8=======>

2022-05-15 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 168 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1050
168 of 168 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.17%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.8%
in alpha space · 53.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.63%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (168 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000220.000177503-19.32%0.0002-9.09%0.2448✗2.648.4M2022-05-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3591.3484-0.78%1.249-8.09%0.0098✓1.4115.1M2022-05-16
MANADecentralandEthereum1.33831.3292-0.68%1.1653-12.93%0.0598✓1.511.2M2022-05-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain3.4543.4307-0.67%3.142-9.03%0.0405✓1.00257k2022-05-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.19430.193099-0.62%0.1919-1.24%0.0412✗1.004,0132022-05-16
XEMNEMnative0.06670.066334-0.55%0.0583-12.59%0.0688✓1.27164k2022-05-16
STEEMSteemnative0.26890.267609-0.48%0.284+5.62%0.1069✗1.001.9M2022-05-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.77981.7718-0.45%1.7113-3.85%0.0040✓0.6516k2022-05-16
XYMSymbolnative0.07170.071394-0.43%0.068-5.16%0.0138✓0.74568k2022-05-16
ZECZcashZcash112.6112.137-0.41%102.47-9.00%0.0300✓1.275.3M2022-05-16
FTTFTXEthereum32.6632.5314-0.39%31.82-2.57%0.0233✗0.9613.8M2022-05-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05570.055485-0.39%0.0537-3.59%0.0246✗1.211.6M2022-05-16
APEApeCoinEthereum9.1319.0958-0.39%8.069-11.63%0.0017✓2.5694.8M2022-05-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7040.701542-0.35%0.61-13.35%0.0644✓1.591.7M2022-05-16
KCSKuCoinnative14.50714.4616-0.31%13.821-4.73%0.0002✓0.964.1M2022-05-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1449860.144532-0.31%0.136163-6.09%0.0088✓1.0713.4M2022-05-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00570.005684-0.29%0.00527-7.54%0.0159✓1.261.9M2022-05-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0929870.092731-0.27%0.087881-5.49%0.0010✓1.116.3M2022-05-16
QNTQuantEthereum75.2175.0187-0.25%70.49-6.28%0.0130✓1.043.6M2022-05-16
XMRMoneroMonero171.74171.313-0.25%161.82-5.78%0.0069✓1.063.2M2022-05-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7730.771142-0.24%0.699-9.57%0.0280✓1.48338k2022-05-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,292.3031,217.88-0.24%30,058.30-3.94%0.0085✗0.9876k2022-05-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.653.6415-0.23%3.379-7.42%0.0263✓1.021.5M2022-05-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,290.0531,219.33-0.23%29,839.89-4.63%0.0023✗1.00672.6M2022-05-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.014260.014228-0.22%0.01387-2.73%0.0250✗1.063.2M2022-05-16
ADACardanoCardano0.5980.596706-0.22%0.5561-7.01%0.0087✓1.3048.2M2022-05-16
GMTGMTEthereum1.6181.6145-0.22%1.433-11.43%0.0718✓1.007.5M2022-05-16
PROPropyEthereum1.21.1974-0.22%1.13-5.83%0.0246✓0.70459k2022-05-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.833.8223-0.20%3.52-8.09%0.0462✓0.76788k2022-05-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.7911.7678-0.19%10.62-9.92%0.0411✓1.3012.5M2022-05-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.81421.8109-0.18%1.6704-7.93%0.0228✓1.229.3M2022-05-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.5311.5093-0.18%9.27-19.60%0.1451✓1.50140k2022-05-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.51.4973-0.18%1.41-6.00%0.0087✓1.08140k2022-05-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.433460.432737-0.17%0.3914-9.70%0.0402✓1.27223k2022-05-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.00774.9997-0.16%4.961-0.93%0.0047✗0.26285k2022-05-16
TRXTRONTron0.0723170.072205-0.15%0.069019-4.56%0.0073✓0.801.2M2022-05-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.71690.715805-0.15%0.6732-6.10%0.0053✗1.406.1M2022-05-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.37450.373937-0.15%0.3587-4.22%0.0183✗1.268.8M2022-05-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.27570.2753-0.15%0.254-7.87%0.0135✓1.41176k2022-05-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.056780.056698-0.14%0.05342-5.92%0.0119✓1.0025k2022-05-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.49020.489508-0.14%0.4598-6.20%0.0060✓1.1914.3M2022-05-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.27084.2648-0.14%3.9461-7.60%0.0205✓1.20135k2022-05-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.028040.028002-0.14%0.02818+0.50%0.0545✗1.0226k2022-05-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin71.571.4051-0.13%67.13-6.11%0.0073✓1.1518.7M2022-05-16
