2022-02-25 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0667

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+1.79%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

54.3%

in alpha space · 53.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-0.26%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01819	0.018308	+0.65%	0.01784	-1.92%	0.0218	✗	1.60	12.7M	2022-02-26
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.39	2.403	+0.54%	2.581	+7.99%	0.0751	✓	1.41	572k	2022-02-26
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.022712	0.022823	+0.49%	0.02263	-0.36%	0.0058	✗	1.06	114k	2022-02-26
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1201	2.1294	+0.44%	2.2359	+5.46%	0.0511	✓	0.88	27k	2022-02-26
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.536	1.5427	+0.43%	1.5	-2.34%	0.0252	✗	1.10	3.4M	2022-02-26
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3513	0.352675	+0.39%	0.3507	-0.17%	0.0013	✓	1.70	15.9M	2022-02-26
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.315	1.3201	+0.39%	1.276	-2.97%	0.0305	✗	1.37	1.8M	2022-02-26
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3134	6.3376	+0.38%	6.4106	+1.54%	0.0135	✓	0.79	3.0M	2022-02-26
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.419	0.420406	+0.34%	0.4281	+2.17%	0.0234	✓	2.07	2.1M	2022-02-26
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	124.6	125.0076	+0.33%	124.78	+0.14%	0.0013	✓	1.20	930k	2022-02-26
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.83	12.8638	+0.26%	12.91	+0.62%	0.0062	✓	1.02	340k	2022-02-26
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.145	1.148	+0.26%	1.148	+0.26%	0.0034	✓	1.30	2.8M	2022-02-26
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.7299	2.7366	+0.25%	2.7102	-0.72%	0.0072	✗	0.98	2.3M	2022-02-26
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,769.52	2,776.29	+0.24%	2,780.71	+0.40%	0.0044	✓	1.08	561.7M	2022-02-26
XMR	Monero	Monero	153.74	154.1096	+0.24%	157.91	+2.71%	0.0269	✓	1.00	966k	2022-02-26
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4634	0.464508	+0.24%	0.4599	-0.76%	0.0062	✗	1.48	572k	2022-02-26
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.453	1.4563	+0.22%	1.437	-1.10%	0.0102	✗	1.19	963k	2022-02-26
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.09	2.0944	+0.21%	2.05	-1.91%	0.0183	✗	1.23	343k	2022-02-26
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.7023	0.703648	+0.19%	0.69949	-0.40%	0.0022	✗	1.44	224k	2022-02-26
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.33	6.3422	+0.19%	6.27	-0.95%	0.0104	✗	0.42	1.2M	2022-02-26
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	139.7	139.968	+0.19%	136.67	-2.17%	0.0201	✗	1.46	6.5M	2022-02-26
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.51	4.5185	+0.19%	4.47	-0.89%	0.0085	✗	0.91	696k	2022-02-26
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.082	0.082155	+0.19%	0.0854	+4.15%	0.0427	✓	1.55	668k	2022-02-26
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	4.933	4.9423	+0.19%	5.009	+1.54%	0.0155	✓	0.83	65k	2022-02-26
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.21	1.2122	+0.18%	1.24	+2.48%	0.0260	✓	1.28	885k	2022-02-26
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15869	0.158968	+0.18%	0.15626	-1.53%	0.0137	✗	1.37	28k	2022-02-26
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059479	0.059579	+0.17%	0.059459	-0.03%	0.0001	✓	0.83	286k	2022-02-26
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002483	0.000024867	+0.15%	0.00002435	-1.93%	0.0175	✗	1.35	3.8M	2022-02-26
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01202	0.012038	+0.15%	0.01217	+1.25%	0.0129	✓	0.76	15k	2022-02-26
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.229	0.229323	+0.14%	0.232	+1.31%	0.0138	✓	0.85	57k	2022-02-26
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3611	0.361604	+0.14%	0.3486	-3.46%	0.0330	✗	1.43	8.4M	2022-02-26
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7311	2.7347	+0.13%	2.7384	+0.27%	0.0037	✓	0.93	2.9M	2022-02-26
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.571	2.5743	+0.13%	2.576	+0.19%	0.0028	✓	0.83	207k	2022-02-26
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.62	4.6258	+0.12%	4.46	-3.46%	0.0325	✗	1.54	432k	2022-02-26
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00434	0.004345	+0.12%	0.00431	-0.69%	0.0034	✗	1.85	12.3M	2022-02-26
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01016	0.010172	+0.12%	0.00997	-1.87%	0.0163	✗	1.50	2.5M	2022-02-26
