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2022-05-23 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2451
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.48%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.9%
in alpha space · 33.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.87%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2013.0994-3.18%2.528-21.02%0.2180✓0.77858k2022-05-24
LUNATerraTerra 20.000160.000155019-3.11%0.00018+12.50%0.0963✗2.876.3M2022-05-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.70440.68406-2.89%0.84969+20.63%0.1877✗1.57329k2022-05-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6854.5881-2.07%4.54-3.09%0.0175✓0.372.8M2022-05-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.6182.5661-1.98%2.4-8.33%0.0861✓1.04748k2022-05-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4441.4229-1.46%1.43-0.97%0.0212✓1.4110.1M2022-05-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.20962.1823-1.23%2.2726+2.85%0.0157✗1.347.1M2022-05-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.017.9252-1.06%7.85-2.00%0.0180✓0.461.2M2022-05-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.029750.029442-1.04%0.0274-7.90%0.0832✓0.61407k2022-05-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02570.025438-1.02%0.0273+6.23%0.0292✗2.2325.3M2022-05-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.573.5363-0.94%3.67+2.80%0.0221✗0.81659k2022-05-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0206480.020471-0.86%0.021733+5.25%0.0407✗1.033.2M2022-05-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.50732.4859-0.85%2.4297-3.09%0.0407✓0.962.7M2022-05-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05390.053493-0.76%0.054+0.19%0.0137✓1.251.3M2022-05-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.22112.2048-0.73%2.2059-0.68%0.0161✓0.894.7M2022-05-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08960.088953-0.72%0.0899+0.33%0.0190✓1.60162k2022-05-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0830870.082552-0.64%0.083563+0.57%0.0086✓1.125.8M2022-05-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.58091.5708-0.64%1.5353-2.88%0.0343✓0.6212k2022-05-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7030.698529-0.64%0.678-3.56%0.0577✓1.5016k2022-05-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4202640.417603-0.63%0.429766+2.26%0.0041✓1.335.6M2022-05-24
STEEMSteemnative0.2650.263372-0.61%0.2617-1.25%0.0383✓1.731.1M2022-05-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.056270.055956-0.56%0.05492-2.40%0.0386✓1.0718k2022-05-24
DIADIAEthereum0.489590.486902-0.55%0.46798-4.41%0.0500✓0.5691k2022-05-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0176820.017586-0.54%0.016993-3.90%0.0462✓0.64205k2022-05-24
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9362.9203-0.53%2.7-8.04%0.0970✓1.00163k2022-05-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.414570.412449-0.51%0.41311-0.35%0.0301✓1.7126k2022-05-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.49413.4763-0.51%3.5129+0.54%0.0175✓1.519.1M2022-05-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00450.004478-0.49%0.00448-0.44%0.0199✓1.1013k2022-05-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.123.1052-0.47%3.35+7.37%0.0576✗0.98557k2022-05-24
XYMSymbolnative0.06540.065098-0.46%0.062-5.20%0.0628✓0.76229k2022-05-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana43.9835-0.41%4.23+5.75%0.0451✗0.81812k2022-05-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.870.866567-0.39%0.91+4.60%0.0203✗1.54578k2022-05-24
APEApeCoinEthereum7.7497.7199-0.38%7.505-3.15%0.0720✓2.3676.4M2022-05-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.027090.02699-0.37%0.02779+2.58%0.0104✗1.0218k2022-05-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2360.235133-0.37%0.239+1.27%0.0131✓1.592.0M2022-05-24
XEMNEMnative0.05540.0552-0.36%0.053-4.33%0.0660✓1.3756k2022-05-24
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.16750.166934-0.34%0.18+7.46%0.0568✗1.004,0132022-05-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.7112.6686-0.33%12.4-2.44%0.0503✓1.566.9M2022-05-24
