8=======>

2022-05-05 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 165 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1264
165 of 165 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.71%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
61.2%
in alpha space · 32.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.47%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (165 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.06753.089+0.70%3.0275-1.30%0.0058✓0.9710.2M2022-05-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03710.037356+0.69%0.037-0.27%0.0177✓1.8423.0M2022-05-06
AAVEAaveEthereum141.32142.2596+0.66%138.23-2.19%0.0088✗1.349.8M2022-05-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.798.8484+0.66%8.64-1.71%0.0166✗0.491.4M2022-05-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.22430.225788+0.66%0.2157-3.83%0.0197✗1.751.2M2022-05-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.2290.230496+0.65%0.2263-1.18%0.0035✓1.476.7M2022-05-06
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9991.0054+0.64%0.988-1.10%0.0011✓1.103.6M2022-05-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.007210.007256+0.63%0.00707-1.94%0.0168✗0.6127k2022-05-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.2923.3127+0.63%3.473+5.50%0.0691✓1.4779k2022-05-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.658.7037+0.62%8.23-4.86%0.0487✗0.492.5M2022-05-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum11.0811.1459+0.59%10.95-1.17%0.0022✓1.04963k2022-05-06
DODODODOEthereum0.2840.285651+0.58%0.288+1.41%0.0275✓1.305.1M2022-05-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.884.9081+0.58%4.85-0.61%0.0028✓0.61869k2022-05-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.13990.140693+0.57%0.1438+2.79%0.0415✓1.33180k2022-05-06
MANADecentralandEthereum1.46831.4765+0.56%1.449-1.32%0.0007✓1.22886k2022-05-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.587720.590969+0.55%0.57987-1.34%0.0025✓1.11130k2022-05-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.11813.1353+0.55%3.1873+2.22%0.0257✓0.635.4M2022-05-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.026210.026354+0.55%0.02463-6.03%0.0608✗0.46416k2022-05-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017220.017314+0.55%0.0172-0.12%0.0173✓1.6149.4M2022-05-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.96552.9816+0.54%2.9935+0.94%0.0138✓0.663.2M2022-05-06
XMRMoneroMonero206.75207.8583+0.54%218.44+5.65%0.0634✓0.933.3M2022-05-06
MINAMina Protocolnative1.791.7995+0.53%1.84+2.79%0.0397✓1.17987k2022-05-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.017840.017934+0.53%0.01796+0.67%0.0127✓0.763.5M2022-05-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.49820.500769+0.52%0.4936-0.92%0.0022✓1.128.1M2022-05-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.018610.018705+0.51%0.0182-2.20%0.0189✗0.57195k2022-05-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos17.8317.9204+0.51%17.66-0.95%0.0025✓1.1519.4M2022-05-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum10.9210.9753+0.51%10.79-1.19%0.0006✓1.1918.3M2022-05-06
GTGateEthereum6.33616.368+0.50%6.3496+0.21%0.0037✓0.454.5M2022-05-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00830.008342+0.50%0.00847+2.05%0.0327✓1.182.3M2022-05-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum36,624.3036,807.13+0.50%36,069.70-1.51%0.0059✗0.9625k2022-05-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.911.9189+0.46%1.838-3.77%0.0263✗1.1317.4M2022-05-06
ETHEthereumEthereum2,747.432,760.18+0.46%2,691.72-2.03%0.0103✗1.00438.2M2022-05-06
ZECZcashZcash125.68126.2609+0.46%123.65-1.62%0.0034✓1.185.5M2022-05-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4070.408852+0.46%0.3985-2.09%0.0116✗0.95305k2022-05-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.39430.396074+0.45%0.3622-8.14%0.0728✗1.12487k2022-05-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.74233.7589+0.44%3.6721-1.88%0.0070✗1.10177k2022-05-06
