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2022-05-13 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1569
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.68%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
53.6%
in alpha space · 82.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.77%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AAVEAaveEthereum82.2883.1729+1.09%86.44+5.06%0.0021✓1.498.6M2022-05-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.383220.387143+1.02%0.41758+8.97%0.0413✓1.26188k2022-05-14
GTGateEthereum5.55845.6146+1.01%5.5551-0.06%0.0255✗0.544.9M2022-05-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004290.004332+0.99%0.00471+9.79%0.0511✓1.191.7M2022-05-14
XMRMoneroMonero143.73145.1515+0.99%153.49+6.79%0.0279✓1.023.2M2022-05-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.764.8071+0.99%5.63+18.28%0.1214✓1.34629k2022-05-14
ETHEthereumEthereum2,005.482,025.21+0.98%2,053.33+2.39%0.0144✗1.03494.1M2022-05-14
DIADIAEthereum0.376820.38052+0.98%0.37646-0.10%0.0318✗0.7770k2022-05-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.499640.504533+0.98%0.54761+9.60%0.0433✓1.4291k2022-05-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01640.016559+0.97%0.0171+4.27%0.0290✗2.2426.5M2022-05-14
ZECZcashZcash93.8194.7125+0.96%105.67+12.64%0.0755✓1.245.1M2022-05-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9481.9666+0.96%2+2.67%0.0285✗1.6699k2022-05-14
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8140.821754+0.95%0.818+0.49%0.0348✗1.103.3M2022-05-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,232.1829,509.07+0.95%30,041.88+2.77%0.0094✓1.00672.6M2022-05-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.661.6757+0.95%1.83+10.24%0.0420✓1.69399k2022-05-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10180.102747+0.93%0.1207+18.57%0.1107✓1.84734k2022-05-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,332.5029,603.14+0.92%29,968.50+2.17%0.0144✗0.9858k2022-05-14
HIVEHivenative0.45490.459086+0.92%0.5093+11.96%0.0703✓1.231.5M2022-05-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22080.222814+0.91%0.2497+13.09%0.0805✓1.22292k2022-05-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.0041.0131+0.91%1.121+11.65%0.0646✓1.3414.9M2022-05-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.310.3933+0.91%10.77+4.56%0.0008✓1.3320.9M2022-05-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14830.149635+0.90%0.1924+29.74%0.2105✓1.498.1M2022-05-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13990.141158+0.90%0.1429+2.14%0.0307✗1.576.2M2022-05-14
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32.3205+0.89%2.447+6.39%0.0066✓1.7023k2022-05-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.273.2991+0.89%3.53+7.95%0.0479✓0.72770k2022-05-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.7112.8215+0.88%12.71+0.00%0.0335✗0.91555k2022-05-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.01350.013618+0.87%0.01376+1.93%0.0187✗1.063.4M2022-05-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9140.921974+0.87%0.938+2.63%0.0130✗1.11729k2022-05-14
MANADecentralandEthereum1.0221.0309+0.87%1.3318+30.32%0.2159✓1.47970k2022-05-14
DODODODOEthereum0.1520.153317+0.87%0.158+3.95%0.0096✗1.454.5M2022-05-14
ADACardanoCardano0.52810.532659+0.86%0.5371+1.70%0.0268✗1.2843.7M2022-05-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.769.8441+0.86%9.62-1.43%0.0659✗1.575.9M2022-05-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.09170.092487+0.86%0.0994+8.40%0.0259✓1.69215k2022-05-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.137.1911+0.86%7.25+1.68%0.0277✗1.3119.6M2022-05-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.44260.446384+0.85%0.463+4.61%0.0042✓1.1812.8M2022-05-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08720.087945+0.85%0.0879+0.80%0.0236✗0.85169k2022-05-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana4.874.9115+0.85%5.08+4.31%0.0116✓0.811.3M2022-05-14
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0411.0499+0.85%1.092+4.90%0.0016✓1.38755k2022-05-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.064240.064784+0.85%0.06847+6.58%0.0271✓1.0319k2022-05-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.3241.3352+0.85%1.514+14.35%0.1004✓0.92826k2022-05-14
