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2022-05-20 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3709
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.58%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
53.6%
in alpha space · 44.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.87%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000130.000112363-13.57%0.00013+0.00%0.1231✓2.636.8M2022-05-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.804780.770506-4.26%1.0801+34.21%0.3245✗1.54327k2022-05-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.5915.3924-3.55%4.92-12.00%0.0954✓0.432.4M2022-05-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.64652.5626-3.17%2.7082+2.33%0.0439✗1.328.6M2022-05-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.429.1766-2.58%9.15-2.87%0.0073✓0.511.2M2022-05-21
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.11880.115829-2.50%0.114-4.04%0.0297✓1.60162k2022-05-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.032920.03214-2.37%0.02974-9.66%0.0841✓0.76400k2022-05-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.44682.4041-1.74%2.2912-6.36%0.0561✓0.934.6M2022-05-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.873.8051-1.68%3.68-4.91%0.0408✓0.86521k2022-05-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.7615.6748-1.50%5.564-3.42%0.0285✓1.021.7M2022-05-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana7.817.7015-1.39%7.56-3.20%0.0256✓0.813.0M2022-05-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.55872.5233-1.38%2.3895-6.61%0.0631✓1.002.5M2022-05-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0205740.020324-1.21%0.021582+4.90%0.0544✗0.66205k2022-05-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3671.3519-1.10%1.483+8.49%0.0804✗1.4112.1M2022-05-21
DIADIAEthereum0.527520.521971-1.05%0.52041-1.35%0.0077✓0.5472k2022-05-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6793.645-0.92%3.522-4.27%0.0474✓1.5110.1M2022-05-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.1442.1251-0.88%2.102-1.96%0.0201✓1.07730k2022-05-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.294.2533-0.85%4.11-4.20%0.0416✓0.85798k2022-05-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.43.372-0.82%3.27-3.82%0.0397✓1.04557k2022-05-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4461220.442704-0.77%0.439813-1.41%0.0181✓1.346.1M2022-05-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.65071.639-0.71%1.6831+1.96%0.0214✗0.6013k2022-05-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02260.022447-0.68%0.0319+41.15%0.3322✗2.2323.0M2022-05-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05410.053746-0.65%0.0557+2.96%0.0248✗1.271.4M2022-05-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.9711.9589-0.61%1.867-5.28%0.0562✓0.95793k2022-05-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0837570.083364-0.47%0.084297+0.64%0.0014✓1.135.8M2022-05-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.13820.137567-0.46%0.1437+3.98%0.0284✗1.76645k2022-05-21
STEEMSteemnative0.25920.258013-0.46%0.265+2.24%0.0181✗1.001.2M2022-05-21
XYMSymbolnative0.06580.065508-0.44%0.0655-0.46%0.0065✓0.74412k2022-05-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004310.004291-0.43%0.00455+5.57%0.0495✗1.0417k2022-05-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.0312.9774-0.40%12.78-1.92%0.0292✓1.616.9M2022-05-21
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.822.8094-0.38%2.879+2.09%0.0158✗1.00171k2022-05-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.56e-77.53e-7-0.35%7.24e-7-4.20%0.0462✓0.781.4M2022-05-21
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.16680.166245-0.33%0.171+2.52%0.0196✗1.003,4222022-05-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.890.887111-0.32%0.89+0.00%0.0101✓1.55715k2022-05-21
XVSVenusEthereum4.914.8962-0.28%4.79-2.44%0.0366✓1.712.7M2022-05-21
AVTAventusEthereum1.21.1968-0.27%1.22+1.67%0.0120✗0.83192k2022-05-21
APEApeCoinEthereum7.7487.7278-0.26%8.019+3.50%0.0161✗2.4283.4M2022-05-21
KCSKuCoinnative15.42415.3845-0.26%15.94+3.35%0.0271✗0.975.0M2022-05-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.256.2341-0.25%6.37+1.92%0.0094✗1.41717k2022-05-21
