8=======>

2022-03-02 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 152 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1315
152 of 152 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.69%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
33.6%
in alpha space · 78.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.30%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (152 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UMAUMAEthereum8.4218.2918-1.53%9.598+13.98%0.1940✗1.421.9M2022-03-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06550.064589-1.39%0.0637-2.75%0.0455✗1.7772.8M2022-03-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.40330.397694-1.39%0.3687-8.58%0.0207✓1.6414.7M2022-03-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72910.719113-1.37%0.8058+10.52%0.1608✗1.402.5M2022-03-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.77512.7373-1.36%2.773-0.08%0.0423✗0.882.7M2022-03-03
LUNATerraTerra 292.4391.2171-1.31%90.56-2.02%0.0407✗1.434.8M2022-03-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.947.8379-1.29%7.63-3.90%0.0039✓0.92461k2022-03-03
API3Api3Ethereum7.37.2064-1.28%7.315+0.21%0.0317✗0.504.1M2022-03-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004690.004635-1.18%0.00456-2.77%0.0386✗1.649.6M2022-03-03
FIDABonfidaSolana2.2372.2111-1.16%1.976-11.67%0.0860✓0.7976k2022-03-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.165420.163858-0.94%0.16147-2.39%0.0250✗1.1822k2022-03-03
RADRadworksEthereum5.595.5386-0.92%5.51-1.43%0.0282✗1.00828k2022-03-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.23112.2107-0.92%2.2899+2.64%0.0590✗0.7126k2022-03-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.992.9657-0.81%2.873-3.91%0.0003✓0.94792k2022-03-03
PROPropyEthereum1.821.8062-0.76%1.92+5.49%0.1016✗1.21411k2022-03-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.6472.6282-0.71%2.508-5.25%0.0020✓1.4513.6M2022-03-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.982.9591-0.70%2.882-3.29%0.0034✓0.89223k2022-03-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.50290.499407-0.69%0.4722-6.10%0.0114✗2.012.2M2022-03-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.95921.9456-0.69%2.1075+7.57%0.1148✗1.0477k2022-03-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.1516.0399-0.68%16.42+1.67%0.0470✗0.702.3M2022-03-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3080.305965-0.66%0.295-4.22%0.0073✗1.312.2M2022-03-03
CELLCellframeEthereum1.62261.6119-0.66%1.6497+1.67%0.0658✗1.27293k2022-03-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0122160.012137-0.65%0.011953-2.15%0.0195✗1.0414k2022-03-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.436.3886-0.64%6.33-1.56%0.0203✗0.88478k2022-03-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.29e-76.25e-7-0.64%6.88e-7+9.33%0.1292✗1.001.1M2022-03-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012310.012232-0.63%0.01199-2.60%0.0265✗1.392.8M2022-03-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.09910.098483-0.62%0.095-4.14%0.0139✗1.49613k2022-03-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.931.9181-0.62%1.85-4.15%0.0084✗1.332.0M2022-03-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072580.072135-0.61%0.06983-3.79%0.0095✗1.2569k2022-03-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07750.077037-0.60%0.0725-6.45%0.0171✓1.301.0M2022-03-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.0386.0029-0.58%5.584-7.52%0.0372✓1.05166k2022-03-03
