2022-02-10 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 149 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0568

149 of 149 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+2.30%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

85.9%

in alpha space · 91.9% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-2.62%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (149 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1041	0.101988	-2.03%	0.0869	-16.52%	0.1242	✓	1.35	555k	2022-02-11
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.908	2.8735	-1.19%	2.551	-12.28%	0.0925	✓	1.00	68k	2022-02-11
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.64	2.6107	-1.11%	2.28	-13.64%	0.1089	✓	1.00	1.7M	2022-02-11
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.3101	1.2959	-1.09%	1.2269	-6.35%	0.0281	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.1336	6.0705	-1.03%	6.1868	+0.87%	0.0272	✗	0.31	420k	2022-02-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003081	0.000030497	-1.02%	0.00002872	-6.78%	0.0226	✓	1.41	1.7M	2022-02-11
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.6635	0.656995	-0.98%	0.6358	-4.17%	0.0167	✗	1.86	1.8M	2022-02-11
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.533	5.481	-0.94%	5.157	-6.80%	0.0370	✓	0.90	1.0M	2022-02-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.3202	1.3087	-0.87%	1.1483	-13.02%	0.0895	✓	1.55	109k	2022-02-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.48	4.4427	-0.83%	3.97	-11.38%	0.1047	✓	0.29	1.6M	2022-02-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.050395	0.049997	-0.79%	0.047719	-5.31%	0.0144	✓	1.21	8.8M	2022-02-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,454.91	24,270.86	-0.75%	23,115.13	-5.48%	0.0235	✓	0.95	9.7M	2022-02-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.2	3.1778	-0.69%	2.89	-9.69%	0.0578	✓	1.40	20.5M	2022-02-11
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.035501	0.035257	-0.69%	0.032124	-9.51%	0.0592	✓	1.27	112k	2022-02-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.5386	3.5145	-0.68%	3.5941	+1.57%	0.0460	✗	0.89	30k	2022-02-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	18.01	17.8881	-0.68%	16.98	-5.72%	0.0335	✓	0.70	919k	2022-02-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.41	4.3803	-0.67%	4.09	-7.26%	0.0321	✓	1.37	8.0M	2022-02-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5138	0.510347	-0.67%	0.4503	-12.36%	0.0774	✓	1.80	39.0M	2022-02-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1	0.993832	-0.62%	0.92	-8.00%	0.0254	✓	1.95	1.1M	2022-02-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.017169	0.01707	-0.57%	0.015872	-7.55%	0.0417	✓	1.17	1.1M	2022-02-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.756	7.7119	-0.57%	7.219	-6.92%	0.0390	✓	1.02	407k	2022-02-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.22	1.2134	-0.54%	1.1	-9.84%	0.0616	✓	1.37	589k	2022-02-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.408	0.405885	-0.52%	0.375	-8.09%	0.0433	✓	1.35	1.9M	2022-02-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1482	0.147434	-0.52%	0.149	+0.54%	0.0468	✗	1.36	3.2M	2022-02-11
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.124	0.123382	-0.50%	0.117	-5.65%	0.0265	✓	1.00	72k	2022-02-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	21.59	21.4836	-0.49%	19.82	-8.20%	0.0499	✓	1.16	26.1M	2022-02-11
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04637	0.046143	-0.49%	0.05111	+10.22%	0.1288	✗	1.00	4.9M	2022-02-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.874	1.8649	-0.48%	1.9151	+2.19%	0.0431	✗	0.62	2.8M	2022-02-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01337	0.013306	-0.48%	0.01244	-6.96%	0.0270	✓	1.52	1.7M	2022-02-11
STX	Stacks	native	1.62	1.6123	-0.48%	1.51	-6.79%	0.0390	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-11
