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2022-07-20 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1997
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.62%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
17.5%
in alpha space · 22.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.31%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0780.076515-1.90%0.0778-0.26%0.0199✗1.03209k2022-07-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0173590.017054-1.76%0.01615-6.96%0.0515✓0.921.2M2022-07-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.3422.9981-1.46%26.34+12.85%0.1397✗1.271.2M2022-07-21
METISMetisEthereum3029.6215-1.26%33.05+10.17%0.1127✗1.00130k2022-07-21
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7910.78112-1.25%0.877+10.87%0.1206✗1.545,0122022-07-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4292.4006-1.17%2.422-0.29%0.0134✗1.43128k2022-07-21
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9810.970652-1.05%0.9391-4.27%0.0280✓1.60214k2022-07-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.989020.979999-0.91%1.0534+6.50%0.0752✗0.961,6652022-07-21
STEEMSteemnative0.25430.252055-0.88%0.2489-2.12%0.0089✓1.17703k2022-07-21
OPTIMOptimism0.6860.680383-0.82%0.777+13.27%0.1384✗1.781.1M2022-07-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.450760.447077-0.82%0.46442+3.03%0.0427✗1.46791k2022-07-21
XEMNEMnative0.048110.047737-0.77%0.049011+1.87%0.0301✗1.2017k2022-07-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.83.7712-0.76%3.94+3.68%0.0462✗0.76597k2022-07-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.541.5289-0.72%1.474-4.29%0.0325✓1.302.8M2022-07-21
QNTQuantEthereum96.6495.9812-0.68%102.84+6.42%0.0722✗1.002.7M2022-07-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046640.046349-0.62%0.04783+2.55%0.0343✗0.918,1912022-07-21
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6292.613-0.61%2.948+12.13%0.1261✗1.7484k2022-07-21
CHRChromiaEthereum0.20780.206536-0.61%0.1979-4.76%0.0383✓1.412,6032022-07-21
LUNATerraTerra 20.00010080.000100191-0.60%0.0001037+2.88%0.0405✗1.93715k2022-07-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.15851.1518-0.58%1.4031+21.11%0.2020✗1.464.7M2022-07-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.3814.2981-0.57%19.25+33.87%0.3004✗0.951.9M2022-07-21
APEApeCoinEthereum5.8745.8409-0.56%6.422+9.33%0.1003✗1.7311.7M2022-07-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5960.592704-0.55%0.615+3.19%0.0414✗1.4284k2022-07-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0219530.021837-0.53%0.022281+1.49%0.0232✗0.981,5692022-07-21
FLOWFlownative1.8591.8492-0.53%1.877+0.97%0.0189✗1.24332k2022-07-21
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4830.480486-0.52%0.559+15.73%0.1551✗1.1811k2022-07-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.311.2425-0.51%12.99+14.96%0.1491✗1.471.1M2022-07-21
AVTAventusEthereum1.541.533-0.45%1.53-0.65%0.0012✓0.24426k2022-07-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5923.484-0.45%25.01+6.02%0.0679✗1.5627.0M2022-07-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.823.8029-0.45%3.97+3.93%0.0450✗0.63715k2022-07-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08860.088215-0.43%0.0904+2.03%0.0284✗1.24188k2022-07-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.2815.2151-0.42%16.59+8.57%0.0914✗1.55431k2022-07-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1633.1497-0.42%3.223+1.90%0.0264✗1.08555k2022-07-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04880.048596-0.42%0.0502+2.87%0.0362✗1.20282k2022-07-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16290.162226-0.41%0.1661+1.96%0.0276✗1.28354k2022-07-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8612.8493-0.41%3.283+14.75%0.1470✗1.683.8M2022-07-21
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07080.07051-0.41%0.069-2.54%0.0186✓0.98229k2022-07-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7610.757887-0.41%0.76-0.13%0.0083✗1.766.3M2022-07-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.20340.202569-0.41%0.2181+7.23%0.0783✗1.402,1172022-07-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2143.2009-0.41%3.334+3.73%0.0431✗0.77488k2022-07-21
FORTFortaEthereum0.29720.295996-0.41%0.3009+1.24%0.0205✗1.29409k2022-07-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.070030.069747-0.40%0.069952-0.11%0.0067✗1.202.0M2022-07-21
KSMKusamaHydration60.360.0563-0.40%61.18+1.46%0.0223✗1.20235k2022-07-21
