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2022-07-29 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3529
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.35%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
45.4%
in alpha space · 54.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.56%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.088.7813-3.29%8.06-11.23%0.0780✓1.36256k2022-07-30
OPTIMOptimism1.8431.7833-3.24%1.809-1.84%0.0255✓1.971.1M2022-07-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011340.011008-2.92%0.01027-9.44%0.0623✓1.26355k2022-07-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.5339.5068-2.52%39.48-2.59%0.0073✓1.411.3M2022-07-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,870.2710,600.17-2.48%11,772.20+8.30%0.1127✗1.394.0M2022-07-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.3933.3116-2.40%3.0897-8.94%0.0643✓0.891.0M2022-07-30
XVSVenusEthereum7.647.4767-2.14%6.76-11.52%0.0929✓1.401.0M2022-07-30
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.079620.077986-2.05%0.08494+6.68%0.0939✗1.50768k2022-07-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.5212.313-1.65%11.6-7.35%0.0528✓1.22241k2022-07-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum23.4423.0709-1.57%32.03+36.65%0.3359✗1.38534k2022-07-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0532.023-1.46%1.966-4.24%0.0205✓1.43220k2022-07-30
QTUMQtumQtum4.664.5994-1.30%4.3212-7.27%0.0562✓1.0932k2022-07-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95162.9159-1.21%2.8314-4.07%0.0250✓0.77941k2022-07-30
RADRadworksEthereum2.622.5892-1.17%2.41-8.02%0.0656✓1.07175k2022-07-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.043.9969-1.07%3.647-9.73%0.0818✓1.743.8M2022-07-30
UNIUniswapEthereum9.0858.9921-1.02%8.78-3.36%0.0159✓1.407.0M2022-07-30
METISMetisEthereum36.7236.3512-1.00%34.49-6.07%0.0416✓1.93194k2022-07-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.545.4853-0.99%5.59+0.90%0.0224✗0.62786k2022-07-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.659.5575-0.96%9.15-5.18%0.0406✓0.521.0M2022-07-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8880.88009-0.89%0.884-0.45%0.0142✗1.735.2M2022-07-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3862.3652-0.87%2.328-2.43%0.0078✓1.42169k2022-07-30
QNTQuantEthereum106.29105.366-0.87%106.35+0.06%0.0150✗1.024.2M2022-07-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4117.2618-0.85%17.19-1.26%0.0008✓0.882.4M2022-07-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8482.8249-0.81%2.804-1.54%0.0006✓1.4243k2022-07-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.9840.976055-0.81%0.98-0.41%0.0107✗1.171.2M2022-07-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.029960.029724-0.79%0.03319+10.78%0.1190✗1.5311.5M2022-07-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8613.8312-0.77%3.749-2.90%0.0183✓0.601.5M2022-07-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.955.9047-0.76%5.64-5.21%0.0421✓0.66554k2022-07-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42951.4189-0.74%1.3586-4.96%0.0349✓1.506.1M2022-07-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.972.9482-0.73%2.86-3.70%0.0217✓1.53192k2022-07-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8330.826975-0.72%0.84+0.84%0.0240✗1.482,9182022-07-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83212.8118-0.72%2.7137-4.18%0.0300✓0.98917k2022-07-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.088030.087411-0.70%0.08165-7.25%0.0606✓1.3428k2022-07-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05480.054416-0.70%0.0535-2.37%0.0100✓1.24263k2022-07-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12730.126415-0.69%0.1319+3.61%0.0503✗1.372.5M2022-07-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4394.4087-0.68%4.24-4.48%0.0357✓0.591.2M2022-07-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.12920.128326-0.68%0.1267-1.93%0.0065✓1.10617k2022-07-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11261.1051-0.68%1.1112-0.12%0.0114✗1.0412k2022-07-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8513.8255-0.66%3.791-1.56%0.0041✓0.88754k2022-07-30
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.034050.033828-0.65%0.02975-12.63%0.1210✓1.311,3182022-07-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash151.84150.8597-0.65%145.47-4.20%0.0296✓1.193.9M2022-07-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.5214.4926-0.63%5.319+17.65%0.1719✗0.542.0M2022-07-30
