8=======>

2022-05-18 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 169 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0440
169 of 169 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.15%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
36.1%
in alpha space · 92.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+5.59%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (169 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum81.7682.4802+0.88%91.65+12.10%0.0218✓1.549.0M2022-05-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.11040.111356+0.87%0.1238+12.14%0.0082✓1.80684k2022-05-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01450.014617+0.81%0.0182+25.52%0.0962✓2.2623.0M2022-05-19
GTGateEthereum5.49555.5396+0.80%5.6031+1.96%0.0180✗0.545.0M2022-05-19
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7470.752982+0.80%0.824+10.31%0.0298✓1.113.2M2022-05-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.372320.375288+0.80%0.39035+4.84%0.0316✗1.31208k2022-05-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.935.9769+0.79%6.53+10.12%0.0127✓1.39717k2022-05-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004610.004646+0.78%0.00478+3.69%0.0382✗1.231.9M2022-05-19
ETHEthereumEthereum1,911.981,926.75+0.77%2,017.57+5.52%0.0102✗1.04464.2M2022-05-19
XMRMoneroMonero155.14156.3355+0.77%165.93+6.96%0.0002✓1.093.2M2022-05-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12460.125548+0.76%0.1343+7.78%0.0206✗1.625.9M2022-05-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum28,786.0028,998.95+0.74%30,185.70+4.86%0.0128✗0.9776k2022-05-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.621.6319+0.74%1.89+16.67%0.0534✓1.72455k2022-05-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15710.158247+0.73%0.1603+2.04%0.0712✗1.558.9M2022-05-19
DODODODOEthereum0.1470.148043+0.71%0.15+2.04%0.0700✗1.533.9M2022-05-19
HIVEHivenative0.4720.475342+0.71%0.4924+4.32%0.0354✗1.301.6M2022-05-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin28,672.9428,875.53+0.71%30,274.59+5.59%0.0070✗1.00676.2M2022-05-19
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9770.983724+0.69%1.042+6.65%0.0224✗1.47775k2022-05-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.543.5634+0.66%4.22+19.21%0.1226✓0.86774k2022-05-19
ZECZcashZcash99.46100.1165+0.66%104.45+5.02%0.0303✗1.345.7M2022-05-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004110.004137+0.66%0.00469+14.11%0.0717✓0.9919k2022-05-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9040.90996+0.66%0.93+2.88%0.0384✗1.11769k2022-05-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.3352.3504+0.66%2.4917+6.71%0.0099✗1.26145k2022-05-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5040.507318+0.66%0.538+6.75%0.0263✗1.56967k2022-05-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.492.5064+0.66%2.67+7.23%0.0323✗1.766.7M2022-05-19
KSMKusamaHydration75.9276.4192+0.66%80.45+5.97%0.0178✗1.271.5M2022-05-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24640.248006+0.65%0.2568+4.22%0.0336✗1.26292k2022-05-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.110.1657+0.65%10.82+7.13%0.0170✗1.4620.1M2022-05-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11860.119361+0.64%0.1374+15.85%0.0847✓1.0319k2022-05-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.796.8335+0.64%7.21+6.19%0.0197✗1.3518.8M2022-05-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.013310.013395+0.64%0.01368+2.78%0.0368✗1.063.2M2022-05-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.4810.5472+0.64%12.63+20.52%0.0940✓1.596.4M2022-05-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.07730.077786+0.63%0.0857+10.87%0.0032✓1.72215k2022-05-19
STORJStorjEthereum0.534940.538282+0.62%0.55387+3.54%0.0530✗1.5091k2022-05-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011470.000011541+0.62%0.00001183+3.14%0.0482✗1.341.2M2022-05-19
GITCOINGITCOIN2.2212.2348+0.62%2.65+19.32%0.0750✓1.7622k2022-05-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.7312.8088+0.62%13.4+5.26%0.0061✓0.94583k2022-05-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.340.342099+0.62%0.378+11.18%0.0403✓1.091.1M2022-05-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.336370.338439+0.62%0.36301+7.92%0.0218✗1.6926k2022-05-19
