8=======>

2022-07-11 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0257
182 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.07%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
30.8%
in alpha space · 87.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.20%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTGateEthereum3.89333.8963+0.08%3.7877-2.71%0.0053✗0.711.2M2022-07-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2832240.283211-0.00%0.272174-3.90%0.0017✗1.272.2M2022-07-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.40115.4009-0.00%5.389-0.22%0.0041✗0.19335k2022-07-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.08730.087282-0.02%0.0827-5.27%0.0101✓1.35644k2022-07-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19180.191731-0.04%0.1812-5.53%0.0089✓1.46145k2022-07-12
AAVEAaveEthereum69.8269.7848-0.05%68.24-2.26%0.0314✗1.659.9M2022-07-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2650.26484-0.06%0.259-2.26%0.0108✗1.02575k2022-07-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.0480.047966-0.07%0.0469-2.29%0.0262✗1.49111k2022-07-12
TRXTRONTron0.0645810.064534-0.07%0.064572-0.01%0.0277✗0.83611k2022-07-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.046640.046603-0.08%0.04715+1.09%0.0602✗1.49821k2022-07-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash99.0498.9606-0.08%97.19-1.87%0.0190✗1.145.3M2022-07-12
FLOWFlownative1.5081.5067-0.08%1.427-5.37%0.0151✓1.21297k2022-07-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV50.20650.1623-0.09%49.484-1.44%0.0139✗0.85456k2022-07-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche17.3117.2949-0.09%16.73-3.35%0.0165✗1.5326.1M2022-07-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.258.2423-0.09%7.74-6.18%0.0247✓1.17299k2022-07-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,095.561,094.54-0.09%1,037.34-5.31%0.0155✓1.17326.5M2022-07-12
SOLSolanaSolana33.4133.3778-0.10%32.66-2.24%0.0211✗1.3290.8M2022-07-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,940.9019,921.64-0.10%19,265.30-3.39%0.0014✓0.9948k2022-07-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45290.452456-0.10%0.4374-3.42%0.0026✗1.12289k2022-07-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.00461.0036-0.10%0.991597-1.30%0.0238✗1.1065k2022-07-12
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6040.603378-0.10%0.574-4.97%0.0104✓1.21936k2022-07-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.70521.7033-0.11%1.6352-4.11%0.0003✓1.2434k2022-07-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.0610.060931-0.11%0.0602-1.31%0.0349✗1.44316k2022-07-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.214.183-0.12%13.82-2.68%0.0124✗1.181.5M2022-07-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.4283-0.12%1.31-8.39%0.0389✓1.46214k2022-07-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0009430.000941842-0.12%0.0009021-4.34%0.0012✓1.292.4M2022-07-12
PROPropyEthereum0.830.828893-0.13%0.82-1.20%0.0127✗0.72129k2022-07-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.13570.135516-0.14%0.1314-3.17%0.0107✗1.2898k2022-07-12
NANOnanopayBase0.8431570.841992-0.14%0.84082-0.28%0.0319✗1.0290k2022-07-12
DASHDashDash41.4941.4324-0.14%39.75-4.19%0.0056✓1.10693k2022-07-12
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7710.769908-0.14%0.765-0.78%0.0197✗0.801.6M2022-07-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.4722.4685-0.14%2.538+2.67%0.0653✗1.15969k2022-07-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.599142-0.14%0.577-3.83%0.0131✗1.56186k2022-07-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.5216.5116-0.14%6.273-3.80%0.0029✗1.2310.8M2022-07-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.119020.118844-0.15%0.11445-3.84%0.0147✗1.61186k2022-07-12
MOVRMoonriverBase11.595511.5782-0.15%11.1506-3.84%0.0008✓1.18316k2022-07-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0750.074888-0.15%0.0733-2.27%0.0193✗1.256,9982022-07-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.23540.23504-0.15%0.23-2.29%0.0149✗1.1262k2022-07-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,496.415,487.85-0.16%5,437.91-1.06%0.0343✗1.344.5M2022-07-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1911.1891-0.16%1.158-2.77%0.0160✗1.312.8M2022-07-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5910.590075-0.16%0.558-5.58%0.0258✓0.93419k2022-07-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.548.5263-0.16%8.3-2.81%0.0206✗1.461.1M2022-07-12
