8=======>

2022-05-17 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0103
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.22%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.8%
in alpha space · 61.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.72%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001440.001447+0.49%0.00127-11.81%0.0429✗1.493.5M2022-05-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009050.009078+0.31%0.00898-0.77%0.0382✓0.83222k2022-05-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36140.36247+0.30%0.3371-6.72%0.0037✓1.2991k2022-05-18
RADRadworksEthereum2.042.046+0.30%1.89-7.35%0.0182✗1.04315k2022-05-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.8354+0.30%1.62-11.48%0.0252✗1.69452k2022-05-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01670.016747+0.28%0.0145-13.17%0.0127✗2.2325.3M2022-05-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.640.64174+0.27%0.537-16.09%0.0910✗1.4816k2022-05-18
AAVEAaveEthereum92.5392.7545+0.24%81.76-11.64%0.0369✗1.528.7M2022-05-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.1210.121284+0.23%0.1059-12.48%0.0409✗1.611.7M2022-05-18
MOVRMoonriverBase24.710724.7613+0.20%21.8174-11.71%0.0418✗1.44207k2022-05-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche34.3834.4454+0.19%29.57-13.99%0.0673✗1.4548.8M2022-05-18
DIADIAEthereum0.397630.398374+0.19%0.74+86.10%0.6664✓0.8070k2022-05-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012550.000012573+0.19%0.00001147-8.61%0.0137✗1.331.2M2022-05-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.209630.210017+0.18%0.18425-12.11%0.0362✗1.61273k2022-05-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,984.139,999.27+0.15%9,070.74-9.15%0.0288✗1.172.9M2022-05-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.08920.089333+0.15%0.0773-13.34%0.0442✗1.71239k2022-05-18
MINAMina Protocolnative1.11.1016+0.15%0.977-11.18%0.0373✗1.40775k2022-05-18
NANOnanopayBase1.16071.1623+0.14%1.0587-8.79%0.0196✗1.25161k2022-05-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.120.120157+0.13%0.1183-1.42%0.0655✓1.381.1M2022-05-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.380480.38097+0.13%0.35851-5.77%0.0239✓1.441.4M2022-05-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.25470.255027+0.13%0.2258-11.35%0.0944✗0.46410k2022-05-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3420.342411+0.12%0.296-13.45%0.0436✗1.731.8M2022-05-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.568.5696+0.11%7.59-11.33%0.0472✗1.265.8M2022-05-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.582.5827+0.10%2.25-12.79%0.0349✗1.75390k2022-05-18
ORCAOrcaSolana0.970.970983+0.10%0.84-13.40%0.0876✗0.97119k2022-05-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3991.4002+0.09%1.105-21.02%0.1358✗1.72665k2022-05-18
DODODODOEthereum0.1680.168143+0.08%0.147-12.50%0.0468✗1.494.0M2022-05-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.035326+0.07%0.0313-11.33%0.0402✗1.37189k2022-05-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08440.08446+0.07%0.0684-18.96%0.1520✗1.003.0M2022-05-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.385080.385352+0.07%0.32988-14.33%0.0554✗1.70331k2022-05-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.07110.071147+0.07%0.0578-18.71%0.1408✗1.14407k2022-05-18
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4309+0.07%1.26-11.89%0.0401✗1.483.6M2022-05-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072130.072175+0.06%0.07027-2.58%0.0341✓1.0318k2022-05-18
SOLSolanaSolana57.0257.0505+0.05%49.87-12.54%0.0512✗1.4293.8M2022-05-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.628.6245+0.05%7.49-13.11%0.0564✗1.448.3M2022-05-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3840.384176+0.05%0.34-11.46%0.0603✗1.051.1M2022-05-18
XVSVenusEthereum4.734.7321+0.04%4.32-8.67%0.0032✗1.492.8M2022-05-18
