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2022-05-11 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 167 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0747
167 of 167 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+32.71%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
10.8%
in alpha space · 10.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.10%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (167 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.373340.37765+1.15%0.36057-3.42%0.0450✗1.26151k2022-05-12
AAVEAaveEthereum82.2883.2059+1.13%76.75-6.72%0.0792✗1.498.6M2022-05-12
GTGateEthereum4.97855.0343+1.12%5.3674+7.81%0.0646✓0.544.7M2022-05-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.497160.502482+1.07%0.44316-10.86%0.1241✗1.4193k2022-05-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum28,313.9028,615.70+1.07%29,197.00+3.12%0.0211✓0.9840k2022-05-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.834.8802+1.04%4.63-4.14%0.0512✗1.35666k2022-05-12
ZECZcashZcash83.0983.9532+1.04%86.4+3.98%0.0300✓1.245.1M2022-05-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.0011.0114+1.04%0.896-10.49%0.1197✗1.3317.4M2022-05-12
CTKShentuOsmosis0.80.808278+1.03%0.8+0.00%0.0091✓1.113.3M2022-05-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22190.224193+1.03%0.1911-13.88%0.1585✗1.20316k2022-05-12
XMRMoneroMonero140.01141.4462+1.03%137.43-1.84%0.0277✗1.033.0M2022-05-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin28,972.3429,268.72+1.02%28,941.95-0.10%0.0102✗1.00634.5M2022-05-12
ETHEthereumEthereum2,075.932,097.10+1.02%1,954.39-5.85%0.0694✗1.03464.2M2022-05-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004570.004616+1.02%0.00359-21.44%0.2502✗1.181.7M2022-05-12
DIADIAEthereum0.350.353526+1.01%0.32121-8.23%0.0951✗0.7670k2022-05-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0140.014139+0.99%0.0163+16.43%0.1446✓2.2523.0M2022-05-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7851.8025+0.98%1.729-3.14%0.0399✗1.6584k2022-05-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.765610.773099+0.98%0.70895-7.40%0.0851✗1.44805k2022-05-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.51452.5389+0.97%2.3863-5.10%0.0607✗1.24188k2022-05-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0011.0107+0.97%0.807-19.38%0.2239✗1.10574k2022-05-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.741.7568+0.97%1.59-8.62%0.0980✗1.69371k2022-05-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.010580.010682+0.97%0.012+13.42%0.1174✓1.023.2M2022-05-12
HIVEHivenative0.47720.481784+0.96%0.4037-15.40%0.1755✗1.221.5M2022-05-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10560.106611+0.96%0.0785-25.66%0.3042✗1.82787k2022-05-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12570.126899+0.95%0.1345+7.00%0.0598✓1.586.2M2022-05-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7510.8521+0.95%9.62-10.51%0.1191✗1.3419.8M2022-05-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.8513.9813+0.95%11.58-16.39%0.1875✗0.90483k2022-05-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.0650.065614+0.94%0.0682+4.92%0.0404✓1.65204k2022-05-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0847740.085568+0.94%0.082269-2.96%0.0382✗1.117.1M2022-05-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.45250.456716+0.93%0.4222-6.70%0.0773✗1.1912.6M2022-05-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15170.153111+0.93%0.1337-11.87%0.1340✗1.506.8M2022-05-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.3392.3608+0.93%2.172-7.14%0.0816✗1.7022k2022-05-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.489.568+0.93%8.59-9.39%0.1062✗1.574.5M2022-05-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.463.4919+0.92%3.26-5.78%0.0680✗0.72788k2022-05-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4972.52+0.92%2.486-0.44%0.0118✗1.677.7M2022-05-12
ADACardanoCardano0.51610.520843+0.92%0.4724-8.47%0.0963✗1.2842.0M2022-05-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.936.9936+0.92%6.56-5.34%0.0626✗1.3119.6M2022-05-12
