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2022-02-04 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 147 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0760
147 of 147 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.09%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
38.1%
in alpha space · 39.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.50%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (147 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.410.412046+0.50%0.4421+7.83%0.0783✓1.571.8M2022-02-05
GTGateEthereum7.03867.0602+0.31%7.0234-0.22%0.0008✓0.874.1M2022-02-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.1315.1623+0.21%15.3+1.12%0.0140✓0.97731k2022-02-05
XMRMoneroMonero165.31165.6545+0.21%168.71+2.06%0.0234✓1.011.8M2022-02-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3733.3795+0.19%3.3404-0.97%0.0064✗1.042.6M2022-02-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.771.7734+0.19%1.79+1.13%0.0155✓1.221.8M2022-02-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.031210.031269+0.19%0.03104-0.54%0.0031✗0.847.7M2022-02-05
ETHEthereumEthereum2,998.193,003.74+0.18%3,014.50+0.54%0.0091✓1.09573.1M2022-02-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.53180.532745+0.18%0.5202-2.18%0.0147✗1.8044.4M2022-02-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00002220.000022231+0.14%0.00002254+1.53%0.0202✓1.271.4M2022-02-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.899080.900262+0.13%0.92529+2.92%0.0355✓1.60351k2022-02-05
TRXTRONTron0.064450.064533+0.13%0.064762+0.48%0.0081✓0.90396k2022-02-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.270.270316+0.12%0.265-1.85%0.0153✗0.9067k2022-02-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.98374.9895+0.12%5.1203+2.74%0.0320✓1.22364k2022-02-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.042260.042308+0.11%0.0405-4.16%0.0383✗1.079.0M2022-02-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.9714.986+0.11%15.87+6.01%0.0606✓0.66908k2022-02-05
AAVEAaveEthereum166.87167.0449+0.10%166.2-0.40%0.0017✓1.3511.5M2022-02-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.652.6528+0.10%2.66+0.38%0.0077✓0.99604k2022-02-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01060.010611+0.10%0.01113+5.00%0.0543✓1.291.7M2022-02-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013630.013642+0.09%0.01353-0.73%0.0038✗0.8813k2022-02-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4581.4591+0.08%1.519+4.18%0.0464✓1.233.4M2022-02-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07040.070447+0.07%0.0763+8.38%0.0851✓1.0519k2022-02-05
MINAMina Protocolnative2.712.7117+0.06%2.9+7.01%0.0730✓1.17494k2022-02-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.387.3846+0.06%7.24-1.90%0.0182✗0.301.1M2022-02-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.1236.1267+0.06%6.059-1.05%0.0070✗0.82103k2022-02-05
KSMKusamaHydration180.53180.6316+0.06%185.88+2.96%0.0345✓1.161.1M2022-02-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.466.4631+0.05%6.52+0.93%0.0130✓0.83483k2022-02-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.44060.440772+0.04%0.4481+1.70%0.0229✓1.289.7M2022-02-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7720.772279+0.04%0.778+0.78%0.0126✓1.031.6M2022-02-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.59020.590405+0.03%0.5995+1.58%0.0216✓1.252.7M2022-02-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,614.6441,627.61+0.03%41,404.85-0.50%0.0003✓1.00682.8M2022-02-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.5117.5144+0.03%17.77+1.48%0.0204✓1.1679.4M2022-02-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2343.2348+0.02%3.231-0.09%0.0027✓0.77212k2022-02-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.3734.3739+0.02%4.51+3.13%0.0346✓0.79351k2022-02-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.91130.911401+0.01%0.9682+6.24%0.0689✓1.67783k2022-02-05
XVSVenusEthereum8.728.7201+0.00%8.67-0.57%0.0005✓1.242.5M2022-02-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25130.251299-0.00%0.2627+4.54%0.0499✗1.101.8M2022-02-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.1863.186-0.00%3.2266+1.27%0.0174✗0.942.2M2022-02-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.79251.7925-0.00%1.8014+0.50%0.0104✗1.0776k2022-02-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV95.6195.6018-0.01%96.73+1.17%0.0163✗0.901.7M2022-02-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0396450.039641-0.01%0.039527-0.30%0.0036✗1.28123k2022-02-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.098590.098569-0.02%0.10107+2.52%0.0300✗0.9747k2022-02-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.056920.056907-0.02%0.05888+3.44%0.0407✗1.321.5M2022-02-05
