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2022-06-13 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1450
172 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.58%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
79.1%
in alpha space · 67.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.52%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AVTAventusEthereum1.611.5691-2.54%1.63+1.24%0.0483✗0.67166k2022-06-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1490.147487-1.02%0.1259-15.50%0.1435✓0.973.2M2022-06-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9410.931499-1.01%0.926-1.59%0.0251✗2.0312.5M2022-06-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2253.202-0.71%3.264+1.21%0.0306✗0.753.9M2022-06-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4581.4478-0.70%1.429-1.99%0.0098✗1.495.1M2022-06-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.7111.6318-0.67%11.75+0.34%0.0361✗1.70284k2022-06-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.174.1527-0.41%3.96-5.04%0.0394✓0.531.9M2022-06-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2863.2728-0.40%3.195-2.77%0.0156✓0.564.5M2022-06-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.06470.064454-0.38%0.05585-13.68%0.1280✓1.001,7292022-06-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7760.774296-0.22%0.822+5.93%0.0752✗1.011.7M2022-06-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30885.2982-0.20%5.4+1.72%0.0235✗0.29235k2022-06-14
PROPropyEthereum0.90.898575-0.16%0.93+3.33%0.0461✗0.77186k2022-06-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.04261.0415-0.11%1.0032-3.78%0.0253✓0.809702022-06-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.24.1962-0.09%4.03-4.05%0.0293✓0.721.7M2022-06-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4142.4119-0.09%2.441+1.12%0.0272✗1.0063k2022-06-14
FTTFTXEthereum24.5124.4982-0.05%23.96-2.24%0.0083✓0.919.1M2022-06-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.018290.018285-0.03%0.02014+10.11%0.1258✗1.9137.4M2022-06-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.796.7882-0.03%6.53-3.83%0.0312✓0.492.0M2022-06-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.0923.0912-0.03%2.992-3.23%0.0192✓0.881.8M2022-06-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.523.5192-0.02%3.49-0.85%0.0035✗0.771.7M2022-06-14
ADACardanoCardano0.46360.463539-0.01%0.4828+4.14%0.0623✗1.4152.0M2022-06-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56490.564827-0.01%0.6004+6.28%0.0793✗1.192.8M2022-06-14
BANDBandEthereum1.3181.3182+0.01%1.453+10.24%0.1213✓1.56342k2022-06-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0129610.012966+0.03%0.014658+13.09%0.1306✓0.52375k2022-06-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.192.1911+0.05%2.28+4.11%0.0668✓1.76294k2022-06-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16110.161179+0.05%0.1597-0.87%0.0129✓1.45805k2022-06-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.752.7514+0.05%2.79+1.45%0.0309✓1.11686k2022-06-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.007630.007634+0.05%0.00656-14.02%0.1356✗1.052,4432022-06-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019670.019682+0.06%0.01919-2.44%0.0148✗0.69646k2022-06-14
DODODODOEthereum0.1360.136092+0.07%0.1351-0.66%0.0149✓1.453.8M2022-06-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3353.3376+0.08%3.625+8.70%0.0943✓0.766.4M2022-06-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.06892.0707+0.09%2.1251+2.72%0.0407✓0.973.1M2022-06-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.007330.007337+0.09%0.00686-6.41%0.0550✗0.80153k2022-06-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.08212.084+0.09%2.283+9.65%0.1197✓1.8715k2022-06-14
MANADecentralandEthereum0.828490.829297+0.10%0.82109-0.89%0.0113✓1.39789k2022-06-14
XVSVenusEthereum3.883.8847+0.12%4.19+7.99%0.1015✓1.691.5M2022-06-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02910.029135+0.12%0.0291+0.00%0.0195✓1.36247k2022-06-14
XYMSymbolnative0.04860.048664+0.13%0.050449+3.80%0.0472✓0.7357k2022-06-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV46.67746.7405+0.14%53.965+15.61%0.1574✓0.891.2M2022-06-14
