2022-02-27 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0063

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-0.94%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

41.7%

in alpha space · 58.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+14.52%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01609	0.016193	+0.64%	0.01796	+11.62%	0.1224	✗	1.67	12.7M	2022-02-28
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3174	0.319366	+0.62%	0.3657	+15.22%	0.1019	✗	1.75	14.7M	2022-02-28
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022401	0.022534	+0.59%	0.022655	+1.13%	0.1332	✗	1.02	114k	2022-02-28
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.412	1.4191	+0.50%	1.564	+10.76%	0.0518	✗	1.10	3.4M	2022-02-28
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.358	2.3698	+0.50%	2.664	+12.98%	0.0741	✗	1.41	584k	2022-02-28
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4116	0.413627	+0.49%	0.504	+22.45%	0.0840	✗	2.08	2.1M	2022-02-28
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.081	1.086	+0.46%	1.164	+7.68%	0.1117	✗	1.34	2.8M	2022-02-28
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12	12.0546	+0.45%	14.2	+18.33%	0.0190	✓	1.07	331k	2022-02-28
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.197	1.2024	+0.45%	1.352	+12.95%	0.0687	✗	1.37	2.0M	2022-02-28
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.21	4.2289	+0.45%	4.86	+15.44%	0.0796	✗	1.61	432k	2022-02-28
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	131.61	132.1953	+0.44%	145.83	+10.80%	0.1009	✗	1.47	6.5M	2022-02-28
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.23	2.2391	+0.41%	2.1929	-1.66%	0.1370	✗	0.86	26k	2022-02-28
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	117.66	118.1244	+0.39%	130.28	+10.73%	0.0650	✗	1.20	930k	2022-02-28
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.384	1.3894	+0.39%	1.505	+8.74%	0.0857	✗	1.22	939k	2022-02-28
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03182	0.031944	+0.39%	0.03503	+10.09%	0.0276	✗	0.88	1.3M	2022-02-28
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	1.97	1.9774	+0.38%	2.21	+12.18%	0.0573	✗	1.24	343k	2022-02-28
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15123	0.151784	+0.37%	0.16639	+10.02%	0.0904	✗	1.34	27k	2022-02-28
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0773	0.077583	+0.37%	0.0857	+10.87%	0.1177	✗	1.60	633k	2022-02-28
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3355	6.3584	+0.36%	6.71	+5.91%	0.0511	✗	0.77	2.8M	2022-02-28
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3363	0.337494	+0.36%	0.3772	+12.16%	0.0883	✗	1.47	8.3M	2022-02-28
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		5.854	5.8744	+0.35%	6.75	+15.31%	0.0595	✗	1.46	27k	2022-02-28
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.3	4.3148	+0.34%	4.85	+12.79%	0.0199	✗	1.01	696k	2022-02-28
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	13.22	13.2647	+0.34%	15.37	+16.26%	0.0616	✗	1.54	2.5M	2022-02-28
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.185	2.1923	+0.33%	2.442	+11.76%	0.1061	✗	1.58	13.2M	2022-02-28
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.036	5.0527	+0.33%	5.875	+16.66%	0.0105	✓	1.03	189k	2022-02-28
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.217	0.217713	+0.33%	0.236	+8.76%	0.0403	✗	0.89	59k	2022-02-28
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.1985	0.19915	+0.33%	0.2321	+16.93%	0.0561	✗	1.54	2.6M	2022-02-28
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	4.682	4.697	+0.32%	5.63	+20.25%	0.0664	✓	0.85	65k	2022-02-28
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,618.01	2,626.12	+0.31%	2,923.08	+11.65%	0.0399	✗	1.08	525.4M	2022-02-28
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.66823	0.670275	+0.31%	0.74117	+10.92%	0.1039	✗	1.51	211k	2022-02-28
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4426	0.443944	+0.30%	0.5007	+13.13%	0.0769	✗	1.45	521k	2022-02-28
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.741	3.7519	+0.29%	4.154	+11.04%	0.0789	✗	1.33	2.3M	2022-02-28
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002342	0.000023486	+0.28%	0.00002579	+10.12%	0.0892	✗	1.35	3.8M	2022-02-28
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00965	0.009675	+0.26%	0.01099	+13.89%	0.0726	✗	1.48	2.7M	2022-02-28
XMR	Monero	Monero	150.62	151.0081	+0.26%	170.31	+13.07%	0.0164	✗	1.01	960k	2022-02-28
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3419	0.342772	+0.26%	0.3943	+15.33%	0.0647	✗	1.51	1.3M	2022-02-28
