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2022-07-05 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0510
181 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-19.91%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
61.9%
in alpha space · 16.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.93%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTGateEthereum4.05294.0557+0.07%4.0142-0.95%0.0245✗0.741.2M2022-07-06
AAVEAaveEthereum60.5760.5973+0.05%62.94+3.91%0.0067✓1.637.7M2022-07-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,328.4020,332.50+0.02%20,413.50+0.42%0.0149✗0.9943k2022-07-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19430.19422-0.04%0.1906-1.90%0.0470✓1.47155k2022-07-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3011210.300911-0.07%0.307678+2.18%0.0023✓1.282.3M2022-07-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.0930.092927-0.08%0.0928-0.22%0.0286✓1.42762k2022-07-06
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6020.601448-0.09%0.637+5.81%0.0343✗1.21952k2022-07-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.05980.059738-0.10%0.0607+1.51%0.0122✓1.47367k2022-07-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash103.95103.8395-0.11%105.86+1.84%0.0025✓1.146.0M2022-07-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.09860.098487-0.11%0.0996+1.01%0.0109✓1.15566k2022-07-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.73255.7258-0.12%5.8046+1.26%0.0096✗0.21312k2022-07-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001610.001608-0.12%0.001588-1.37%0.0324✓1.0412k2022-07-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2790.27867-0.12%0.283+1.43%0.0044✓1.04704k2022-07-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.05320.053137-0.12%0.0542+1.88%0.0093✓1.52146k2022-07-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.11654.0507-0.12%54.636+0.96%0.0055✓0.85873k2022-07-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.049630.049568-0.12%0.05158+3.93%0.0110✗1.511.1M2022-07-06
ETHEthereumEthereum1,131.261,129.84-0.13%1,185.61+4.80%0.0258✗1.17342.2M2022-07-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.4282-0.13%1.46+2.10%0.0066✓1.50386k2022-07-06
MOVRMoonriverBase12.036512.0212-0.13%12.3111+2.28%0.0004✓1.23316k2022-07-06
TRXTRONTron0.0681290.068042-0.13%0.067504-0.92%0.0245✓0.86627k2022-07-06
XTZTezosTezos1.46571.4638-0.13%1.5433+5.29%0.0282✗1.29654k2022-07-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.120550.120391-0.13%0.1261+4.60%0.0150✗1.64169k2022-07-06
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07440.074301-0.13%0.0757+1.75%0.0053✓1.267,1822022-07-06
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7810.779951-0.13%0.885+13.32%0.1103✗0.841.6M2022-07-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.03871.0373-0.14%1.059+1.95%0.0009✓1.1354k2022-07-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.358.3386-0.14%8.69+4.07%0.0186✗1.19374k2022-07-06
NANOnanopayBase0.8360410.834885-0.14%0.911182+8.99%0.0673✗1.0597k2022-07-06
PROPropyEthereum0.830.828792-0.15%0.85+2.41%0.0112✗0.73155k2022-07-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.258130.257723-0.16%0.28113+8.91%0.0625✗1.28480k2022-07-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8456.8339-0.16%6.915+1.02%0.0123✓1.2613.1M2022-07-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.9114.8851-0.17%15.18+1.81%0.0034✓1.212.0M2022-07-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05070.050615-0.17%0.0511+0.79%0.0053✓0.78217k2022-07-06
XMRMoneroMonero122.3122.0921-0.17%125.33+2.48%0.0037✗1.181.3M2022-07-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.80841.8053-0.17%1.8376+1.61%0.0066✓1.2762k2022-07-06
SOLSolanaSolana35.3735.3087-0.17%37.01+4.64%0.0215✗1.3495.5M2022-07-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3262.3219-0.18%2.44+4.90%0.0313✗0.96157k2022-07-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0009550.00095327-0.18%0.0009592+0.44%0.0195✓1.342.9M2022-07-06
DASHDashDash43.1343.0507-0.18%44.2+2.48%0.0051✗1.11739k2022-07-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6210.619855-0.18%0.624+0.48%0.0113✓0.94412k2022-07-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.0317.9968-0.18%19.15+6.21%0.0330✗1.5230.5M2022-07-06
SUSHISushiEthereum1.081.078-0.19%1.15+6.48%0.0353✗1.54749k2022-07-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2521.2496-0.19%1.261+0.72%0.0177✓1.403.6M2022-07-06