ORCAOrcaSolana0.96780.961789-0.62%0.9743+0.67%0.0222✗1.63205k2022-07-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.429780.427128-0.62%0.43188+0.49%0.0190✗1.39592k2022-07-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.694.6613-0.61%4.53-3.41%0.0245✓0.71759k2022-07-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.155.1194-0.59%5.03-2.33%0.0142✓0.61587k2022-07-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47250.469737-0.58%0.4587-2.92%0.0154✓1.47220k2022-07-30
DODODODOEthereum0.17280.171803-0.58%0.171-1.04%0.0025✓1.262.9M2022-07-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.1730.172022-0.57%0.16614-3.97%0.0261✓1.54207k2022-07-30
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2230.221759-0.56%0.2186-1.97%0.0065✓1.391,0652022-07-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.2618.1592-0.55%19.12+4.71%0.0592✗1.351.3M2022-07-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8877.8447-0.54%7.823-0.81%0.0044✓1.2616.2M2022-07-30
IMXImmutableEthereum1.0611.0553-0.53%1.187+11.88%0.1256✗1.421.4M2022-07-30
APEApeCoinEthereum6.676.6344-0.53%6.697+0.40%0.0190✗1.6911.5M2022-07-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6314.5529-0.53%14.76+0.89%0.0223✗1.451.6M2022-07-30
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.52130.518583-0.52%0.571+9.53%0.1020✗1.00234k2022-07-30
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5290.526244-0.52%0.505-4.54%0.0347✓1.1513k2022-07-30
LUNATerraTerra 20.0000990.000098502-0.50%0.00009812-0.89%0.0072✗1.96646k2022-07-30
API3Api3Ethereum1.8711.8616-0.50%1.931+3.21%0.0438✗1.27626k2022-07-30
HIVEHivenative0.53710.534428-0.50%0.5275-1.79%0.0065✓1.161.5M2022-07-30
ELAElastosEthereum1.8611.8519-0.49%1.82-2.20%0.0138✓0.63223k2022-07-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.067071-0.49%0.072+6.82%0.0763✗0.96183k2022-07-30
FTTFTXEthereum31.0930.9388-0.49%31.11+0.06%0.0109✗0.9510.8M2022-07-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.068.021-0.48%8.278+2.70%0.0386✗1.255.5M2022-07-30
BANDBandEthereum1.6741.6659-0.48%1.795+7.23%0.0828✗1.45316k2022-07-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.28132.2704-0.48%2.2546-1.17%0.0001✓1.2424k2022-07-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6030.600191-0.47%0.627+3.98%0.0516✗1.4084k2022-07-30
COMPCompoundEthereum58.6958.4192-0.46%58.23-0.78%0.0046✓1.3928k2022-07-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08870.088296-0.46%0.0893+0.68%0.0181✗1.19155k2022-07-30
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.5629-0.45%1.51-3.82%0.0331✓0.24268k2022-07-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.17111.1218-0.44%10.71-4.13%0.0300✓1.3715.1M2022-07-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97060.966357-0.44%0.9505-2.07%0.0115✓0.903.9M2022-07-30
DIADIAEthereum0.485590.483478-0.43%0.46142-4.98%0.0423✓0.7855k2022-07-30
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7122.7003-0.43%2.627-3.13%0.0176✓1.7692k2022-07-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV65.86965.5849-0.43%62.68-4.84%0.0405✓0.85398k2022-07-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.61461.6079-0.41%1.5866-1.73%0.0053✓1.43609k2022-07-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16430.16362-0.41%0.1684+2.50%0.0359✗1.25411k2022-07-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021770.021683-0.40%0.0215-1.24%0.0026✓1.03149k2022-07-30
XECeCashnative0.000044990.000044809-0.40%0.00004418-1.80%0.0075✓1.171.8M2022-07-30
FORTFortaEthereum0.32080.319525-0.40%0.2969-7.45%0.0670✓1.13309k2022-07-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8033.788-0.39%3.684-3.13%0.0239✓0.70670k2022-07-30
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8840.880526-0.39%1.059+19.80%0.1886✗0.711.3M2022-07-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062090.006185-0.38%0.006149-0.97%0.0009✓0.897,2112022-07-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.20330.202534-0.38%0.2293+12.79%0.1319✗1.371,5612022-07-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1310.130508-0.38%0.1271-2.98%0.0208✓0.995,4502022-07-30
XEMNEMnative0.0497230.049539-0.37%0.04912-1.21%0.0018✓1.1935k2022-07-30
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.019090.01902-0.37%0.020876+9.36%0.0959✗0.49165k2022-07-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62090.61865-0.36%0.5914-4.75%0.0385✓1.16624k2022-07-30
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077660.077383-0.36%0.07785+0.24%0.0102✗0.741,2712022-07-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7630.760314-0.35%0.766+0.39%0.0130✗0.99360k2022-07-30
