2022-02-19 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1298

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-0.00%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

56.7%

in alpha space · 94.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-4.27%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.47	7.19	-3.75%	6.97	-6.69%	0.0215	✓	0.22	2.0M	2022-02-20
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.8854	1.8441	-2.19%	1.8141	-3.78%	0.0502	✗	1.52	189k	2022-02-20
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.059376	0.058626	-1.26%	0.051219	-13.74%	0.0819	✓	1.22	7.5M	2022-02-20
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.01	0.998783	-1.11%	0.94	-6.93%	0.0170	✓	1.00	274k	2022-02-20
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.94	30.6664	-0.88%	27.93	-9.73%	0.0524	✓	0.94	1.3M	2022-02-20
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.135	0.133887	-0.82%	0.127	-5.93%	0.0053	✓	1.09	54k	2022-02-20
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.419	0.415748	-0.78%	0.3785	-9.67%	0.0216	✓	1.65	17.3M	2022-02-20
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.16	2.1445	-0.72%	1.96	-9.26%	0.0118	✓	1.79	708k	2022-02-20
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.93	4.8949	-0.71%	4.38	-11.16%	0.0578	✓	1.22	1.9M	2022-02-20
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.81	2.7914	-0.66%	2.55	-9.25%	0.0246	✓	1.51	15.0M	2022-02-20
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	21,669.76	21,534.51	-0.62%	20,667.46	-4.63%	0.0029	✓	1.01	6.2M	2022-02-20
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.74	2.723	-0.62%	2.57	-6.20%	0.0142	✓	1.00	723k	2022-02-20
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015145	0.015056	-0.59%	0.01318	-12.97%	0.0852	✓	1.10	170k	2022-02-20
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.69	26.5452	-0.54%	26.09	-2.25%	0.0285	✗	1.05	61.0M	2022-02-20
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.9816	0.976348	-0.54%	0.95	-3.22%	0.0058	✗	0.76	1.5M	2022-02-20
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.99	6.9541	-0.51%	6.57	-6.01%	0.0405	✓	0.37	1.4M	2022-02-20
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20	19.9006	-0.50%	18.7	-6.50%	0.0117	✓	1.16	23.2M	2022-02-20
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9802	1.9708	-0.47%	2.0176	+1.89%	0.0471	✗	0.54	2.9M	2022-02-20
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.186	2.1758	-0.46%	2.039	-6.72%	0.0213	✓	1.00	76k	2022-02-20
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	50.46	50.2324	-0.45%	49.33	-2.24%	0.0433	✗	1.41	5.3M	2022-02-20
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.99	9.945	-0.45%	8.95	-10.41%	0.0514	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-02-20
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	42.78	42.5935	-0.44%	40.84	-4.53%	0.0089	✗	1.17	28.5M	2022-02-20
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.281	3.2671	-0.43%	3.107	-5.30%	0.0115	✓	0.89	502k	2022-02-20
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.141002	0.140405	-0.42%	0.136714	-3.04%	0.0172	✗	1.01	5.2M	2022-02-20
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.787	6.7586	-0.42%	6.2326	-8.17%	0.0176	✓	1.45	198k	2022-02-20
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8917	2.8797	-0.42%	2.6921	-6.90%	0.0163	✓	1.17	3.3M	2022-02-20
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01191	0.011862	-0.40%	0.01078	-9.49%	0.0274	✓	1.56	2.2M	2022-02-20
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1472	0.146613	-0.40%	0.1343	-8.76%	0.0311	✓	1.30	3.3M	2022-02-20
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.87	3.8547	-0.39%	3.63	-6.20%	0.0000	✓	1.38	7.4M	2022-02-20
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.827	0.82399	-0.36%	0.7859	-4.97%	0.0002	✓	1.08	10.1M	2022-02-20
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.02609	0.025996	-0.36%	0.025474	-2.36%	0.0295	✗	1.14	89k	2022-02-20
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0784	0.078118	-0.36%	0.0729	-7.02%	0.0204	✓	1.12	194k	2022-02-20
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.7961	5.7754	-0.36%	5.735	-1.05%	0.0095	✗	0.38	441k	2022-02-20
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5576	0.555611	-0.36%	0.516	-7.46%	0.0167	✓	1.31	2.3M	2022-02-20
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.27	7.2444	-0.35%	7.17	-1.38%	0.0013	✓	0.21	1.4M	2022-02-20
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.664	1.6581	-0.35%	1.532	-7.93%	0.0198	✓	1.36	1.1M	2022-02-20
