8=======>

2022-03-05 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 154 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1878
154 of 154 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.91%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.2%
in alpha space · 68.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.52%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (154 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0183180.018423+0.57%0.017916-2.19%0.0065✗0.84143k2022-03-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.013950.014013+0.45%0.01199-14.05%0.1183✗1.4712.7M2022-03-06
GTGateEthereum6.79676.8216+0.37%6.8076+0.16%0.0158✓0.702.8M2022-03-06
IMXImmutableEthereum1.2821.2862+0.32%1.152-10.14%0.0836✗1.043.4M2022-03-06
AAVEAaveEthereum124.61124.9974+0.31%116.73-6.32%0.0351✗1.317.2M2022-03-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1621.1647+0.24%1.088-6.37%0.0411✗1.063.0M2022-03-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3591.3622+0.23%1.3-4.34%0.0204✗1.03917k2022-03-06
ETHEthereumEthereum2,665.772,671.69+0.22%2,550.77-4.31%0.0186✗1.08561.7M2022-03-06
XMRMoneroMonero166.09166.4533+0.22%158.98-4.28%0.0205✗0.991.5M2022-03-06
MINAMina Protocolnative2.012.0143+0.21%1.92-4.48%0.0192✗1.12363k2022-03-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.98942.9955+0.20%2.9225-2.24%0.0064✗0.712.3M2022-03-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.346.3521+0.19%6.28-0.95%0.0089✓0.791.1M2022-03-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.67590.677149+0.18%0.63843-5.54%0.0251✗1.32161k2022-03-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.45610.456939+0.18%0.418-8.35%0.0365✗2.062.3M2022-03-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.1613.1793+0.15%12.47-5.24%0.0272✗1.10331k2022-03-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8982.9021+0.14%2.876-0.76%0.0112✓0.79436k2022-03-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.0945.101+0.14%4.983-2.18%0.0009✓0.9573k2022-03-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3341.3358+0.13%1.211-9.22%0.0668✗1.232.4M2022-03-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.154.1549+0.12%3.82-7.95%0.0461✗1.49430k2022-03-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012330.012344+0.12%0.01217-1.30%0.0052✓0.7613k2022-03-06
TRXTRONTron0.0604170.060488+0.12%0.058875-2.55%0.0080✗0.74307k2022-03-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.027010.027041+0.11%0.02606-3.52%0.0171✗0.784.0M2022-03-06
KSMKusamaHydration122.67122.7977+0.10%119.71-2.41%0.0033✓1.13910k2022-03-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8772.8799+0.10%2.732-5.04%0.0316✗0.83300k2022-03-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.99682.9993+0.08%2.9812-0.52%0.0123✓0.723.6M2022-03-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,402.4339,433.96+0.08%38,408.38-2.52%0.0008✓1.00706.4M2022-03-06
HIVEHivenative0.91610.916776+0.07%0.87-5.03%0.0212✗1.222.1M2022-03-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.286.2837+0.06%5.97-4.94%0.0305✗0.81518k2022-03-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.9272.9287+0.06%2.702-7.69%0.0522✗1.11660k2022-03-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,586.4039,605.61+0.05%38,936.90-1.64%0.0075✓0.9659k2022-03-06
ZECZcashZcash116.52116.5697+0.04%107.41-7.82%0.0538✗1.107.4M2022-03-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.3470.347144+0.04%0.329-5.19%0.0202✗1.318.7M2022-03-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.02784.0293+0.04%3.778-6.20%0.0365✗1.09244k2022-03-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.0214.0243+0.03%13.32-4.99%0.0219✗1.1650.0M2022-03-06