FISStafiEthereum0.3670.365526-0.40%0.4451+21.28%0.2001✗1.004752022-07-21
UOSUltraEthereum0.349190.347788-0.40%0.34531-1.11%0.0033✓1.24411k2022-07-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42580.424094-0.40%0.4306+1.13%0.0194✗1.3396k2022-07-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13250.131972-0.40%0.1395+5.28%0.0587✗1.023.5M2022-07-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12050.120021-0.40%0.1297+7.63%0.0806✗0.985,8712022-07-21
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08460.084266-0.39%0.0858+1.42%0.0219✗1.236,8122022-07-21
API3Api3Ethereum1.8011.7939-0.39%1.83+1.61%0.0239✗1.27637k2022-07-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40110.399528-0.39%0.4216+5.11%0.0586✗1.53208k2022-07-21
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7270.724158-0.39%0.734+0.96%0.0175✗1.26139k2022-07-21
GMTGMTEthereum0.9790.975189-0.39%0.994+1.53%0.0248✗1.80574k2022-07-21
COMPCompoundEthereum56.3456.121-0.39%58.08+3.09%0.0386✗1.3733k2022-07-21
XYMSymbolnative0.0545280.054317-0.39%0.05415-0.69%0.0011✓0.6214k2022-07-21
ETHEthereumEthereum1,522.121,516.23-0.39%1,575.68+3.52%0.0423✗1.23326.5M2022-07-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030040.029927-0.38%0.03004+0.00%0.0078✗1.2723k2022-07-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001190.000011855-0.38%0.00001199+0.76%0.0152✗1.251.3M2022-07-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7263.712-0.37%3.838+3.01%0.0351✗0.562.2M2022-07-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93180.928314-0.37%0.9451+1.43%0.0217✗1.201.2M2022-07-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.975.948-0.37%6.21+4.02%0.0472✗1.31256k2022-07-21
FTTFTXEthereum28.7728.6651-0.36%29.48+2.47%0.0310✗0.9511.0M2022-07-21
ELAElastosEthereum1.6331.6271-0.36%1.604-1.78%0.0111✓1.00181k2022-07-21
HIVEHivenative0.45370.452052-0.36%0.4701+3.61%0.0431✗1.251.3M2022-07-21
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6850.682535-0.36%0.707+3.21%0.0391✗1.23858k2022-07-21
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.44420.442609-0.36%0.4628+4.19%0.0478✗1.00258k2022-07-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80880.805965-0.35%0.8319+2.86%0.0348✗0.993.5M2022-07-21
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3261.3214-0.34%1.382+4.22%0.0487✗1.221.7M2022-07-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024630.024545-0.34%0.02598+5.48%0.0619✗1.6114.6M2022-07-21
MANADecentralandEthereum0.920020.916877-0.34%0.94043+2.22%0.0296✗1.35423k2022-07-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.6819.6479-0.34%11.047+14.11%0.1397✗1.3512.9M2022-07-21
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.463.4482-0.34%3.24-6.36%0.0607✓0.4986k2022-07-21
XVGVergenative0.003670.003658-0.34%0.00373+1.63%0.0238✗1.34649k2022-07-21
UNIUniswapEthereum6.8576.834-0.33%7.222+5.32%0.0595✗1.355.7M2022-07-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,226.9923,149.96-0.33%23,153.96-0.31%0.0033✓1.00398.7M2022-07-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.392260.390959-0.33%0.40107+2.25%0.0294✗1.23128k2022-07-21
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.260641-0.33%0.2613-0.08%0.0057✗1.0046k2022-07-21
SCSiacoinnative0.004410.004396-0.32%0.00436-1.13%0.0040✓1.33127k2022-07-21
XVSVenusEthereum5.375.3528-0.32%5.46+1.68%0.0243✗1.401.2M2022-07-21
DODODODOEthereum0.14860.148123-0.32%0.1523+2.49%0.0319✗1.292.9M2022-07-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.113.1001-0.32%3.223+3.63%0.0408✗0.621.7M2022-07-21
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49960.498016-0.32%0.4959-0.74%0.0008✓1.1049k2022-07-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.4462.4383-0.32%2.527+3.31%0.0402✗1.4043k2022-07-21
STORJStorjEthereum0.666950.664882-0.31%0.67+0.46%0.0126✗1.56104k2022-07-21
ADACardanoCardano0.49110.489593-0.31%0.4996+1.73%0.0242✗1.2743.9M2022-07-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173670.017314-0.31%0.017454+0.50%0.0096✗0.48171k2022-07-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020830.020767-0.30%0.02108+1.20%0.0183✗1.05134k2022-07-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,318.4023,248.20-0.30%23,097.60-0.95%0.0034✓0.9829k2022-07-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.009350.009322-0.30%0.00923-1.28%0.0070✓0.921.3M2022-07-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.09492.0887-0.29%2.2259+6.25%0.0664✗0.90890k2022-07-21
