8=======>

2022-04-16 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1492
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.02%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
68.1%
in alpha space · 72.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.74%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018850.018939+0.47%0.01799-4.56%0.0255✗1.4750.0M2022-04-17
GTGateEthereum6.516.5371+0.42%6.4168-1.43%0.0083✗0.584.4M2022-04-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.39960.400981+0.35%0.37-7.41%0.0483✗1.822.3M2022-04-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.555.5669+0.30%5.35-3.60%0.0265✗0.751.6M2022-04-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05240.052547+0.28%0.0492-6.11%0.0358✗1.7139.8M2022-04-17
ZECZcashZcash143.85144.2452+0.27%137.47-4.44%0.0302✗1.029.8M2022-04-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.6513.6859+0.26%13.28-2.71%0.0101✗1.141.5M2022-04-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.437.4457+0.21%7.01-5.65%0.0470✗0.761.8M2022-04-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5111.5136+0.17%1.463-3.18%0.0160✗1.021.3M2022-04-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.825.8299+0.17%5.68-2.41%0.0134✗0.721.4M2022-04-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.20330.203627+0.16%0.1925-5.31%0.0362✗1.14262k2022-04-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.147960.148167+0.14%0.14317-3.24%0.0205✗0.7820k2022-04-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.282.2832+0.14%2.24-1.75%0.0012✓1.02165k2022-04-17
ETHEthereumEthereum3,060.353,064.27+0.13%2,988.40-2.35%0.0065✗1.05483.3M2022-04-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010560.010573+0.13%0.0104-1.52%0.0041✓1.173.8M2022-04-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.875.8773+0.12%5.74-2.21%0.0109✗0.731.1M2022-04-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.86045.8674+0.12%5.8959+0.61%0.0132✓0.47186k2022-04-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.022590.022614+0.11%0.02224-1.55%0.0026✗0.804.9M2022-04-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36220.362577+0.10%0.3486-3.75%0.0185✗1.1811.2M2022-04-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.9724.9765+0.09%4.775-3.96%0.0243✗0.9779k2022-04-17
TRXTRONTron0.0618620.061907+0.07%0.060149-2.77%0.0173✗0.66254k2022-04-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3431.344+0.07%1.239-7.74%0.0644✗0.963.5M2022-04-17
GITCOINGITCOIN6.156.1536+0.06%5.921-3.72%0.0125✗1.4818k2022-04-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6843.6855+0.04%3.597-2.36%0.0127✗0.662.6M2022-04-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.049810.049828+0.04%0.04978-0.06%0.0172✓1.03567k2022-04-17
DIADIAEthereum0.90.900319+0.04%0.88-2.22%0.0145✗0.47169k2022-04-17
HIVEHivenative0.91960.919852+0.03%0.8858-3.68%0.0188✗1.082.0M2022-04-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.096010.096031+0.02%0.09237-3.79%0.0236✗0.8735k2022-04-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,387.6040,393.76+0.02%39,683.54-1.74%0.0002✗1.00565.5M2022-04-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011850.011852+0.01%0.01168-1.43%0.0035✗0.6335k2022-04-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.036010.036014+0.01%0.03421-5.00%0.0397✗0.67942k2022-04-17
ZENHorizenBase38.4338.4326+0.01%36.47-5.10%0.0287✗1.35461k2022-04-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.20940.209411+0.01%0.1957-6.54%0.0278✗2.27623k2022-04-17
LUNATerraTerra 28180.9993-0.00%77.28-4.59%0.0244✓1.298.2M2022-04-17
CBKCobakEthereum2.242.2398-0.01%2.195-2.01%0.0061✓0.8026k2022-04-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.8714.8688-0.01%14.56-2.08%0.0138✓0.412.0M2022-04-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.59715.5966-0.01%5.3777-3.92%0.0187✓1.2112.7M2022-04-17