GITCOINGITCOIN6.0016.0028+0.03%5.586-6.92%0.0373✗1.3625k2022-03-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06890.068916+0.02%0.0672-2.47%0.0016✗0.9213k2022-03-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6870.687139+0.02%0.66-3.93%0.0156✗0.972.6M2022-03-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV81.2681.2736+0.02%77.72-4.36%0.0236✗0.83908k2022-03-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.262.2604+0.02%2.17-3.98%0.0152✗1.00220k2022-03-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.152950.152973+0.02%0.14543-4.92%0.0267✗0.9419k2022-03-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.090150.090162+0.01%0.08726-3.21%0.0078✗0.9742k2022-03-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024590.000024592+0.01%0.00002355-4.23%0.0116✗1.243.9M2022-03-06
COMPCompoundEthereum109.66109.6605+0.00%102-6.99%0.0423✗1.1857k2022-03-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.514.5099-0.00%4.307-4.50%0.0261✓0.78471k2022-03-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5007830.50077-0.00%0.478814-4.39%0.0170✓1.092.7M2022-03-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8613.8606-0.01%3.553-7.98%0.0519✓1.222.1M2022-03-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche76.7176.6964-0.02%72.47-5.53%0.0211✓1.39123.1M2022-03-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.052030.052019-0.02%0.05-3.90%0.0100✓1.16605k2022-03-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2460.245941-0.02%0.242-1.63%0.0042✗0.8066k2022-03-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4591.4586-0.03%1.447-0.82%0.0198✗1.091.8M2022-03-06
XTZTezosTezos3.1413.14-0.03%2.9738-5.32%0.0225✓1.251.7M2022-03-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1050.104959-0.04%0.1-4.76%0.0332✓0.6044k2022-03-06
BTTCBTTC0.000001860.000001859-0.04%0.00000178-4.30%0.0272✓0.6413.7M2022-03-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.8327.8132-0.06%26.55-4.60%0.0199✓1.045.2M2022-03-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2380.237856-0.06%0.2294-3.61%0.0131✓0.902.0M2022-03-06
ADACardanoCardano0.86540.864873-0.06%0.823-4.90%0.0216✓1.1092.2M2022-03-06
CBKCobakEthereum2.182.1786-0.06%2.108-3.30%0.0113✓0.8521k2022-03-06
KCSKuCoinnative18.5918.5774-0.07%18.061-2.85%0.0025✓1.019.1M2022-03-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.415.4061-0.07%5.1-5.73%0.0374✓0.82592k2022-03-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.038570.038542-0.07%0.03826-0.80%0.0161✗0.9229k2022-03-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05730.057254-0.08%0.0524-8.55%0.0445✓1.7364.3M2022-03-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018710.018694-0.09%0.01701-9.09%0.0674✓1.062.1M2022-03-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin104.9104.8079-0.09%101.1-3.62%0.0086✓1.0729.3M2022-03-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.77440.773715-0.09%0.7462-3.64%0.0077✓1.1219.5M2022-03-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.35625.3514-0.09%5.3709+0.27%0.0131✗0.37300k2022-03-06
ZENHorizenBase34.6934.6582-0.09%33.26-4.12%0.0049✓1.42280k2022-03-06
DODODODOEthereum0.4240.423608-0.09%0.395-6.84%0.0397✓1.183.9M2022-03-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1460.145858-0.10%0.1441-1.30%0.0138✗1.02318k2022-03-06
DASHDashDash89.6989.5986-0.10%85.59-4.57%0.0182✓1.081.5M2022-03-06
SOLSolanaSolana89.6289.5221-0.11%84.57-5.63%0.0243✓1.28118.7M2022-03-06
MOVRMoonriverBase60.029259.9636-0.11%55.607-7.37%0.0404✓1.37223k2022-03-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011830.011817-0.11%0.0114-3.63%0.0013✓1.352.9M2022-03-06
BANDBandEthereum3.813.8058-0.11%3.706-2.73%0.0043✗1.211.6M2022-03-06
QTUMQtumQtum6.07936.072-0.12%5.7763-4.98%0.0174✓1.27226k2022-03-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4191.4173-0.12%1.342-5.43%0.0162✓1.50797k2022-03-06