IMXImmutableEthereum0.97570.972835-0.29%0.9844+0.89%0.0163✗1.421.4M2022-07-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.8696.8489-0.29%6.995+1.83%0.0251✗1.2617.9M2022-07-21
RADRadworksEthereum1.931.9245-0.29%1.87-3.11%0.0252✓1.10150k2022-07-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030470.003038-0.29%0.003047+0.00%0.0061✗1.051.1M2022-07-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.2257.0574-0.28%58.03+1.42%0.0205✗1.1314.8M2022-07-21
XMRMoneroMonero151.47151.0447-0.28%151.18-0.19%0.0044✗1.121.3M2022-07-21
SOLSolanaSolana42.0541.932-0.28%43.1+2.50%0.0317✗1.3381.1M2022-07-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,493.436,475.25-0.28%6,719.99+3.49%0.0413✗1.334.4M2022-07-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8523.8413-0.28%3.925+1.90%0.0235✗0.621.4M2022-07-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05320.053054-0.28%0.0556+4.51%0.0511✗1.33817k2022-07-21
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.090530.090283-0.27%0.09397+3.80%0.0432✗1.00589k2022-07-21
ZENHorizenBase16.7716.7244-0.27%17.01+1.43%0.0213✗1.3996k2022-07-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.5845.5688-0.27%5.621+0.66%0.0128✗1.101.9M2022-07-21
BANDBandEthereum1.5011.4971-0.26%1.517+1.07%0.0177✗1.44385k2022-07-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5652.5584-0.26%2.687+4.76%0.0519✗0.9098k2022-07-21
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.071380.071199-0.25%0.07294+2.19%0.0265✗0.731,5492022-07-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.52.4937-0.25%2.48-0.80%0.0008✓1.51216k2022-07-21
KCSKuCoinnative10.27710.2517-0.25%10.162-1.12%0.0053✓1.112.2M2022-07-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7070.70527-0.24%0.729+3.11%0.0379✗1.52108k2022-07-21
STXStacksnative0.4140.41299-0.24%0.4306+4.01%0.0457✗1.26414k2022-07-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.5215.4827-0.24%15.78+1.68%0.0233✗1.361.3M2022-07-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2990.298281-0.24%0.299+0.00%0.0057✗1.05664k2022-07-21
XLMStellarStellar0.1120570.111788-0.24%0.113592+1.37%0.0192✗1.007.2M2022-07-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4331.4296-0.24%1.4694+2.54%0.0319✗1.42684k2022-07-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04240.0423-0.24%0.0445+4.95%0.0549✗1.347,6872022-07-21
CBKCobakEthereum1.06881.0663-0.23%1.0755+0.63%0.0122✗1.125,8422022-07-21
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5681.5644-0.23%1.646+4.97%0.0554✗1.45203k2022-07-21
DIADIAEthereum0.423320.422365-0.23%0.43123+1.87%0.0231✗0.7352k2022-07-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34480.344038-0.22%0.3494+1.33%0.0191✗1.168.2M2022-07-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10470.10447-0.22%0.107+2.20%0.0282✗1.362.5M2022-07-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09030.090105-0.22%0.0859-4.87%0.0453✓0.80150k2022-07-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.212543-0.21%0.215+0.94%0.0164✗1.55881k2022-07-21
ZECZcashZcash62.0661.9274-0.21%61.86-0.32%0.0030✗1.301.5M2022-07-21
BTTCBTTC9.10e-79.08e-7-0.21%9.20e-7+1.10%0.0156✗0.825.8M2022-07-21
BORABORAKlay Token0.308830.308196-0.21%0.32019+3.68%0.0424✗1.345,5012022-07-21
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.172710.172356-0.20%0.18044+4.48%0.0536✗2.461,0532022-07-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29240.291803-0.20%0.2994+2.39%0.0294✗1.192.9M2022-07-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23250.232028-0.20%0.2285-1.72%0.0107✓1.47117k2022-07-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50580.504783-0.20%0.5149+1.80%0.0234✗1.14333k2022-07-21
CELLCellframeEthereum0.28420.28363-0.20%0.2786-1.97%0.0144✓1.1242k2022-07-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.234.2216-0.20%4.36+3.07%0.0343✗0.63579k2022-07-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash121.82121.5774-0.20%123.12+1.07%0.0162✗1.134.0M2022-07-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.061730.061611-0.19%0.06408+3.81%0.0434✗1.3125k2022-07-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.596.5773-0.19%6.78+2.88%0.0319✗0.49670k2022-07-21
GLMGolemEthereum0.24570.24524-0.19%0.2516+2.40%0.0290✗1.0861k2022-07-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010750.001073-0.19%0.00111+3.31%0.0385✗1.291.7M2022-07-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019270.019235-0.18%0.01907-1.04%0.0062✓0.75354k2022-07-21
