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2022-05-10 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.4674
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-30.16%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
11.4%
in alpha space · 13.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.55%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 217.4117.5938+1.06%1.06-93.91%2.6894✗1.777.5M2022-05-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2793.3093+0.92%2.497-23.85%0.1736✗1.597.4M2022-05-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.421750.425462+0.88%0.30717-27.17%0.2367✗1.3244k2022-05-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8340.841306+0.88%0.54-35.25%0.3589✗1.2531k2022-05-11
AAVEAaveEthereum105.24106.0613+0.78%82.28-21.82%0.1581✗1.418.6M2022-05-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.002280.002297+0.76%0.00125-45.18%0.5255✗1.233.9M2022-05-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.876.9215+0.75%4.27-37.85%0.4411✗0.622.8M2022-05-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.10912.1245+0.73%1.1829-43.91%0.5325✗0.782.5M2022-05-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.98922.0036+0.72%1.4486-27.18%0.2529✗1.0610.0M2022-05-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.5992.6177+0.72%1.653-36.40%0.3463✗1.671.1M2022-05-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.49890.502385+0.70%0.3939-21.05%0.1608✗1.2297k2022-05-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.732.7487+0.69%1.84-32.60%0.3445✗0.84443k2022-05-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.005360.005397+0.68%0.00367-31.53%0.3344✗0.7620k2022-05-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.011250.011324+0.66%0.00973-13.51%0.1002✗0.76238k2022-05-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5068550.510185+0.66%0.3862-23.80%0.1959✗1.225.7M2022-05-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.7211.7323+0.66%1.223-28.94%0.2419✗1.57582k2022-05-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3811.39+0.65%1.001-27.52%0.2463✗1.2117.4M2022-05-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.473230.476219+0.63%0.37834-20.05%0.1325✗1.441.4M2022-05-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2960.297869+0.63%0.197-33.45%0.3259✗1.294.1M2022-05-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.897.9397+0.63%4.83-38.78%0.4206✗1.13666k2022-05-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.726.7609+0.61%4.61-31.40%0.3405✗0.631.2M2022-05-11
DIADIAEthereum0.510.513101+0.61%0.35-31.37%0.3426✗0.5970k2022-05-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.01562.0274+0.59%1.177-41.61%0.4902✗0.794.6M2022-05-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.30330.305079+0.59%0.2258-25.55%0.2244✗1.13486k2022-05-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.355.381+0.58%3.68-31.21%0.2936✗1.272.9M2022-05-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.520.522882+0.55%0.31-40.38%0.4283✗1.40383k2022-05-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.1342.1456+0.54%1.365-36.04%0.3973✗0.81748k2022-05-11
MOVRMoonriverBase28.352528.5036+0.53%21.4392-24.38%0.1914✗1.38195k2022-05-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.34223.3598+0.53%1.8219-45.49%0.5268✗1.267.7M2022-05-11
API3Api3Ethereum2.3682.3804+0.52%1.637-30.87%0.2897✗1.252.6M2022-05-11
MINAMina Protocolnative1.431.4374+0.52%0.99-30.77%0.2891✗1.24755k2022-05-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.18820.189173+0.52%0.143-24.02%0.1931✗1.28372k2022-05-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20540.206452+0.51%0.175-14.80%0.0687✗1.43634k2022-05-11
DODODODOEthereum0.2380.2392+0.50%0.166-30.25%0.2764✗1.314.7M2022-05-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche44.5444.7642+0.50%31.1-30.18%0.2761✗1.3045.0M2022-05-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06220.062512+0.50%0.0412-33.76%0.3514✗0.971.9M2022-05-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.30.301497+0.50%0.19-36.67%0.3645✗1.44250k2022-05-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.4760.478364+0.50%0.318-33.19%0.3523✗0.831.1M2022-05-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.30420.30569+0.49%0.2219-27.05%0.2478✗1.07316k2022-05-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.56680.569548+0.48%0.415-26.78%0.2246✗1.36299k2022-05-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1140.114551+0.48%0.0833-26.93%0.2247✗1.393.7M2022-05-11
