8=======>

2022-05-24 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 169 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1443
169 of 169 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.89%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
32.0%
in alpha space · 31.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.42%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (169 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.11780.118528+0.62%0.1164-1.19%0.0108✗1.76593k2022-05-25
GTGateEthereum5.64075.6729+0.57%5.5974-0.77%0.0113✗0.514.9M2022-05-25
ETHEthereumEthereum1,978.151,987.92+0.49%1,940.83-1.89%0.0197✗1.03425.9M2022-05-25
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8180.821895+0.48%0.793-3.06%0.0311✗1.122.9M2022-05-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.395710.397559+0.47%0.38953-1.56%0.0151✗1.28197k2022-05-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004570.004591+0.45%0.00435-4.81%0.0490✗1.161.9M2022-05-25
DIADIAEthereum0.467980.47004+0.44%0.45862-2.00%0.0221✗0.6095k2022-05-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,426.0029,553.51+0.43%29,838.20+1.40%0.0136✓0.9778k2022-05-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.383.3942+0.42%3.31-2.07%0.0211✗0.96758k2022-05-25
GALAGALAEthereum0.08320.08354+0.41%0.08-3.85%0.0362✗1.71212k2022-05-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15470.155308+0.39%0.1511-2.33%0.0213✗1.498.8M2022-05-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011740.000011785+0.39%0.0000116-1.19%0.0104✗1.301.1M2022-05-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9940.997827+0.39%0.967-2.72%0.0269✗1.08658k2022-05-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.013270.013321+0.38%0.01278-3.69%0.0371✗1.042.5M2022-05-25
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0221.0257+0.36%0.976-4.50%0.0436✗1.47775k2022-05-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26820.269167+0.36%0.2692+0.37%0.0054✓1.26305k2022-05-25
HIVEHivenative0.49450.496258+0.36%0.4895-1.01%0.0084✗1.281.5M2022-05-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.0329.1318+0.35%27.21-6.27%0.0621✗1.4752.0M2022-05-25
ORCAOrcaSolana0.830.832877+0.35%0.85+2.41%0.0248✓1.0895k2022-05-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070790.071029+0.34%0.0708+0.01%0.0013✓1.0817k2022-05-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,626.4429,725.42+0.33%29,503.49-0.42%0.0033✗1.00749.9M2022-05-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.586.6016+0.33%6.35-3.50%0.0330✗1.40623k2022-05-25
ZECZcashZcash100.18100.5087+0.33%95.54-4.63%0.0453✗1.305.1M2022-05-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.227.2435+0.32%6.95-3.74%0.0358✗1.3419.2M2022-05-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.371.3745+0.32%1.34-2.19%0.0209✗1.08132k2022-05-25
XMRMoneroMonero193.08193.7035+0.32%204.07+5.69%0.0566✓1.082.6M2022-05-25
NEXONEXOEthereum1.281.2841+0.32%1.286+0.47%0.0056✓1.002.8M2022-05-25
SOLSolanaSolana49.6449.7937+0.31%47.94-3.42%0.0319✗1.4599.2M2022-05-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.93244.9476+0.31%4.9103-0.45%0.0066✗0.24307k2022-05-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.41870.41999+0.31%0.4053-3.20%0.0306✗1.2116.1M2022-05-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.683.6913+0.31%3.812+3.59%0.0361✓0.951.9M2022-05-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.57932.5872+0.31%2.5303-1.90%0.0171✗1.2491k2022-05-25
STORJStorjEthereum0.576320.578042+0.30%0.56044-2.76%0.0248✗1.4787k2022-05-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6242.6318+0.30%2.551-2.78%0.0240✗1.724.6M2022-05-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0880.088258+0.29%0.0878-0.23%0.0019✓0.79230k2022-05-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.931.9353+0.27%1.91-1.04%0.0060✗1.72625k2022-05-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0482.0533+0.26%2.078+1.46%0.0183✓1.5295k2022-05-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5740.57547+0.26%0.592+3.14%0.0349✓1.58844k2022-05-25
KSMKusamaHydration81.6481.8486+0.26%79.21-2.98%0.0277✗1.211.4M2022-05-25