XECeCashnative0.000040810.000040739-0.17%0.00004099+0.44%0.0099✗1.191.9M2022-07-21
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.055910.055814-0.17%0.05585-0.11%0.0053✗1.46773k2022-07-21
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027250.027203-0.17%0.02732+0.26%0.0086✗1.361,4722022-07-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.4697.4565-0.17%7.531+0.83%0.0138✗1.239.0M2022-07-21
QTUMQtumQtum3.05453.0494-0.17%3.1044+1.64%0.0213✗1.0827k2022-07-21
AAVEAaveEthereum90.8890.73-0.17%95.35+4.92%0.0548✗1.6311.3M2022-07-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03720.037141-0.16%0.0369-0.81%0.0026✓1.2395k2022-07-21
SUSHISushiEthereum1.331.3279-0.16%1.42+6.77%0.0717✗1.47910k2022-07-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6740.672961-0.15%0.688+2.08%0.0251✗0.97443k2022-07-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.24512.2417-0.15%2.3114+2.95%0.0331✗0.80947k2022-07-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.05370.053618-0.15%0.0542+0.93%0.0154✗1.47115k2022-07-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.744.7329-0.15%4.89+3.16%0.0347✗0.67574k2022-07-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52370.522924-0.15%0.5296+1.13%0.0165✗1.20491k2022-07-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.7336.7232-0.14%6.9+2.48%0.0299✗1.275.5M2022-07-21
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.134512-0.14%0.1349+0.15%0.0070✗1.3144k2022-07-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11150.111355-0.13%0.1208+8.34%0.0848✗1.08398k2022-07-21
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.09e-7-0.12%9.40e-7+3.30%0.0368✗1.0028k2022-07-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006840.006832-0.12%0.0068-0.58%0.0015✓1.01387k2022-07-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069740.006966-0.12%0.006907-0.96%0.0066✓0.5851k2022-07-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.07160.07152-0.11%0.0679-5.17%0.0476✓1.39312k2022-07-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.45872.4561-0.11%2.5225+2.59%0.0298✗1.001.1M2022-07-21
DASHDashDash47.1247.0707-0.10%48.17+2.23%0.0265✗1.09616k2022-07-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009230.00922-0.10%0.00926+0.33%0.0074✗0.984.9M2022-07-21
GITCOINGITCOIN2.51392.5113-0.10%2.4813-1.30%0.0071✓1.567,1792022-07-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.019.001-0.10%9.23+2.44%0.0288✗1.17288k2022-07-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.10530.105203-0.09%0.1075+2.09%0.0257✗1.32526k2022-07-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.134620.134505-0.09%0.13975+3.81%0.0433✗1.60158k2022-07-21
LSKLiskEthereum1.12581.1249-0.08%1.128+0.20%0.0062✗1.0745k2022-07-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.1090.108916-0.08%0.1102+1.10%0.0152✗1.10560k2022-07-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.62655.5842-0.08%56.843+2.19%0.0250✗0.83387k2022-07-21
MOVRMoonriverBase13.094613.0849-0.07%14.897+13.76%0.1334✗1.19194k2022-07-21
UMAUMAEthereum2.6632.6612-0.07%2.714+1.92%0.0231✗1.10673k2022-07-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.14580.145708-0.06%0.1454-0.27%0.0018✗1.2487k2022-07-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058690.005866-0.06%0.00596+1.54%0.0188✗0.912,9222022-07-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.71e-73.70e-7-0.05%3.57e-7-3.80%0.0350✓1.00268k2022-07-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24240.242288-0.05%0.2448+0.99%0.0142✗1.24147k2022-07-21
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7720.771663-0.04%0.785+1.68%0.0196✗0.771.1M2022-07-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.51.4994-0.04%1.5+0.00%0.0049✗1.43142k2022-07-21
NANOnanopayBase0.9176340.917298-0.04%0.953204+3.88%0.0416✗1.0163k2022-07-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.89641.8957-0.03%1.9195+1.22%0.0163✗1.2227k2022-07-21
XTZTezosTezos1.61811.6181-0.00%1.6811+3.89%0.0422✗1.26499k2022-07-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3138160.313831+0.00%0.321345+2.40%0.0275✓1.231.4M2022-07-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.24145.2421+0.01%5.3878+2.79%0.0280✓0.20335k2022-07-21
TRXTRONTron0.0675750.067599+0.04%0.068015+0.65%0.0086✓0.80373k2022-07-21
PROPropyEthereum0.810.810481+0.06%0.78-3.70%0.0361✗0.71111k2022-07-21
GTGateEthereum4.15454.1612+0.16%4.1246-0.72%0.0066✗0.70930k2022-07-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.