FTTFTXEthereum46.1645.8927-0.58%44.86-2.82%0.0130✗1.0722.8M2022-03-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.2532.0658-0.57%34.01+5.46%0.0973✗1.1550.3M2022-03-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.575.5385-0.57%5.38-3.41%0.0004✓0.85540k2022-03-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum55.5955.2798-0.56%53.31-4.10%0.0073✗1.306.5M2022-03-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum22,346.9422,223.95-0.55%21,698.86-2.90%0.0089✗0.985.9M2022-03-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.6913.6162-0.54%13.32-2.70%0.0149✗1.10331k2022-03-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.29450.292929-0.53%0.2824-4.11%0.0075✗1.32317k2022-03-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.3730.2094-0.53%30.05-1.05%0.0259✗0.931.5M2022-03-03
STXStacksnative1.251.2435-0.52%1.21-3.20%0.0129✗1.20585k2022-03-03
BANDBandEthereum4.0163.9954-0.51%3.962-1.34%0.0356✗1.311.8M2022-03-03
MOVRMoonriverBase71.5571.1994-0.49%66.5878-6.94%0.0206✓1.38231k2022-03-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2923.2759-0.49%3.01-8.57%0.0511✓1.0019.7M2022-03-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15950.158724-0.49%0.1559-2.26%0.0165✗1.03420k2022-03-03
ZECZcashZcash125.91125.3075-0.48%129.17+2.59%0.0679✗1.127.4M2022-03-03
ORCAOrcaSolana2.522.508-0.48%2.46-2.38%0.0142✗1.00445k2022-03-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5481.5406-0.48%1.479-4.46%0.0076✗1.45842k2022-03-03
UOSUltraEthereum1.3891.3825-0.47%1.4091+1.44%0.0644✗1.352.8M2022-03-03
HIVEHivenative0.99880.994113-0.47%0.9796-1.92%0.0250✗1.182.1M2022-03-03
DODODODOEthereum0.4680.465826-0.46%0.448-4.27%0.0043✓1.294.2M2022-03-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,912.3443,708.50-0.46%42,464.41-3.30%0.0047✓1.00632.3M2022-03-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.646.6093-0.46%6.34-4.52%0.0057✗1.41942k2022-03-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1641.1586-0.46%1.176+1.03%0.0507✗1.071.4M2022-03-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1410.0934-0.46%10.07-0.69%0.0198✗0.66928k2022-03-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.046790.046575-0.46%0.046937+0.31%0.0436✗1.078.1M2022-03-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.591.5828-0.45%1.523-4.21%0.0001✓1.152.0M2022-03-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56650.563941-0.45%0.5501-2.89%0.0059✗0.92607k2022-03-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.8952.882-0.45%3.084+6.53%0.1115✗1.30584k2022-03-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.2915.2226-0.44%14.89-2.62%0.0174✗1.1850.8M2022-03-03
XVGVergenative0.010370.010325-0.43%0.01001-3.47%0.0109✗1.251.3M2022-03-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0210730.020982-0.43%0.020258-3.87%0.0061✓0.87135k2022-03-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5054.4857-0.43%4.418-1.93%0.0130✗0.84453k2022-03-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1330810.132518-0.42%0.129579-2.63%0.0091✗0.943.7M2022-03-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.3119.2295-0.42%19.97+3.42%0.0765✗1.1520.0M2022-03-03
IMXImmutableEthereum1.4641.4579-0.42%1.46-0.27%0.0368✗1.063.4M2022-03-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1160.11552-0.41%0.118+1.72%0.0398✗0.5544k2022-03-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.271.2647-0.41%1.24-2.36%0.0152✗1.04824k2022-03-03
KSMKusamaHydration138.31137.7394-0.41%131.9-4.63%0.0048✓1.151.0M2022-03-03
XVSVenusEthereum9.789.7397-0.41%9.34-4.50%0.0012✓1.213.5M2022-03-03
MANADecentralandEthereum2.75322.7419-0.41%2.6368-4.23%0.0012✓1.203.3M2022-03-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.432.4201-0.41%2.38-2.06%0.0169✗1.00268k2022-03-03
AVTAventusEthereum2.352.3404-0.41%2.38+1.28%0.0503✗1.00422k2022-03-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12990.129379-0.40%0.1221-6.00%0.0145✓1.303.2M2022-03-03
ADACardanoCardano0.93940.935689-0.40%0.9021-3.97%0.0011✓1.1296.3M2022-03-03