DASHDashDash60.1160.136+0.04%55.59-7.52%0.0080✗1.201.2M2022-05-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.50040.500606+0.04%0.451-9.87%0.0157✗1.51307k2022-05-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25890.258993+0.04%0.2464-4.83%0.0242✓1.26280k2022-05-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.17980.179859+0.03%0.1571-12.63%0.0459✗1.528.8M2022-05-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08030.080326+0.03%0.0702-12.58%0.0298✗1.78169k2022-05-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.393370.393482+0.03%0.33637-14.49%0.0599✗1.6527k2022-05-18
XTZTezosTezos1.85681.8572+0.02%1.676-9.74%0.0277✗1.271.1M2022-05-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.57862.5791+0.02%2.335-9.45%0.0264✗1.24145k2022-05-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum15.2115.2128+0.02%13.77-9.47%0.0226✗1.31822k2022-05-18
STXStacksnative0.580.580096+0.02%0.51-12.07%0.0619✗1.14314k2022-05-18
UNIUniswapEthereum5.475.4708+0.02%4.88-10.79%0.0432✗1.213.5M2022-05-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0342.0343+0.01%2.081+2.31%0.1212✓1.6799k2022-05-18
KSMKusamaHydration82.0482.0516+0.01%75.92-7.46%0.0039✗1.251.4M2022-05-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.6741.6742+0.01%1.748+4.42%0.1014✓0.99779k2022-05-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3891.3891+0.01%1.228-11.59%0.0388✗1.436.6M2022-05-18
BANDBandEthereum1.7651.765-0.00%1.566-11.27%0.0344✓1.45500k2022-05-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.4611.4598-0.00%10.1-11.87%0.0451✓1.3821.0M2022-05-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum22.422.3993-0.00%21.59-3.62%0.0491✗1.463.4M2022-05-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash206.73206.7133-0.01%186.73-9.67%0.0343✓1.145.4M2022-05-18
GTGateEthereum5.75215.7513-0.01%5.4955-4.46%0.0139✓0.545.2M2022-05-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.21090.21086-0.02%0.1857-11.95%0.0644✓1.062,6012022-05-18
BTTCBTTC0.000001130.00000113-0.02%0.00000109-3.54%0.0105✗0.797.7M2022-05-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09070.090677-0.03%0.0885-2.43%0.0254✗0.84183k2022-05-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13110.131059-0.03%0.1186-9.53%0.0407✓1.0119k2022-05-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.1152.1143-0.03%1.913-9.55%0.0172✗1.99903k2022-05-18
ETHEthereumEthereum2,088.962,088.19-0.04%1,911.98-8.47%0.0281✓1.02494.1M2022-05-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.7481.7474-0.04%1.843+5.43%0.1159✗1.06714k2022-05-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.3410.3361-0.04%9.63-6.87%0.0208✗1.56154k2022-05-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.09130.091264-0.04%0.0783-14.24%0.0609✓1.573.6M2022-05-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.0211.0155-0.04%9.47-14.07%0.0742✓1.3113.7M2022-05-18
API3Api3Ethereum1.9051.9041-0.04%1.694-11.08%0.0322✓1.442.3M2022-05-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.717.7064-0.05%6.79-11.93%0.0489✓1.3218.8M2022-05-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,409.8030,394.54-0.05%28,786.00-5.34%0.0030✗0.9790k2022-05-18
UMAUMAEthereum3.3143.3119-0.06%3.049-8.00%0.0158✗1.672.6M2022-05-18
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8170.816484-0.06%0.747-8.57%0.0235✓1.113.2M2022-05-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.18040.180284-0.06%0.1653-8.37%0.0038✓1.41386k2022-05-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.7621.7448-0.07%19.81-8.96%0.0188✓1.264.2M2022-05-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.0573.0548-0.07%2.84-7.10%0.0106✓1.0699k2022-05-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14520.145095-0.07%0.1246-14.19%0.0597✓1.576.0M2022-05-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.984.9763-0.07%4.9753-0.09%0.0150✗0.26294k2022-05-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.742.738-0.07%2.97+8.39%0.1431✗1.05553k2022-05-18
CBKCobakEthereum1.2311.2301-0.08%1.082-12.10%0.0698✓0.9924k2022-05-18