CBKCobakEthereum1.1691.1652-0.33%1.186+1.45%0.0012✓1.0212k2022-05-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.186.1603-0.32%6.58+6.47%0.0402✗1.39610k2022-05-24
STXStacksnative0.620.618038-0.32%0.59-4.84%0.0667✓1.10260k2022-05-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.55030.548587-0.31%0.5547+0.80%0.0160✓1.46211k2022-05-24
KCSKuCoinnative16.316.2503-0.30%16.061-1.47%0.0297✓0.976.5M2022-05-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047060.046919-0.30%0.04853+3.12%0.0157✗0.986,4572022-05-24
COMPCompoundEthereum68.8968.6839-0.30%69.91+1.48%0.0080✓1.3928k2022-05-24
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9380.935216-0.30%0.956+1.92%0.0069✓1.566.1M2022-05-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.11940.119051-0.29%0.1178-1.34%0.0432✓1.76604k2022-05-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6760.674031-0.29%0.688+1.78%0.0070✓1.49294k2022-05-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.665.6438-0.29%5.55-1.94%0.0304✓0.743.3M2022-05-24
XMRMoneroMonero185.61185.1006-0.27%193.08+4.02%0.0223✗1.072.7M2022-05-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.03e-77.01e-7-0.27%6.94e-7-1.21%0.0273✓0.971.5M2022-05-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14390.143514-0.27%0.1472+2.29%0.0055✓1.6697k2022-05-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.793.7799-0.27%3.68-2.90%0.0446✓0.962.0M2022-05-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.22420.223601-0.27%0.1976-11.86%0.1432✓1.061,8912022-05-24
AVTAventusEthereum1.181.1769-0.26%1.15-2.54%0.0380✓0.80192k2022-05-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038650.038548-0.26%0.03974+2.82%0.0049✗1.3844k2022-05-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0550.054856-0.26%0.0719+30.73%0.2483✗1.2085k2022-05-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3810.380003-0.26%0.3889+2.07%0.0009✓1.3068k2022-05-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.8712.8364-0.26%12.98+0.85%0.0056✓0.90568k2022-05-24
PROPropyEthereum1.041.0373-0.26%1.06+1.92%0.0084✗0.71369k2022-05-24
SUSHISushiEthereum1.531.526-0.26%1.66+8.50%0.0568✗1.483.1M2022-05-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.008590.008568-0.26%0.00909+5.82%0.0403✗1.0211k2022-05-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012410.012379-0.25%0.01251+0.81%0.0170✓1.4934.7M2022-05-24
FTTFTXEthereum29.6829.605-0.25%29.83+0.51%0.0102✓0.9610.6M2022-05-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1287080.128391-0.25%0.132961+3.30%0.0150✗1.0812.0M2022-05-24
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5550.553649-0.24%0.578+4.14%0.0213✗1.1733k2022-05-24
XECeCashnative0.000048150.000048034-0.24%0.00005051+4.90%0.0263✗1.295.7M2022-05-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004720.004709-0.24%0.00457-3.18%0.0517✓1.171.9M2022-05-24
HIVEHivenative0.48940.488249-0.24%0.4945+1.04%0.0110✓1.281.5M2022-05-24
QTUMQtumQtum4.10254.093-0.23%4.1082+0.14%0.0178✓1.16113k2022-05-24
XVGVergenative0.005070.005059-0.22%0.00532+4.93%0.0240✗1.42845k2022-05-24
QNTQuantEthereum67.9167.761-0.22%68.32+0.60%0.0114✓1.063.5M2022-05-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13530.135005-0.22%0.1537+13.60%0.1000✗1.605.5M2022-05-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25670.25614-0.22%0.2682+4.48%0.0228✗1.25305k2022-05-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08010.079932-0.21%0.0832+3.87%0.0096✗1.642.5M2022-05-24
ADACardanoCardano0.51290.511856-0.20%0.5214+1.66%0.0063✓1.3448.2M2022-05-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.562.5548-0.20%2.68+4.69%0.0148✗1.78390k2022-05-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027070.027016-0.20%0.03718+37.35%0.3022✗0.93180k2022-05-24
GITCOINGITCOIN2.5312.526-0.20%2.642+4.39%0.0111✗1.8221k2022-05-24
API3Api3Ethereum1.7481.7446-0.20%1.725-1.32%0.0403✓1.571.8M2022-05-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66530.664025-0.19%0.6659+0.09%0.0236✓1.424.9M2022-05-24
ZECZcashZcash99.1898.9912-0.19%100.18+1.01%0.0122✓1.305.1M2022-05-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.168.1445-0.19%8.4+2.94%0.0072✗1.285.0M2022-05-24