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.41	6.3876	-0.35%	6.14	-4.21%	0.0021	✓	0.86	430k	2022-02-20
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5485	0.546596	-0.35%	0.5119	-6.67%	0.0263	✓	0.90	741k	2022-02-20
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07126	0.071019	-0.34%	0.06754	-5.22%	0.0168	✓	0.76	88k	2022-02-20
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000202	0.000002013	-0.34%	0.00000197	-2.48%	0.0220	✗	1.00	14.4M	2022-02-20
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0593	0.059103	-0.33%	0.0531	-10.46%	0.0314	✓	1.73	64.3M	2022-02-20
STX	Stacks	native	1.31	1.3057	-0.33%	1.23	-6.11%	0.0038	✓	1.28	845k	2022-02-20
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.204174	0.203504	-0.33%	0.194647	-4.67%	0.0003	✓	1.03	22.0M	2022-02-20
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.03	0.029902	-0.33%	0.028	-6.67%	0.0023	✓	1.45	499k	2022-02-20
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.82	20.7527	-0.32%	19.82	-4.80%	0.0073	✗	1.22	10.8M	2022-02-20
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.265	6.2449	-0.32%	5.697	-9.07%	0.0490	✓	0.98	361k	2022-02-20
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9001	0.89728	-0.31%	0.8455	-6.07%	0.0053	✓	1.24	25.9M	2022-02-20
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4814	0.479902	-0.31%	0.4602	-4.40%	0.0401	✗	1.88	1.9M	2022-02-20
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.9969	0.993824	-0.31%	0.9319	-6.52%	0.0161	✓	1.11	97.3M	2022-02-20
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.82	1.8144	-0.31%	1.73	-4.95%	0.0107	✗	1.34	2.0M	2022-02-20
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1581	0.157618	-0.30%	0.154	-2.59%	0.0070	✗	0.69	362k	2022-02-20
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.06	14.0172	-0.30%	12.98	-7.68%	0.0320	✓	1.03	483k	2022-02-20
XVG	Verge	native	0.01032	0.010289	-0.30%	0.00962	-6.78%	0.0107	✓	1.29	1.2M	2022-02-20
XEM	NEM	native	0.1018	0.101491	-0.30%	0.0988	-2.95%	0.0176	✗	1.02	39k	2022-02-20
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	54.84	54.6755	-0.30%	52.1	-5.00%	0.0073	✗	1.27	9.2M	2022-02-20
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020617	0.020555	-0.30%	0.019255	-6.61%	0.0154	✓	1.14	2.4M	2022-02-20
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01266	0.012623	-0.30%	0.01266	+0.00%	0.0382	✗	0.81	15k	2022-02-20
DASH	Dash	Dash	102.42	102.1193	-0.29%	98.1	-4.22%	0.0083	✗	1.11	1.5M	2022-02-20
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	112.33	112.004	-0.29%	108.11	-3.76%	0.0179	✗	1.22	7.6M	2022-02-20
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.82	2.8118	-0.29%	2.76	-2.13%	0.0250	✗	1.00	698k	2022-02-20
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4172	0.416	-0.29%	0.3917	-6.11%	0.0005	✓	1.39	8.8M	2022-02-20
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	40,101.94	39,986.69	-0.29%	38,389.03	-4.27%	0.0029	✗	1.00	646.5M	2022-02-20
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1527	1.1495	-0.28%	1.1176	-3.04%	0.0272	✗	1.27	2.6M	2022-02-20
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.839	19.7833	-0.28%	18.962	-4.42%	0.0104	✗	1.21	9.9M	2022-02-20
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.472	4.4596	-0.28%	4.211	-5.84%	0.0221	✓	0.81	395k	2022-02-20
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.75237	0.750289	-0.28%	0.70618	-6.14%	0.0042	✗	1.48	334k	2022-02-20
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.273	0.272267	-0.27%	0.2525	-7.51%	0.0276	✓	1.09	538k	2022-02-20
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.325	0.324128	-0.27%	0.3	-7.69%	0.0193	✓	1.33	2.3M	2022-02-20
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02878	0.028705	-0.26%	0.02715	-5.66%	0.0189	✓	0.84	5.2M	2022-02-20
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	121.25	120.9357	-0.26%	116.98	-3.52%	0.0229	✗	1.29	66k	2022-02-20
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0806	0.080392	-0.26%	0.0744	-7.69%	0.0190	✓	1.34	1.1M	2022-02-20
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	85.07	84.8524	-0.26%	77.39	-9.03%	0.0312	✓	1.39	110.8M	2022-02-20
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.52	15.4805	-0.25%	14.6	-5.93%	0.0059	✓	1.21	67.7M	2022-02-20
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05154	0.05141	-0.25%	0.0487	-5.51%	0.0057	✗	1.37	951k	2022-02-20
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9635	0.961074	-0.25%	0.9158	-4.95%	0.0198	✗	1.56	1.8M	2022-02-20