AAVEAaveEthereum106.62106.8839+0.25%101.87-4.46%0.0418✗1.519.2M2022-05-25
BTTCBTTC0.000001130.000001133+0.25%0.00000113+0.00%0.0009✓0.807.6M2022-05-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13420.134523+0.24%0.1355+0.97%0.0120✓1.1416k2022-05-25
MANADecentralandEthereum1.03871.0412+0.24%1.0553+1.60%0.0200✓1.561.1M2022-05-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66590.667496+0.24%0.6487-2.58%0.0227✗1.414.9M2022-05-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.9813.011+0.24%12.51-3.62%0.0355✗0.90568k2022-05-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum13.6113.6422+0.24%13.32-2.13%0.0188✗1.22766k2022-05-25
ADACardanoCardano0.52140.522582+0.23%0.5139-1.44%0.0112✗1.3448.2M2022-05-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.9953.0018+0.23%2.82-5.84%0.0579✗1.1095k2022-05-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.11910.119368+0.22%0.1199+0.67%0.0099✓1.311.1M2022-05-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0835630.083748+0.22%0.082855-0.85%0.0061✗1.125.8M2022-05-25
LSKLiskEthereum1.28731.2902+0.22%1.277-0.80%0.0055✗1.1565k2022-05-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.0711.0944+0.22%10.73-3.07%0.0275✗1.4321.0M2022-05-25
XEMNEMnative0.0530.053116+0.22%0.0519-2.08%0.0175✗1.3656k2022-05-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,069.189,088.44+0.21%8,462.79-6.69%0.0663✗1.203.4M2022-05-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.453.5128+0.21%53.342-0.11%0.0008✓0.961.5M2022-05-25
BANDBandEthereum1.7661.7697+0.21%1.687-4.47%0.0417✗1.48433k2022-05-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.06530.065435+0.21%0.0612-6.28%0.0620✗1.18406k2022-05-25
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5780.57917+0.20%0.53-8.30%0.0838✗1.1831k2022-05-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004480.004489+0.20%0.00442-1.34%0.0109✗1.1013k2022-05-25
QNTQuantEthereum68.3268.4532+0.19%67.06-1.84%0.0162✗1.053.5M2022-05-25
SGBSongbirdnative0.03330.033364+0.19%0.0375+12.61%0.1186✓0.41138k2022-05-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.009090.009108+0.19%0.009336+2.71%0.0291✓1.0210k2022-05-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.927.9347+0.19%7.75-2.15%0.0174✗1.487.8M2022-05-25
ZENHorizenBase20.6120.6474+0.18%20.29-1.55%0.0110✗1.55156k2022-05-25
COMPCompoundEthereum69.9170.0369+0.18%66.82-4.42%0.0412✗1.3930k2022-05-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15370.153972+0.18%0.1393-9.37%0.0934✗1.625.5M2022-05-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13120.13143+0.18%0.1281-2.36%0.0210✗1.11943k2022-05-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.79.7169+0.17%9.44-2.68%0.0222✗1.62188k2022-05-25
GITCOINGITCOIN2.6422.6466+0.17%2.581-2.31%0.0175✗1.8219k2022-05-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009630.009647+0.17%0.00979+1.66%0.0192✓1.071.2M2022-05-25
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.53531.5379+0.17%1.6245+5.81%0.0574✓0.6211k2022-05-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.17880.179093+0.16%0.1738-2.80%0.0243✗1.37372k2022-05-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin70.270.3141+0.16%68.16-2.91%0.0262✗1.1819.8M2022-05-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33980.340334+0.16%0.3344-1.59%0.0122✗1.298.6M2022-05-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18910.189395+0.16%0.1867-1.27%0.0081✗1.51572k2022-05-25
KCSKuCoinnative16.06116.0859+0.16%16.114+0.33%0.0058✓0.976.6M2022-05-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009210.009224+0.15%0.00903-1.95%0.0180✗0.79178k2022-05-25
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14720.147419+0.15%0.1473+0.07%0.0061✓1.66105k2022-05-25
RADRadworksEthereum2.082.0829+0.14%3.37+62.02%0.4858✓1.12219k2022-05-25
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.180.180248+0.14%0.1688-6.22%0.0615✗1.003,4222022-05-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4297660.430352+0.14%0.419069-2.49%0.0211✗1.335.6M2022-05-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.4060.406541+0.13%0.394-2.96%0.0269✗1.081.0M2022-05-25
