2022-02-11 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 149 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0654

149 of 149 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+0.43%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

51.0%

in alpha space · 52.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-0.33%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (149 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7399	6.7715	+0.47%	6.758	+0.27%	0.0010	✓	0.90	4.0M	2022-02-12
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.82329	0.826862	+0.43%	0.80694	-1.99%	0.0194	✗	1.50	311k	2022-02-12
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.257	1.2623	+0.42%	1.267	+0.80%	0.0079	✓	1.25	3.2M	2022-02-12
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.637	1.6431	+0.37%	1.618	-1.16%	0.0115	✗	1.16	1.6M	2022-02-12
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,347.70	42,501.38	+0.36%	42,568.00	+0.52%	0.0048	✓	0.97	41k	2022-02-12
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,929.08	2,939.56	+0.36%	2,919.99	-0.31%	0.0029	✓	1.12	572.6M	2022-02-12
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.4051	3.4162	+0.33%	3.5079	+3.02%	0.0302	✓	1.11	2.5M	2022-02-12
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.96	15.0068	+0.31%	15.16	+1.34%	0.0137	✓	1.05	576k	2022-02-12
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.71	1.7153	+0.31%	1.69	-1.17%	0.0106	✗	1.26	1.4M	2022-02-12
XMR	Monero	Monero	169.21	169.6958	+0.29%	173.82	+2.72%	0.0275	✓	1.05	1.4M	2022-02-12
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.54	2.5472	+0.28%	2.5	-1.57%	0.0144	✗	1.29	401k	2022-02-12
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.31	2.3165	+0.28%	2.3	-0.43%	0.0039	✗	0.97	2.9M	2022-02-12
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.7016	4.7141	+0.27%	4.7989	+2.07%	0.0219	✓	1.23	442k	2022-02-12
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	163.71	164.1278	+0.26%	162.52	-0.73%	0.0051	✗	1.41	9.5M	2022-02-12
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01359	0.013624	+0.25%	0.01362	+0.22%	0.0023	✓	0.78	13k	2022-02-12
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063958	0.064107	+0.23%	0.063473	-0.76%	0.0069	✗	0.90	357k	2022-02-12
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.58	2.5852	+0.20%	2.56	-0.78%	0.0064	✗	1.02	457k	2022-02-12
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4503	0.451193	+0.20%	0.4544	+0.91%	0.0132	✓	1.83	35.7M	2022-02-12
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09752	0.097713	+0.20%	0.09377	-3.85%	0.0376	✗	1.07	50k	2022-02-12
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,386.47	42,466.65	+0.19%	42,244.97	-0.33%	0.0019	✗	1.00	642.7M	2022-02-12
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.47	6.4821	+0.19%	6.67	+3.09%	0.0316	✓	0.89	406k	2022-02-12
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	165.1	165.4072	+0.19%	166.09	+0.60%	0.0082	✓	1.22	973k	2022-02-12
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	16.22	16.2501	+0.19%	15.97	-1.54%	0.0134	✗	1.21	73.6M	2022-02-12
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.072	0.072129	+0.18%	0.0717	-0.42%	0.0023	✗	1.10	19k	2022-02-12
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.923	7.9371	+0.18%	7.781	-1.79%	0.0187	✗	0.35	38k	2022-02-12
ZEN	Horizen	Base	40.36	40.4306	+0.17%	40.89	+1.31%	0.0165	✓	1.56	461k	2022-02-12
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.154	3.1594	+0.17%	3.162	+0.25%	0.0035	✓	0.81	206k	2022-02-12
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4181	0.418807	+0.17%	0.4191	+0.24%	0.0051	✓	1.33	8.9M	2022-02-12
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.01	6.0196	+0.16%	5.916	-1.56%	0.0143	✗	0.92	72k	2022-02-12
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03298	0.033032	+0.16%	0.03125	-5.25%	0.0526	✗	0.86	6.4M	2022-02-12
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5696	0.570491	+0.16%	0.562	-1.33%	0.0106	✗	1.31	2.6M	2022-02-12
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.7756	1.7783	+0.15%	1.7725	-0.17%	0.0005	✓	1.11	78k	2022-02-12
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.301	0.301438	+0.15%	0.338	+12.29%	0.1176	✓	0.94	76k	2022-02-12
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.03653	0.036581	+0.14%	0.03381	-7.45%	0.0750	✗	1.12	9.5M	2022-02-12
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.453	4.4592	+0.14%	4.786	+7.48%	0.0735	✓	0.84	346k	2022-02-12
