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2022-08-01 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0483
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.56%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
62.2%
in alpha space · 75.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.22%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.346089+0.17%0.34832+0.82%0.0226✓1.3112k2022-08-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.8626+0.13%2.7482-3.88%0.0216✗1.5612k2022-08-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.023651+0.13%0.024372+3.18%0.0421✓0.989,6292022-08-02
GTGateEthereum4.41644.4196+0.07%4.3491-1.52%0.0071✗0.73916k2022-08-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.06023+0.05%0.0612+1.66%0.0332✓1.40339k2022-08-02
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.092352-0.01%0.08996-2.60%0.0232✓0.241.1M2022-08-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.1886-0.03%5.0698-2.32%0.0206✓0.21210k2022-08-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.070479-0.03%0.0745+5.67%0.0687✗1.08567k2022-08-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.29e-7-0.05%3.39e-7+2.97%0.0415✗0.96178k2022-08-02
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.1985-0.05%1.126-6.10%0.0489✓1.1010k2022-08-02
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.069932-0.06%0.06831-2.38%0.0139✓0.78373k2022-08-02
PROPropyEthereum0.780.779428-0.07%0.76-2.56%0.0178✓0.6179k2022-08-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.064049-0.08%0.073+13.88%0.1408✗0.81155k2022-08-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.423562-0.08%0.4029-4.95%0.0337✓1.33127k2022-08-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.230505-0.08%0.2308+0.04%0.0195✗1.4897k2022-08-02
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.726209-0.11%0.742+2.06%0.0364✗1.21806k2022-08-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.308775-0.11%0.30205-2.29%0.0076✓1.17398k2022-08-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.017874-0.15%0.01794+0.22%0.0133✗0.78229k2022-08-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006639-0.16%0.006716+0.99%0.0181✗0.5438k2022-08-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.431-0.16%2.419-0.66%0.0064✗0.92105k2022-08-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7023,134.34-0.17%23,023.60-0.64%0.0073✗0.9814k2022-08-02
KCSKuCoinnative9.9639.9457-0.17%9.938-0.25%0.0126✗1.082.1M2022-08-02
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.58e-7-0.18%0.00000101+5.21%0.0649✗1.0025k2022-08-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.008405-0.18%0.00839-0.36%0.0095✗0.911.6M2022-08-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67660.5643-0.18%60.953+0.46%0.0168✗0.85345k2022-08-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.729603-0.19%0.709-3.01%0.0103✓1.4980k2022-08-02
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5896.3925-0.19%93.42-3.27%0.0109✓1.6610.2M2022-08-02
DASHDashDash49.7549.6528-0.20%48.53-2.45%0.0093✓1.11574k2022-08-02
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.8161-0.21%1.7139-5.82%0.0424✓1.26492k2022-08-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9534-0.22%2.934-0.88%0.0072✗1.12619k2022-08-02
SOLSolanaSolana41.6741.5768-0.22%39.81-4.46%0.0267✓1.3681.1M2022-08-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,627.16-0.22%1,631.28+0.03%0.0180✗1.26387.0M2022-08-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001094-0.23%0.001085-1.02%0.0078✗1.291.4M2022-08-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.057104-0.23%0.05605-2.07%0.0113✓0.6022k2022-08-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.006306-0.23%0.006204-1.84%0.0053✓0.909,1592022-08-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.4166-0.24%1.36-4.23%0.0231✓1.441.1M2022-08-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.276326-0.24%0.2636-4.84%0.0339✓1.0867k2022-08-02
ZECZcashZcash62.8762.7127-0.25%61.49-2.20%0.0043✓1.251.5M2022-08-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.790982-0.25%0.774-2.40%0.0065✓1.23218k2022-08-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.164974-0.26%0.1626-1.70%0.0045✗1.54212k2022-08-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.029931-0.26%0.0314+4.63%0.0640✗1.311,2932022-08-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.188.1583-0.26%7.928-3.08%0.0134✓1.2410.0M2022-08-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.115887-0.27%0.1134-2.41%0.0057✓1.30472k2022-08-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.014976-0.28%0.015628+4.07%0.0535✗0.881.6M2022-08-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.206425-0.28%0.202-2.42%0.0045✓1.401,1792022-08-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.495204-0.28%0.4841-2.52%0.0089✓1.1247k2022-08-02