ZECZcashZcash106.98106.7133-0.25%104.31-2.50%0.0340✓1.305.4M2022-05-21
XEMNEMnative0.05310.052975-0.23%0.0532+0.19%0.0073✓1.3458k2022-05-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6830.681467-0.22%0.722+5.71%0.0446✗1.531.8M2022-05-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2350.234496-0.21%0.241+2.55%0.0134✗1.612.3M2022-05-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.008770.008753-0.20%0.00884+0.80%0.0009✓1.0411k2022-05-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.049910.049813-0.19%0.05145+3.09%0.0237✗1.0122k2022-05-21
FTTFTXEthereum29.7229.6633-0.19%30.1+1.28%0.0063✗0.9611.7M2022-05-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.044680.044597-0.19%0.04565+2.17%0.0150✗0.978,0692022-05-21
XMRMoneroMonero173.53173.2098-0.18%175.95+1.39%0.0065✗1.072.9M2022-05-21
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.1242.1201-0.18%2.203+3.72%0.0218✗1.92801k2022-05-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.623.6134-0.18%3.54-2.21%0.0288✓0.96788k2022-05-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.7512.7269-0.18%12.87+0.94%0.0030✗0.95622k2022-05-21
XLMStellarStellar0.1262310.126017-0.17%0.130524+3.40%0.0258✗1.0912.8M2022-05-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0161250.016099-0.16%0.017217+6.77%0.0576✗1.113.5M2022-05-21
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5620.561118-0.16%0.582+3.56%0.0263✗1.1936k2022-05-21
XVGVergenative0.005140.005132-0.16%0.00515+0.19%0.0088✓1.42893k2022-05-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6640.662975-0.15%0.688+3.61%0.0241✗1.50309k2022-05-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036640.036587-0.15%0.03885+6.03%0.0481✗1.3948k2022-05-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,155.7529,115.18-0.14%29,408.26+0.87%0.0014✓1.00728.1M2022-05-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.026150.026114-0.14%0.0269+2.87%0.0208✗1.0223k2022-05-21
QNTQuantEthereum66.2266.134-0.13%68.27+3.10%0.0226✗1.063.6M2022-05-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin68.4868.3916-0.13%69.78+1.90%0.0099✗1.1919.7M2022-05-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004690.004684-0.13%0.00495+5.54%0.0448✗1.211.9M2022-05-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011230.011216-0.12%0.01308+16.47%0.1405✗1.5438.6M2022-05-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.18080.180578-0.12%0.1819+0.61%0.0046✓1.38386k2022-05-21
ADACardanoCardano0.51550.514869-0.12%0.5279+2.41%0.0134✗1.3548.2M2022-05-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1250.124853-0.12%0.1254+0.32%0.0050✓1.0919k2022-05-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.43290.43239-0.12%0.4345+0.37%0.0057✓1.2215.4M2022-05-21
HIVEHivenative0.47730.476768-0.11%0.488+2.24%0.0122✗1.281.6M2022-05-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.013080.013066-0.11%0.01331+1.76%0.0094✗1.053.0M2022-05-21
ZENHorizenBase20.1120.089-0.10%20.49+1.89%0.0061✗1.59166k2022-05-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026130.026103-0.10%0.02825+8.11%0.0709✗0.95180k2022-05-21
MANADecentralandEthereum1.06231.0612-0.10%1.0948+3.06%0.0176✗1.571.2M2022-05-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.351.3487-0.10%1.36+0.74%0.0010✓1.09132k2022-05-21
GLMGolemEthereum0.25120.250954-0.10%0.2542+1.19%0.0010✓1.38161k2022-05-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9150.914132-0.09%0.962+5.14%0.0417✗1.08769k2022-05-21
API3Api3Ethereum1.7731.7713-0.09%1.965+10.83%0.0900✗1.601.9M2022-05-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64390.643291-0.09%0.6627+2.92%0.0170✗1.475.3M2022-05-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.852.8475-0.09%2.989+4.88%0.0353✗1.53263k2022-05-21
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8570.856256-0.09%0.944+10.15%0.0839✗1.586.5M2022-05-21
PROPropyEthereum1.051.0491-0.09%1.04-0.95%0.0146✓0.68375k2022-05-21