UMAUMAEthereum2.6332.6279-0.19%2.642+0.34%0.0180✓1.221.0M2022-07-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09730.097108-0.20%0.0927-4.73%0.0620✓0.81185k2022-07-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.14310.142817-0.20%0.1428-0.21%0.0254✓1.32120k2022-07-06
FLOWFlownative1.6021.5988-0.20%1.6-0.12%0.0225✓1.21304k2022-07-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.4152.41-0.21%2.42+0.21%0.0164✓1.071.6M2022-07-06
KCSKuCoinnative8.8218.8025-0.21%8.979+1.79%0.0020✓1.143.1M2022-07-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22310.222629-0.21%0.2232+0.04%0.0226✓1.31236k2022-07-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin49.6549.5445-0.21%50.29+1.29%0.0078✓1.1918.8M2022-07-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48740.486349-0.22%0.5055+3.71%0.0147✗1.25634k2022-07-06
QTUMQtumQtum2.86132.8549-0.22%2.8773+0.56%0.0139✓1.1332k2022-07-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.5045.4917-0.22%5.624+2.18%0.0016✓1.335.7M2022-07-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6740.672483-0.23%0.677+0.45%0.0246✓1.64242k2022-07-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.126.1061-0.23%6.25+2.12%0.0137✗0.50960k2022-07-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40410.403182-0.23%0.4074+0.82%0.0166✓1.41101k2022-07-06
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024470.024414-0.23%0.02886+17.94%0.1482✗1.001,9592022-07-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27130.270664-0.23%0.2755+1.55%0.0056✓1.223.1M2022-07-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010320.000010296-0.23%0.00001047+1.45%0.0074✓1.261.0M2022-07-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006590.006574-0.25%0.00668+1.37%0.0033✓1.01417k2022-07-06
ZECZcashZcash57.0556.9085-0.25%58.16+1.95%0.0043✓1.361.9M2022-07-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.46e-73.45e-7-0.25%3.79e-7+9.50%0.0726✗1.08598k2022-07-06
UNIUniswapEthereum5.2955.2817-0.25%5.342+0.89%0.0148✓1.375.5M2022-07-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.444.4288-0.25%4.5+1.35%0.0032✗0.67939k2022-07-06
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17920.178744-0.25%0.1816+1.34%0.0033✓1.002,7992022-07-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04660.046481-0.25%0.047+0.86%0.0153✓1.381.1M2022-07-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,153.5120,102.09-0.26%20,542.67+1.93%0.0026✓1.00500.8M2022-07-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10390.103635-0.26%0.1061+2.12%0.0021✓1.12478k2022-07-06
RADRadworksEthereum1.591.5859-0.26%1.66+4.40%0.0239✗1.14140k2022-07-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09650.096249-0.26%0.0986+2.18%0.0020✓1.373.0M2022-07-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2911.2876-0.26%1.377+6.66%0.0388✗1.48169k2022-07-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3056.2881-0.27%6.327+0.35%0.0187✓1.3027.1M2022-07-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4714.4311-0.27%14.77+2.07%0.0032✓1.381.5M2022-07-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041120.041009-0.27%0.04092-0.49%0.0216✓1.013,1732022-07-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.76421.7594-0.27%1.7961+1.81%0.0044✗0.851.2M2022-07-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.064.049-0.27%4.06+0.00%0.0098✓0.661.1M2022-07-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.24010.239439-0.28%0.2429+1.17%0.0079✓1.1678k2022-07-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.39.2743-0.28%10.26+10.32%0.0728✗1.471.2M2022-07-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30750.306649-0.28%0.3106+1.01%0.0103✓1.2110.0M2022-07-06
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.68e-7-0.28%8.70e-7+0.00%0.0135✓0.855.5M2022-07-06
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.013.0015-0.28%3.04+1.00%0.0064✓1.0086k2022-07-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10370.103408-0.28%0.1061+2.31%0.0064✗1.016,3732022-07-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.4795.4635-0.28%5.559+1.46%0.0052✓1.182.3M2022-07-06
STXStacksnative0.40070.399561-0.28%0.398-0.67%0.0288✓1.30341k2022-07-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04250.042379-0.28%0.043+1.18%0.0125✓1.4112k2022-07-06
DODODODOEthereum0.12190.121552-0.29%0.1335+9.52%0.0690✗1.292.9M2022-07-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.07872.0727-0.29%2.1214+2.05%0.0068✗0.861.6M2022-07-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.298010.297147-0.29%0.29848+0.16%0.0223✓1.403,3372022-07-06