DIADIAEthereum0.380090.380673+0.15%0.39753+4.59%0.0535✓0.67271k2022-06-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.13050.130706+0.16%0.13-0.38%0.0128✓1.192,3482022-06-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08330.083469+0.20%0.0896+7.56%0.0932✓1.46402k2022-06-14
XEMNEMnative0.0390060.039087+0.21%0.040001+2.55%0.0436✓1.3431k2022-06-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13350.133797+0.22%0.1366+2.32%0.0356✓0.97258k2022-06-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum5.9175.9305+0.23%6.713+13.45%0.1440✓1.3237.2M2022-06-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037240.037325+0.23%0.0391+4.99%0.0632✓1.102,9602022-06-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0480.048118+0.25%0.0475-1.04%0.0105✓1.5323k2022-06-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.544.5516+0.26%4.42-2.64%0.0182✗0.731.6M2022-06-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1067610.10704+0.26%0.112638+5.50%0.0676✓1.0810.3M2022-06-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09910.099368+0.27%0.0988-0.30%0.0112✓1.117,2892022-06-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043290.043409+0.27%0.04428+2.29%0.0371✓1.1214k2022-06-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1890.189575+0.30%0.216+14.29%0.1564✓1.701.1M2022-06-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.05190.05206+0.31%0.0577+11.18%0.1244✓1.41405k2022-06-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.012810.012852+0.32%0.012422-3.03%0.0200✗0.922.0M2022-06-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.045620.045782+0.35%0.04722+3.51%0.0518✓1.3760k2022-06-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.4425.4613+0.36%5.558+2.13%0.0394✓1.4310.6M2022-06-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.72111.7273+0.36%1.8133+5.36%0.0633✓0.963.2M2022-06-14
RADRadworksEthereum1.521.5259+0.38%1.61+5.92%0.0726✓1.24270k2022-06-14
XECeCashnative0.000038270.000038419+0.39%0.00003807-0.52%0.0114✓1.343.0M2022-06-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.1070.107423+0.39%0.1105+3.27%0.0486✓1.334,0262022-06-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.05990.060138+0.40%0.0609+1.67%0.0370✓1.59141k2022-06-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.450730.452535+0.40%0.46115+2.31%0.0492✓1.983.5M2022-06-14
TRXTRONTron0.0637010.063962+0.41%0.055589-12.73%0.1258✗0.95715k2022-06-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.680.682883+0.42%0.69+1.47%0.0326✓1.45198k2022-06-14
STEEMSteemnative0.18350.184284+0.43%0.1927+5.01%0.0647✓1.31585k2022-06-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,471.7022,569.27+0.43%22,084.60-1.72%0.0066✗0.9929k2022-06-14
HIVEHivenative0.35840.359995+0.44%0.3572-0.33%0.0143✓1.451.1M2022-06-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3320.333487+0.45%0.338+1.81%0.0316✓1.1915k2022-06-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.88461.8933+0.46%1.9235+2.06%0.0365✓1.3558k2022-06-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30390.30531+0.46%0.3083+1.45%0.0284✓1.2214.4M2022-06-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026350.026479+0.49%0.02637+0.08%0.0169✓1.3817k2022-06-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4930.495426+0.49%0.515+4.46%0.0602✓1.40886k2022-06-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009710.009759+0.51%0.00934-3.81%0.0268✗1.1213.3M2022-06-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4470.449313+0.52%0.454+1.57%0.0328✓1.47116k2022-06-14
IMXImmutableEthereum0.70.703647+0.52%0.71+1.43%0.0338✓1.622.7M2022-06-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.09450.094995+0.52%0.0943-0.21%0.0115✓1.23795k2022-06-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.009050.009098+0.53%0.00972+7.40%0.0823✓1.061.5M2022-06-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002850.002865+0.53%0.00288+1.05%0.0228✓1.152.1M2022-06-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.284930.286458+0.54%0.29215+2.53%0.0389✓1.26105k2022-06-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.09260.093101+0.54%0.0951+2.70%0.0446✓1.531.2M2022-06-14
ZENHorizenBase14.1214.1969+0.54%14.65+3.75%0.0536✓1.4565k2022-06-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05080.051077+0.54%0.058+14.17%0.1499✓1.491.6M2022-06-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6620.665664+0.55%0.655-1.06%0.0053✓1.40578k2022-06-14