TRXTRONTron0.0721420.072086-0.08%0.070977-1.61%0.0321✗0.811.2M2022-05-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.41490.414571-0.08%0.37232-10.26%0.0318✓1.29223k2022-05-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0162330.01622-0.08%0.015-7.60%0.0130✓1.114.2M2022-05-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9580.957196-0.08%0.904-5.64%0.0083✗1.11769k2022-05-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.910.90918-0.09%0.82-9.89%0.0127✓1.54800k2022-05-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01870.018683-0.09%0.02137+14.28%0.1739✗0.67400k2022-05-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6230.622395-0.10%0.674+8.19%0.1748✗1.621.7M2022-05-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.7555.6954-0.10%50.06-10.21%0.0505✓0.951.7M2022-05-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.68411.6824-0.10%1.893+12.40%0.1840✗1.124.3M2022-05-18
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3951.3936-0.10%1.296-7.10%0.0137✓1.004.4M2022-05-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.865.8538-0.11%9.72+65.87%0.5599✗0.901.2M2022-05-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9130.912011-0.11%0.801-12.27%0.0385✓1.557.6M2022-05-18
AVTAventusEthereum1.161.1587-0.11%1.12-3.45%0.0149✗0.83204k2022-05-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.07120.071119-0.11%0.06-15.73%0.1084✓1.05113k2022-05-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.612540.611843-0.11%0.53494-12.67%0.0478✓1.4793k2022-05-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.01040.010388-0.12%0.00913-12.21%0.0634✓1.121.3M2022-05-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.752.7468-0.12%2.221-19.24%0.1118✓1.7123k2022-05-18
ZENHorizenBase22.1422.1139-0.12%18.99-14.23%0.0617✓1.54171k2022-05-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20220.20196-0.12%0.1813-10.34%0.0224✓1.45683k2022-05-18
XECeCashnative0.000049360.000049301-0.12%0.00004439-10.07%0.0280✓1.316.5M2022-05-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.29541.2939-0.12%1.1344-12.43%0.0681✓1.0898k2022-05-18
SCSiacoinnative0.005610.005603-0.12%0.00488-13.01%0.0502✓1.49403k2022-05-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.27050.270118-0.14%0.2581-4.58%0.0388✗1.43172k2022-05-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.005120.005113-0.14%0.00461-9.96%0.0310✓1.231.9M2022-05-18
QTUMQtumQtum4.21874.2126-0.15%3.8022-9.87%0.0324✓1.19134k2022-05-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8832.8788-0.15%2.49-13.63%0.0455✓1.696.7M2022-05-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.133.1254-0.15%2.946-5.88%0.0333✗1.57240k2022-05-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0089630.00895-0.15%0.008488-5.30%0.0077✗1.0315k2022-05-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4248170.424188-0.15%0.371298-12.60%0.0529✓1.366.1M2022-05-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.471.4678-0.15%1.34-8.84%0.0272✓1.08134k2022-05-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5930.592102-0.15%0.504-15.01%0.0738✓1.48929k2022-05-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.613.6044-0.16%4.01+11.08%0.1633✗0.96798k2022-05-18
XVGVergenative0.005460.005451-0.16%0.00481-11.90%0.0435✓1.39949k2022-05-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,412.1230,360.63-0.17%28,672.94-5.72%0.0017✗1.00675.4M2022-05-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.6613.6368-0.17%12.73-6.81%0.0142✓0.93571k2022-05-18
COMPCompoundEthereum74.6974.5626-0.17%63.7-14.71%0.0767✓1.3728k2022-05-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047380.047299-0.17%0.04358-8.02%0.0245✓0.978,0692022-05-18
ADACardanoCardano0.5770.576013-0.17%0.5053-12.43%0.0538✓1.3148.6M2022-05-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.49470.49385-0.17%0.4328-12.51%0.0614✓1.2015.2M2022-05-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin73.0472.9137-0.17%65.87-9.82%0.0334✓1.1619.1M2022-05-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.040940.040867-0.18%0.03561-13.02%0.0577✓1.3694k2022-05-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6290.627859-0.18%0.565-10.17%0.0355✓1.1938k2022-05-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.014070.014044-0.18%0.01331-5.40%0.0086✗1.063.3M2022-05-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.763.753-0.19%3.54-5.85%0.0119✓0.79788k2022-05-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.92712.9217-0.19%3.0646+4.70%0.1443✗1.649.8M2022-05-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.39060.389871-0.19%0.3344-14.39%0.0789✓1.279.0M2022-05-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2530.252515-0.19%0.216-14.62%0.0665✓1.523.4M2022-05-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15250.152189-0.20%0.1303-14.56%0.0599✓1.62109k2022-05-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.852.8441-0.21%3.62+27.02%0.3013✗1.02440k2022-05-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.740.738447-0.21%0.643-13.11%0.0516✓1.47338k2022-05-18