XECeCashnative0.000058420.000058701+0.48%0.0000364-37.69%0.3996✗1.166.7M2022-05-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum24.2824.3955+0.48%19.2-20.92%0.1483✗1.353.8M2022-05-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.14210.142768+0.47%0.107-24.70%0.2036✗1.251.2M2022-05-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.10790.108401+0.46%0.065-39.76%0.4166✗1.40204k2022-05-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1550.155719+0.46%0.1188-23.35%0.1712✗1.47108k2022-05-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.413.4254+0.45%2.35-31.09%0.2679✗1.61357k2022-05-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.791.7981+0.45%1.32-26.26%0.2163✗1.374.0M2022-05-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.2182.228+0.45%1.428-35.62%0.3953✗0.73903k2022-05-11
ORCAOrcaSolana1.271.2757+0.45%0.91-28.35%0.2840✗0.80142k2022-05-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.013440.013499+0.44%0.01058-21.28%0.1804✗0.933.2M2022-05-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16740.168132+0.44%0.1257-24.91%0.1896✗1.496.2M2022-05-11
STXStacksnative0.680.682961+0.44%0.58-14.71%0.0917✗1.06260k2022-05-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.4552.4655+0.43%1.587-35.36%0.4070✗0.491.9M2022-05-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.15580.156448+0.42%0.1138-26.96%0.2199✗1.451.8M2022-05-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0270.027112+0.41%0.014-48.15%0.5265✗1.9923.0M2022-05-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000016140.000016207+0.41%0.00001195-25.96%0.2230✗1.211.2M2022-05-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0410.041169+0.41%0.0314-23.41%0.1872✗1.24179k2022-05-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7490.752078+0.41%0.486-35.11%0.3474✗1.321.7M2022-05-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.654390.657055+0.41%0.49716-24.03%0.1894✗1.3293k2022-05-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.1770.17772+0.41%0.1056-40.34%0.4103✗1.63902k2022-05-11
XVGVergenative0.00630.006326+0.41%0.00436-30.79%0.2919✗1.18885k2022-05-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.27340.274502+0.40%0.2133-21.98%0.1712✗1.20186k2022-05-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum2.842.8514+0.40%1.74-38.73%0.3929✗1.49371k2022-05-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.08230.082629+0.40%0.056-31.96%0.3240✗0.96416k2022-05-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.029420.029535+0.39%0.0209-28.96%0.2851✗0.90227k2022-05-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.151.1545+0.39%0.82-28.70%0.2475✗1.40892k2022-05-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.3911.3964+0.39%1.068-23.22%0.2094✗0.8725k2022-05-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.11150.111929+0.38%0.0782-29.87%0.2441✗1.69232k2022-05-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014710.014765+0.37%0.00948-35.55%0.3432✗1.4745.0M2022-05-11
SOLSolanaSolana66.8667.0996+0.36%50.82-23.99%0.1900✗1.3087.4M2022-05-11
KSMKusamaHydration93.0393.3628+0.36%72.92-21.62%0.1696✗1.141.1M2022-05-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1921.1962+0.35%0.856-28.19%0.2384✗1.428.3M2022-05-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.006020.006041+0.34%0.00457-24.09%0.2052✗1.091.7M2022-05-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.031090.031197+0.34%0.02413-22.39%0.1965✗0.8930k2022-05-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.3511.3887+0.34%9.05-20.26%0.1484✗1.2011.8M2022-05-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.541.5452+0.34%1.05-31.82%0.3480✗0.57221k2022-05-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin11.3611.3983+0.34%8.58-24.47%0.2057✗1.167.4M2022-05-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1294.1427+0.33%2.623-36.47%0.4031✗0.801.4M2022-05-11