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.52	8.4794	-0.48%	7.97	-6.46%	0.0524	✓	0.36	1.7M	2022-02-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.39	34.2262	-0.48%	32.74	-4.80%	0.0164	✓	1.05	4.3M	2022-02-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0744	0.074055	-0.46%	0.0654	-12.10%	0.0788	✓	1.71	31.3M	2022-02-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.01219	0.012135	-0.45%	0.01151	-5.58%	0.0165	✓	1.37	1.3M	2022-02-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	44.55	44.3523	-0.44%	43.46	-2.45%	0.0109	✗	1.18	32.3M	2022-02-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.1401	3.1268	-0.42%	2.9222	-6.94%	0.0414	✓	0.99	3.0M	2022-02-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.1	28.9771	-0.42%	26.56	-8.73%	0.0575	✓	1.12	88.1M	2022-02-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.987	1.9786	-0.42%	1.833	-7.75%	0.0420	✓	1.30	1.2M	2022-02-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.654	3.639	-0.41%	3.6	-1.48%	0.0150	✗	0.97	2.2M	2022-02-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00696	0.006932	-0.41%	0.0062	-10.92%	0.0583	✓	2.00	19.6M	2022-02-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.06	27.9495	-0.39%	28.06	+0.00%	0.0296	✗	0.97	619k	2022-02-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	91.18	90.8295	-0.38%	81.81	-10.28%	0.0690	✓	1.34	89.7M	2022-02-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	140.08	139.5451	-0.38%	129.51	-7.55%	0.0478	✓	1.01	7.6M	2022-02-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.2098	0.209012	-0.38%	0.18907	-9.88%	0.0578	✓	1.60	40k	2022-02-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5753	0.573162	-0.37%	0.5956	+3.53%	0.0669	✗	1.07	1.1M	2022-02-11
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000223	0.000002222	-0.37%	0.00000216	-3.14%	0.0016	✓	1.00	14.9M	2022-02-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.1139	0.113485	-0.36%	0.1086	-4.65%	0.0160	✓	1.05	35k	2022-02-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.151631	0.151081	-0.36%	0.14485	-4.47%	0.0147	✓	1.03	7.1M	2022-02-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.023319	0.023236	-0.36%	0.022611	-3.04%	0.0049	✗	1.21	2.5M	2022-02-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.84	6.8159	-0.35%	6.47	-5.41%	0.0285	✓	0.89	416k	2022-02-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.0000925	0.000092175	-0.35%	0.00008391	-9.29%	0.0634	✓	1.15	5.6M	2022-02-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.67	7.6432	-0.35%	7.7	+0.39%	0.0158	✗	0.32	1.0M	2022-02-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	16.26	16.2037	-0.35%	14.96	-8.00%	0.0521	✓	1.04	576k	2022-02-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.23172	0.23092	-0.35%	0.215393	-7.05%	0.0424	✓	1.02	24.5M	2022-02-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	63.35	63.1327	-0.34%	59.07	-6.76%	0.0340	✓	1.22	8.8M	2022-02-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	33.86	33.7439	-0.34%	29.96	-11.52%	0.0791	✓	1.50	2.0M	2022-02-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	134.59	134.1287	-0.34%	125.69	-6.61%	0.0304	✓	1.30	34.8M	2022-02-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17.51	17.4505	-0.34%	16.22	-7.37%	0.0413	✓	1.20	75.4M	2022-02-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	124.85	124.4276	-0.34%	116.54	-6.66%	0.0321	✓	1.26	7.1M	2022-02-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.16	2.1527	-0.34%	2.07	-4.17%	0.0046	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-02-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.584	3.5721	-0.33%	3.29	-8.20%	0.0590	✓	0.87	533k	2022-02-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	23.14	23.0638	-0.33%	21.09	-8.86%	0.0577	✓	1.20	10.5M	2022-02-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.035	0.034887	-0.32%	0.0319	-8.86%	0.0500	✓	1.49	490k	2022-02-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.6	10.5659	-0.32%	10.1	-4.72%	0.0263	✓	0.71	660k	2022-02-11
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1096	1.1061	-0.32%	1.074	-3.21%	0.0094	✗	1.46	1.9M	2022-02-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,527.71	43,391.74	-0.31%	42,386.47	-2.62%	0.0031	✓	1.00	642.7M	2022-02-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.281	0.280124	-0.31%	0.301	+7.12%	0.0973	✗	0.96	70k	2022-02-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1515	1.148	-0.31%	1.0803	-6.18%	0.0312	✓	1.11	117.8M	2022-02-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3045	0.30357	-0.31%	0.2842	-6.67%	0.0364	✓	1.11	538k	2022-02-11