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04609	0.046146	+0.12%	0.04782	+3.75%	0.0388	✓	1.24	703k	2022-02-26
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.9	2.9035	+0.12%	2.874	-0.90%	0.0078	✗	0.94	477k	2022-02-26
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.011713	0.011727	+0.12%	0.01194	+1.94%	0.0208	✓	1.11	35k	2022-02-26
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9019	0.902979	+0.12%	0.9533	+5.70%	0.0575	✓	1.27	1.8M	2022-02-26
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	39,238.48	39,284.36	+0.12%	39,137.80	-0.26%	0.0012	✓	1.00	632.3M	2022-02-26
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.4821	0.482657	+0.12%	0.504	+4.54%	0.0467	✓	1.33	2.0M	2022-02-26
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.9392	3.9436	+0.11%	4.0234	+2.14%	0.0231	✓	1.20	284k	2022-02-26
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2121	0.212334	+0.11%	0.2129	+0.38%	0.0066	✓	1.53	3.3M	2022-02-26
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.282	6.2888	+0.11%	6.245	-0.59%	0.0035	✗	1.38	28k	2022-02-26
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.74	14.7558	+0.11%	14.7	-0.27%	0.0020	✗	0.71	1.9M	2022-02-26
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02922	0.029245	+0.09%	0.02842	-2.74%	0.0266	✗	0.79	4.4M	2022-02-26
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.28	2.2818	+0.08%	2.3	+0.88%	0.0106	✓	1.01	270k	2022-02-26
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.365	2.3668	+0.08%	2.394	+1.23%	0.0153	✓	1.53	13.2M	2022-02-26
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.39	14.4007	+0.07%	14.72	+2.29%	0.0251	✓	1.24	59.6M	2022-02-26
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.654	0.654427	+0.07%	0.679	+3.82%	0.0398	✓	1.16	2.0M	2022-02-26
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.65	5.6532	+0.06%	5.7	+0.88%	0.0104	✓	0.84	430k	2022-02-26
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.3	5.3025	+0.05%	5.38	+1.51%	0.0167	✓	0.86	435k	2022-02-26
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2233	0.223406	+0.05%	0.226	+1.21%	0.0141	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-26
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.091	4.0923	+0.03%	4.058	-0.81%	0.0063	✗	0.82	414k	2022-02-26
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0646	0.064617	+0.03%	0.0674	+4.33%	0.0449	✓	1.07	13k	2022-02-26
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	106.72	106.7408	+0.02%	107.8	+1.01%	0.0128	✓	1.13	7.6M	2022-02-26
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.445	1.4453	+0.02%	1.524	+5.47%	0.0561	✓	1.20	1.6M	2022-02-26
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.95596	0.956103	+0.02%	0.99036	+3.60%	0.0388	✓	1.41	165k	2022-02-26
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.73	34.7349	+0.01%	33.26	-4.23%	0.0396	✗	1.49	309k	2022-02-26
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.635	5.6356	+0.01%	5.391	-4.33%	0.0418	✗	0.99	223k	2022-02-26
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.8	84.8065	+0.01%	84.76	-0.05%	0.0017	✓	0.89	946k	2022-02-26
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.66	1.66	+0.00%	1.67	+0.60%	0.0094	✓	1.33	2.0M	2022-02-26
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.61	4.6101	+0.00%	4.68	+1.52%	0.0170	✓	0.78	459k	2022-02-26
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1741	0.174087	-0.01%	0.1751	+0.57%	0.0094	✗	1.41	2.8M	2022-02-26
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8997	0.899591	-0.01%	0.8873	-1.38%	0.0108	✓	1.16	97.3M	2022-02-26
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08597	0.085959	-0.01%	0.08727	+1.51%	0.0180	✗	1.11	46k	2022-02-26
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7733	0.77312	-0.02%	0.7651	-1.06%	0.0065	✓	1.53	299k	2022-02-26
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03546	0.03545	-0.03%	0.03453	-2.62%	0.0240	✓	0.87	1.5M	2022-02-26
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01813	0.018124	-0.03%	0.01882	+3.81%	0.0405	✗	1.11	2.2M	2022-02-26
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.017	4.0157	-0.03%	3.874	-3.56%	0.0326	✓	1.31	2.4M	2022-02-26
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.938	4.9363	-0.03%	4.934	-0.08%	0.0019	✗	0.93	1.9M	2022-02-26
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.45	1.4495	-0.04%	1.441	-0.62%	0.0019	✓	1.53	941k	2022-02-26
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0088	0.008796	-0.04%	0.00906	+2.95%	0.0328	✗	1.29	546k	2022-02-26
