8=======>

2022-04-10 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2038
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.33%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
83.3%
in alpha space · 93.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.24%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.0785.0909+0.25%4.466-12.05%0.0209✗1.712.5M2022-04-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV85.3385.5185+0.22%79.95-6.30%0.0164✗0.793.3M2022-04-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum49.0349.0948+0.13%45.19-7.83%0.0011✓1.308.6M2022-04-11
XYMSymbolnative0.11940.11951+0.09%0.1134-5.03%0.0073✗0.70820k2022-04-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.464.4638+0.08%4.01-10.09%0.0155✗1.42824k2022-04-11
AAVEAaveEthereum176.37176.5188+0.08%157.79-10.53%0.0284✗1.3017.5M2022-04-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012740.012745+0.04%0.01183-7.14%0.0326✗0.6532k2022-04-11
DODODODOEthereum0.4020.402146+0.04%0.366-8.96%0.0161✗1.216.6M2022-04-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.025130.025133+0.01%0.02167-13.77%0.0534✗1.4757.1M2022-04-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.95920.958997-0.02%0.8481-11.58%0.0343✓1.38870k2022-04-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045570.045559-0.02%0.04105-9.92%0.0503✓0.8443k2022-04-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.0845.0817-0.05%4.501-11.47%0.0374✓1.306.1M2022-04-11
SUSHISushiEthereum3.43.3982-0.05%3.1-8.82%0.0120✓1.247.2M2022-04-11
TRXTRONTron0.0625150.062482-0.05%0.058052-7.14%0.0321✓0.64312k2022-04-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.3617.3507-0.05%16.09-7.32%0.0080✓1.0518.5M2022-04-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8880.887405-0.07%0.795-10.47%0.0220✓1.372.7M2022-04-11
GTGateEthereum6.68226.6773-0.07%6.3098-5.57%0.0183✓0.594.5M2022-04-11
XTZTezosTezos3.11163.109-0.08%2.9578-4.94%0.0194✗1.08989k2022-04-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7495790.74882-0.10%0.683108-8.87%0.0213✓1.102.2M2022-04-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.1224.0936-0.11%22.32-7.46%0.0110✗1.36833k2022-04-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.29050.290162-0.12%0.2628-9.54%0.0248✓1.15524k2022-04-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.28040.280062-0.12%0.2433-13.23%0.0559✓1.322.8M2022-04-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0780.077906-0.12%0.07062-9.46%0.0453✓0.8250k2022-04-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.9855.9777-0.12%5.5691-6.95%0.0416✓0.45156k2022-04-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.4272.424-0.12%2.192-9.68%0.0401✓0.94114k2022-04-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.3240.2624-0.14%37.01-8.21%0.0132✓1.1016.0M2022-04-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19420.193919-0.14%0.176-9.37%0.0194✓1.206.2M2022-04-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1415.1154-0.16%13.79-8.92%0.0054✓1.342.8M2022-04-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.36940.368775-0.17%0.3357-9.12%0.0092✓1.321.9M2022-04-11
PROPropyEthereum1.411.4076-0.17%1.34-4.96%0.0157✗1.01150k2022-04-11
SOLSolanaSolana111.07110.8768-0.17%99.7-10.24%0.0255✓1.25112.7M2022-04-11
UNIUniswapEthereum9.899.8723-0.18%8.98-9.20%0.0264✓1.068.8M2022-04-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.23530.234864-0.19%0.2176-7.52%0.0005✓1.193.2M2022-04-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6821.6788-0.19%1.532-8.92%0.0279✓0.993.4M2022-04-11
ORCAOrcaSolana2.042.0361-0.19%1.89-7.35%0.0293✓0.70268k2022-04-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.71310.711704-0.20%0.6492-8.96%0.0253✓1.037.9M2022-04-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2751.2725-0.20%1.172-8.08%0.0204✓0.963.1M2022-04-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.151650.151345-0.20%0.14287-5.79%0.0063✓0.8018k2022-04-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche80.9980.8253-0.20%74.37-8.17%0.0005✓1.29103.7M2022-04-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.4521.4051-0.21%19.15-10.72%0.0238✓1.36266k2022-04-11