QNTQuantEthereum49.6649.9351+0.55%47.79-3.77%0.0289✗0.982.0M2022-06-14
BTTCBTTC8.10e-78.15e-7+0.56%8.10e-7+0.00%0.0081✓0.895.5M2022-06-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.25740.258855+0.57%0.2666+3.57%0.0489✓1.276.2M2022-06-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06540.065771+0.57%0.0643-1.68%0.0106✗0.79299k2022-06-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.2974+0.57%1.33+3.10%0.0499✓1.64574k2022-06-14
API3Api3Ethereum1.1491.1556+0.58%1.173+2.09%0.0370✓1.44826k2022-06-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5990.602494+0.58%0.593-1.00%0.0006✓1.08365k2022-06-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003310.003329+0.59%0.0032-3.32%0.0214✗1.194,6932022-06-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.1950.196147+0.59%0.1982+1.64%0.0319✓1.41432k2022-06-14
ZECZcashZcash65.4865.8734+0.60%64.06-2.17%0.0068✗1.383.6M2022-06-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.60.603651+0.61%0.62+3.33%0.0435✓1.1060k2022-06-14
NANOnanopayBase0.8458840.85104+0.61%0.830219-1.85%0.0064✗1.20120k2022-06-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0422.0545+0.61%2.061+0.93%0.0257✓1.48126k2022-06-14
SCSiacoinnative0.003590.003612+0.62%0.00359+0.00%0.0175✓1.55213k2022-06-14
UNIUniswapEthereum3.6623.685+0.63%3.857+5.32%0.0659✓1.332.7M2022-06-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.19920.200453+0.63%0.2016+1.20%0.0240✓1.2087k2022-06-14
LSKLiskEthereum0.9390690.945016+0.63%0.963038+2.55%0.0378✓1.2448k2022-06-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05610.056456+0.63%0.0559-0.36%0.0095✓1.27153k2022-06-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.038.0812+0.64%8.22+2.37%0.0426✓1.682.7M2022-06-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8530.858474+0.64%0.883+3.52%0.0435✓1.001.5M2022-06-14
KCSKuCoinnative11.70611.7813+0.64%11.914+1.78%0.0281✓1.105.3M2022-06-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0327.0772+0.64%7.349+4.51%0.0575✓1.3013.5M2022-06-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.880.885668+0.64%0.82-6.82%0.0601✗1.1168k2022-06-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.534.5592+0.64%4.73+4.42%0.0588✓1.44411k2022-06-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37650.378948+0.65%0.3815+1.33%0.0301✓1.53160k2022-06-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.368.4146+0.65%8.06-3.59%0.0253✗1.16502k2022-06-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,460.9722,608.19+0.66%22,120.25-1.52%0.0065✗1.00582.4M2022-06-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.018830.018954+0.66%0.0204+8.34%0.0906✓1.12151k2022-06-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.148.1938+0.66%8.31+2.09%0.0302✓1.05283k2022-06-14
QTUMQtumQtum2.77622.7947+0.67%2.776-0.01%0.0116✓1.1933k2022-06-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10660.107317+0.67%0.1042-2.25%0.0071✗1.465.4M2022-06-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09140.092024+0.68%0.0982+7.44%0.0831✓1.18733k2022-06-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0182580.018385+0.70%0.018367+0.60%0.0178✓1.239,7572022-06-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.4956.5405+0.70%6.357-2.12%0.0083✗1.3215.2M2022-06-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.000060430.000060854+0.70%0.00006063+0.33%0.0336✓2.441.8M2022-06-14
OPTIMOptimism0.5450.548823+0.70%0.565+3.67%0.0443✓1.006.8M2022-06-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3132.3293+0.70%2.6493+14.54%0.1462✓1.143.0M2022-06-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0541720.054554+0.71%0.05555+2.54%0.0371✓1.241.3M2022-06-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.132590.133527+0.71%0.13793+4.03%0.0576✓1.65260k2022-06-14
DASHDashDash42.5942.8916+0.71%43.47+2.07%0.0308✓1.14837k2022-06-14