COMPCompoundEthereum63.764.0911+0.61%67.51+5.98%0.0251✗1.4228k2022-05-19
MANADecentralandEthereum1.03171.038+0.60%1.1185+8.41%0.0109✗1.581.2M2022-05-19
ADACardanoCardano0.50530.508341+0.60%0.5326+5.40%0.0275✗1.3648.2M2022-05-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.43280.435378+0.60%0.4512+4.25%0.0314✗1.2315.4M2022-05-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07020.070616+0.59%0.0767+9.26%0.0151✗1.80166k2022-05-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0812.0933+0.59%1.958-5.91%0.1546✗1.6299k2022-05-19
SOLSolanaSolana49.8750.1638+0.59%52.13+4.53%0.0407✗1.4693.8M2022-05-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.1051.1115+0.59%1.208+9.32%0.0127✗1.77582k2022-05-19
ZENHorizenBase18.9919.1008+0.58%21+10.58%0.0088✓1.58171k2022-05-19
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2961.3035+0.58%1.365+5.32%0.0083✗1.004.3M2022-05-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3712980.373444+0.58%0.390003+5.04%0.0328✗1.406.1M2022-05-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche29.5729.7371+0.57%30.37+2.71%0.0607✗1.5046.9M2022-05-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,070.749,121.37+0.56%9,486.67+4.59%0.0262✗1.203.1M2022-05-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08850.088993+0.56%0.0909+2.71%0.0233✗0.82183k2022-05-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.11830.11895+0.55%0.1228+3.80%0.0420✗1.361.1M2022-05-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.05780.058116+0.55%0.0626+8.30%0.0087✓1.21407k2022-05-19
BTTCBTTC0.000001090.000001096+0.55%0.00000112+2.75%0.0210✗0.797.7M2022-05-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050160.050433+0.54%0.05067+1.02%0.0513✗1.0324k2022-05-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.97535.0023+0.54%5.0075+0.65%0.0114✗0.23294k2022-05-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03130.03147+0.54%0.0343+9.58%0.0098✓1.40221k2022-05-19
BANDBandEthereum1.5661.5745+0.54%1.769+12.96%0.0361✓1.48484k2022-05-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.497.5306+0.54%8.18+9.21%0.0029✓1.478.0M2022-05-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009130.009179+0.54%0.00924+1.20%0.0564✗1.161.3M2022-05-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.341.3472+0.53%1.39+3.73%0.0287✗1.10138k2022-05-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV50.0650.3214+0.52%51.12+2.12%0.0374✗0.981.7M2022-05-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33440.336146+0.52%0.3406+1.85%0.0584✗1.329.0M2022-05-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin65.8766.2134+0.52%72.02+9.34%0.0203✓1.1719.3M2022-05-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.842.8548+0.52%2.965+4.40%0.0214✗1.09102k2022-05-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0829840.083414+0.52%0.086638+4.40%0.0238✗1.146.3M2022-05-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.060.06031+0.52%0.0603+0.50%0.0650✗1.19102k2022-05-19
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8010.805112+0.51%0.893+11.49%0.0182✓1.577.0M2022-05-19
RADRadworksEthereum1.891.8996+0.51%2.07+9.52%0.0293✓1.04304k2022-05-19
QNTQuantEthereum64.7765.0986+0.51%68.38+5.57%0.0089✗1.073.6M2022-05-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.070270.070624+0.50%0.07546+7.39%0.0093✓1.0518k2022-05-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.10590.106434+0.50%0.1147+8.31%0.0143✗1.641.7M2022-05-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12730.127939+0.50%0.1345+5.66%0.0113✗1.131.2M2022-05-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.820.824114+0.50%0.91+10.98%0.0149✓1.55767k2022-05-19
SGBSongbirdnative0.03330.033466+0.50%0.0343+3.00%0.0049✓0.36138k2022-05-19
XTZTezosTezos1.6761.6843+0.50%1.754+4.65%0.0295✗1.291.1M2022-05-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9131.9225+0.50%2.065+7.95%0.0361✗1.98863k2022-05-19
AVTAventusEthereum1.121.1255+0.50%1.26+12.50%0.0704✓0.78204k2022-05-19