NANOnanopayBase1.01851.0156-0.28%1.0235+0.49%0.0195✗0.9660k2022-08-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5923.5224-0.29%22.85-3.14%0.0094✓1.6027.5M2022-08-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.021498-0.29%0.02154-0.09%0.0147✗1.03159k2022-08-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.555789-0.29%0.5396-3.19%0.0155✓1.14341k2022-08-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.341394-0.29%0.3267-4.59%0.0300✓1.147.7M2022-08-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.3191-0.29%1.27-4.01%0.0227✓1.241.2M2022-08-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.120344-0.30%0.1155-4.31%0.0279✓1.07352k2022-08-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4759.2901-0.30%58.09-2.32%0.0062✓1.1613.6M2022-08-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.125118-0.30%0.1238-1.35%0.0016✓0.994,9522022-08-02
ZENHorizenBase18.1618.1048-0.30%17.17-5.45%0.0362✓1.37116k2022-08-02
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.67e-7-0.30%9.70e-7+0.00%0.0133✗0.836.4M2022-08-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87137.4493-0.31%133.77-2.97%0.0125✓1.194.3M2022-08-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.5699-0.31%1.4894-5.42%0.0350✓1.44589k2022-08-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8623,202.04-0.31%22,989.40-1.22%0.0031✓1.00414.2M2022-08-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.094804-0.31%0.0936-1.58%0.0020✓1.216,7862022-08-02
STXStacksnative0.46130.459863-0.31%0.4398-4.66%0.0293✓1.25778k2022-08-02
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.511202-0.31%0.4966-3.16%0.0136✓1.2541.9M2022-08-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1814.1346-0.32%14.94+5.36%0.0727✗1.411.9M2022-08-02
KSMKusamaHydration64.2364.0227-0.32%60.95-5.11%0.0346✓1.18354k2022-08-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.617596-0.32%0.6132-1.03%0.0071✗1.16642k2022-08-02
FLOWFlownative2.0252.0184-0.32%1.874-7.46%0.0586✓1.27415k2022-08-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.117921-0.32%0.115136-2.68%0.0117✓0.996.8M2022-08-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.39910.365-0.33%9.92-4.61%0.0270✓1.3714.4M2022-08-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.361577-0.33%0.34061-6.11%0.0438✓1.301.0M2022-08-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.262236-0.33%0.2502-4.90%0.0319✓1.23101k2022-08-02
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134315.0842-0.33%14.5774-3.68%0.0197✓1.1868k2022-08-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.304877-0.33%0.3039-0.65%0.0106✗1.12300k2022-08-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.4182-0.34%1.364-4.15%0.0234✓1.272.5M2022-08-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.5564-0.34%2.6+1.36%0.0385✗1.7595k2022-08-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.9207-0.34%3.985+1.30%0.0251✗0.721.4M2022-08-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.951773-0.34%0.908-4.92%0.0253✓1.77513k2022-08-02
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.260915-0.34%0.2618+0.00%0.0035✗0.0128k2022-08-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.2604-0.34%2.1689-4.37%0.0261✓1.2329k2022-08-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.010175-0.34%0.00965-5.48%0.0411✓0.974.7M2022-08-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.548-0.34%7.179-5.22%0.0346✓1.2616.9M2022-08-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.769339-0.34%0.744-3.63%0.0214✓0.99377k2022-08-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.04602-0.35%0.044-4.72%0.0331✓0.962,3002022-08-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.935554-0.35%0.9732+3.66%0.0505✗0.903.2M2022-08-02
XECeCashnative0.000045140.000044982-0.35%0.00004282-5.14%0.0350✓1.161.9M2022-08-02
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.00242-0.35%0.002266-6.71%0.0537✓1.001.8M2022-08-02
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01631.0127-0.35%0.95943-5.60%0.0378✓1.32525k2022-08-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.191817-0.35%0.18917-1.73%0.0146✗2.311,2222022-08-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.220208-0.36%0.212-4.07%0.0194✓1.51821k2022-08-02
XMRMoneroMonero160.69160.1093-0.36%156.99-2.30%0.0060✓1.111.3M2022-08-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.068471-0.36%0.066529-3.19%0.0147✓1.151.7M2022-08-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.0515-0.37%0.04946-4.31%0.0293✓0.9015k2022-08-02