WOOWOOEthereum0.19760.197854+0.13%0.1942-1.72%0.0144✗1.031,8912022-05-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6880.688871+0.13%0.683-0.73%0.0024✗1.48294k2022-05-25
FTTFTXEthereum29.8329.8674+0.13%29-2.78%0.0255✗0.9610.4M2022-05-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2551.2564+0.11%1.233-1.75%0.0134✗1.317.3M2022-05-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.027790.027822+0.11%0.02754-0.90%0.0059✗1.0217k2022-05-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.910.910973+0.11%0.87-4.40%0.0396✗1.54525k2022-05-25
NANOnanopayBase1.12451.1256+0.10%1.0864-3.39%0.0303✗1.24165k2022-05-25
XVSVenusEthereum4.724.7247+0.10%4.6-2.54%0.0197✗1.712.5M2022-05-25
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.0690.069068+0.10%0.0693+0.43%0.0075✓1.002.9M2022-05-25
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9282.9308+0.09%2.862-2.25%0.0174✗1.53298k2022-05-25
DASHDashDash62.3362.3862+0.09%62.12-0.34%0.0006✓1.171.2M2022-05-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001380.001381+0.09%0.00137-0.72%0.0018✗1.522.9M2022-05-25
QTUMQtumQtum4.10824.1117+0.09%4.0707-0.91%0.0052✗1.16113k2022-05-25
UOSUltraEthereum0.384920.385244+0.08%0.37157-3.47%0.0304✗1.391.1M2022-05-25
CBKCobakEthereum1.1861.187+0.08%1.245+4.97%0.0520✓1.0312k2022-05-25
API3Api3Ethereum1.7251.7264+0.08%1.67-3.19%0.0266✗1.581.8M2022-05-25
APEApeCoinEthereum7.5057.5108+0.08%7.33-2.33%0.0147✗2.3375.7M2022-05-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3911.392+0.07%1.299-6.61%0.0621✗1.69503k2022-05-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.11960.119674+0.06%0.1203+0.59%0.0119✓1.611.4M2022-05-25
XLMStellarStellar0.1329610.133041+0.06%0.132074-0.67%0.0028✗1.0812.0M2022-05-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.039740.03976+0.05%0.03816-3.98%0.0353✗1.3844k2022-05-25
XYMSymbolnative0.0620.062031+0.05%0.0602-2.90%0.0268✗0.75184k2022-05-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.412.406+0.05%12.26-1.13%0.0054✗1.556.9M2022-05-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.048530.048554+0.05%0.04828-0.52%0.0016✗0.986,4572022-05-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012510.012516+0.05%0.01238-1.04%0.0048✗1.4734.2M2022-05-25
XVGVergenative0.005320.005322+0.04%0.00508-4.51%0.0406✗1.43845k2022-05-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08320.083235+0.04%0.0827-0.60%0.0004✓1.642.5M2022-05-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.054920.054937+0.03%0.05634+2.59%0.0297✓1.0717k2022-05-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.29930.299389+0.03%0.2923-2.34%0.0188✗1.24438k2022-05-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.21110.211154+0.03%0.2104-0.33%0.0007✗0.69369k2022-05-25
SCSiacoinnative0.005490.005491+0.03%0.00535-2.55%0.0196✗1.55367k2022-05-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.48.4021+0.03%8.17-2.74%0.0227✗1.285.0M2022-05-25
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.1352.1355+0.03%2.13-0.23%0.0054✓1.92690k2022-05-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative24.1824.1849+0.02%23.79-1.61%0.0113✗1.243.9M2022-05-25
XTZTezosTezos2.12282.1232+0.02%2.1289+0.29%0.0080✓1.281.3M2022-05-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.555.5508+0.01%5.92+6.67%0.0674✓0.733.3M2022-05-25
AVTAventusEthereum1.151.1501+0.01%1.14-0.87%0.0056✗0.79192k2022-05-25
MOVRMoonriverBase24.864124.8666+0.01%24.0075-3.45%0.0292✗1.43229k2022-05-25
UMAUMAEthereum3.4493.4492+0.01%3.37-2.29%0.0163✗1.672.2M2022-05-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6910.691-0.00%0.649-6.08%0.0564✓1.511.7M2022-05-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.218070.218046-0.01%0.21127-3.12%0.0247✓1.65302k2022-05-25
BORABORAKlay Token0.413110.413062-0.01%0.45588+10.35%0.1057✗1.7026k2022-05-25
GLMGolemEthereum0.26060.260569-0.01%0.2576-1.15%0.0057✓1.38152k2022-05-25
XECeCashnative0.000050510.000050503-0.01%0.00004919-2.61%0.0209✓1.305.7M2022-05-25
GMTGMTEthereum1.3981.3976-0.03%1.374-1.72%0.0129✓1.004.0M2022-05-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3830.382835-0.04%0.396+3.39%0.0413✗1.811.8M2022-05-25