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.8286	3.8379	+0.24%	4.2345	+10.60%	0.0671	✗	1.22	269k	2022-02-28
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.06	6.0745	+0.24%	6.6	+8.91%	0.0197	✓	0.47	1.1M	2022-02-28
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	13.65	13.6815	+0.23%	15.14	+10.92%	0.0703	✗	1.27	52.3M	2022-02-28
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00404	0.004049	+0.22%	0.00439	+8.66%	0.1684	✗	1.84	11.3M	2022-02-28
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.9359	0.937772	+0.20%	1.0426	+11.40%	0.0894	✗	1.44	165k	2022-02-28
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.64	14.669	+0.20%	16.18	+10.52%	0.0001	✓	0.72	2.0M	2022-02-28
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8849	0.886613	+0.19%	0.9803	+10.78%	0.0711	✗	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-28
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.4859	0.48684	+0.19%	0.5696	+17.23%	0.0263	✗	1.35	2.2M	2022-02-28
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04436	0.044445	+0.19%	0.04871	+9.81%	0.0853	✗	1.31	703k	2022-02-28
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01158	0.011602	+0.19%	0.01231	+6.30%	0.0498	✗	0.80	13k	2022-02-28
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.648	0.649222	+0.19%	0.697	+7.56%	0.0892	✗	1.18	2.4M	2022-02-28
ZEN	Horizen	Base	32.64	32.7014	+0.19%	37.91	+16.15%	0.0553	✗	1.50	280k	2022-02-28
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8569	0.85841	+0.18%	0.964	+12.50%	0.0428	✗	1.17	94.8M	2022-02-28
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,686.70	37,751.39	+0.17%	43,136.20	+14.46%	0.0018	✓	0.97	42k	2022-02-28
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.416	0.416691	+0.17%	0.461	+10.82%	0.0854	✗	1.38	4.2M	2022-02-28
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.6	1.6026	+0.17%	1.86	+16.25%	0.0346	✗	1.35	1.9M	2022-02-28
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.377	1.3792	+0.16%	1.566	+13.73%	0.0828	✗	1.55	897k	2022-02-28
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02689	0.026931	+0.15%	0.02937	+9.22%	0.0221	✗	0.80	4.3M	2022-02-28
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.011286	0.011302	+0.15%	0.012148	+7.64%	0.0800	✗	1.12	25k	2022-02-28
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,717.08	37,769.24	+0.14%	43,192.66	+14.52%	0.0014	✓	1.00	603.6M	2022-02-28
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.058112	0.058186	+0.13%	0.061786	+6.32%	0.0528	✗	0.83	270k	2022-02-28
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7097	0.710522	+0.12%	0.7967	+12.26%	0.0395	✗	1.14	9.6M	2022-02-28
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	61.5448	61.6132	+0.11%	67.763	+10.10%	0.1117	✗	1.53	211k	2022-02-28
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1674	0.167582	+0.11%	0.1925	+14.99%	0.0565	✗	1.44	2.7M	2022-02-28
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.795	4.8001	+0.11%	7.228	+50.74%	0.2739	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-02-28
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.12	3.1231	+0.10%	3.54	+13.46%	0.0544	✗	1.33	6.8M	2022-02-28
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08363	0.083713	+0.10%	0.09213	+10.16%	0.0577	✗	1.13	45k	2022-02-28
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.521555	0.522055	+0.10%	0.575051	+10.26%	0.0689	✗	1.22	2.9M	2022-02-28
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.002	3.0046	+0.09%	3.233	+7.69%	0.0538	✗	0.94	477k	2022-02-28
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.43	1.4311	+0.08%	1.571	+9.86%	0.0746	✗	1.24	1.8M	2022-02-28
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.17	2.1716	+0.08%	2.44	+12.44%	0.0228	✗	1.03	254k	2022-02-28
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7266	0.727149	+0.08%	0.823	+13.27%	0.0866	✗	1.55	270k	2022-02-28
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.859	2.861	+0.07%	3.1196	+9.12%	0.0404	✗	0.94	3.3M	2022-02-28
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	75.09	75.1429	+0.07%	84.59	+12.65%	0.0916	✗	1.55	113.8M	2022-02-28
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.24	17.2504	+0.06%	20.13	+16.76%	0.0051	✗	1.18	21.6M	2022-02-28
SOL	Solana	Solana	85.7	85.7519	+0.06%	99.74	+16.38%	0.0248	✗	1.30	127.4M	2022-02-28
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.64	4.6426	+0.06%	5.51	+18.75%	0.0663	✓	0.77	483k	2022-02-28
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.7983	0.798686	+0.05%	0.8684	+8.78%	0.0849	✗	1.24	21.7M	2022-02-28