SCSiacoinnative0.008620.008609-0.13%0.00845-1.97%0.0113✗1.17525k2022-03-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.8514.8306-0.13%14.03-5.52%0.0205✓1.372.5M2022-03-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.76070.759681-0.13%0.7112-6.51%0.0285✓1.47227k2022-03-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45830.457661-0.14%0.4255-7.16%0.0368✓1.41452k2022-03-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.21220.211895-0.14%0.197-7.16%0.0356✓1.462.5M2022-03-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00410.004094-0.15%0.00377-8.05%0.0411✓1.626.0M2022-03-06
QNTQuantEthereum120.94120.7604-0.15%110.38-8.73%0.0638✓1.026.2M2022-03-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.811.8073-0.15%1.71-5.52%0.0213✓1.331.9M2022-03-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1248870.124696-0.15%0.120679-3.37%0.0096✓0.913.7M2022-03-06
RADRadworksEthereum54.9923-0.15%4.9-2.00%0.0065✗0.98862k2022-03-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.73640.735218-0.16%0.6929-5.91%0.0330✓1.039.5M2022-03-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.6817.6514-0.16%16.6-6.11%0.0332✓1.1019.0M2022-03-06
MANADecentralandEthereum2.55022.546-0.17%2.4146-5.32%0.0202✓1.283.1M2022-03-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.3723.3296-0.17%22.08-5.52%0.0204✓1.361.4M2022-03-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2472.2431-0.17%2.06-8.32%0.0487✓1.4312.1M2022-03-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.1735.164-0.17%4.82-6.82%0.0440✓0.97166k2022-03-06
XVGVergenative0.009540.009523-0.18%0.00921-3.46%0.0033✓1.181.4M2022-03-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8210.819551-0.18%0.775-5.60%0.0237✓1.262.4M2022-03-06
DIADIAEthereum1.011.0082-0.18%0.95-5.94%0.0510✓0.33277k2022-03-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1803320.179997-0.19%0.172791-4.18%0.0139✓1.0519.8M2022-03-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0121090.012086-0.19%0.011572-4.43%0.0178✓1.0012k2022-03-06
XECeCashnative0.000072910.000072772-0.19%0.0000699-4.13%0.0134✓1.054.5M2022-03-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02750.027446-0.19%0.02514-8.58%0.0568✓1.21503k2022-03-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.53310.532048-0.20%0.5029-5.66%0.0353✓0.82536k2022-03-06
XEMNEMnative0.09780.097607-0.20%0.0955-2.35%0.0011✓0.9040k2022-03-06
XVSVenusEthereum8.848.8224-0.20%8.47-4.19%0.0104✓1.193.6M2022-03-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.2680.267458-0.20%0.2571-4.07%0.0079✓1.24252k2022-03-06
SUSHISushiEthereum3.13.0937-0.20%2.91-6.13%0.0303✓1.216.5M2022-03-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.960310.958289-0.21%0.91478-4.74%0.0140✓1.27151k2022-03-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.660.658597-0.21%0.64-3.03%0.0143✗1.68988k2022-03-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.36230.361504-0.22%0.3243-10.49%0.0671✓1.6213.2M2022-03-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06920.069044-0.23%0.0678-2.02%0.0072✗0.99159k2022-03-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8262.8193-0.24%2.4383-13.72%0.1196✓1.0011.3M2022-03-06
XYMSymbolnative0.140.139665-0.24%0.136-2.86%0.0058✓0.81299k2022-03-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.061.0574-0.25%0.98-7.55%0.0505✓1.001.2M2022-03-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.066260.066092-0.25%0.06662+0.54%0.0380✗1.1854k2022-03-06
