8=======>

2022-05-14 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1165
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.39%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.2%
in alpha space · 95.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.15%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum86.4487.2903+0.98%92.06+6.50%0.0075✓1.497.8M2022-05-15
GTGateEthereum5.55515.6071+0.94%5.5674+0.22%0.0290✗0.544.9M2022-05-15
DIADIAEthereum0.376460.379922+0.92%0.40967+8.82%0.0441✓0.7770k2022-05-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.417580.421388+0.91%0.43346+3.80%0.0235✗1.27199k2022-05-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01710.017254+0.90%0.0173+1.17%0.0882✗2.2325.3M2022-05-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004710.004752+0.89%0.0057+21.02%0.1328✓1.211.8M2022-05-15
XMRMoneroMonero153.49154.847+0.88%171.74+11.89%0.0616✓1.033.2M2022-05-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,968.5030,229.55+0.87%31,292.30+4.42%0.0051✓0.9768k2022-05-15
ETHEthereumEthereum2,053.332,071.22+0.87%2,142.69+4.35%0.0080✓1.03494.1M2022-05-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.635.6789+0.87%6.04+7.28%0.0056✓1.38572k2022-05-15
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8180.825099+0.87%0.832+1.71%0.0364✗1.103.3M2022-05-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.547610.552342+0.86%0.59535+8.72%0.0168✓1.4393k2022-05-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.8458+0.86%1.86+1.64%0.0616✗1.70418k2022-05-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.533.5598+0.84%3.83+8.50%0.0431✓0.74777k2022-05-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.12070.121716+0.84%0.1323+9.61%0.0070✓1.88694k2022-05-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14290.144088+0.83%0.1516+6.09%0.0130✗1.576.2M2022-05-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9380.945646+0.82%0.977+4.16%0.0125✗1.11769k2022-05-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24970.251734+0.81%0.2616+4.77%0.0123✗1.25292k2022-05-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos22.0162+0.81%2.072+3.60%0.0401✗1.6687k2022-05-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,041.8830,282.45+0.80%31,290.05+4.15%0.0080✓1.00672.6M2022-05-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4960.499968+0.80%0.528+6.45%0.0044✓1.45869k2022-05-15
HIVEHivenative0.50930.513368+0.80%0.5339+4.83%0.0116✗1.251.5M2022-05-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7710.8556+0.80%12.37+14.86%0.0763✓1.3320.1M2022-05-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.085.1198+0.78%5.39+6.10%0.0182✓0.821.3M2022-05-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.629.695+0.78%10.37+7.80%0.0041✓1.555.9M2022-05-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.5141.5256+0.77%1.587+4.82%0.0006✓0.95779k2022-05-15
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0921.1004+0.77%1.16+6.23%0.0037✓1.39760k2022-05-15
DODODODOEthereum0.1580.159207+0.76%0.169+6.96%0.0005✓1.454.4M2022-05-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.335543+0.76%0.357+7.21%0.0212✓1.001.1M2022-05-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.013760.013865+0.76%0.01426+3.63%0.0151✗1.063.2M2022-05-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.257.3053+0.76%7.96+9.79%0.0325✓1.3118.3M2022-05-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.19240.193861+0.76%0.1995+3.69%0.0345✗1.558.6M2022-05-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.7112.8063+0.76%13.65+7.40%0.0271✓0.90555k2022-05-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012570.000012665+0.76%0.00001304+3.74%0.0242✗1.311.3M2022-05-15
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4472.4655+0.76%2.469+0.90%0.0680✗1.7123k2022-05-15
ADACardanoCardano0.53710.541132+0.75%0.598+11.34%0.0478✓1.2846.3M2022-05-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1211.1294+0.75%1.359+21.23%0.1298✓1.3614.9M2022-05-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.4630.466412+0.74%0.4902+5.87%0.0014✓1.1914.3M2022-05-15