CELLCellframeEthereum1.0171.0168-0.02%0.942-7.37%0.0515✓1.42231k2022-04-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13790.137868-0.02%0.1364-1.09%0.0073✗1.02224k2022-04-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,617.6040,607.34-0.03%40,677.80+0.15%0.0186✗0.9626k2022-04-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.274.2686-0.03%4.12-3.51%0.0106✓1.41735k2022-04-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33680.336688-0.03%0.3234-3.98%0.0145✓1.469.4M2022-04-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.78444.7825-0.04%4.5192-5.54%0.0395✓0.98280k2022-04-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50680.506598-0.04%0.4969-1.95%0.0053✓0.80490k2022-04-17
ORCAOrcaSolana1.91.8992-0.04%1.86-2.11%0.0083✓0.71214k2022-04-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.1514.1439-0.04%13.72-3.04%0.0103✓1.1526.0M2022-04-17
SGBSongbirdnative0.06290.062867-0.05%0.0625-0.64%0.0037✗0.55158k2022-04-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24760.247468-0.05%0.2385-3.68%0.0219✓0.861.7M2022-04-17
QNTQuantEthereum113.05112.9874-0.06%110.99-1.82%0.0015✓0.934.0M2022-04-17
UMAUMAEthereum6.3936.3891-0.06%6.16-3.64%0.0109✓1.462.8M2022-04-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.13734.1348-0.06%4.0029-3.25%0.0206✓0.674.9M2022-04-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.1824.1602-0.08%23.23-3.93%0.0197✓1.1131.7M2022-04-17
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8571.8554-0.08%1.729-6.89%0.0518✓1.077.8M2022-04-17
XMRMoneroMonero236.58236.3715-0.09%242+2.29%0.0400✗0.941.7M2022-04-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV87.2887.2-0.09%83.62-4.19%0.0279✓0.803.5M2022-04-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.7877.7079-0.09%75.45-3.00%0.0072✓1.2798.8M2022-04-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.314.2866-0.09%13.71-4.13%0.0180✓1.322.6M2022-04-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8274.8219-0.11%4.793-0.70%0.0006✓0.384.5M2022-04-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.023810.023784-0.11%0.02283-4.12%0.0208✓1.15374k2022-04-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.48730.486757-0.11%0.4737-2.79%0.0235✓0.216,4692022-04-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.351.3484-0.12%1.328-1.63%0.0075✗1.293.5M2022-04-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.8526.8185-0.12%26.43-1.56%0.0013✗0.90636k2022-04-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.774270.773354-0.12%0.72479-6.39%0.0465✓1.04192k2022-04-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.076990.076899-0.12%0.0746-3.10%0.0159✓0.8250k2022-04-17
BTTCBTTC0.000001960.000001958-0.12%0.0000019-3.06%0.0173✓0.719.8M2022-04-17
XYMSymbolnative0.11640.116254-0.13%0.1117-4.04%0.0277✓0.70830k2022-04-17
LSKLiskEthereum2.13492.1319-0.14%2.074-2.85%0.0122✓0.8795k2022-04-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.973540.972118-0.15%0.918-5.70%0.0343✓1.311.4M2022-04-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.67480.67379-0.15%0.6449-4.43%0.0257✓1.039.8M2022-04-17
AAVEAaveEthereum172.4172.1136-0.17%167.03-3.11%0.0068✓1.3214.4M2022-04-17
STORJStorjEthereum1.09041.0885-0.17%1.0359-4.99%0.0294✓1.15143k2022-04-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2670.266549-0.17%0.267+0.00%0.0169✗0.8638k2022-04-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025620.000025576-0.17%0.00002468-3.67%0.0156✓1.142.8M2022-04-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.01780.017769-0.17%0.01749-1.74%0.0018✗1.002.1M2022-04-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.825080.82364-0.17%0.80955-1.88%0.0003✓1.00182k2022-04-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin114.34114.1389-0.18%108.78-4.86%0.0302✓1.0223.4M2022-04-17
XEMNEMnative0.10110.10092-0.18%0.0971-3.96%0.0224✓0.9255k2022-04-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.7314.7226-0.18%4.513-4.61%0.0273✓1.03119k2022-04-17
XTZTezosTezos3.28163.2755-0.18%3.09-5.84%0.0399✓1.051.0M2022-04-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.22.1959-0.19%2.126-3.36%0.0149✓0.9994k2022-04-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2481.2456-0.19%1.197-4.09%0.0217✓1.031.4M2022-04-17