XMRMoneroMonero172.72172.3477-0.22%155.14-10.18%0.0419✓1.083.5M2022-05-18
HIVEHivenative0.54110.539926-0.22%0.472-12.77%0.0599✓1.271.5M2022-05-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73650.734895-0.22%0.6487-11.92%0.0410✓1.426.1M2022-05-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.355.3383-0.22%6.45+20.56%0.2429✗0.912.7M2022-05-18
GMTGMTEthereum1.581.5765-0.22%1.384-12.41%0.0713✓1.006.6M2022-05-18
QNTQuantEthereum74.4674.291-0.23%64.77-13.01%0.0764✓1.033.6M2022-05-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.3460.345214-0.23%0.3258-5.84%0.0206✗1.33463k2022-05-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004430.004419-0.24%0.00411-7.22%0.0142✓0.9919k2022-05-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055230.055095-0.25%0.05016-9.18%0.0341✓1.0125k2022-05-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.15e-77.13e-7-0.25%6.83e-7-4.40%0.0119✓0.521.6M2022-05-18
KCSKuCoinnative14.91614.8769-0.26%14.375-3.63%0.0229✗0.974.9M2022-05-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1415430.141164-0.27%0.127544-9.89%0.0378✓1.0813.4M2022-05-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.029710.029629-0.27%0.02797-5.86%0.0012✓1.00194k2022-05-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.029040.028954-0.30%0.02554-12.05%0.0665✓1.0025k2022-05-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.4412.4023-0.30%10.48-15.76%0.0776✓1.546.4M2022-05-18
FTTFTXEthereum32.0331.9302-0.31%29.64-7.46%0.0188✓0.9513.2M2022-05-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.96881.9626-0.31%2.0873+6.02%0.1279✗1.132.4M2022-05-18
MANADecentralandEthereum1.21591.212-0.32%1.0317-15.14%0.0726✓1.501.2M2022-05-18
PROPropyEthereum1.211.2061-0.32%1.17-3.31%0.0114✗0.71429k2022-05-18
XEMNEMnative0.06140.061191-0.34%0.0537-12.54%0.0534✓1.31127k2022-05-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.536.5072-0.35%5.93-9.19%0.0121✓1.37666k2022-05-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.14180.14128-0.37%0.1104-22.14%0.1444✓1.74694k2022-05-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0901510.089813-0.37%0.082984-7.95%0.0133✓1.126.3M2022-05-18
ZECZcashZcash114.63114.1974-0.38%99.46-13.23%0.0613✓1.315.7M2022-05-18
APEApeCoinEthereum8.8778.8417-0.40%7.969-10.23%0.0482✗2.5894.8M2022-05-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.14930.148658-0.43%0.1273-14.74%0.0921✓1.071.2M2022-05-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0153680.015302-0.43%0.017393+13.18%0.1732✗0.77198k2022-05-18
XYMSymbolnative0.06970.069399-0.43%0.0658-5.60%0.0090✓0.75536k2022-05-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1264.1054-0.50%4.622+12.02%0.1819✗1.081.5M2022-05-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.68181.6731-0.52%1.6365-2.69%0.0145✗0.6215k2022-05-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.18920.188094-0.58%0.1699-10.20%0.0428✓1.004,7802022-05-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain3.33.28-0.61%2.863-13.24%0.0771✓1.00213k2022-05-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05620.055826-0.67%0.0531-5.52%0.0207✗1.201.5M2022-05-18
STEEMSteemnative0.29990.29722-0.89%0.2515-16.14%0.1081✓1.001.6M2022-05-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4131.3945-1.31%1.342-5.02%0.0453✗1.4214.3M2022-05-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014680.014467-1.45%0.01163-20.78%0.1309✓1.4844.1M2022-05-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.182.147-1.51%2.23+2.29%0.1120✗1.268.8M2022-05-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.1483.0767-2.26%4.449+41.33%0.4178✗0.832.1M2022-05-18
LUNATerraTerra 20.000190.0001577-17.00%0.00015-21.05%0.1021✓2.588.4M2022-05-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.