8=======>

2022-05-15 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 169 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0956
169 of 169 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.72%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
30.2%
in alpha space · 11.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.63%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (169 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SGBSongbirdnative0.02230.022486+0.84%0.0281+26.01%0.2431✓0.43135k2022-05-16
AAVEAaveEthereum92.0692.8257+0.83%83.79-8.98%0.0316✗1.498.6M2022-05-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01730.01744+0.81%0.0152-12.14%0.0332✗2.2025.3M2022-05-16
GTGateEthereum5.56745.6124+0.81%5.4363-2.35%0.0065✓0.535.0M2022-05-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.046.0868+0.77%6.06+0.33%0.0613✓1.38572k2022-05-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.433460.436739+0.76%0.3914-9.70%0.0494✗1.27223k2022-05-16
DIADIAEthereum0.409670.412718+0.74%0.37994-7.26%0.0452✗0.7970k2022-05-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.861.8738+0.74%1.69-9.14%0.0231✗1.69436k2022-05-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,292.3031,524.30+0.74%30,058.30-3.94%0.0013✓0.9876k2022-05-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8320.838088+0.73%0.753-9.50%0.0554✗1.093.2M2022-05-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.13230.13322+0.70%0.1577+19.20%0.2584✓1.89694k2022-05-16
ETHEthereumEthereum2,142.692,157.37+0.69%2,020.58-5.70%0.0167✗1.03494.1M2022-05-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15160.152627+0.68%0.139-8.31%0.0193✗1.566.2M2022-05-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9770.983611+0.68%0.916-6.24%0.0188✗1.11769k2022-05-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.395.4264+0.68%4.95-8.16%0.0525✗0.831.3M2022-05-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5280.531511+0.66%0.477-9.66%0.0396✗1.45891k2022-05-16
XMRMoneroMonero171.74172.8798+0.66%161.82-5.78%0.0160✗1.063.2M2022-05-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.5871.5973+0.65%1.446-8.88%0.0538✗0.96779k2022-05-16
KSMKusamaHydration80.5381.0504+0.65%73.47-8.77%0.0399✗1.231.2M2022-05-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0722.0853+0.64%1.9-8.30%0.0151✗1.6487k2022-05-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013040.000013123+0.63%0.00001196-8.28%0.0306✗1.311.2M2022-05-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.19950.200752+0.63%0.1736-12.98%0.0719✗1.558.8M2022-05-16
MINAMina Protocolnative1.161.1673+0.63%1.042-10.17%0.0482✗1.38760k2022-05-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.833.854+0.63%3.52-8.09%0.0545✗0.76788k2022-05-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26160.26322+0.62%0.2463-5.85%0.0071✗1.25280k2022-05-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.3710.434+0.62%10.65+2.70%0.0945✓1.565.9M2022-05-16
HIVEHivenative0.53390.53716+0.61%0.4896-8.30%0.0333✗1.251.5M2022-05-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3570.359176+0.61%0.316-11.48%0.0800✗1.011.1M2022-05-16
DODODODOEthereum0.1690.170029+0.61%0.151-10.65%0.0494✗1.464.3M2022-05-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4692.4839+0.60%2.298-6.93%0.0024✓1.6923k2022-05-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071630.072062+0.60%0.07067-1.34%0.0302✓1.0519k2022-05-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09070.091244+0.60%0.0887-2.21%0.0117✓0.84177k2022-05-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.51271.5217+0.60%1.3834-8.55%0.0448✗1.064.3M2022-05-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.10010.100697+0.60%0.0861-13.99%0.0769✗1.68239k2022-05-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004490.004517+0.60%0.00432-3.79%0.0023✓0.9920k2022-05-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.68761.6976+0.59%1.5881-5.90%0.0151✗1.092.5M2022-05-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.595350.598853+0.59%0.53418-10.27%0.0458✗1.4493k2022-05-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.6513.7295+0.58%13.03-4.54%0.0089✗0.91564k2022-05-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.968.0062+0.58%7.41-6.91%0.0145✗1.3218.4M2022-05-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,290.0531,471.57+0.58%29,839.89-4.63%0.0058✓1.00672.6M2022-05-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.014260.014342+0.57%0.01387-2.73%0.0170✓1.063.2M2022-05-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.4121.4201+0.57%1.289-8.71%0.0154✗1.72665k2022-05-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.542.5544+0.57%2.53-0.39%0.0406✓1.06548k2022-05-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.3712.4393+0.56%11.07-10.51%0.0519✗1.3620.1M2022-05-16
