8=======>

2022-06-12 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1800
172 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.41%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
43.0%
in alpha space · 60.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-15.42%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
APEApeCoinEthereum3.8853.9145+0.76%3.485-10.30%0.2643✓2.2717.0M2022-06-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.6640.667842+0.58%0.591-10.99%0.2617✓2.291.8M2022-06-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20370.204591+0.44%0.1607-21.11%0.0135✓1.52196k2022-06-13
AAVEAaveEthereum70.370.6008+0.43%59.74-15.02%0.1516✓1.907.4M2022-06-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.340.34139+0.41%0.301-11.47%0.2062✓1.98530k2022-06-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008250.000828205+0.39%0.000828+0.36%0.2990✓1.791.8M2022-06-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4391.4439+0.34%1.2396-13.86%0.0747✓1.361.7M2022-06-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche17.2717.3278+0.33%16.09-6.83%0.2241✓1.7847.8M2022-06-13
FLOWFlownative1.7941.7993+0.30%1.586-11.59%0.0412✓1.00623k2022-06-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.01e-74.02e-7+0.25%3.58e-7-10.76%0.0414✓0.941.0M2022-06-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.8640.865932+0.22%0.718-16.90%0.0606✓1.485.1M2022-06-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.131.1323+0.20%0.97-14.16%0.1429✓1.781.1M2022-06-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2975760.298109+0.18%0.252041-15.30%0.0984✓1.592.3M2022-06-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.630.631076+0.17%0.662+5.08%0.3626✓1.88578k2022-06-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.4314.4543+0.17%13.49-6.51%0.2241✓1.752.3M2022-06-13
MOVRMoonriverBase15.580915.6021+0.14%14.6487-5.98%0.2109✓1.64222k2022-06-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2770.277377+0.14%0.256-7.58%0.1361✓1.29847k2022-06-13
SOLSolanaSolana30.5630.5992+0.13%28.58-6.48%0.2106✓1.67103.2M2022-06-13
OPTIMOptimism0.6440.644805+0.12%0.545-15.37%0.0007✓1.007.3M2022-06-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006870.006878+0.12%0.00632-8.01%0.1238✓1.25607k2022-06-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.2962.2988+0.12%1.997-13.02%0.1066✓1.481.1M2022-06-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.35962.3622+0.11%2.313-1.97%0.2202✓1.443.0M2022-06-13
COMPCompoundEthereum41.241.2436+0.11%35.73-13.28%0.1296✓1.6330k2022-06-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008590.000008599+0.11%0.00000802-6.64%0.1831✓1.51850k2022-06-13
GTGateEthereum4.85944.8643+0.10%4.2445-12.65%0.0312✗0.632.1M2022-06-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053150.053203+0.10%0.04897-7.86%0.2660✓2.081.8M2022-06-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.369.3693+0.10%8.36-10.68%0.1044✓1.30502k2022-06-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.09720.09729+0.09%0.0945-2.78%0.2272✓1.53795k2022-06-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.341.3411+0.09%1.29-3.73%0.3021✓2.04580k2022-06-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.450.45038+0.08%0.392-12.89%0.1709✓1.854,3562022-06-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.05730.057345+0.08%0.0599+4.54%0.3990✓2.12141k2022-06-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09740.097476+0.08%0.0914-6.16%0.1726✓1.42733k2022-06-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.250.250192+0.08%0.2205-11.80%0.1238✓1.4931k2022-06-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative16.5916.6022+0.07%14.4-13.20%0.0948✓1.422.3M2022-06-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.150430.15054+0.07%0.13259-11.86%0.1921✓1.91260k2022-06-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.421730.422019+0.07%0.37168-11.87%0.1689✓1.7761k2022-06-13
KSMKusamaHydration50.7850.8142+0.07%46.08-9.26%0.1367✓1.401.0M2022-06-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9530.953635+0.07%0.778-18.36%0.0144✗1.131.0M2022-06-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4890.489307+0.06%0.493+0.82%0.3109✓1.81886k2022-06-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,433.191,434.08+0.06%1,207.82-15.73%0.0190✓1.14340.5M2022-06-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.9790.979604+0.06%0.858-12.36%0.2232✓2.12319k2022-06-13