KSMKusamaHydration74.374.8431+0.73%80.53+8.38%0.0237✓1.221.2M2022-05-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015660.015774+0.73%0.01781+13.73%0.0934✓0.69400k2022-05-15
ZECZcashZcash105.67106.4391+0.73%112.6+6.56%0.0047✓1.275.3M2022-05-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068470.068967+0.73%0.07163+4.62%0.0046✓1.0419k2022-05-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08790.088536+0.72%0.0907+3.19%0.0101✗0.84169k2022-05-15
KCSKuCoinnative12.96813.0617+0.72%14.507+11.87%0.0670✓0.934.1M2022-05-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.11710.117936+0.71%0.1258+7.43%0.0093✓1.361.2M2022-05-15
XEMNEMnative0.05680.057204+0.71%0.0667+17.43%0.1036✓1.23164k2022-05-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003950.003978+0.71%0.00449+13.67%0.0823✓0.9519k2022-05-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.231.2387+0.71%1.412+14.80%0.0623✓1.69582k2022-05-15
BANDBandEthereum1.7441.7562+0.70%1.808+3.67%0.0293✗1.43500k2022-05-15
SOLSolanaSolana52.3752.737+0.70%58.82+12.32%0.0524✓1.3987.4M2022-05-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7532.7723+0.70%3.057+11.04%0.0296✓1.677.4M2022-05-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053370.053743+0.70%0.05678+6.39%0.0146✓0.9925k2022-05-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.48951.4999+0.70%1.5127+1.56%0.0353✗1.084.3M2022-05-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.64381.6552+0.69%1.6876+2.66%0.0252✗1.092.5M2022-05-15
AVTAventusEthereum0.950.956588+0.69%1.08+13.68%0.0892✓0.79201k2022-05-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.09940.100088+0.69%0.1001+0.70%0.0691✗1.70215k2022-05-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.42.4166+0.69%2.54+5.83%0.0071✓1.05548k2022-05-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11710.117909+0.69%0.1359+16.05%0.1050✓0.9119k2022-05-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0893580.089967+0.68%0.092987+4.06%0.0121✗1.116.3M2022-05-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.58832.606+0.68%2.6617+2.83%0.0291✗1.23173k2022-05-15
BTTCBTTC0.000001110.000001118+0.68%0.00000115+3.60%0.0035✓0.797.9M2022-05-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34930.351678+0.68%0.3745+7.21%0.0119✓1.258.5M2022-05-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.0193.0394+0.67%3.06+1.36%0.0358✗1.0596k2022-05-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009440.009503+0.67%0.01019+7.94%0.0251✓1.101.1M2022-05-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5982.6154+0.67%2.887+11.12%0.0369✓1.52221k2022-05-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010130.010198+0.67%0.011+8.59%0.0085✓1.6543.3M2022-05-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.572.5871+0.66%2.74+6.61%0.0177✓0.98453k2022-05-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche33.8934.114+0.66%36.54+7.82%0.0099✓1.4545.0M2022-05-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.19581.2037+0.66%1.2834+7.32%0.0212✓1.0598k2022-05-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.377370.37986+0.66%0.39997+5.99%0.0097✗1.501.4M2022-05-15
UMAUMAEthereum2.9923.0117+0.66%3.132+4.68%0.0286✗1.672.4M2022-05-15
ZENHorizenBase21.2121.3492+0.66%22.1+4.20%0.0275✗1.52167k2022-05-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.11162+0.65%0.122+10.01%0.0255✓1.561.7M2022-05-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.065.0927+0.65%5.0077-1.03%0.0278✗0.27285k2022-05-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13750.138388+0.65%0.1461+6.25%0.0132✗1.66109k2022-05-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,210.4910,276.31+0.64%10,598.49+3.80%0.0165✗1.162.7M2022-05-15
QNTQuantEthereum72.1172.5733+0.64%75.21+4.30%0.0064✗1.033.6M2022-05-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.538.5848+0.64%9.22+8.09%0.0146✓1.408.0M2022-05-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4175280.420205+0.64%0.444265+6.40%0.0013✓1.346.1M2022-05-15
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3571.3657+0.64%1.401+3.24%0.0152✗1.005.2M2022-05-15
