2022-02-27 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0451

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-2.41%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

82.8%

in alpha space · 6.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+14.52%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.224	3.169	-1.71%	3.317	+2.88%	0.1049	✓	1.11	687k	2022-02-28
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0605	0.059652	-1.40%	0.0703	+16.20%	0.1019	✓	1.96	76.7M	2022-02-28
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.6	6.5128	-1.32%	7.529	+14.08%	0.0959	✗	0.36	2.2M	2022-02-28
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	72.51	71.6314	-1.21%	91.38	+26.02%	0.0535	✗	1.40	4.5M	2022-02-28
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.32	6.255	-1.03%	7.55	+19.46%	0.0786	✗	0.81	435k	2022-02-28
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.379	2.3552	-1.00%	2.477	+4.12%	0.0925	✓	1.05	20k	2022-02-28
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.179	1.1673	-0.99%	1.236	+4.83%	0.1082	✓	1.22	1.2M	2022-02-28
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.8	26.5631	-0.88%	31.38	+17.09%	0.0093	✗	1.16	50.3M	2022-02-28
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.14	0.138976	-0.73%	0.132	-5.71%	0.1778	✓	0.93	44k	2022-02-28
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.81	1.7974	-0.70%	1.84	+1.66%	0.1945	✓	1.61	502k	2022-02-28
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	5.53e-7	5.50e-7	-0.63%	6.40e-7	+15.75%	0.0170	✗	1.00	1.3M	2022-02-28
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5151	0.511962	-0.61%	0.5607	+8.85%	0.0416	✓	0.98	643k	2022-02-28
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2684	0.266834	-0.58%	0.2945	+9.72%	0.0985	✓	1.45	398k	2022-02-28
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.647	2.6316	-0.58%	3.115	+17.68%	0.0556	✗	0.83	213k	2022-02-28
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.8883	2.8715	-0.58%	3.1104	+7.69%	0.0508	✓	0.96	2.3M	2022-02-28
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.541	1.5322	-0.57%	1.6754	+8.72%	0.1059	✓	1.44	262k	2022-02-28
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	29.13	28.9656	-0.56%	30.9	+6.08%	0.0764	✓	1.04	1.5M	2022-02-28
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.7983	0.793938	-0.55%	0.8684	+8.78%	0.0790	✓	1.24	21.7M	2022-02-28
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	19,385.43	19,280.21	-0.54%	21,589.29	+11.37%	0.0256	✓	1.02	5.6M	2022-02-28
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.51	41.2861	-0.54%	45.95	+10.70%	0.0488	✓	1.15	19.7M	2022-02-28
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.65	5.6199	-0.53%	6.6	+16.81%	0.0476	✗	0.83	430k	2022-02-28
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.28	0.278558	-0.51%	0.308	+10.00%	0.0917	✓	1.42	2.1M	2022-02-28
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.23	2.2189	-0.50%	2.1929	-1.66%	0.1279	✓	0.86	26k	2022-02-28
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.35	9.3034	-0.50%	10.15	+8.56%	0.0058	✓	0.69	917k	2022-02-28
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.99	0.985103	-0.49%	1.07	+8.08%	0.0674	✗	0.11	286k	2022-02-28
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.64	14.5677	-0.49%	16.18	+10.52%	0.0070	✗	0.72	2.0M	2022-02-28
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.38	20.2795	-0.49%	21.72	+6.58%	0.1026	✓	1.26	8.6M	2022-02-28
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.046151	0.045927	-0.49%	0.049264	+6.75%	0.0920	✓	1.20	8.1M	2022-02-28
XEM	NEM	native	0.1	0.099526	-0.47%	0.1081	+8.10%	0.0598	✓	1.05	38k	2022-02-28
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.897	1.8882	-0.46%	2.4391	+28.58%	0.1627	✗	0.69	2.6M	2022-02-28
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022401	0.022298	-0.46%	0.022655	+1.13%	0.1227	✓	1.02	114k	2022-02-28
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1447	0.144042	-0.45%	0.1612	+11.40%	0.0337	✓	1.08	420k	2022-02-28
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.24	17.1617	-0.45%	20.13	+16.76%	0.0001	✓	1.18	21.6M	2022-02-28
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4116	0.409736	-0.45%	0.504	+22.45%	0.0746	✓	2.08	2.1M	2022-02-28
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.859	2.8466	-0.43%	3.1196	+9.12%	0.0353	✓	0.94	3.3M	2022-02-28
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06333	0.063056	-0.43%	0.07201	+13.71%	0.0431	✓	1.30	64k	2022-02-28
