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2022-05-31 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 169 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1375
169 of 169 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.82%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
35.5%
in alpha space · 92.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.28%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (169 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3360.325817-3.03%0.273-18.75%0.0606✓1.791.3M2022-06-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8590.834563-2.84%0.735-14.44%0.0116✓2.142.0M2022-06-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.81580.798912-2.07%0.67906-16.76%0.0327✓2.00397k2022-06-01
GITCOINGITCOIN3.473.408-1.79%2.707-21.99%0.1003✓2.0116k2022-06-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.463.4034-1.63%2.69-22.25%0.1079✓1.96324k2022-06-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.4017-1.63%1.363-4.35%0.0714✗1.536.3M2022-06-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05580.054915-1.59%0.0517-7.35%0.0316✗1.42801k2022-06-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.6471.6209-1.58%1.5387-6.58%0.0014✓0.824,8222022-06-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.21742.1863-1.40%2.0152-9.12%0.0057✓1.344.9M2022-06-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06520.064399-1.23%0.061-6.44%0.0555✗1.6967k2022-06-01
STEEMSteemnative0.270.266896-1.15%0.2594-3.93%0.0788✗1.66710k2022-06-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.8670.857269-1.12%0.725-16.38%0.0626✓1.621.7M2022-06-01
GMTGMTEthereum1.1811.1681-1.09%1.016-13.97%0.0134✗2.363.3M2022-06-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0858220.084927-1.04%0.080994-5.63%0.0312✗1.212.1M2022-06-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain32.9699-1.00%2.687-10.43%0.0353✓1.00138k2022-06-01
PROPropyEthereum1.061.0495-0.99%0.96-9.43%0.0350✓0.83203k2022-06-01
DODODODOEthereum0.16780.166246-0.93%0.1716+2.26%0.1422✗1.702.6M2022-06-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.05970.05917-0.89%0.06238+4.49%0.1294✗1.1815k2022-06-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.2224.1847-0.88%4.28+1.37%0.0580✗0.554.1M2022-06-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4204070.416767-0.87%0.399202-5.04%0.0524✗1.473.0M2022-06-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.7411.6499-0.77%10.7-8.86%0.0425✗1.97226k2022-06-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.154.1188-0.75%4.02-3.13%0.0228✗0.731.0M2022-06-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.980.972898-0.72%0.89-9.18%0.0194✗1.67316k2022-06-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074050.073515-0.72%0.06644-10.28%0.0248✓1.1817k2022-06-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.5332.5151-0.70%2.638+4.15%0.0932✗0.701.4M2022-06-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7040.69922-0.68%0.597-15.20%0.0494✓1.6810k2022-06-01
ADACardanoCardano0.62630.622081-0.67%0.5515-11.94%0.0223✓1.5144.7M2022-06-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.010230.010162-0.66%0.00994-2.84%0.0496✗1.114,2982022-06-01
SUSHISushiEthereum1.871.858-0.64%1.63-12.83%0.0238✓1.652.0M2022-06-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum23.8623.7107-0.63%20.9-12.41%0.0237✓1.583.1M2022-06-01
LUNATerraTerra 20.000114820.000114121-0.61%0.00009845-14.26%0.0505✗3.064.9M2022-06-01
XYMSymbolnative0.0597690.05941-0.60%0.057492-3.81%0.0192✗0.80119k2022-06-01
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1021.0954-0.59%0.962-12.70%0.0159✓1.764.2M2022-06-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.197.1481-0.58%6.36-11.54%0.0229✓1.45509k2022-06-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0289880.028819-0.58%0.02776-4.24%0.0362✗1.1413k2022-06-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.1233.1051-0.57%2.852-8.68%0.0446✗2.004.0M2022-06-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03810.037883-0.57%0.0342-10.24%0.0028✓1.53276k2022-06-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.467.4189-0.55%7.15-4.16%0.0106✓0.411.3M2022-06-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.3032.2905-0.54%2.546+10.55%0.1692✗0.98852k2022-06-01