NANOnanopayBase0.9111030.911661+0.06%0.845884-7.16%0.1614✓1.41120k2022-06-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40540.405632+0.06%0.3765-7.13%0.2320✓1.83146k2022-06-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.11830.118367+0.06%0.1305+10.31%0.3822✓1.701,7522022-06-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.067.0637+0.05%6.495-8.00%0.1771✓1.5615.2M2022-06-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.314450.314586+0.04%0.25719-18.21%0.0624✓1.5814k2022-06-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.285550.285672+0.04%0.25822-9.57%0.1593✓1.55453k2022-06-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6725.6743+0.04%5.329-6.05%0.2089✓1.622.5M2022-06-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash145.97146.025+0.04%126.93-13.04%0.0752✓1.294.4M2022-06-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.660.660242+0.04%0.6-9.09%0.1148✓1.2663k2022-06-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11140.111439+0.03%0.1066-4.31%0.2566✓1.805.4M2022-06-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.10.100028+0.03%0.0926-7.40%0.2289✓1.831.1M2022-06-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009460.009463+0.03%0.00971+2.64%0.2745✓1.4813.3M2022-06-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin47.8647.8725+0.03%43.45-9.21%0.1313✓1.3617.5M2022-06-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4841.4844+0.03%1.255-15.43%0.1530✓1.92236k2022-06-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3937.3945+0.02%7.032-4.88%0.2147✓1.5813.5M2022-06-13
XVGVergenative0.003420.003421+0.02%0.00303-11.40%0.1568✓1.66628k2022-06-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.051809+0.02%0.0508-1.93%0.2948✓1.881.6M2022-06-13
UNIUniswapEthereum4.0544.0547+0.02%3.662-9.67%0.1542✓1.532.6M2022-06-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,006.746,007.82+0.02%4,951.67-17.56%0.0283✓1.323.6M2022-06-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.458.4514+0.02%8.03-4.97%0.2925✓2.052.7M2022-06-13
QNTQuantEthereum49.5749.578+0.02%49.66+0.18%0.2138✓1.272.0M2022-06-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.2162.2163+0.02%1.912-13.72%0.1951✓2.052.9M2022-06-13
DASHDashDash46.0546.0553+0.01%42.59-7.51%0.1446✓1.33837k2022-06-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.650.650074+0.01%0.599-7.85%0.1266✓1.24365k2022-06-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11990.119912+0.01%0.1013-15.51%0.0948✓1.5749k2022-06-13
XTZTezosTezos1.63561.6355-0.00%1.4008-14.36%0.0857✗1.44894k2022-06-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.2461.2458-0.02%1.145-8.11%0.2120✗1.7773k2022-06-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.11350.113479-0.02%0.107-5.73%0.2440✗1.814,0262022-06-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7330.732848-0.02%0.7-4.50%0.2889✗2.002.7M2022-06-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.6365.6346-0.02%5.442-3.44%0.2625✗1.7810.6M2022-06-13
XMRMoneroMonero159.28159.2367-0.03%132.56-16.78%0.0068✗1.141.7M2022-06-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.09211.0917-0.03%0.939069-14.01%0.0722✗1.3348k2022-06-13
ZENHorizenBase15.1515.1449-0.03%14.12-6.80%0.2219✗1.7465k2022-06-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9450.944644-0.04%0.853-9.74%0.0654✗1.001.4M2022-06-13
SCSiacoinnative0.004050.004048-0.04%0.00359-11.36%0.1784✗1.78213k2022-06-13
STXStacksnative0.41890.418732-0.04%0.347-17.16%0.0489✗1.41165k2022-06-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.78991.7892-0.04%1.7211-3.84%0.1574✗1.173.4M2022-06-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.23160.231505-0.04%0.1992-13.99%0.0647✗1.28100k2022-06-13
RADRadworksEthereum1.721.7193-0.04%1.52-11.63%0.1082✗1.38270k2022-06-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.14430.14424-0.04%0.1272-11.85%0.1440✗1.61169k2022-06-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.011.0096-0.04%0.88-12.87%0.0628✗1.2068k2022-06-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0122880.012281-0.05%0.01281+4.25%0.2526✗1.262.0M2022-06-13
