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2022-05-11 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0444
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+33.54%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
11.4%
in alpha space · 10.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.10%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 21.060.840804-20.68%0.0087-99.18%4.5677✓3.187.5M2022-05-12
TRXTRONTron0.0741460.073718-0.58%0.066988-9.65%0.0949✓0.82553k2022-05-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum28,313.9028,285.20-0.10%29,197.00+3.12%0.0328✗0.9840k2022-05-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.255.2471-0.05%5.13-2.29%0.0223✓0.27284k2022-05-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0011.0014+0.04%0.807-19.38%0.2147✗1.10574k2022-05-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.70251.7057+0.19%1.6077-5.57%0.0585✗0.6316k2022-05-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin28,972.3429,028.51+0.19%28,941.95-0.10%0.0019✗1.00634.5M2022-05-12
FTTFTXEthereum29.9430.0029+0.21%29.67-0.90%0.0102✗0.9612.7M2022-05-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.489.5028+0.24%8.59-9.39%0.0993✗1.574.5M2022-05-12
QTUMQtumQtum4.00984.0206+0.27%3.628-9.52%0.1015✗1.21134k2022-05-12
ETHEthereumEthereum2,075.932,082.25+0.30%1,954.39-5.85%0.0623✗1.03464.2M2022-05-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.80e-75.82e-7+0.35%4.63e-7-20.13%0.2276✗0.531.4M2022-05-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.45250.454084+0.35%0.4222-6.70%0.0716✗1.1912.6M2022-05-12
XEMNEMnative0.0490.049189+0.38%0.0411-16.12%0.1784✗1.2184k2022-05-12
NEXONEXOEthereum1.4061.4115+0.39%1.231-12.45%0.1358✗1.005.3M2022-05-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1257370.126233+0.39%0.120434-4.22%0.0459✗1.0613.8M2022-05-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0847740.085111+0.40%0.082269-2.96%0.0328✗1.117.1M2022-05-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.411.4157+0.41%1.35-4.26%0.0464✗1.08134k2022-05-12
CTKShentuOsmosis0.80.803312+0.41%0.8+0.00%0.0030✓1.113.3M2022-05-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.8972.9103+0.46%2.683-7.39%0.0802✗1.0481k2022-05-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09240.092824+0.46%0.0863-6.60%0.0720✗0.85169k2022-05-12
GTGateEthereum4.97855.0016+0.46%5.3674+7.81%0.0712✓0.544.7M2022-05-12
ZENHorizenBase19.6419.7314+0.47%19.04-3.05%0.0341✗1.53173k2022-05-12
ADACardanoCardano0.51610.518512+0.47%0.4724-8.47%0.0918✗1.2842.0M2022-05-12
QNTQuantEthereum64.164.3997+0.47%73.37+14.46%0.1315✓1.043.5M2022-05-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.2614.3268+0.47%14.06-1.40%0.0174✗1.32766k2022-05-12
XTZTezosTezos1.77761.786+0.47%1.6845-5.24%0.0572✗1.24866k2022-05-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.919.9581+0.49%8.25-16.75%0.1866✗1.46134k2022-05-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017720.017806+0.49%0.01505-15.07%0.1675✗0.67400k2022-05-12
BTTCBTTC0.000001210.000001216+0.50%0.00000104-14.05%0.1555✗0.797.7M2022-05-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.8513.9205+0.51%11.58-16.39%0.1831✗0.90483k2022-05-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.373340.375335+0.53%0.36057-3.42%0.0388✗1.26151k2022-05-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.30650.308139+0.53%0.2835-7.50%0.0828✗0.48514k2022-05-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0091720.009221+0.54%0.007887-14.01%0.1552✗1.0336k2022-05-12
ZECZcashZcash83.0983.5389+0.54%86.4+3.98%0.0350✓1.245.1M2022-05-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.463.479+0.55%3.26-5.78%0.0643✗0.72788k2022-05-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.5021.5104+0.56%1.304-13.18%0.1455✗1.445.3M2022-05-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin66.3166.697+0.58%64.26-3.09%0.0360✗1.1517.5M2022-05-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068180.068578+0.58%0.05891-13.60%0.1509✗1.0418k2022-05-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.620.623661+0.59%0.579-6.61%0.0728✗1.46344k2022-05-12
