8=======>

2022-04-16 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1173
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.66%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
83.3%
in alpha space · 90.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.74%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PROPropyEthereum2.052.001-2.39%1.93-5.85%0.0206✓0.88179k2022-04-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5440.53828-1.05%0.62+13.97%0.1612✗1.135.9M2022-04-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.58e-79.48e-7-1.04%9.58e-7-0.02%0.0047✓-0.32596k2022-04-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2430.240562-1.00%0.221-9.05%0.0733✓0.66100k2022-04-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.9531.9352-0.91%2.703+38.40%0.3526✗1.053.7M2022-04-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.6521.4567-0.89%19.7-9.01%0.0659✓1.1110.7M2022-04-17
XVGVergenative0.010820.010728-0.85%0.01036-4.25%0.0145✓1.161.7M2022-04-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.116.0587-0.84%5.85-4.26%0.0088✓1.49665k2022-04-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.47234.4356-0.82%4.2838-4.21%0.0217✓0.753.9M2022-04-17
COMPCompoundEthereum144.04142.8682-0.81%148.41+3.03%0.0595✗1.2271k2022-04-17
API3Api3Ethereum4.524.4834-0.81%4.224-6.55%0.0481✓0.663.5M2022-04-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.774270.768076-0.80%0.72479-6.39%0.0397✓1.04192k2022-04-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.6513.5415-0.79%13.28-2.71%0.0005✓1.141.5M2022-04-17
QTUMQtumQtum6.9446.8894-0.79%6.5324-5.93%0.0327✓1.17216k2022-04-17
KSMKusamaHydration174.1172.7542-0.77%168.62-3.15%0.0056✓1.061.2M2022-04-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash342.9340.2779-0.76%328.18-4.29%0.0188✓0.998.6M2022-04-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0278470.027637-0.75%0.027257-2.12%0.0017✓0.69191k2022-04-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.076080.07551-0.75%0.07235-4.90%0.0243✓1.05121k2022-04-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.2384.207-0.73%3.845-9.27%0.0649✓1.43720k2022-04-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.78444.7494-0.73%4.5192-5.54%0.0325✓0.98280k2022-04-17
DASHDashDash108.28107.5059-0.71%104.4-3.58%0.0112✓1.032.4M2022-04-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.2346.1895-0.71%6.115-1.91%0.0004✓0.661.8M2022-04-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.1435.1063-0.71%4.567-11.20%0.0821✓1.682.6M2022-04-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.2145.1775-0.70%5.004-4.03%0.0111✓1.317.5M2022-04-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2481.2394-0.69%1.197-4.09%0.0167✓1.031.4M2022-04-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7613.7352-0.68%3.669-2.45%0.0046✓0.762.2M2022-04-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.062.046-0.68%1.93-6.31%0.0351✓1.321.6M2022-04-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05240.052045-0.68%0.0492-6.11%0.0262✓1.7139.8M2022-04-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.74330.738338-0.67%0.7108-4.37%0.0214✓0.9418.3M2022-04-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.5172.5003-0.67%2.5535+1.45%0.0347✗0.7711k2022-04-17
FTTFTXEthereum41.8241.5429-0.66%44.8+7.13%0.0935✗1.0314.2M2022-04-17
ADACardanoCardano0.95140.945224-0.65%0.9148-3.85%0.0150✓1.0168.9M2022-04-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24290.24133-0.65%0.2351-3.21%0.0019✓1.38383k2022-04-17
UNIUniswapEthereum9.679.6083-0.64%9.25-4.34%0.0193✓1.078.8M2022-04-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.1615.0636-0.64%14.87-1.91%0.0043✓0.493.3M2022-04-17