XTZTezosTezos1.57161.5691-0.16%1.4325-8.85%0.0497✓1.27582k2022-07-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017960.017931-0.16%0.01819+1.28%0.0401✗0.79414k2022-07-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.3072.3032-0.16%2.32+0.56%0.0640✗1.743.4M2022-07-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.23511.2331-0.17%1.1907-3.59%0.0099✗1.38684k2022-07-12
APEApeCoinEthereum4.344.3325-0.17%4.237-2.37%0.0358✗1.7816.0M2022-07-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10140.101214-0.18%0.0999-1.48%0.0229✗1.10388k2022-07-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39460.393859-0.19%0.3603-8.69%0.0457✓1.3394k2022-07-12
STXStacksnative0.37480.374095-0.19%0.3597-4.03%0.0022✗1.27364k2022-07-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.46710.466211-0.19%0.4639-0.69%0.0344✗1.21611k2022-07-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.85690.855229-0.19%0.8264-3.56%0.0128✗1.451.8M2022-07-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.222.2156-0.20%2.12-4.50%0.0071✗1.57236k2022-07-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.945.9283-0.20%5.93-0.17%0.0163✗0.49750k2022-07-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.374050.373312-0.20%0.36718-1.84%0.0243✗1.26155k2022-07-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.29022.2856-0.20%2.2234-2.92%0.0051✗1.001.3M2022-07-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05010.049999-0.20%0.0483-3.59%0.0093✓0.78209k2022-07-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.873.8622-0.20%3.81-1.55%0.0073✗0.64629k2022-07-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010310.000010289-0.20%0.00000989-4.07%0.0007✓1.241.3M2022-07-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006490.006477-0.21%0.00616-5.08%0.0175✓1.00403k2022-07-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026350.026296-0.21%0.026-1.33%0.0306✗1.2924k2022-07-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.151.1476-0.21%1.12-2.61%0.0248✗1.51784k2022-07-12
XMRMoneroMonero126.93126.666-0.21%122.96-3.13%0.0075✗1.141.3M2022-07-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin48.6748.5687-0.21%47.28-2.86%0.0116✗1.1818.4M2022-07-12
KCSKuCoinnative8.8678.8484-0.21%8.659-2.35%0.0148✗1.123.0M2022-07-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2941.2913-0.21%1.263-2.40%0.0257✗1.47170k2022-07-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.1638.1458-0.21%7.792-4.54%0.0009✓1.3412.9M2022-07-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0941.0917-0.21%1.088-0.55%0.0349✗1.171.7M2022-07-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.4713.441-0.22%12.83-4.75%0.0022✓1.361.5M2022-07-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.281580.280973-0.22%0.26761-4.96%0.0080✓1.25464k2022-07-12
QTUMQtumQtum2.70052.6946-0.22%2.5959-3.87%0.0013✓1.1130k2022-07-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04280.042706-0.22%0.0415-3.04%0.0156✗1.36879k2022-07-12
ZECZcashZcash55.6555.5267-0.22%51.92-6.70%0.0242✓1.321.7M2022-07-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03980.039712-0.22%0.0404+1.51%0.0616✗1.369,6482022-07-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.22749-0.22%0.203-10.96%0.0634✓1.551.0M2022-07-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009740.009718-0.22%0.00959-1.54%0.0210✗1.055.3M2022-07-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.804610.802795-0.23%0.78392-2.57%0.0201✗1.35493k2022-07-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09150.09129-0.23%0.0874-4.48%0.0002✓1.342.7M2022-07-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.16040.160032-0.23%0.1686+5.11%0.0981✗1.413,0332022-07-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0682.0632-0.23%2.014-2.61%0.0221✗1.4265k2022-07-12
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.68e-7-0.23%8.00e-7-8.05%0.0544✓0.835.7M2022-07-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26640.265772-0.24%0.2544-4.50%0.0048✓1.203.1M2022-07-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.1935.1807-0.24%5.074-2.29%0.0163✗1.142.1M2022-07-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.0366.0216-0.24%5.944-1.52%0.0284✗1.2720.3M2022-07-12
XECeCashnative0.000037970.000037879-0.24%0.00003731-1.74%0.0248✗1.232.2M2022-07-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.10630.106045-0.24%0.0966-9.13%0.0575✓1.10551k2022-07-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,942.4319,893.25-0.25%19,303.65-3.20%0.0025✗1.00472.7M2022-07-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.75641.752-0.25%1.7188-2.14%0.0090✗0.86937k2022-07-12
