2022-02-18 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0350

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-5.98%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

47.3%

in alpha space · 48.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+0.30%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.02552	0.025669	+0.58%	0.02516	-1.41%	0.0241	✗	1.38	10.9M	2022-02-19
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.104	1.1091	+0.46%	1.132	+2.54%	0.0168	✓	1.23	3.3M	2022-02-19
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.6403	6.6693	+0.44%	6.6548	+0.22%	0.0046	✗	0.83	3.6M	2022-02-19
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,780.08	2,789.66	+0.34%	2,764.44	-0.56%	0.0124	✗	1.12	588.4M	2022-02-19
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	145.64	146.1153	+0.33%	146.18	+0.37%	0.0038	✗	1.42	7.3M	2022-02-19
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	40,196.70	40,326.53	+0.32%	39,901.00	-0.74%	0.0135	✗	0.97	58k	2022-02-19
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	3.889	3.9014	+0.32%	3.675	-5.50%	0.0631	✗	1.13	593k	2022-02-19
XMR	Monero	Monero	160.94	161.4384	+0.31%	161.12	+0.11%	0.0050	✗	1.01	1.2M	2022-02-19
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.59	1.5949	+0.31%	1.58	-0.63%	0.0130	✗	1.22	1.3M	2022-02-19
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.44	14.4827	+0.30%	14.06	-2.63%	0.0326	✗	1.02	483k	2022-02-19
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17101	0.171505	+0.29%	0.15998	-6.45%	0.0738	✗	1.44	32k	2022-02-19
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.9795	2.9872	+0.26%	2.3136	-22.35%	0.2583	✗	0.95	27k	2022-02-19
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1093	3.1169	+0.24%	3.0659	-1.40%	0.0193	✗	0.96	2.5M	2022-02-19
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.261	0.261632	+0.24%	0.254	-2.68%	0.0323	✗	0.91	73k	2022-02-19
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4198	0.420802	+0.24%	0.419	-0.19%	0.0092	✗	1.66	17.8M	2022-02-19
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01279	0.01282	+0.23%	0.01266	-1.02%	0.0149	✗	0.80	15k	2022-02-19
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.99	0.992284	+0.23%	0.99	+0.00%	0.0061	✗	1.27	818k	2022-02-19
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.076	3.0829	+0.22%	3.0416	-1.12%	0.0164	✗	0.99	2.4M	2022-02-19
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0419	1.0442	+0.22%	1.0275	-1.39%	0.0193	✗	1.06	193k	2022-02-19
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.2	15.2334	+0.22%	15.11	-0.59%	0.0102	✗	0.68	1.7M	2022-02-19
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.75452	0.756134	+0.21%	0.75237	-0.28%	0.0094	✗	1.48	334k	2022-02-19
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.43	2.4352	+0.21%	2.42	-0.41%	0.0098	✗	1.21	390k	2022-02-19
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.35	4.3591	+0.21%	4.2985	-1.18%	0.0175	✗	1.19	330k	2022-02-19
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.58	1.5831	+0.19%	1.57	-0.63%	0.0123	✗	1.36	2.7M	2022-02-19
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.026937	0.026988	+0.19%	0.02609	-3.14%	0.0372	✗	1.14	88k	2022-02-19
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	39,983.56	40,059.72	+0.19%	40,101.94	+0.30%	0.0019	✓	1.00	690.2M	2022-02-19
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9999	1.0016	+0.17%	0.9635	-3.64%	0.0434	✗	1.55	1.9M	2022-02-19
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0682	0.068315	+0.17%	0.0679	-0.44%	0.0093	✗	1.07	17k	2022-02-19
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.38	2.384	+0.17%	2.38	+0.00%	0.0047	✗	1.02	342k	2022-02-19
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	150.07	150.32	+0.17%	151.15	+0.72%	0.0020	✓	1.17	973k	2022-02-19
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.2	15.224	+0.16%	15.52	+2.11%	0.0157	✓	1.20	69.3M	2022-02-19
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.518	1.5204	+0.16%	1.491	-1.78%	0.0229	✗	1.15	2.1M	2022-02-19
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.903	6.9137	+0.16%	6.873	-0.43%	0.0070	✗	0.35	36k	2022-02-19
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1446	0.144824	+0.15%	0.1444	-0.14%	0.0060	✗	1.03	470k	2022-02-19
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09046	0.090599	+0.15%	0.08925	-1.34%	0.0182	✗	1.09	50k	2022-02-19
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.05	2.0532	+0.15%	1.98	-3.41%	0.0394	✗	1.04	3.2M	2022-02-19