KCSKuCoinnative14.37514.4461+0.49%15.307+6.48%0.0049✓0.985.0M2022-05-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.184250.185158+0.49%0.20476+11.13%0.0117✓1.64269k2022-05-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.16530.166114+0.49%0.1765+6.78%0.0161✗1.41386k2022-05-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative19.8119.9073+0.49%20.9+5.50%0.0208✗1.283.9M2022-05-19
ORCAOrcaSolana0.840.844119+0.49%0.91+8.33%0.0201✓1.01117k2022-05-19
LSKLiskEthereum1.13441.14+0.49%1.1742+3.51%0.0306✗1.1191k2022-05-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0084880.00853+0.49%0.00901+6.15%0.0015✓1.0413k2022-05-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.639.6767+0.48%11.24+16.72%0.0656✓1.55154k2022-05-19
UMAUMAEthereum3.0493.0637+0.48%3.243+6.36%0.0355✗1.702.4M2022-05-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64870.651791+0.48%0.6916+6.61%0.0213✗1.485.9M2022-05-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008980.009022+0.47%0.00939+4.57%0.0039✓0.81195k2022-05-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum13.7713.8346+0.47%14.32+3.99%0.0368✗1.31822k2022-05-19
DASHDashDash55.5955.8499+0.47%58.55+5.32%0.0182✗1.201.1M2022-05-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011630.011684+0.47%0.01252+7.65%0.0142✗1.5343.5M2022-05-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2281.2337+0.47%1.079-12.13%0.2140✗1.477.1M2022-05-19
UOSUltraEthereum0.358510.360179+0.47%0.37441+4.44%0.0383✗1.421.3M2022-05-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.2960.297374+0.46%0.337+13.85%0.0283✓1.781.8M2022-05-19
XVGVergenative0.004810.004831+0.44%0.00528+9.77%0.0116✓1.42949k2022-05-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4510.452984+0.44%0.4864+7.85%0.0123✗1.54299k2022-05-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043580.043771+0.44%0.04528+3.90%0.0196✗0.987,7862022-05-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9462.9589+0.44%3.041+3.22%0.0569✗1.55263k2022-05-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.7481.7556+0.44%1.913+9.44%0.0344✓0.95793k2022-05-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13030.130867+0.44%0.141+8.21%0.0157✗1.66109k2022-05-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6430.645792+0.43%0.7+8.86%0.0010✓1.50315k2022-05-19
MOVRMoonriverBase21.817421.9121+0.43%23.0538+5.67%0.0289✗1.47207k2022-05-19
XVSVenusEthereum4.324.3387+0.43%6.03+39.58%0.2448✓1.552.7M2022-05-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18130.18207+0.42%0.196+8.11%0.0067✗1.48649k2022-05-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.18570.186487+0.42%0.2027+9.15%0.0239✓1.092,5552022-05-19
TRXTRONTron0.0709770.071274+0.42%0.073383+3.39%0.0140✗0.791.2M2022-05-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1275440.128063+0.41%0.130466+2.29%0.0415✗1.1113.1M2022-05-19
CBKCobakEthereum1.0821.0864+0.41%1.122+3.70%0.0230✗1.0220k2022-05-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027970.028083+0.40%0.02719-2.79%0.0860✗0.99192k2022-05-19
GMTGMTEthereum1.3841.3896+0.40%1.495+8.02%0.0188✓1.006.3M2022-05-19
XECeCashnative0.000044390.000044567+0.40%0.00004707+6.04%0.0178✗1.336.2M2022-05-19
FTTFTXEthereum29.6429.7564+0.39%30.91+4.28%0.0145✗0.9712.7M2022-05-19
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06840.068666+0.39%0.0699+2.19%0.0365✗1.003.0M2022-05-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.025540.025637+0.38%0.02676+4.78%0.0131✗1.0324k2022-05-19
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.16990.170545+0.38%0.188+10.65%0.0431✓1.004,6042022-05-19
XEMNEMnative0.05370.053903+0.38%0.0563+4.84%0.0298✗1.3597k2022-05-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001270.001275+0.37%0.00137+7.87%0.0102✗1.513.5M2022-05-19
API3Api3Ethereum1.6941.7002+0.37%1.875+10.68%0.0118✓1.582.1M2022-05-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150.015054+0.36%0.016399+9.33%0.0252✓1.114.0M2022-05-19
NANOnanopayBase1.05871.0625+0.36%1.0996+3.86%0.0352✗1.28161k2022-05-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035610.035734+0.35%0.03787+6.35%0.0179✗1.4087k2022-05-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07830.078569+0.34%0.0844+7.79%0.0196✗1.683.4M2022-05-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.329880.33101+0.34%0.37965+15.09%0.0426✓1.74328k2022-05-19