UMAUMAEthereum3.4593.4525-0.19%3.449-0.29%0.0320✓1.672.2M2022-05-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,082.5229,028.63-0.19%29,626.44+1.87%0.0019✓1.00749.9M2022-05-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.7921.7504-0.18%24.18+10.97%0.0832✗1.233.6M2022-05-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5450.544018-0.18%0.574+5.32%0.0245✗1.57904k2022-05-24
KSMKusamaHydration82.8582.7012-0.18%81.64-1.46%0.0356✓1.221.4M2022-05-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12650.126273-0.18%0.1342+6.09%0.0399✗1.1317k2022-05-24
TRXTRONTron0.0760520.075916-0.18%0.080507+5.86%0.0441✗0.791.2M2022-05-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6470.645852-0.18%0.691+6.80%0.0398✗1.501.7M2022-05-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin68.9568.8288-0.18%70.2+1.81%0.0021✓1.1819.5M2022-05-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2971.2947-0.18%1.255-3.24%0.0556✓1.327.5M2022-05-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009880.009863-0.17%0.00963-2.53%0.0437✓1.071.2M2022-05-24
SCSiacoinnative0.005130.005121-0.17%0.00549+7.02%0.0409✗1.54367k2022-05-24
GMTGMTEthereum1.3651.3626-0.17%1.398+2.42%0.0071✗1.004.1M2022-05-24
BANDBandEthereum1.7081.705-0.17%1.766+3.40%0.0076✗1.48433k2022-05-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,122.5029,072.52-0.17%29,426.00+1.04%0.0060✓0.9876k2022-05-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9510.949378-0.17%0.994+4.52%0.0260✗1.08658k2022-05-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.41650.41579-0.17%0.4187+0.53%0.0155✓1.2115.9M2022-05-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.25690.256464-0.17%0.2606+1.44%0.0096✓1.38156k2022-05-24
ZENHorizenBase19.919.8666-0.17%20.61+3.57%0.0080✗1.55156k2022-05-24
UNIUniswapEthereum5.625.6107-0.17%5.6-0.36%0.0241✓1.202.8M2022-05-24
XVSVenusEthereum4.664.6523-0.16%4.72+1.29%0.0172✓1.712.5M2022-05-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos21.9967-0.16%2.048+2.40%0.0029✓1.5295k2022-05-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.361.3578-0.16%1.37+0.74%0.0112✓1.09132k2022-05-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.208770.208432-0.16%0.21807+4.45%0.0146✗1.65298k2022-05-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8522.8474-0.16%2.928+2.66%0.0005✓1.53284k2022-05-24
DODODODOEthereum0.1460.145768-0.16%0.178+21.92%0.1719✗1.503.0M2022-05-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.393.3847-0.16%3.38-0.29%0.0192✓0.96758k2022-05-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13240.132197-0.15%0.1312-0.91%0.0283✓1.12997k2022-05-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.012870.01285-0.15%0.01327+3.11%0.0130✗1.032.5M2022-05-24
MANADecentralandEthereum1.02791.0263-0.15%1.0387+1.05%0.0169✓1.561.2M2022-05-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33150.331041-0.14%0.3398+2.50%0.0022✗1.298.6M2022-05-24
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2921.2902-0.14%1.28-0.93%0.0265✓1.003.3M2022-05-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.52232.5189-0.14%2.5793+2.26%0.0008✓1.2494k2022-05-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.38390.383384-0.13%0.39571+3.08%0.0079✗1.28197k2022-05-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3460.345537-0.13%0.383+10.69%0.0698✗1.791.8M2022-05-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV5150.9321-0.13%53.4+4.71%0.0296✗0.951.5M2022-05-24
BTTCBTTC0.00000110.000001099-0.13%0.00000113+2.73%0.0135✗0.807.5M2022-05-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.9820.9523-0.13%21.26+1.33%0.0110✓1.383.3M2022-05-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.1311.1157-0.13%11.07-0.54%0.0305✓1.4221.0M2022-05-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.23041.2288-0.13%1.2873+4.63%0.0254✗1.1465k2022-05-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.9752.9713-0.12%2.995+0.67%0.0123✓1.0995k2022-05-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.941.9376-0.12%1.93-0.52%0.0359✓1.73602k2022-05-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.17570.175486-0.12%0.1788+1.76%0.0067✓1.37372k2022-05-24