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02928	0.029325	+0.15%	0.02878	-1.71%	0.0212	✗	0.85	5.3M	2022-02-19
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063085	0.063179	+0.15%	0.063482	+0.63%	0.0023	✓	0.84	330k	2022-02-19
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04965	0.049722	+0.14%	0.05154	+3.81%	0.0319	✓	1.37	1.0M	2022-02-19
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	109.21	109.3642	+0.14%	112.33	+2.86%	0.0233	✓	1.18	7.6M	2022-02-19
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5229	0.52361	+0.14%	0.5576	+6.64%	0.0590	✓	1.30	2.3M	2022-02-19
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.67	7.6802	+0.13%	7.27	-5.22%	0.0555	✗	0.19	1.4M	2022-02-19
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4126	0.413135	+0.13%	0.4172	+1.11%	0.0057	✓	1.39	9.0M	2022-02-19
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.222	2.2248	+0.13%	2.168	-2.43%	0.0290	✗	1.04	20k	2022-02-19
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		87.44	87.544	+0.12%	87.64	+0.23%	0.0015	✗	0.88	1.1M	2022-02-19
ZEN	Horizen	Base	37.11	37.1526	+0.11%	38.13	+2.75%	0.0214	✓	1.53	405k	2022-02-19
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6654	1.6673	+0.11%	1.6691	+0.22%	0.0022	✗	1.12	72k	2022-02-19
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.82	1.8217	+0.10%	1.82	+0.00%	0.0049	✗	1.33	2.1M	2022-02-19
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.881	5.8864	+0.09%	5.766	-1.96%	0.0230	✗	0.80	68k	2022-02-19
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.37	6.3753	+0.08%	6.41	+0.63%	0.0029	✓	0.86	449k	2022-02-19
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	113.58	113.6696	+0.08%	110.71	-2.53%	0.0294	✗	1.01	7.5M	2022-02-19
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.181	3.1835	+0.08%	3.281	+3.14%	0.0276	✓	0.88	481k	2022-02-19
SOL	Solana	Solana	89.9	89.9679	+0.08%	91.34	+1.60%	0.0115	✓	1.24	179.7M	2022-02-19
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2677	0.26789	+0.07%	0.273	+1.98%	0.0157	✓	1.09	538k	2022-02-19
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01204	0.012049	+0.07%	0.01191	-1.08%	0.0162	✗	1.57	2.2M	2022-02-19
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04094	0.040962	+0.05%	0.03967	-3.10%	0.0341	✗	0.71	1.9M	2022-02-19
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00516	0.005162	+0.05%	0.0051	-1.16%	0.0179	✗	1.94	15.8M	2022-02-19
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2543	0.254413	+0.04%	0.2512	-1.22%	0.0157	✗	1.00	1.8M	2022-02-19
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.96	28.9726	+0.04%	28.7	-0.90%	0.0126	✗	1.07	5.2M	2022-02-19
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0978	0.09784	+0.04%	0.0963	-1.53%	0.0203	✗	1.50	919k	2022-02-19
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	114.85	114.8946	+0.04%	115.59	+0.64%	0.0024	✓	1.21	31.6M	2022-02-19
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.389	6.3914	+0.04%	6.265	-1.94%	0.0229	✗	0.99	407k	2022-02-19
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1967	0.196772	+0.04%	0.198	+0.66%	0.0022	✓	1.37	3.5M	2022-02-19
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.77	15.7747	+0.03%	16.06	+1.84%	0.0129	✓	1.70	3.1M	2022-02-19
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5682	0.568356	+0.03%	0.5475	-3.64%	0.0416	✗	1.43	665k	2022-02-19
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.594984	0.595135	+0.03%	0.594043	-0.16%	0.0052	✗	1.14	3.6M	2022-02-19
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.29	5.2913	+0.02%	5.08	-3.97%	0.0438	✗	1.04	517k	2022-02-19
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.37	4.3709	+0.02%	4.37	+0.00%	0.0038	✗	1.22	2.5M	2022-02-19
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	83.75	83.7659	+0.02%	85.07	+1.58%	0.0113	✓	1.39	110.8M	2022-02-19
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.85	26.8551	+0.02%	26.69	-0.60%	0.0092	✗	1.04	64.2M	2022-02-19
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00961	0.009611	+0.01%	0.00967	+0.62%	0.0031	✓	1.02	504k	2022-02-19
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.02	3.0203	+0.01%	2.973	-1.56%	0.0181	✗	0.78	212k	2022-02-19
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.61	1.6101	+0.01%	1.58	-1.86%	0.0225	✗	1.21	1.2M	2022-02-19
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.552	19.5531	+0.01%	19.839	+1.47%	0.0109	✓	1.21	10.0M	2022-02-19