HIVEHivenative0.53390.533202-0.13%0.4896-8.30%0.0259✓1.251.5M2022-05-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14610.145911-0.13%0.1449-0.82%0.0715✗1.65109k2022-05-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0171630.017141-0.13%0.015316-10.76%0.0590✓1.134.2M2022-05-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.85572.8521-0.13%2.5916-9.25%0.0191✓1.629.1M2022-05-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash214.55214.2895-0.12%197.37-8.01%0.0289✓1.125.3M2022-05-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.6513.6341-0.12%13.03-4.54%0.0019✓0.91564k2022-05-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.28341.2819-0.12%1.1933-7.02%0.0212✓1.0698k2022-05-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.040220.040177-0.11%0.03791-5.74%0.0063✗1.3694k2022-05-16
SCSiacoinnative0.005720.005714-0.11%0.00517-9.62%0.0301✓1.47403k2022-05-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20210.201889-0.10%0.1872-7.37%0.0068✓1.45683k2022-05-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04850.04845-0.10%0.0461-4.95%0.0036✓0.978,2452022-05-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.18680.186622-0.10%0.1733-7.23%0.0071✓1.41386k2022-05-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0092840.009275-0.10%0.008554-7.86%0.0329✓1.0124k2022-05-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09070.090615-0.09%0.0887-2.21%0.0186✗0.84177k2022-05-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.30e-76.29e-7-0.09%6.93e-7+10.10%0.1233✗0.551.4M2022-05-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum24.1224.0977-0.09%20.95-13.14%0.0715✓1.443.4M2022-05-16
COMPCompoundEthereum74.8374.7612-0.09%68.67-8.23%0.0201✓1.3730k2022-05-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.3710.3607-0.09%10.65+2.70%0.1015✗1.565.9M2022-05-16
ZENHorizenBase22.122.0802-0.09%20.3-8.14%0.0121✓1.52167k2022-05-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0573.0543-0.09%2.723-10.93%0.0348✓1.696.7M2022-05-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6410.640506-0.08%0.619-3.43%0.0228✗1.2038k2022-05-16
ETHEthereumEthereum2,142.692,141.10-0.07%2,020.58-5.70%0.0091✓1.03494.1M2022-05-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative22.1122.0937-0.07%20.77-6.06%0.0019✓1.264.2M2022-05-16
NEXONEXOEthereum1.4011.4-0.07%1.367-2.43%0.0236✗1.005.1M2022-05-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9770.976312-0.07%0.916-6.24%0.0113✓1.11769k2022-05-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010190.010183-0.07%0.00978-4.02%0.0125✗1.111.2M2022-05-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8320.831425-0.07%0.753-9.50%0.0474✓1.093.2M2022-05-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.19950.199363-0.07%0.1736-12.98%0.0650✓1.558.8M2022-05-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.063.058-0.06%2.907-5.00%0.0015✓1.0396k2022-05-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.967.955-0.06%7.41-6.91%0.0081✓1.3218.4M2022-05-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.3190.318803-0.06%0.3018-5.39%0.0068✗1.30445k2022-05-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0125930.012586-0.06%0.012762+1.34%0.0493✗0.75198k2022-05-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.3712.3631-0.06%11.07-10.51%0.0458✓1.3620.1M2022-05-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004490.004488-0.05%0.00432-3.79%0.0088✗0.9920k2022-05-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15160.151532-0.04%0.139-8.31%0.0121✓1.566.2M2022-05-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9540.953587-0.04%0.872-8.60%0.0160✓1.557.6M2022-05-16
GTGateEthereum5.56745.565-0.04%5.4363-2.35%0.0019✗0.535.0M2022-05-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026940.026929-0.04%0.03061+13.62%0.1792✗1.08194k2022-05-16