SCSiacoinnative0.003790.003779-0.29%0.00387+2.11%0.0030✓1.40169k2022-07-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019560.019503-0.29%0.01958+0.10%0.0152✓1.0096k2022-07-06
BANDBandEthereum1.3251.3211-0.30%1.347+1.66%0.0088✓1.47471k2022-07-06
ZENHorizenBase14.614.5566-0.30%15.29+4.73%0.0221✗1.4267k2022-07-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1077690.107449-0.30%0.109283+1.40%0.0027✓1.039.7M2022-07-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2212.2144-0.30%2.297+3.42%0.0093✗1.4368k2022-07-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009880.00985-0.30%0.01025+3.74%0.0195✗1.066.2M2022-07-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.8282.8195-0.30%2.83+0.07%0.0115✓0.80841k2022-07-06
MINAMina Protocolnative0.650.648032-0.30%0.672+3.38%0.0108✗1.33178k2022-07-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.02760.027516-0.31%0.02834+2.68%0.0041✗1.3326k2022-07-06
KSMKusamaHydration50.350.1456-0.31%51.25+1.89%0.0013✓1.21505k2022-07-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0119420.011905-0.31%0.012059+0.98%0.0033✓0.841.6M2022-07-06
MANADecentralandEthereum0.873770.871039-0.31%0.91459+4.67%0.0225✗1.38611k2022-07-06
ADACardanoCardano0.45670.455272-0.31%0.4619+1.14%0.0107✓1.3163.0M2022-07-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.009110.009081-0.31%0.00913+0.22%0.0132✓0.971.2M2022-07-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.37421.3699-0.31%1.3926+1.34%0.0087✓1.32767k2022-07-06
APEApeCoinEthereum4.9114.8955-0.32%5.014+2.10%0.0107✓1.8116.0M2022-07-06
STEEMSteemnative0.21360.212922-0.32%0.2151+0.70%0.0129✓1.21701k2022-07-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.62.5917-0.32%2.79+7.31%0.0523✗1.12577k2022-07-06
DIADIAEthereum0.380980.379765-0.32%0.39434+3.51%0.0241✗0.7162k2022-07-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0025870.002579-0.32%0.00272+5.14%0.0331✗1.061.4M2022-07-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11490.114527-0.32%0.1168+1.65%0.0005✓1.004.0M2022-07-06
FTTFTXEthereum25.1625.0759-0.33%26.28+4.45%0.0290✗0.9412.9M2022-07-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.74920.746694-0.33%0.7581+1.19%0.0053✓1.074.0M2022-07-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068660.006843-0.34%0.006925+0.86%0.0000✓0.62114k2022-07-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.4716-0.34%2.51+1.21%0.0156✓1.62301k2022-07-06
FORTFortaEthereum0.24830.247434-0.35%0.2504+0.85%0.0072✓1.00651k2022-07-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.1111.071-0.35%11.9+7.11%0.0414✗1.61463k2022-07-06
CBKCobakEthereum0.913310.910081-0.35%0.9408+3.01%0.0107✗1.182,3312022-07-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,140.606,118.83-0.35%6,308.79+2.74%0.0052✗1.334.5M2022-07-06
XYMSymbolnative0.0510.050818-0.36%0.0517+1.37%0.0047✗0.6521k2022-07-06
QNTQuantEthereum59.7159.491-0.37%61.97+3.78%0.0221✗0.982.2M2022-07-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057040.056831-0.37%0.05572-2.31%0.0461✓1.3828k2022-07-06
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1841.1796-0.37%1.261+6.50%0.0439✗1.191.7M2022-07-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.067030.066778-0.37%0.068516+2.22%0.0022✓1.232.1M2022-07-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48720.485372-0.38%0.492+0.99%0.0083✓1.14203k2022-07-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.26580.264795-0.38%0.2598-2.26%0.0424✓1.2227k2022-07-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14790.14734-0.38%0.1526+3.18%0.0089✗1.37514k2022-07-06
COMPCompoundEthereum46.746.5228-0.38%46-1.50%0.0386✓1.4328k2022-07-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0205980.020519-0.38%0.020657+0.29%0.0136✓1.061,2032022-07-06
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1042.096-0.38%2.291+8.89%0.0566✗1.69101k2022-07-06
XVGVergenative0.003030.003018-0.38%0.00309+1.98%0.0029✓1.38664k2022-07-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.638010.635482-0.40%0.702+10.03%0.0683✗1.6399k2022-07-06
XVSVenusEthereum4.934.9104-0.40%5.06+2.64%0.0009✓1.521.5M2022-07-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.020340.020256-0.41%0.0204+0.29%0.0077✓0.77417k2022-07-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.918.8723-0.42%8.886-0.27%0.0245✓1.3616.0M2022-07-06
GITCOINGITCOIN2.54752.5364-0.43%2.498-1.94%0.0478✓1.708,1182022-07-06
HIVEHivenative0.44180.43988-0.43%0.4555+3.10%0.0100✗1.301.2M2022-07-06