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.01	1.0069	-0.30%	0.96	-4.95%	0.0212	✓	1.00	284k	2022-02-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	179.36	178.8178	-0.30%	169.21	-5.66%	0.0275	✓	1.04	1.5M	2022-02-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.0828	0.082553	-0.30%	0.07747	-6.44%	0.0433	✓	0.76	89k	2022-02-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0919	0.091634	-0.29%	0.0868	-5.55%	0.0215	✓	1.23	209k	2022-02-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	111.66	111.3417	-0.29%	103.99	-6.87%	0.0382	✓	1.13	2.2M	2022-02-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	52.32	52.1711	-0.28%	50.35	-3.77%	0.0024	✓	1.43	8.4M	2022-02-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.562	0.56042	-0.28%	0.52	-7.47%	0.0366	✓	1.44	4.9M	2022-02-11
ORCA	Orca	Solana	3.39	3.3805	-0.28%	3.11	-8.26%	0.0568	✓	1.00	2.0M	2022-02-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	23.69	23.6237	-0.28%	22.36	-5.61%	0.0131	✓	1.57	397k	2022-02-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1649	0.164444	-0.28%	0.1566	-5.03%	0.0212	✓	1.04	430k	2022-02-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.1425	7.1228	-0.28%	6.5603	-8.15%	0.0439	✓	1.44	156k	2022-02-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9488	0.946189	-0.28%	0.8754	-7.74%	0.0499	✓	1.05	13.5M	2022-02-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.1273	4.116	-0.27%	4.3129	+4.50%	0.0818	✗	1.32	2.4M	2022-02-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.9	3.8894	-0.27%	4.25	+8.97%	0.1224	✗	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	43,566.60	43,448.15	-0.27%	42,347.70	-2.80%	0.0000	✓	0.97	41k	2022-02-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10255	0.102274	-0.27%	0.09752	-4.90%	0.0193	✓	1.06	50k	2022-02-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.473	20.4187	-0.27%	19.087	-6.77%	0.0319	✓	1.34	10.4M	2022-02-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.75	5.7348	-0.26%	5.47	-4.87%	0.0264	✓	0.79	377k	2022-02-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.61	4.5979	-0.26%	4.453	-3.41%	0.0098	✓	0.84	346k	2022-02-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.7	9.6756	-0.25%	8.92	-8.04%	0.0470	✓	1.29	2.6M	2022-02-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05799	0.057846	-0.25%	0.05622	-3.05%	0.0094	✗	1.43	1.2M	2022-02-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.821	2.814	-0.25%	2.754	-2.38%	0.0146	✗	1.36	1.1M	2022-02-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.5527	3.5441	-0.24%	3.4051	-4.15%	0.0105	✓	1.11	2.5M	2022-02-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	94.3677	94.1412	-0.24%	84.8321	-10.10%	0.0661	✓	1.43	320k	2022-02-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.495	8.475	-0.24%	7.923	-6.73%	0.0583	✓	0.34	38k	2022-02-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01369	0.013658	-0.23%	0.01359	-0.73%	0.0158	✗	0.78	13k	2022-02-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9822	0.979929	-0.23%	0.9169	-6.65%	0.0371	✓	1.11	29.2M	2022-02-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	45.02	44.9162	-0.23%	40.36	-10.35%	0.0660	✓	1.54	461k	2022-02-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.86	6.8442	-0.23%	6.24	-9.04%	0.0709	✓	0.81	463k	2022-02-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2095	1.2067	-0.23%	1.0976	-9.25%	0.0633	✓	1.19	2.3M	2022-02-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	132.68	132.3801	-0.23%	124.54	-6.14%	0.0271	✓	1.28	65k	2022-02-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01138	0.011354	-0.23%	0.01056	-7.21%	0.0456	✓	1.01	572k	2022-02-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.88264	0.880655	-0.22%	0.82329	-6.72%	0.0278	✓	1.49	311k	2022-02-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2774	0.276782	-0.22%	0.2594	-6.49%	0.0360	✓	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1806	0.180198	-0.22%	0.1735	-3.93%	0.0189	✓	0.71	419k	2022-02-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4615	0.460476	-0.22%	0.4181	-9.40%	0.0615	✓	1.32	9.1M	2022-02-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.07	2.0654	-0.22%	1.95	-5.80%	0.0206	✓	1.39	3.0M	2022-02-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6038	0.602462	-0.22%	0.5696	-5.66%	0.0213	✓	1.31	2.7M	2022-02-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	341.1	340.3639	-0.22%	321.01	-5.89%	0.0315	✓	1.02	8.9M	2022-02-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	175.4	175.0389	-0.21%	163.71	-6.66%	0.0297	✓	1.40	9.5M	2022-02-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5118	0.510777	-0.20%	0.4583	-10.45%	0.0692	✓	1.48	2.3M	2022-02-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.23	5.2197	-0.20%	4.9	-6.31%	0.0305	✓	1.23	2.6M	