FTTFTXEthereum41.8241.7376-0.20%44.8+7.13%0.0888✗1.0314.2M2022-04-17
FIDABonfidaSolana1.4931.49-0.20%1.43-4.22%0.0238✓0.9963k2022-04-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.74330.741782-0.20%0.7108-4.37%0.0261✓0.9418.3M2022-04-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0359630.035888-0.21%0.035182-2.17%0.0001✓1.124.5M2022-04-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.5172.5116-0.21%2.5535+1.45%0.0301✗0.7711k2022-04-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8570.855084-0.22%0.806-5.95%0.0352✓1.362.7M2022-04-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.9222.8667-0.23%22.23-3.01%0.0052✓1.31786k2022-04-17
DODODODOEthereum0.410.409007-0.24%0.378-7.80%0.0583✓1.177.4M2022-04-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045350.045239-0.24%0.04362-3.81%0.0209✓0.8863k2022-04-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.2346.2184-0.25%6.115-1.91%0.0051✓0.661.8M2022-04-17
AVTAventusEthereum2.422.4139-0.25%2.6+7.44%0.0834✗0.52491k2022-04-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7613.7515-0.25%3.669-2.45%0.0089✓0.762.2M2022-04-17
DASHDashDash108.28108.0033-0.26%104.4-3.58%0.0158✓1.032.4M2022-04-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5081.5041-0.26%1.422-5.70%0.0329✓1.32555k2022-04-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,119.1319,066.52-0.28%18,713.49-2.12%0.0010✓1.125.5M2022-04-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.5717.5199-0.29%16.41-6.60%0.0473✓1.0318.5M2022-04-17
MANADecentralandEthereum2.15072.1445-0.29%2.0532-4.53%0.0234✓1.141.6M2022-04-17
XLMStellarStellar0.2053490.204748-0.29%0.196617-4.25%0.0230✓1.0018.8M2022-04-17
ADACardanoCardano0.95140.948606-0.29%0.9148-3.85%0.0186✓1.0168.9M2022-04-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.09611.0929-0.29%1.1949+9.01%0.1116✗1.2711.9M2022-04-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.35540.354282-0.31%0.335-5.74%0.0330✓1.311.6M2022-04-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.42950.428075-0.33%0.4194-2.35%0.0053✗1.46439k2022-04-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.7666.7431-0.34%6.457-4.57%0.0238✓1.11340k2022-04-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.9520.8781-0.34%19.64-6.25%0.0373✓1.35226k2022-04-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2352.2273-0.34%2.194-1.83%0.0087✗1.358.2M2022-04-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.11.0962-0.34%1.03-6.36%0.0418✓1.17798k2022-04-17
MINAMina Protocolnative2.432.4213-0.36%2.28-6.17%0.0410✓1.091.2M2022-04-17
SOLSolanaSolana102.08101.7028-0.37%100.18-1.86%0.0070✗1.26147.4M2022-04-17
KCSKuCoinnative20.31420.2389-0.37%19.932-1.88%0.0002✓0.865.4M2022-04-17
XVGVergenative0.010820.010779-0.38%0.01036-4.25%0.0192✓1.161.7M2022-04-17
STXStacksnative1.181.1754-0.39%1.13-4.24%0.0218✓1.00447k2022-04-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.6218.5424-0.42%17.74-4.73%0.0256✓1.0619.0M2022-04-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24290.241878-0.42%0.2351-3.21%0.0042✓1.38383k2022-04-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004160.004142-0.44%0.00406-2.40%0.0022✓1.259.7M2022-04-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0278470.027721-0.45%0.027257-2.12%0.0047✓0.69191k2022-04-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06820.067887-0.46%0.0664-2.64%0.0011✓1.19555k2022-04-17
KSMKusamaHydration174.1173.2803-0.47%168.62-3.15%0.0086✓1.061.2M2022-04-17
API3Api3Ethereum4.524.4987-0.47%4.224-6.55%0.0515✓0.663.5M2022-04-17
QTUMQtumQtum6.9446.9106-0.48%6.5324-5.93%0.0358✓1.17216k2022-04-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076080.07571-0.49%0.07235-4.90%0.0269✓1.05121k2022-04-17