XTZTezosTezos1.40081.4107+0.71%1.4566+3.98%0.0523✓1.33914k2022-06-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.1451.1531+0.71%1.177+2.79%0.0432✓1.4973k2022-06-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03580.036054+0.71%0.0375+4.75%0.0612✓1.43383k2022-06-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,207.821,216.56+0.72%1,207.58-0.02%0.0096✓1.11344.3M2022-06-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7780.783681+0.73%0.75-3.60%0.0266✗1.131.0M2022-06-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8081.8212+0.73%1.909+5.59%0.0711✓1.5797k2022-06-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3295.368+0.73%5.468+2.61%0.0390✓1.342.5M2022-06-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.048970.049332+0.74%0.05078+3.70%0.0537✓1.621.9M2022-06-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2560.257916+0.75%0.26+1.56%0.0250✓1.11847k2022-06-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.12720.128156+0.75%0.127-0.16%0.0127✓1.42169k2022-06-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.371680.374495+0.76%0.37199+0.08%0.0169✓1.5461k2022-06-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.414.5108+0.77%14.59+1.32%0.0252✓1.292.6M2022-06-14
SOLSolanaSolana28.5828.8+0.77%29.54+3.36%0.0466✓1.39104.0M2022-06-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008020.000008082+0.78%0.00000819+2.12%0.0326✓1.26850k2022-06-14
KSMKusamaHydration46.0846.438+0.78%51.18+11.07%0.1159✓1.221.0M2022-06-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.258220.260228+0.78%0.24528-5.01%0.0387✗1.34453k2022-06-14
CBKCobakEthereum0.809710.816043+0.78%0.81622+0.80%0.0197✓1.285,7412022-06-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin43.4543.7909+0.78%46.1+6.10%0.0696✓1.1917.5M2022-06-14
UMAUMAEthereum1.9972.0128+0.79%2.816+41.01%0.3561✓1.331.1M2022-06-14
COMPCompoundEthereum35.7336.0157+0.80%34.25-4.14%0.0280✗1.4630k2022-06-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008280.000834681+0.81%0.000824-0.48%0.0082✓1.381.8M2022-06-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10130.102118+0.81%0.1016+0.30%0.0171✓1.4549k2022-06-14
MOVRMoonriverBase14.648714.7671+0.81%15.1911+3.70%0.0490✓1.35222k2022-06-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.58e-73.61e-7+0.81%3.77e-7+5.47%0.0585✓0.881.1M2022-06-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8580.865062+0.82%0.867+1.05%0.0302✓1.83319k2022-06-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2551.2654+0.83%1.3+3.59%0.0532✓1.71236k2022-06-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3920.395247+0.83%0.402+2.55%0.0416✓1.614,2732022-06-14
XMRMoneroMonero132.56133.6667+0.83%118.2-10.83%0.1057✗1.131.7M2022-06-14
STXStacksnative0.3470.349912+0.84%0.3431-1.12%0.0009✓1.34165k2022-06-14
XVGVergenative0.003030.003055+0.84%0.00303+0.00%0.0138✓1.45628k2022-06-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2520410.254175+0.85%0.250986-0.42%0.0097✓1.462.3M2022-06-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash126.93128.0285+0.87%125.88-0.83%0.0012✓1.194.4M2022-06-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.22050.222434+0.88%0.2234+1.32%0.0244✓1.3131k2022-06-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.9121.9289+0.88%1.854-3.03%0.0122✗1.803.0M2022-06-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.257190.259469+0.89%0.27244+5.93%0.0715✓1.4811k2022-06-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006320.006376+0.89%0.00658+4.11%0.0479✓1.08607k2022-06-14
GTGateEthereum4.24454.2828+0.90%4.4459+4.74%0.0476✓0.672.1M2022-06-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.4913.6135+0.92%14.07+4.30%0.0551✓1.452.3M2022-06-14
SUSHISushiEthereum0.970.97894+0.92%1+3.09%0.0455✓1.591.1M2022-06-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.23961.2513+0.95%1.35+8.91%0.0951✓1.251.7M2022-06-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,951.674,998.59+0.95%4,887.88-1.29%0.0029✓1.283.6M2022-06-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.0916.2448+0.96%16.54+2.80%0.0406✓1.4849.3M2022-06-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.16070.16229+0.99%0.1768+10.02%0.1085✓1.50196k2022-06-14
APEApeCoinEthereum3.4853.5196+0.99%3.615+3.73%0.0560✓1.9117.0M2022-06-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3010.304046+1.01%0.296-1.66%0.0007✓1.71496k2022-06-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.5910.59707+1.03%0.633+7.11%0.0862✓1.811.8M2022-06-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.7180.725486+1.04%0.731+1.81%0.0289✓1.405.1M2022-06-14
FLOWFlownative1.5861.6032+1.09%1.595+0.57%0.0101✓1.00608k2022-06-14
AAVEAaveEthereum59.7460.4003+1.11%62.11+3.97%0.0540✓1.707.6M2022-06-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.