XEMNEMnative0.0580.058485+0.84%0.0568-2.07%0.0632✗1.24127k2022-05-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0882440.088977+0.83%0.089358+1.26%0.0261✗1.117.1M2022-05-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.14910.150337+0.83%0.1829+22.67%0.1583✓1.38372k2022-05-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6072.6286+0.83%2.753+5.60%0.0006✓1.677.7M2022-05-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.1110.111917+0.83%0.1171+5.50%0.0083✓1.351.2M2022-05-14
KCSKuCoinnative12.51112.6139+0.82%12.968+3.65%0.0023✓0.934.1M2022-05-14
AVTAventusEthereum0.830.836825+0.82%0.95+14.46%0.1062✓0.76204k2022-05-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012810.000012915+0.82%0.00001257-1.87%0.0633✗1.331.3M2022-05-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.47832.4985+0.82%2.5883+4.44%0.0017✓1.23177k2022-05-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3440.346795+0.81%0.333-3.20%0.0683✗1.021.1M2022-05-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.13791.1471+0.81%1.1958+5.09%0.0130✓1.0598k2022-05-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31590.318448+0.81%0.3493+10.57%0.0588✓1.238.5M2022-05-14
BANDBandEthereum1.721.7338+0.80%1.744+1.40%0.0334✗1.44537k2022-05-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.46310.466787+0.80%0.4758+2.74%0.0212✗1.47307k2022-05-14
SOLSolanaSolana48.8949.2789+0.80%52.37+7.12%0.0230✓1.3987.4M2022-05-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050050.050447+0.79%0.05337+6.63%0.0295✓0.9825k2022-05-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015980.016106+0.79%0.01566-2.00%0.0471✗0.70400k2022-05-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.350770.353523+0.78%0.37737+7.58%0.0244✓1.491.4M2022-05-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003770.0038+0.78%0.00395+4.77%0.0131✓0.9420k2022-05-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.1941.2033+0.78%1.23+3.02%0.0242✗1.69582k2022-05-14
KSMKusamaHydration73.8474.416+0.78%74.3+0.62%0.0350✗1.221.2M2022-05-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4990.502859+0.77%0.496-0.60%0.0536✗1.46869k2022-05-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.792.8115+0.77%3.019+8.21%0.0430✓1.0390k2022-05-14
QNTQuantEthereum68.5869.1073+0.77%72.11+5.15%0.0144✓1.033.5M2022-05-14
ZENHorizenBase20.2420.3956+0.77%21.21+4.79%0.0024✓1.52173k2022-05-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.322.3378+0.77%2.4+3.45%0.0023✓1.05553k2022-05-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12270.123636+0.76%0.1375+12.06%0.0618✓1.63109k2022-05-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.392.4082+0.76%2.57+7.53%0.0388✓0.96470k2022-05-14
UMAUMAEthereum2.9132.9351+0.76%2.992+2.71%0.0264✗1.672.4M2022-05-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3664160.369188+0.76%0.417528+13.95%0.0872✓1.316.1M2022-05-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12230.123222+0.75%0.1171-4.25%0.0762✗0.9319k2022-05-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.46751.4786+0.75%1.4895+1.50%0.0221✗1.084.3M2022-05-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.18970.191123+0.75%0.2008+5.85%0.0213✓1.032,9402022-05-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.61191.624+0.75%1.6438+1.98%0.0178✗1.102.5M2022-05-14
XVSVenusEthereum4.244.2717+0.75%4.6+8.49%0.0349✓1.432.9M2022-05-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.11020.111022+0.75%0.1109+0.64%0.0439✗1.571.8M2022-05-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.4962.5146+0.75%2.598+4.09%0.0089✗1.52216k2022-05-14
BTTCBTTC0.000001120.000001128+0.74%0.00000111-0.89%0.0381✗0.797.9M2022-05-14
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3031.3126+0.74%1.357+4.14%0.0059✓1.005.3M2022-05-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009890.009963+0.74%0.01013+2.43%0.0286✗1.6644.1M2022-05-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche32.1732.4066+0.74%33.89+5.35%0.0054✓1.4445.0M2022-05-14
