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2022-07-30 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2573
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.14%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
38.2%
in alpha space · 57.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.45%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CBKCobakEthereum1.04951.0531+0.34%1.1203+6.74%0.0779✓1.109,9742022-07-31
BORABORAKlay Token0.317750.318673+0.29%0.32317+1.71%0.0332✓1.3111k2022-07-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0221980.022225+0.12%0.022614+1.87%0.0316✓0.989,2332022-07-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.28810.288408+0.11%0.3059+6.18%0.0755✓1.1475k2022-07-31
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8162.819+0.11%3.1688+12.53%0.1399✓1.5711k2022-07-31
GTGateEthereum4.44444.4484+0.09%4.4515+0.16%0.0113✓0.73947k2022-07-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.064137+0.06%0.0629-1.87%0.0009✓1.40339k2022-07-31
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.090580.090624+0.05%0.09625+6.26%0.0642✓0.27985k2022-07-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.05165.0539+0.05%5.0103-0.82%0.0056✗0.21210k2022-07-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3090.309012+0.00%0.342+10.68%0.1166✓1.04766k2022-07-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06710.067102+0.00%0.0678+1.04%0.0260✓1.08351k2022-07-31
PROPropyEthereum0.750.749935-0.01%0.76+1.33%0.0222✗0.6179k2022-07-31
TRXTRONTron0.0690340.06901-0.03%0.068934-0.14%0.0101✗0.77376k2022-07-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.14780.147716-0.06%0.1508+2.03%0.0388✗1.2488k2022-07-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.60e-73.60e-7-0.06%3.41e-7-5.21%0.0390✓0.95188k2022-07-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24350.243341-0.07%0.2499+2.63%0.0446✗1.23101k2022-07-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4672.4653-0.07%2.366-4.09%0.0277✓0.92105k2022-07-31
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08740.08734-0.07%0.0967+10.64%0.1195✗1.216,3652022-07-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23560.235409-0.08%0.2339-0.72%0.0152✗1.4892k2022-07-31
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7240.723382-0.09%0.71-1.93%0.0009✓1.22776k2022-07-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13140.13126-0.11%0.1356+3.20%0.0513✗1.2850k2022-07-31
UOSUltraEthereum0.32150.321126-0.12%0.31269-2.74%0.0096✓1.17400k2022-07-31
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.59e-7-0.12%9.70e-7+1.04%0.0262✗1.0024k2022-07-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.14191.1404-0.13%1.1785+3.21%0.0484✗1.0643k2022-07-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.10980.109644-0.14%0.1096-0.18%0.0185✗1.30491k2022-07-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0780.077885-0.15%0.0716-8.21%0.0721✓0.82148k2022-07-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018670.018642-0.15%0.01841-1.39%0.0015✓0.76254k2022-07-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.25650.256109-0.15%0.2633+2.65%0.0434✗1.0863k2022-07-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069720.006961-0.16%0.00677-2.90%0.0200✓0.5439k2022-07-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043020.04295-0.16%0.04419+2.72%0.0425✗0.961,9372022-07-31
KCSKuCoinnative10.18310.1663-0.16%10.05-1.31%0.0043✗1.082.6M2022-07-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010970.001095-0.17%0.001087-0.94%0.0110✗1.281.5M2022-07-31
FLOWFlownative1.9231.9194-0.19%1.924+0.05%0.0210✗1.27413k2022-07-31
DASHDashDash50.7150.6132-0.19%51.17+0.91%0.0271✗1.11574k2022-07-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04520.045112-0.19%0.048+6.19%0.0816✗1.347,5232022-07-31
AAVEAaveEthereum95.2695.0712-0.20%97.63+2.49%0.0508✗1.6610.0M2022-07-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43120.430345-0.20%0.4187-2.90%0.0081✓1.33104k2022-07-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.05570.055589-0.20%0.057+2.33%0.0460✗1.43140k2022-07-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11790.117664-0.20%0.1207+2.37%0.0410✗1.06337k2022-07-31
XTZTezosTezos1.81721.8135-0.20%1.7408-4.20%0.0226✓1.26492k2022-07-31
STXStacksnative0.43030.429417-0.21%0.4389+2.00%0.0400✗1.25613k2022-07-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.009010.008991-0.21%0.0091+1.00%0.0254✗0.921.6M2022-07-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009610.00959-0.21%0.01031+7.28%0.0865✗0.974.7M2022-07-31
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.193.1832-0.21%3.39+6.27%0.0702✗0.5077k2022-07-31