BTTCBTTC0.000001150.000001156+0.56%0.00000111-3.48%0.0034✓0.797.8M2022-05-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.00775.0355+0.56%4.961-0.93%0.0025✓0.26285k2022-05-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.66172.6764+0.55%2.4311-8.66%0.0378✗1.23166k2022-05-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13590.136653+0.55%0.1178-13.32%0.1032✗0.9519k2022-05-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche36.5436.7413+0.55%32.49-11.08%0.0542✗1.4546.9M2022-05-16
BANDBandEthereum1.8081.818+0.55%1.602-11.39%0.0589✗1.42500k2022-05-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00570.005731+0.55%0.00527-7.54%0.0242✗1.261.9M2022-05-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07510.075506+0.54%0.0795+5.86%0.1404✓1.87173k2022-05-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.742.7546+0.53%2.54-7.30%0.0344✗0.99453k2022-05-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,598.4910,654.87+0.53%9,743.68-8.07%0.0343✗1.162.8M2022-05-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.571.5783+0.53%1.504-4.20%0.0007✓1.03683k2022-05-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017810.017905+0.53%0.01902+6.79%0.0951✓0.73400k2022-05-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.081.0857+0.53%1.11+2.78%0.0612✓0.82201k2022-05-16
SOLSolanaSolana58.8259.1293+0.53%53.69-8.72%0.0295✗1.4187.8M2022-05-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.0110.011058+0.52%0.01489+35.36%0.3766✓1.6643.3M2022-05-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.063.076+0.52%2.907-5.00%0.0074✗1.0396k2022-05-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.49020.492749+0.52%0.4598-6.20%0.0126✗1.1914.3M2022-05-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010190.010243+0.52%0.00978-4.02%0.0066✓1.111.2M2022-05-16
ADACardanoCardano0.5980.601088+0.52%0.5561-7.01%0.0160✗1.3048.2M2022-05-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.12580.126449+0.52%0.1137-9.62%0.0415✗1.361.2M2022-05-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.399970.401996+0.51%0.37002-7.49%0.0115✗1.501.4M2022-05-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4442650.446489+0.50%0.401596-9.60%0.0422✗1.346.1M2022-05-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0740.074369+0.50%0.068-8.11%0.0403✗1.04113k2022-05-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8872.9013+0.50%2.66-7.86%0.0137✗1.54245k2022-05-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.37450.376351+0.49%0.3587-4.22%0.0119✓1.268.8M2022-05-16
XECeCashnative0.000043080.000043293+0.49%0.00004677+8.57%0.1418✓1.366.2M2022-05-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12990.130536+0.49%0.149+14.70%0.1864✓1.141.1M2022-05-16
UMAUMAEthereum3.1323.1473+0.49%2.988-4.60%0.0269✓1.662.4M2022-05-16
RADRadworksEthereum22.0097+0.48%1.93-3.50%0.0085✓1.03350k2022-05-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.056780.057055+0.48%0.05342-5.92%0.0182✗1.0025k2022-05-16
ZENHorizenBase22.122.2065+0.48%20.3-8.14%0.0178✗1.52167k2022-05-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.890.894282+0.48%0.81-8.99%0.0264✗1.53801k2022-05-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.263.2757+0.48%3.15-3.37%0.0053✓0.94783k2022-05-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.010450.0105+0.48%0.00903-13.59%0.1132✗0.79246k2022-05-16
KCSKuCoinnative14.50714.5767+0.48%13.821-4.73%0.0078✗0.964.1M2022-05-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.653.6673+0.47%3.379-7.42%0.0334✗1.021.5M2022-05-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0573.0714+0.47%2.723-10.93%0.0404✗1.696.7M2022-05-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin71.571.8371+0.47%67.13-6.11%0.0134✗1.1518.7M2022-05-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0125930.012652+0.47%0.012762+1.34%0.0441✓0.75198k2022-05-16
