2022-02-20 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0312

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+1.56%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

80.7%

in alpha space · 86.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-3.56%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.97	6.7551	-3.08%	5.72	-17.93%	0.1570	✓	0.26	2.0M	2022-02-21
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.05	6.9304	-1.70%	5.07	-28.09%	0.2802	✓	0.89	682k	2022-02-21
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.8141	1.7834	-1.69%	1.646	-9.27%	0.0254	✓	1.51	189k	2022-02-21
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.94	0.93312	-0.73%	0.91	-3.19%	0.0111	✗	1.00	277k	2022-02-21
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.051219	0.050864	-0.69%	0.050288	-1.82%	0.0354	✗	1.29	7.5M	2022-02-21
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.127	0.126121	-0.69%	0.132	+3.94%	0.0852	✗	1.09	51k	2022-02-21
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.09	25.9436	-0.56%	23.83	-8.66%	0.0461	✓	1.07	57.6M	2022-02-21
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.57	2.5561	-0.54%	2.37	-7.78%	0.0393	✓	1.00	681k	2022-02-21
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.93	27.7885	-0.51%	26.51	-5.08%	0.0121	✓	0.97	1.4M	2022-02-21
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.0176	2.0077	-0.49%	1.7569	-12.92%	0.1149	✓	0.51	2.8M	2022-02-21
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,667.46	20,568.86	-0.48%	19,642.84	-4.96%	0.0091	✓	1.02	6.0M	2022-02-21
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.38	4.3591	-0.48%	3.77	-13.93%	0.1001	✓	1.25	1.9M	2022-02-21
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.96	1.9508	-0.47%	1.99	+1.53%	0.0853	✗	1.81	690k	2022-02-21
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01318	0.013119	-0.46%	0.012214	-7.33%	0.0302	✓	1.14	81k	2022-02-21
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.55	2.5394	-0.42%	2.34	-8.24%	0.0242	✓	1.59	14.5M	2022-02-21
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	18.7	18.624	-0.41%	17.77	-4.97%	0.0047	✓	1.17	23.0M	2022-02-21
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.136714	0.136172	-0.40%	0.128094	-6.31%	0.0247	✓	1.00	4.7M	2022-02-21
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.95	0.946513	-0.37%	0.8883	-6.49%	0.0366	✓	0.74	1.5M	2022-02-21
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.039	2.0316	-0.36%	1.853	-9.12%	0.0558	✓	1.00	84k	2022-02-21
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.84	40.6931	-0.36%	39.81	-2.52%	0.0202	✗	1.16	27.9M	2022-02-21
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.107	3.0962	-0.35%	2.889	-7.02%	0.0365	✓	0.91	492k	2022-02-21
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.57	6.5474	-0.34%	5.95	-9.44%	0.0809	✓	0.41	1.4M	2022-02-21
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01266	0.012618	-0.33%	0.01284	+1.42%	0.0470	✗	0.82	15k	2022-02-21
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.735	5.7161	-0.33%	5.8395	+1.82%	0.0353	✗	0.38	430k	2022-02-21
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.17	7.1467	-0.32%	6.72	-6.28%	0.0543	✓	0.20	1.4M	2022-02-21
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.14	6.1205	-0.32%	5.83	-5.05%	0.0171	✓	0.87	430k	2022-02-21
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000197	0.000001964	-0.32%	0.00000194	-1.52%	0.0240	✗	1.00	14.3M	2022-02-21
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.95	8.9224	-0.31%	8.64	-3.46%	0.0152	✗	1.31	3.2M	2022-02-21
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6921	2.6839	-0.31%	2.4827	-7.78%	0.0330	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-02-21
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01078	0.010747	-0.30%	0.01004	-6.86%	0.0114	✓	1.56	2.2M	2022-02-21
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0729	0.072682	-0.30%	0.0692	-5.08%	0.0081	✓	1.13	194k	2022-02-21
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.2326	6.2141	-0.30%	5.7431	-7.85%	0.0257	✓	1.47	172k	2022-02-21
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.194647	0.19407	-0.30%	0.17816	-8.47%	0.0480	✓	1.04	21.8M	2022-02-21
XYM	Symbol	native	0.154	0.15355	-0.29%	0.1488	-3.38%	0.0040	✓	0.76	350k	2022-02-21
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5119	0.510411	-0.29%	0.481	-6.04%	0.0263	✓	0.91	724k	2022-02-21
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	49.33	49.1871	-0.29%	50.13	+1.62%	0.0691	✗	1.38	5.1M	2022-02-21