DODODODOEthereum0.1660.167506+0.91%0.135-18.67%0.2142✗1.454.7M2022-05-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.049180.049625+0.90%0.04348-11.59%0.1312✗0.9726k2022-05-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.1430.14429+0.90%0.1302-8.95%0.1013✗1.38372k2022-05-12
XEMNEMnative0.0490.049441+0.90%0.0411-16.12%0.1835✗1.2184k2022-05-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana4.614.6514+0.90%4.29-6.94%0.0800✗0.801.2M2022-05-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.1070.107959+0.90%0.0968-9.53%0.1077✗1.351.2M2022-05-12
ZENHorizenBase19.6419.8153+0.89%19.04-3.05%0.0383✗1.53173k2022-05-12
BANDBandEthereum1.8091.8251+0.89%1.514-16.31%0.1854✗1.41537k2022-05-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068180.068787+0.89%0.05891-13.60%0.1539✗1.0418k2022-05-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29740.300043+0.89%0.2948-0.87%0.0163✗1.238.5M2022-05-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.01891.0279+0.89%0.989391-2.89%0.0371✗1.0496k2022-05-12
KCSKuCoinnative11.3911.4906+0.88%10.951-3.85%0.0471✗0.924.1M2022-05-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.8472.8719+0.87%2.483-12.79%0.1438✗1.662.2M2022-05-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09240.093198+0.86%0.0863-6.60%0.0760✗0.85169k2022-05-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.990.998549+0.86%0.95-4.04%0.0484✗1.38755k2022-05-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.1771.1871+0.86%1.057-10.20%0.1150✗1.044.3M2022-05-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003670.003701+0.85%0.00359-2.18%0.0295✗0.9320k2022-05-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.6232.6451+0.84%2.677+2.06%0.0130✓1.001.4M2022-05-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.82191.8372+0.84%1.4271-21.67%0.2509✗1.578.0M2022-05-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.38620.38943+0.84%0.334376-13.42%0.1510✗1.326.1M2022-05-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.4281.4399+0.84%1.23-13.87%0.1566✗0.93858k2022-05-12
SGBSongbirdnative0.03920.039527+0.83%0.0294-25.00%0.2954✗0.53138k2022-05-12
XVSVenusEthereum3.683.7107+0.83%3.62-1.63%0.0232✗1.422.9M2022-05-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.2614.3787+0.83%14.06-1.40%0.0210✗1.32766k2022-05-12
SOLSolanaSolana50.8251.2397+0.83%44.65-12.14%0.1362✗1.3987.4M2022-05-12
QNTQuantEthereum64.164.6293+0.83%73.37+14.46%0.1279✓1.043.5M2022-05-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4150.418419+0.82%0.3939-5.08%0.0588✗1.47299k2022-05-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011950.000012048+0.82%0.00001081-9.54%0.1071✗1.311.3M2022-05-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1750.176439+0.82%0.1695-3.14%0.0386✗1.45634k2022-05-12
FTTFTXEthereum29.9430.1861+0.82%29.67-0.90%0.0162✗0.9612.7M2022-05-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.11380.114734+0.82%0.0997-12.39%0.1388✗1.561.8M2022-05-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3180.320599+0.82%0.309-2.83%0.0358✗1.011.1M2022-05-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.051.0586+0.82%0.73-30.48%0.3708✗0.75221k2022-05-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.8972.9206+0.82%2.683-7.39%0.0838✗1.0481k2022-05-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.282.2986+0.82%2.16-5.26%0.0611✗1.04557k2022-05-12
KSMKusamaHydration72.9273.515+0.82%68.74-5.73%0.0659✗1.231.1M2022-05-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.378340.381421+0.81%0.32972-12.85%0.1441✗1.501.4M2022-05-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017720.017864+0.81%0.01505-15.07%0.1707✗0.67400k2022-05-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8560.862949+0.81%0.775-9.46%0.1059✗1.548.3M2022-05-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009480.009557+0.81%0.00889-6.22%0.0706✗1.6545.0M2022-05-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.307170.30965+0.81%0.28864-6.03%0.0686✗1.5642k2022-05-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1190.11996+0.81%0.108-9.24%0.1041✗0.9019k2022-05-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03140.031652+0.80%0.0302-3.82%0.0455✗1.36179k2022-05-12
XTZTezosTezos1.77761.7918+0.80%1.6845-5.24%0.0605✗1.24866k2022-05-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.4962.516+0.80%2.184-12.50%0.1399✗1.51197k2022-05-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.427.4791+0.80%7.22-2.70%0.0338✗1.418.0M2022-05-12
