8=======>

2022-03-04 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 152 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0021
152 of 152 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.81%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
20.4%
in alpha space · 17.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.60%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (152 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UMAUMAEthereum9.2169.0343-1.97%9.313+1.05%0.0223✗1.352.0M2022-03-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.518.359-1.77%8.2-3.64%0.0239✓0.78480k2022-03-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3173.2691-1.44%3.29-0.81%0.0032✓0.52955k2022-03-05
AVTAventusEthereum2.722.683-1.36%2.59-4.78%0.0413✓1.00443k2022-03-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73040.721321-1.24%0.7277-0.37%0.0010✓1.292.7M2022-03-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.37e-77.29e-7-1.00%0.000001117+51.59%0.4201✗1.001.0M2022-03-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05660.056098-0.89%0.0573+1.24%0.0108✗1.7366.8M2022-03-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.417.2462-0.88%17.27-0.75%0.0022✓0.602.8M2022-03-05
LUNATerraTerra 283.4982.7748-0.86%87.53+4.84%0.0475✗1.405.0M2022-03-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34640.343554-0.82%0.3623+4.59%0.0434✗1.6214.3M2022-03-05
FIDABonfidaSolana1.7991.7844-0.81%1.89+5.06%0.0521✗0.8968k2022-03-05
PROPropyEthereum1.761.7475-0.71%1.77+0.57%0.0059✓1.15411k2022-03-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.50672.4896-0.68%2.3445-6.47%0.0649✓0.812.9M2022-03-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.3710.3008-0.67%10.56+1.83%0.0213✗0.59984k2022-03-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2740.272218-0.65%0.281+2.55%0.0242✗1.252.1M2022-03-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.4380.435369-0.60%0.4561+4.13%0.0342✗2.052.3M2022-03-05
API3Api3Ethereum6.3116.2732-0.60%6.513+3.20%0.0340✗0.587.0M2022-03-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum49.749.406-0.59%51.87+4.37%0.0408✗1.306.3M2022-03-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.240.238589-0.59%0.246+2.50%0.0258✗0.7966k2022-03-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.03042.0187-0.58%2.3731+16.88%0.1574✗0.7325k2022-03-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.52920.526146-0.58%0.5331+0.74%0.0082✗0.82545k2022-03-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.721.7105-0.55%1.81+5.23%0.0486✗1.321.9M2022-03-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.150630.14981-0.54%0.15295+1.54%0.0152✗0.9321k2022-03-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.8832.8673-0.54%2.877-0.21%0.0016✓0.83276k2022-03-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.90911.8988-0.54%1.9409+1.67%0.0161✗0.9682k2022-03-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.276.2368-0.53%6.28+0.16%0.0020✓0.82518k2022-03-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.5130.3492-0.53%30.85+1.11%0.0092✗1.1952.8M2022-03-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0441480.043916-0.52%0.04506+2.07%0.0195✗1.048.1M2022-03-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.6828.5302-0.52%29.9+4.25%0.0413✗0.941.5M2022-03-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.064380.064046-0.52%0.06626+2.92%0.0270✗1.1760k2022-03-05