KCSKuCoinnative11.3911.4587+0.60%10.951-3.85%0.0444✗0.924.1M2022-05-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative19.9120.0314+0.61%18.89-5.12%0.0574✗1.254.4M2022-05-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.59630.600022+0.62%0.5935-0.47%0.0095✗1.406.1M2022-05-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0120560.012132+0.63%0.010713-11.14%0.1236✗0.76198k2022-05-12
XYMSymbolnative0.06810.068533+0.64%0.0664-2.50%0.0308✗0.74619k2022-05-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.042950.043225+0.64%0.03867-9.97%0.1104✗0.959,2282022-05-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.8472.8656+0.65%2.483-12.79%0.1416✗1.662.2M2022-05-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29740.299412+0.68%0.2948-0.87%0.0142✗1.238.5M2022-05-12
PROPropyEthereum1.071.0773+0.68%0.88-17.76%0.2015✗0.70528k2022-05-12
HIVEHivenative0.47720.480483+0.69%0.4037-15.40%0.1728✗1.221.5M2022-05-12
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7155.7553+0.70%7.785+36.22%0.3048✓2.6179.5M2022-05-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.049180.049531+0.71%0.04348-11.59%0.1293✗0.9726k2022-05-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.936.9798+0.72%6.56-5.34%0.0607✗1.3119.6M2022-05-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7510.8275+0.72%9.62-10.51%0.1168✗1.3419.8M2022-05-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.18850.18987+0.73%0.1765-6.37%0.0719✗1.022,9402022-05-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.51452.533+0.74%2.3863-5.10%0.0584✗1.24188k2022-05-12
BANDBandEthereum1.8091.8225+0.75%1.514-16.31%0.1840✗1.41537k2022-05-12
SCSiacoinnative0.004350.004383+0.75%0.00425-2.30%0.0292✗1.43403k2022-05-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5740.578292+0.75%0.537-6.45%0.0728✗1.2050k2022-05-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.01891.0266+0.75%0.989391-2.89%0.0358✗1.0496k2022-05-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.765610.771464+0.76%0.70895-7.40%0.0830✗1.44805k2022-05-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,348.9911,435.86+0.77%9,878.00-12.96%0.1452✗1.172.6M2022-05-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04120.041517+0.77%0.0389-5.58%0.0639✗1.151.9M2022-05-12
XMRMoneroMonero140.01141.0977+0.78%137.43-1.84%0.0253✗1.033.0M2022-05-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004570.004606+0.78%0.00359-21.44%0.2479✗1.181.7M2022-05-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12570.126682+0.78%0.1345+7.00%0.0615✓1.586.2M2022-05-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.252.2676+0.78%2.19-2.67%0.0338✗0.96429k2022-05-12
DASHDashDash58.0658.5151+0.78%53.75-7.42%0.0837✗1.181.0M2022-05-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash193.96195.4807+0.78%193.69-0.14%0.0080✗1.135.2M2022-05-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1750.176389+0.79%0.1695-3.14%0.0383✗1.45634k2022-05-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02090.021066+0.80%0.02133+2.06%0.0135✓1.04227k2022-05-12
KSMKusamaHydration72.9273.5018+0.80%68.74-5.73%0.0657✗1.231.1M2022-05-12
STXStacksnative0.580.584669+0.80%0.5-13.79%0.1553✗1.10260k2022-05-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009730.009808+0.81%0.0108+11.00%0.0972✓0.81238k2022-05-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033190.033459+0.81%0.03169-4.52%0.0529✗1.3494k2022-05-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.2990.301448+0.82%0.243-18.73%0.2137✗1.721.7M2022-05-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0141560.014273+0.83%0.01502+6.10%0.0521✓1.114.3M2022-05-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.059.1256+0.84%8.68-4.09%0.0487✗1.2711.8M2022-05-12