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3785	0.377407	-0.29%	0.3401	-10.15%	0.0435	✓	1.67	16.9M	2022-02-21
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.82	19.763	-0.29%	18.64	-5.95%	0.0140	✓	1.23	10.5M	2022-02-21
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.532	1.5276	-0.29%	1.384	-9.66%	0.0472	✓	1.42	1.0M	2022-02-21
XEM	NEM	native	0.0988	0.098518	-0.29%	0.0927	-6.17%	0.0243	✓	1.01	38k	2022-02-21
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1343	0.133918	-0.28%	0.1229	-8.49%	0.0388	✓	1.30	3.3M	2022-02-21
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.48	2.473	-0.28%	2.16	-12.90%	0.0923	✓	1.19	359k	2022-02-21
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06754	0.06735	-0.28%	0.05994	-11.25%	0.0884	✓	0.78	84k	2022-02-21
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.02	3.0116	-0.28%	2.8682	-5.03%	0.0129	✓	0.99	2.4M	2022-02-21
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.73	1.7253	-0.27%	1.57	-9.25%	0.0461	✓	1.33	2.0M	2022-02-21
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.76	2.7526	-0.27%	2.62	-5.07%	0.0131	✓	1.00	696k	2022-02-21
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8455	0.843286	-0.26%	0.7852	-7.13%	0.0263	✓	1.24	24.6M	2022-02-21
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4602	0.459002	-0.26%	0.4311	-6.32%	0.0077	✗	1.94	2.0M	2022-02-21
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.516	0.514679	-0.26%	0.4728	-8.37%	0.0371	✓	1.32	2.3M	2022-02-21
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.025474	0.025409	-0.26%	0.023018	-9.64%	0.0592	✓	1.09	89k	2022-02-21
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.5	2.4936	-0.25%	2.321	-7.16%	0.0258	✓	1.27	845k	2022-02-21
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.028	0.02793	-0.25%	0.0263	-6.07%	0.0071	✓	1.46	499k	2022-02-21
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1176	1.1148	-0.25%	1.1385	+1.87%	0.0696	✗	1.34	2.5M	2022-02-21
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.63	3.621	-0.25%	3.28	-9.64%	0.0491	✓	1.38	7.2M	2022-02-21
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.9319	0.929607	-0.25%	0.8572	-8.02%	0.0406	✓	1.12	97.3M	2022-02-21
XVG	Verge	native	0.00962	0.009596	-0.24%	0.00929	-3.43%	0.0145	✗	1.30	1.2M	2022-02-21
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	108.11	107.849	-0.24%	100.47	-7.07%	0.0277	✓	1.19	7.6M	2022-02-21
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3917	0.390755	-0.24%	0.3572	-8.81%	0.0393	✓	1.39	8.7M	2022-02-21
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	116.98	116.7008	-0.24%	106.4	-9.04%	0.0462	✓	1.27	66k	2022-02-21
DASH	Dash	Dash	98.1	97.8662	-0.24%	87.04	-11.27%	0.0771	✓	1.11	1.5M	2022-02-21
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,389.03	38,299.48	-0.23%	37,023.00	-3.56%	0.0023	✓	1.00	633.0M	2022-02-21
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7859	0.784072	-0.23%	0.7113	-9.49%	0.0569	✓	1.12	9.9M	2022-02-21
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.962	18.9181	-0.23%	18.137	-4.35%	0.0011	✓	1.20	9.8M	2022-02-21
STX	Stacks	native	1.23	1.2272	-0.23%	1.11	-9.76%	0.0541	✓	1.28	817k	2022-02-21
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.211	4.2014	-0.23%	4.021	-4.51%	0.0135	✓	0.84	395k	2022-02-21
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	52.1	51.9832	-0.22%	47.35	-9.12%	0.0468	✓	1.29	8.7M	2022-02-21
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02715	0.02709	-0.22%	0.0257	-5.34%	0.0215	✓	0.86	5.0M	2022-02-21
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0487	0.048595	-0.22%	0.04508	-7.43%	0.0249	✓	1.38	903k	2022-02-21
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.70618	0.704655	-0.22%	0.64579	-8.55%	0.0331	✓	1.49	298k	2022-02-21
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.471	0.469987	-0.21%	0.444	-5.73%	0.0067	✓	1.38	4.5M	2022-02-21
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.019255	0.019214	-0.21%	0.018035	-6.34%	0.0217	✓	1.15	2.4M	2022-02-21
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.98	12.9524	-0.21%	12.48	-3.85%	0.0002	✓	1.03	448k	2022-02-21
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9158	0.913877	-0.21%	0.8148	-11.03%	0.0581	✓	1.56	1.8M	2022-02-21
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00912	0.009101	-0.20%	0.00847	-7.13%	0.0346	✓	1.03	504k	2022-02-21
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.3	0.299404	-0.20%	0.279	-7.00%	0.0225	✓	1.33	2.2M	2022-02-21