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.123115	0.122588	-0.43%	0.133451	+8.40%	0.0523	✓	1.01	3.7M	2022-02-28
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	47.98	47.7759	-0.43%	54.42	+13.42%	0.0529	✓	1.35	6.5M	2022-02-28
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.06	4.0429	-0.42%	4.565	+12.44%	0.0064	✗	0.85	414k	2022-02-28
XVG	Verge	native	0.00923	0.009191	-0.42%	0.01037	+12.35%	0.0583	✓	1.32	1.2M	2022-02-28
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.77	9.7294	-0.42%	10.53	+7.78%	0.0984	✓	1.31	10.8M	2022-02-28
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.43	1.4241	-0.41%	1.571	+9.86%	0.0696	✓	1.24	1.8M	2022-02-28
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	5.93	5.9057	-0.41%	6.79	+14.50%	0.0636	✓	1.50	1.1M	2022-02-28
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.011286	0.01124	-0.41%	0.012148	+7.64%	0.0745	✓	1.12	25k	2022-02-28
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	13.65	13.5951	-0.40%	15.14	+10.92%	0.0639	✓	1.27	52.3M	2022-02-28
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.64	4.6214	-0.40%	5.51	+18.75%	0.0709	✗	0.77	483k	2022-02-28
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.377	1.3715	-0.40%	1.566	+13.73%	0.0772	✓	1.55	897k	2022-02-28
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.6	1.5938	-0.39%	1.86	+16.25%	0.0290	✓	1.35	1.9M	2022-02-28
STX	Stacks	native	1.12	1.1158	-0.38%	1.25	+11.61%	0.0629	✓	1.30	610k	2022-02-28
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8849	0.881558	-0.38%	0.9803	+10.78%	0.0653	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-28
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.31	1.3051	-0.38%	1.36	+3.82%	0.1252	✓	1.23	934k	2022-02-28
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15123	0.150665	-0.37%	0.16639	+10.02%	0.0830	✓	1.34	27k	2022-02-28
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00965	0.009614	-0.37%	0.01099	+13.89%	0.0662	✓	1.48	2.7M	2022-02-28
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.002	2.9908	-0.37%	3.233	+7.69%	0.0492	✓	0.94	477k	2022-02-28
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.951	5.9294	-0.36%	5.9258	-0.42%	0.0537	✓	0.39	433k	2022-02-28
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08363	0.083327	-0.36%	0.09213	+10.16%	0.0531	✓	1.13	45k	2022-02-28
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.5576	2.5484	-0.36%	2.8507	+11.46%	0.0639	✓	1.30	3.1M	2022-02-28
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03926	0.039119	-0.36%	0.04194	+6.83%	0.0786	✓	1.09	29k	2022-02-28
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.452	3.4397	-0.36%	3.934	+13.96%	0.0496	✓	1.36	1.9M	2022-02-28
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.181008	0.180365	-0.36%	0.197675	+9.21%	0.0644	✓	1.15	19.2M	2022-02-28
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	17.5	17.4384	-0.35%	18.95	+8.29%	0.0990	✓	1.34	26.4M	2022-02-28
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	105.8	105.4287	-0.35%	115.74	+9.40%	0.0493	✓	1.05	6.3M	2022-02-28
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02689	0.026796	-0.35%	0.02937	+9.22%	0.0171	✓	0.80	4.3M	2022-02-28
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2326	0.231788	-0.35%	0.2454	+5.50%	0.0793	✓	1.01	1.9M	2022-02-28
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12	11.9582	-0.35%	14.2	+18.33%	0.0270	✗	1.07	331k	2022-02-28
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0675	0.067266	-0.35%	0.073	+8.15%	0.0630	✓	1.07	163k	2022-02-28
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.14	2.1326	-0.35%	2.52	+17.76%	0.0314	✗	1.00	529k	2022-02-28
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.91	19.8412	-0.35%	21.16	+6.28%	0.1571	✓	1.63	325k	2022-02-28
DASH	Dash	Dash	88.3	87.9982	-0.34%	100.51	+13.83%	0.0259	✓	1.17	1.5M	2022-02-28
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0267	0.026609	-0.34%	0.029	+8.61%	0.1129	✓	1.47	479k	2022-02-28
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8569	0.853989	-0.34%	0.964	+12.50%	0.0376	✓	1.17	94.8M	2022-02-28
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007235	0.000072105	-0.34%	0.00007869	+8.76%	0.0749	✓	1.20	4.5M	2022-02-28
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	27.37	27.2777	-0.34%	30.53	+11.55%	0.0419	✓	1.14	5.1M	2022-02-28
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.185	2.1777	-0.34%	2.442	+11.76%	0.0994	✓	1.58	13.2M	2022-02-28
XYM	Symbol	native	0.141	0.140528	-0.34%	0.1531	+8.58%	0.0289	✓	0.85	299k	2022-02-28