APEApeCoinEthereum6.7736.7364-0.54%6.104-9.88%0.0502✗2.2936.0M2022-06-01
FLOWFlownative2.7172.7026-0.53%2.482-8.65%0.0203✓1.00879k2022-06-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.450730.448354-0.53%0.42179-6.42%0.0453✗1.6419k2022-06-01
HIVEHivenative0.55650.553597-0.52%0.5211-6.36%0.0277✗1.361.3M2022-06-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023090.022972-0.51%0.01991-13.77%0.0071✗2.3230.9M2022-06-01
XLMStellarStellar0.15060.149856-0.49%0.136879-9.11%0.0139✓1.1810.7M2022-06-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.24452.2337-0.48%2.2146-1.33%0.0538✗0.963.6M2022-06-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.633.6126-0.48%3.7+1.93%0.0829✗0.91843k2022-06-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004780.004757-0.48%0.00446-6.69%0.0139✗1.219,4522022-06-01
XEMNEMnative0.0531360.052887-0.47%0.050255-5.42%0.0470✗1.5142k2022-06-01
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2871.281-0.47%1.217-5.44%0.0205✗1.111.5M2022-06-01
XMRMoneroMonero198197.0894-0.46%198.6+0.30%0.0810✗1.132.5M2022-06-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5030.500719-0.45%0.467-7.16%0.0131✗1.2822k2022-06-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08970.089299-0.45%0.0812-9.48%0.0048✗1.54166k2022-06-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01350.01344-0.45%0.01169-13.41%0.0364✓1.5921.6M2022-06-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.32652.3161-0.45%2.4972+7.34%0.1435✗1.052.8M2022-06-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.229770.228756-0.44%0.19948-13.18%0.0212✓1.79298k2022-06-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15040.149788-0.41%0.1358-9.71%0.0100✗1.674.7M2022-06-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.821.8127-0.40%1.619-11.04%0.0049✓1.671.4M2022-06-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10590.105475-0.40%0.0924-12.75%0.0155✓1.80492k2022-06-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6960.693217-0.40%0.634-8.91%0.0137✗1.59204k2022-06-01
KCSKuCoinnative17.91817.847-0.40%16.661-7.02%0.0018✓1.036.6M2022-06-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.364.3427-0.40%4.41+1.15%0.0631✗0.74835k2022-06-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0752.0669-0.39%1.828-11.90%0.0165✓1.6492k2022-06-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37850.37703-0.39%0.3401-10.15%0.0011✓1.5740k2022-06-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.029520.029406-0.39%0.02803-5.05%0.0168✗1.00188k2022-06-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.07910.078795-0.39%0.0675-14.66%0.0093✓2.242.9M2022-06-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.21010.20929-0.39%0.1907-9.23%0.0076✗1.55489k2022-06-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.17110.170448-0.38%0.1537-10.17%0.0386✓1.003,4622022-06-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004480.004463-0.38%0.00409-8.71%0.0109✓1.182.1M2022-06-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.17960.17893-0.37%0.1581-11.97%0.0667✓0.88335k2022-06-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0147830.014728-0.37%0.01455-1.58%0.0358✗0.74198k2022-06-01
RADRadworksEthereum2.282.2717-0.36%2.02-11.40%0.0385✓1.22275k2022-06-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07120.070944-0.36%0.0668-6.18%0.0530✗1.752.0M2022-06-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.587.5531-0.36%6.93-8.58%0.0080✗1.4522.3M2022-06-01
BANDBandEthereum1.8091.8026-0.35%1.631-9.84%0.0061✗1.64418k2022-06-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,784.0531,675.57-0.34%29,788.79-6.28%0.0034✗1.00708.0M2022-06-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.1343.1234-0.34%2.806-10.47%0.0005✓1.64271k2022-06-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2953.2839-0.34%3.12-5.31%0.0561✗1.666.1M2022-06-01
XVGVergenative0.005320.005302-0.34%0.00472-11.28%0.0157✓1.55793k2022-06-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3671.3624-0.33%1.237-9.51%0.0247✗1.87467k2022-06-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.8511.8112-0.33%10.65-10.13%0.0097✗1.755.7M2022-06-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.050940.050776-0.32%0.04976-2.32%0.0482✗1.054,6802022-06-01