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.85	0.847886	-0.25%	0.78	-8.24%	0.0025	✗	1.97	1.2M	2022-02-20
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.42	2.414	-0.25%	2.48	+2.48%	0.0797	✗	1.21	383k	2022-02-20
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.489	0.487798	-0.25%	0.471	-3.68%	0.0256	✗	1.39	4.7M	2022-02-20
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.586	2.5797	-0.24%	2.5	-3.33%	0.0247	✗	1.28	845k	2022-02-20
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.48	20.4315	-0.24%	18.79	-8.25%	0.0169	✓	1.53	371k	2022-02-20
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00967	0.009647	-0.23%	0.00912	-5.69%	0.0112	✓	1.03	504k	2022-02-20
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	151.15	150.7957	-0.23%	138.87	-8.12%	0.0312	✓	1.17	973k	2022-02-20
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08925	0.089042	-0.23%	0.08575	-3.92%	0.0100	✗	1.09	50k	2022-02-20
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03967	0.039578	-0.23%	0.03634	-8.39%	0.0545	✓	0.71	1.9M	2022-02-20
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.99	0.987705	-0.23%	0.9	-9.09%	0.0380	✓	1.26	818k	2022-02-20
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.13	38.0424	-0.23%	34.75	-8.86%	0.0222	✓	1.56	405k	2022-02-20
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	115.59	115.3249	-0.23%	110.69	-4.24%	0.0120	✗	1.21	31.4M	2022-02-20
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000275	0.000027437	-0.23%	0.00002547	-7.38%	0.0141	✓	1.38	3.8M	2022-02-20
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007811	0.000077935	-0.22%	0.00007437	-4.79%	0.0025	✗	1.13	4.8M	2022-02-20
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	84.5568	84.3707	-0.22%	74.3242	-12.10%	0.0624	✓	1.47	305k	2022-02-20
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2512	0.250655	-0.22%	0.2401	-4.42%	0.0005	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-20
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	110.71	110.4722	-0.21%	107.71	-2.71%	0.0187	✗	1.01	7.2M	2022-02-20
XMR	Monero	Monero	161.12	160.7753	-0.21%	153.87	-4.50%	0.0005	✓	1.02	1.1M	2022-02-20
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.973	2.9666	-0.21%	2.798	-5.89%	0.0245	✓	0.78	206k	2022-02-20
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.071	2.0666	-0.21%	1.9689	-4.93%	0.0058	✗	1.24	263k	2022-02-20
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4201	0.419208	-0.21%	0.3961	-5.71%	0.0057	✗	1.43	1.6M	2022-02-20
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.38	2.375	-0.21%	2.28	-4.20%	0.0038	✗	1.02	327k	2022-02-20
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	39,901.00	39,817.09	-0.21%	38,642.80	-3.15%	0.0127	✗	0.98	51k	2022-02-20
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04064	0.040555	-0.21%	0.03914	-3.69%	0.0121	✗	1.09	32k	2022-02-20
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.254	0.253471	-0.21%	0.24	-5.51%	0.0145	✓	0.92	73k	2022-02-20
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1444	0.14411	-0.20%	0.1362	-5.68%	0.0117	✓	1.03	470k	2022-02-20
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.766	5.7547	-0.20%	5.516	-4.34%	0.0077	✓	0.79	65k	2022-02-20
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.69	5.6789	-0.19%	5.36	-5.80%	0.0139	✓	1.01	1.9M	2022-02-20
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.873	6.8597	-0.19%	6.591	-4.10%	0.0245	✓	0.35	36k	2022-02-20
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.749	0.747551	-0.19%	0.7	-6.54%	0.0197	✓	1.05	2.0M	2022-02-20
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.6074	3.6009	-0.18%	3.2624	-9.56%	0.0439	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-20
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.58	1.5772	-0.18%	1.44	-8.86%	0.0380	✓	1.21	1.2M	2022-02-20
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.7	28.6487	-0.18%	27.23	-5.12%	0.0041	✓	1.07	5.2M	2022-02-20
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.28	5.2706	-0.18%	5.01	-5.11%	0.0175	✓	0.76	415k	2022-02-20
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.58	1.5772	-0.18%	1.49	-5.70%	0.0033	✓	1.23	1.2M	2022-02-20
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	312.05	311.4948	-0.18%	302.87	-2.94%	0.0146	✗	0.98	8.4M	2022-02-20
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0416	3.0362	-0.18%	3.02	-0.71%	0.0377	✗	0.99	2.4M	2022-02-20