KSMKusamaHydration46.6646.5422-0.25%46.86+0.43%0.0452✗1.18270k2022-07-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09340.093163-0.25%0.092-1.50%0.0141✗0.82157k2022-07-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.008820.008798-0.26%0.00877-0.57%0.0272✗0.931.2M2022-07-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29670.295932-0.26%0.2923-1.48%0.0260✗1.189.2M2022-07-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.374.3586-0.26%4.26-2.52%0.0017✓0.65758k2022-07-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1013910.101123-0.26%0.10045-0.93%0.0263✗1.018.8M2022-07-12
OPTIMOptimism0.4820.480719-0.27%0.451-6.43%0.0080✓1.711.4M2022-07-12
UNIUniswapEthereum5.5615.5461-0.27%5.528-0.59%0.0411✗1.365.4M2022-07-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.62.593-0.27%2.51-3.46%0.0035✗1.11544k2022-07-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.08222.0766-0.27%2.0329-2.37%0.0046✗0.791.0M2022-07-12
SCSiacoinnative0.003770.00376-0.27%0.00364-3.45%0.0119✗1.36165k2022-07-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4042.3974-0.28%2.205-8.28%0.0541✓0.91127k2022-07-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0242.0184-0.28%1.97-2.67%0.0312✗1.7090k2022-07-12
BANDBandEthereum1.3221.3183-0.28%1.226-7.26%0.0254✓1.45400k2022-07-12
ADACardanoCardano0.43440.433188-0.28%0.4165-4.12%0.0022✓1.2846.5M2022-07-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13960.139207-0.28%0.1362-2.44%0.0216✗1.33349k2022-07-12
ZENHorizenBase15.0414.9974-0.28%14.3-4.92%0.0013✓1.4281k2022-07-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0117530.01172-0.28%0.01164-0.96%0.0206✗0.841.4M2022-07-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6450.643163-0.28%0.633-1.86%0.0262✗1.29157k2022-07-12
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16710.166615-0.29%0.168+0.54%0.0591✗1.562,7942022-07-12
XVSVenusEthereum4.814.7959-0.29%4.65-3.33%0.0169✗1.471.3M2022-07-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0065280.006509-0.29%0.006495-0.51%0.0167✗0.5897k2022-07-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.8310.82853-0.30%0.847+1.93%0.0815✗1.83620k2022-07-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11110.110767-0.30%0.1038-6.57%0.0326✓0.994.0M2022-07-12
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025940.025862-0.30%0.02713+4.59%0.1007✗1.622,0152022-07-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0617270.061541-0.30%0.059797-3.13%0.0107✗1.212.3M2022-07-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.7952.7864-0.31%2.747-1.72%0.0104✗0.76530k2022-07-12
DODODODOEthereum0.12410.123717-0.31%0.1227-1.13%0.0335✗1.282.8M2022-07-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03570.03559-0.31%0.0349-2.24%0.0219✗1.28105k2022-07-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.24360.242842-0.31%0.2259-7.27%0.0352✓1.1433k2022-07-12
FTTFTXEthereum24.9824.9011-0.32%23.87-4.44%0.0120✓0.9311.6M2022-07-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.68e-73.67e-7-0.32%3.61e-7-1.84%0.0206✗1.11513k2022-07-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09950.099181-0.32%0.1017+2.21%0.0572✗0.997,0862022-07-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022690.022617-0.32%0.02268-0.04%0.0572✗1.6721.5M2022-07-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4780.476455-0.32%0.462-3.35%0.0146✗1.3999k2022-07-12
C98Coin98Ethereum0.45390.452416-0.33%0.4387-3.35%0.0058✗1.1260k2022-07-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.054810.05463-0.33%0.05308-3.16%0.0166✗1.3927k2022-07-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.644730.642594-0.33%0.60811-5.68%0.0015✓1.65120k2022-07-12
HIVEHivenative0.43510.433619-0.34%0.415-4.62%0.0024✓1.271.3M2022-07-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055430.005524-0.34%0.005673+2.35%0.0576✗0.953,1492022-07-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.761.754-0.34%1.677-4.72%0.0015✓1.33915k2022-07-12
ELAElastosEthereum1.4821.4768-0.35%1.445-2.50%0.0108✗1.00180k2022-07-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0026670.002657-0.36%0.002623-1.65%0.0205✗1.031.3M2022-07-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.2062.198-0.36%2.146-2.72%0.0297✗1.654,8022022-07-12
XYMSymbolnative0.0510020.050818-0.36%0.050021-1.92%0.0050✗0.6415k2022-07-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.88690.883635-0.37%0.8753-1.31%0.0357✗1.394.3M2022-07-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.355.3303-0.37%5.14-3.93%0.0069✗1.33264k2022-07-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.85920.856035-0.37%0.8537-0.64%0.0381✗1.25325k2022-07-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5673.5535-0.38%3.579+0.34%0.0277✗0.631.8M2022-07-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2776.2528-0.38%6.277+0.00%0.0475✗1.345.5M2022-07-12