KSMKusamaHydration127.39127.9526+0.44%126.34-0.82%0.0039✓1.121.0M2022-05-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.30120.302527+0.44%0.2952-1.99%0.0058✗1.266.8M2022-05-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.4452.4556+0.44%2.327-4.83%0.0307✗1.56713k2022-05-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin36,537.2236,696.25+0.44%35,999.10-1.47%0.0043✓1.00553.2M2022-05-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.077340.077674+0.43%0.07601-1.72%0.0087✗0.8732k2022-05-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.481.4862+0.42%1.49+0.68%0.0228✓1.37951k2022-05-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9080.911831+0.42%0.913+0.55%0.0207✓1.311.1M2022-05-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.32820.329578+0.42%0.3397+3.50%0.0398✓0.654,4692022-05-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.13425.1557+0.42%5.3767+4.72%0.0467✓0.32262k2022-05-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.11520.115682+0.42%0.11235-2.47%0.0182✗0.7417k2022-05-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.2414.2995+0.42%14.23-0.07%0.0165✓1.44145k2022-05-06
HIVEHivenative0.76730.770506+0.42%0.7703+0.39%0.0155✓1.061.5M2022-05-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.76974.7896+0.42%4.6987-1.49%0.0025✓1.128.6M2022-05-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.974.9904+0.41%4.88-1.81%0.0116✗0.731.0M2022-05-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.14020.140774+0.41%0.1378-1.71%0.0081✓1.98266k2022-05-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche59.0259.2607+0.41%57-3.42%0.0209✗1.2144.2M2022-05-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0235240.023619+0.41%0.022419-4.70%0.0378✗0.974.3M2022-05-06
XVSVenusEthereum7.577.6002+0.40%7.55-0.26%0.0103✓1.142.9M2022-05-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000020290.000020371+0.40%0.00002004-1.23%0.0001✓1.111.4M2022-05-06
GITCOINGITCOIN4.5544.572+0.40%4.697+3.14%0.0494✓1.5119k2022-05-06
BANDBandEthereum2.9392.9504+0.39%2.926-0.44%0.0110✓1.30537k2022-05-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.855340.858653+0.39%0.85045-0.57%0.0089✓1.2588k2022-05-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.5354.5526+0.39%4.596+1.35%0.0320✓1.527.5M2022-05-06
DIADIAEthereum0.740.742861+0.39%0.71-4.05%0.0384✗0.4670k2022-05-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0119260.011972+0.38%0.012984+8.87%0.0946✓0.9142k2022-05-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.220.220833+0.38%0.218-0.91%0.0022✓0.7223k2022-05-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.6433.6568+0.38%3.599-1.21%0.0095✓1.711.4M2022-05-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5183.5313+0.38%3.467-1.45%0.0130✗0.362.4M2022-05-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum12.7112.757+0.37%12.47-1.89%0.0042✗1.258.7M2022-05-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.410.411514+0.37%0.39-4.88%0.0324✗1.43284k2022-05-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.071.0739+0.37%1.048-2.06%0.0049✗1.31358k2022-05-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.605130.607283+0.36%0.58446-3.42%0.0206✗1.1960k2022-05-06
XVGVergenative0.008030.008058+0.35%0.00805+0.25%0.0160✓1.15943k2022-05-06
SOLSolanaSolana84.5284.8127+0.35%81.66-3.38%0.0196✗1.2385.8M2022-05-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.710320.712745+0.34%0.66744-6.04%0.0459✗1.331.3M2022-05-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6390.641152+0.34%0.641+0.31%0.0213✓1.451.7M2022-05-06
QNTQuantEthereum91.8892.1868+0.33%90.26-1.76%0.0064✗1.003.4M2022-05-06
XTZTezosTezos2.48952.4976+0.33%2.5078+0.74%0.0207✓1.12855k2022-05-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.17580.17637+0.32%0.1731-1.54%0.0009✓1.201.4M2022-05-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.19410.194727+0.32%0.1955+0.72%0.0169✓0.871.2M2022-05-06
CBKCobakEthereum1.7881.7937+0.32%1.737-2.85%0.0203✗0.8024k2022-05-06
FIDABonfidaSolana1.0171.0203+0.32%0.978-3.83%0.0259✗1.1150k2022-05-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.194.2034+0.32%4.1-2.15%0.0136✗0.76690k2022-05-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8872.8962+0.32%2.825-2.15%0.0152✗0.651.2M2022-05-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.69721.7026+0.32%1.6868-0.62%0.0043✓0.9284k2022-05-06