DASHDashDash59.8359.7572-0.12%62.33+4.18%0.0204✗1.171.1M2022-05-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.560080.559432-0.12%0.57632+2.90%0.0025✗1.4787k2022-05-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.017.002-0.11%7.22+3.00%0.0059✗1.3418.8M2022-05-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.383050.38263-0.11%0.38492+0.49%0.0199✓1.391.1M2022-05-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9311.9289-0.11%2.135+10.56%0.0662✗1.90756k2022-05-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15460.154472-0.08%0.1547+0.06%0.0264✓1.508.8M2022-05-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0870.086929-0.08%0.088+1.15%0.0023✓0.78212k2022-05-24
XTZTezosTezos1.87271.8713-0.08%2.1228+13.36%0.1028✗1.261.1M2022-05-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.889.8725-0.08%10.18+3.04%0.0059✗1.3413.8M2022-05-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17210.171993-0.06%0.1891+9.88%0.0671✗1.49572k2022-05-24
ETHEthereumEthereum1,971.061,969.85-0.06%1,978.15+0.36%0.0150✓1.03425.9M2022-05-24
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7690.768574-0.06%0.818+6.37%0.0417✗1.113.0M2022-05-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.449.4349-0.05%9.7+2.75%0.0022✓1.61183k2022-05-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.1314.1233-0.05%13.61-3.68%0.0600✓1.24812k2022-05-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009060.009056-0.04%0.00921+1.66%0.0023✗0.79184k2022-05-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.767.7571-0.04%7.92+2.06%0.0067✓1.487.8M2022-05-24
NANOnanopayBase1.14661.1462-0.03%1.1245-1.93%0.0422✓1.25157k2022-05-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash191.72191.6661-0.03%195.39+1.91%0.0023✓1.164.9M2022-05-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.06640.066382-0.03%0.0653-1.66%0.0385✓1.19404k2022-05-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.21490.214844-0.03%0.2111-1.77%0.0298✓0.66369k2022-05-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.91794.9166-0.03%4.9324+0.29%0.0010✓0.23307k2022-05-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3770.376904-0.03%0.406+7.69%0.0545✗1.071.0M2022-05-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5872.5865-0.02%2.624+1.43%0.0176✓1.735.0M2022-05-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03290.032894-0.02%0.0377+14.59%0.1104✗1.40189k2022-05-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070370.07036-0.01%0.07079+0.60%0.0139✓1.0817k2022-05-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,924.648,924.57-0.00%9,069.18+1.62%0.0060✓1.193.4M2022-05-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.11540.1154-0.00%0.1196+3.64%0.0059✗1.611.4M2022-05-24
AAVEAaveEthereum99.2499.2474+0.01%106.62+7.44%0.0438✓1.509.0M2022-05-24
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9810.981074+0.01%1.022+4.18%0.0137✓1.47775k2022-05-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.30220.302229+0.01%0.2993-0.96%0.0329✗1.25438k2022-05-24
MOVRMoonriverBase24.288524.2911+0.01%24.8641+2.37%0.0032✗1.43222k2022-05-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001410.00141+0.01%0.00138-2.13%0.0498✗1.523.1M2022-05-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.11760.117618+0.02%0.1191+1.28%0.0119✗1.321.1M2022-05-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.07970.07972+0.02%0.0832+4.39%0.0111✓1.71215k2022-05-24
RADRadworksEthereum1.931.9305+0.02%2.08+7.77%0.0540✓1.11240k2022-05-24
SOLSolanaSolana49.1149.1229+0.03%49.64+1.08%0.0164✗1.4593.8M2022-05-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011670.000011673+0.03%0.00001174+0.60%0.0183✗1.301.1M2022-05-24
GTGateEthereum5.67355.6759+0.04%5.6407-0.58%0.0156✗0.514.9M2022-05-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.1611.1615+0.05%1.391+19.81%0.1493✓1.67490k2022-05-24
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06590.065949+0.07%0.069+4.70%0.0267✓1.003.0M2022-05-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.0429.0648+0.09%29.03-0.03%0.0284✗1.4752.0M2022-05-24
ORCAOrcaSolana0.780.780669+0.09%0.83+6.41%0.0416✓1.0695k2022-05-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.