SCSiacoinnative0.010670.010602-0.63%0.01013-5.06%0.0247✓1.19565k2022-04-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.09611.0892-0.63%1.1949+9.01%0.1150✗1.2711.9M2022-04-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.01780.017688-0.63%0.01749-1.74%0.0064✗1.002.1M2022-04-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.8714.7767-0.63%14.56-2.08%0.0076✓0.412.0M2022-04-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11360.112896-0.62%0.1134-0.18%0.0231✗1.061.0M2022-04-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.7666.7243-0.62%6.457-4.57%0.0210✓1.11340k2022-04-17
APEApeCoinEthereum11.66611.5962-0.60%11.695+0.25%0.0472✗2.2046.9M2022-04-17
XVSVenusEthereum10.1410.0794-0.60%9.76-3.75%0.0119✓1.154.7M2022-04-17
BANDBandEthereum3.753.7276-0.60%3.554-5.23%0.0259✓1.24772k2022-04-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0359630.03575-0.59%0.035182-2.17%0.0037✓1.124.5M2022-04-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.11.0936-0.59%1.03-6.36%0.0394✓1.17798k2022-04-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33680.334832-0.58%0.3234-3.98%0.0090✓1.469.4M2022-04-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.35540.353325-0.58%0.335-5.74%0.0303✓1.311.6M2022-04-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5111.5022-0.58%1.463-3.18%0.0084✓1.021.3M2022-04-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.39960.397298-0.58%0.37-7.41%0.0391✓1.822.3M2022-04-17
XLMStellarStellar0.2053490.204184-0.57%0.196617-4.25%0.0203✓1.0018.8M2022-04-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.57745.546-0.56%5.7783+3.60%0.0504✗0.534.7M2022-04-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36220.360174-0.56%0.3486-3.75%0.0119✓1.1811.2M2022-04-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.7314.7047-0.55%4.513-4.61%0.0235✓1.03119k2022-04-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1436440.14286-0.55%0.139371-2.97%0.0096✓0.865.0M2022-04-17
UMAUMAEthereum6.3936.3587-0.54%6.16-3.64%0.0061✓1.462.8M2022-04-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.59715.5672-0.53%5.3777-3.92%0.0134✓1.2112.7M2022-04-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.5717.4763-0.53%16.41-6.60%0.0448✓1.0318.5M2022-04-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum47.4147.158-0.53%45.47-4.09%0.0140✓1.288.8M2022-04-17
LUNATerraTerra 28180.5732-0.53%77.28-4.59%0.0191✓1.298.2M2022-04-17
STORJStorjEthereum1.09041.0847-0.52%1.0359-4.99%0.0258✓1.15143k2022-04-17
HIVEHivenative0.91960.914825-0.52%0.8858-3.68%0.0133✓1.082.0M2022-04-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.29640.294863-0.52%0.2832-4.45%0.0198✓1.17566k2022-04-17
XECeCashnative0.000092770.000092293-0.51%0.00008878-4.30%0.0212✓1.009.6M2022-04-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.825.7901-0.51%5.68-2.41%0.0066✓0.721.4M2022-04-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5081.5003-0.51%1.422-5.70%0.0303✓1.32555k2022-04-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.1237.9252-0.51%36.58-4.04%0.0168✓1.1016.0M2022-04-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.23470.233507-0.51%0.222-5.41%0.0296✓1.193.2M2022-04-17
MOVRMoonriverBase62.251661.9368-0.51%57.2276-8.07%0.0532✓1.47223k2022-04-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025620.000025491-0.51%0.00002468-3.67%0.0123✓1.142.8M2022-04-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.8526.7172-0.49%26.43-1.56%0.0051✗0.90636k2022-04-17
SUSHISushiEthereum3.333.3135-0.49%3.2-3.90%0.0128✓1.256.7M2022-04-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.13734.1169-0.49%4.0029-3.25%0.0163✓0.674.9M2022-04-17
MANADecentralandEthereum2.15072.1403-0.49%2.0532-4.53%0.0215✓1.141.6M2022-04-17
BTTCBTTC0.000001960.00000195-0.49%0.0000019-3.06%0.0136✓0.719.8M2022-04-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin114.34113.7883-0.48%108.78-4.86%0.0271✓1.0223.4M2022-04-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010560.010509-0.48%0.0104-1.52%0.0101✗1.173.8M2022-04-17
