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2022-07-10 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1013
182 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.57%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.5%
in alpha space · 95.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.36%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood4.264.1532-2.51%3.26-23.47%0.2295✓0.2882k2022-07-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15690.154294-1.66%0.1336-14.85%0.0847✓1.3334k2022-07-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.786020.77424-1.50%0.69-12.22%0.0776✓0.842472022-07-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000110910.000109299-1.45%0.0001049-5.42%0.0468✗1.97766k2022-07-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.480080.473572-1.36%0.44498-7.31%0.0071✓1.561.4M2022-07-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021310.021047-1.23%0.020243-5.01%0.0064✓1.028952022-07-11
QNTQuantEthereum81.4380.4633-1.19%79.01-2.97%0.0260✗0.992.5M2022-07-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.7115.5253-1.18%14.74-6.17%0.0062✓1.03501k2022-07-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.02751.0164-1.08%0.96692-5.89%0.0013✓1.151,9162022-07-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7060.698446-1.07%0.633-10.34%0.0317✓1.503,2002022-07-11
STEEMSteemnative0.23610.233576-1.07%0.2128-9.87%0.0397✓1.20695k2022-07-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07170.07098-1.00%0.0724+0.98%0.0665✗1.05108k2022-07-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.052.0307-0.94%1.708-16.68%0.1075✓1.47114k2022-07-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.223.1918-0.87%3.07-4.66%0.0079✓0.70765k2022-07-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80390.797109-0.84%0.766-4.71%0.0330✗1.64160k2022-07-11
DIADIAEthereum0.416580.413137-0.83%0.37405-10.21%0.0669✓0.7355k2022-07-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.743.7123-0.74%3.6-3.74%0.0033✓0.62755k2022-07-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.5486-0.73%1.52-2.56%0.0085✓0.23575k2022-07-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.5614.4543-0.73%14.46-0.69%0.0750✗1.67463k2022-07-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93720.930739-0.69%0.8592-8.32%0.0240✓1.26284k2022-07-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045660.045346-0.69%0.04319-5.41%0.0073✓0.935,7282022-07-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.304380.302291-0.69%0.28338-6.90%0.0034✓1.372,9402022-07-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4170.414152-0.68%0.383-8.15%0.0287✓1.1111k2022-07-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.026080.025904-0.68%0.02269-13.00%0.0587✓1.6621.5M2022-07-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0174060.017293-0.65%0.01796+3.18%0.0627✗0.56291k2022-07-11
METISMetisEthereum22.0421.8978-0.65%20.22-8.26%0.0352✓1.00126k2022-07-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9952.9757-0.64%2.941-1.80%0.0164✗0.632.4M2022-07-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4533.4308-0.64%3.714+7.56%0.1046✗0.572.2M2022-07-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.101730.101091-0.63%0.09681-4.84%0.0013✓1.00347k2022-07-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09230.091748-0.60%0.0852-7.69%0.0167✓1.29179k2022-07-11
COMPCompoundEthereum53.3253.004-0.59%48.56-8.93%0.0250✓1.4127k2022-07-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8320.827147-0.58%0.779-6.37%0.0247✗1.9010.2M2022-07-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.9011.89-0.58%1.76-7.42%0.0120✓1.33953k2022-07-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.9520.946597-0.57%0.831-12.71%0.0496✓1.81620k2022-07-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.173020.172049-0.56%0.16562-4.28%0.0942✗2.978572022-07-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020120.020012-0.54%0.01941-3.53%0.0170✗1.0798k2022-07-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.2346.2011-0.53%5.561-10.80%0.0488✓1.355.4M2022-07-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39160.389581-0.52%0.3856-1.53%0.0614✗1.61208k2022-07-11
FISStafiEthereum0.3550.353175-0.51%0.355+0.00%0.0497✗1.005252022-07-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2630.26166-0.51%0.2357-10.38%0.0479✓1.27220k2022-07-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.40210.40006-0.51%0.3752-6.69%0.0196✓1.00179k2022-07-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.95220.94746-0.50%0.8869-6.86%0.0044✓1.384.5M2022-07-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.260122-0.49%0.261-0.15%0.0479✗1.0046k2022-07-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.681670.678356-0.49%0.64473-5.42%0.0229✗1.66120k2022-07-11