GMTGMTEthereum1.3171.3275+0.79%1.161-11.85%0.1329✗1.009.7M2022-05-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.18291.1923+0.79%1.0557-10.75%0.1206✗1.052.5M2022-05-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11880.119739+0.79%0.107-9.93%0.1108✗1.61108k2022-05-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22580.227582+0.79%0.2135-5.45%0.0626✗1.24486k2022-05-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.255.2914+0.79%5.13-2.29%0.0307✗0.27284k2022-05-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative19.9120.0667+0.79%18.89-5.12%0.0591✗1.254.4M2022-05-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.620.624874+0.79%0.579-6.61%0.0747✗1.46344k2022-05-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0091720.009244+0.78%0.007887-14.01%0.1576✗1.0336k2022-05-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.474668+0.78%0.405-14.01%0.1572✗1.45869k2022-05-12
XECeCashnative0.00003640.000036683+0.78%0.00003173-12.83%0.1436✗1.366.7M2022-05-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2231.2325+0.78%1.133-7.36%0.0824✗1.69582k2022-05-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.820.826351+0.77%0.72-12.20%0.1362✗1.52892k2022-05-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1257370.126711+0.77%0.120434-4.22%0.0497✗1.0613.8M2022-05-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.252.2673+0.77%2.19-2.67%0.0337✗0.96429k2022-05-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche31.131.3396+0.77%30.19-2.93%0.0359✗1.4545.0M2022-05-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.274.3029+0.77%4.09-4.22%0.0498✗0.852.8M2022-05-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11570.11659+0.77%0.1008-12.88%0.1444✗1.111.1M2022-05-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6531.6657+0.77%1.548-6.35%0.0712✗1.961.0M2022-05-12
BTTCBTTC0.000001210.000001219+0.77%0.00000104-14.05%0.1582✗0.797.7M2022-05-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.0560.056429+0.77%0.052-7.14%0.0806✗1.12416k2022-05-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009360.009431+0.76%0.00786-16.03%0.1811✗1.091.0M2022-05-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.919.9855+0.76%8.25-16.75%0.1894✗1.46134k2022-05-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04120.041514+0.76%0.0389-5.58%0.0638✗1.151.9M2022-05-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009730.009804+0.76%0.0108+11.00%0.0976✓0.81238k2022-05-12
CBKCobakEthereum1.0681.0761+0.76%0.949-11.14%0.1246✗0.9725k2022-05-12
NEXONEXOEthereum1.4061.4166+0.75%1.231-12.45%0.1394✗1.005.3M2022-05-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033190.03344+0.75%0.03169-4.52%0.0523✗1.3494k2022-05-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0120560.012146+0.75%0.010713-11.14%0.1248✗0.76198k2022-05-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.853.1902+0.74%49.62-6.02%0.0685✗0.962.0M2022-05-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin66.3166.7993+0.74%64.26-3.09%0.0375✗1.1517.5M2022-05-12
DASHDashDash58.0658.4883+0.74%53.75-7.42%0.0832✗1.181.0M2022-05-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana2.862.881+0.73%2.6-9.09%0.1016✗0.93829k2022-05-12
RADRadworksEthereum1.841.8535+0.73%1.67-9.24%0.1032✗1.01392k2022-05-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.5021.513+0.73%1.304-13.18%0.1471✗1.445.3M2022-05-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.18850.18988+0.73%0.1765-6.37%0.0720✗1.022,9402022-05-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.3651.375+0.73%1.264-7.40%0.0831✗1.02748k2022-05-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.44861.4591+0.73%1.2954-10.58%0.1178✗1.1810.0M2022-05-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02090.021052+0.72%0.02133+2.06%0.0142✓1.04227k2022-05-12
XVGVergenative0.004360.004391+0.72%0.00413-5.28%0.0600✗1.34885k2022-05-12