CBKCobakEthereum2.3212.3161-0.21%2.121-8.62%0.0384✓0.7721k2022-04-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.53020.529071-0.21%0.4825-9.00%0.0455✓0.72376k2022-04-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.024570.024517-0.21%0.02252-8.34%0.0342✓0.794.7M2022-04-11
MOVRMoonriverBase64.6164.4698-0.22%56.1952-13.02%0.0435✓1.46192k2022-04-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash319.95319.25-0.22%294.92-7.82%0.0175✓0.968.3M2022-04-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.38420.383351-0.22%0.3489-9.19%0.0187✓1.1712.7M2022-04-11
QTUMQtumQtum6.80966.7943-0.22%6.1692-9.40%0.0218✓1.16206k2022-04-11
RADRadworksEthereum4.994.9787-0.23%4.55-8.82%0.0303✓0.93650k2022-04-11
ETHEthereumEthereum3,203.053,195.74-0.23%2,979.55-6.98%0.0016✓1.06483.3M2022-04-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.690.688415-0.23%0.61-11.59%0.0220✓1.54510k2022-04-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.21460.214098-0.23%0.1924-10.34%0.0369✓1.09276k2022-04-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34760.346746-0.25%0.3217-7.45%0.0198✗1.479.4M2022-04-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.44790.446796-0.25%0.3999-10.72%0.0212✓1.39727k2022-04-11
DIADIAEthereum0.940.937673-0.25%0.88-6.38%0.0351✓0.44172k2022-04-11
MANADecentralandEthereum2.26062.255-0.25%2.0547-9.11%0.0193✓1.141.5M2022-04-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5861.582-0.25%1.455-8.26%0.0193✓1.001.3M2022-04-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.211.2069-0.25%1.05-13.22%0.0663✓1.13738k2022-04-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.186.1644-0.25%5.74-7.12%0.0247✓0.721.1M2022-04-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07030.070121-0.25%0.0644-8.39%0.0077✓1.20471k2022-04-11
UOSUltraEthereum1.12021.1174-0.25%1.0136-9.52%0.0131✓1.311.4M2022-04-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,158.8120,106.74-0.26%18,505.78-8.20%0.0104✓1.135.9M2022-04-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.038640.03854-0.26%0.0387+0.16%0.0474✗0.67895k2022-04-11
BANDBandEthereum3.9543.9437-0.26%3.601-8.93%0.0123✓1.22733k2022-04-11
HIVEHivenative0.9190.916552-0.27%0.8479-7.74%0.0079✓1.092.0M2022-04-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.0865.0721-0.27%4.801-5.60%0.0101✗1.0179k2022-04-11
KCSKuCoinnative20.09820.042-0.28%18.988-5.52%0.0023✓0.875.4M2022-04-11
GITCOINGITCOIN6.3066.2884-0.28%5.621-10.86%0.0172✓1.4819k2022-04-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin110.26109.9515-0.28%102.54-7.00%0.0036✓1.0325.1M2022-04-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.5126.4358-0.28%23.85-10.03%0.0308✓1.1231.7M2022-04-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.075780.075566-0.28%0.06803-10.23%0.0378✓1.04116k2022-04-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.961.9545-0.28%1.82-7.14%0.0150✗1.341.2M2022-04-11
STORJStorjEthereum1.09891.0958-0.28%0.98693-10.19%0.0319✓1.13150k2022-04-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,359.4042,239.12-0.28%39,541.40-6.65%0.0046✓0.9530k2022-04-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.100340.100053-0.29%0.09068-9.63%0.0438✓0.8528k2022-04-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.2319.175-0.29%17.21-10.50%0.0389✓1.0720.9M2022-04-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0290.028917-0.29%0.02612-9.93%0.0275✓1.15326k2022-04-11
SCSiacoinnative0.010880.010849-0.29%0.00971-10.75%0.0355✓1.17540k2022-04-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.3596.3407-0.29%5.847-8.05%0.0378✓0.672.1M2022-04-11
ZENHorizenBase41.441.2808-0.29%37.52-9.37%0.0093✓1.34467k2022-04-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15150.151058-0.29%0.1411-6.86%0.0023✓1.02227k2022-04-11