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13670.136588-0.08%0.1439+5.27%0.0380✗1.64105k2022-05-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum15.5415.5273-0.08%14.99-3.54%0.0461✓1.26836k2022-05-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.0510.0424-0.08%10.65+5.97%0.0450✗1.60159k2022-05-21
SCSiacoinnative0.0050.004996-0.08%0.00506+1.20%0.0005✓1.53378k2022-05-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12650.12641-0.07%0.128+1.19%0.0027✗1.131.1M2022-05-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.1911.1823-0.07%11.03-1.43%0.0261✓1.4321.0M2022-05-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18350.183374-0.07%0.1857+1.20%0.0002✓1.48649k2022-05-21
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7920.791517-0.06%0.852+7.58%0.0639✗1.123.1M2022-05-21
BTTCBTTC0.00000110.000001099-0.06%0.00000111+0.91%0.0030✗0.787.6M2022-05-21
COMPCompoundEthereum66.3366.2919-0.06%68.4+3.12%0.0192✗1.4028k2022-05-21
QTUMQtumQtum3.80873.8065-0.06%3.9129+2.74%0.0173✗1.19120k2022-05-21
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3081.3073-0.05%1.319+0.84%0.0003✓1.003.9M2022-05-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.52.4986-0.05%2.9+16.00%0.1335✗1.79378k2022-05-21
XECeCashnative0.000045320.000045296-0.05%0.00004593+1.35%0.0025✗1.335.9M2022-05-21
UMAUMAEthereum3.0823.0804-0.05%3.442+11.68%0.0965✗1.682.2M2022-05-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.379740.379547-0.05%0.38808+2.20%0.0111✗1.29208k2022-05-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.20230.202204-0.05%0.199-1.63%0.0255✓1.101,8912022-05-21
TRXTRONTron0.0712360.071205-0.04%0.074164+4.11%0.0339✗0.791.2M2022-05-21
BANDBandEthereum1.6731.6723-0.04%1.753+4.78%0.0342✗1.50447k2022-05-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12820.128154-0.04%0.1362+6.24%0.0470✗1.625.6M2022-05-21
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4142.4132-0.03%2.9+20.13%0.1682✗1.8021k2022-05-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative20.1120.1032-0.03%20.32+1.04%0.0002✓1.273.6M2022-05-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.99264.9911-0.03%4.9351-1.15%0.0132✓0.23307k2022-05-21
CBKCobakEthereum1.0961.0957-0.03%1.119+2.10%0.0124✗1.0115k2022-05-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.7872.7864-0.02%2.903+4.16%0.0316✗1.0995k2022-05-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9641.9636-0.02%2.204+12.22%0.1023✗1.5387k2022-05-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009790.009789-0.01%0.00993+1.43%0.0075✗0.79195k2022-05-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.866.8594-0.01%7.04+2.62%0.0144✗1.3419.2M2022-05-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.31030.310276-0.01%0.3224+3.90%0.0273✗1.28445k2022-05-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.40052.4003-0.01%2.5122+4.65%0.0347✗1.25100k2022-05-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31960.319582-0.01%0.3296+3.13%0.0197✗1.299.0M2022-05-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009230.00923-0.00%0.00963+4.33%0.0328✗1.121.2M2022-05-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24780.247791-0.00%0.2538+2.42%0.0132✗1.25305k2022-05-21
ETHEthereumEthereum1,956.581,956.51-0.00%1,972.64+0.82%0.0007✓1.03464.2M2022-05-21
LSKLiskEthereum1.13741.1374-0.00%1.1672+2.62%0.0165✗1.0980k2022-05-21
STORJStorjEthereum0.539090.539086-0.00%0.55586+3.11%0.0180✗1.4789k2022-05-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.871.87+0.00%2.27+21.39%0.1789✓1.74536k2022-05-21
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5970.59701+0.00%0.901+50.92%0.3987✓1.5016k2022-05-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5150.515012+0.00%0.612+18.83%0.1592✓1.55904k2022-05-21
GMTGMTEthereum1.3421.3421+0.01%1.36+1.34%0.0046✓1.004.8M2022-05-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.6920.6919+0.01%21.03+1.64%0.0041✓1.413.4M2022-05-21
DASHDashDash57.2257.226+0.01%57.01-0.37%0.0141✗1.191.0M2022-05-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3260.326044+0.01%0.363+11.35%0.0920✓1.791.7M2022-05-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08850.088513+0.01%0.0881-0.45%0.0116✗0.81190k2022-05-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.927.9219+0.02%8.16+3.03%0.0186✓1.285.1M2022-05-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48180.481961+0.03%0.4904+1.78%0.0043✓1.52260k2022-05-21