BANDBandEthereum3.723.7019-0.49%3.81+2.42%0.0216✗1.201.7M2022-03-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.2615.1857-0.49%14.85-2.69%0.0306✓1.372.4M2022-03-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011110.011058-0.47%0.01183+6.48%0.0594✗1.342.9M2022-03-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.26230.261085-0.46%0.268+2.17%0.0188✗1.23284k2022-03-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos54.9773-0.45%5.173+3.46%0.0328✗0.96166k2022-03-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1223920.12184-0.45%0.124887+2.04%0.0193✗0.903.7M2022-03-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.3812.3243-0.45%13.16+6.30%0.0590✗1.10312k2022-03-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.350.348428-0.45%0.3617+3.34%0.0291✗1.381.2M2022-03-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0113910.01134-0.45%0.012109+6.30%0.0596✗1.0013k2022-03-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3461.34-0.45%1.334-0.89%0.0118✓1.222.4M2022-03-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0040.003982-0.44%0.0041+2.50%0.0194✗1.616.6M2022-03-05
FTTFTXEthereum40.540.3227-0.44%41.16+1.63%0.0140✗1.1019.7M2022-03-05
QNTQuantEthereum118.5117.9841-0.44%120.94+2.06%0.0187✗1.016.3M2022-03-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14720.146579-0.42%0.146-0.82%0.0101✓1.01330k2022-03-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.093.077-0.42%2.927-5.28%0.0567✓1.11660k2022-03-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2522.2426-0.42%2.247-0.22%0.0066✓1.4312.7M2022-03-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.7413.6827-0.42%14.02+2.04%0.0174✗1.1550.1M2022-03-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4384.4195-0.42%4.51+1.62%0.0156✗0.78463k2022-03-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.76050.75739-0.41%0.7744+1.83%0.0155✗1.1219.7M2022-03-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.088930.088568-0.41%0.09015+1.37%0.0119✗0.9742k2022-03-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.00932.9971-0.41%2.9894-0.66%0.0070✓0.742.4M2022-03-05
STXStacksnative1.111.1056-0.40%1.14+2.70%0.0237✗1.17517k2022-03-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4131.4074-0.39%1.459+3.26%0.0295✗1.081.8M2022-03-05
ADACardanoCardano0.8450.841699-0.39%0.8654+2.41%0.0212✗1.0992.2M2022-03-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.01773.006-0.39%2.9968-0.69%0.0075✓0.743.6M2022-03-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.385.3592-0.39%5.41+0.56%0.0045✗0.82584k2022-03-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3581.3528-0.38%1.419+4.49%0.0388✗1.49797k2022-03-05
ZECZcashZcash117.05116.6034-0.38%116.52-0.45%0.0073✓1.107.4M2022-03-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.73262.7222-0.38%2.826+3.42%0.0314✗1.0012.7M2022-03-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.6217.5533-0.38%17.68+0.34%0.0006✓1.1019.5M2022-03-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11690.116458-0.38%0.118+0.94%0.0059✗1.213.2M2022-03-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.825.798-0.38%6.06+4.12%0.0360✗1.37829k2022-03-05
XVGVergenative0.009440.009404-0.38%0.00954+1.06%0.0072✗1.181.4M2022-03-05
XEMNEMnative0.0960.095651-0.36%0.0978+1.87%0.0169✗0.8940k2022-03-05
NANOnanopayBase1.75291.7465-0.36%1.8157+3.58%0.0321✗1.12171k2022-03-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.222.2121-0.36%2.26+1.80%0.0154✗1.00242k2022-03-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06920.068956-0.35%0.0709+2.46%0.0203✗1.241.0M2022-03-05
XLMStellarStellar0.176060.175442-0.35%0.180332+2.43%0.0212✗1.0519.8M2022-03-05
HIVEHivenative0.90480.901689-0.34%0.9161+1.25%0.0086✗1.212.1M2022-03-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.8218.7562-0.34%19.09+1.43%0.0115✗1.029.1M2022-03-05
ORCAOrcaSolana2.362.352-0.34%2.43+2.97%0.0280✗0.76393k2022-03-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1050.104646-0.34%0.105+0.00%0.0002✓0.6044k2022-03-05
UOSUltraEthereum1.25761.2533-0.34%1.2868+2.33%0.0180✗1.393.1M2022-03-05
