0.0204✗0.261.1M2022-08-03
GTGateEthereum4.34914.3522+0.07%4.5094+3.69%0.0407✓0.73920k2022-08-03
BORABORAKlay Token0.348320.348789+0.13%0.34922+0.26%0.0106✓1.3113k2022-08-03
GITCOINGITCOIN2.74822.7531+0.18%2.7381-0.37%0.0057✓1.5612k2022-08-03
CBKCobakEthereum1.1261.1281+0.18%1.1056-1.81%0.0122✗1.1011k2022-08-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.