STXStacksnative0.620.619758-0.04%0.56-9.68%0.0479✓1.13314k2022-05-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.595350.595151-0.03%0.53418-10.27%0.0396✓1.4493k2022-05-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.5071.5065-0.03%1.361-9.69%0.0336✓1.436.6M2022-05-16
XVGVergenative0.00530.005299-0.03%0.00486-8.30%0.0220✓1.36915k2022-05-16
XTZTezosTezos1.9151.9148-0.01%1.7722-7.46%0.0176✓1.26971k2022-05-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.10010.100093-0.01%0.0861-13.99%0.0709✓1.68239k2022-05-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4442650.444284+0.00%0.401596-9.60%0.0373✗1.346.1M2022-05-16
BTTCBTTC0.000001150.00000115+0.00%0.00000111-3.48%0.0021✓0.797.8M2022-05-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.21240.21241+0.00%0.1988-6.40%0.0164✗1.052,6012022-05-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.66172.6619+0.01%2.4311-8.66%0.0323✗1.23166k2022-05-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum9.229.2207+0.01%8.1-12.15%0.0632✗1.408.3M2022-05-16
DASHDashDash63.0363.0365+0.01%57.82-8.27%0.0305✗1.181.1M2022-05-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.9654.9705+0.02%53.59-2.49%0.0200✓0.961.8M2022-05-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.742.7405+0.02%2.54-7.30%0.0292✗0.99453k2022-05-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017810.017814+0.02%0.01902+6.79%0.1002✓0.73400k2022-05-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12990.129941+0.03%0.149+14.70%0.1910✓1.141.1M2022-05-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum15.7715.7755+0.03%14.58-7.55%0.0168✗1.31822k2022-05-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0722.0728+0.04%1.9-8.30%0.0091✗1.6487k2022-05-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8872.8883+0.04%2.66-7.86%0.0092✗1.54245k2022-05-16
SOLSolanaSolana58.8258.8463+0.04%53.69-8.72%0.0247✗1.4187.8M2022-05-16
XVSVenusEthereum5.015.0124+0.05%4.54-9.38%0.0304✗1.452.8M2022-05-16
UMAUMAEthereum3.1323.1337+0.05%2.988-4.60%0.0312✓1.662.4M2022-05-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.51520.515517+0.06%0.4618-10.36%0.0398✗1.48307k2022-05-16
UNIUniswapEthereum5.455.4535+0.06%5.03-7.71%0.0239✗1.203.5M2022-05-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.169.1659+0.06%8.29-9.50%0.0413✗1.257.4M2022-05-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.2121.2128+0.07%1.178-2.81%0.0183✓1.0024k2022-05-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071630.071682+0.07%0.07067-1.34%0.0354✓1.0519k2022-05-16
BANDBandEthereum1.8081.8093+0.07%1.602-11.39%0.0541✗1.42500k2022-05-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.9151.9166+0.08%1.805-5.74%0.0082✓1.442.4M2022-05-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.409920.410288+0.09%0.38073-7.12%0.0035✓1.6530k2022-05-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.010450.01046+0.10%0.00903-13.59%0.1094✗0.79246k2022-05-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26160.261875+0.11%0.2463-5.85%0.0020✗1.25280k2022-05-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.13230.132439+0.11%0.1577+19.20%0.2643✓1.89694k2022-05-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03570.035738+0.11%0.0317-11.20%0.0562✗1.34174k2022-05-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.0110.011012+0.11%0.01489+35.36%0.3807✓1.6643.3M2022-05-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13590.136048+0.11%0.1178-13.32%0.0987✗0.9519k2022-05-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.890.890977+0.11%0.81-8.99%0.0227✗1.53801k2022-05-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0740.074082+0.11%0.068-8.11%0.0365✗1.04113k2022-05-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.07050.070583+0.12%0.0702-0.43%0.0502✓1.17405k2022-05-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4692.472+0.12%2.298-6.93%0.0072✓1.6923k2022-05-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.12580.125957+0.13%0.1137-9.62%0.0376✗1.361.2M2022-05-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.414980.415506+0.13%0.35987-13.28%0.0642✗1.68331k2022-05-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.263.2643+0.13%3.15-3.37%0.0088✓0.94783k2022-05-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,598.4910,613.32+0.14%9,743.68-8.07%0.0304✗1.162.8M2022-05-16