FTTFTXEthereum41.1641.0547-0.26%39.81-3.28%0.0027✓1.1019.6M2022-03-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.36170.360726-0.27%0.322-10.98%0.0781✓1.391.1M2022-03-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.0880.087758-0.27%0.0829-5.80%0.0184✓1.51591k2022-03-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.0619.0061-0.28%17.6-7.66%0.0417✓1.37319k2022-03-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.221.2164-0.29%1.11-9.02%0.0658✓1.01759k2022-03-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1180.117655-0.29%0.1112-5.76%0.0254✓1.223.2M2022-03-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07090.070686-0.30%0.0687-3.10%0.0034✗1.251.0M2022-03-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.0919.0301-0.31%18.46-3.30%0.0043✓1.029.1M2022-03-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.94091.9348-0.32%2.0803+7.18%0.0974✗0.9782k2022-03-06
UNIUniswapEthereum9.028.991-0.32%8.48-5.99%0.0298✓1.129.0M2022-03-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.2717.2112-0.34%17.3+0.17%0.0203✗0.592.9M2022-03-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.929.7946-0.35%28.82-3.61%0.0092✓0.941.5M2022-03-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.80210.799249-0.36%0.749-6.62%0.0570✓0.311.2M2022-03-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.37312.3645-0.36%2.0504-13.60%0.1235✓0.7425k2022-03-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.3217.2571-0.36%16.99-1.91%0.0144✗1.1826.3M2022-03-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,264.0020,189.50-0.37%18,244.52-9.97%0.0765✓0.975.4M2022-03-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash294.47293.3446-0.38%282.11-4.20%0.0149✓0.957.2M2022-03-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5610.5139-0.44%10.3-2.46%0.0055✓0.59984k2022-03-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.066.0314-0.47%5.58-7.92%0.0427✓1.38829k2022-03-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72770.724143-0.49%0.6795-6.62%0.0305✓1.302.8M2022-03-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2810.279538-0.52%0.271-3.56%0.0011✓1.262.1M2022-03-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.8530.6861-0.53%28.14-8.78%0.0560✓1.2048.9M2022-03-06
UOSUltraEthereum1.28681.28-0.53%1.1901-7.52%0.0373✓1.393.1M2022-03-06
NANOnanopayBase1.81571.806-0.54%1.69-6.92%0.0377✓1.12171k2022-03-06
FIDABonfidaSolana1.891.8788-0.59%1.794-5.08%0.0233✓0.9068k2022-03-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum51.8751.5607-0.60%48.83-5.86%0.0208✓1.316.3M2022-03-06
SGBSongbirdnative0.07790.077405-0.64%0.0768-1.41%0.0177✗1.00847k2022-03-06
AVTAventusEthereum2.592.573-0.66%2.31-10.81%0.0989✓0.35443k2022-03-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.045060.044763-0.66%0.042886-4.82%0.0163✓1.048.1M2022-03-06
STXStacksnative1.141.132-0.70%1.08-5.26%0.0172✓1.17498k2022-03-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.34452.3273-0.73%2.227-5.01%0.0234✓0.812.7M2022-03-06
PROPropyEthereum1.771.7562-0.78%1.66-6.21%0.0270✓1.15385k2022-03-06
LUNATerraTerra 287.5386.7391-0.90%79.23-9.48%0.0547✓1.405.3M2022-03-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.28.1216-0.96%7.79-5.00%0.0219✓0.77490k2022-03-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.866.7943-0.96%6.398-6.73%0.0345✓1.00816k2022-03-06
ORCAOrcaSolana2.432.4065-0.97%2.26-7.00%0.0433✓0.76393k2022-03-06
CELLCellframeEthereum1.43971.4258-0.97%1.3889-3.53%0.0067✓1.29293k2022-03-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.038650.038273-0.97%0.03483-9.88%0.0748✓0.761.1M2022-03-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.23260.230185-1.04%0.2075-10.79%0.0712✓1.272.8M2022-03-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.293.2555-1.05%3.369+2.40%0.0472✗0.511.0M2022-03-06
UMAUMAEthereum9.3139.2151-1.05%8.411-9.69%0.0567✓1.362.2M2022-03-06
API3Api3Ethereum6.5136.441-1.11%5.559-14.65%0.1324✓0.587.0M2022-03-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011170.000001066-4.57%0.000001612+44.32%0.4392✗1.001.1M2022-03-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.