QTUMQtumQtum3.08713.0853-0.06%2.7762-10.07%0.1206✗1.3533k2022-06-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23170.231564-0.06%0.195-15.84%0.0816✗1.51432k2022-06-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV48.27348.2434-0.06%46.677-3.31%0.1488✗1.091.1M2022-06-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.266.2561-0.06%5.917-5.48%0.2105✗1.5932.8M2022-06-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.1851.1841-0.07%1.149-3.04%0.2721✗1.80826k2022-06-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1892.1874-0.07%2.042-6.72%0.2286✗1.78139k2022-06-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28160.281379-0.08%0.2574-8.59%0.1590✗1.486.2M2022-06-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06570.065643-0.09%0.0561-14.61%0.0718✗1.37153k2022-06-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.514390.513936-0.09%0.45073-12.38%0.2561✗2.313.1M2022-06-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023080.023059-0.09%0.01883-18.41%0.0192✓1.10151k2022-06-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000069460.000069395-0.09%0.00006043-13.00%0.3852✗3.132.0M2022-06-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.9980.997024-0.10%0.80971-18.87%0.0075✗1.296,0082022-06-13
KCSKuCoinnative14.12214.1076-0.10%11.706-17.11%0.0030✓1.105.3M2022-06-13
TRXTRONTron0.0761310.076047-0.11%0.063701-16.33%0.0251✓0.91682k2022-06-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.030.029966-0.11%0.0291-3.00%0.2533✗1.69221k2022-06-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.788920.788031-0.11%0.82849+5.02%0.3629✗1.87789k2022-06-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.10950.109371-0.12%0.149+36.07%0.6030✗1.753.2M2022-06-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3730.372554-0.12%0.332-10.99%0.1091✗1.3415k2022-06-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003180.003176-0.12%0.00285-10.38%0.1105✗1.312.1M2022-06-13
BTTCBTTC9.30e-79.29e-7-0.12%8.10e-7-12.90%0.0167✗0.925.5M2022-06-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07880.0787-0.13%0.0654-17.01%0.0674✓0.70274k2022-06-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.15.0935-0.13%4.53-11.18%0.1589✗1.65405k2022-06-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.0832.0802-0.13%2.0689-0.68%0.2012✗1.233.3M2022-06-13
DIADIAEthereum0.423270.422695-0.14%0.38009-10.20%0.0081✗0.68249k2022-06-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0634820.063396-0.14%0.054172-14.67%0.0647✗1.331.3M2022-06-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.490.48933-0.14%0.447-8.78%0.1993✗1.73116k2022-06-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003680.003675-0.14%0.00331-10.05%0.1232✗1.364,6932022-06-13
XECeCashnative0.000041050.000040993-0.14%0.00003827-6.77%0.1991✗1.603.0M2022-06-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32460.324148-0.14%0.3039-6.38%0.1792✗1.4614.4M2022-06-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum26,697.3026,659.57-0.14%22,471.70-15.83%0.0077✓0.9729k2022-06-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.307120.306681-0.14%0.28493-7.23%0.1752✗1.49105k2022-06-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057920.057835-0.15%0.04562-21.24%0.0097✓1.3649k2022-06-13
ZECZcashZcash79.3279.1937-0.16%65.48-17.45%0.0524✗1.453.6M2022-06-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04370.043629-0.16%0.03724-14.78%0.0314✗1.133,6542022-06-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.010070.010053-0.17%0.00905-10.13%0.0928✗1.181.5M2022-06-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin26,555.2026,510.84-0.17%22,460.97-15.42%0.0017✓1.00538.8M2022-06-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0127240.012702-0.17%0.012961+1.86%0.1369✗0.70324k2022-06-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2292.2252-0.17%1.808-18.89%0.0863✗1.7697k2022-06-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum9.329.3042-0.17%8.14-12.66%0.0556✗1.13281k2022-06-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.02240.022361-0.18%0.018258-18.49%0.0038✗1.2310k2022-06-13
HIVEHivenative0.43250.431738-0.18%0.3584-17.13%0.0710✗1.541.1M2022-06-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.51145.5011-0.19%5.3088-3.68%0.0158✗0.31235k2022-06-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.644.6311-0.19%4.54-2.16%0.1316✗0.901.6M2022-06-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.553.5432-0.19%3.52-0.85%0.1573✗0.981.7M2022-06-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.0630.062874-0.20%0.0519-17.62%0.0560✗1.48403k2022-06-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.14742.1431-0.20%1.8846-12.24%0.1248✗1.5155k2022-06-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.626.6065-0.20%6.79+2.57%0.1418✗0.682.0M2022-06-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050670.050561-0.22%0.04329-14.56%0.0418✗1.1815k2022-06-13