XEMNEMnative0.08360.083863+0.32%0.0831-0.60%0.0054✓0.9869k2022-05-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.016760.016813+0.31%0.01629-2.80%0.0190✗0.85238k2022-05-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2034.2161+0.31%4.094-2.59%0.0141✗1.0373k2022-05-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.931.9359+0.30%1.93+0.00%0.0124✓1.04128k2022-05-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.5710.572723+0.30%0.57-0.18%0.0069✓0.791.4M2022-05-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.624.6339+0.30%4.54-1.73%0.0103✗0.68575k2022-05-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.0351.038+0.29%1.041+0.58%0.0212✓1.232.2M2022-05-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.3365.3516+0.29%5.217-2.23%0.0159✗0.651.4M2022-05-06
MOVRMoonriverBase38.470338.5822+0.29%37.037-3.73%0.0195✗1.44182k2022-05-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96530.968101+0.29%0.9191-4.79%0.0325✗1.316.6M2022-05-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19950.200076+0.29%0.1977-0.90%0.0084✓1.37114k2022-05-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.039240.039353+0.29%0.03834-2.29%0.0136✗0.84227k2022-05-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.014150.014191+0.29%0.01413-0.14%0.0091✓0.901.1M2022-05-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.2361.2395+0.28%1.241+0.40%0.0186✓1.1751k2022-05-06
SCSiacoinnative0.008040.008063+0.28%0.0079-1.74%0.0021✓1.23382k2022-05-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.25510.255816+0.28%0.2472-3.10%0.0165✗1.20391k2022-05-06
NANOnanopayBase1.63051.6351+0.28%1.6805+3.07%0.0443✓1.14149k2022-05-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05330.053449+0.28%0.0524-1.69%0.0019✓1.20179k2022-05-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV73.7973.9894+0.27%72.44-1.83%0.0085✗0.852.1M2022-05-06
UMAUMAEthereum5.1485.1619+0.27%5.467+6.20%0.0790✓1.461.6M2022-05-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.26920.26992+0.27%0.2681-0.41%0.0132✓1.34735k2022-05-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.8714.8837+0.26%4.894+0.47%0.0200✓1.21184k2022-05-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin13.9814.0163+0.26%13.87-0.79%0.0066✓1.157.5M2022-05-06
COMPCompoundEthereum104.67104.9402+0.26%103.5-1.12%0.0044✓1.2333k2022-05-06
XECeCashnative0.000072070.000072256+0.26%0.00007154-0.74%0.0054✓1.037.7M2022-05-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.060670.060826+0.26%0.05852-3.54%0.0222✗1.1177k2022-05-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8922.8993+0.25%2.757-4.67%0.0395✗0.73915k2022-05-06
ADACardanoCardano0.78840.790322+0.24%0.7831-0.67%0.0081✓1.1641.1M2022-05-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.12810.128412+0.24%0.127716-0.30%0.0087✓0.957.1M2022-05-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.720.721735+0.24%0.7-2.78%0.0117✗1.27426k2022-05-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum22.3122.3636+0.24%20.33-8.87%0.0842✗0.75412k2022-05-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12350.123791+0.24%0.1216-1.54%0.0055✗0.83156k2022-05-06
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5741.5777+0.23%1.507-4.26%0.0251✗1.408.3M2022-05-06
RADRadworksEthereum3.743.7485+0.23%3.58-4.28%0.0331✗0.87564k2022-05-06
KCSKuCoinnative17.2717.3091+0.23%16.943-1.89%0.0098✗0.784.3M2022-05-06
ZENHorizenBase30.9831.0478+0.22%36.39+17.46%0.1790✓1.36173k2022-05-06
SUSHISushiEthereum2.282.2849+0.22%2.25-1.32%0.0046✓1.353.6M2022-05-06
SGBSongbirdnative0.05560.05571+0.20%0.0555-0.18%0.0019✓0.39138k2022-05-06
API3Api3Ethereum3.2583.2643+0.19%3.284+0.80%0.0221✓1.083.0M2022-05-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.19290.193272+0.19%0.1913-0.83%0.0105✓1.402.1M2022-05-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.67220.673444+0.19%0.6455-3.97%0.0241✗1.23105k2022-05-06
