8=======>

2022-06-15 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0406
172 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.16%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.6%
in alpha space · 37.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.71%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XMRMoneroMonero118.21119.1987+0.84%106.33-10.05%0.0024✓1.141.7M2022-06-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3160.318525+0.80%0.278-12.03%0.0310✓1.64407k2022-06-16
FLOWFlownative1.6721.6852+0.79%1.391-16.81%0.0897✗1.00580k2022-06-16
AAVEAaveEthereum66.5967.0894+0.75%56.51-15.14%0.0005✓1.687.7M2022-06-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.7680.77366+0.74%0.664-13.54%0.0105✗1.395.0M2022-06-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18550.18684+0.72%0.158-14.82%0.0169✗1.48196k2022-06-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.6810.685448+0.65%0.593-12.92%0.0419✓1.831.8M2022-06-16
APEApeCoinEthereum4.1614.188+0.65%3.372-18.96%0.0195✗1.9317.0M2022-06-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.760.764663+0.61%0.6-21.05%0.1313✗1.0971k2022-06-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3111.3188+0.60%1.23-6.18%0.1072✓1.73231k2022-06-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.9541.9655+0.59%1.743-10.80%0.0643✓1.812.9M2022-06-16
COMPCompoundEthereum35.5235.7262+0.58%30.16-15.09%0.0197✗1.4728k2022-06-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.253280.254727+0.57%0.24344-3.89%0.0918✓1.34453k2022-06-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2740330.275528+0.55%0.261084-4.73%0.0977✓1.482.4M2022-06-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash127.9128.589+0.54%109.37-14.49%0.0403✗1.194.4M2022-06-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7880.792231+0.54%0.667-15.36%0.0549✗1.151.0M2022-06-16
OPTIMOptimism0.5920.595178+0.54%0.49-17.23%0.0923✗1.006.5M2022-06-16
GTGateEthereum4.40014.4235+0.53%3.9508-10.21%0.0459✗0.662.1M2022-06-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,347.815,375.26+0.51%4,598.44-14.01%0.0235✗1.303.7M2022-06-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.111.1157+0.51%0.96-13.51%0.0130✓1.601.1M2022-06-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4180.420091+0.50%0.381-8.85%0.0681✓1.624,1942022-06-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.90.904495+0.50%0.807-10.33%0.0704✓1.81319k2022-06-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.87e-73.89e-7+0.49%3.34e-7-13.63%0.0665✗0.831.1M2022-06-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10850.109034+0.49%0.1016-6.36%0.0796✓1.4749k2022-06-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.468.5+0.47%7.13-15.72%0.0567✗1.17508k2022-06-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000061940.000062226+0.46%0.000058-6.36%0.1783✓2.431.7M2022-06-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,236.451,242.02+0.45%1,066.87-13.72%0.0390✗1.11365.6M2022-06-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.2918.3719+0.45%15.77-13.78%0.0008✓1.4949.3M2022-06-16
MOVRMoonriverBase15.050415.1168+0.44%12.9736-13.80%0.0154✗1.35222k2022-06-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006930.00696+0.43%0.00641-7.50%0.0280✓1.08582k2022-06-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2680.269138+0.42%0.253-5.60%0.0517✓1.11890k2022-06-16
KCSKuCoinnative11.83211.882+0.42%11.087-6.30%0.0444✓1.115.3M2022-06-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03820.038361+0.42%0.0345-9.69%0.0406✓1.44374k2022-06-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008770.000880576+0.41%0.000783-10.72%0.0263✓1.412.0M2022-06-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05850.058735+0.40%0.052-11.11%0.0019✓1.21139k2022-06-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0032330.003246+0.40%0.003262+0.90%0.1287✓1.214,5492022-06-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.8815.9421+0.39%13.82-12.97%0.0096✗1.302.6M2022-06-16
STXStacksnative0.36490.366319+0.39%0.3286-9.95%0.0291✓1.35165k2022-06-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.24230.243242+0.39%0.2314-4.50%0.0854✓1.3231k2022-06-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,562.3322,647.94+0.38%20,372.00-9.71%0.0038✗1.00602.3M2022-06-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.13430.1348+0.37%0.124-7.67%0.0622✓1.43169k2022-06-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.53621.5419+0.37%1.3599-11.48%0.0064✓1.292.0M2022-06-16