STORJStorjEthereum1.07421.07-0.39%1.0476-2.48%0.0234✗1.33187k2022-03-03
QNTQuantEthereum117.95117.4918-0.39%127.04+7.71%0.1113✗0.996.3M2022-03-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.3970.395461-0.39%0.381-4.03%0.0105✗1.421.3M2022-03-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.7320.6503-0.38%20.13-2.89%0.0120✗1.129.1M2022-03-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.03223.0207-0.38%2.95-2.71%0.0056✗0.873.6M2022-03-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1936240.1929-0.37%0.187901-2.96%0.0097✗1.0719.8M2022-03-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.02973.0184-0.37%2.9519-2.57%0.0073✗0.882.4M2022-03-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.4134.3966-0.37%4.2636-3.39%0.0074✗1.14244k2022-03-03
XEMNEMnative0.10640.106009-0.37%0.1029-3.29%0.0029✓0.9740k2022-03-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.82040.817385-0.37%0.7967-2.89%0.0123✗1.1319.9M2022-03-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,262.0044,102.28-0.36%42,572.60-3.82%0.0026✓0.9753k2022-03-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.033970.033847-0.36%0.03435+1.12%0.0447✗0.891.1M2022-03-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3591.3542-0.36%1.545+13.69%0.1745✗1.272.0M2022-03-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.9763.9619-0.36%3.808-4.23%0.0018✓1.242.2M2022-03-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.654.6335-0.35%4.42-4.95%0.0036✗1.51471k2022-03-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.750.747353-0.35%0.72-4.00%0.0202✗1.721.0M2022-03-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07540.075135-0.35%0.072-4.51%0.0094✓0.99157k2022-03-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.37420.372888-0.35%0.3647-2.54%0.0233✗1.368.7M2022-03-03
COMPCompoundEthereum122.45122.0235-0.35%116.89-4.54%0.0021✓1.2258k2022-03-03
XTZTezosTezos3.4943.4819-0.35%3.3937-2.87%0.0173✗1.281.9M2022-03-03
XMRMoneroMonero177.46176.8518-0.34%172.04-3.05%0.0060✗1.001.2M2022-03-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1615.1087-0.34%14.3-5.67%0.0055✓1.482.4M2022-03-03
UNIUniswapEthereum10.0510.0161-0.34%9.55-4.98%0.0079✓1.1910.4M2022-03-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1143.1036-0.33%2.941-5.56%0.0256✓0.84477k2022-03-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.5229.4214-0.33%30.25+2.47%0.0639✗1.085.2M2022-03-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25710.256244-0.33%0.249-3.15%0.0019✓0.912.0M2022-03-03
XECeCashnative0.000075940.000075687-0.33%0.00007449-1.91%0.0209✗1.104.5M2022-03-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018920.018857-0.33%0.01877-0.79%0.0320✗1.092.2M2022-03-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.0910.0907-0.33%0.09337+2.60%0.0645✗1.0643k2022-03-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin110.35109.9885-0.33%111.69+1.21%0.0529✗1.1229.5M2022-03-03
QTUMQtumQtum6.48676.4657-0.32%6.3922-1.46%0.0336✗1.34257k2022-03-03
SCSiacoinnative0.009570.009539-0.32%0.00902-5.75%0.0136✓1.26563k2022-03-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2470.246203-0.32%0.273+10.53%0.1320✗0.8566k2022-03-03
SOLSolanaSolana100.73100.4057-0.32%95.61-5.08%0.0068✓1.26131.2M2022-03-03
BTTCBTTC0.000001960.000001954-0.32%0.0000019-3.06%0.0056✓0.6613.7M2022-03-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.7620.694-0.32%19.77-4.77%0.0027✓1.44328k2022-03-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.028320.028232-0.31%0.02753-2.79%0.0007✓0.774.0M2022-03-03
ZENHorizenBase38.9238.7988-0.31%38.18-1.90%0.0324✗1.45280k2022-03-03
DASHDashDash100.9100.5925-0.30%96.75-4.11%0.0011✓1.131.5M2022-03-03