XEMNEMnative0.0404150.040219-0.48%0.037876-6.28%0.0080✓1.1714k2022-07-11
OPTIMOptimism0.5340.531447-0.48%0.482-9.74%0.0218✓1.701.5M2022-07-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7763.7583-0.47%3.567-5.53%0.0245✓0.621.8M2022-07-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04670.046482-0.47%0.0453-3.00%0.0295✗1.24264k2022-07-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068420.068101-0.47%0.06703-2.03%0.0203✗0.812,3072022-07-11
XVGVergenative0.003380.003364-0.46%0.00322-4.73%0.0164✗1.35664k2022-07-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03950.039322-0.45%0.0357-9.62%0.0402✓1.27112k2022-07-11
HIVEHivenative0.46440.46235-0.44%0.4351-6.31%0.0038✓1.281.2M2022-07-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4920.489854-0.44%0.4539-7.74%0.0269✓1.1167k2022-07-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.25020.249114-0.43%0.2779+11.07%0.1539✗1.00436k2022-07-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.321.3143-0.43%1.15-12.88%0.0669✓1.50784k2022-07-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2660.264862-0.43%0.228-14.29%0.0823✓1.521.1M2022-07-11
DODODODOEthereum0.13430.13373-0.42%0.1241-7.59%0.0176✓1.282.8M2022-07-11
ZENHorizenBase17.0216.9487-0.42%15.04-11.63%0.0569✓1.4176k2022-07-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3012.2914-0.42%2.024-12.04%0.0489✓1.6990k2022-07-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.531.5236-0.42%1.482-3.14%0.0168✗1.00178k2022-07-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5260.523837-0.41%0.478-9.13%0.0297✓1.3999k2022-07-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.78420.781018-0.41%0.848+8.14%0.1282✗1.034.0M2022-07-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.38942.38-0.39%2.206-7.68%0.0024✓1.654,8022022-07-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028390.002828-0.39%0.002667-6.06%0.0126✓1.031.3M2022-07-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1920.191253-0.39%0.1671-12.97%0.0673✓1.522,7942022-07-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3856.3605-0.38%6.277-1.69%0.0470✗1.355.5M2022-07-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.152714-0.38%0.1396-8.94%0.0304✓1.33353k2022-07-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10470.1043-0.38%0.0995-4.97%0.0030✓0.997,0862022-07-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.465.4394-0.38%5.35-2.01%0.0431✗1.34264k2022-07-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.15.0808-0.38%4.81-5.69%0.0107✗1.471.3M2022-07-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0672080.066963-0.36%0.061727-8.15%0.0277✓1.212.3M2022-07-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29710.296042-0.36%0.2664-10.33%0.0528✓1.183.0M2022-07-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25890.257991-0.35%0.2436-5.91%0.0063✓1.1531k2022-07-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11940.118983-0.35%0.1111-6.95%0.0242✓1.004.0M2022-07-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001120.000011161-0.35%0.00001031-7.95%0.0234✓1.261.3M2022-07-11
FTTFTXEthereum25.8825.7913-0.34%24.98-3.48%0.0095✗0.9311.6M2022-07-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026780.026689-0.34%0.02594-3.14%0.0444✗1.642,0362022-07-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057710.057516-0.34%0.05481-5.03%0.0139✗1.3927k2022-07-11
BANDBandEthereum1.4361.4312-0.34%1.322-7.94%0.0148✓1.45428k2022-07-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408090.406718-0.34%0.37405-8.34%0.0280✓1.25155k2022-07-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010630.010594-0.33%0.00974-8.37%0.0382✓1.035.5M2022-07-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056630.005644-0.33%0.005543-2.12%0.0246✗0.963,1492022-07-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0125130.012472-0.33%0.011753-6.07%0.0223✓0.831.4M2022-07-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0518980.05173-0.32%0.051002-1.73%0.0145✗0.6415k2022-07-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.80e-73.79e-7-0.32%3.68e-7-3.23%0.0198✗1.11543k2022-07-11
ADACardanoCardano0.46220.460747-0.31%0.4344-6.01%0.0020✓1.2846.7M2022-07-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.742.7315-0.31%2.6-5.11%0.0002✓1.11552k2022-07-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.7718.7439-0.31%8.163-6.93%0.0093✓1.3313.1M2022-07-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004080.004067-0.31%0.00377-7.60%0.0155✓1.36169k2022-07-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.18052.1738-0.31%2.0822-4.51%0.0078✓0.791.1M2022-07-11
