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2022-05-27 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1482
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.96%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
44.0%
in alpha space · 24.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.44%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.5522.5947+0.20%24.73+9.67%0.0693✓1.4752.8M2022-05-28
MOVRMoonriverBase20.706420.7409+0.17%21.4319+3.50%0.0119✓1.46247k2022-05-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.810.810989+0.12%0.843+4.07%0.0172✓1.51749k2022-05-28
GTGateEthereum5.235.2362+0.12%5.3291+1.89%0.0103✓0.514.8M2022-05-28
GMTGMTEthereum1.0421.0432+0.11%1.037-0.48%0.0202✗1.004.1M2022-05-28
AAVEAaveEthereum92.2992.3718+0.09%95.38+3.35%0.0103✓1.538.9M2022-05-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06280.062854+0.09%0.0629+0.16%0.0229✗1.662.4M2022-05-28
SOLSolanaSolana41.0941.1254+0.09%44.2+7.57%0.0513✓1.46102.1M2022-05-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001220.001221+0.08%0.00124+1.64%0.0065✗1.542.6M2022-05-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.26260.26279+0.07%0.2862+8.99%0.0674✓1.26432k2022-05-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.1070.107048+0.05%0.1128+5.42%0.0333✓1.331.0M2022-05-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.0610.061024+0.04%0.0622+1.97%0.0135✗2.292.9M2022-05-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010460.000010464+0.04%0.00001078+3.06%0.0110✓1.321.0M2022-05-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.06980.069823+0.03%0.0725+3.87%0.0131✓1.72191k2022-05-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.10620.106227+0.03%0.1103+3.86%0.0144✓1.631.3M2022-05-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.17590.175937+0.02%0.1824+3.70%0.0123✓1.66298k2022-05-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.05920.059212+0.02%0.0634+7.09%0.0511✓1.21406k2022-05-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09430.094316+0.02%0.098+3.92%0.0126✓1.80531k2022-05-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3410.341052+0.02%0.35+2.64%0.0102✓1.101.0M2022-05-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.651.6501+0.01%1.77+7.27%0.0455✓1.73636k2022-05-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,378.827,378.99+0.00%7,633.86+3.46%0.0165✓1.223.7M2022-05-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0412.0396-0.00%12.22+1.50%0.0024✓1.21655k2022-05-28
UNIUniswapEthereum4.694.6898-0.00%4.98+6.18%0.0428✗1.213.2M2022-05-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,724.831,724.68-0.01%1,790.23+3.79%0.0225✗1.04407.6M2022-05-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.064780.06477-0.02%0.0663+2.35%0.0079✗1.0816k2022-05-28
COMPCompoundEthereum55.4855.47-0.02%56.65+2.11%0.0009✗1.4131k2022-05-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash174.68174.6457-0.02%178.71+2.31%0.0064✗1.164.9M2022-05-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02940.029393-0.02%0.0305+3.74%0.0165✗1.44257k2022-05-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.956.948-0.03%7.22+3.88%0.0170✗1.508.0M2022-05-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.15460.154552-0.03%0.1577+2.01%0.0005✗1.38372k2022-05-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.91814.9163-0.04%5.0994+3.69%0.0330✗0.25294k2022-05-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6721.6713-0.04%1.683+0.66%0.0150✓1.54110k2022-05-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.269.2559-0.04%9.41+1.62%0.0039✓1.4319.4M2022-05-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30770.307553-0.05%0.306-0.55%0.0244✓1.3658k2022-05-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5492.5475-0.06%2.573+0.94%0.0061✓1.1390k2022-05-28
APEApeCoinEthereum6.0766.0724-0.06%6.228+2.50%0.0081✓2.3450.9M2022-05-28
PROPropyEthereum0.90.899435-0.06%0.92+2.22%0.0124✗0.72272k2022-05-28
KSMKusamaHydration66.4366.388-0.06%67.51+1.63%0.0009✓1.241.6M2022-05-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.7911.7898-0.06%1.841+2.79%0.0006✓1.93644k2022-05-28
NANOnanopayBase1.05711.0564-0.07%1.0974+3.82%0.0202✗1.26167k2022-05-28
