8=======>

2022-04-21 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0243
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.25%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
27.2%
in alpha space · 57.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.90%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.21877.058-2.23%6.0004-16.88%0.1411✓1.1110.7M2022-04-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.023050.022611-1.90%0.0236+2.39%0.0713✗1.4948.3M2022-04-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.9465330.928648-1.89%0.862203-8.91%0.0537✓1.073.7M2022-04-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.7425.3842-1.38%25.84+0.39%0.0412✗1.22669k2022-04-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.5392.504-1.38%2.432-4.21%0.0104✓0.984.5M2022-04-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.8685.7895-1.34%5.479-6.63%0.0293✓1.357.7M2022-04-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.9934.9301-1.26%4.731-5.25%0.0361✓0.273.3M2022-04-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2021.1871-1.24%1.16-3.49%0.0035✓1.021.3M2022-04-22
ZECZcashZcash159.6157.7439-1.16%157.18-1.52%0.0153✗0.998.5M2022-04-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.075570.074699-1.15%0.0764+1.10%0.0424✗1.04132k2022-04-22
SUSHISushiEthereum3.453.4117-1.11%3.53+2.32%0.0576✗1.236.4M2022-04-22
APEApeCoinEthereum14.29514.1478-1.03%15.347+7.36%0.1247✗2.2645.4M2022-04-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018140.017954-1.02%0.01742-3.97%0.0124✓0.931.8M2022-04-22
XVGVergenative0.010330.010224-1.02%0.01032-0.10%0.0299✗1.071.5M2022-04-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.835.7716-1.00%5.98+2.57%0.0643✗1.50550k2022-04-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.3540.350484-0.99%0.3536-0.11%0.0313✗1.1711.2M2022-04-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5970.591232-0.97%0.575-3.69%0.0086✓1.005.9M2022-04-22
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011090.000001099-0.96%0.000001006-9.26%0.0919✓-0.22602k2022-04-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.34920.345852-0.96%0.3499+0.20%0.0365✗1.301.4M2022-04-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04930.048837-0.94%0.0497+0.81%0.0487✗1.6338.1M2022-04-22
XVSVenusEthereum10.3510.2549-0.92%11.06+6.86%0.0975✗1.144.7M2022-04-22
TRXTRONTron0.07090.070259-0.90%0.066543-6.15%0.0427✓0.61262k2022-04-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.24451.2335-0.89%1.2006-3.53%0.0034✓1.2311.9M2022-04-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.745.6898-0.87%5.517-3.89%0.0127✓0.9472k2022-04-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.061.0508-0.87%1.05-0.94%0.0206✗1.11735k2022-04-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.92240.914414-0.87%0.9596+4.03%0.0734✗1.31824k2022-04-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.7513.631-0.87%13.26-3.56%0.0069✓1.081.3M2022-04-22
FTTFTXEthereum42.1341.7714-0.85%41.32-1.92%0.0072✓0.9420.1M2022-04-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.71870.712587-0.85%0.719+0.04%0.0266✗0.9214.6M2022-04-22
STORJStorjEthereum1.10331.094-0.85%1.0914-1.08%0.0195✗1.14162k2022-04-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.75150.745216-0.84%0.73779-1.82%0.0100✗1.04201k2022-04-22
LUNATerraTerra 290.8490.084-0.83%93.56+2.99%0.0622✗1.279.0M2022-04-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.8945.8458-0.82%5.914+0.34%0.0228✗0.581.8M2022-04-22
QTUMQtumQtum6.54526.492-0.81%6.602+0.87%0.0387✗1.14206k2022-04-22
ADACardanoCardano0.91020.902819-0.81%0.9064-0.42%0.0236✗1.0262.5M2022-04-22
BANDBandEthereum3.6623.6325-0.81%3.768+2.89%0.0601✗1.23785k2022-04-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.024450.024254-0.80%0.02262-7.48%0.0564✓0.694.7M2022-04-22
KSMKusamaHydration168.86167.5074-0.80%164.55-2.55%0.0026✓1.061.1M2022-04-22