XVGVergenative0.00530.005325+0.47%0.00486-8.30%0.0269✗1.36915k2022-05-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0092840.009327+0.47%0.008554-7.86%0.0385✗1.0124k2022-05-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0842.0936+0.46%1.976-5.18%0.0374✓2.01973k2022-05-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.1220.122563+0.46%0.1097-10.08%0.0363✗1.571.7M2022-05-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.18680.18766+0.46%0.1733-7.23%0.0126✗1.41386k2022-05-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum9.229.2623+0.46%8.1-12.15%0.0677✗1.408.3M2022-05-16
NEXONEXOEthereum1.4011.4074+0.46%1.367-2.43%0.0183✓1.005.1M2022-05-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.8441.8524+0.46%1.733-6.02%0.0328✗0.711.9M2022-05-16
XTZTezosTezos1.9151.9237+0.46%1.7722-7.46%0.0222✗1.26971k2022-05-16
ORCAOrcaSolana11.0046+0.46%0.92-8.00%0.0425✗0.96137k2022-05-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.28341.2893+0.45%1.1933-7.02%0.0269✗1.0698k2022-05-16
DASHDashDash63.0363.3155+0.45%57.82-8.27%0.0349✗1.181.1M2022-05-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026940.027062+0.45%0.03061+13.62%0.1743✓1.08194k2022-05-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3280.329478+0.45%0.307-6.40%0.0116✓1.731.8M2022-05-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0929870.0934+0.44%0.087881-5.49%0.0082✗1.116.3M2022-05-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03570.035858+0.44%0.0317-11.20%0.0596✗1.34174k2022-05-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.9655.2011+0.44%53.59-2.49%0.0159✓0.961.8M2022-05-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.995.0118+0.44%4.56-8.62%0.0544✗0.852.7M2022-05-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum15.7715.8383+0.43%14.58-7.55%0.0208✗1.31822k2022-05-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.51.5065+0.43%1.41-6.00%0.0147✗1.08140k2022-05-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14610.146725+0.43%0.1449-0.82%0.0660✓1.65109k2022-05-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative22.1122.2043+0.43%20.77-6.06%0.0069✗1.264.2M2022-05-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.218660.219584+0.42%0.19391-11.32%0.0470✗1.63264k2022-05-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.409920.411647+0.42%0.38073-7.12%0.0002✓1.6530k2022-05-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.71690.719909+0.42%0.6732-6.10%0.0004✓1.406.1M2022-05-16
COMPCompoundEthereum74.8375.1371+0.41%68.67-8.23%0.0252✗1.3730k2022-05-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.07050.070789+0.41%0.0702-0.43%0.0473✓1.17405k2022-05-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9540.957896+0.41%0.872-8.60%0.0206✗1.557.6M2022-05-16
QNTQuantEthereum75.2175.5152+0.41%70.49-6.28%0.0196✗1.043.6M2022-05-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20210.202906+0.40%0.1872-7.37%0.0118✗1.45683k2022-05-16
XVSVenusEthereum5.015.03+0.40%4.54-9.38%0.0339✗1.452.8M2022-05-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.5071.5129+0.39%1.361-9.69%0.0378✗1.436.6M2022-05-16
MOVRMoonriverBase25.57525.674+0.39%23.5002-8.11%0.0185✗1.48201k2022-05-16
NANOnanopayBase1.18671.1912+0.39%1.0859-8.49%0.0334✗1.25156k2022-05-16
ZECZcashZcash112.6113.0332+0.38%102.47-9.00%0.0380✗1.275.3M2022-05-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.21240.213209+0.38%0.1988-6.40%0.0202✗1.052,6012022-05-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001410.001415+0.38%0.00133-5.67%0.0085✓1.493.7M2022-05-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.85572.8663+0.37%2.5916-9.25%0.0241✗1.629.1M2022-05-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7730.775749+0.36%0.699-9.57%0.0340✗1.48338k2022-05-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.51520.517012+0.35%0.4618-10.36%0.0427✗1.48307k2022-05-16