COMPCompoundEthereum48.5648.3728-0.39%46.78-3.67%0.0122✗1.4027k2022-07-12
XVGVergenative0.003220.003207-0.41%0.00316-1.86%0.0291✗1.35664k2022-07-12
XEMNEMnative0.0378760.037718-0.42%0.037692-0.49%0.0373✗1.1714k2022-07-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019410.019329-0.42%0.01901-2.06%0.0178✗1.06100k2022-07-12
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.37520.373608-0.42%0.3616-3.62%0.0001✓1.00180k2022-07-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04530.045107-0.43%0.0444-1.99%0.0243✗1.23264k2022-07-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.38560.383864-0.45%0.3739-3.03%0.0257✗1.60215k2022-07-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7081.7001-0.46%1.737+1.70%0.0703✗1.50109k2022-07-12
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.165620.164852-0.46%0.17177+3.71%0.1369✗2.948572022-07-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08520.084805-0.46%0.0822-3.52%0.0106✗1.28179k2022-07-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067030.066718-0.47%0.06505-2.95%0.0010✓0.812,1062022-07-12
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.259779-0.47%0.2599-0.42%0.0330✗1.0045k2022-07-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3830.381143-0.48%0.373-2.61%0.0150✗1.1210k2022-07-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7790.775071-0.50%0.776-0.39%0.0630✗1.908.7M2022-07-12
FISStafiEthereum0.3550.353178-0.51%0.3824+7.72%0.1121✗1.004912022-07-12
METISMetisEthereum20.2220.1142-0.52%19.72-2.47%0.0128✗1.00110k2022-07-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23570.234452-0.53%0.2221-5.77%0.0126✓1.28220k2022-07-12
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.096810.096295-0.53%0.09511-1.76%0.0202✗1.00357k2022-07-12
DIADIAEthereum0.374050.372036-0.54%0.36924-1.29%0.0168✗0.7554k2022-07-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.8480.84339-0.54%0.7484-11.75%0.0871✓0.994.0M2022-07-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043190.042914-0.64%0.0424-1.83%0.0181✗0.935,7282022-07-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.7660.761016-0.65%0.778+1.57%0.0753✗1.63173k2022-07-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.4614.3638-0.67%14.51+0.35%0.0641✗1.66446k2022-07-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.073.0493-0.67%3.03-1.30%0.0167✗0.71693k2022-07-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.283380.281468-0.67%0.28233-0.37%0.0478✗1.383,1392022-07-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6330.628726-0.68%0.608-3.95%0.0156✗1.513,0312022-07-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.63.5755-0.68%3.46-3.89%0.0127✓0.62726k2022-07-12
STEEMSteemnative0.21280.211342-0.69%0.199-6.48%0.0207✓1.21695k2022-07-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9412.9208-0.69%2.867-2.52%0.0019✓0.632.3M2022-07-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7143.6858-0.76%3.422-7.86%0.0566✓0.542.2M2022-07-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.017960.017823-0.76%0.017618-1.90%0.0061✓0.54241k2022-07-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.5082-0.77%1.47-3.29%0.0181✓0.23614k2022-07-12
RADRadworksEthereum1.71.6857-0.84%1.6-5.88%0.0155✓1.13114k2022-07-12
FORTFortaEthereum0.27790.27556-0.84%0.2421-12.88%0.0969✓1.00440k2022-07-12
QNTQuantEthereum79.0178.3142-0.88%80.2+1.51%0.0561✗0.992.5M2022-07-12
CBKCobakEthereum0.966920.958078-0.91%0.92188-4.66%0.0012✓1.152,3312022-07-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.7414.5997-0.95%15.24+3.39%0.0765✗1.03527k2022-07-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.444980.440568-0.99%0.4556+2.39%0.0843✗1.561.3M2022-07-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.00010490.000103851-1.00%0.0000918-12.49%0.0612✓1.91744k2022-07-12
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.263.2264-1.03%3.01-7.67%0.0564✓0.4082k2022-07-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13360.132019-1.18%0.1231-7.86%0.0261✓1.3534k2022-07-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.690.680782-1.34%0.67955-1.51%0.0262✗0.862702022-07-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07240.071413-1.36%0.0711-1.80%0.0293✗1.03114k2022-07-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0202430.019945-1.47%0.019824-2.07%0.0269✗1.018952022-07-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.