XYMSymbolnative0.11350.112605-0.79%0.1128-0.62%0.0151✗0.70864k2022-04-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4911.4792-0.79%1.475-1.07%0.0169✗1.03725k2022-04-22
SCSiacoinnative0.010510.010427-0.79%0.01058+0.67%0.0369✗1.16565k2022-04-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,499.2040,180.39-0.79%39,516.00-2.43%0.0011✓0.9325k2022-04-22
XEMNEMnative0.09860.097832-0.78%0.0963-2.33%0.0015✓0.9072k2022-04-22
PROPropyEthereum1.721.7066-0.78%1.71-0.58%0.0123✗0.54179k2022-04-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.3290.326484-0.76%0.3301+0.33%0.0387✗1.449.0M2022-04-22
API3Api3Ethereum4.5164.4816-0.76%4.42-2.13%0.0023✓0.843.3M2022-04-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.66444.6289-0.76%4.7053+0.88%0.0303✗0.736.6M2022-04-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum44.9144.5685-0.76%45.9+2.20%0.0534✗1.258.8M2022-04-22
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.25240.25049-0.76%0.2566+1.66%0.0493✗1.31223k2022-04-22
XMRMoneroMonero278.56276.4691-0.75%268.49-3.62%0.0117✓0.922.4M2022-04-22
DASHDashDash102.15101.3856-0.75%103.74+1.56%0.0424✗1.011.8M2022-04-22
XECeCashnative0.000090250.000089576-0.75%0.00008903-1.35%0.0126✗0.989.8M2022-04-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.18730.185906-0.74%0.1891+0.96%0.0390✗1.149.4M2022-04-22
HIVEHivenative0.94340.936416-0.74%0.9256-1.89%0.0075✗1.001.9M2022-04-22
CELLCellframeEthereum0.96320.95617-0.73%0.9716+0.87%0.0420✗1.36231k2022-04-22
SOLSolanaSolana101.78101.0434-0.72%100.55-1.21%0.0192✗1.26147.6M2022-04-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0262670.026079-0.71%0.027972+6.49%0.0816✗0.60195k2022-04-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.8518.7163-0.71%19.29+2.33%0.0504✗1.0510.8M2022-04-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.961.9464-0.70%1.99+1.53%0.0473✗1.311.6M2022-04-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana14.3814.2838-0.67%14.35-0.21%0.0136✗0.472.7M2022-04-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.685.642-0.67%5.59-1.58%0.0035✓0.671.1M2022-04-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5454.5147-0.67%4.694+3.28%0.0644✗1.33140k2022-04-22
UNIUniswapEthereum8.868.801-0.67%8.9+0.45%0.0311✗1.048.0M2022-04-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash315.62313.5217-0.66%321.06+1.72%0.0424✗0.976.6M2022-04-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5314.4349-0.65%14.21-2.20%0.0088✗1.282.3M2022-04-22
COMPCompoundEthereum135.61134.7252-0.65%134.93-0.50%0.0237✗1.1684k2022-04-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.3030.301034-0.65%0.3061+1.02%0.0380✗1.11495k2022-04-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8270.821662-0.65%0.841+1.69%0.0494✗1.362.4M2022-04-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010350.010284-0.64%0.01011-2.32%0.0057✓1.193.2M2022-04-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.36530.362966-0.64%0.3596-1.56%0.0237✗1.722.3M2022-04-22
MINAMina Protocolnative2.322.3053-0.63%2.31-0.43%0.0228✗1.081.3M2022-04-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.4716.3662-0.63%16.59+0.73%0.0349✗1.1117.9M2022-04-22
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8821.8702-0.63%1.835-2.50%0.0004✓0.977.8M2022-04-22
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.5286.4872-0.63%6.485-0.66%0.0212✗1.12306k2022-04-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.59144.5626-0.63%4.6501+1.28%0.0378✗0.98287k2022-04-22
AAVEAaveEthereum173.62172.536-0.62%176.98+1.94%0.0504✗1.3012.5M2022-04-22
DODODODOEthereum0.4080.405471-0.62%0.407-0.25%0.0251✗1.118.0M2022-04-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.02582.0133-0.62%2.0394+0.67%0.0337✗1.091.5M2022-04-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.4763.4549-0.61%3.475-0.03%0.0192✗0.702.1M2022-04-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2110.209725-0.60%0.206-2.37%0.0101✓0.41148k2022-04-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,773.4018,661.27-0.60%18,673.62-0.53%0.0205✗1.034.6M2022-04-22