BTTCBTTC0.000001960.000001954-0.30%0.00000179-8.67%0.0438✓0.6810.2M2022-04-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.4981.4935-0.30%1.318-12.02%0.0435✓1.273.9M2022-04-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.75110.748853-0.30%0.6935-7.67%0.0149✓0.9618.6M2022-04-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.850.847449-0.30%0.78-8.24%0.0254✓0.892.8M2022-04-11
XVSVenusEthereum10.710.6679-0.30%9.32-12.90%0.0638✓1.114.7M2022-04-11
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6471.642-0.31%1.473-10.56%0.0474✓0.9561k2022-04-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.0120.9456-0.31%18.33-12.76%0.0624✓1.108.8M2022-04-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4062.3986-0.31%2.169-9.85%0.0135✓1.358.8M2022-04-11
LSKLiskEthereum2.1652.1583-0.31%1.9954-7.83%0.0232✓0.86111k2022-04-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.86070.858029-0.31%0.8557-0.58%0.0296✗0.50690k2022-04-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.2415.1916-0.32%13.76-9.71%0.0266✓1.1225.7M2022-04-11
STXStacksnative1.231.226-0.32%1.13-8.13%0.0180✓0.99601k2022-04-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004660.004645-0.32%0.00415-10.94%0.0307✓1.279.6M2022-04-11
MINAMina Protocolnative2.972.96-0.34%2.56-13.80%0.0767✓1.061.2M2022-04-11
QNTQuantEthereum120.96120.5521-0.34%115.02-4.91%0.0133✗0.943.9M2022-04-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.50790.506165-0.34%0.4805-5.39%0.0416✓0.166,2412022-04-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018570.018506-0.34%0.01725-7.11%0.0059✓1.002.1M2022-04-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.456.4275-0.35%6.19-4.03%0.0129✗0.791.9M2022-04-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011810.011768-0.35%0.0107-9.40%0.0189✓1.184.3M2022-04-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26610.265129-0.36%0.2428-8.76%0.0324✓0.862.1M2022-04-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.865830.862657-0.37%0.80148-7.43%0.0092✓1.00266k2022-04-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.69730.69472-0.37%0.6102-12.49%0.0493✓1.25797k2022-04-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.9964.9775-0.37%4.58-8.33%0.0161✓1.04104k2022-04-11
DASHDashDash111.11110.6952-0.37%100.64-9.42%0.0312✓0.992.5M2022-04-11
IMXImmutableEthereum2.0442.0363-0.38%1.734-15.17%0.0953✓1.027.0M2022-04-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43990.438247-0.38%0.3845-12.59%0.0109✓1.862.3M2022-04-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,165.9642,006.51-0.38%39,535.87-6.24%0.0038✗1.00588.1M2022-04-11
XLMStellarStellar0.2003670.199604-0.38%0.186754-6.79%0.0017✓1.0118.8M2022-04-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.70394.686-0.38%4.2211-10.26%0.0429✓0.96261k2022-04-11
XECeCashnative0.000100250.000099865-0.38%0.00008851-11.71%0.0582✓0.979.4M2022-04-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.740720.737865-0.39%0.68502-7.52%0.0059✓1.06244k2022-04-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024420.000024324-0.39%0.00002217-9.21%0.0189✓1.152.6M2022-04-11
NANOnanopayBase2.46222.4525-0.40%2.1894-11.08%0.0414✓1.12275k2022-04-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2991.2939-0.40%1.114-14.24%0.0869✓0.971.6M2022-04-11
CELLCellframeEthereum1.11111.1066-0.40%0.9738-12.36%0.0366✓1.42224k2022-04-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05650.056272-0.40%0.0497-12.04%0.0153✓1.6940.5M2022-04-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9473.9309-0.41%3.607-8.61%0.0446✓0.643.5M2022-04-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24380.242802-0.41%0.2142-12.14%0.0437✓1.27368k2022-04-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.492.4797-0.41%2.24-10.04%0.0371✓1.00161k2022-04-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.12850.127961-0.42%0.1141-11.21%0.0400✓1.16989k2022-04-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.8327.7131-0.42%25.91-6.90%0.0091✓0.90651k2022-04-11