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.681	1.6754	-0.33%	1.836	+9.22%	0.0431	✓	0.99	76k	2022-02-28
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	108.08	107.7181	-0.33%	120.75	+11.72%	0.0602	✓	1.29	64k	2022-02-28
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.8667	5.8472	-0.33%	6.4925	+10.67%	0.0914	✓	1.45	184k	2022-02-28
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,717.08	37,592.48	-0.33%	43,192.66	+14.52%	0.0033	✗	1.00	603.6M	2022-02-28
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1719	1.1681	-0.33%	1.3278	+13.30%	0.0702	✓	1.46	2.6M	2022-02-28
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01839	0.018329	-0.33%	0.0214	+16.37%	0.0065	✗	1.09	2.2M	2022-02-28
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.9359	0.932844	-0.33%	1.0426	+11.40%	0.0841	✓	1.44	165k	2022-02-28
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.17	2.163	-0.32%	2.44	+12.44%	0.0189	✓	1.03	254k	2022-02-28
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	102.66	102.334	-0.32%	118.68	+15.60%	0.0085	✓	1.16	7.4M	2022-02-28
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.66823	0.66611	-0.32%	0.74117	+10.92%	0.0977	✓	1.51	211k	2022-02-28
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.036	5.02	-0.32%	5.875	+16.66%	0.0170	✗	1.03	189k	2022-02-28
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.035	18.9754	-0.31%	20.677	+8.63%	0.0602	✓	1.08	9.3M	2022-02-28
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,686.70	37,569.28	-0.31%	43,136.20	+14.46%	0.0066	✗	0.97	42k	2022-02-28
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000184	0.000001834	-0.31%	0.00000199	+8.15%	0.0135	✓	0.70	14.0M	2022-02-28
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	304.19	303.2634	-0.30%	339.27	+11.53%	0.0259	✓	1.02	7.2M	2022-02-28
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00867	0.008644	-0.30%	0.00968	+11.65%	0.0699	✓	1.35	546k	2022-02-28
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.8286	3.8172	-0.30%	4.2345	+10.60%	0.0617	✓	1.22	269k	2022-02-28
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.4859	0.484455	-0.30%	0.5696	+17.23%	0.0214	✓	1.35	2.2M	2022-02-28
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01158	0.011546	-0.30%	0.01231	+6.30%	0.0449	✓	0.80	13k	2022-02-28
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0698	0.069593	-0.30%	0.078	+11.75%	0.0787	✓	1.42	1.0M	2022-02-28
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.115	0.114661	-0.29%	0.1303	+13.30%	0.0554	✓	1.35	2.9M	2022-02-28
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	103.05	102.7519	-0.29%	113.82	+10.45%	0.0611	✓	1.21	28.8M	2022-02-28
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.217	0.21638	-0.29%	0.236	+8.76%	0.0342	✓	0.89	59k	2022-02-28
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.4	8.3764	-0.28%	9.33	+11.07%	0.0692	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-02-28
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04436	0.044236	-0.28%	0.04871	+9.81%	0.0806	✓	1.31	703k	2022-02-28
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.416	0.414849	-0.28%	0.461	+10.82%	0.0810	✓	1.38	4.2M	2022-02-28
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7097	0.707808	-0.27%	0.7967	+12.26%	0.0357	✓	1.14	9.6M	2022-02-28
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.812	0.809873	-0.26%	0.877	+8.00%	0.1138	✓	1.43	2.1M	2022-02-28
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		5.854	5.8388	-0.26%	6.75	+15.31%	0.0534	✓	1.46	27k	2022-02-28
XMR	Monero	Monero	150.62	150.2338	-0.26%	170.31	+13.07%	0.0112	✓	1.01	960k	2022-02-28
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3363	0.335441	-0.26%	0.3772	+12.16%	0.0822	✓	1.47	8.3M	2022-02-28
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0644	0.064238	-0.25%	0.0695	+7.92%	0.0690	✓	1.09	12k	2022-02-28
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.06	6.0448	-0.25%	6.6	+8.91%	0.0246	✗	0.47	1.1M	2022-02-28
ZEN	Horizen	Base	32.64	32.5586	-0.25%	37.91	+16.15%	0.0509	✓	1.50	280k	2022-02-28
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.41	2.4042	-0.24%	2.64	+9.54%	0.0420	✓	1.00	492k	2022-02-28
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3419	0.341073	-0.24%	0.3943	+15.33%	0.0597	✓	1.51	1.3M	2022-02-28
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.96	23.9025	-0.24%	26.36	+10.02%	0.1085	✓	1.52	1.6M	2022-02-28
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.741	3.732	-0.24%	4.154	+11.04%	0.0736	✓	1.33	2.3M	2022-02-28