XEMNEMnative0.10110.100615-0.48%0.0971-3.96%0.0193✓0.9255k2022-04-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.67480.671572-0.48%0.6449-4.43%0.0224✓1.039.8M2022-04-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.9520.8499-0.48%19.64-6.25%0.0360✓1.35226k2022-04-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.20330.202335-0.47%0.1925-5.31%0.0298✓1.14262k2022-04-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.6218.532-0.47%17.74-4.73%0.0250✓1.0619.0M2022-04-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.20940.208412-0.47%0.1957-6.54%0.0230✓2.27623k2022-04-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8274.8044-0.47%4.793-0.70%0.0043✓0.384.5M2022-04-17
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8571.8483-0.47%1.729-6.89%0.0480✓1.077.8M2022-04-17
AVTAventusEthereum2.422.4089-0.46%2.6+7.44%0.0855✗0.52491k2022-04-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.42950.427559-0.45%0.4194-2.35%0.0065✗1.46439k2022-04-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2670.265802-0.45%0.267+0.00%0.0197✗0.8638k2022-04-17
ZENHorizenBase38.4338.2582-0.45%36.47-5.10%0.0242✓1.35461k2022-04-17
LSKLiskEthereum2.13492.1254-0.45%2.074-2.85%0.0092✓0.8795k2022-04-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,119.1319,034.54-0.44%18,713.49-2.12%0.0026✓1.125.5M2022-04-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.11570.115192-0.44%0.1168+0.95%0.0343✗1.16952k2022-04-17
ZECZcashZcash143.85143.2245-0.43%137.47-4.44%0.0231✓1.029.8M2022-04-17
FIDABonfidaSolana1.4931.4865-0.43%1.43-4.22%0.0215✓0.9963k2022-04-17
DODODODOEthereum0.410.408229-0.43%0.378-7.80%0.0564✓1.177.4M2022-04-17
CELLCellframeEthereum1.0171.0126-0.43%0.942-7.37%0.0474✓1.42231k2022-04-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.825080.821531-0.43%0.80955-1.88%0.0029✓1.00182k2022-04-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6843.6684-0.42%3.597-2.36%0.0080✓0.662.6M2022-04-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8570.853374-0.42%0.806-5.95%0.0332✓1.362.7M2022-04-17
XMRMoneroMonero236.58235.5843-0.42%242+2.29%0.0433✗0.941.7M2022-04-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV87.2886.9158-0.42%83.62-4.19%0.0246✓0.803.5M2022-04-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,387.6040,219.08-0.42%39,683.54-1.74%0.0042✓1.00565.5M2022-04-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2352.2257-0.42%2.194-1.83%0.0094✗1.358.2M2022-04-17
KCSKuCoinnative20.31420.2298-0.41%19.932-1.88%0.0003✓0.865.4M2022-04-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.022590.022497-0.41%0.02224-1.55%0.0027✓0.804.9M2022-04-17
STXStacksnative1.181.1751-0.41%1.13-4.24%0.0216✓1.00447k2022-04-17
SOLSolanaSolana102.08101.6617-0.41%100.18-1.86%0.0074✗1.26147.4M2022-04-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045350.045164-0.41%0.04362-3.81%0.0193✓0.8863k2022-04-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.1514.0927-0.41%13.72-3.04%0.0067✓1.1526.0M2022-04-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.75460.751563-0.40%0.6939-8.04%0.0717✓0.46796k2022-04-17
QNTQuantEthereum113.05112.5996-0.40%110.99-1.82%0.0019✓0.934.0M2022-04-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.049810.049612-0.40%0.04978-0.06%0.0215✗1.03567k2022-04-17
NANOnanopayBase2.14112.1326-0.40%2.074-3.13%0.0084✓1.11258k2022-04-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.48730.485375-0.40%0.4737-2.79%0.0207✓0.216,4692022-04-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06820.067932-0.39%0.0664-2.64%0.0018✓1.19555k2022-04-17
DIADIAEthereum0.90.896477-0.39%0.88-2.22%0.0102✓0.47169k2022-04-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.076990.076695-0.38%0.0746-3.10%0.0132✓0.8250k2022-04-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.9080.904525-0.38%0.854-5.95%0.0334✓1.37870k2022-04-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.660.65749-0.38%0.62-6.06%0.0324✓1.50510k2022-04-17
GITCOINGITCOIN6.156.127-0.37%5.921-3.72%0.0081✓1.4818k2022-04-17
MINAMina Protocolnative2.432.4209-0.37%2.28-6.17%0.0409✓1.091.2M2022-04-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.096010.095658-0.37%0.09237-3.79%0.0197✓0.8735k2022-04-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7670.764197-0.37%0.747-2.61%0.0071✓0.892.9M2022-04-17