QTUMQtumQtum5.48595.4961+0.18%5.4476-0.70%0.0084✓1.1698k2022-05-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06430.064418+0.18%0.06291-2.16%0.0112✗0.8412k2022-05-06
STXStacksnative0.890.891617+0.18%0.86-3.37%0.0212✗1.00274k2022-05-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative28.3228.3691+0.17%27.95-1.31%0.0031✓1.214.9M2022-05-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum28.9629.009+0.17%28.51-1.55%0.0034✓1.404.0M2022-05-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.574.5777+0.17%4.7+2.84%0.0493✓1.55339k2022-05-06
BTTCBTTC0.000001680.000001683+0.17%0.00000167-0.60%0.0028✓0.717.7M2022-05-06
FTTFTXEthereum36.2136.2695+0.16%35.89-0.88%0.0031✓0.9211.7M2022-05-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.74140.742608+0.16%0.7248-2.24%0.0042✗1.35311k2022-05-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003120.003125+0.16%0.00314+0.64%0.0220✓1.164.1M2022-05-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin96.8496.9858+0.15%96.69-0.15%0.0124✓1.0417.5M2022-05-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1430.143215+0.15%0.1416-0.98%0.0082✓1.325.0M2022-05-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.63440.635332+0.15%0.6979+10.01%0.1089✓1.0110.9M2022-05-06
DASHDashDash87.4787.5969+0.15%87.63+0.18%0.0164✓1.081.2M2022-05-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.03780.037854+0.14%0.03694-2.28%0.0116✗0.8634k2022-05-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot14.5914.61+0.14%14.32-1.85%0.0037✗1.1011.7M2022-05-06
LUNATerraTerra 282.4282.5085+0.11%77.36-6.14%0.0450✗1.317.3M2022-05-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.823.8238+0.10%3.71-2.88%0.0085✗1.46385k2022-05-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.1010.101098+0.10%0.1044+3.37%0.0450✓0.86425k2022-05-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1710620.171225+0.10%0.171484+0.25%0.0165✓1.0113.8M2022-05-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum21.521.5182+0.08%21.79+1.35%0.0314✓1.27532k2022-05-06
ORCAOrcaSolana1.781.7811+0.06%1.71-3.93%0.0304✗0.70153k2022-05-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1420.142081+0.06%0.141-0.70%0.0004✓0.54132k2022-05-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4210.421208+0.05%0.414-1.66%0.0007✗1.124.3M2022-05-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.2871.2875+0.04%1.356+5.36%0.0670✓1.03462k2022-05-06
UNIUniswapEthereum7.347.3416+0.02%7.59+3.41%0.0500✓1.134.3M2022-05-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.3652.3647-0.01%2.1886-7.46%0.0677✓0.6515k2022-05-06
XYMSymbolnative0.08930.089283-0.02%0.0867-2.91%0.0192✓0.69675k2022-05-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.4340.433866-0.03%0.4072-6.18%0.0572✓0.42572k2022-05-06
AVTAventusEthereum2.112.1082-0.08%1.93-8.53%0.0802✓0.55272k2022-05-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash277.17276.9222-0.09%274.77-0.87%0.0072✗1.015.2M2022-05-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum16,867.4516,851.10-0.10%16,718.32-0.88%0.0070✗1.012.6M2022-05-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.37430.373831-0.13%0.3521-5.93%0.0432✓1.12188k2022-05-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.15e-79.13e-7-0.17%8.90e-7-2.64%0.0252✓-0.01713k2022-05-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0910.090841-0.17%0.0896-1.54%0.0012✓0.852.6M2022-05-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7167120.71538-0.19%0.701997-2.05%0.0023✓1.125.5M2022-05-06
STEEMSteemnative0.40070.398607-0.52%0.3759-6.19%0.0438✓1.007.0M2022-05-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4542.4412-0.52%2.295-6.48%0.0420✓1.335.1M2022-05-06
TRXTRONTron0.0747070.074272-0.58%0.086482+15.76%0.1634✗0.76297k2022-05-06
APEApeCoinEthereum13.68813.5921-0.70%13.259-3.13%0.0045✓1.9775.7M2022-05-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.16750.166148-0.81%0.1615-3.58%0.0135✓1.003.9M2022-05-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.9518.7912-0.84%18.4-2.90%0.0007✓1.372.2M2022-05-06
PROPropyEthereum1.671.6532-1.00%1.75+4.79%0.0659✗0.61470k2022-05-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.