CBKCobakEthereum0.881140.884401+0.37%0.84123-4.53%0.0831✓1.305,7412022-06-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06420.064437+0.37%0.0581-9.50%0.0242✗0.78313k2022-06-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141960.142473+0.36%0.12518-11.82%0.0392✓1.65260k2022-06-16
XVGVergenative0.003310.003322+0.36%0.00286-13.60%0.0010✓1.48648k2022-06-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.620.62214+0.35%0.48-22.58%0.1479✗1.0956k2022-06-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.478.4983+0.33%7.91-6.61%0.0356✓1.05283k2022-06-16
SCSiacoinnative0.00380.003813+0.33%0.00341-10.26%0.0488✓1.57228k2022-06-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020820.020887+0.32%0.01905-8.50%0.0199✓1.10149k2022-06-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1120.112358+0.32%0.0973-13.12%0.0062✓1.475.4M2022-06-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.399570.400842+0.32%0.42782+7.07%0.2244✓1.5663k2022-06-16
ZECZcashZcash68.5768.7858+0.31%58.94-14.04%0.0153✗1.363.6M2022-06-16
XTZTezosTezos1.52691.5316+0.31%1.355-11.26%0.0137✓1.33914k2022-06-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0182.0238+0.29%1.699-15.81%0.0135✗1.5897k2022-06-16
BTTCBTTC8.30e-78.32e-7+0.28%7.60e-7-8.43%0.0001✓0.895.5M2022-06-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0198230.019878+0.28%0.018988-4.21%0.0828✓1.269,2752022-06-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6290.630654+0.26%0.574-8.74%0.0140✓1.06372k2022-06-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.467620.468735+0.24%0.49666+6.21%0.2610✓1.993.5M2022-06-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.21690.217398+0.23%0.2052-5.39%0.0664✓1.22100k2022-06-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009860.009882+0.23%0.00889-9.84%0.0038✓1.0712.1M2022-06-16
NANOnanopayBase0.8806030.882575+0.22%0.798118-9.37%0.0118✓1.10120k2022-06-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008820.000008839+0.22%0.00000795-9.86%0.0242✓1.28850k2022-06-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.054120.054236+0.21%0.04718-12.82%0.0272✓1.632.0M2022-06-16
QNTQuantEthereum50.850.901+0.20%44.42-12.56%0.0356✗0.992.0M2022-06-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.00231.0043+0.20%0.954432-4.77%0.0765✓1.2549k2022-06-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.854.8595+0.20%4.34-10.52%0.0342✓1.44405k2022-06-16
HIVEHivenative0.37880.379511+0.19%0.345-8.92%0.0534✓1.461.2M2022-06-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41190.412634+0.18%0.362-12.11%0.0268✓1.54160k2022-06-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8715.8814+0.18%5.302-9.69%0.0350✓1.362.6M2022-06-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.454.4578+0.17%4.04-9.21%0.0253✗0.721.6M2022-06-16
QTUMQtumQtum2.95662.9617+0.17%2.6461-10.50%0.0101✓1.2041k2022-06-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.327.3326+0.17%6.329-13.54%0.0109✗1.3415.2M2022-06-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3460.34659+0.17%0.324-6.36%0.0550✓1.2015k2022-06-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030530.003058+0.17%0.002801-8.25%0.0321✓1.172.1M2022-06-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.7915.8169+0.17%13.61-13.81%0.0014✓1.462.4M2022-06-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10740.107583+0.17%0.085-20.86%0.1018✗1.314,0262022-06-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0125190.01254+0.17%0.011964-4.43%0.0467✓0.922.0M2022-06-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.049770.049851+0.16%0.04558-8.42%0.0518✓1.3870k2022-06-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.09850.098655+0.16%0.0869-11.78%0.0292✓1.531.2M2022-06-16
DASHDashDash45.8645.9318+0.16%41.86-8.72%0.0246✓1.15837k2022-06-16
RADRadworksEthereum1.631.6324+0.15%1.52-6.75%0.0551✓1.24270k2022-06-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21390.214206+0.14%0.1959-8.42%0.0574✓1.44472k2022-06-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.102841+0.14%0.0928-9.64%0.0187✓1.19733k2022-06-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.690.690947+0.14%0.593-14.06%0.0123✗1.38578k2022-06-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9610.962307+0.14%0.833-13.32%0.0422✗1.001.6M2022-06-16