STEEMSteemnative0.24760.246731-0.35%0.2512+1.45%0.0244✗1.14643k2022-07-30
ETHEthereumEthereum1,722.251,716.22-0.35%1,698.01-1.41%0.0035✓1.26387.0M2022-07-30
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4948-0.35%1.49-0.67%0.0050✗1.441.0M2022-07-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13520.134729-0.35%0.1457+7.77%0.0839✗0.993.5M2022-07-30
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.18350.182864-0.35%0.19234+4.82%0.0637✗2.321,1272022-07-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.5124.4259-0.34%24.25-1.06%0.0018✓1.5927.5M2022-07-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.7160.5062-0.34%60.47-0.40%0.0060✗1.1613.5M2022-07-30
ADACardanoCardano0.52220.520482-0.33%0.5267+0.86%0.0190✗1.2543.2M2022-07-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408430.407091-0.33%0.40553-0.71%0.0030✓1.21118k2022-07-30
GMTGMTEthereum0.9820.978806-0.33%0.976-0.61%0.0071✗1.76516k2022-07-30
KSMKusamaHydration63.8763.6627-0.32%63.1-1.21%0.0022✓1.18257k2022-07-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.1868.1594-0.32%8.212+0.32%0.0135✗1.259.4M2022-07-30
ZENHorizenBase18.1318.0712-0.32%17.72-2.26%0.0118✓1.38108k2022-07-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05580.055623-0.32%0.0586+5.02%0.0595✗1.30787k2022-07-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0689470.068733-0.31%0.069575+0.91%0.0187✗1.151.7M2022-07-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,784.5023,714.09-0.30%23,650.13-0.56%0.0030✓1.00439.9M2022-07-30
XVGVergenative0.003660.003649-0.30%0.00363-0.82%0.0021✓1.31539k2022-07-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003160.003151-0.30%0.003172+0.38%0.0124✗1.00999k2022-07-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03880.038688-0.29%0.0385-0.77%0.0020✓1.2268k2022-07-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56510.563472-0.29%0.57+0.87%0.0180✗1.14350k2022-07-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2150.214386-0.29%0.216+0.47%0.0161✗1.51786k2022-07-30
STORJStorjEthereum0.668590.666686-0.28%0.67643+1.17%0.0231✗1.5279k2022-07-30
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.260764-0.28%0.2612-0.11%0.0017✓0.0130k2022-07-30
XLMStellarStellar0.1177330.117402-0.28%0.119668+1.64%0.0248✗1.006.8M2022-07-30
ZECZcashZcash63.563.3217-0.28%65.13+2.57%0.0353✗1.261.5M2022-07-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.661.6554-0.27%1.64-1.20%0.0016✓1.38114k2022-07-30
XMRMoneroMonero160.25159.8108-0.27%155.85-2.75%0.0189✓1.101.3M2022-07-30
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3281.3244-0.27%1.338+0.75%0.0173✗1.241.2M2022-07-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047210.047082-0.27%0.04725+0.08%0.0087✗0.9015k2022-07-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011740.000011708-0.27%0.00001193+1.62%0.0258✗1.24951k2022-07-30
XYMSymbolnative0.0561280.055977-0.27%0.057834+3.04%0.0361✗0.6120k2022-07-30
MANADecentralandEthereum0.971150.968548-0.27%1.0088+3.88%0.0483✗1.33431k2022-07-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3090.308182-0.26%0.3165+2.43%0.0334✗1.192.8M2022-07-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9665.9503-0.26%8.034+34.66%0.3064✗1.082.1M2022-07-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7710.768966-0.26%0.802+4.02%0.0505✗1.5080k2022-07-30
UMAUMAEthereum2.9682.9604-0.26%2.96-0.27%0.0062✗1.11619k2022-07-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150550.015019-0.24%0.015613+3.71%0.0438✗0.881.2M2022-07-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33680.336003-0.24%0.338+0.36%0.0124✗1.147.7M2022-07-30
AAVEAaveEthereum95.695.3747-0.24%95.26-0.36%0.0082✗1.6610.0M2022-07-30
NANOnanopayBase0.9929390.990651-0.23%1.0146+2.18%0.0293✗0.9758k2022-07-30
FISStafiEthereum0.40.399093-0.23%0.4352+8.80%0.0918✗0.922142022-07-30
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.48e-7-0.22%9.40e-7-1.05%0.0036✓0.845.9M2022-07-30
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49820.497107-0.22%0.507+1.77%0.0261✗1.1242k2022-07-30
SOLSolanaSolana41.9441.8491-0.22%43.84+4.53%0.0542✗1.3681.8M2022-07-30
SCSiacoinnative0.004390.004381-0.21%0.00437-0.46%0.0050✗1.32103k2022-07-30
STXStacksnative0.43040.429483-0.21%0.4303-0.02%0.0090✗1.25606k2022-07-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029850.029787-0.21%0.02978-0.23%0.0068✗1.2514k2022-07-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06920.06906-0.20%0.0671-3.03%0.0227✓1.07308k2022-07-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.045715-0.19%0.0452-1.31%0.0037✓1.347,1312022-07-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043230.04315-0.19%0.04302-0.49%0.0024✗0.962,4262022-07-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.008920.008904-0.18%0.00901+1.01%0.0170✗0.911.6M2022-07-30