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.3	3.2986	-0.04%	3.25	-1.52%	0.0114	✓	1.35	7.1M	2022-02-26
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.05	81.015	-0.04%	81.79	+0.91%	0.0134	✗	1.49	106.7M	2022-02-26
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.447	0.446805	-0.04%	0.438	-2.01%	0.0164	✓	1.38	4.6M	2022-02-26
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.01	27.9971	-0.05%	28.91	+3.21%	0.0350	✗	1.12	4.9M	2022-02-26
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.539539	0.539277	-0.05%	0.544581	+0.93%	0.0128	✗	1.17	3.1M	2022-02-26
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	112.52	112.4567	-0.06%	110.79	-1.54%	0.0123	✓	1.03	6.4M	2022-02-26
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	109.33	109.2674	-0.06%	108.29	-0.95%	0.0059	✓	1.19	29.5M	2022-02-26
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3727	0.372485	-0.06%	0.3655	-1.93%	0.0152	✓	1.47	1.3M	2022-02-26
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1326	6.1291	-0.06%	6.1323	-0.01%	0.0042	✗	1.45	184k	2022-02-26
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.2131	3.2112	-0.06%	3.4172	+6.35%	0.0656	✗	1.35	2.1M	2022-02-26
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.466	19.4531	-0.07%	19.708	+1.24%	0.0158	✗	1.07	9.6M	2022-02-26
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.68	17.6682	-0.07%	17.73	+0.28%	0.0065	✗	1.15	22.7M	2022-02-26
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.336	2.3344	-0.07%	2.305	-1.33%	0.0095	✓	1.25	727k	2022-02-26
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1468	0.146699	-0.07%	0.1506	+2.59%	0.0290	✗	1.06	446k	2022-02-26
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	14.87	14.8595	-0.07%	14.09	-5.25%	0.0493	✓	1.52	2.3M	2022-02-26
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.0649	0.064853	-0.07%	0.06611	+1.86%	0.0224	✗	1.23	74k	2022-02-26
SOL	Solana	Solana	92.84	92.7682	-0.08%	90.32	-2.71%	0.0234	✓	1.29	132.7M	2022-02-26
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6127	1.6114	-0.08%	1.5733	-2.45%	0.0214	✓	1.00	72k	2022-02-26
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8312	0.830479	-0.09%	0.8598	+3.44%	0.0378	✗	1.22	22.9M	2022-02-26
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.127781	0.127666	-0.09%	0.127595	-0.15%	0.0020	✗	1.00	3.7M	2022-02-26
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7386	0.737925	-0.09%	0.7459	+0.99%	0.0136	✗	1.10	9.6M	2022-02-26
XVG	Verge	native	0.00953	0.009521	-0.10%	0.00985	+3.36%	0.0373	✗	1.29	1.2M	2022-02-26
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2632	0.262921	-0.11%	0.2767	+5.13%	0.0546	✗	1.39	451k	2022-02-26
BTTC	BTTC		0.0000019	0.000001898	-0.11%	0.00000191	+0.53%	0.0082	✗	0.69	14.7M	2022-02-26
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.2	9.1892	-0.12%	8.98	-2.39%	0.0197	✓	1.29	3.2M	2022-02-26
XEM	NEM	native	0.0985	0.098383	-0.12%	0.101	+2.54%	0.0289	✗	1.05	38k	2022-02-26
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0277	0.027666	-0.12%	0.0274	-1.08%	0.0059	✓	1.46	497k	2022-02-26
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.187	2.1843	-0.12%	2.285	+4.48%	0.0478	✗	1.05	19k	2022-02-26
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	39,386.50	39,334.56	-0.13%	39,589.70	+0.52%	0.0089	✗	0.96	49k	2022-02-26
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	67.1249	67.0354	-0.13%	64.8155	-3.44%	0.0299	✓	1.49	231k	2022-02-26
DASH	Dash	Dash	92.9	92.7735	-0.14%	93.68	+0.84%	0.0126	✗	1.13	1.5M	2022-02-26
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.7367	2.7328	-0.14%	2.6813	-2.03%	0.0157	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-02-26
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.679	3.673	-0.16%	3.6	-2.15%	0.0167	✓	1.30	1.9M	2022-02-26
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0389	0.038833	-0.17%	0.04014	+3.19%	0.0358	✗	1.07	30k	2022-02-26
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.191142	0.190766	-0.20%	0.192899	+0.92%	0.0140	✗	1.11	20.5M	2022-02-26
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.25	9.2313	-0.20%	9.06	-2.05%	0.0153	✓	1.34	10.8M	2022-02-26
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007523	0.000075075	-0.21%	0.00007538	+0.20%	0.0071	✗	1.18	4.5M	2022-02-26
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.533	0.531895	-0.21%	0.5505	+3.28%	0.0368	✗	0.93	643k	2022-02-26
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.37	9.3499	-0.21%	9.33	-0.43%	0.0004	✓	0.68	853k	2022-02-26