XVGVergenative0.004770.004801+0.64%0.0053+11.11%0.0444✓1.34885k2022-05-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11980.120561+0.64%0.1299+8.43%0.0290✓1.121.1M2022-05-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.18290.184058+0.63%0.1868+2.13%0.0433✗1.43375k2022-05-15
RADRadworksEthereum1.891.9019+0.63%2+5.82%0.0087✓1.02381k2022-05-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.010010.010073+0.63%0.01045+4.40%0.0044✓0.80269k2022-05-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.47580.478793+0.63%0.5152+8.28%0.0134✓1.47307k2022-05-15
XECeCashnative0.000042570.000042835+0.62%0.00004308+1.20%0.0502✗1.376.5M2022-05-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8271.8384+0.62%2.084+14.07%0.0450✓1.98973k2022-05-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.9215.0128+0.62%15.77+5.70%0.0039✓1.31822k2022-05-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03380.03401+0.62%0.0357+5.62%0.0060✓1.34179k2022-05-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.531.5395+0.62%1.57+2.61%0.0226✗1.04683k2022-05-15
XTZTezosTezos1.83041.8417+0.62%1.915+4.62%0.0124✗1.26878k2022-05-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.07290.073346+0.61%0.074+1.51%0.0335✗1.04115k2022-05-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin68.8169.2305+0.61%71.5+3.91%0.0144✗1.1518.2M2022-05-15
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8570.862213+0.61%0.954+11.32%0.0390✓1.537.6M2022-05-15
XVSVenusEthereum4.64.628+0.61%5.01+8.91%0.0205✓1.452.8M2022-05-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0119920.012064+0.60%0.012593+5.01%0.0127✓0.74198k2022-05-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07140.071829+0.60%0.0751+5.18%0.0321✗1.88176k2022-05-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.7811.7917+0.60%1.844+3.54%0.0002✓0.711.9M2022-05-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0093150.00937+0.60%0.009284-0.33%0.0512✗1.0327k2022-05-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.421.4284+0.59%1.5+5.63%0.0049✓1.08140k2022-05-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.183.1988+0.59%3.26+2.52%0.0193✗0.94798k2022-05-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3050.306801+0.59%0.328+7.54%0.0038✓1.731.8M2022-05-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64010.643872+0.59%0.7169+12.00%0.0510✓1.396.1M2022-05-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.196760.197919+0.59%0.21866+11.13%0.0340✓1.61262k2022-05-15
DASHDashDash60.8661.2177+0.59%63.03+3.57%0.0190✗1.181.1M2022-05-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.0521.1737+0.59%22.11+5.04%0.0079✗1.264.2M2022-05-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.399530.401876+0.59%0.40992+2.60%0.0486✗1.6832k2022-05-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.06340.063771+0.58%0.0705+11.20%0.0537✓1.14415k2022-05-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024960.025105+0.58%0.02694+7.93%0.0273✓1.06202k2022-05-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7430.747245+0.57%0.773+4.04%0.0266✗1.48357k2022-05-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.4131.421+0.57%1.507+6.65%0.0004✓1.436.6M2022-05-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.880.885006+0.57%0.89+1.14%0.0571✗1.54801k2022-05-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.6410.7001+0.57%11.53+8.36%0.0140✓1.49136k2022-05-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.20080.20192+0.56%0.2124+5.78%0.0082✓1.042,6012022-05-15
COMPCompoundEthereum71.4571.8459+0.55%74.83+4.73%0.0149✗1.3730k2022-05-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.9754.269+0.55%54.96+1.83%0.0267✗0.971.8M2022-05-15
NANOnanopayBase1.15951.166+0.55%1.1867+2.34%0.0336✗1.26161k2022-05-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20080.201901+0.55%0.2021+0.65%0.0587✗1.47649k2022-05-15
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90.904917+0.55%1+11.11%0.0620✓0.93137k2022-05-15
STXStacksnative0.560.563002+0.54%0.62+10.71%0.0515✓1.10296k2022-05-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04720.047453+0.54%0.0557+18.01%0.1130✓1.161.5M2022-05-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.7313.7509+0.53%3.65-2.17%0.0697✗1.041.5M2022-05-15