XTZTezosTezos1.81481.8134-0.07%1.9618+8.10%0.0604✗1.281.3M2022-05-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.119.1029-0.08%9.64+5.82%0.0383✗1.3413.8M2022-05-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.1618.1457-0.08%18.54+2.09%0.0017✗1.393.1M2022-05-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13590.135791-0.08%0.1373+1.03%0.0104✓1.508.3M2022-05-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.504930.504524-0.08%0.52442+3.86%0.0175✗1.4874k2022-05-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum8.588.5731-0.08%9.06+5.59%0.0323✗1.61188k2022-05-28
BANDBandEthereum1.4291.4278-0.08%1.505+5.32%0.0311✗1.51433k2022-05-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00840.008393-0.09%0.00849+1.07%0.0005✓0.77162k2022-05-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV47.9947.949-0.09%49.222+2.57%0.0124✗0.971.2M2022-05-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.480.479564-0.09%0.505+5.21%0.0295✗1.56807k2022-05-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4770.476535-0.10%0.4839+1.45%0.0058✓1.48230k2022-05-28
NEXONEXOEthereum1.1841.1828-0.10%1.241+4.81%0.0338✗1.002.3M2022-05-28
DASHDashDash54.7254.663-0.10%56.51+3.27%0.0164✗1.181.2M2022-05-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.14021.139-0.11%1.1868+4.08%0.0245✗1.1754k2022-05-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7790.778145-0.11%0.81+3.98%0.0244✗1.102.7M2022-05-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.011450.011437-0.11%0.01166+1.83%0.0046✗1.032.3M2022-05-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.286.273-0.11%6.56+4.46%0.0256✗1.3419.2M2022-05-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum32.9966-0.11%3.1+3.33%0.0198✗0.99724k2022-05-28
UMAUMAEthereum3.1013.0974-0.11%3.14+1.26%0.0105✓1.692.2M2022-05-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.221.2186-0.12%1.24+1.64%0.0019✗1.09111k2022-05-28
XVSVenusEthereum4.214.2051-0.12%4.42+4.99%0.0256✗1.702.2M2022-05-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.345430.34502-0.12%0.34755+0.61%0.0126✓1.40832k2022-05-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.16380.163604-0.12%0.1592-2.81%0.0420✓1.031,8912022-05-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25040.250098-0.12%0.2538+1.36%0.0032✓1.25318k2022-05-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33772.3348-0.12%2.4133+3.23%0.0152✗1.2591k2022-05-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1910.190766-0.12%0.198+3.66%0.0144✗1.601.6M2022-05-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.20.199751-0.12%0.1686-15.70%0.1796✓0.71335k2022-05-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0860.085892-0.13%0.0864+0.47%0.0052✓0.78235k2022-05-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008920.008909-0.13%0.0091+2.02%0.0057✗1.091.0M2022-05-28
DIADIAEthereum0.427620.427079-0.13%0.43931+2.73%0.0194✗0.62110k2022-05-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30210.301717-0.13%0.3193+5.69%0.0382✗1.308.2M2022-05-28
BTTCBTTC0.000001020.000001019-0.13%0.00000103+0.98%0.0006✓0.827.7M2022-05-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.926360.925176-0.13%0.95601+3.20%0.0105✗1.561.2M2022-05-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum28,613.0028,576.26-0.13%28,840.90+0.80%0.0047✓0.9880k2022-05-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.699.6774-0.13%10.19+5.16%0.0291✗1.586.7M2022-05-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3180.317584-0.13%0.525+65.09%0.4769✗1.811.9M2022-05-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.5161.4267-0.14%62.99+2.41%0.0082✗1.1919.8M2022-05-28