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.01	5.0001	-0.20%	4.83	-3.59%	0.0064	✓	0.78	431k	2022-02-21
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	107.71	107.4994	-0.20%	106.88	-0.77%	0.0307	✗	1.01	6.6M	2022-02-21
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03914	0.039063	-0.20%	0.03591	-8.25%	0.0445	✓	1.10	32k	2022-02-21
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	110.69	110.4757	-0.19%	102.78	-7.15%	0.0284	✓	1.21	30.0M	2022-02-21
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08575	0.085585	-0.19%	0.0791	-7.76%	0.0395	✓	1.08	49k	2022-02-21
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007437	0.00007423	-0.19%	0.00006783	-8.79%	0.0491	✓	1.13	4.7M	2022-02-21
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,642.80	38,570.01	-0.19%	37,080.10	-4.04%	0.0044	✓	0.97	42k	2022-02-21
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.697	5.6863	-0.19%	5.32	-6.62%	0.0288	✓	1.04	327k	2022-02-21
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.28	2.2758	-0.19%	2.17	-4.82%	0.0106	✓	1.02	299k	2022-02-21
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.9689	1.9652	-0.18%	1.9047	-3.26%	0.0139	✗	1.25	233k	2022-02-21
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2401	0.239663	-0.18%	0.2206	-8.12%	0.0464	✓	1.01	1.9M	2022-02-21
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.6	14.5741	-0.18%	13.51	-7.47%	0.0324	✓	1.20	63.5M	2022-02-21
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.591	6.5793	-0.18%	6.04	-8.36%	0.0719	✓	0.38	35k	2022-02-21
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0744	0.074269	-0.18%	0.0681	-8.47%	0.0378	✓	1.35	1.1M	2022-02-21
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.24	0.239585	-0.17%	0.248	+3.33%	0.0686	✗	0.94	68k	2022-02-21
XMR	Monero	Monero	153.87	153.6057	-0.17%	148	-3.81%	0.0008	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-21
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	138.87	138.632	-0.17%	125.92	-9.33%	0.0536	✓	1.17	930k	2022-02-21
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.77	9.7535	-0.17%	9.06	-7.27%	0.0495	✓	0.67	821k	2022-02-21
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.75	34.6916	-0.17%	32.14	-7.51%	0.0199	✓	1.56	364k	2022-02-21
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3961	0.395439	-0.17%	0.3661	-7.57%	0.0252	✓	1.43	1.6M	2022-02-21
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0654	0.065291	-0.17%	0.0613	-6.27%	0.0245	✓	1.07	15k	2022-02-21
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.516	5.507	-0.16%	5.241	-4.99%	0.0207	✓	0.80	65k	2022-02-21
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6203	1.6177	-0.16%	1.6127	-0.47%	0.0381	✗	1.14	75k	2022-02-21
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2525	0.252094	-0.16%	0.2293	-9.19%	0.0542	✓	1.12	518k	2022-02-21
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1362	0.135982	-0.16%	0.1283	-5.80%	0.0209	✓	1.03	470k	2022-02-21
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.798	2.7935	-0.16%	2.583	-7.68%	0.0491	✓	0.81	206k	2022-02-21
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.78	0.778788	-0.16%	0.72	-7.69%	0.0071	✓	1.97	1.2M	2022-02-21
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	302.87	302.4261	-0.15%	283.16	-6.51%	0.0304	✓	0.98	8.0M	2022-02-21
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.49	1.4878	-0.15%	1.37	-8.05%	0.0379	✓	1.23	1.1M	2022-02-21
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.7	5.6918	-0.14%	5.27	-7.54%	0.0465	✓	0.84	398k	2022-02-21
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.79	18.7633	-0.14%	17.63	-6.17%	0.0064	✓	1.54	350k	2022-02-21
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.0929	4.0873	-0.14%	3.7534	-8.29%	0.0422	✓	1.19	327k	2022-02-21
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.36	5.3527	-0.14%	4.92	-8.21%	0.0484	✓	0.99	1.8M	2022-02-21
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.23	15.2099	-0.13%	13.9	-8.73%	0.0285	✓	1.70	3.0M	2022-02-21
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	27.23	27.1943	-0.13%	25	-8.19%	0.0452	✓	1.07	5.2M	2022-02-21
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002547	0.000025438	-0.13%	0.00002404	-5.61%	0.0063	✓	1.39	3.7M	2022-02-21
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	77.39	77.2967	-0.12%	70.08	-9.45%	0.0455	✓	1.45	106.7M	2022-02-21
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	16.92	16.9001	-0.12%	16.19	-4.31%	0.0056	✗	1.34	31.3M	2022-02-21