XTZTezosTezos1.7421.7426+0.04%1.8207+4.52%0.0329✓1.271.1M2022-05-21
UNIUniswapEthereum5.15.102+0.04%5.23+2.55%0.0142✓1.233.4M2022-05-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05730.057322+0.04%0.057-0.52%0.0158✗1.1887k2022-05-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.669.664+0.04%9.97+3.21%0.0196✓1.3413.9M2022-05-21
BORABORAKlay Token0.359850.360007+0.04%0.41605+15.62%0.1304✓1.6526k2022-05-21
GTGateEthereum5.65545.6581+0.05%5.7684+2.00%0.0147✓0.534.9M2022-05-21
SUSHISushiEthereum1.291.2907+0.05%1.45+12.40%0.1033✓1.523.2M2022-05-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.11750.117563+0.05%0.1207+2.72%0.0148✓1.341.0M2022-05-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.069840.069879+0.06%0.07213+3.28%0.0225✓1.0718k2022-05-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.777.7749+0.06%8+2.96%0.0158✓1.478.0M2022-05-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash189.86189.9838+0.07%192.09+1.17%0.0010✓1.175.2M2022-05-21
UOSUltraEthereum0.355730.355967+0.07%0.3706+4.18%0.0282✓1.401.2M2022-05-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03260.032623+0.07%0.0336+3.07%0.0173✓1.41189k2022-05-21
KSMKusamaHydration75.4575.5054+0.07%80+6.03%0.0469✓1.271.4M2022-05-21
STXStacksnative0.50.500407+0.08%0.53+6.00%0.0475✓1.15260k2022-05-21
CELLCellframeEthereum0.34690.347186+0.08%0.3653+5.30%0.0398✓1.2883k2022-05-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV49.1249.1635+0.09%48.68-0.90%0.0182✗0.971.6M2022-05-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07760.077671+0.09%0.0806+3.87%0.0227✓1.662.8M2022-05-21
NANOnanopayBase1.09351.0945+0.09%1.1499+5.15%0.0385✓1.25161k2022-05-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15060.150749+0.10%0.1577+4.71%0.0320✓1.528.9M2022-05-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.360.360365+0.10%0.38+5.56%0.0433✓1.131.0M2022-05-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,101.4029,131.29+0.10%29,441.00+1.17%0.0022✓0.9778k2022-05-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1251.1262+0.11%1.211+7.64%0.0610✓1.357.5M2022-05-21
ORCAOrcaSolana0.860.860943+0.11%0.84-2.33%0.0335✗1.03103k2022-05-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,118.669,129.80+0.12%9,260.50+1.56%0.0039✓1.193.2M2022-05-21
RADRadworksEthereum1.941.9428+0.14%2.06+6.19%0.0494✓1.06258k2022-05-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.0820.082122+0.15%0.0856+4.39%0.0266✓1.72215k2022-05-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001160.000011618+0.15%0.00001174+1.21%0.0009✓1.321.1M2022-05-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.06110.061195+0.15%0.063+3.11%0.0186✓1.21406k2022-05-21
SOLSolanaSolana49.3749.4492+0.16%50.25+1.78%0.0037✓1.4493.8M2022-05-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5242.5282+0.17%2.592+2.69%0.0099✓1.745.8M2022-05-21
AAVEAaveEthereum90.0390.1848+0.17%91.14+1.23%0.0027✗1.549.2M2022-05-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.190070.190398+0.17%0.19935+4.88%0.0317✓1.65280k2022-05-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.1281.1301+0.18%1.177+4.34%0.0255✓1.76527k2022-05-21
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9840.985913+0.19%1.008+2.44%0.0095✓1.46775k2022-05-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.21820.218646+0.20%0.239+9.53%0.0838✓0.61379k2022-05-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche28.7628.8258+0.23%29.86+3.82%0.0225✓1.4850.4M2022-05-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.10730.107576+0.26%0.1102+2.70%0.0100✓1.641.6M2022-05-21
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06590.066088+0.29%0.0678+2.88%0.0169✓1.003.0M2022-05-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001330.001334+0.31%0.00144+8.27%0.0634✓1.503.4M2022-05-21
DODODODOEthereum0.1390.139431+0.31%0.142+2.16%0.0053✓1.513.5M2022-05-21
MOVRMoonriverBase21.919821.9999+0.37%23.6852+8.05%0.0613✓1.45210k2022-05-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.