TRXTRONTron0.0629980.063075+0.12%0.058994-6.36%0.0352✓1.00756k2022-06-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.314370.314715+0.11%0.27575-12.28%0.0218✓1.5114k2022-06-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044730.044777+0.10%0.04577+2.33%0.1370✓1.1314k2022-06-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028050.028079+0.10%0.02555-8.91%0.0490✓1.4018k2022-06-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.10270.102799+0.10%0.0922-10.22%0.0178✓1.24852k2022-06-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0627140.062775+0.10%0.055166-12.04%0.0002✓1.271.3M2022-06-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin50.6350.6718+0.08%44.74-11.63%0.0016✗1.2017.5M2022-06-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0068820.006887+0.08%0.00623-9.47%0.0094✓1.072,5562022-06-16
STEEMSteemnative0.19650.19665+0.08%0.1854-5.65%0.0744✓1.31629k2022-06-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.84081.8421+0.07%1.7294-6.05%0.0314✓0.933.2M2022-06-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.009770.009777+0.07%0.00877-10.24%0.0009✗1.051.5M2022-06-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.471.4709+0.06%1.27-13.61%0.0212✓1.65596k2022-06-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28590.286049+0.05%0.2551-10.77%0.0170✓1.296.1M2022-06-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0070310.007034+0.05%0.006722-4.39%0.0369✓0.81167k2022-06-16
XECeCashnative0.000040390.000040407+0.04%0.00003702-8.34%0.0526✓1.373.0M2022-06-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4830.483182+0.04%0.425-12.01%0.0217✓1.47116k2022-06-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.550.550147+0.03%0.5-9.09%0.0465✓1.39771k2022-06-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.329.3225+0.03%8.02-13.95%0.0222✓1.692.7M2022-06-16
SOLSolanaSolana34.7234.7292+0.03%30.1-13.31%0.0011✓1.41107.4M2022-06-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,542.4022,544.61+0.01%20,300.70-9.94%0.0040✗0.9929k2022-06-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019210.019212+0.01%0.01773-7.70%0.0098✗0.69631k2022-06-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.9865.9862+0.00%5.311-11.28%0.0279✓1.4411.1M2022-06-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.02652.0266+0.00%1.7941-11.47%0.0177✓1.3768k2022-06-16
ZENHorizenBase16.0816.0801+0.00%13.48-16.17%0.0277✗1.4665k2022-06-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.720.719921-0.01%0.62-13.89%0.0008✓1.46195k2022-06-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7840.783905-0.01%0.685-12.63%0.0314✗1.633.2M2022-06-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.566.5577-0.04%6.05-7.77%0.0303✓0.492.1M2022-06-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.2851.2845-0.04%1.105-14.01%0.0027✗1.5079k2022-06-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16570.165629-0.04%0.1448-12.61%0.0153✗1.47917k2022-06-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03050.030486-0.05%0.0275-9.84%0.0353✗1.36247k2022-06-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04940.049371-0.06%0.043-12.96%0.0200✗1.5520k2022-06-16
DODODODOEthereum0.1380.137918-0.06%0.1219-11.67%0.0250✗1.454.4M2022-06-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.041180.041155-0.06%0.03838-6.80%0.0454✗1.132,9602022-06-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.463.4578-0.06%3.11-10.12%0.0272✓0.771.7M2022-06-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.0263.0237-0.08%2.845-5.98%0.0280✗0.871.9M2022-06-16
UNIUniswapEthereum4.4154.4115-0.08%3.829-13.27%0.0034✓1.353.2M2022-06-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.872.8677-0.08%2.57-10.45%0.0048✗1.12663k2022-06-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.14440.144285-0.08%0.1237-14.34%0.0532✓0.99256k2022-06-16
DIADIAEthereum0.418440.418096-0.08%0.37966-9.27%0.0281✓0.67276k2022-06-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3722.3696-0.10%1.978-16.61%0.0276✓1.50104k2022-06-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.084.0757-0.11%3.86-5.39%0.0176✗0.701.7M2022-06-16