MANADecentralandEthereum1.08581.0823-0.32%0.98241-9.52%0.0142✗1.711.1M2022-06-01
FTTFTXEthereum28.9428.8485-0.32%26.89-7.08%0.0053✓1.0010.5M2022-06-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.16340.162889-0.31%0.1469-10.10%0.0026✓1.636.6M2022-06-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.6912.6506-0.31%11.55-8.98%0.0282✓0.97461k2022-06-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.580.578219-0.31%0.507-12.59%0.0162✓1.78763k2022-06-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.41080.409554-0.30%0.3845-6.40%0.0237✗1.3418.0M2022-06-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.04e-77.02e-7-0.30%6.95e-7-1.28%0.0464✗0.871.2M2022-06-01
QNTQuantEthereum70.9370.7174-0.30%66.93-5.64%0.0192✗1.152.6M2022-06-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0173680.017317-0.30%0.015712-9.53%0.0222✓1.163.1M2022-06-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3841.3799-0.29%1.267-8.45%0.0054✗1.406.8M2022-06-01
TRXTRONTron0.0843860.084139-0.29%0.08326-1.33%0.0454✗0.861.5M2022-06-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15630.155847-0.29%0.1581+1.15%0.1192✗1.6289k2022-06-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.1172.1109-0.29%1.9-10.25%0.0180✗1.90452k2022-06-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.38880.387702-0.28%0.37114-4.54%0.0509✗1.46713k2022-06-01
KSMKusamaHydration79.879.5759-0.28%72.88-8.67%0.0024✓1.321.6M2022-06-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.088.0577-0.28%7.43-8.04%0.0152✗1.483.8M2022-06-01
XECeCashnative0.000050710.00005057-0.28%0.00004757-6.19%0.0300✗1.414.2M2022-06-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3193.31-0.27%3.684+11.00%0.1703✗0.981.6M2022-06-01
ZENHorizenBase22.2722.2103-0.27%20.62-7.41%0.0332✗1.6691k2022-06-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.35280.351864-0.27%0.3304-6.35%0.0257✗1.377.9M2022-06-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.67050.668735-0.26%0.6102-8.99%0.0001✓1.414.1M2022-06-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038750.038649-0.26%0.03695-4.65%0.0479✗1.4332k2022-06-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13860.13824-0.26%0.1282-7.50%0.0067✗1.271.0M2022-06-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin68.3268.144-0.26%62.64-8.31%0.0014✓1.2819.8M2022-06-01
XVSVenusEthereum5.014.9972-0.26%4.63-7.58%0.0437✗1.851.8M2022-06-01
SCSiacoinnative0.005650.005636-0.25%0.00537-4.96%0.0593✗1.66317k2022-06-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.343.3316-0.25%3.06-8.38%0.0171✓1.05663k2022-06-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008640.008619-0.25%0.00828-4.17%0.0117✗0.80176k2022-06-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.275.257-0.25%5.28+0.19%0.0531✗0.752.6M2022-06-01
QTUMQtumQtum4.17884.1686-0.25%3.8582-7.67%0.0022✓1.2358k2022-06-01
CBKCobakEthereum1.22961.2266-0.24%1.2526+1.87%0.0975✗1.187,1582022-06-01
STXStacksnative0.570.568605-0.24%0.53-7.02%0.0041✗1.15203k2022-06-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8940.891827-0.24%0.795-11.07%0.0391✓1.172.4M2022-06-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.13410.133775-0.24%0.1223-8.80%0.0203✗1.701.3M2022-06-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.401960.400995-0.24%0.38293-4.73%0.0428✗1.37147k2022-06-01
DASHDashDash64.564.3456-0.24%59.13-8.33%0.0043✓1.241.0M2022-06-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash204.51204.0269-0.24%185.81-9.14%0.0133✓1.244.6M2022-06-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.278.2505-0.24%7.63-7.74%0.0264✗1.618.1M2022-06-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.56410.56277-0.24%0.5239-7.13%0.0328✗1.61208k2022-06-01
ZECZcashZcash93.2893.0616-0.23%89.74-3.80%0.0503✗1.344.6M2022-06-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.072.0652-0.23%1.77-14.49%0.0345✓1.85580k2022-06-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.7323.6749-0.23%21.97-7.42%0.0097✗1.303.7M2022-06-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.72082.7145-0.23%2.4808-8.82%0.0032✓1.3485k2022-06-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.012560.012532-0.23%0.01202-4.30%0.0295✗1.101.9M2022-06-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.023220.023168-0.22%0.02108-9.22%0.0577✓0.57582k2022-06-01