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.384	1.3808	-0.23%	1.505	+8.74%	0.0794	✓	1.22	939k	2022-02-28
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5293	1.5259	-0.23%	1.7163	+12.22%	0.0226	✓	1.03	69k	2022-02-28
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.1219	3.1149	-0.22%	3.5483	+13.66%	0.0548	✓	1.37	2.1M	2022-02-28
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7266	0.725029	-0.22%	0.823	+13.27%	0.0837	✓	1.55	270k	2022-02-28
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	117.66	117.4071	-0.21%	130.28	+10.73%	0.0589	✓	1.20	930k	2022-02-28
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.7425	1.7387	-0.21%	1.9381	+11.23%	0.0626	✓	1.26	181k	2022-02-28
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.081	1.0787	-0.21%	1.164	+7.68%	0.1050	✓	1.34	2.8M	2022-02-28
SOL	Solana	Solana	85.7	85.5221	-0.21%	99.74	+16.38%	0.0221	✓	1.30	127.4M	2022-02-28
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002342	0.000023372	-0.21%	0.00002579	+10.12%	0.0843	✓	1.35	3.8M	2022-02-28
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.67	0.66863	-0.20%	0.75	+11.94%	0.1442	✓	1.91	995k	2022-02-28
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	75.09	74.9391	-0.20%	84.59	+12.65%	0.0889	✓	1.55	113.8M	2022-02-28
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	1.97	1.9661	-0.20%	2.21	+12.18%	0.0516	✓	1.24	343k	2022-02-28
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3174	0.316775	-0.20%	0.3657	+15.22%	0.0938	✓	1.75	14.7M	2022-02-28
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	4.682	4.6735	-0.18%	5.63	+20.25%	0.0714	✗	0.85	65k	2022-02-28
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.795	4.7866	-0.17%	7.228	+50.74%	0.2767	✗	1.00	1.8M	2022-02-28
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		81.71	81.5679	-0.17%	88.67	+8.52%	0.0374	✓	0.89	908k	2022-02-28
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	13.22	13.1978	-0.17%	15.37	+16.26%	0.0565	✓	1.54	2.5M	2022-02-28
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,618.01	2,613.87	-0.16%	2,923.08	+11.65%	0.0352	✓	1.08	525.4M	2022-02-28
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.3	4.2935	-0.15%	4.85	+12.79%	0.0149	✓	1.01	696k	2022-02-28
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.521555	0.520829	-0.14%	0.575051	+10.26%	0.0665	✓	1.22	2.9M	2022-02-28
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.648	0.647103	-0.14%	0.697	+7.56%	0.0859	✓	1.18	2.4M	2022-02-28
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.12	3.1158	-0.13%	3.54	+13.46%	0.0520	✓	1.33	6.8M	2022-02-28
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.7935	0.792443	-0.13%	0.7584	-4.42%	0.1180	✓	0.55	1.3M	2022-02-28
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1674	0.167188	-0.13%	0.1925	+14.99%	0.0541	✓	1.44	2.7M	2022-02-28
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.197	1.1957	-0.11%	1.352	+12.95%	0.0631	✓	1.37	2.0M	2022-02-28
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.21	4.2053	-0.11%	4.86	+15.44%	0.0740	✓	1.61	432k	2022-02-28
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	61.5448	61.4783	-0.11%	67.763	+10.10%	0.1095	✓	1.53	211k	2022-02-28
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03182	0.031794	-0.08%	0.03503	+10.09%	0.0229	✓	0.88	1.3M	2022-02-28
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.058112	0.058065	-0.08%	0.061786	+6.32%	0.0507	✓	0.83	270k	2022-02-28
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3355	6.3311	-0.07%	6.71	+5.91%	0.0468	✓	0.77	2.8M	2022-02-28
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	131.61	131.5662	-0.03%	145.83	+10.80%	0.0961	✓	1.47	6.5M	2022-02-28
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.1985	0.198434	-0.03%	0.2321	+16.93%	0.0525	✓	1.54	2.6M	2022-02-28
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0773	0.077292	-0.01%	0.0857	+10.87%	0.1140	✓	1.60	633k	2022-02-28
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4426	0.442672	+0.02%	0.5007	+13.13%	0.0740	✗	1.45	521k	2022-02-28
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00404	0.004042	+0.05%	0.00439	+8.66%	0.1667	✗	1.84	11.3M	2022-02-28
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.412	1.4131	+0.08%	1.564	+10.76%	0.0475	✗	1.10	3.4M	2022-02-28
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.358	2.3643	+0.27%	2.664	+12.98%	0.0717	✗	1.41	584k	2022-02-28
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01609	0.016157	+0.42%	0.01796	+11.62%	0.1202	✗	1.67	12.7M	2022-02-28

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.