ADACardanoCardano0.48990.48884-0.22%0.4636-5.37%0.2334✗1.7149.8M2022-06-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10720.106963-0.22%0.0991-7.56%0.1404✗1.296,7702022-06-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0830.082808-0.23%0.0833+0.36%0.3226✗1.89409k2022-06-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.24.1903-0.23%4.2+0.00%0.1582✗0.931.5M2022-06-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1185560.118276-0.24%0.106761-9.95%0.1004✗1.2110.3M2022-06-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029290.02922-0.24%0.02635-10.04%0.1626✗1.5917k2022-06-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05020.050079-0.24%0.048-4.38%0.2738✗1.8923k2022-06-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.018150.018106-0.24%0.01829+0.77%0.4215✗2.4632.1M2022-06-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.202491-0.25%0.189-6.90%0.2734✗2.041.1M2022-06-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04230.042193-0.25%0.0358-15.37%0.0948✗1.55383k2022-06-13
XEMNEMnative0.0417190.041613-0.25%0.039006-6.50%0.2045✗1.6131k2022-06-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.113.102-0.26%3.092-0.58%0.1825✗1.111.8M2022-06-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.710.708168-0.26%0.68-4.23%0.2586✗1.79198k2022-06-13
DODODODOEthereum0.15040.150001-0.27%0.136-9.57%0.1856✗1.693.4M2022-06-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.213.2014-0.27%2.75-14.33%0.0434✗1.17722k2022-06-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008180.008158-0.27%0.00733-10.39%0.0356✗0.85153k2022-06-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.58690.585293-0.27%0.5649-3.75%0.2071✗1.452.8M2022-06-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.294.2781-0.28%3.88-9.56%0.2363✗1.991.5M2022-06-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18870.188175-0.28%0.1611-14.63%0.1100✗1.58751k2022-06-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.023080.023014-0.29%0.01967-14.77%0.0537✓0.62637k2022-06-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.15630.155822-0.31%0.1335-14.59%0.0132✗1.00268k2022-06-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.72.6914-0.32%2.414-10.59%0.0739✗1.0963k2022-06-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.42852.42-0.35%2.0821-14.26%0.2063✗2.1313k2022-06-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.008670.00864-0.35%0.00763-12.00%0.0639✗1.122,4432022-06-13
XYMSymbolnative0.05250.05231-0.36%0.0486-7.43%0.0628✗0.8157k2022-06-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6753.6613-0.37%3.335-9.25%0.0432✗0.826.4M2022-06-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8490.84583-0.37%0.776-8.60%0.1045✗1.141.7M2022-06-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.422.4107-0.38%2.19-9.50%0.2540✗2.09294k2022-06-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.833.8146-0.40%4.17+8.88%0.2271✗0.821.9M2022-06-13
STEEMSteemnative0.2080.207063-0.45%0.1835-11.78%0.1345✗1.52585k2022-06-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0263.0123-0.45%3.286+8.59%0.2297✗0.854.3M2022-06-13
BANDBandEthereum1.4171.4105-0.46%1.318-6.99%0.2472✗1.88342k2022-06-13
FTTFTXEthereum27.927.7515-0.53%24.51-12.15%0.0353✗0.959.1M2022-06-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.20171.1935-0.68%1.0426-13.24%0.0037✓0.799702022-06-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073690.073174-0.70%0.0647-12.20%0.0444✗1.001,6002022-06-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2943.2597-1.04%3.225-2.09%0.1426✗0.923.7M2022-06-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.212.0721-1.05%11.71-4.02%0.3209✗2.10252k2022-06-13
PROPropyEthereum1.051.0377-1.17%0.9-14.29%0.0208✓0.73183k2022-06-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7231.6988-1.40%1.458-15.38%0.1174✗1.615.1M2022-06-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.131.1125-1.55%0.941-16.73%0.2125✗2.2710.6M2022-06-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.691.643-2.78%1.61-4.73%0.1093✗0.77153k2022-06-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.