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.485337-0.37%0.45527-6.54%0.0543✓0.7863k2022-08-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.000011925-0.37%0.00001175-1.84%0.0003✓1.23986k2022-08-02
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.0748-0.38%1.0451-3.13%0.0106✓1.411.4M2022-08-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.333722-0.38%0.328-2.09%0.0046✓1.03959k2022-08-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8817.8115-0.38%17.22-3.69%0.0172✓1.351.3M2022-08-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07791.0738-0.39%1.0569-1.95%0.0032✓1.0313k2022-08-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.417734-0.39%0.39795-5.11%0.0336✓1.21118k2022-08-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.348.3072-0.39%8-4.08%0.0224✓1.246.8M2022-08-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.083855-0.40%0.08676+3.05%0.0506✗1.3429k2022-08-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.003243-0.40%0.003157-3.04%0.0144✓1.021.0M2022-08-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.322499-0.40%0.318-1.79%0.0000✓1.1576k2022-08-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.334639-0.41%0.3198-4.82%0.0308✓1.183.1M2022-08-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.16403-0.41%0.1674+1.64%0.0356✗1.2494k2022-08-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.123092-0.41%0.1168-5.50%0.0355✓1.382.8M2022-08-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.7853-0.41%2.8083+0.41%0.0202✗0.981.0M2022-08-02
XVGVergenative0.003750.003734-0.41%0.00371-1.07%0.0095✗1.31559k2022-08-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.00169-0.41%0.001664-1.94%0.0029✓1.0211k2022-08-02
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.7108-0.42%1.635-4.83%0.0275✓1.45327k2022-08-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.078651-0.42%0.0777-1.62%0.0032✓0.731,1722022-08-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.469007-0.42%0.4462-5.27%0.0318✓1.47273k2022-08-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.019912-0.43%0.021484+7.43%0.0823✗0.51165k2022-08-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.171255-0.43%0.1596-7.21%0.0551✓1.25491k2022-08-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.085427-0.43%0.0857-0.12%0.0177✗1.18137k2022-08-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.3004-0.44%1.3359+2.27%0.0454✗1.515.6M2022-08-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.3152-0.45%3.18-4.50%0.0356✓0.4994k2022-08-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.048084-0.45%0.0463-4.14%0.0213✓1.347,6872022-08-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.6227-0.45%1.57-3.68%0.0162✓1.37114k2022-08-02
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.051214-0.45%0.048695-5.35%0.0359✓1.1938k2022-08-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.041113-0.45%0.0396-4.12%0.0224✓1.2371k2022-08-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.3441-0.46%4.526+3.71%0.0482✗0.581.2M2022-08-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2511.1986-0.46%11.02-2.04%0.0011✓1.21243k2022-08-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.5885-0.46%3.801+5.44%0.0788✗1.735.0M2022-08-02
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.6135-0.46%6.638-0.09%0.0250✗1.7311.3M2022-08-02
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3658.3265-0.46%8.248-1.40%0.0078✗1.408.5M2022-08-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.2403-0.46%1.163-6.66%0.0512✓1.0643k2022-08-02
FTTFTXEthereum30.7530.6076-0.46%29.4-4.39%0.0285✓0.9510.2M2022-08-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.8312-0.46%3.883+0.88%0.0207✗0.591.7M2022-08-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.7864-0.48%1.796+0.06%0.0132✗0.64189k2022-08-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.5525-0.48%1.55-0.64%0.0011✓0.22268k2022-08-02
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004757-0.48%0.00462-3.35%0.0130✓1.32112k2022-08-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.05294-0.49%0.0531-0.19%0.0184✗1.25269k2022-08-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.209568-0.49%0.225+6.84%0.0878✗1.361,6972022-08-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.856765-0.49%0.823-4.41%0.0190✓1.735.0M2022-08-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.8579-0.49%3.951+1.91%0.0347✗0.88754k2022-08-02
COMPCompoundEthereum58.958.6096-0.49%56.33-4.36%0.0226✓1.3932k2022-08-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.16.0696-0.50%6.03-1.15%0.0016✓0.66623k2022-08-02