XECeCashnative0.000040350.000040229-0.30%0.00003797-5.90%0.0032✓1.232.4M2022-07-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.92.8913-0.30%2.795-3.62%0.0000✓0.76583k2022-07-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.17450.173981-0.30%0.1604-8.08%0.0190✓1.403,2022022-07-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.868830.866277-0.29%0.80461-7.39%0.0138✓1.35547k2022-07-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09990.099609-0.29%0.0915-8.41%0.0250✓1.342.8M2022-07-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1073790.107068-0.29%0.101391-5.58%0.0094✓1.019.2M2022-07-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2392.2326-0.29%2.068-7.64%0.0133✓1.4266k2022-07-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067280.006709-0.29%0.006528-2.97%0.0014✓0.5897k2022-07-11
KSMKusamaHydration49.9449.7984-0.28%46.66-6.57%0.0127✓1.18333k2022-07-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.668106-0.28%0.645-3.73%0.0222✗1.29157k2022-07-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,850.6520,791.82-0.28%19,942.43-4.36%0.0028✗1.00472.7M2022-07-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31060.309727-0.28%0.2967-4.48%0.0098✗1.199.4M2022-07-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09890.098622-0.28%0.0934-5.56%0.0182✓0.81157k2022-07-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.82511.82-0.28%1.7564-3.76%0.0023✓0.85954k2022-07-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.009160.009135-0.28%0.00882-3.71%0.0067✗0.941.2M2022-07-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1611.1578-0.28%1.094-5.77%0.0046✓1.171.7M2022-07-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019920.019866-0.27%0.01796-9.84%0.0666✓0.77414k2022-07-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04320.043082-0.27%0.0398-7.87%0.0185✓1.369,9202022-07-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4432.4364-0.27%2.307-5.57%0.0237✗1.763.4M2022-07-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04660.046474-0.27%0.0428-8.15%0.0217✓1.36897k2022-07-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028520.028444-0.27%0.02635-7.61%0.0186✓1.3024k2022-07-11
ZECZcashZcash59.6359.4707-0.27%55.65-6.67%0.0076✓1.321.8M2022-07-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,033.036,016.92-0.27%5,496.41-8.89%0.0314✓1.334.5M2022-07-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.2550.25432-0.27%0.2354-7.69%0.0275✓1.1262k2022-07-11
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7834.7703-0.27%4.34-9.26%0.0151✓1.7816.6M2022-07-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.4845.4696-0.26%5.193-5.31%0.0008✓1.152.2M2022-07-11
RADRadworksEthereum1.711.7055-0.26%1.7-0.58%0.0475✗1.14114k2022-07-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3591.3555-0.26%1.294-4.78%0.0193✗1.47170k2022-07-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.0951.9573-0.25%48.67-6.57%0.0129✓1.1818.8M2022-07-11
STXStacksnative0.40560.404573-0.25%0.3748-7.59%0.0200✓1.27354k2022-07-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.484.4688-0.25%4.37-2.46%0.0070✗0.66795k2022-07-11
AAVEAaveEthereum77.7377.5354-0.25%69.82-10.18%0.0316✓1.648.9M2022-07-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91270.910415-0.25%0.8569-6.11%0.0041✗1.452.0M2022-07-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4114.3741-0.25%13.47-6.52%0.0042✓1.371.5M2022-07-11
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.88e-7-0.25%8.70e-7-2.25%0.0171✗0.845.7M2022-07-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.404-0.25%2.22-7.88%0.0094✓1.58236k2022-07-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.1916.1757-0.25%6.036-2.50%0.0340✗1.2820.5M2022-07-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10830.108038-0.24%0.1014-6.37%0.0144✓1.10401k2022-07-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006830.006813-0.24%0.00649-4.98%0.0039✓1.00407k2022-07-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.266.245-0.24%5.94-5.11%0.0284✓0.49815k2022-07-11
KCSKuCoinnative9.279.2484-0.23%8.867-4.35%0.0078✗1.123.1M2022-07-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.034.0206-0.23%3.87-3.97%0.0095✓0.64689k2022-07-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49330.492187-0.23%0.4671-5.31%0.0016✓1.21634k2022-07-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4392.4336-0.22%2.404-1.44%0.0289✗0.92148k2022-07-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.3151.3121-0.22%1.2351-6.08%0.0004✓1.37685k2022-07-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.49.3799-0.21%8.54-9.15%0.0292✓1.451.1M2022-07-11