FTTFTXEthereum30.8331.0563+0.73%31.53+2.27%0.0111✗0.9615.2M2022-05-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.08995.1272+0.73%5.06-0.59%0.0206✗0.27284k2022-05-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03290.033141+0.73%0.0338+2.74%0.0169✗1.34189k2022-05-14
XTZTezosTezos1.76611.779+0.73%1.8304+3.64%0.0060✓1.26878k2022-05-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.344170.346673+0.73%0.39953+16.09%0.0979✓1.6135k2022-05-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6720.676883+0.73%0.743+10.57%0.0531✓1.47344k2022-05-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.7314.8368+0.72%14.92+1.29%0.0302✗1.31822k2022-05-14
XECeCashnative0.000042120.000042424+0.72%0.00004257+1.07%0.0343✗1.386.7M2022-05-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1120.112804+0.72%0.1198+6.96%0.0298✓1.111.1M2022-05-14
STXStacksnative0.520.523721+0.72%0.56+7.69%0.0372✓1.09274k2022-05-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009530.009598+0.72%0.00944-0.94%0.0469✗1.111.0M2022-05-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,926.059,997.01+0.71%10,210.49+2.87%0.0106✗1.162.6M2022-05-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0710.071506+0.71%0.0729+2.68%0.0091✗1.04115k2022-05-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative20.4720.6156+0.71%21.05+2.83%0.0135✗1.264.4M2022-05-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18070.181978+0.71%0.2008+11.12%0.0589✓1.45640k2022-05-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.05730.057702+0.70%0.0634+10.65%0.0634✓1.13415k2022-05-14
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8320.837831+0.70%0.857+3.00%0.0192✗1.537.9M2022-05-14
RADRadworksEthereum1.781.7925+0.70%1.89+6.18%0.0253✓1.01381k2022-05-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.399.4557+0.70%10.64+13.31%0.0779✓1.47134k2022-05-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin67.7868.2508+0.69%68.81+1.52%0.0233✗1.1517.8M2022-05-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum9.279.3342+0.69%8.53-7.98%0.1291✗1.438.0M2022-05-14
DASHDashDash57.9858.3796+0.69%60.86+4.97%0.0094✓1.181.1M2022-05-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.4461.4559+0.69%1.53+5.81%0.0215✓1.03714k2022-05-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4873.511+0.69%3.731+7.00%0.0325✓1.031.5M2022-05-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.391.3995+0.68%1.42+2.16%0.0150✗1.08140k2022-05-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.7581.77+0.68%1.827+3.92%0.0224✗1.981.0M2022-05-14
XVGVergenative0.004720.004752+0.68%0.00477+1.06%0.0330✗1.35885k2022-05-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009850.009917+0.68%0.01001+1.62%0.0123✗0.79246k2022-05-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25190.253609+0.68%0.2759+9.53%0.0502✓1.25480k2022-05-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.2830.284915+0.68%0.305+7.77%0.0210✓1.731.8M2022-05-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0094570.009521+0.68%0.009315-1.50%0.0503✗1.0428k2022-05-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.820.825522+0.67%0.88+7.32%0.0220✓1.53815k2022-05-14
NANOnanopayBase1.07641.0836+0.67%1.1595+7.73%0.0337✓1.25161k2022-05-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1320630.132941+0.67%0.138111+4.58%0.0090✓1.0713.8M2022-05-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3121.3207+0.67%1.413+7.70%0.0286✓1.425.8M2022-05-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.195840.197133+0.66%0.19676+0.47%0.0462✗1.62250k2022-05-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.093.1104+0.66%3.18+2.91%0.0034✓0.94817k2022-05-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.8952.2314+0.66%53.97+4.01%0.0065✓0.961.9M2022-05-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07140.071859+0.64%0.0714+0.00%0.0584✗1.90177k2022-05-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023990.024144+0.64%0.02496+4.04%0.0043✓1.06214k2022-05-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035180.035406+0.64%0.03898+10.80%0.0594✓1.3594k2022-05-14