QTUMQtumQtum4.00984.0387+0.72%3.628-9.52%0.1060✗1.21134k2022-05-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0570.05741+0.72%0.065+14.04%0.1253✓1.03115k2022-05-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,348.9911,430.51+0.72%9,878.00-12.96%0.1447✗1.172.6M2022-05-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.6371.6487+0.72%1.457-11.00%0.1221✗1.422.6M2022-05-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.411.4201+0.72%1.35-4.26%0.0495✗1.08134k2022-05-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.5871.5983+0.71%1.421-10.46%0.1168✗0.701.9M2022-05-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.2990.301103+0.70%0.243-18.73%0.2126✗1.721.7M2022-05-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.80e-75.84e-7+0.70%4.63e-7-20.13%0.2311✗0.531.4M2022-05-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.024130.024297+0.69%0.02176-9.82%0.1092✗0.9930k2022-05-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.70251.7142+0.69%1.6077-5.57%0.0635✗0.6316k2022-05-12
COMPCompoundEthereum70.9771.457+0.69%60.88-14.22%0.1588✗1.3638k2022-05-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5740.577932+0.68%0.537-6.45%0.0722✗1.2050k2022-05-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07820.078732+0.68%0.0648-17.14%0.1928✗1.89216k2022-05-12
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7155.7536+0.68%7.785+36.22%0.3051✓2.6179.5M2022-05-12
NANOnanopayBase1.08021.0875+0.68%0.997494-7.66%0.0851✗1.25161k2022-05-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.190.19128+0.67%0.17236-9.28%0.1025✗1.61250k2022-05-12
STEEMSteemnative0.19560.196905+0.67%0.1771-9.46%0.1050✗1.002.4M2022-05-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.59630.600229+0.66%0.5935-0.47%0.0098✗1.406.1M2022-05-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0141560.014249+0.65%0.01502+6.10%0.0539✓1.114.3M2022-05-12
STXStacksnative0.580.583732+0.64%0.5-13.79%0.1537✗1.10260k2022-05-12
MOVRMoonriverBase21.439221.5764+0.64%21.3123-0.59%0.0108✗1.46195k2022-05-12
XYMSymbolnative0.06810.068534+0.64%0.0664-2.50%0.0309✗0.74619k2022-05-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.21330.21466+0.64%0.2085-2.25%0.0277✗1.35184k2022-05-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.910.915748+0.63%0.82-9.89%0.1095✗0.93142k2022-05-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.352.3648+0.63%2.15-8.51%0.0934✗1.74357k2022-05-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4860.489005+0.62%0.381-21.60%0.2480✗1.491.7M2022-05-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.042950.043212+0.61%0.03867-9.97%0.1101✗0.959,2282022-05-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.310.311868+0.60%0.28999-6.45%0.0710✗1.61383k2022-05-12
SCSiacoinnative0.004350.004376+0.59%0.00425-2.30%0.0277✗1.43403k2022-05-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.0780.078457+0.59%0.0653-16.28%0.1825✗1.004.2M2022-05-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001250.001257+0.57%0.00121-3.20%0.0366✗1.493.9M2022-05-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.059.1007+0.56%8.68-4.09%0.0460✗1.2711.8M2022-05-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08330.083766+0.56%0.0773-7.20%0.0787✗1.513.7M2022-05-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.588.6277+0.56%8.1-5.59%0.0618✗1.267.4M2022-05-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.39390.396084+0.55%0.3429-12.95%0.1428✗1.2997k2022-05-12
UNIUniswapEthereum4.894.9155+0.52%4.65-4.91%0.0543✗1.204.1M2022-05-12
TRXTRONTron0.0741460.074525+0.51%0.066988-9.65%0.1058✗0.82553k2022-05-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash193.96194.9491+0.51%193.69-0.14%0.0053✗1.135.2M2022-05-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1970.197938+0.48%0.189-4.06%0.0447✗1.474.1M2022-05-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.321.3261+0.47%1.13-14.39%0.1585✗1.474.1M2022-05-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.540.542353+0.44%0.583+7.96%0.0738✓1.4528k2022-05-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.219.282+0.43%19.31+0.57%0.0029✓1.413.8M2022-05-12
PROPropyEthereum1.071.0745+0.42%0.88-17.76%0.1989✗0.70528k2022-05-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.30650.307413+0.30%0.2835-7.50%0.0805✗0.48514k2022-05-12
LUNATerraTerra 21.060.840938-20.67%0.0087-99.18%4.5679✓3.187.5M2022-05-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.