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.9958	0.995833	+0.00%	0.9969	+0.11%	0.0022	✗	1.11	98.1M	2022-02-19
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	50.61	50.6112	+0.00%	50.46	-0.30%	0.0072	✗	1.41	5.6M	2022-02-19
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04101	0.041008	-0.00%	0.04064	-0.90%	0.0122	✓	1.09	31k	2022-02-19
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002815	0.000028148	-0.01%	0.0000275	-2.31%	0.0274	✓	1.38	3.8M	2022-02-19
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.247	0.246975	-0.01%	0.247	+0.00%	0.0044	✓	1.52	3.8M	2022-02-19
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.25	5.2492	-0.01%	5.28	+0.57%	0.0036	✗	0.76	415k	2022-02-19
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.771	0.770883	-0.02%	0.749	-2.85%	0.0319	✓	1.05	1.9M	2022-02-19
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0602	0.060191	-0.02%	0.0593	-1.50%	0.0200	✓	1.73	64.3M	2022-02-19
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.3	5.2991	-0.02%	5.31	+0.19%	0.0010	✓	1.03	701k	2022-02-19
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.97	5.9688	-0.02%	5.92	-0.84%	0.0107	✓	0.83	398k	2022-02-19
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.895	0.894807	-0.02%	0.9001	+0.57%	0.0022	✗	1.24	26.6M	2022-02-19
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	121.52	121.4918	-0.02%	121.25	-0.22%	0.0058	✓	1.29	59k	2022-02-19
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07167	0.071644	-0.04%	0.07126	-0.57%	0.0076	✓	0.77	88k	2022-02-19
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.674	1.6733	-0.04%	1.664	-0.60%	0.0096	✓	1.37	1.1M	2022-02-19
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.6234	3.6219	-0.04%	3.6074	-0.44%	0.0077	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-19
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.716	4.7139	-0.05%	4.472	-5.17%	0.0551	✓	0.81	383k	2022-02-19
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.494	0.493686	-0.06%	0.489	-1.01%	0.0136	✓	1.39	4.7M	2022-02-19
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5205	0.520151	-0.07%	0.4814	-7.51%	0.0829	✓	1.86	1.9M	2022-02-19
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.581	2.5792	-0.07%	2.586	+0.19%	0.0011	✓	1.28	911k	2022-02-19
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5612	0.560737	-0.08%	0.5485	-2.26%	0.0247	✓	0.90	780k	2022-02-19
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.01	24.9887	-0.09%	25.4	+1.56%	0.0119	✗	1.50	2.0M	2022-02-19
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.61	19.5923	-0.09%	20	+1.99%	0.0172	✗	1.15	23.7M	2022-02-19
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.200634	0.20045	-0.09%	0.204174	+1.76%	0.0154	✗	1.02	22.0M	2022-02-19
XVG	Verge	native	0.01063	0.01062	-0.09%	0.01032	-2.92%	0.0325	✓	1.30	1.2M	2022-02-19
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.86	0.859179	-0.10%	0.861	+0.12%	0.0018	✓	1.34	2.4M	2022-02-19
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.877	0.876158	-0.10%	0.8878	+1.23%	0.0089	✗	1.46	464k	2022-02-19
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4211	0.420663	-0.10%	0.4201	-0.24%	0.0056	✓	1.44	1.6M	2022-02-19
XEC	eCash	native	0.0000786	0.000078515	-0.11%	0.00007811	-0.62%	0.0085	✓	1.13	4.8M	2022-02-19
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015984	0.015965	-0.12%	0.015145	-5.25%	0.0560	✓	1.10	335k	2022-02-19
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8015	0.800524	-0.12%	0.827	+3.18%	0.0294	✗	1.07	10.8M	2022-02-19
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.138612	0.13844	-0.12%	0.141002	+1.72%	0.0154	✗	1.01	5.6M	2022-02-19
XEM	NEM	native	0.1011	0.100972	-0.13%	0.1018	+0.69%	0.0052	✗	1.02	37k	2022-02-19
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.019599	0.019574	-0.13%	0.020617	+5.19%	0.0485	✗	1.15	2.4M	2022-02-19
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0797	0.079595	-0.13%	0.0784	-1.63%	0.0184	✓	1.11	210k	2022-02-19
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0302	0.030157	-0.14%	0.03	-0.66%	0.0095	✓	1.44	493k	2022-02-19
DASH	Dash	Dash	105.32	105.1657	-0.15%	102.42	-2.75%	0.0297	✓	1.10	1.7M	2022-02-19
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.81	2.8058	-0.15%	2.81	+0.00%	0.0030	✓	1.51	15.4M	2022-02-19
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2333	7.222	-0.16%	6.787	-6.17%	0.0664	✓	1.45	179k	2022-02-19
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.0548	2.0516	-0.16%	2.071	+0.79%	0.0058	✗	1.24	292k	2022-02-19