XEMNEMnative0.06670.066933+0.35%0.0583-12.59%0.0777✗1.27164k2022-05-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.522.5286+0.34%2.26-10.32%0.0303✗1.73378k2022-05-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.028040.028132+0.33%0.02818+0.50%0.0499✓1.0226k2022-05-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.5311.5676+0.33%9.27-19.60%0.1501✗1.50140k2022-05-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.38030.38154+0.33%0.34-10.60%0.0548✗1.2793k2022-05-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04850.048658+0.33%0.0461-4.95%0.0079✗0.978,2452022-05-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3591.3634+0.32%1.249-8.09%0.0208✗1.4115.1M2022-05-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.2121.2157+0.31%1.178-2.81%0.0159✓1.0024k2022-05-16
STXStacksnative0.620.62189+0.30%0.56-9.68%0.0513✗1.13314k2022-05-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.9151.9208+0.30%1.805-5.74%0.0061✓1.442.4M2022-05-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.81421.8197+0.30%1.6704-7.93%0.0276✗1.229.3M2022-05-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0171630.017213+0.29%0.015316-10.76%0.0632✗1.134.2M2022-05-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6410.642848+0.29%0.619-3.43%0.0192✓1.2038k2022-05-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash214.55215.1401+0.28%197.37-8.01%0.0329✗1.125.3M2022-05-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05570.055852+0.27%0.0537-3.59%0.0181✓1.211.6M2022-05-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.040220.04033+0.27%0.03791-5.74%0.0025✓1.3694k2022-05-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.09140.091643+0.27%0.0809-11.49%0.0526✗1.523.6M2022-05-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.77981.7845+0.26%1.7113-3.85%0.0111✗0.6516k2022-05-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.169.1839+0.26%8.29-9.50%0.0432✗1.257.4M2022-05-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1449860.145362+0.26%0.136163-6.09%0.0145✗1.0713.4M2022-05-16
SCSiacoinnative0.005720.005735+0.26%0.00517-9.62%0.0337✗1.47403k2022-05-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.240.240586+0.24%0.2098-12.58%0.1170✗0.42448k2022-05-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.27084.2807+0.23%3.9461-7.60%0.0242✗1.20135k2022-05-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.30e-76.31e-7+0.23%6.93e-7+10.10%0.1201✓0.551.4M2022-05-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08610.086294+0.23%0.0764-11.27%0.0743✗1.003.4M2022-05-16
FTTFTXEthereum32.6632.7336+0.23%31.82-2.57%0.0171✓0.9613.8M2022-05-16
GMTGMTEthereum1.6181.6215+0.22%1.433-11.43%0.0761✗1.007.5M2022-05-16
APEApeCoinEthereum9.1319.1505+0.21%8.069-11.63%0.0043✗2.5694.8M2022-05-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.391.3926+0.19%1.27-8.63%0.0226✗1.473.6M2022-05-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.7911.8117+0.18%10.62-9.92%0.0449✗1.3012.5M2022-05-16
UNIUniswapEthereum5.455.4595+0.17%5.03-7.71%0.0251✗1.203.5M2022-05-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.3190.319535+0.17%0.3018-5.39%0.0045✓1.30445k2022-05-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.414980.415658+0.16%0.35987-13.28%0.0646✗1.68331k2022-05-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7040.705045+0.15%0.61-13.35%0.0693✗1.591.7M2022-05-16
TRXTRONTron0.0723170.072419+0.14%0.069019-4.56%0.0103✗0.801.2M2022-05-16
MANADecentralandEthereum1.33831.3401+0.14%1.1653-12.93%0.0680✗1.511.2M2022-05-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6970.697907+0.13%0.628-9.90%0.0357✗1.4716k2022-05-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.27570.275954+0.09%0.254-7.87%0.0159✗1.41176k2022-05-16
XYMSymbolnative0.07170.071762+0.09%0.068-5.16%0.0190✗0.74568k2022-05-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2370.237132+0.06%0.213-10.13%0.0370✗1.483.7M2022-05-16
STEEMSteemnative0.26890.268944+0.02%0.284+5.62%0.1019✓1.001.9M2022-05-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum24.1224.1165-0.01%20.95-13.14%0.0723✓1.443.4M2022-05-16
PROPropyEthereum1.21.1995-0.04%1.13-5.83%0.0263✓0.70459k2022-05-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.19430.194114-0.10%0.1919-1.24%0.0360✗1.004,0132022-05-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain3.4543.426-0.81%3.142-9.03%0.0391✓1.00257k2022-05-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000220.000175336-20.30%0.0002-9.09%0.2571✗2.648.4M2022-05-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.