APEApeCoinEthereum9.039.0592+0.32%5.715-36.71%0.3067✗2.2777.0M2022-05-11
BANDBandEthereum2.2432.2502+0.32%1.809-19.35%0.1271✗1.35537k2022-05-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1070.107344+0.32%0.057-46.73%0.5837✗0.73117k2022-05-11
XMRMoneroMonero163.04163.5589+0.32%140.01-14.13%0.0890✗0.983.0M2022-05-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.076.0893+0.32%4.89-19.44%0.1424✗1.144.1M2022-05-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.15340.153875+0.31%0.1157-24.58%0.2173✗1.001.1M2022-05-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.463.4707+0.31%2.28-34.10%0.3622✗0.86557k2022-05-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.064.0725+0.31%2.86-29.56%0.3007✗0.78829k2022-05-11
MANADecentralandEthereum1.11341.1168+0.31%0.76561-31.23%0.2899✗1.29805k2022-05-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum10.5710.6021+0.30%7.42-29.80%0.2708✗1.278.0M2022-05-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.5713.6112+0.30%10.75-20.78%0.1503✗1.2619.8M2022-05-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.7760.778324+0.30%0.574-26.03%0.2301✗1.1050k2022-05-11
NANOnanopayBase1.38521.3893+0.30%1.0802-22.01%0.1732✗1.16161k2022-05-11
ZECZcashZcash93.0893.3512+0.29%83.09-10.73%0.0336✗1.225.1M2022-05-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.33610.337073+0.29%0.3065-8.81%0.0639✗0.46514k2022-05-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011520.011553+0.29%0.00936-18.75%0.1415✗1.021.0M2022-05-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.5050.506431+0.28%0.299-40.79%0.4255✗1.501.7M2022-05-11
GMTGMTEthereum1.81.8051+0.28%1.317-26.83%0.2475✗1.009.5M2022-05-11
GITCOINGITCOIN3.43.4089+0.26%2.339-31.21%0.2704✗1.5720k2022-05-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.7570.758976+0.26%0.471-37.78%0.3915✗1.26869k2022-05-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.24580.246421+0.25%0.1517-38.28%0.3976✗1.296.8M2022-05-11
SCSiacoinnative0.006170.006185+0.24%0.00435-29.50%0.2637✗1.30382k2022-05-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.7913.7999+0.23%2.496-34.16%0.3318✗1.31190k2022-05-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.963.9691+0.23%3.46-12.63%0.0921✗0.67804k2022-05-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.588.5997+0.23%6.93-19.23%0.1311✗1.2519.6M2022-05-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash231.66232.1921+0.23%193.96-16.27%0.1073✗1.075.2M2022-05-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0191160.019158+0.22%0.014156-25.95%0.2347✗1.004.3M2022-05-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.39110.391927+0.21%0.2974-23.96%0.1988✗1.148.5M2022-05-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0147680.014797+0.20%0.012056-18.36%0.1583✗0.69198k2022-05-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.09693.103+0.20%2.5145-18.81%0.1308✗1.17188k2022-05-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.2663.3824+0.19%52.8-16.53%0.1217✗0.902.0M2022-05-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021370.021411+0.19%0.01772-17.08%0.1490✗0.59405k2022-05-11
HIVEHivenative0.59690.598041+0.19%0.4772-20.05%0.1482✗1.141.5M2022-05-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.8923.9352+0.19%19.91-16.66%0.1032✗1.204.4M2022-05-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.76030.761696+0.18%0.5963-21.57%0.1554✗1.326.1M2022-05-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum13,692.5513,716.84+0.18%11,348.99-17.12%0.1137✗1.122.6M2022-05-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.7332.7378+0.18%1.785-34.69%0.3272✗1.4884k2022-05-11
DASHDashDash73.3373.4583+0.18%58.06-20.82%0.1610✗1.101.0M2022-05-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum15.8815.9075+0.17%13.85-12.78%0.0806✗0.86473k2022-05-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.623.6261+0.17%2.25-37.85%0.4273✗0.74429k2022-05-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.8150.816357+0.17%0.62-23.93%0.1821✗1.37344k2022-05-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.046280.046357+0.17%0.03319-28.28%0.2522✗1.2187k2022-05-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.31281.3149+0.16%1.0189-22.39%0.1912✗0.9489k2022-05-11