DODODODOEthereum0.4120.410619-0.34%0.424+2.91%0.0250✗1.184.1M2022-03-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.96783.9546-0.33%4.0278+1.51%0.0118✗1.09244k2022-03-05
CELLCellframeEthereum1.42431.4196-0.33%1.4397+1.08%0.0063✗1.29293k2022-03-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,859.0119,793.60-0.33%20,264.00+2.04%0.0177✗0.975.8M2022-03-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02770.027609-0.33%0.0275-0.72%0.0112✓1.21503k2022-03-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.02660.026513-0.33%0.02701+1.54%0.0139✗0.774.0M2022-03-05
MANADecentralandEthereum2.47812.4699-0.33%2.5502+2.91%0.0243✗1.273.1M2022-03-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.19520.194561-0.33%0.2326+19.16%0.1710✗1.262.7M2022-03-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0391.0356-0.33%1.06+2.02%0.0173✗0.991.2M2022-03-05
KSMKusamaHydration120.67120.2769-0.33%122.67+1.66%0.0130✗1.12910k2022-03-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.047350.0472-0.32%0.05203+9.88%0.0905✗1.15605k2022-03-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06710.066887-0.32%0.0692+3.13%0.0281✗0.99159k2022-03-05
DIADIAEthereum0.970.96697-0.31%1.01+4.12%0.0416✗0.33277k2022-03-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012110.012072-0.31%0.01233+1.82%0.0166✗0.7613k2022-03-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.6327.5442-0.31%27.83+0.72%0.0041✗1.045.2M2022-03-05
QTUMQtumQtum5.92545.9071-0.31%6.0793+2.60%0.0211✗1.26226k2022-03-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.949430.946504-0.31%0.96031+1.15%0.0069✗1.27162k2022-03-05
RADRadworksEthereum5.075.0547-0.30%5-1.38%0.0168✓0.98862k2022-03-05
COMPCompoundEthereum108.79108.4613-0.30%109.66+0.80%0.0039✗1.1757k2022-03-05
DASHDashDash89.5989.3212-0.30%89.69+0.11%0.0023✓1.071.5M2022-03-05
XVSVenusEthereum8.588.5544-0.30%8.84+3.03%0.0257✗1.183.6M2022-03-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.340.338986-0.30%0.347+2.06%0.0155✗1.318.7M2022-03-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,166.5139,050.30-0.30%39,402.43+0.60%0.0030✓1.00706.4M2022-03-05
XECeCashnative0.000070610.000070401-0.30%0.00007291+3.26%0.0287✗1.054.5M2022-03-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.171.1666-0.29%1.22+4.27%0.0387✗1.00770k2022-03-05
XYMSymbolnative0.14050.140097-0.29%0.14-0.36%0.0055✓0.81299k2022-03-05
UNIUniswapEthereum8.818.785-0.28%9.02+2.38%0.0197✗1.129.2M2022-03-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034510.034413-0.28%0.03865+12.00%0.1116✗0.751.1M2022-03-05
SCSiacoinnative0.008470.008447-0.28%0.00862+1.77%0.0133✗1.17546k2022-03-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.78170.779554-0.27%0.8021+2.61%0.0267✗0.311.2M2022-03-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.16.0833-0.27%6.34+3.93%0.0367✗0.781.1M2022-03-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06790.067714-0.27%0.0689+1.47%0.0118✗0.9213k2022-03-05
BTTCBTTC0.000001830.000001825-0.27%0.00000186+1.64%0.0152✗0.6413.7M2022-03-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017610.017563-0.26%0.01871+6.25%0.0569✗1.052.2M2022-03-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin101.05100.7851-0.26%104.9+3.81%0.0336✗1.0729.3M2022-03-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.654010.652296-0.26%0.6759+3.35%0.0276✗1.32180k2022-03-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.650.648358-0.25%0.66+1.54%0.0077✗1.68988k2022-03-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.974.9576-0.25%5.094+2.49%0.0215✗0.9472k2022-03-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2350.234417-0.25%0.238+1.28%0.0098✗0.902.0M2022-03-05
GITCOINGITCOIN5.8515.8365-0.25%6.001+2.56%0.0197✗1.3525k2022-03-05