XYMSymbolnative0.11640.115981-0.36%0.1117-4.04%0.0253✓0.70830k2022-04-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.282.2718-0.36%2.24-1.75%0.0038✗1.02165k2022-04-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.50680.504979-0.36%0.4969-1.95%0.0021✓0.80490k2022-04-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.274.2547-0.36%4.12-3.51%0.0074✓1.41735k2022-04-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0147320.014679-0.36%0.014059-4.57%0.0273✓0.9051k2022-04-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24760.246727-0.35%0.2385-3.68%0.0189✓0.861.7M2022-04-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004160.004145-0.35%0.00406-2.40%0.0012✓1.259.7M2022-04-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.7877.5093-0.35%75.45-3.00%0.0046✓1.2798.8M2022-04-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.314.2502-0.35%13.71-4.13%0.0154✓1.322.6M2022-04-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.351.3453-0.35%1.328-1.63%0.0098✗1.293.5M2022-04-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13790.137426-0.34%0.1364-1.09%0.0105✗1.02224k2022-04-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.875.8498-0.34%5.74-2.21%0.0062✓0.731.1M2022-04-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.18740.186757-0.34%0.18-3.95%0.0156✓1.219.4M2022-04-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.9724.9552-0.34%4.775-3.96%0.0200✓0.9779k2022-04-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.437.4051-0.33%7.01-5.65%0.0415✓0.761.8M2022-04-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.1824.1021-0.32%23.23-3.93%0.0173✓1.1131.7M2022-04-17
RADRadworksEthereum4.84.7846-0.32%4.6-4.17%0.0225✓0.96785k2022-04-17
XTZTezosTezos3.28163.2712-0.32%3.09-5.84%0.0386✓1.051.0M2022-04-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3431.3388-0.31%1.239-7.74%0.0605✓0.963.5M2022-04-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011850.011814-0.31%0.01168-1.43%0.0003✓0.6335k2022-04-17
ORCAOrcaSolana1.91.8942-0.31%1.86-2.11%0.0057✓0.71214k2022-04-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7274980.725342-0.30%0.687666-5.48%0.0338✓1.113.2M2022-04-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.22.1935-0.30%2.126-3.36%0.0138✓0.9994k2022-04-17
AAVEAaveEthereum172.4171.8935-0.29%167.03-3.11%0.0055✓1.3214.4M2022-04-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.555.5339-0.29%5.35-3.60%0.0206✓0.751.6M2022-04-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.9222.8541-0.29%22.23-3.01%0.0047✓1.31786k2022-04-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.147960.147549-0.28%0.14317-3.24%0.0164✓0.7820k2022-04-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,617.6040,505.34-0.28%40,677.80+0.15%0.0211✗0.9626k2022-04-17
CBKCobakEthereum2.242.2341-0.26%2.195-2.01%0.0035✓0.8026k2022-04-17
ETHEthereumEthereum3,060.353,052.29-0.26%2,988.40-2.35%0.0026✓1.05483.3M2022-04-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.973540.970983-0.26%0.918-5.70%0.0332✓1.311.4M2022-04-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.56950.56806-0.25%0.5731+0.63%0.0310✗1.26938k2022-04-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.24950.248886-0.25%0.2333-6.49%0.0415✓1.323.5M2022-04-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.036010.035923-0.24%0.03421-5.00%0.0372✓0.67942k2022-04-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.023810.023755-0.23%0.02283-4.12%0.0196✓1.15374k2022-04-17
TRXTRONTron0.0618620.061744-0.19%0.060149-2.77%0.0146✓0.66254k2022-04-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.86045.851-0.16%5.8959+0.61%0.0160✗0.47186k2022-04-17
GTGateEthereum6.516.5014-0.13%6.4168-1.43%0.0028✓0.584.4M2022-04-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018850.018901+0.27%0.01799-4.56%0.0235✗1.4750.0M2022-04-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.