GLMGolemEthereum0.43320.430631-0.59%0.4332+0.00%0.0331✗1.41357k2022-04-22
UMAUMAEthereum6.166.1235-0.59%6.035-2.03%0.0134✗1.462.6M2022-04-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3451.3371-0.59%1.32-1.86%0.0099✗1.192.9M2022-04-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.4826.3251-0.58%25.9-2.19%0.0009✓0.90517k2022-04-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.11520.114527-0.58%0.1162+0.87%0.0347✗1.05988k2022-04-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.66320.659344-0.58%0.6736+1.57%0.0403✗0.999.4M2022-04-22
AVTAventusEthereum2.472.4558-0.58%2.35-4.86%0.0347✓0.49363k2022-04-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1363480.135566-0.57%0.136393+0.03%0.0226✗0.865.1M2022-04-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.164.1366-0.56%4.22+1.44%0.0461✗1.36612k2022-04-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.43992.4263-0.56%2.4578+0.73%0.0258✗0.6711k2022-04-22
LSKLiskEthereum2.1782.1659-0.55%2.4587+12.89%0.1428✗0.83100k2022-04-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.8319.7206-0.55%20.25+2.12%0.0527✗1.37218k2022-04-22
ORCAOrcaSolana2.022.009-0.55%1.92-4.95%0.0318✓0.70261k2022-04-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2730.271517-0.54%0.269-1.47%0.0046✓0.7336k2022-04-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.8823.861-0.54%3.737-3.74%0.0033✓1.53741k2022-04-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1982.1861-0.54%2.483+12.97%0.1523✗1.306.2M2022-04-22
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.5454.5205-0.54%4.511-0.75%0.0310✗1.732.3M2022-04-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.1818.0827-0.54%18.27+0.50%0.0298✗1.0218.4M2022-04-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4391.4314-0.53%1.442+0.21%0.0318✗1.27594k2022-04-22
XLMStellarStellar0.1965190.195488-0.52%0.195403-0.57%0.0181✗0.9719.4M2022-04-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0154730.015392-0.52%0.014999-3.06%0.0094✓0.8653k2022-04-22
FIDABonfidaSolana1.4131.4056-0.52%1.385-1.98%0.0041✓0.9962k2022-04-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.5180.515294-0.52%0.5133-0.91%0.0116✗0.81490k2022-04-22
BTTCBTTC0.000001890.00000188-0.51%0.00000189+0.00%0.0187✗0.719.8M2022-04-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV81.7581.3366-0.51%79.48-2.78%0.0076✓0.813.4M2022-04-22
BORABORAKlay Token0.806910.80283-0.51%0.80338-0.44%0.0199✗1.00150k2022-04-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004020.004-0.50%0.00418+3.98%0.0653✗1.117.4M2022-04-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.16.0696-0.50%6.2+1.64%0.0330✗0.611.0M2022-04-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.3112.2997-0.49%2.302-0.39%0.0152✗0.7427k2022-04-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13720.136532-0.49%0.137-0.15%0.0226✗1.00224k2022-04-22
ZENHorizenBase36.236.0246-0.48%36.77+1.57%0.0453✗1.29366k2022-04-22
STXStacksnative1.151.1445-0.48%1.14-0.87%0.0149✗0.98431k2022-04-22
GALAGALAEthereum0.18930.188397-0.48%0.1923+1.58%0.0425✗1.15251k2022-04-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4923.4754-0.48%3.48-0.34%0.0128✗0.602.0M2022-04-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9983.979-0.47%3.9426-1.39%0.0026✓0.624.6M2022-04-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07590.07554-0.47%0.07592+0.03%0.0198✗0.7739k2022-04-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0660.065688-0.47%0.0665+0.76%0.0342✗1.15471k2022-04-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.022440.022335-0.47%0.02234-0.45%0.0201✗1.04423k2022-04-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.21820.21718-0.47%0.22+0.82%0.0347✗1.143.2M2022-04-22