2022-02-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.7	2.695	-0.19%	2.58	-4.44%	0.0165	✓	1.02	474k	2022-02-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.719	1.7159	-0.18%	1.637	-4.77%	0.0164	✓	1.15	1.6M	2022-02-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.76	2.755	-0.18%	2.54	-7.97%	0.0473	✓	1.28	401k	2022-02-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.241	3.2353	-0.18%	3.154	-2.68%	0.0039	✓	0.81	206k	2022-02-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.0692	5.0603	-0.18%	4.7016	-7.25%	0.0413	✓	1.21	442k	2022-02-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.076	0.075871	-0.17%	0.072	-5.26%	0.0233	✓	1.09	20k	2022-02-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	179.15	178.8461	-0.17%	165.1	-7.84%	0.0478	✓	1.21	1.0M	2022-02-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.07	2.0665	-0.17%	1.99	-3.86%	0.0062	✓	1.19	1.6M	2022-02-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.029	1.0273	-0.17%	0.96	-6.71%	0.0313	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.8836	1.8805	-0.16%	1.7756	-5.73%	0.0280	✓	1.11	79k	2022-02-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03045	0.0304	-0.16%	0.03298	+8.31%	0.1051	✗	0.89	6.4M	2022-02-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.59	2.5858	-0.16%	2.31	-10.81%	0.0878	✓	0.94	2.6M	2022-02-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04451	0.044438	-0.16%	0.04188	-5.91%	0.0295	✓	1.12	30k	2022-02-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.2595	1.2576	-0.15%	1.1623	-7.72%	0.0511	✓	1.04	260k	2022-02-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,074.85	3,070.39	-0.15%	2,929.08	-4.74%	0.0175	✓	1.11	557.7M	2022-02-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	20.51	20.4807	-0.14%	18.99	-7.41%	0.0396	✓	1.35	36.9M	2022-02-11
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.28	6.2715	-0.14%	5.96	-5.10%	0.0251	✓	0.97	1.9M	2022-02-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3689	2.366	-0.12%	2.1819	-7.89%	0.0495	✓	1.19	791k	2022-02-11
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.8	1.7979	-0.12%	1.71	-5.00%	0.0167	✓	1.26	1.5M	2022-02-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2242	0.223939	-0.12%	0.2056	-8.30%	0.0481	✓	1.41	3.9M	2022-02-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0397	0.039655	-0.11%	0.03653	-7.98%	0.0526	✓	1.11	9.2M	2022-02-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.41	11.3974	-0.11%	10.65	-6.66%	0.0326	✓	1.33	12.5M	2022-02-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7205	0.719717	-0.11%	0.6537	-9.27%	0.0555	✓	1.53	849k	2022-02-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	18.94	18.9196	-0.11%	17.24	-8.98%	0.0468	✓	1.74	3.8M	2022-02-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.466	6.4591	-0.11%	6.01	-7.05%	0.0479	✓	0.91	73k	2022-02-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.69	5.684	-0.10%	5.4	-5.10%	0.0237	✓	1.04	755k	2022-02-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.677039	0.676331	-0.10%	0.616904	-8.88%	0.0613	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-02-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		98.35	98.2475	-0.10%	94.64	-3.77%	0.0134	✓	0.90	1.3M	2022-02-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0404	1.0393	-0.10%	0.9345	-10.18%	0.0653	✓	1.54	637k	2022-02-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.845	0.844155	-0.10%	0.771	-8.76%	0.0618	✓	1.08	1.7M	2022-02-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1163	0.116189	-0.10%	0.1086	-6.62%	0.0261	✓	1.56	1.5M	2022-02-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	106.25	106.1544	-0.09%	96.5	-9.18%	0.0623	✓	1.24	179.7M	2022-02-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.505	2.5028	-0.09%	2.354	-6.03%	0.0332	✓	1.06	22k	2022-02-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3093	0.309044	-0.08%	0.2888	-6.63%	0.0266	✓	1.55	4.2M	2022-02-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.323	1.3219	-0.08%	1.257	-4.99%	0.0172	✓	1.25	3.2M	2022-02-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.43	6.4262	-0.06%	5.99	-6.84%	0.0408	✓	1.11	689k	2022-02-11
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.068608	0.068578	-0.04%	0.063958	-6.78%	0.0459	✓	0.90	362k	2022-02-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.9043	6.9049	+0.01%	6.7399	-2.38%	0.0005	✗	0.89	4.1M	2022-02-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.