ELAElastosEthereum1.4091.4029-0.43%1.467+4.12%0.0256✗1.00150k2022-07-06
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.147960.147311-0.44%0.24049+62.54%0.4710✗1.008392022-07-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.315.2867-0.44%5.64+6.21%0.0393✗1.33300k2022-07-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03640.036239-0.44%0.0371+1.92%0.0011✓1.28168k2022-07-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061870.006159-0.44%0.006097-1.45%0.0299✓1.033,9102022-07-06
XECeCashnative0.000041560.000041373-0.45%0.00004262+2.55%0.0054✗1.272.6M2022-07-06
C98Coin98Ethereum0.48240.480229-0.45%0.5093+5.58%0.0396✗1.0089k2022-07-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.18530.18446-0.45%0.1866+0.70%0.0151✓1.393,3092022-07-06
OPTIMOptimism0.5240.521597-0.46%0.543+3.63%0.0074✗1.711.6M2022-07-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12610.12552-0.46%0.1251-0.79%0.0299✓1.3933k2022-07-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.683.6628-0.47%3.71+0.82%0.0000✓0.672.2M2022-07-06
IMXImmutableEthereum0.98950.984859-0.47%1.0139+2.47%0.0001✓1.522.4M2022-07-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024450.024328-0.50%0.02512+2.74%0.0013✓1.7423.0M2022-07-06
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066780.066447-0.50%0.07049+5.56%0.0435✗0.812,3072022-07-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0157980.015719-0.50%0.016049+1.59%0.0098✗0.57366k2022-07-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.38050.378558-0.51%0.4497+18.19%0.1403✗1.67202k2022-07-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5360.533241-0.51%0.54+0.75%0.0147✓1.43109k2022-07-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04610.045859-0.52%0.0475+3.04%0.0106✗1.29253k2022-07-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6492.6349-0.53%2.612-1.40%0.0435✓1.823.7M2022-07-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043960.043724-0.54%0.04441+1.02%0.0028✓0.967,9572022-07-06
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3940.391873-0.54%0.393-0.25%0.0188✓1.1311k2022-07-06
FISStafiEthereum0.320.318235-0.55%0.3593+12.28%0.1022✗1.008122022-07-06
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26190.260387-0.58%0.2613-0.23%0.0156✓1.0067k2022-07-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.787620.782933-0.60%0.77816-1.20%0.0222✓0.842702022-07-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2860.284204-0.63%0.282-1.40%0.0392✓1.641.2M2022-07-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8390.833634-0.64%0.849+1.19%0.0194✓1.9716.4M2022-07-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.440140.437268-0.65%0.44139+0.28%0.0152✓1.29155k2022-07-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9362.9167-0.66%2.955+0.65%0.0007✓0.654.1M2022-07-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09040.089798-0.67%0.0991+9.62%0.0730✗1.34171k2022-07-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.113.089-0.68%3.19+2.57%0.0188✗0.70904k2022-07-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.511.4997-0.68%1.48-1.99%0.0193✓0.32648k2022-07-06
GMTGMTEthereum0.9030.896765-0.69%0.965+6.87%0.0384✗1.83813k2022-07-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.73.6732-0.72%3.84+3.78%0.0323✗0.631.0M2022-07-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.439360.435983-0.77%0.44192+0.58%0.0171✓1.601.9M2022-07-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3073.2814-0.77%3.449+4.29%0.0382✗0.612.6M2022-07-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.95430.946323-0.84%0.96+0.60%0.0124✓1.404.3M2022-07-06
XEMNEMnative0.0403190.039981-0.84%0.040762+1.10%0.0036✓1.2015k2022-07-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.851.8291-1.13%1.826-1.30%0.0304✓1.50115k2022-07-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6750.667226-1.15%0.694+2.81%0.0105✓1.512,8402022-07-06
API3Api3Ethereum2.1252.1005-1.15%2.084-1.93%0.0344✓1.391.1M2022-07-06
LUNATerraTerra 20.000116350.000114424-1.66%0.0001122-3.57%0.0563✓1.92951k2022-07-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.04071.022-1.80%1.002-3.72%0.0445✓1.30240k2022-07-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.917.4818-2.34%17.25-3.63%0.0339✓1.07267k2022-07-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08170.079217-3.04%0.0949+16.16%0.1587✗1.1594k2022-07-06
ORCAOrcaSolana0.022920.018479-19.37%0.7999+3389.97%3.7495✗0.9689k2022-07-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.