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.27	25.2154	-0.22%	24.45	-3.24%	0.0270	✓	1.48	1.8M	2022-02-26
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	112.66	112.3954	-0.23%	113.35	+0.61%	0.0118	✗	1.30	58k	2022-02-26
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.8773	1.8729	-0.24%	1.8651	-0.65%	0.0010	✓	1.23	196k	2022-02-26
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.02	1.0176	-0.24%	1.08	+5.88%	0.0596	✗	0.03	286k	2022-02-26
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.8833	0.881186	-0.24%	0.794	-10.11%	0.1027	✓	0.57	1.4M	2022-02-26
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.882	0.879886	-0.24%	0.895	+1.47%	0.0206	✗	1.37	2.1M	2022-02-26
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0689	0.068727	-0.25%	0.0685	-0.58%	0.0006	✓	1.05	168k	2022-02-26
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	27.3	27.2303	-0.26%	29.89	+9.49%	0.0961	✗	1.12	52.8M	2022-02-26
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.94	18.8885	-0.27%	19.06	+0.63%	0.0123	✗	1.26	9.1M	2022-02-26
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.09	42.9688	-0.28%	43.29	+0.46%	0.0104	✗	1.15	23.5M	2022-02-26
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,170.96	20,112.45	-0.29%	20,876.08	+3.50%	0.0398	✗	1.00	5.7M	2022-02-26
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.73	2.722	-0.29%	2.56	-6.23%	0.0588	✓	1.00	544k	2022-02-26
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.23	2.2234	-0.30%	2.35	+5.38%	0.0579	✗	1.00	639k	2022-02-26
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1469	0.146455	-0.30%	0.1441	-1.91%	0.0141	✓	0.81	321k	2022-02-26
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8595	1.8534	-0.33%	1.8532	-0.34%	0.0016	✓	0.67	2.7M	2022-02-26
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	17.28	17.2227	-0.33%	18.04	+4.40%	0.0498	✗	1.33	26.4M	2022-02-26
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.72	0.717545	-0.34%	0.7	-2.78%	0.0198	✓	1.92	995k	2022-02-26
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1292	0.128734	-0.36%	0.1212	-6.19%	0.0569	✓	1.31	3.1M	2022-02-26
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	309.04	307.8816	-0.37%	315.57	+2.11%	0.0272	✗	1.00	7.3M	2022-02-26
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.16	21.0789	-0.38%	21.2	+0.19%	0.0098	✗	1.59	325k	2022-02-26
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.297	0.295814	-0.40%	0.29	-2.36%	0.0163	✓	1.39	2.1M	2022-02-26
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.9173	5.8912	-0.44%	6.0612	+2.43%	0.0295	✗	0.42	433k	2022-02-26
STX	Stacks	native	1.15	1.1448	-0.45%	1.19	+3.48%	0.0421	✗	1.30	695k	2022-02-26
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2474	1.2418	-0.45%	1.2108	-2.93%	0.0215	✓	1.44	2.6M	2022-02-26
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.32	6.2914	-0.45%	6.27	-0.79%	0.0002	✓	1.41	1.2M	2022-02-26
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	51.16	50.9158	-0.48%	50.44	-1.41%	0.0059	✓	1.35	7.3M	2022-02-26
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0734	0.073018	-0.52%	0.073	-0.54%	0.0033	✓	1.40	1.0M	2022-02-26
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.26	30.0767	-0.61%	30.18	-0.26%	0.0061	✓	1.02	1.7M	2022-02-26
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.834	1.8224	-0.63%	1.808	-1.42%	0.0054	✓	1.00	76k	2022-02-26
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.048666	0.048327	-0.70%	0.048351	-0.65%	0.0036	✓	1.22	8.1M	2022-02-26
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.138	0.136938	-0.77%	0.141	+2.17%	0.0317	✗	0.95	51k	2022-02-26
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.168	1.1575	-0.90%	1.139	-2.48%	0.0129	✓	1.24	1.0M	2022-02-26
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0696	0.06896	-0.92%	0.0712	+2.30%	0.0369	✗	1.92	72.8M	2022-02-26
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6442	1.6274	-1.02%	1.6235	-1.26%	0.0013	✓	1.44	251k	2022-02-26
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.96	1.9395	-1.05%	1.86	-5.10%	0.0377	✓	1.63	539k	2022-02-26
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	7.00e-7	6.90e-7	-1.42%	6.98e-7	-0.29%	0.0140	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-26
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.09	6.9849	-1.48%	6.528	-7.93%	0.0667	✓	0.37	2.0M	2022-02-26
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	73.2	71.8604	-1.83%	78.15	+6.76%	0.0875	✗	1.39	4.5M	2022-02-26

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.