COMPCompoundEthereum70.9771.563+0.84%60.88-14.22%0.1602✗1.3638k2022-05-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07820.078863+0.85%0.0648-17.14%0.1944✗1.89216k2022-05-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11570.116683+0.85%0.1008-12.88%0.1452✗1.111.1M2022-05-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009360.00944+0.85%0.00786-16.03%0.1820✗1.091.0M2022-05-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.588.6531+0.85%8.1-5.59%0.0647✗1.267.4M2022-05-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.010580.01067+0.85%0.012+13.42%0.1185✓1.023.2M2022-05-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0570.057491+0.86%0.065+14.04%0.1238✓1.03115k2022-05-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.4962.5175+0.86%2.184-12.50%0.1405✗1.51197k2022-05-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.910.917846+0.86%0.82-9.89%0.1117✗0.93142k2022-05-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7851.8004+0.86%1.729-3.14%0.0387✗1.6584k2022-05-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.3392.3592+0.86%2.172-7.14%0.0809✗1.7022k2022-05-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.38620.389545+0.87%0.334376-13.42%0.1513✗1.326.1M2022-05-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana2.862.8848+0.87%2.6-9.09%0.1030✗0.93829k2022-05-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.321.3316+0.88%1.13-14.39%0.1627✗1.474.1M2022-05-12
XVSVenusEthereum3.683.7127+0.89%3.62-1.63%0.0238✗1.422.9M2022-05-12
UNIUniswapEthereum4.894.9335+0.89%4.65-4.91%0.0579✗1.204.1M2022-05-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.497160.501602+0.89%0.44316-10.86%0.1224✗1.4193k2022-05-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.378340.381731+0.90%0.32972-12.85%0.1449✗1.501.4M2022-05-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.0011.01+0.90%0.896-10.49%0.1184✗1.3317.4M2022-05-12
SOLSolanaSolana50.8251.2789+0.90%44.65-12.14%0.1370✗1.3987.4M2022-05-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1190.120075+0.90%0.108-9.24%0.1050✗0.9019k2022-05-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.44861.4618+0.91%1.2954-10.58%0.1196✗1.1810.0M2022-05-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.5871.6014+0.91%1.421-10.46%0.1188✗0.701.9M2022-05-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03140.031685+0.91%0.0302-3.82%0.0466✗1.36179k2022-05-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8560.863786+0.91%0.775-9.46%0.1068✗1.548.3M2022-05-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.6232.6469+0.91%2.677+2.06%0.0124✓1.001.4M2022-05-12
NANOnanopayBase1.08021.0901+0.91%0.997494-7.66%0.0875✗1.25161k2022-05-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.427.4883+0.92%7.22-2.70%0.0350✗1.418.0M2022-05-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.1771.1878+0.92%1.057-10.20%0.1156✗1.044.3M2022-05-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.219.3772+0.92%19.31+0.57%0.0020✓1.413.8M2022-05-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11880.119898+0.92%0.107-9.93%0.1121✗1.61108k2022-05-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.853.2887+0.93%49.62-6.02%0.0703✗0.962.0M2022-05-12
STEEMSteemnative0.19560.197411+0.93%0.1771-9.46%0.1075✗1.002.4M2022-05-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.190.191786+0.94%0.17236-9.28%0.1051✗1.61250k2022-05-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.21330.21531+0.94%0.2085-2.25%0.0307✗1.35184k2022-05-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22580.227933+0.94%0.2135-5.45%0.0641✗1.24486k2022-05-12
MOVRMoonriverBase21.439221.6439+0.95%21.3123-0.59%0.0139✗1.46195k2022-05-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.820.827835+0.96%0.72-12.20%0.1380✗1.52892k2022-05-12
GMTGMTEthereum1.3171.3296+0.96%1.161-11.85%0.1346✗1.009.7M2022-05-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4860.490698+0.97%0.381-21.60%0.2515✗1.491.7M2022-05-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08330.084107+0.97%0.0773-7.20%0.0828✗1.513.7M2022-05-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2231.2349+0.98%1.133-7.36%0.0844✗1.69582k2022-05-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.1070.108047+0.98%0.0968-9.53%0.1085✗1.351.2M2022-05-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.11380.114933+1.00%0.0997-12.39%0.1405✗1.561.8M2022-05-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22190.224118+1.00%0.1911-13.88%0.1581✗1.20316k2022-05-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.0780.078784+1.01%0.0653-16.28%0.1867✗1.004.2M2022-05-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009480.009575+1.01%0.00889-6.22%0.0725✗1.6545.0M2022-05-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.024130.024373+1.01%0.02176-9.82%0.1124✗0.9930k2022-05-12