MOVRMoonriverBase56.983856.7177-0.47%55.559-2.50%0.0063✗1.41220k2022-04-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.9534.7884-0.46%35.52+1.63%0.0415✗1.0812.9M2022-04-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.67340.670313-0.46%0.6137-8.87%0.0830✓0.27814k2022-04-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,480.8140,296.90-0.45%39,712.25-1.90%0.0046✓1.00565.5M2022-04-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.043930.043732-0.45%0.04422+0.66%0.0272✗0.8471k2022-04-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche75.0374.703-0.44%74.01-1.36%0.0140✗1.2187.4M2022-04-22
NANOnanopayBase2.05162.0426-0.44%2.0576+0.30%0.0271✗1.03231k2022-04-22
KCSKuCoinnative20.61220.5232-0.43%20.234-1.83%0.0012✓0.805.8M2022-04-22
QNTQuantEthereum107.82107.3586-0.43%107.94+0.11%0.0221✗0.873.8M2022-04-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.56130.558929-0.42%0.5608-0.09%0.0249✗1.13875k2022-04-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.34245.3199-0.42%5.0919-4.69%0.0335✓0.545.6M2022-04-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.5813.5241-0.41%13.59+0.07%0.0261✗1.1126.2M2022-04-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0331020.032967-0.41%0.032116-2.98%0.0063✓1.044.7M2022-04-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.3223.2256-0.40%23.11-0.90%0.0168✗1.1429.5M2022-04-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin106.69106.2585-0.40%105.34-1.27%0.0109✗1.0220.1M2022-04-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.093450.093075-0.40%0.09337-0.09%0.0186✗0.8039k2022-04-22
GITCOINGITCOIN5.9775.9533-0.40%5.972-0.08%0.0313✗1.4718k2022-04-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7170.714186-0.39%0.714-0.42%0.0144✗0.762.9M2022-04-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24190.240956-0.39%0.2356-2.60%0.0068✓0.821.7M2022-04-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024340.000024246-0.39%0.00002433-0.04%0.0241✗1.082.5M2022-04-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0110.010958-0.38%0.01092-0.73%0.0075✗0.5736k2022-04-22
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.1920.19127-0.38%0.1897-1.20%0.0348✗2.25500k2022-04-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10820.107793-0.38%0.1105+2.13%0.0435✗0.982.0M2022-04-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.610.60777-0.37%0.59-3.28%0.0018✓1.45395k2022-04-22
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.9641.9569-0.36%1.999+1.78%0.0402✗0.9894k2022-04-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.4613.4122-0.36%13.85+2.90%0.0394✗0.381.9M2022-04-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.222.2122-0.35%2.23+0.45%0.0270✗0.99154k2022-04-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.046260.046106-0.33%0.04664+0.82%0.0280✗0.86433k2022-04-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.23140.230641-0.33%0.2265-2.12%0.0062✗1.273.3M2022-04-22
RADRadworksEthereum4.494.4755-0.32%4.41-1.78%0.0020✓0.87785k2022-04-22
DIADIAEthereum0.870.867225-0.32%0.88+1.15%0.0240✗0.49154k2022-04-22
UOSUltraEthereum0.979070.976058-0.31%0.94139-3.85%0.0120✓1.261.7M2022-04-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana54.9852-0.30%5.05+1.00%0.0272✗0.751.2M2022-04-22
WOOWOOEthereum0.44370.442541-0.26%0.449+1.19%0.0194✗0.266,4692022-04-22
ETHEthereumEthereum2,983.942,976.32-0.26%2,963.05-0.70%0.0148✗1.00482.4M2022-04-22
XTZTezosTezos3.03323.0259-0.24%3.0902+1.88%0.0412✗1.05967k2022-04-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034020.033945-0.22%0.03293-3.20%0.0234✓0.36641k2022-04-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.139210.138905-0.22%0.13749-1.24%0.0043✗0.7618k2022-04-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1531.1511-0.17%1.186+2.86%0.0496✗1.033.8M2022-04-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.0065.9969-0.15%5.8587-2.45%0.0144✓0.47192k2022-04-22
GTGateEthereum6.45476.4456-0.14%6.4813+0.41%0.0157✗0.534.7M2022-04-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.196.1842-0.09%6.16-0.48%0.0088✗0.661.6M2022-04-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.