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.771	0.772043	+0.14%	0.745	-3.37%	0.0320	✗	1.10	1.7M	2022-02-12
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1623	1.1638	+0.13%	1.1541	-0.70%	0.0048	✗	1.05	239k	2022-02-12
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05622	0.056286	+0.12%	0.05601	-0.37%	0.0001	✓	1.43	1.2M	2022-02-12
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.07	2.0723	+0.11%	2.02	-2.42%	0.0212	✗	1.30	2.3M	2022-02-12
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01244	0.012454	+0.11%	0.01276	+2.57%	0.0294	✓	1.52	1.7M	2022-02-12
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.354	2.3565	+0.11%	2.354	+0.00%	0.0025	✓	1.06	22k	2022-02-12
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.032124	0.032157	+0.10%	0.028632	-10.87%	0.1118	✗	1.29	111k	2022-02-12
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.24	6.2464	+0.10%	6.4	+2.56%	0.0271	✓	0.83	441k	2022-02-12
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.754	2.7566	+0.09%	2.76	+0.22%	0.0058	✓	1.35	1.1M	2022-02-12
SOL	Solana	Solana	96.5	96.5894	+0.09%	95.95	-0.57%	0.0025	✗	1.25	179.7M	2022-02-12
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.087	19.1036	+0.09%	19.111	+0.13%	0.0049	✓	1.34	10.4M	2022-02-12
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002872	0.000028744	+0.08%	0.0000292	+1.67%	0.0205	✓	1.42	1.7M	2022-02-12
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.92	8.9273	+0.08%	8.98	+0.67%	0.0102	✓	1.30	2.8M	2022-02-12
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.7	7.7061	+0.08%	7.93	+2.99%	0.0297	✓	0.30	1.0M	2022-02-12
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.47	5.4743	+0.08%	5.48	+0.18%	0.0037	✓	0.79	377k	2022-02-12
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.99	5.9943	+0.07%	5.98	-0.17%	0.0014	✓	1.12	689k	2022-02-12
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		94.64	94.703	+0.07%	94.11	-0.56%	0.0033	✗	0.91	1.3M	2022-02-12
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2056	0.205727	+0.06%	0.2064	+0.39%	0.0080	✓	1.42	3.7M	2022-02-12
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	50.35	50.3798	+0.06%	51.96	+3.20%	0.0357	✓	1.43	7.8M	2022-02-12
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.219	7.2231	+0.06%	6.939	-3.88%	0.0367	✗	1.02	407k	2022-02-12
XEM	NEM	native	0.1086	0.108653	+0.05%	0.1086	+0.00%	0.0030	✓	1.06	35k	2022-02-12
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.616904	0.617206	+0.05%	0.617618	+0.12%	0.0046	✓	1.17	3.5M	2022-02-12
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.81	81.849	+0.05%	81.34	-0.57%	0.0017	✗	1.35	92.3M	2022-02-12
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2594	0.25952	+0.05%	0.2514	-3.08%	0.0282	✗	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-12
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.96	0.96042	+0.04%	0.942	-1.88%	0.0148	✗	1.38	2.4M	2022-02-12
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	116.54	116.5901	+0.04%	117.83	+1.11%	0.0148	✓	1.27	7.3M	2022-02-12
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	32.74	32.7536	+0.04%	31.67	-3.27%	0.0301	✗	1.06	4.6M	2022-02-12
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	29.96	29.9719	+0.04%	28.49	-4.91%	0.0457	✗	1.50	2.0M	2022-02-12
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.52	0.520206	+0.04%	0.514	-1.15%	0.0072	✗	1.45	4.9M	2022-02-12
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.5603	6.5628	+0.04%	6.7389	+2.72%	0.0313	✓	1.45	145k	2022-02-12
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.14485	0.144905	+0.04%	0.144281	-0.39%	0.0009	✗	1.03	7.1M	2022-02-12
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9169	0.917238	+0.04%	0.9188	+0.21%	0.0054	✓	1.12	28.1M	2022-02-12
HIVE	Hive	native	1.074	1.0744	+0.04%	1.052	-2.05%	0.0162	✗	1.46	1.9M	2022-02-12
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04188	0.041894	+0.03%	0.04235	+1.12%	0.0146	✓	1.12	30k	2022-02-12
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2842	0.284285	+0.03%	0.2852	+0.35%	0.0070	✓	1.12	538k	2022-02-12
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.29	3.2907	+0.02%	3.312	+0.67%	0.0094	✓	0.89	525k	2022-02-12
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	129.51	129.5307	+0.02%	133.7	+3.24%	0.0351	✓	1.02	7.8M	2022-02-12
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.56	26.5636	+0.01%	27.07	+1.92%	0.0227	✓	1.13	76.9M	2022-02-12