MINAMina Protocolnative2.022.015-0.25%2.01-0.50%0.0092✓1.12354k2022-03-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.710.70826-0.25%0.7364+3.72%0.0328✗1.029.6M2022-03-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.037810.037718-0.24%0.03857+2.01%0.0169✗0.9129k2022-03-05
ZENHorizenBase33.6133.5284-0.24%34.69+3.21%0.0256✗1.41280k2022-03-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000023530.000023473-0.24%0.00002459+4.50%0.0391✗1.243.9M2022-03-05
MOVRMoonriverBase60.232760.088-0.24%60.0292-0.34%0.0092✓1.37223k2022-03-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.2118.1671-0.24%19.06+4.67%0.0398✗1.37325k2022-03-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.7916.7508-0.23%17.32+3.16%0.0264✗1.1726.4M2022-03-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.53795.5253-0.23%5.3562-3.28%0.0333✓0.38300k2022-03-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.08510.084907-0.23%0.088+3.41%0.0268✗1.50592k2022-03-05
XTZTezosTezos3.07893.0719-0.23%3.141+2.02%0.0148✗1.241.7M2022-03-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.73540.733748-0.22%0.7607+3.44%0.0273✗1.45227k2022-03-05
XMRMoneroMonero159.78159.4212-0.22%166.09+3.95%0.0350✗0.991.4M2022-03-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8772.8706-0.22%2.898+0.73%0.0047✗0.80457k2022-03-05
CBKCobakEthereum2.1342.1294-0.22%2.18+2.16%0.0185✗0.8423k2022-03-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,591.9039,506.53-0.22%39,586.40-0.01%0.0038✓0.9659k2022-03-05
KCSKuCoinnative18.23818.1992-0.21%18.59+1.93%0.0152✗1.009.1M2022-03-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.780.77835-0.21%0.821+5.26%0.0459✗1.252.4M2022-03-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6183.6105-0.21%3.861+6.72%0.0598✗1.212.1M2022-03-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.2090.208568-0.21%0.2122+1.53%0.0085✗1.452.5M2022-03-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash290.67290.0707-0.21%294.47+1.31%0.0094✗0.947.3M2022-03-05
SOLSolanaSolana88.3288.1389-0.21%89.62+1.47%0.0090✗1.27121.6M2022-03-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3481.3454-0.20%1.359+0.82%0.0039✗1.03917k2022-03-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.321.3174-0.19%1.282-2.88%0.0335✓1.043.4M2022-03-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1141.112-0.18%1.162+4.31%0.0376✗1.053.0M2022-03-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.690.688822-0.17%0.687-0.43%0.0084✓0.962.6M2022-03-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV79.3679.2266-0.17%81.26+2.39%0.0204✗0.82908k2022-03-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0185940.018563-0.17%0.018318-1.48%0.0183✓0.84143k2022-03-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche75.8275.6968-0.16%76.71+1.17%0.0050✗1.39123.1M2022-03-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.8622.824-0.16%23.37+2.23%0.0155✗1.351.4M2022-03-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.054.0438-0.15%4.15+2.47%0.0170✗1.48458k2022-03-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4951140.494433-0.14%0.500783+1.14%0.0063✗1.082.8M2022-03-05
ETHEthereumEthereum2,623.072,620.04-0.12%2,665.77+1.63%0.0108✗1.08561.7M2022-03-05
SUSHISushiEthereum3.043.0368-0.11%3.1+1.97%0.0134✗1.206.5M2022-03-05
GTGateEthereum6.68186.6753-0.10%6.7967+1.72%0.0139✗0.692.8M2022-03-05
TRXTRONTron0.0582640.058229-0.06%0.060417+3.70%0.0324✗0.74307k2022-03-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.45040.4502-0.04%0.4583+1.75%0.0094✗1.40452k2022-03-05
AAVEAaveEthereum124.3124.3818+0.07%124.61+0.25%0.0060✗1.307.2M2022-03-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014430.014453+0.16%0.01395-3.33%0.0442✗1.4712.7M2022-03-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.