STXStacksnative0.510.511706+0.33%0.53+3.92%0.0278✗1.16296k2022-05-19
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5650.566858+0.33%0.59+4.42%0.0251✗1.2037k2022-05-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5370.538761+0.33%0.584+8.75%0.0018✓1.5216k2022-05-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.252.2573+0.33%2.65+17.78%0.0648✓1.76390k2022-05-19
QTUMQtumQtum3.80223.8144+0.32%3.9715+4.45%0.0246✗1.19133k2022-05-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.597.6143+0.32%8.21+8.17%0.0062✓1.275.7M2022-05-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.33710.338152+0.31%0.3534+4.84%0.0264✗1.3088k2022-05-19
SCSiacoinnative0.004880.004895+0.30%0.00527+7.99%0.0097✗1.54378k2022-05-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3421.3461+0.30%1.429+6.48%0.0174✗1.4214.1M2022-05-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.25810.258863+0.30%0.2674+3.60%0.0438✗1.40172k2022-05-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.06463.0736+0.30%3.2829+7.12%0.0194✗1.5710.0M2022-05-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.479.4978+0.29%10.02+5.81%0.0200✗1.3513.7M2022-05-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash186.73187.277+0.29%196.24+5.09%0.0171✗1.185.3M2022-05-19
APEApeCoinEthereum7.9697.992+0.29%8.055+1.08%0.1312✗2.5694.8M2022-05-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.63651.6411+0.28%1.6711+2.11%0.0145✗0.6014k2022-05-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05310.053248+0.28%0.0581+9.42%0.0190✓1.261.5M2022-05-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.8431.8475+0.24%2.138+16.01%0.0897✓1.04714k2022-05-19
UNIUniswapEthereum4.884.8918+0.24%5.18+6.15%0.0102✗1.243.5M2022-05-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021370.02142+0.23%0.03198+49.65%0.3683✓0.60400k2022-05-19
STEEMSteemnative0.25150.252035+0.21%0.2599+3.34%0.0236✗1.001.5M2022-05-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.32580.326485+0.21%0.3229-0.89%0.0828✗1.32463k2022-05-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.22580.226252+0.20%0.2492+10.36%0.0668✓0.55392k2022-05-19
SUSHISushiEthereum1.261.2625+0.20%1.36+7.94%0.0083✗1.523.3M2022-05-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6740.675245+0.18%0.709+5.19%0.0359✗1.561.8M2022-05-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.83e-76.84e-7+0.17%7.44e-7+8.97%0.0420✓0.781.4M2022-05-19
XYMSymbolnative0.06580.065901+0.15%0.0669+1.67%0.0261✗0.76525k2022-05-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.216307+0.14%0.259+19.91%0.0953✓1.563.2M2022-05-19
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8632.8667+0.13%3.009+5.10%0.0059✗1.00194k2022-05-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum21.5921.6065+0.08%21.79+0.93%0.0696✗1.443.4M2022-05-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.972.9716+0.05%3.34+12.46%0.0613✓1.02553k2022-05-19
PROPropyEthereum1.171.1697-0.03%1.14-2.56%0.0634✓0.69417k2022-05-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.08732.0862-0.05%2.2129+6.02%0.0015✗1.062.5M2022-05-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.8931.8915-0.08%2.0434+7.95%0.0238✗0.984.3M2022-05-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173930.017368-0.14%0.018136+4.27%0.0054✗0.70198k2022-05-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6224.6119-0.22%5.251+13.61%0.0745✗1.021.6M2022-05-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.232.2219-0.36%2.6871+20.50%0.1208✗1.278.8M2022-05-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.456.4226-0.42%7.17+11.16%0.0658✗0.812.8M2022-05-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.013.9871-0.57%4.06+1.25%0.0301✓0.89798k2022-05-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.623.5545-1.81%3.64+0.55%0.0252✓0.90503k2022-05-19
DIADIAEthereum0.740.694775-6.11%0.57117-22.81%0.2323✓0.6770k2022-05-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.728.8864-8.58%8.41-13.48%0.0893✓0.631.2M2022-05-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4494.055-8.85%3.704-16.75%0.1263✓0.662.3M2022-05-19
LUNATerraTerra 20.000150.000123263-17.82%0.00014-6.67%0.0198✓2.717.8M2022-05-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.