ZECZcashZcash85.8585.7319-0.14%86.67+0.96%0.0076✓1.305.1M2022-05-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.171.1684-0.14%1.213+3.68%0.0132✗1.71490k2022-05-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1691.1673-0.14%1.219+4.28%0.0245✗1.326.8M2022-05-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.24740.247049-0.14%0.2526+2.10%0.0026✗1.37141k2022-05-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.232.2268-0.15%2.35+5.38%0.0283✗1.79354k2022-05-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.360.35947-0.15%0.367+1.94%0.0034✗1.2217.7M2022-05-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.357420.356882-0.15%0.36882+3.19%0.0145✗1.29200k2022-05-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.217.1991-0.15%7.53+4.44%0.0265✗1.294.6M2022-05-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.60080.599867-0.16%0.6066+0.97%0.0094✓1.444.8M2022-05-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4552.4511-0.16%2.477+0.90%0.0140✓1.724.3M2022-05-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.5221.5195-0.16%1.583+4.01%0.0186✗1.571.6M2022-05-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.810.808673-0.16%0.84+3.70%0.0227✗1.0794k2022-05-28
ZENHorizenBase18.8618.8287-0.17%19.24+2.01%0.0006✓1.56124k2022-05-28
ADACardanoCardano0.45620.455436-0.17%0.4643+1.78%0.0000✓1.3546.3M2022-05-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4276-0.17%1.52+6.29%0.0412✗1.512.4M2022-05-28
QTUMQtumQtum3.70653.7001-0.17%3.7424+0.97%0.0051✓1.1673k2022-05-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17440.174094-0.18%0.1814+4.01%0.0194✗1.52501k2022-05-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034710.034648-0.18%0.03613+4.09%0.0222✗1.3839k2022-05-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5062.5015-0.18%2.679+6.90%0.0468✗1.53284k2022-05-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8950.893368-0.18%0.916+2.35%0.0095✗1.09658k2022-05-28
XMRMoneroMonero180.42180.0892-0.18%175.92-2.49%0.0390✓1.102.5M2022-05-28
FTTFTXEthereum26.4226.3712-0.18%27.11+2.61%0.0139✗0.9610.2M2022-05-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.071.068-0.19%1.12+4.67%0.0359✗0.81181k2022-05-28
QNTQuantEthereum62.161.9826-0.19%65.4+5.31%0.0386✗1.063.3M2022-05-28
HIVEHivenative0.44720.446349-0.19%0.4761+6.46%0.0463✗1.281.3M2022-05-28
KCSKuCoinnative15.1715.1411-0.19%15.304+0.88%0.0032✓0.986.6M2022-05-28
XYMSymbolnative0.05270.052597-0.20%0.0564+7.02%0.0588✗0.77126k2022-05-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.14310.14282-0.20%0.1652+15.44%0.1313✗1.003,0542022-05-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3473.3404-0.20%3.322-0.75%0.0194✓0.981.9M2022-05-28
XVGVergenative0.004670.004661-0.20%0.00491+5.14%0.0315✗1.45837k2022-05-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004070.004062-0.20%0.00403-0.98%0.0246✓1.181.9M2022-05-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6530.651679-0.20%0.651-0.31%0.0226✓1.521.7M2022-05-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12280.122549-0.20%0.1288+4.89%0.0266✗1.625.4M2022-05-28
GITCOINGITCOIN2.2442.2394-0.20%2.346+4.55%0.0203✗1.8417k2022-05-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin28,598.3128,539.69-0.20%29,008.99+1.44%0.0021✓1.00676.2M2022-05-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.590.588789-0.21%0.599+1.53%0.0042✓1.50247k2022-05-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12380.123545-0.21%0.1263+2.02%0.0055✗1.1617k2022-05-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3512.346-0.21%2.607+10.89%0.0912✗1.00138k2022-05-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.6111.5848-0.22%11.87+2.24%0.0116✗0.89517k2022-05-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14030.139995-0.22%0.1416+0.93%0.0122✓1.6689k2022-05-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4670.46598-0.22%0.492+5.35%0.0373✗1.1928k2022-05-28
IMXImmutableEthereum0.850.848122-0.22%0.915+7.65%0.0534✗1.584.7M2022-05-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12280.122524-0.22%0.1266+3.09%0.0166✗1.13951k2022-05-28
XECeCashnative0.000046890.000046784-0.23%0.0000473+0.87%0.0076✓1.305.4M2022-05-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011930.011903-0.23%0.0117-1.93%0.0383✓1.4827.3M2022-05-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1203360.120054-0.23%0.122588+1.87%0.0054✗1.0911.0M2022-05-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.02320.023145-0.24%0.02384+2.76%0.0209✗0.61589k2022-05-28
DODODODOEthereum0.1320.131687-0.24%0.137+3.79%0.0171✗1.582.6M2022-05-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.35.2874-0.24%5.42+2.26%0.0142✗0.742.9M2022-05-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative22.522.4444-0.25%22.74+1.07%0.0047✓1.254.2M2022-05-28