COMPCompoundEthereum88.8188.9532+0.16%70.97-20.09%0.1380✗1.3037k2022-05-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05330.053378+0.15%0.04295-19.42%0.1584✗0.879,7632022-05-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.062880.062971+0.14%0.04918-21.79%0.1876✗0.8826k2022-05-11
KCSKuCoinnative13.91913.9388+0.14%11.39-18.17%0.1445✗0.854.1M2022-05-11
XTZTezosTezos2.11412.117+0.14%1.7776-15.92%0.0933✗1.20866k2022-05-11
QNTQuantEthereum72.3972.4783+0.12%64.1-11.45%0.0536✗1.023.5M2022-05-11
UMAUMAEthereum4.1944.1989+0.12%2.847-32.12%0.2863✗1.512.2M2022-05-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.467240.467691+0.10%0.37334-20.10%0.1449✗1.19144k2022-05-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum17.6817.694+0.08%14.26-19.34%0.1310✗1.25695k2022-05-11
GTGateEthereum5.83485.839+0.07%4.9785-14.68%0.1274✗0.474.7M2022-05-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.10220.102273+0.07%0.0924-9.59%0.0454✗0.83169k2022-05-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.280.280145+0.05%0.1885-32.68%0.3419✗0.802,9402022-05-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.5063.5078+0.05%2.897-17.37%0.1251✗0.9881k2022-05-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.12810.128165+0.05%0.078-39.11%0.4289✗1.004.0M2022-05-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin80.1280.1566+0.05%66.31-17.24%0.1155✗1.0917.5M2022-05-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.621.6206+0.04%1.41-12.96%0.0680✗1.05134k2022-05-11
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9090.909324+0.04%0.8-11.99%0.0545✗1.093.3M2022-05-11
STEEMSteemnative0.29290.293002+0.03%0.1956-33.22%0.3364✗1.002.7M2022-05-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1920.192062+0.03%0.119-38.02%0.4334✗0.6719k2022-05-11
ADACardanoCardano0.62830.628436+0.02%0.5161-17.86%0.1142✗1.2242.0M2022-05-11
ETHEthereumEthereum2,340.512,340.93+0.02%2,075.93-11.30%0.0516✗1.01464.2M2022-05-11
BTTCBTTC0.000001450.00000145+0.01%0.00000121-16.55%0.1318✗0.737.7M2022-05-11
PROPropyEthereum1.411.4099-0.01%1.07-24.11%0.2377✓0.56528k2022-05-11
ZENHorizenBase25.4125.4061-0.02%19.64-22.71%0.1592✓1.45173k2022-05-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0109120.010908-0.04%0.009172-15.95%0.1075✓0.9738k2022-05-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin31,002.3930,988.66-0.04%28,972.34-6.55%0.0004✗1.00634.5M2022-05-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.42455.4217-0.05%5.25-3.22%0.0134✓0.28284k2022-05-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.097640.097566-0.08%0.06818-30.17%0.2979✓0.8918k2022-05-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.0431.042-0.09%1.001-4.03%0.0363✗1.13574k2022-05-11
NEXONEXOEthereum1.7381.7362-0.10%1.406-19.10%0.1432✓1.005.2M2022-05-11
QTUMQtumQtum4.75214.7468-0.11%4.0098-15.62%0.0904✓1.16134k2022-05-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1483970.148232-0.11%0.125737-15.27%0.0959✓1.0113.8M2022-05-11
XEMNEMnative0.06080.060726-0.12%0.049-19.41%0.1372✓1.1469k2022-05-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.93751.935-0.13%1.7025-12.13%0.0876✓0.6015k2022-05-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1314.1103-0.14%9.48-32.91%0.3017✓1.423.5M2022-05-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1079150.107734-0.17%0.084774-21.44%0.1705✓1.027.1M2022-05-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum31,038.9030,985.22-0.17%28,313.90-8.78%0.0250✓0.9640k2022-05-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.9771.9736-0.17%1.502-24.03%0.1815✓1.355.3M2022-05-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.58480.583763-0.18%0.4525-22.62%0.1804✓1.1012.6M2022-05-11
XYMSymbolnative0.08130.081154-0.18%0.0681-16.24%0.1297✓0.67619k2022-05-11
FTTFTXEthereum33.0833.0138-0.20%29.94-9.49%0.0337✓0.9412.7M2022-05-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.18e-78.16e-7-0.25%5.80e-7-29.06%0.3174✓0.351.1M2022-05-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.414.355-0.31%9.91-31.18%0.2811✓1.32134k2022-05-11
TRXTRONTron0.0770550.076529-0.68%0.074146-3.78%0.0247✗0.83463k2022-05-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.