FTTFTXEthereum31.5331.697+0.53%32.66+3.58%0.0091✗0.9615.2M2022-05-15
MOVRMoonriverBase22.493222.6116+0.53%25.575+13.70%0.0642✓1.45195k2022-05-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.026460.026599+0.52%0.02804+5.97%0.0116✓1.0126k2022-05-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.27590.277335+0.52%0.319+15.62%0.0886✓1.26463k2022-05-15
XLMStellarStellar0.1381110.138816+0.51%0.144986+4.98%0.0000✓1.0713.6M2022-05-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0152870.015365+0.51%0.017163+12.27%0.0656✓1.114.3M2022-05-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.135.1556+0.50%4.99-2.73%0.0680✗0.872.7M2022-05-15
CBKCobakEthereum1.1411.1466+0.49%1.212+6.22%0.0152✓0.9924k2022-05-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.582.5927+0.49%2.52-2.33%0.1000✗1.76378k2022-05-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04610.046326+0.49%0.0485+5.21%0.0066✓0.978,2452022-05-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038980.039166+0.48%0.04022+3.18%0.0289✗1.3694k2022-05-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.73262.7456+0.47%2.8557+4.50%0.0267✗1.628.0M2022-05-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001340.001346+0.47%0.00141+5.22%0.0143✗1.493.8M2022-05-15
API3Api3Ethereum1.8391.8476+0.47%1.915+4.13%0.0226✗1.442.5M2022-05-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73291.741+0.47%1.8142+4.69%0.0089✗1.239.6M2022-05-15
GMTGMTEthereum1.5331.54+0.46%1.618+5.54%0.0087✓1.008.1M2022-05-15
SCSiacoinnative0.005120.005143+0.46%0.00572+11.72%0.0471✓1.45403k2022-05-15
QTUMQtumQtum4.10784.1259+0.44%4.2708+3.97%0.0146✗1.21135k2022-05-15
APEApeCoinEthereum8.6468.6833+0.43%9.131+5.61%0.0559✗2.6194.8M2022-05-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.58e-75.60e-7+0.43%6.30e-7+12.98%0.0967✓0.521.4M2022-05-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36470.366265+0.43%0.3803+4.28%0.0140✗1.2793k2022-05-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash208.47209.3633+0.43%214.55+2.92%0.0214✗1.135.3M2022-05-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.67441.6815+0.42%1.7798+6.29%0.0310✓0.6416k2022-05-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.351630.353094+0.42%0.41498+18.02%0.0951✓1.63331k2022-05-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.88.836+0.41%9.16+4.09%0.0148✗1.257.4M2022-05-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.0740.074302+0.41%0.0861+16.35%0.1067✓1.003.8M2022-05-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6210.623518+0.41%0.641+3.22%0.0211✗1.2040k2022-05-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.630.632539+0.40%0.704+11.75%0.0433✓1.571.7M2022-05-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08660.086947+0.40%0.0914+5.54%0.0123✗1.533.6M2022-05-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.25650.257484+0.38%0.2757+7.49%0.0114✓1.40180k2022-05-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.2811.321+0.36%11.79+4.52%0.0122✗1.3012.2M2022-05-15
UNIUniswapEthereum5.175.1879+0.35%5.45+5.42%0.0005✓1.203.6M2022-05-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.311.3142+0.32%1.39+6.11%0.0035✗1.463.6M2022-05-15
XYMSymbolnative0.06970.069913+0.31%0.0717+2.87%0.0048✗0.74568k2022-05-15
STEEMSteemnative0.25420.254963+0.30%0.2689+5.78%0.0125✓1.002.1M2022-05-15
TRXTRONTron0.072360.072575+0.30%0.072317-0.06%0.0365✗0.811.1M2022-05-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6350.636636+0.26%0.697+9.76%0.0315✓1.4517k2022-05-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.28640.287064+0.23%0.24-16.20%0.1986✗0.48458k2022-05-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.228514+0.23%0.237+3.95%0.0239✗1.484.0M2022-05-15
MANADecentralandEthereum1.33181.3345+0.21%1.3383+0.49%0.0596✗1.531.1M2022-05-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum22.422.4422+0.19%24.12+7.68%0.0138✓1.433.5M2022-05-15
PROPropyEthereum1.111.112+0.18%1.2+8.11%0.0483✓0.68470k2022-05-15
LUNATerraTerra 20.000460.000357173-22.35%0.00022-52.17%0.6037✓2.938.4M2022-05-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.