RADRadworksEthereum4.84.7766-0.49%4.6-4.17%0.0208✓0.96785k2022-04-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7670.763259-0.49%0.747-2.61%0.0059✓0.892.9M2022-04-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.57745.5498-0.49%5.7783+3.60%0.0497✗0.534.7M2022-04-17
UNIUniswapEthereum9.679.6221-0.50%9.25-4.34%0.0207✓1.078.8M2022-04-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.1435.1175-0.50%4.567-11.20%0.0843✓1.682.6M2022-04-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.23470.23353-0.50%0.222-5.41%0.0297✓1.193.2M2022-04-17
BANDBandEthereum3.753.7311-0.50%3.554-5.23%0.0268✓1.24772k2022-04-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.1615.0828-0.51%14.87-1.91%0.0056✓0.493.3M2022-04-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.11570.115108-0.51%0.1168+0.95%0.0350✗1.16952k2022-04-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum47.4147.1607-0.53%45.47-4.09%0.0140✓1.288.8M2022-04-17
NANOnanopayBase2.14112.1298-0.53%2.074-3.13%0.0071✓1.11258k2022-04-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.29640.294806-0.54%0.2832-4.45%0.0196✓1.17566k2022-04-17
SUSHISushiEthereum3.333.312-0.54%3.2-3.90%0.0124✓1.256.7M2022-04-17
SCSiacoinnative0.010670.010612-0.55%0.01013-5.06%0.0255✓1.19565k2022-04-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.2145.1848-0.56%5.004-4.03%0.0125✓1.317.5M2022-04-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.56950.566202-0.58%0.5731+0.63%0.0343✗1.26938k2022-04-17
APEApeCoinEthereum11.66611.5957-0.60%11.695+0.25%0.0473✗2.2046.9M2022-04-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0147320.014643-0.61%0.014059-4.57%0.0248✓0.9051k2022-04-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.660.655997-0.61%0.62-6.06%0.0301✓1.50510k2022-04-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.116.0727-0.61%5.85-4.26%0.0111✓1.49665k2022-04-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.062.0471-0.63%1.93-6.31%0.0356✓1.321.6M2022-04-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash342.9340.6722-0.65%328.18-4.29%0.0200✓0.998.6M2022-04-17
MOVRMoonriverBase62.251661.8458-0.65%57.2276-8.07%0.0518✓1.47223k2022-04-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.75460.749669-0.65%0.6939-8.04%0.0692✓0.46796k2022-04-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.9531.9393-0.70%2.703+38.40%0.3504✗1.053.7M2022-04-17
XVSVenusEthereum10.1410.0684-0.71%9.76-3.75%0.0108✓1.154.7M2022-04-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.1237.8473-0.72%36.58-4.04%0.0147✓1.1016.0M2022-04-17
XECeCashnative0.000092770.000092086-0.74%0.00008878-4.30%0.0190✓1.009.6M2022-04-17
COMPCompoundEthereum144.04142.9562-0.75%148.41+3.03%0.0588✗1.2271k2022-04-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.6521.4846-0.76%19.7-9.01%0.0672✓1.1110.7M2022-04-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7274980.72177-0.79%0.687666-5.48%0.0289✓1.113.2M2022-04-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.9080.900662-0.81%0.854-5.95%0.0291✓1.37870k2022-04-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1436440.142473-0.82%0.139371-2.97%0.0069✓0.865.0M2022-04-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.24950.247336-0.87%0.2333-6.49%0.0353✓1.323.5M2022-04-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.47234.4328-0.88%4.2838-4.21%0.0211✓0.753.9M2022-04-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.2384.1986-0.93%3.845-9.27%0.0629✓1.43720k2022-04-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.18740.185399-1.07%0.18-3.95%0.0083✓1.219.4M2022-04-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.58e-79.48e-7-1.09%9.58e-7-0.02%0.0052✓-0.32596k2022-04-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2430.240032-1.22%0.221-9.05%0.0711✓0.66100k2022-04-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11360.112199-1.23%0.1134-0.18%0.0293✗1.061.0M2022-04-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5440.536627-1.36%0.62+13.97%0.1643✗1.135.9M2022-04-17
PROPropyEthereum2.051.9996-2.46%1.93-5.85%0.0199✓0.88179k2022-04-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.