BTTCBTTC9.40e-79.38e-7-0.21%9.80e-7+4.26%0.0560✗0.836.0M2022-07-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,608.2024,554.33-0.22%23,400.00-4.91%0.0339✓0.9817k2022-07-31
SCSiacoinnative0.004370.00436-0.22%0.00456+4.35%0.0640✗1.32103k2022-07-31
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9533-0.23%2.87-3.04%0.0124✓1.11619k2022-07-31
XMRMoneroMonero155.85155.4962-0.23%155.01-0.54%0.0130✗1.101.3M2022-07-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029780.029711-0.23%0.03029+1.71%0.0374✗1.2414k2022-07-31
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0023420.002336-0.24%0.002497+6.62%0.0811✗1.001.8M2022-07-31
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.791059-0.24%0.773-2.52%0.0051✓1.23210k2022-07-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3380.337166-0.25%0.3361-0.56%0.0133✗1.137.7M2022-07-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.6862.5214-0.25%61.179-2.39%0.0094✓0.84386k2022-07-31
MOVRMoonriverBase14.700814.6624-0.26%14.8335+0.90%0.0288✗1.1870k2022-07-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.6843.6741-0.27%3.71+0.71%0.0203✗0.721.1M2022-07-31
ZENHorizenBase17.7217.6719-0.27%18.95+6.94%0.0899✗1.37108k2022-07-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047250.047119-0.28%0.04906+3.83%0.0535✗0.9015k2022-07-31
KSMKusamaHydration63.162.9253-0.28%63.8+1.11%0.0311✗1.19257k2022-07-31
ETHEthereumEthereum1,698.011,693.18-0.28%1,679.31-1.10%0.0101✗1.26387.0M2022-07-31
SOLSolanaSolana43.8443.714-0.29%42.38-3.33%0.0112✓1.3681.8M2022-07-31
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3381.3341-0.29%1.308-2.24%0.0017✓1.241.2M2022-07-31
FORTFortaEthereum0.29690.296037-0.29%0.294-0.98%0.0096✗1.13309k2022-07-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,650.1323,581.22-0.29%23,307.44-1.45%0.0029✓1.00427.9M2022-07-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.641.6351-0.30%1.69+3.05%0.0530✗1.37114k2022-07-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.2128.1873-0.30%8.633+5.13%0.0711✗1.249.4M2022-07-31
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.260414-0.30%0.2612+0.00%0.0032✗0.0129k2022-07-31
XVGVergenative0.003630.003619-0.30%0.00371+2.20%0.0439✗1.31566k2022-07-31
XYMSymbolnative0.0578340.057659-0.30%0.057068-1.32%0.0015✓0.6022k2022-07-31
C98Coin98Ethereum0.5070.50546-0.30%0.5044-0.51%0.0143✗1.1245k2022-07-31
SUSHISushiEthereum1.491.4854-0.31%1.44-3.36%0.0101✓1.441.1M2022-07-31
STORJStorjEthereum0.676430.674333-0.31%0.68545+1.33%0.0384✗1.5181k2022-07-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12710.126706-0.31%0.1284+1.02%0.0277✗0.995,2722022-07-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031720.003162-0.31%0.003129-1.36%0.0043✗1.01999k2022-07-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31650.315507-0.31%0.3175+0.32%0.0236✗1.192.9M2022-07-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.2524.1736-0.32%23.75-2.06%0.0056✗1.6027.5M2022-07-31
GMTGMTEthereum0.9760.972904-0.32%0.955-2.15%0.0072✗1.77513k2022-07-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.405530.404241-0.32%0.40065-1.20%0.0087✗1.21118k2022-07-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.570.568185-0.32%0.5627-1.28%0.0069✗1.14350k2022-07-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1196680.119286-0.32%0.117624-1.71%0.0005✓0.996.8M2022-07-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02150.021431-0.32%0.02121-1.35%0.0047✗1.03149k2022-07-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.215303-0.32%0.214-0.93%0.0160✗1.51786k2022-07-31
XECeCashnative0.000044180.000044037-0.32%0.00004384-0.77%0.0124✗1.161.9M2022-07-31
ADACardanoCardano0.52670.524982-0.33%0.5165-1.94%0.0019✓1.2543.2M2022-07-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59140.589465-0.33%0.6248+5.65%0.0751✗1.16624k2022-07-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3781.3735-0.33%1.38+0.15%0.0234✗1.282.4M2022-07-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.4760.2704-0.33%59.76-1.17%0.0084✗1.1613.5M2022-07-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011930.000011891-0.33%0.00001172-1.76%0.0035✗1.23951k2022-07-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156130.015561-0.33%0.015954+2.18%0.0378✗0.881.2M2022-07-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03850.038371-0.34%0.0386+0.26%0.0237✗1.2268k2022-07-31
ZECZcashZcash65.1364.911-0.34%64.39-1.14%0.0102✗1.251.5M2022-07-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3487630.347583-0.34%0.388402+11.37%0.1301✗1.311.0M2022-07-31