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08990.089853-0.05%0.106+17.91%0.1719✗1.59162k2022-05-25
UNIUniswapEthereum5.65.5962-0.07%5.62+0.36%0.0092✗1.203.1M2022-05-25
TRXTRONTron0.0805070.080445-0.08%0.084706+5.22%0.0549✗0.791.3M2022-05-25
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9560.955224-0.08%0.934-2.30%0.0160✓1.556.1M2022-05-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash195.39195.2305-0.08%190.03-2.74%0.0222✓1.164.9M2022-05-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0540.053956-0.08%0.0529-2.04%0.0146✓1.241.3M2022-05-25
LRCLoopringEthereum0.55470.554228-0.09%0.6112+10.19%0.1039✗1.45219k2022-05-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.1810.1713-0.09%9.87-3.05%0.0245✓1.3413.8M2022-05-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03770.037664-0.10%0.0346-8.22%0.0789✓1.42198k2022-05-25
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.51293.5092-0.10%3.5129+0.00%0.0073✗1.508.3M2022-05-25
STXStacksnative0.590.589241-0.13%0.59+0.00%0.0058✗1.08256k2022-05-25
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.72.6963-0.14%2.949+9.22%0.0937✗1.00155k2022-05-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.42972.4262-0.14%2.5703+5.79%0.0616✗0.952.8M2022-05-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.673.6645-0.15%4.06+10.63%0.1059✗0.81717k2022-05-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0169930.016967-0.15%0.01699-0.02%0.0040✗0.64199k2022-05-25
CELLCellframeEthereum0.38890.388254-0.17%0.3875-0.36%0.0035✗1.3165k2022-05-25
PROPropyEthereum1.061.0581-0.18%1.06+0.00%0.0047✗0.71369k2022-05-25
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.94e-76.93e-7-0.22%6.44e-7-7.22%0.0687✓0.981.5M2022-05-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.234.2207-0.22%4.65+9.93%0.1003✗0.81824k2022-05-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.682.6739-0.23%2.61-2.61%0.0168✓1.78390k2022-05-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum21.2621.2112-0.23%20.88-1.79%0.0100✓1.383.3M2022-05-25
STEEMSteemnative0.26170.261078-0.24%0.2579-1.45%0.0052✓1.701.0M2022-05-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.353.3414-0.26%4.36+30.15%0.2702✗0.99571k2022-05-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02730.027222-0.29%0.0239-12.45%0.1208✓2.2426.5M2022-05-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2390.238173-0.35%0.223-6.69%0.0592✓1.582.0M2022-05-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.857.8147-0.45%8.16+3.95%0.0451✗0.451.2M2022-05-25
ASTRAstarEthereum0.07190.071546-0.49%0.067-6.82%0.0604✓1.2685k2022-05-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.27262.2613-0.50%2.1481-5.48%0.0458✓1.347.1M2022-05-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.431.4226-0.51%1.391-2.73%0.0166✓1.419.7M2022-05-25
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6780.674486-0.52%0.684+0.88%0.0202✗1.4916k2022-05-25
SUSHISushiEthereum1.661.6503-0.58%1.65-0.60%0.0060✗1.492.9M2022-05-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.02740.027238-0.59%0.02708-1.17%0.0034✓0.58436k2022-05-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.20592.1927-0.60%2.5249+14.46%0.1448✗0.894.3M2022-05-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.42.3828-0.72%2.531+5.46%0.0646✗1.01763k2022-05-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.5282.4962-1.26%2.628+3.96%0.0544✗0.72949k2022-05-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0217330.021438-1.36%0.021686-0.22%0.0158✗1.043.5M2022-05-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.544.4759-1.41%4.696+3.44%0.0495✗0.363.3M2022-05-25
DODODODOEthereum0.1780.175372-1.48%0.171-3.93%0.0188✓1.543.2M2022-05-25
LUNATerraTerra 20.000180.000175743-2.37%0.00019+5.56%0.0903✗2.966.3M2022-05-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.037180.036136-2.81%0.02834-23.78%0.2390✓0.98180k2022-05-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.849690.816897-3.86%0.78513-7.60%0.0331✓1.59329k2022-05-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.