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.3781-0.50%2.46+2.93%0.0470✗1.07301k2022-08-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.8804-0.51%2.017+6.72%0.0877✗1.42234k2022-08-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.707944-0.51%0.65971-7.29%0.0520✓1.5188k2022-08-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.031876-0.51%0.03144-1.87%0.0015✓1.2414k2022-08-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.064467-0.51%0.0595-8.18%0.0625✓1.44154k2022-08-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.516285-0.52%0.519+0.00%0.0193✗1.1513k2022-08-02
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.1243-0.53%3.9681-4.29%0.0252✓1.0939k2022-08-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.067042-0.53%0.068+0.89%0.0260✗0.96229k2022-08-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.410604-0.53%0.3926-4.89%0.0277✓1.39583k2022-08-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.075.0429-0.54%5.05-0.39%0.0101✗0.711.2M2022-08-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.060868-0.54%0.0581-5.07%0.0305✓1.30799k2022-08-02
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.537157-0.54%0.5474+1.35%0.0363✗1.41234k2022-08-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.8443-0.55%2.72-4.90%0.0260✓1.52192k2022-08-02
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.176614-0.56%0.1716-3.38%0.0134✓1.263.5M2022-08-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.9305-0.56%2.716-7.84%0.0585✓1.4349k2022-08-02
API3Api3Ethereum2.0222.0104-0.57%1.966-2.77%0.0066✓1.28637k2022-08-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.153213-0.58%0.1435-6.88%0.0533✓0.993.5M2022-08-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.7913-0.60%9.54-3.15%0.0196✓0.521.7M2022-08-02
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.471-0.60%6.57+0.92%0.0324✗1.401.1M2022-08-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.642064-0.61%0.608-5.88%0.0373✓1.4088k2022-08-02
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.00010414-0.62%0.00010013-4.45%0.0154✓1.94592k2022-08-02
METISMetisEthereum33.6233.4061-0.64%33.21-1.22%0.0180✗1.94229k2022-08-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.9262-0.64%3.0467+3.45%0.0499✗0.77978k2022-08-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.8867-0.66%5.16+4.90%0.0612✗0.552.0M2022-08-02
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.263822-0.71%0.2502-5.83%0.0391✓1.13768k2022-08-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.142781-0.71%0.1378-4.17%0.0197✓1.2859k2022-08-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.0721-0.73%1.218+12.78%0.1362✗0.701.5M2022-08-02
QNTQuantEthereum103.46102.6925-0.74%103.43-0.03%0.0196✗1.014.2M2022-08-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.009308-0.77%0.00928-1.07%0.0125✗1.26359k2022-08-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.3954-0.85%2.285-5.42%0.0298✓1.41177k2022-08-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03151.0225-0.88%0.9992-3.13%0.0087✓1.171.1M2022-08-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.822819-0.98%0.816-1.81%0.0100✗1.493,6872022-08-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.752-1.00%5.73-1.38%0.0037✓0.61732k2022-08-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.218.9821-1.14%21.17+10.26%0.1197✗0.862.2M2022-08-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.4557-1.14%6.51-0.31%0.0160✗0.621.2M2022-08-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.079538-1.19%0.08648+7.43%0.1021✗1.50773k2022-08-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.147604-1.20%0.1359-9.04%0.0690✓1.11698k2022-08-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum87.9013-1.23%8.1+1.25%0.0416✗1.37263k2022-08-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.036325-1.29%0.03854+4.73%0.0779✗1.5212.6M2022-08-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0234.5393-1.37%36.59+4.48%0.0750✗1.416.9M2022-08-02
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.1236-1.42%1.0822-5.05%0.0173✓1.65205k2022-08-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4428.0168-1.49%27.79-2.29%0.0090✓1.39641k2022-08-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.2343-1.55%3.3336+1.47%0.0412✗0.891.2M2022-08-02
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.4882-1.57%1.635+8.13%0.1185✗1.981.7M2022-08-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3211,396.06-1.85%10,752.27-7.40%0.0410✓1.404.2M2022-08-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.5999-2.01%8.196-6.61%0.0350✓1.062.4M2022-08-02
HIVEHivenative0.77450.752887-2.79%0.5942-23.28%0.2224✓1.171.4M2022-08-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.