XEMNEMnative0.04690.046782-0.25%0.0479+2.13%0.0041✗1.3731k2022-05-28
CBKCobakEthereum1.1511.1481-0.25%1.1524+0.12%0.0109✓1.028,4812022-05-28
TRXTRONTron0.0806480.080443-0.25%0.081148+0.62%0.0029✓0.811.5M2022-05-28
STXStacksnative0.510.50865-0.26%0.52+1.96%0.0064✗1.10252k2022-05-28
SCSiacoinnative0.005410.005395-0.27%0.00536-0.92%0.0287✓1.56359k2022-05-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047060.04693-0.28%0.04736+0.64%0.0050✓0.994,9292022-05-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2343.225-0.28%3.3129+2.44%0.0043✗1.586.7M2022-05-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.367740.366686-0.29%0.379026+3.07%0.0139✗1.354.5M2022-05-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01930.019244-0.29%0.0238+23.32%0.1812✗2.1926.5M2022-05-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.760.757758-0.30%0.81+6.58%0.0444✗1.56402k2022-05-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0165610.016507-0.33%0.0177+6.88%0.0546✗1.073.4M2022-05-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0158220.01577-0.33%0.014613-7.64%0.0856✓0.66186k2022-05-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5750.57307-0.34%0.626+8.87%0.0670✗1.5013k2022-05-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.008970.008939-0.35%0.009135+1.84%0.0068✗1.045,9322022-05-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.026440.026342-0.37%0.026406-0.13%0.0122✓1.0315k2022-05-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0820.081695-0.37%0.083+1.22%0.0071✓1.61166k2022-05-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.096.0665-0.39%6.45+5.91%0.0410✗1.42553k2022-05-28
STEEMSteemnative0.23440.233422-0.42%0.2403+2.52%0.0047✗1.71887k2022-05-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004380.004362-0.42%0.00437-0.23%0.0139✓1.1111k2022-05-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025430.025318-0.44%0.02564+0.83%0.0015✓0.99180k2022-05-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.420490.418579-0.45%0.42364+0.75%0.0123✓1.7123k2022-05-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04670.046483-0.46%0.0477+2.14%0.0078✗1.271.2M2022-05-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.83511.8257-0.51%2.0387+11.09%0.0911✗1.355.6M2022-05-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.4112.3986-0.51%2.4046-0.27%0.0114✓0.982.9M2022-05-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2171.2106-0.53%1.299+6.74%0.0503✗1.427.8M2022-05-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05410.05381-0.54%0.0564+4.25%0.0284✗1.3183k2022-05-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053410.05312-0.54%0.05265-1.42%0.0242✓1.0815k2022-05-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.387.3376-0.57%7.89+6.91%0.0661✗0.451.2M2022-05-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.484.4542-0.58%4.4-1.79%0.0239✓0.82829k2022-05-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.40e-77.36e-7-0.59%7.17e-7-3.11%0.0396✓0.981.6M2022-05-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.41871.4103-0.59%1.4536+2.46%0.0211✗0.646,3352022-05-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.28222.2683-0.61%2.2935+0.50%0.0020✓0.924.7M2022-05-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.2642.2482-0.70%2.39+5.57%0.0464✗1.03763k2022-05-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0814360.080864-0.70%0.081785+0.43%0.0048✓1.133.8M2022-05-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.112.0941-0.75%2.11+0.00%0.0093✓1.18219k2022-05-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.000121280.000120332-0.78%0.00009177-24.33%0.3120✓2.885.5M2022-05-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.0243.9839-1.00%4.41+9.59%0.0961✗0.384.0M2022-05-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.983.9338-1.16%3.91-1.76%0.0203✓1.00661k2022-05-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.254.1909-1.39%4.77+12.24%0.1179✗0.81749k2022-05-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8332.79-1.52%2.832-0.04%0.0049✓0.711.2M2022-05-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.622260.612543-1.56%0.62113-0.18%0.0092✓1.62397k2022-05-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.