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9345	0.934622	+0.01%	0.9401	+0.60%	0.0111	✓	1.57	672k	2022-02-12
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	125.69	125.7021	+0.01%	126.78	+0.87%	0.0129	✓	1.31	35.7M	2022-02-12
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1086	0.10861	+0.01%	0.1035	-4.70%	0.0430	✗	1.57	1.3M	2022-02-12
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0803	1.0803	+0.00%	1.0596	-1.92%	0.0156	✗	1.12	115.7M	2022-02-12
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.06	28.0597	-0.00%	30.19	+7.59%	0.0764	✗	0.96	679k	2022-02-12
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2888	0.288791	-0.00%	0.2838	-1.73%	0.0122	✓	1.55	4.2M	2022-02-12
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07747	0.077458	-0.01%	0.07609	-1.78%	0.0152	✓	0.77	89k	2022-02-12
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.96	0.959827	-0.02%	0.96	+0.00%	0.0035	✗	1.00	281k	2022-02-12
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.1	10.0978	-0.02%	11.03	+9.21%	0.0907	✗	0.71	660k	2022-02-12
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015872	0.015868	-0.02%	0.015897	+0.16%	0.0057	✗	1.17	689k	2022-02-12
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.24	17.2357	-0.03%	17.04	-1.16%	0.0056	✓	1.75	3.8M	2022-02-12
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1566	0.156559	-0.03%	0.1672	+6.77%	0.0693	✗	1.05	430k	2022-02-12
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.833	1.8323	-0.04%	1.812	-1.15%	0.0068	✓	1.31	1.2M	2022-02-12
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8754	0.875047	-0.04%	0.8744	-0.11%	0.0028	✗	1.06	13.0M	2022-02-12
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01056	0.010556	-0.04%	0.01068	+1.14%	0.0151	✗	1.02	550k	2022-02-12
XEC	eCash	native	0.00008391	0.000083875	-0.04%	0.0000823	-1.92%	0.0151	✓	1.17	5.6M	2022-02-12
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4583	0.458108	-0.04%	0.4604	+0.46%	0.0100	✗	1.50	2.2M	2022-02-12
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.9	4.8977	-0.05%	4.89	-0.20%	0.0026	✗	1.24	2.6M	2022-02-12
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.4	5.3974	-0.05%	5.34	-1.11%	0.0072	✓	1.04	701k	2022-02-12
XVG	Verge	native	0.01151	0.011504	-0.05%	0.01149	-0.17%	0.0034	✗	1.38	1.3M	2022-02-12
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0976	1.0969	-0.06%	1.0443	-4.85%	0.0451	✓	1.20	2.3M	2022-02-12
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.82	19.8077	-0.06%	20.07	+1.26%	0.0170	✗	1.16	25.3M	2022-02-12
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.25	4.247	-0.07%	4.27	+0.47%	0.0095	✗	1.24	1.9M	2022-02-12
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.0062	0.006196	-0.07%	0.00616	-0.65%	0.0010	✗	2.02	18.8M	2022-02-12
DASH	Dash	Dash	103.99	103.916	-0.07%	104.19	+0.19%	0.0064	✗	1.14	2.2M	2022-02-12
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	124.54	124.445	-0.08%	127.26	+2.18%	0.0266	✗	1.28	65k	2022-02-12
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.98	16.9659	-0.08%	18.05	+6.30%	0.0643	✗	0.71	919k	2022-02-12
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.215393	0.215209	-0.09%	0.218218	+1.31%	0.0173	✗	1.03	24.3M	2022-02-12
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.95	1.9479	-0.11%	1.91	-2.05%	0.0150	✓	1.39	3.0M	2022-02-12
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.6	3.5959	-0.11%	3.7974	+5.48%	0.0578	✗	0.97	2.2M	2022-02-12
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.96	5.9532	-0.11%	6.32	+6.04%	0.0631	✗	0.98	1.9M	2022-02-12
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1819	2.1794	-0.12%	2.1781	-0.18%	0.0034	✗	1.20	675k	2022-02-12
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18907	0.188836	-0.12%	0.18496	-2.17%	0.0153	✓	1.62	40k	2022-02-12
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0868	0.08669	-0.13%	0.0857	-1.27%	0.0074	✓	1.23	209k	2022-02-12
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6537	0.652846	-0.13%	0.6501	-0.55%	0.0009	✓	1.54	743k	2022-02-12
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1735	0.173268	-0.13%	0.1736	+0.06%	0.0043	✗	0.72	406k	2022-02-12
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.1	1.0985	-0.13%	1.12	+1.82%	0.0240	✗	1.39	655k	2022-02-12
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.89	2.8861	-0.14%	2.87	-0.69%	0.0009	✓	1.41	20.0M	2022-02-12
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0654	0.065298	-0.16%	0.0682	+4.28%	0.0493	✗	1.75	42.7M	2022-02-12