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.029750.029646-0.35%0.03056+2.72%0.0495✗1.311,3342022-07-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7110.6722-0.35%10.357-3.30%0.0100✓1.3715.0M2022-07-31
XEMNEMnative0.049120.048946-0.35%0.049408+0.59%0.0268✗1.1935k2022-07-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061490.006127-0.35%0.006284+2.19%0.0383✗0.909,1592022-07-31
DIADIAEthereum0.461420.459777-0.36%0.462+0.13%0.0163✗0.7857k2022-07-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0695750.069327-0.36%0.06814-2.06%0.0006✓1.151.7M2022-07-31
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6272.6174-0.37%2.597-1.14%0.0178✗1.7692k2022-07-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95050.946969-0.37%0.9212-3.08%0.0145✓0.893.6M2022-07-31
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077850.077559-0.37%0.08091+3.93%0.0530✗0.741,1722022-07-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7660.763125-0.38%0.762-0.52%0.0129✗0.99360k2022-07-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.58661.5806-0.38%1.5422-2.80%0.0035✓1.44609k2022-07-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.081650.081339-0.38%0.0836+2.39%0.0471✗1.3528k2022-07-31
FISStafiEthereum0.43520.433524-0.39%0.3858-11.35%0.1035✓0.902142022-07-31
AVTAventusEthereum1.511.5041-0.39%1.54+1.99%0.0268✗0.22268k2022-07-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.25462.2457-0.40%2.1962-2.59%0.0043✓1.2324k2022-07-31
STEEMSteemnative0.25120.250205-0.40%0.2563+2.03%0.0406✗1.13681k2022-07-31
NANOnanopayBase1.01461.0105-0.40%1.0136-0.09%0.0171✗0.9658k2022-07-31
ELAElastosEthereum1.821.8127-0.40%1.793-1.48%0.0016✓0.64219k2022-07-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.534.5117-0.40%4.79+5.74%0.0703✗0.71912k2022-07-31
MANADecentralandEthereum1.00881.0047-0.40%0.97648-3.21%0.0093✓1.32431k2022-07-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.166140.165464-0.41%0.16605-0.05%0.0261✗1.55207k2022-07-31
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.192340.19155-0.41%0.19423+0.98%0.0477✗2.321,1512022-07-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16840.167675-0.43%0.1674-0.59%0.0165✗1.25446k2022-07-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8020.798481-0.44%0.8-0.25%0.0237✗1.4980k2022-07-31
HIVEHivenative0.52750.525158-0.44%0.5301+0.49%0.0263✗1.161.4M2022-07-31
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5050.502743-0.45%0.528+4.55%0.0658✗1.1513k2022-07-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05860.058337-0.45%0.0587+0.17%0.0252✗1.30787k2022-07-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016440.001637-0.45%0.001751+6.51%0.0826✗1.0216k2022-07-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash145.47144.8051-0.46%139.37-4.19%0.0209✓1.193.9M2022-07-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8237.7869-0.46%7.66-2.08%0.0020✓1.2616.2M2022-07-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.7614.6908-0.47%14.33-2.91%0.0041✓1.421.7M2022-07-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08930.088874-0.48%0.0884-1.01%0.0118✗1.18155k2022-07-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45870.456505-0.48%0.464+1.16%0.0378✗1.47242k2022-07-31
FTTFTXEthereum31.1130.9601-0.48%30.39-2.31%0.0047✓0.9510.8M2022-07-31
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21860.217545-0.48%0.207-5.31%0.0294✓1.391,0652022-07-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.244.2192-0.49%4.198-0.99%0.0035✓0.591.3M2022-07-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.7913.7722-0.50%3.811+0.53%0.0232✗0.89754k2022-07-31
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098120.000097627-0.50%0.00009807-0.05%0.0328✗1.94635k2022-07-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.71372.7-0.51%2.7236+0.36%0.0230✗0.981.0M2022-07-31
COMPCompoundEthereum58.2357.9345-0.51%57.04-2.04%0.0047✓1.3932k2022-07-31
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6976.6629-0.51%6.733+0.54%0.0358✗1.7311.0M2022-07-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14570.144947-0.52%0.1437-1.37%0.0057✗0.983.5M2022-07-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.035.004-0.52%5.07+0.80%0.0220✗0.61605k2022-07-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0208760.020768-0.52%0.021381+2.42%0.0367✗0.52167k2022-07-31
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.170095-0.53%0.1732+1.29%0.0364✗1.263.1M2022-07-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.12670.126008-0.55%0.1219-3.79%0.0171✓1.10617k2022-07-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05350.053202-0.56%0.0542+1.31%0.0369✗1.26263k2022-07-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.35861.3509-0.57%1.3179-3.00%0.0028✓1.506.4M2022-07-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6473.6262-0.57%3.563-2.30%0.0076✗1.734.3M2022-07-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11121.1048-0.58%1.0792-2.89%0.0084✓1.0313k2022-07-31