CBKCobakEthereum1.0681.0788+1.01%0.949-11.14%0.1272✗0.9725k2022-05-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011950.000012072+1.02%0.00001081-9.54%0.1090✗1.311.3M2022-05-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.282.3032+1.02%2.16-5.26%0.0631✗1.04557k2022-05-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.4281.4425+1.02%1.23-13.87%0.1584✗0.93858k2022-05-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche31.131.4171+1.02%30.19-2.93%0.0383✗1.4545.0M2022-05-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.1430.144463+1.02%0.1302-8.95%0.1025✗1.38372k2022-05-12
DIADIAEthereum0.350.353587+1.02%0.32121-8.23%0.0952✗0.7670k2022-05-12
DODODODOEthereum0.1660.167711+1.03%0.135-18.67%0.2154✗1.454.7M2022-05-12
XVGVergenative0.004360.004405+1.03%0.00413-5.28%0.0630✗1.34885k2022-05-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.6371.6539+1.03%1.457-11.00%0.1253✗1.422.6M2022-05-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.0560.056579+1.03%0.052-7.14%0.0832✗1.12416k2022-05-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4150.419305+1.04%0.3939-5.08%0.0610✗1.47299k2022-05-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.051.0609+1.04%0.73-30.48%0.3730✗0.75221k2022-05-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.39390.398011+1.04%0.3429-12.95%0.1477✗1.2997k2022-05-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10560.106702+1.04%0.0785-25.66%0.3050✗1.82787k2022-05-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1970.199071+1.05%0.189-4.06%0.0504✗1.474.1M2022-05-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.0650.065687+1.06%0.0682+4.92%0.0393✓1.65204k2022-05-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.3651.3796+1.07%1.264-7.40%0.0865✗1.02748k2022-05-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.741.7587+1.08%1.59-8.62%0.0991✗1.69371k2022-05-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana4.614.6599+1.08%4.29-6.94%0.0819✗0.801.2M2022-05-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.47611+1.08%0.405-14.01%0.1602✗1.45869k2022-05-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.310.313367+1.09%0.28999-6.45%0.0758✗1.61383k2022-05-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003670.00371+1.09%0.00359-2.18%0.0319✗0.9320k2022-05-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.82191.8418+1.09%1.4271-21.67%0.2535✗1.578.0M2022-05-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.274.317+1.10%4.09-4.22%0.0531✗0.852.8M2022-05-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.352.3759+1.10%2.15-8.51%0.0981✗1.74357k2022-05-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6531.6712+1.10%1.548-6.35%0.0745✗1.961.0M2022-05-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15170.153399+1.12%0.1337-11.87%0.1359✗1.506.8M2022-05-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.991.0012+1.13%0.95-4.04%0.0510✗1.38755k2022-05-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.540.546097+1.13%0.583+7.96%0.0669✓1.4528k2022-05-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.307170.310662+1.14%0.28864-6.03%0.0719✗1.5642k2022-05-12
RADRadworksEthereum1.841.861+1.14%1.67-9.24%0.1073✗1.01392k2022-05-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0140.014162+1.16%0.0163+16.43%0.1430✓2.2523.0M2022-05-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3180.321689+1.16%0.309-2.83%0.0392✗1.011.1M2022-05-12
AAVEAaveEthereum82.2883.2348+1.16%76.75-6.72%0.0796✗1.498.6M2022-05-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.18291.197+1.19%1.0557-10.75%0.1245✗1.052.5M2022-05-12
XECeCashnative0.00003640.000036838+1.20%0.00003173-12.83%0.1478✗1.366.7M2022-05-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4972.5272+1.21%2.486-0.44%0.0147✗1.677.7M2022-05-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.834.893+1.30%4.63-4.14%0.0538✗1.35666k2022-05-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001250.001267+1.34%0.00121-3.20%0.0443✗1.493.9M2022-05-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.