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.1219	3.1233	+0.05%	3.5483	+13.66%	0.0575	✗	1.37	2.1M	2022-02-28
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	102.66	102.7014	+0.04%	118.68	+15.60%	0.0121	✗	1.16	7.4M	2022-02-28
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.06	4.0614	+0.03%	4.565	+12.44%	0.0018	✓	0.85	414k	2022-02-28
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	103.05	103.0812	+0.03%	113.82	+10.45%	0.0643	✗	1.21	28.8M	2022-02-28
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5293	1.5297	+0.03%	1.7163	+12.22%	0.0252	✗	1.03	69k	2022-02-28
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.31	1.3103	+0.02%	1.36	+3.82%	0.1292	✗	1.23	934k	2022-02-28
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		81.71	81.7272	+0.02%	88.67	+8.52%	0.0393	✗	0.89	908k	2022-02-28
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	105.8	105.8177	+0.02%	115.74	+9.40%	0.0530	✗	1.05	6.3M	2022-02-28
XVG	Verge	native	0.00923	0.009231	+0.01%	0.01037	+12.35%	0.0626	✗	1.32	1.2M	2022-02-28
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00867	0.008671	+0.01%	0.00968	+11.65%	0.0730	✗	1.35	546k	2022-02-28
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.8883	2.8885	+0.01%	3.1104	+7.69%	0.0567	✗	0.96	2.3M	2022-02-28
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.7935	0.793557	+0.01%	0.7584	-4.42%	0.1194	✗	0.55	1.3M	2022-02-28
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2326	0.232615	+0.01%	0.2454	+5.50%	0.0829	✗	1.01	1.9M	2022-02-28
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	27.37	27.3701	+0.00%	30.53	+11.55%	0.0453	✗	1.14	5.1M	2022-02-28
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.65	5.65	+0.00%	6.6	+16.81%	0.0422	✓	0.83	430k	2022-02-28
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	108.08	108.0783	-0.00%	120.75	+11.72%	0.0636	✓	1.29	64k	2022-02-28
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0267	0.0267	-0.00%	0.029	+8.61%	0.1163	✓	1.47	479k	2022-02-28
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.5576	2.5573	-0.01%	2.8507	+11.46%	0.0674	✓	1.30	3.1M	2022-02-28
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.123115	0.123092	-0.02%	0.133451	+8.40%	0.0564	✓	1.01	3.7M	2022-02-28
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01839	0.018386	-0.02%	0.0214	+16.37%	0.0034	✗	1.09	2.2M	2022-02-28
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0644	0.064386	-0.02%	0.0695	+7.92%	0.0714	✓	1.09	12k	2022-02-28
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000184	0.000001839	-0.03%	0.00000199	+8.15%	0.0163	✓	0.70	14.0M	2022-02-28
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.41	2.4092	-0.03%	2.64	+9.54%	0.0441	✓	1.00	492k	2022-02-28
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.035	19.0273	-0.04%	20.677	+8.63%	0.0629	✓	1.08	9.3M	2022-02-28
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06333	0.0633	-0.05%	0.07201	+13.71%	0.0470	✓	1.30	64k	2022-02-28
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1447	0.144627	-0.05%	0.1612	+11.40%	0.0378	✓	1.08	420k	2022-02-28
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.4	8.3951	-0.06%	9.33	+11.07%	0.0715	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-02-28
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0605	0.060464	-0.06%	0.0703	+16.20%	0.1155	✓	1.96	76.7M	2022-02-28
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.452	3.4499	-0.06%	3.934	+13.96%	0.0526	✓	1.36	1.9M	2022-02-28
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	19,385.43	19,371.59	-0.07%	21,589.29	+11.37%	0.0303	✓	1.02	5.6M	2022-02-28
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.812	0.811387	-0.08%	0.877	+8.00%	0.1157	✓	1.43	2.1M	2022-02-28
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.181008	0.180849	-0.09%	0.197675	+9.21%	0.0670	✓	1.15	19.2M	2022-02-28
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.99	0.989117	-0.09%	1.07	+8.08%	0.0633	✗	0.11	286k	2022-02-28
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.7425	1.7407	-0.10%	1.9381	+11.23%	0.0638	✓	1.26	181k	2022-02-28
DASH	Dash	Dash	88.3	88.2045	-0.11%	100.51	+13.83%	0.0282	✓	1.17	1.5M	2022-02-28
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.14	2.1376	-0.11%	2.52	+17.76%	0.0290	✗	1.00	529k	2022-02-28
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03926	0.039216	-0.11%	0.04194	+6.83%	0.0810	✓	1.09	29k	2022-02-28
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0675	0.067424	-0.11%	0.073	+8.15%	0.0654	✓	1.07	163k	2022-02-28