DASHDashDash50.6150.5182-0.18%50.71+0.20%0.0101✗1.11594k2022-07-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11720.116991-0.18%0.1179+0.60%0.0138✗1.07352k2022-07-30
MOVRMoonriverBase14.214.1754-0.17%14.7008+3.53%0.0431✗1.1870k2022-07-30
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.163.1549-0.16%3.19+0.95%0.0139✗0.5082k2022-07-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069910.00698-0.16%0.006972-0.27%0.0019✗0.5339k2022-07-30
KCSKuCoinnative10.19710.1813-0.15%10.183-0.14%0.0063✗1.092.6M2022-07-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018940.018911-0.15%0.01867-1.43%0.0085✓0.75258k2022-07-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009410.009397-0.14%0.00961+2.13%0.0280✗0.974.7M2022-07-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07950.079392-0.14%0.078-1.89%0.0130✓0.83148k2022-07-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3311780.330739-0.13%0.348763+5.31%0.0604✗1.291.0M2022-07-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015070.001505-0.13%0.001644+9.09%0.0940✗1.0116k2022-07-30
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42260.422052-0.13%0.4312+2.04%0.0290✗1.34104k2022-07-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010830.001082-0.13%0.001097+1.30%0.0215✗1.291.6M2022-07-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.25129-0.12%0.2565+1.95%0.0266✗1.0863k2022-07-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3491.3475-0.11%1.378+2.15%0.0295✗1.272.4M2022-07-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,827.5023,802.61-0.10%24,608.20+3.28%0.0388✗0.9819k2022-07-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.10810.107992-0.10%0.1098+1.57%0.0240✗1.31491k2022-07-30
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.59e-7-0.10%9.60e-7+0.00%0.0067✗1.0025k2022-07-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5372.5345-0.10%2.467-2.76%0.0218✓0.92105k2022-07-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23720.23698-0.09%0.2356-0.67%0.0025✗1.4892k2022-07-30
LSKLiskEthereum1.12781.1267-0.09%1.1419+1.26%0.0194✗1.0643k2022-07-30
MINAMina Protocolnative0.760.759315-0.09%0.793+4.34%0.0504✗1.24205k2022-07-30
XTZTezosTezos1.70931.7078-0.09%1.8172+6.31%0.0692✗1.25492k2022-07-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.05490.054855-0.08%0.0557+1.46%0.0234✗1.44119k2022-07-30
FLOWFlownative1.8661.8645-0.08%1.923+3.05%0.0381✗1.27382k2022-07-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.14940.14929-0.07%0.1478-1.07%0.0030✓1.2488k2022-07-30
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7150.714485-0.07%0.724+1.26%0.0201✗1.21806k2022-07-30
PROPropyEthereum0.790.789534-0.06%0.75-5.06%0.0479✓0.6179k2022-07-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24430.244168-0.05%0.2435-0.33%0.0042✗1.23101k2022-07-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.57e-7-0.05%3.60e-7+0.78%0.0136✗0.94193k2022-07-30
UOSUltraEthereum0.315140.314999-0.04%0.3215+2.02%0.0270✗1.17407k2022-07-30
GITCOINGITCOIN3.02553.0242-0.04%2.816-6.92%0.0624✓1.5711k2022-07-30
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0870.086966-0.04%0.0874+0.46%0.0119✗1.216,3652022-07-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12980.129751-0.04%0.1314+1.23%0.0199✗1.2849k2022-07-30
TRXTRONTron0.0692960.069271-0.04%0.069034-0.38%0.0010✗0.79376k2022-07-30
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.09350.093496-0.00%0.09058-3.12%0.0302✓0.26910k2022-07-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17315.1755+0.05%5.0516-2.35%0.0231✗0.21210k2022-07-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3030.303232+0.08%0.309+1.98%0.0247✓1.04766k2022-07-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29210.292336+0.08%0.2881-1.37%0.0082✗1.1375k2022-07-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021890.021911+0.09%0.022198+1.41%0.0186✓0.989,0542022-07-30
GTGateEthereum4.39224.3971+0.11%4.4444+1.19%0.0148✓0.72986k2022-07-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.06260.062697+0.15%0.0641+2.40%0.0301✓1.40339k2022-07-30
BORABORAKlay Token0.320010.320791+0.24%0.31775-0.71%0.0021✓1.3111k2022-07-30
CBKCobakEthereum1.04531.0488+0.33%1.0495+0.41%0.0070✓1.109,6842022-07-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.