SOL	Solana	Solana	90.78	90.6736	-0.12%	82.97	-8.60%	0.0442	✓	1.23	171.7M	2022-02-21
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.7	0.699214	-0.11%	0.64	-8.57%	0.0501	✓	1.06	2.0M	2022-02-21
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.454	1.4524	-0.11%	1.34	-7.84%	0.0391	✓	1.14	2.1M	2022-02-21
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.796	0.795188	-0.10%	0.739	-7.16%	0.0237	✓	1.37	2.2M	2022-02-21
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	74.3242	74.2576	-0.09%	68.7997	-7.43%	0.0216	✓	1.51	281k	2022-02-21
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.9539	2.9513	-0.09%	2.8775	-2.59%	0.0104	✗	0.98	2.5M	2022-02-21
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.98512	0.984301	-0.08%	0.88573	-10.09%	0.0671	✓	1.06	180k	2022-02-21
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.9	0.899269	-0.08%	0.92	+2.22%	0.0691	✗	1.28	878k	2022-02-21
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	137.55	137.4446	-0.08%	128.58	-6.52%	0.0146	✓	1.44	6.8M	2022-02-21
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.46	84.4055	-0.06%	80.87	-4.25%	0.0107	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-21
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8239	0.823382	-0.06%	0.7421	-9.93%	0.0488	✓	1.52	417k	2022-02-21
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.06201	0.061974	-0.06%	0.059472	-4.09%	0.0109	✓	0.84	307k	2022-02-21
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.71	14.7021	-0.05%	13.77	-6.39%	0.0398	✓	0.71	1.8M	2022-02-21
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03634	0.036321	-0.05%	0.03362	-7.48%	0.0510	✓	0.72	1.9M	2022-02-21
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,622.47	2,621.08	-0.05%	2,569.00	-2.04%	0.0204	✗	1.12	581.4M	2022-02-21
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.36	9.3551	-0.05%	8.52	-8.97%	0.0457	✓	1.32	11.4M	2022-02-21
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.570834	0.570564	-0.05%	0.519067	-9.07%	0.0534	✓	1.14	3.5M	2022-02-21
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.067	2.066	-0.05%	1.933	-6.48%	0.0287	✓	1.04	20k	2022-02-21
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.63	23.6193	-0.05%	21.87	-7.45%	0.0223	✓	1.51	1.8M	2022-02-21
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1863	0.186228	-0.04%	0.1686	-9.50%	0.0495	✓	1.38	3.2M	2022-02-21
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.06	4.0586	-0.03%	3.73	-8.13%	0.0399	✓	1.23	2.3M	2022-02-21
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.063	1.0627	-0.03%	1.003	-5.64%	0.0126	✓	1.25	3.0M	2022-02-21
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.2624	3.2617	-0.02%	2.9731	-8.87%	0.0463	✓	1.28	2.1M	2022-02-21
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.44	1.4397	-0.02%	1.25	-13.19%	0.0967	✓	1.23	1.2M	2022-02-21
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0531	0.053101	+0.00%	0.0474	-10.73%	0.0502	✗	1.75	64.3M	2022-02-21
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.091	0.091011	+0.01%	0.0877	-3.63%	0.0176	✓	1.51	807k	2022-02-21
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15607	0.156089	+0.01%	0.15154	-2.90%	0.0222	✓	1.43	30k	2022-02-21
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.65	4.6517	+0.04%	4.2	-9.68%	0.0629	✗	1.08	510k	2022-02-21
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.82	1.8207	+0.04%	1.58	-13.19%	0.1036	✗	1.06	3.2M	2022-02-21
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.41	1.4106	+0.04%	1.3	-7.80%	0.0319	✗	1.37	2.2M	2022-02-21
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.2563	6.2614	+0.08%	6.0829	-2.77%	0.0018	✓	0.85	3.5M	2022-02-21
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2213	0.221496	+0.09%	0.2042	-7.73%	0.0256	✗	1.54	3.6M	2022-02-21
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5079	0.508696	+0.16%	0.4442	-12.54%	0.0841	✗	1.42	610k	2022-02-21
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00465	0.00466	+0.21%	0.00451	-3.01%	0.0377	✓	1.94	13.2M	2022-02-21
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1375	2.1473	+0.46%	2.2241	+4.05%	0.0694	✓	0.94	28k	2022-02-21
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.02116	0.021307	+0.69%	0.01937	-8.46%	0.0370	✗	1.61	10.9M	2022-02-21
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.828	2.8522	+0.85%	2.332	-17.54%	0.1548	✗	1.28	579k	2022-02-21

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.