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.17	10.1537	-0.16%	9.9	-2.65%	0.0273	✓	0.66	821k	2022-02-19
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1609	0.160635	-0.16%	0.1581	-1.74%	0.0179	✓	0.66	372k	2022-02-19
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.92	5.91	-0.17%	5.69	-3.89%	0.0409	✓	1.01	1.9M	2022-02-19
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000205	0.000002046	-0.17%	0.00000202	-1.46%	0.0160	✓	1.00	14.3M	2022-02-19
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.16	10.1422	-0.18%	10.03	-1.28%	0.0150	✓	1.31	11.7M	2022-02-19
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.196	1.1937	-0.19%	1.1527	-3.62%	0.0387	✓	1.26	2.6M	2022-02-19
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.09	43.0072	-0.19%	42.78	-0.72%	0.0088	✓	1.17	29.5M	2022-02-19
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.51	20.465	-0.22%	20.48	-0.15%	0.0038	✓	1.53	383k	2022-02-19
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.02	20.9736	-0.22%	20.82	-0.95%	0.0110	✓	1.22	10.8M	2022-02-19
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	17.83	17.7878	-0.24%	17.86	+0.17%	0.0001	✓	1.34	32.8M	2022-02-19
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	21,934.46	21,878.76	-0.25%	21,669.76	-1.21%	0.0126	✓	1.01	6.5M	2022-02-19
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1365	0.136148	-0.26%	0.1472	+7.84%	0.0743	✗	1.27	3.3M	2022-02-19
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.91	3.8994	-0.27%	3.87	-1.02%	0.0117	✓	1.38	7.8M	2022-02-19
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	83.1979	82.9684	-0.28%	84.5568	+1.63%	0.0146	✗	1.47	315k	2022-02-19
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	10.35	10.3171	-0.32%	9.99	-3.48%	0.0359	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-02-19
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.97	2.9604	-0.32%	2.8917	-2.64%	0.0270	✓	1.18	3.3M	2022-02-19
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	310.22	309.2097	-0.33%	312.05	+0.59%	0.0063	✗	0.98	8.4M	2022-02-19
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.0542	1.0503	-0.37%	0.9816	-6.89%	0.0699	✓	0.77	1.5M	2022-02-19
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.322	0.320732	-0.39%	0.325	+0.93%	0.0093	✗	1.33	2.3M	2022-02-19
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.7	4.6807	-0.41%	4.93	+4.89%	0.0483	✗	1.22	1.9M	2022-02-19
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.85	2.8381	-0.42%	2.82	-1.05%	0.0093	✓	1.00	737k	2022-02-19
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	55.59	55.3477	-0.44%	54.84	-1.35%	0.0130	✓	1.27	9.2M	2022-02-19
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	29.08	28.9527	-0.44%	30.94	+6.40%	0.0636	✗	0.93	1.2M	2022-02-19
STX	Stacks	native	1.35	1.3438	-0.46%	1.31	-2.96%	0.0285	✓	1.00	911k	2022-02-19
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.708	5.6811	-0.47%	5.7961	+1.54%	0.0189	✗	0.37	441k	2022-02-19
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.93	6.8969	-0.48%	6.99	+0.87%	0.0123	✗	0.37	1.6M	2022-02-19
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0812	0.080734	-0.57%	0.0806	-0.74%	0.0056	✓	1.33	1.1M	2022-02-19
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.1176	2.1053	-0.58%	1.9802	-6.49%	0.0629	✓	0.55	3.1M	2022-02-19
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.93	2.9123	-0.60%	2.74	-6.48%	0.0640	✓	1.00	736k	2022-02-19
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0487	0.048402	-0.61%	0.059376	+21.92%	0.2008	✗	1.21	7.5M	2022-02-19
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.89	0.884525	-0.62%	0.85	-4.49%	0.0457	✓	1.97	1.2M	2022-02-19
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.139	0.137891	-0.80%	0.135	-2.88%	0.0244	✓	1.09	57k	2022-02-19
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.15	2.1328	-0.80%	2.16	+0.47%	0.0074	✓	1.79	744k	2022-02-19
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.017	1.9986	-0.91%	2.186	+8.38%	0.0867	✗	1.00	68k	2022-02-19
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6049	1.5887	-1.01%	1.8854	+17.48%	0.1668	✗	1.51	164k	2022-02-19
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.07	1.0548	-1.42%	1.01	-5.61%	0.0464	✓	1.00	271k	2022-02-19
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.01	5.8606	-2.49%	7.47	+24.29%	0.2420	✗	0.20	1.8M	2022-02-19

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.