XMRMoneroMonero129.44129.1653-0.21%126.93-1.94%0.0338✗1.151.3M2022-07-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.41092.4058-0.21%2.2902-5.01%0.0040✓1.021.3M2022-07-11
QTUMQtumQtum2.94282.9366-0.21%2.7005-8.23%0.0348✓1.1030k2022-07-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2721.2694-0.21%1.191-6.37%0.0028✓1.372.9M2022-07-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.282550.281968-0.21%0.28158-0.34%0.0551✗1.27464k2022-07-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6380.636686-0.21%0.591-7.37%0.0334✓0.92419k2022-07-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.14970.149394-0.20%0.1357-9.35%0.0395✓1.27102k2022-07-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1619.1211-0.20%17.31-9.66%0.0318✓1.5227.8M2022-07-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001010.001008-0.20%0.000943-6.62%0.0092✓1.292.7M2022-07-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05180.051704-0.19%0.0501-3.28%0.0030✗0.77209k2022-07-11
DASHDashDash45.1645.0764-0.19%41.49-8.13%0.0343✓1.09739k2022-07-11
SOLSolanaSolana36.6936.6231-0.18%33.41-8.94%0.0335✓1.3190.8M2022-07-11
XTZTezosTezos1.62581.6229-0.18%1.5716-3.33%0.0248✗1.28555k2022-07-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.124530.124314-0.17%0.11902-4.42%0.0287✗1.62198k2022-07-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.10520.10502-0.17%0.1063+1.05%0.0619✗1.12551k2022-07-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8496.8373-0.17%6.521-4.79%0.0078✗1.2411.3M2022-07-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.159.1344-0.17%8.25-9.84%0.0498✓1.17307k2022-07-11
FLOWFlownative1.6411.6382-0.17%1.508-8.10%0.0296✓1.19297k2022-07-11
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8060.804641-0.17%0.771-4.34%0.0067✓0.811.6M2022-07-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6490.647931-0.16%0.6-7.55%0.0070✓1.57214k2022-07-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.6152.6107-0.16%2.472-5.47%0.0030✓1.16969k2022-07-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48250.481737-0.16%0.4529-6.13%0.0118✓1.12252k2022-07-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07870.078576-0.16%0.075-4.70%0.0094✗1.267,1372022-07-11
NANOnanopayBase0.8800540.878721-0.15%0.843157-4.19%0.0045✗1.0393k2022-07-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.07361.072-0.15%1.0046-6.43%0.0159✓1.1065k2022-07-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86271.8599-0.15%1.7052-8.45%0.0315✓1.2437k2022-07-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.1315.1072-0.15%14.2-6.15%0.0095✓1.181.7M2022-07-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.521.5177-0.15%1.43-5.92%0.0058✗1.47284k2022-07-11
MOVRMoonriverBase12.042512.0249-0.15%11.5955-3.71%0.0167✗1.19316k2022-07-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,167.681,166.02-0.14%1,095.56-6.18%0.0102✓1.17339.3M2022-07-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.24754.1707-0.14%50.206-7.45%0.0387✓0.84488k2022-07-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash106.77106.6205-0.14%99.04-7.24%0.0232✓1.145.7M2022-07-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.051090.051022-0.13%0.04664-8.71%0.0237✓1.49847k2022-07-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39140.39092-0.12%0.3946+0.82%0.0699✗1.3694k2022-07-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,768.9020,743.80-0.12%19,940.90-3.99%0.0045✗0.9946k2022-07-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.0530.052936-0.12%0.048-9.43%0.0315✓1.49118k2022-07-11
PROPropyEthereum0.850.849011-0.12%0.83-2.35%0.0093✗0.72129k2022-07-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.06310.063028-0.11%0.061-3.33%0.0318✗1.45322k2022-07-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.09720.097097-0.11%0.0873-10.19%0.0468✓1.34696k2022-07-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6220.621377-0.10%0.604-2.89%0.0260✗1.22952k2022-07-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3125850.312357-0.07%0.283224-9.39%0.0416✓1.262.3M2022-07-11
TRXTRONTron0.0676050.067563-0.06%0.064581-4.47%0.0081✓0.83611k2022-07-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.63775.6342-0.06%5.4011-4.20%0.0339✓0.19291k2022-07-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.273853-0.05%0.265-3.28%0.0126✗1.02600k2022-07-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19860.198537-0.03%0.1918-3.42%0.0309✗1.47146k2022-07-11
GTGateEthereum3.91893.9224+0.09%3.8933-0.65%0.0244✓0.711.2M2022-07-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.