CBKCobakEthereum1.0561.0628+0.64%1.141+8.05%0.0444✓0.9725k2022-05-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.023790.023942+0.64%0.02646+11.22%0.0730✓0.9927k2022-05-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.831.8417+0.64%1.781-2.68%0.0533✗0.721.8M2022-05-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04630.046595+0.64%0.0472+1.94%0.0189✗1.161.6M2022-05-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.312.3247+0.64%2.58+11.69%0.0567✓1.74378k2022-05-14
API3Api3Ethereum1.621.6301+0.62%1.839+13.52%0.0820✓1.412.5M2022-05-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.55161.5611+0.61%1.7329+11.68%0.0713✓1.219.8M2022-05-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0145860.014675+0.61%0.015287+4.81%0.0108✓1.104.4M2022-05-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.864.8897+0.61%5.13+5.56%0.0245✓0.862.7M2022-05-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.013310.013391+0.61%0.011992-9.90%0.1315✗0.77200k2022-05-14
QTUMQtumQtum3.86813.8916+0.61%4.1078+6.20%0.0213✓1.20135k2022-05-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66530.669301+0.60%0.6401-3.79%0.0831✗1.416.1M2022-05-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.890.895214+0.59%0.9+1.12%0.0201✗0.93137k2022-05-14
GMTGMTEthereum1.4931.5017+0.58%1.533+2.68%0.0067✗1.008.8M2022-05-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.042970.043219+0.58%0.0461+7.28%0.0385✓0.958,5302022-05-14
MOVRMoonriverBase22.637622.768+0.58%22.4932-0.64%0.0520✗1.46195k2022-05-14
COMPCompoundEthereum68.4568.8436+0.57%71.45+4.38%0.0001✓1.3630k2022-05-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4870.489765+0.57%0.63+29.36%0.2106✓1.511.7M2022-05-14
SCSiacoinnative0.004660.004686+0.56%0.00512+9.87%0.0493✓1.44403k2022-05-14
APEApeCoinEthereum8.538.5766+0.55%8.646+1.36%0.0643✗2.6594.8M2022-05-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6090.612321+0.55%0.621+1.97%0.0187✗1.2042k2022-05-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.23340.234645+0.53%0.2565+9.90%0.0516✓1.37180k2022-05-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001320.001327+0.53%0.00134+1.52%0.0310✗1.493.8M2022-05-14
STEEMSteemnative0.21850.219655+0.53%0.2542+16.34%0.1187✓1.002.1M2022-05-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.72541.7343+0.52%1.6744-2.96%0.0528✗0.6516k2022-05-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.340.341731+0.51%0.35163+3.42%0.0160✗1.63351k2022-05-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.4410.4927+0.50%11.28+8.05%0.0372✓1.2911.9M2022-05-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.738.774+0.50%8.8+0.80%0.0313✗1.257.5M2022-05-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.19e-76.22e-7+0.50%5.58e-7-9.87%0.1240✗0.551.4M2022-05-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash201.94202.9374+0.49%208.47+3.23%0.0039✓1.135.3M2022-05-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.07040.070742+0.49%0.074+5.11%0.0177✓1.003.9M2022-05-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3750.376821+0.49%0.3647-2.75%0.0677✗1.2893k2022-05-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08210.082498+0.48%0.0866+5.48%0.0069✓1.523.6M2022-05-14
XYMSymbolnative0.06990.07021+0.44%0.0697-0.29%0.0276✗0.74568k2022-05-14
TRXTRONTron0.07420.074524+0.44%0.07236-2.48%0.0519✗0.821.1M2022-05-14
UNIUniswapEthereum5.135.1522+0.43%5.17+0.78%0.0294✗1.203.9M2022-05-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2060.206796+0.39%0.228+10.68%0.0576✓1.474.1M2022-05-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.391.395+0.36%1.31-5.76%0.1035✗1.494.1M2022-05-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.4520.5198+0.34%22.4+9.54%0.0490✓1.423.8M2022-05-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.670.672001+0.30%0.635-5.22%0.0969✗1.4720k2022-05-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.28280.28357+0.27%0.2864+1.27%0.0031✗0.48458k2022-05-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.88482.8917+0.24%2.7326-5.28%0.1016✗1.657.0M2022-05-14
PROPropyEthereum1.191.1923+0.20%1.11-6.72%0.0909✗0.71495k2022-05-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.000120.000094933-20.89%0.00046+283.33%1.5080✗2.567.8M2022-05-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.