BANDBandEthereum1.7951.7846-0.58%1.681-6.35%0.0387✓1.45316k2022-07-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2788.2294-0.59%8.978+8.46%0.1053✗1.255.9M2022-07-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.431880.42932-0.59%0.42666-1.21%0.0141✗1.39583k2022-07-31
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97430.96843-0.60%0.9266-4.90%0.0203✓1.64202k2022-07-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.1219.0021-0.62%18.06-5.54%0.0312✓1.341.3M2022-07-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.645.6051-0.62%5.68+0.71%0.0229✗0.66554k2022-07-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0720.071553-0.62%0.0669-7.08%0.0533✓0.96183k2022-07-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.842-0.63%3.2+11.89%0.1409✗1.52192k2022-07-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8042.7861-0.64%2.873+2.46%0.0515✗1.4243k2022-07-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7493.7251-0.64%3.679-1.87%0.0038✓0.591.5M2022-07-31
API3Api3Ethereum1.9311.9185-0.65%1.948+0.88%0.0338✗1.27637k2022-07-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6270.622897-0.65%0.614-2.07%0.0060✓1.4086k2022-07-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.159.0891-0.67%9.1-0.55%0.0089✗0.531.2M2022-07-31
UNIUniswapEthereum8.788.7188-0.70%8.327-5.16%0.0256✓1.407.7M2022-07-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13190.130974-0.70%0.128-2.96%0.0029✓1.372.5M2022-07-31
METISMetisEthereum34.4934.2438-0.71%34.61+0.35%0.0391✗1.95213k2022-07-31
RADRadworksEthereum2.412.3927-0.72%2.59+7.47%0.0950✗1.08207k2022-07-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.840.833687-0.75%0.875+4.17%0.0701✗1.493,1392022-07-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3282.3103-0.76%2.503+7.52%0.1008✗1.42169k2022-07-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.22930.227535-0.77%0.227-1.00%0.0176✗1.371,5612022-07-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8840.877054-0.79%0.861-2.60%0.0067✓1.725.2M2022-07-31
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1871.1774-0.81%1.0822-8.83%0.0638✓1.401.4M2022-07-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.980.972021-0.81%0.9949+1.52%0.0403✗1.171.2M2022-07-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.1917.0485-0.82%21.07+22.57%0.2246✗0.882.2M2022-07-31
QNTQuantEthereum106.35105.4656-0.83%102.61-3.52%0.0127✓1.014.2M2022-07-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83142.8078-0.83%2.7752-1.98%0.0004✓0.77978k2022-07-31
QTUMQtumQtum4.32124.284-0.86%4.0689-5.84%0.0356✓1.0933k2022-07-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0591.0491-0.93%0.986-6.89%0.0519✓0.691.3M2022-07-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9661.9475-0.94%1.981+0.76%0.0379✗1.42234k2022-07-31
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5710.565575-0.95%0.565-1.05%0.0195✗1.40234k2022-07-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.5366-0.96%5.75+2.86%0.0468✗0.62956k2022-07-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.611.4884-0.96%11.52-0.69%0.0204✗1.21241k2022-07-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.033190.032822-1.11%0.03423+3.13%0.0643✗1.5311.5M2022-07-31
XVSVenusEthereum6.766.6828-1.14%6.38-5.62%0.0260✓1.391.0M2022-07-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.3195.2384-1.52%4.72-11.26%0.0962✓0.552.0M2022-07-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0347.9068-1.58%9.789+21.84%0.2292✗1.082.3M2022-07-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010270.010097-1.69%0.0096-6.52%0.0321✓1.26355k2022-07-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.08973.0317-1.88%3.0397-1.62%0.0157✓0.891.1M2022-07-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.067.8958-2.04%7.77-3.60%0.0038✓1.36256k2022-07-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.4838.6656-2.06%36.5-7.55%0.0371✓1.412.8M2022-07-31
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.084940.0831-2.17%0.08402-1.08%0.0329✗1.50768k2022-07-31
OPTIMOptimism1.8091.7627-2.56%1.583-12.49%0.0788✓1.971.3M2022-07-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,772.2011,453.14-2.71%10,863.90-7.72%0.0326✓1.394.0M2022-07-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.0331.1403-2.78%26.37-17.67%0.1461✓1.38563k2022-07-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.