KSMKusamaHydration169.11168.3982-0.42%152.27-9.96%0.0319✓1.071.1M2022-04-11
ADACardanoCardano1.02741.023-0.43%0.9198-10.47%0.0411✓1.0163.0M2022-04-11
LUNATerraTerra 291.9491.5455-0.43%82.46-10.31%0.0212✓1.299.3M2022-04-11
COMPCompoundEthereum134.87134.2839-0.43%117.3-13.03%0.0617✓1.1462k2022-04-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.12731.1224-0.43%1.0161-9.86%0.0170✓1.2815.0M2022-04-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.053740.053505-0.44%0.04896-8.89%0.0223✓1.03579k2022-04-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.0313.9675-0.45%13.05-6.99%0.0085✗1.191.4M2022-04-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.566.5302-0.45%6.116-6.77%0.0073✗1.13435k2022-04-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.246.2116-0.46%5.84-6.41%0.0154✓0.721.7M2022-04-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1480570.147369-0.46%0.134052-9.46%0.0398✓0.853.9M2022-04-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.728.6795-0.46%8.27-5.16%0.0010✓0.732.4M2022-04-11
XVGVergenative0.010920.010869-0.47%0.0096-12.09%0.0491✓1.171.9M2022-04-11
FTTFTXEthereum44.9844.7669-0.47%41.36-8.05%0.0131✓1.0314.0M2022-04-11
UMAUMAEthereum6.9896.9555-0.48%6.111-12.56%0.0365✓1.443.5M2022-04-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.4114.3389-0.49%13.54-6.04%0.0314✓0.402.4M2022-04-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0167430.016659-0.50%0.014312-14.52%0.0961✓0.8738k2022-04-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.326.2877-0.51%5.6-11.39%0.0202✓1.49665k2022-04-11
ZECZcashZcash161.12160.2918-0.51%142.53-11.54%0.0558✓0.9612.4M2022-04-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.6615.5784-0.52%14.9-4.85%0.0130✓0.493.8M2022-04-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.0013.9801-0.52%3.385-15.40%0.0839✓1.21464k2022-04-11
XEMNEMnative0.10340.102857-0.53%0.0945-8.61%0.0267✓0.9061k2022-04-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.23910.237829-0.53%0.2007-16.06%0.0227✓2.28774k2022-04-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.661.6511-0.54%1.5-9.64%0.0094✓1.34479k2022-04-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0380040.037793-0.56%0.035748-5.94%0.0124✗1.064.1M2022-04-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.325.2897-0.57%4.774-10.26%0.0777✓0.396.7M2022-04-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.55484.5288-0.57%3.9688-12.87%0.0917✓0.637.9M2022-04-11
XMRMoneroMonero235.44234.0667-0.58%226.68-3.72%0.0266✗0.911.6M2022-04-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9173.8941-0.58%3.749-4.29%0.0127✗0.792.8M2022-04-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0269770.026815-0.60%0.026882-0.35%0.0471✗0.69194k2022-04-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.15386.1169-0.60%5.2825-14.16%0.0753✓1.1118.9M2022-04-11
APEApeCoinEthereum12.05811.9831-0.62%10.955-9.15%0.0253✓1.0056.9M2022-04-11
AVTAventusEthereum3.022.9999-0.66%2.58-14.57%0.1226✓0.44592k2022-04-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.64182.624-0.68%2.3706-10.27%0.0541✓0.7411k2022-04-11
API3Api3Ethereum4.5334.5009-0.71%3.961-12.62%0.0901✓0.593.6M2022-04-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.73695.6962-0.71%5.6758-1.07%0.0337✗0.586.6M2022-04-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3060.303714-0.75%0.269-12.09%0.0667✓0.8540k2022-04-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.97e-78.90e-7-0.77%8.34e-7-6.99%0.0922✓-0.43680k2022-04-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5560.550375-1.01%0.478-14.03%0.0675✓1.148.0M2022-04-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.11524.0649-1.22%4.0466-1.67%0.0478✗0.813.6M2022-04-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.3070.299662-2.39%0.259-15.64%0.1089✓0.5737k2022-04-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13670.133087-2.64%0.1274-6.80%0.0261✓1.08273k2022-04-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.