XEMNEMnative0.0415060.041462-0.11%0.038032-8.37%0.0512✗1.3529k2022-06-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.63522.6324-0.11%2.3926-9.21%0.0181✗1.113.1M2022-06-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33990.339532-0.11%0.3018-11.21%0.0094✗1.2514.6M2022-06-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.06550.065425-0.12%0.0552-15.73%0.0081✓1.59141k2022-06-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.222.2171-0.13%2.1202-4.50%0.0503✗0.933.4M2022-06-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05980.059705-0.16%0.0526-12.04%0.0247✗1.481.7M2022-06-16
KSMKusamaHydration58.2658.1556-0.18%49.2-15.55%0.0409✓1.241.0M2022-06-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10790.107704-0.18%0.1049-2.78%0.0890✗1.137,2892022-06-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05011.0482-0.19%0.91995-12.40%0.0480✓0.816242022-06-16
PROPropyEthereum0.910.908198-0.20%0.86-5.49%0.0231✗0.76187k2022-06-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0512330.051131-0.20%0.0501-2.21%0.0537✗0.7367k2022-06-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09030.09012-0.20%0.0817-9.52%0.0513✗1.46354k2022-06-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.4918.4734-0.21%7.11-16.26%0.0410✓1.3213.5M2022-06-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1210180.12074-0.23%0.10905-9.89%0.0102✗1.1010.7M2022-06-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8150.812915-0.26%0.785-3.68%0.0673✗1.001.7M2022-06-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.327.3008-0.26%6.352-13.22%0.0050✓1.3140.5M2022-06-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.743.7301-0.26%3.6-3.74%0.0359✗0.707.0M2022-06-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.42852.422-0.27%2.2619-6.86%0.1227✗1.8717k2022-06-16
XVSVenusEthereum4.494.4776-0.28%4.05-9.80%0.0755✗1.721.7M2022-06-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.432.4231-0.28%2.29-5.76%0.1240✗1.77304k2022-06-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.99474.9793-0.31%5.0538+1.18%0.0419✗0.26235k2022-06-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5562.5478-0.32%2.344-8.29%0.0203✗1.0163k2022-06-16
ADACardanoCardano0.53430.532481-0.34%0.4756-10.99%0.0331✗1.4365.8M2022-06-16
FTTFTXEthereum25.5625.4729-0.34%23.28-8.92%0.0043✗0.929.4M2022-06-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.983.9659-0.35%3.57-10.30%0.0474✓0.572.1M2022-06-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.0720.071731-0.37%0.0558-22.50%0.1016✓1.46410k2022-06-16
BANDBandEthereum1.571.5639-0.39%1.348-14.14%0.0120✗1.57374k2022-06-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0162620.016199-0.39%0.014896-8.40%0.0231✓0.60469k2022-06-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2163.2027-0.41%2.909-9.55%0.0429✓0.524.5M2022-06-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.063040.062777-0.42%0.06111-3.06%0.0752✗1.001,7292022-06-16
MANADecentralandEthereum0.921060.917177-0.42%0.80833-12.24%0.0163✗1.40789k2022-06-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66670.663806-0.43%0.6143-7.86%0.0465✗1.212.8M2022-06-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.240.238905-0.46%0.212-11.67%0.0591✗1.751.3M2022-06-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.47755.2196-0.46%50.901-8.25%0.0092✗0.891.2M2022-06-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.7762.7628-0.47%2.64-4.90%0.0881✗1.311.1M2022-06-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.17860.177646-0.53%0.1494-16.35%0.0494✓1.213,0802022-06-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12860.127847-0.59%0.1134-11.82%0.0184✓0.993.3M2022-06-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.312.2267-0.60%10.81-12.11%0.0517✗1.71333k2022-06-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2643.2439-0.62%3.078-5.70%0.0206✗0.724.4M2022-06-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.5191.5085-0.69%1.284-15.47%0.0071✓1.51879k2022-06-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4961.4853-0.72%1.31-12.43%0.0290✗1.515.5M2022-06-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.360610.357683-0.81%0.32127-10.91%0.0252✗1.30105k2022-06-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9620.952981-0.94%0.822-14.55%0.0613✗2.0529.5M2022-06-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025230.024957-1.08%0.02059-18.39%0.0039✓1.9240.1M2022-06-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5494-1.94%1.47-6.96%0.0166✓0.68166k2022-06-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.