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.8667	5.8595	-0.12%	6.4925	+10.67%	0.0935	✓	1.45	184k	2022-02-28
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007235	0.000072251	-0.14%	0.00007869	+8.76%	0.0769	✓	1.20	4.5M	2022-02-28
XYM	Symbol	native	0.141	0.140802	-0.14%	0.1531	+8.58%	0.0308	✓	0.85	299k	2022-02-28
XEM	NEM	native	0.1	0.099858	-0.14%	0.1081	+8.10%	0.0631	✓	1.05	38k	2022-02-28
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.67	0.669025	-0.15%	0.75	+11.94%	0.1448	✓	1.91	995k	2022-02-28
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0698	0.069694	-0.15%	0.078	+11.75%	0.0801	✓	1.42	1.0M	2022-02-28
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	5.93	5.9199	-0.17%	6.79	+14.50%	0.0660	✓	1.50	1.1M	2022-02-28
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.96	23.9147	-0.19%	26.36	+10.02%	0.1091	✓	1.52	1.6M	2022-02-28
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.115	0.114765	-0.20%	0.1303	+13.30%	0.0563	✓	1.35	2.9M	2022-02-28
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.647	2.6414	-0.21%	3.115	+17.68%	0.0518	✗	0.83	213k	2022-02-28
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.35	9.3299	-0.22%	10.15	+8.56%	0.0086	✓	0.69	917k	2022-02-28
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.28	0.279337	-0.24%	0.308	+10.00%	0.0945	✓	1.42	2.1M	2022-02-28
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.897	1.8925	-0.24%	2.4391	+28.58%	0.1605	✗	0.69	2.6M	2022-02-28
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.8	26.7326	-0.25%	31.38	+17.09%	0.0030	✗	1.16	50.3M	2022-02-28
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.91	19.8572	-0.27%	21.16	+6.28%	0.1579	✓	1.63	325k	2022-02-28
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2684	0.267677	-0.27%	0.2945	+9.72%	0.1017	✓	1.45	398k	2022-02-28
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.51	41.3942	-0.28%	45.95	+10.70%	0.0514	✓	1.15	19.7M	2022-02-28
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5151	0.513644	-0.28%	0.5607	+8.85%	0.0449	✓	0.98	643k	2022-02-28
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1719	1.1685	-0.29%	1.3278	+13.30%	0.0706	✓	1.46	2.6M	2022-02-28
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.77	9.7411	-0.30%	10.53	+7.78%	0.0995	✓	1.31	10.8M	2022-02-28
STX	Stacks	native	1.12	1.1165	-0.31%	1.25	+11.61%	0.0636	✓	1.30	610k	2022-02-28
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.681	1.6757	-0.32%	1.836	+9.22%	0.0433	✓	0.99	76k	2022-02-28
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	17.5	17.4444	-0.32%	18.95	+8.29%	0.0993	✓	1.34	26.4M	2022-02-28
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	47.98	47.8253	-0.32%	54.42	+13.42%	0.0540	✓	1.35	6.5M	2022-02-28
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.38	20.3124	-0.33%	21.72	+6.58%	0.1043	✓	1.26	8.6M	2022-02-28
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.179	1.1745	-0.38%	1.236	+4.83%	0.1144	✓	1.22	1.2M	2022-02-28
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	304.19	303.028	-0.38%	339.27	+11.53%	0.0251	✓	1.02	7.2M	2022-02-28
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	29.13	29.0037	-0.43%	30.9	+6.08%	0.0777	✓	1.04	1.5M	2022-02-28
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.951	5.9246	-0.44%	5.9258	-0.42%	0.0529	✓	0.39	433k	2022-02-28
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.81	1.7974	-0.70%	1.84	+1.66%	0.1945	✓	1.61	502k	2022-02-28
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.046151	0.045827	-0.70%	0.049264	+6.75%	0.0898	✓	1.20	8.1M	2022-02-28
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.14	0.138871	-0.81%	0.132	-5.71%	0.1771	✓	0.93	44k	2022-02-28
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.379	2.357	-0.92%	2.477	+4.12%	0.0933	✓	1.05	20k	2022-02-28
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.541	1.5251	-1.03%	1.6754	+8.72%	0.1013	✓	1.44	262k	2022-02-28
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	72.51	71.7164	-1.09%	91.38	+26.02%	0.0523	✗	1.40	4.5M	2022-02-28
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	5.53e-7	5.47e-7	-1.18%	6.40e-7	+15.75%	0.0226	✗	1.00	1.3M	2022-02-28
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.6	6.5175	-1.25%	7.529	+14.08%	0.0952	✗	0.36	2.2M	2022-02-28
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.32	6.2072	-1.78%	7.55	+19.46%	0.0862	✗	0.81	435k	2022-02-28
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.224	3.0826	-4.39%	3.317	+2.88%	0.0773	✓	1.11	687k	2022-02-28

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.