DIADIAEthereum0.46820.467157-0.22%0.42588-9.04%0.0515✓0.63165k2022-06-01
BTTCBTTC0.000001130.000001128-0.22%0.00000109-3.54%0.0234✗0.887.6M2022-06-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.28160.280985-0.22%0.277-1.63%0.0730✗1.35311k2022-06-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08920.089005-0.22%0.0874-2.02%0.0311✗0.76252k2022-06-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9590.956912-0.22%0.87-9.28%0.0116✗1.65741k2022-06-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009850.009829-0.22%0.00922-6.40%0.0074✗1.10943k2022-06-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.27410.273513-0.21%0.2722-0.69%0.0835✗1.36100k2022-06-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,746.0031,678.40-0.21%29,914.50-5.77%0.0059✗0.9778k2022-06-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.9492.9427-0.21%2.653-10.04%0.0336✓1.0872k2022-06-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.3410.3181-0.21%9.45-8.61%0.0068✗1.4614.2M2022-06-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.331.3272-0.21%1.25-6.02%0.0131✗1.1399k2022-06-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.26354.1521-0.20%51.794-4.55%0.0233✗1.051.2M2022-06-01
UNIUniswapEthereum5.695.6787-0.20%5.13-9.84%0.0100✓1.412.8M2022-06-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.17390.173554-0.20%0.1634-6.04%0.0344✗1.461,8582022-06-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.589760.588605-0.20%0.56615-4.00%0.0643✗1.5964k2022-06-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9680.966127-0.19%0.951-1.76%0.0608✗1.18487k2022-06-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13140.131147-0.19%0.1229-6.47%0.0139✗1.2214k2022-06-01
COMPCompoundEthereum63.6763.55-0.19%58.02-8.87%0.0075✗1.5231k2022-06-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.081.078-0.19%1.01-6.48%0.0163✓0.75172k2022-06-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,056.168,041.03-0.19%7,517.30-6.69%0.0178✗1.313.9M2022-06-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.3210.3012-0.18%9.34-9.50%0.0028✓1.4718.3M2022-06-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.29621.2939-0.18%1.2938-0.19%0.0770✗1.1950k2022-06-01
AAVEAaveEthereum112.72112.5226-0.18%106.08-5.89%0.0547✗1.758.9M2022-06-01
ORCAOrcaSolana0.870.868482-0.17%0.83-4.60%0.0274✗1.1291k2022-06-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.32790.327337-0.17%0.3089-5.79%0.0307✗1.37420k2022-06-01
XTZTezosTezos2.08552.0821-0.16%1.9429-6.84%0.0171✗1.331.0M2022-06-01
NANOnanopayBase1.20081.1988-0.16%1.1686-2.68%0.0608✗1.33174k2022-06-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.17440.174133-0.15%0.1696-2.75%0.0703✗1.49260k2022-06-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.08270.082576-0.15%0.0735-11.12%0.0042✗1.86159k2022-06-01
UMAUMAEthereum3.2893.2841-0.15%3.081-6.32%0.0229✗1.342.0M2022-06-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3910.390443-0.14%0.37-5.37%0.0235✗1.191.0M2022-06-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,940.591,937.89-0.14%1,816.05-6.42%0.0057✗1.09407.6M2022-06-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.07080.070714-0.12%0.0659-6.92%0.0080✗1.21406k2022-06-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001170.000011687-0.11%0.00001087-7.09%0.0184✗1.401.0M2022-06-01
SOLSolanaSolana45.7545.6993-0.11%40.1-12.35%0.0335✓1.50112.7M2022-06-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001330.001329-0.10%0.00123-7.52%0.0303✗1.662.0M2022-06-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.31815.3133-0.09%4.9038-7.79%0.0605✓0.30285k2022-06-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.8612.8489-0.09%12.09-5.99%0.0226✗1.29584k2022-06-01
MOVRMoonriverBase22.977522.9587-0.08%21.3546-7.06%0.0307✗1.59247k2022-06-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche26.4126.3897-0.08%23.66-10.41%0.0090✓1.5553.9M2022-06-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.1220.121908-0.08%0.1178-3.44%0.0552✗1.38985k2022-06-01
GTGateEthereum5.66275.6626-0.00%5.4141-4.39%0.0095✓0.554.1M2022-06-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.