MOVRMoonriverBase25.57525.6135+0.15%23.5002-8.11%0.0161✗1.48201k2022-05-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08610.08623+0.15%0.0764-11.27%0.0736✗1.003.4M2022-05-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.09140.091539+0.15%0.0809-11.49%0.0515✗1.523.6M2022-05-16
MINAMina Protocolnative1.161.1618+0.16%1.042-10.17%0.0436✗1.38760k2022-05-16
KSMKusamaHydration80.5380.6567+0.16%73.47-8.77%0.0351✗1.231.2M2022-05-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.8441.8472+0.17%1.733-6.02%0.0299✗0.711.9M2022-05-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.4121.4144+0.17%1.289-8.71%0.0114✗1.72665k2022-05-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013040.000013064+0.18%0.00001196-8.28%0.0260✗1.311.2M2022-05-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.046.051+0.18%6.06+0.33%0.0672✓1.38572k2022-05-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.399970.400735+0.19%0.37002-7.49%0.0084✗1.501.4M2022-05-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.994.9996+0.19%4.56-8.62%0.0519✗0.852.7M2022-05-16
NANOnanopayBase1.18671.189+0.19%1.0859-8.49%0.0315✗1.25156k2022-05-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche36.5436.6111+0.19%32.49-11.08%0.0507✗1.4546.9M2022-05-16
ORCAOrcaSolana11.002+0.20%0.92-8.00%0.0399✗0.96137k2022-05-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2370.237476+0.20%0.213-10.13%0.0385✗1.483.7M2022-05-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.68761.691+0.20%1.5881-5.90%0.0112✗1.092.5M2022-05-16
DIADIAEthereum0.409670.410701+0.25%0.37994-7.26%0.0403✗0.7970k2022-05-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0842.0893+0.25%1.976-5.18%0.0395✓2.01973k2022-05-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.081.0827+0.25%1.11+2.78%0.0639✓0.82201k2022-05-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.391.3935+0.25%1.27-8.63%0.0232✗1.473.6M2022-05-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.218660.219223+0.26%0.19391-11.32%0.0454✗1.63264k2022-05-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.542.5466+0.26%2.53-0.39%0.0436✓1.06548k2022-05-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.51271.5168+0.27%1.3834-8.55%0.0415✗1.064.3M2022-05-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.1220.122334+0.27%0.1097-10.08%0.0344✗1.571.7M2022-05-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.395.4049+0.28%4.95-8.16%0.0486✗0.831.3M2022-05-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5280.529557+0.29%0.477-9.66%0.0359✗1.45891k2022-05-16
DODODODOEthereum0.1690.169527+0.31%0.151-10.65%0.0464✗1.464.3M2022-05-16
XECeCashnative0.000043080.000043214+0.31%0.00004677+8.57%0.1436✓1.366.2M2022-05-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6970.699287+0.33%0.628-9.90%0.0377✗1.4716k2022-05-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.522.5284+0.33%2.26-10.32%0.0302✗1.73378k2022-05-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3280.329102+0.34%0.307-6.40%0.0128✓1.731.8M2022-05-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.5871.5925+0.35%1.446-8.88%0.0508✗0.96779k2022-05-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07510.075362+0.35%0.0795+5.86%0.1423✓1.87173k2022-05-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.571.5755+0.35%1.504-4.20%0.0025✓1.03683k2022-05-16
AAVEAaveEthereum92.0692.3974+0.37%83.79-8.98%0.0270✗1.498.6M2022-05-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3570.358357+0.38%0.316-11.48%0.0778✗1.011.1M2022-05-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.38030.381899+0.42%0.34-10.60%0.0557✗1.2793k2022-05-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.240.241034+0.43%0.2098-12.58%0.1189✗0.42448k2022-05-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01730.017378+0.45%0.0152-12.14%0.0296✗2.2025.3M2022-05-16
RADRadworksEthereum22.0092+0.46%1.93-3.50%0.0088✓1.03350k2022-05-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.861.8686+0.46%1.69-9.14%0.0203✗1.69436k2022-05-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001410.001421+0.76%0.00133-5.67%0.0047✓1.493.7M2022-05-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.