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6691	1.6662	-0.17%	1.6203	-2.93%	0.0209	✗	1.12	75k	2022-02-20
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	17.86	17.8291	-0.17%	16.92	-5.26%	0.0063	✗	1.34	32.4M	2022-02-20
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0679	0.067783	-0.17%	0.0654	-3.68%	0.0114	✗	1.08	16k	2022-02-20
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2985	4.2913	-0.17%	4.0929	-4.78%	0.0045	✗	1.19	330k	2022-02-20
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	146.18	145.9387	-0.17%	137.55	-5.90%	0.0028	✗	1.42	6.8M	2022-02-20
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.0051	0.005092	-0.16%	0.00465	-8.82%	0.0059	✓	1.94	13.6M	2022-02-20
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.06	16.0339	-0.16%	15.23	-5.17%	0.0224	✗	1.69	3.0M	2022-02-20
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.9	9.8848	-0.15%	9.77	-1.31%	0.0171	✗	0.66	821k	2022-02-20
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.861	0.859705	-0.15%	0.796	-7.55%	0.0184	✓	1.34	2.4M	2022-02-20
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.92	5.9112	-0.15%	5.7	-3.72%	0.0002	✓	0.83	398k	2022-02-20
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8878	0.886494	-0.15%	0.8239	-7.20%	0.0096	✓	1.46	453k	2022-02-20
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.37	4.3636	-0.15%	4.06	-7.09%	0.0188	✓	1.22	2.5M	2022-02-20
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.491	1.4889	-0.14%	1.454	-2.48%	0.0264	✗	1.15	2.1M	2022-02-20
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.03	10.0171	-0.13%	9.36	-6.68%	0.0109	✓	1.31	11.7M	2022-02-20
SOL	Solana	Solana	91.34	91.2277	-0.12%	90.78	-0.61%	0.0499	✗	1.26	179.7M	2022-02-20
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.57	1.5681	-0.12%	1.41	-10.19%	0.0468	✓	1.36	2.7M	2022-02-20
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0659	3.0622	-0.12%	2.9539	-3.65%	0.0055	✗	0.95	2.5M	2022-02-20
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.31	5.3037	-0.12%	7.05	+32.77%	0.3298	✗	1.03	682k	2022-02-20
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0275	1.0263	-0.11%	0.98512	-4.12%	0.0048	✗	1.05	193k	2022-02-20
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.198	0.197795	-0.10%	0.1863	-5.91%	0.0003	✓	1.36	3.5M	2022-02-20
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,764.44	2,761.71	-0.10%	2,622.47	-5.14%	0.0031	✓	1.11	588.4M	2022-02-20
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.4	25.3754	-0.10%	23.63	-6.97%	0.0057	✓	1.50	1.9M	2022-02-20
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		87.64	87.5651	-0.09%	84.46	-3.63%	0.0027	✗	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-20
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.594043	0.593557	-0.08%	0.570834	-3.91%	0.0106	✗	1.14	3.6M	2022-02-20
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.132	1.1311	-0.08%	1.063	-6.10%	0.0080	✓	1.24	3.1M	2022-02-20
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.168	2.1665	-0.07%	2.067	-4.66%	0.0014	✓	1.04	20k	2022-02-20
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063482	0.06344	-0.07%	0.06201	-2.32%	0.0141	✗	0.84	330k	2022-02-20
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.98	1.9789	-0.06%	1.82	-8.08%	0.0383	✓	1.04	3.2M	2022-02-20
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.247	0.246861	-0.06%	0.2213	-10.40%	0.0429	✓	1.52	3.7M	2022-02-20
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.08	5.0778	-0.04%	4.65	-8.46%	0.0423	✓	1.05	510k	2022-02-20
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0963	0.09626	-0.04%	0.091	-5.50%	0.0094	✗	1.50	903k	2022-02-20
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.11	15.1055	-0.03%	14.71	-2.65%	0.0034	✗	0.69	1.7M	2022-02-20
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15998	0.159941	-0.02%	0.15607	-2.44%	0.0385	✗	1.44	32k	2022-02-20
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.6548	6.655	+0.00%	6.2563	-5.99%	0.0257	✗	0.83	3.6M	2022-02-20
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	3.675	3.6773	+0.06%	2.828	-23.05%	0.2136	✗	1.12	579k	2022-02-20
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5475	0.547895	+0.07%	0.5079	-7.23%	0.0139	✗	1.42	610k	2022-02-20
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.02516	0.025234	+0.29%	0.02116	-15.90%	0.1160	✗	1.38	10.9M	2022-02-20
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.3136	2.3205	+0.30%	2.1375	-7.61%	0.0417	✗	0.93	28k	2022-02-20

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.