KCSKuCoinnative20.35520.2932-0.30%19.526-4.07%0.0054✓0.999.1M2022-03-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.6118.5537-0.30%18.03-3.12%0.0121✗1.2128.4M2022-03-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.78720.784824-0.30%0.7596-3.51%0.0043✗1.109.7M2022-03-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9170.914255-0.30%0.852-7.09%0.0275✓1.282.4M2022-03-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02680.026721-0.30%0.0283+5.60%0.1019✗1.33500k2022-03-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.716.6905-0.29%6.42-4.32%0.0242✓0.511.2M2022-03-03
XYMSymbolnative0.1490.148568-0.29%0.146-2.01%0.0098✗0.81294k2022-03-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.730470.728419-0.28%0.7113-2.62%0.0222✗1.37200k2022-03-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.1970.196451-0.28%0.1971+0.05%0.0491✗1.362.8M2022-03-03
DIADIAEthereum1.021.0172-0.27%1.05+2.94%0.0410✗0.28282k2022-03-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.5626.4871-0.27%25.18-5.20%0.0045✓1.381.5M2022-03-03
GITCOINGITCOIN6.76.6816-0.27%6.363-5.03%0.0022✓1.3927k2022-03-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash320.43319.5675-0.27%315.29-1.60%0.0191✗0.977.3M2022-03-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche83.4283.1969-0.27%78.49-5.91%0.0104✓1.43120.2M2022-03-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2021.1988-0.27%1.174-2.33%0.0189✗1.192.9M2022-03-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.048750.048622-0.26%0.05073+4.06%0.0827✗1.20641k2022-03-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.94245.9268-0.26%5.6206-5.42%0.0427✓0.31385k2022-03-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07140.071217-0.26%0.0725+1.54%0.0517✗1.0113k2022-03-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.5515.5368-0.26%5.231-5.76%0.0258✓0.9271k2022-03-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.72420.722396-0.25%0.865+19.44%0.1916✗0.341.2M2022-03-03
NANOnanopayBase1.87821.8738-0.24%1.868-0.54%0.0364✗1.18179k2022-03-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.23080.230254-0.24%0.2283-1.08%0.0407✗1.472.5M2022-03-03
CBKCobakEthereum2.2982.2926-0.24%2.212-3.74%0.0052✓0.9123k2022-03-03
MINAMina Protocolnative2.132.125-0.24%2.04-4.23%0.0018✓1.16354k2022-03-03
ETHEthereumEthereum2,948.562,941.62-0.24%2,833.66-3.90%0.0024✓1.04581.4M2022-03-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025910.000025851-0.23%0.00002507-3.24%0.0113✗1.253.9M2022-03-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012350.012323-0.22%0.01236+0.08%0.0278✗0.7413k2022-03-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.80820.806443-0.22%0.7864-2.70%0.0234✗1.45270k2022-03-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4961.4928-0.21%1.437-3.94%0.0008✓1.11939k2022-03-03
SUSHISushiEthereum3.413.403-0.20%3.3-3.23%0.0116✗1.266.8M2022-03-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040780.040699-0.20%0.03967-2.72%0.0076✗0.9929k2022-03-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.51440.51348-0.18%0.4943-3.91%0.0080✗1.37484k2022-03-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5706110.569596-0.18%0.534619-6.31%0.0254✓1.132.8M2022-03-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016340.016313-0.17%0.01525-6.67%0.0163✓1.5212.7M2022-03-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7030.701981-0.14%0.714+1.56%0.0531✗1.082.6M2022-03-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV86.1185.9889-0.14%83.45-3.09%0.0018✓0.84905k2022-03-03
TRXTRONTron0.0615050.061459-0.07%0.060032-2.39%0.0023✗0.77307k2022-03-03
GTGateEthereum6.8036.798-0.07%6.7949-0.12%0.0231✗0.702.8M2022-03-03
AAVEAaveEthereum137.7137.6612-0.03%129.96-5.62%0.0126✓1.346.8M2022-03-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.