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.09	21.0567	-0.16%	20.86	-1.09%	0.0053	✓	1.21	10.8M	2022-02-12
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.65	10.6327	-0.16%	10.64	-0.09%	0.0051	✗	1.33	12.5M	2022-02-12
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5956	0.594545	-0.18%	0.5785	-2.87%	0.0238	✓	1.06	1.1M	2022-02-12
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.46	43.3792	-0.19%	44.18	+1.66%	0.0222	✗	1.18	32.3M	2022-02-12
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9222	2.9167	-0.19%	2.9115	-0.36%	0.0016	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-02-12
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.117	0.116774	-0.19%	0.116	-0.85%	0.0033	✓	1.00	72k	2022-02-12
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	84.8321	84.6575	-0.21%	85.8439	+1.19%	0.0187	✗	1.44	319k	2022-02-12
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.99	18.9501	-0.21%	18.82	-0.90%	0.0023	✓	1.36	36.1M	2022-02-12
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.022611	0.022561	-0.22%	0.021888	-3.20%	0.0262	✓	1.21	2.4M	2022-02-12
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0319	0.031823	-0.24%	0.0322	+0.94%	0.0168	✗	1.49	490k	2022-02-12
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	22.36	22.3053	-0.24%	22.54	+0.81%	0.0157	✗	1.57	387k	2022-02-12
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	321.01	320.2089	-0.25%	330.64	+3.00%	0.0355	✗	1.02	8.9M	2022-02-12
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,115.13	23,055.16	-0.26%	23,131.85	+0.07%	0.0065	✗	0.96	8.0M	2022-02-12
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.375	0.373992	-0.27%	0.37	-1.33%	0.0062	✓	1.36	1.9M	2022-02-12
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.99	1.9846	-0.27%	1.92	-3.52%	0.0291	✓	1.19	1.5M	2022-02-12
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.047719	0.047582	-0.29%	0.044288	-7.19%	0.0677	✓	1.21	8.7M	2022-02-12
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.5941	3.5835	-0.30%	3.527	-1.87%	0.0129	✓	0.88	30k	2022-02-12
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.3129	4.299	-0.32%	4.109	-4.73%	0.0409	✓	1.30	2.4M	2022-02-12
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.09	4.0765	-0.33%	4.15	+1.47%	0.0225	✗	1.38	8.0M	2022-02-12
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.97	7.9413	-0.36%	7.78	-2.38%	0.0193	✓	0.37	1.7M	2022-02-12
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05111	0.050921	-0.37%	0.04741	-7.24%	0.0681	✓	1.00	4.9M	2022-02-12
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000216	0.000002152	-0.38%	0.00000217	+0.46%	0.0118	✗	1.00	14.6M	2022-02-12
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.6358	0.633199	-0.41%	0.6015	-5.39%	0.0451	✓	1.87	1.8M	2022-02-12
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.157	5.1358	-0.41%	4.904	-4.91%	0.0431	✓	0.92	1.0M	2022-02-12
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	59.07	58.8069	-0.45%	59.18	+0.19%	0.0104	✗	1.23	8.8M	2022-02-12
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.1868	6.1541	-0.53%	5.9446	-3.91%	0.0336	✓	0.32	447k	2022-02-12
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.149	0.148208	-0.53%	0.1393	-6.51%	0.0575	✓	1.35	3.2M	2022-02-12
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9151	1.9048	-0.54%	1.8422	-3.81%	0.0313	✓	0.61	2.9M	2022-02-12
ORCA	Orca	Solana	3.11	3.0932	-0.54%	3.03	-2.57%	0.0173	✓	1.00	2.0M	2022-02-12
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.1483	1.1408	-0.65%	1.2471	+8.60%	0.0944	✗	1.59	114k	2022-02-12
STX	Stacks	native	1.51	1.4999	-0.67%	1.52	+0.66%	0.0166	✗	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-12
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.92	0.913662	-0.69%	0.94	+2.17%	0.0350	✗	1.96	1.1M	2022-02-12
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.97	3.9406	-0.74%	4.07	+2.52%	0.0334	✗	0.34	1.8M	2022-02-12
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0869	0.086169	-0.84%	0.0956	+10.01%	0.1085	✗	1.39	567k	2022-02-12
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2269	1.2162	-0.87%	1.2939	+5.46%	0.0649	✗	0.90	1.8M	2022-02-12
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.28	2.2594	-0.91%	2.22	-2.63%	0.0142	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-12
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.551	2.5241	-1.05%	2.404	-5.76%	0.0454	✓	1.00	68k	2022-02-12

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.