ZECZcashZcash107.21107.1824-0.03%116.08+8.27%0.0860✗1.246.6M2022-02-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.729.692-0.03%29.42-0.94%0.0040✓1.033.8M2022-02-05
GITCOINGITCOIN7.9967.9929-0.04%8.166+2.13%0.0231✗0.3440k2022-02-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.20230.202201-0.05%0.2088+3.21%0.0385✗1.273.6M2022-02-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7342.7326-0.05%2.728-0.22%0.0050✗1.33986k2022-02-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0165620.016553-0.06%0.016433-0.78%0.0014✓1.152.7M2022-02-05
STORJStorjEthereum1.24941.2485-0.07%1.3221+5.82%0.0622✗0.97333k2022-02-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.99870.997888-0.08%1.0021+0.34%0.0098✗1.1029.7M2022-02-05
LUNATerraTerra 254.0654.0154-0.08%55.39+2.46%0.0323✗1.428.8M2022-02-05
SOLSolanaSolana112.69112.5963-0.08%113.8+0.99%0.0165✗1.17191.4M2022-02-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.395.3853-0.09%5.47+1.48%0.0193✗0.72398k2022-02-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.9177.8389-0.09%77.09-1.05%0.0029✓1.3389.7M2022-02-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1479470.147812-0.09%0.147026-0.62%0.0002✓1.017.1M2022-02-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9780.976997-0.10%0.976-0.20%0.0058✗1.342.3M2022-02-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006630.006623-0.10%0.00674+1.66%0.0277✗2.0320.3M2022-02-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.12.0978-0.10%2.17+3.33%0.0403✗1.272.3M2022-02-05
KCSKuCoinnative19.44719.4261-0.11%19.686+1.23%0.0204✗1.4110.5M2022-02-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.436.4231-0.11%6.46+0.47%0.0095✗0.75481k2022-02-05
RADRadworksEthereum5.445.434-0.11%5.48+0.74%0.0134✗0.99952k2022-02-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.476.4625-0.12%6.67+3.09%0.0366✗0.99818k2022-02-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin121.42121.2703-0.12%121.8+0.31%0.0109✗1.2933.0M2022-02-05
ADACardanoCardano1.13981.1384-0.13%1.1255-1.25%0.0058✓1.10113.2M2022-02-05
BANDBandEthereum3.843.8351-0.13%3.9+1.56%0.0231✗1.252.2M2022-02-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6473320.646428-0.14%0.652675+0.83%0.0153✗1.123.5M2022-02-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.4546.4446-0.15%6.514+0.93%0.0157✗0.98320k2022-02-05
DASHDashDash103.07102.9165-0.15%103.6+0.51%0.0123✗1.132.7M2022-02-05
NANOnanopayBase2.2072.2036-0.15%2.1933-0.62%0.0011✓1.14888k2022-02-05
ZENHorizenBase43.1943.123-0.16%45.61+5.60%0.0638✗1.54568k2022-02-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.48720.486427-0.16%0.4932+1.23%0.0207✗1.362.0M2022-02-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.04080.040735-0.16%0.040382-1.02%0.0025✓1.238.8M2022-02-05
SCSiacoinnative0.011190.011172-0.16%0.01154+3.13%0.0375✗1.01572k2022-02-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044070.043997-0.17%0.04465+1.32%0.0202✗1.0729k2022-02-05
XVGVergenative0.010840.010822-0.17%0.01122+3.51%0.0425✗1.261.4M2022-02-05
QTUMQtumQtum6.87616.8641-0.17%6.9281+0.76%0.0164✗1.40174k2022-02-05
UNIUniswapEthereum11.1811.1601-0.18%11.27+0.81%0.0162✗1.2712.5M2022-02-05
XLMStellarStellar0.2092160.208841-0.18%0.213222+1.91%0.0258✗0.9925.3M2022-02-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7211.7179-0.18%1.761+2.32%0.0303✗1.101.6M2022-02-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12620.125966-0.19%0.1293+2.46%0.0327✗1.293.3M2022-02-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.082390.082234-0.19%0.085+3.17%0.0368✗0.7480k2022-02-05
XECeCashnative0.000082670.000082507-0.20%0.0000839+1.49%0.0223✗1.095.5M2022-02-05
CBKCobakEthereum2.4952.4898-0.21%2.562+2.69%0.0337✗1.0121k2022-02-05
UMAUMAEthereum6.196.1769-0.21%6.4+3.39%0.0409✗1.061.9M2022-02-05
COMPCompoundEthereum132.7132.4172-0.21%136.68+3.00%0.0379✗1.2354k2022-02-05
XEMNEMnative0.10960.109361-0.22%0.1129+3.01%0.0367✗0.9540k2022-02-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.899.8672-0.23%10.1+2.12%0.0269✗0.70660k2022-02-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.30980.309058-0.24%0.3102+0.13%0.0114✗1.534.1M2022-02-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.6520.5994-0.24%20.04-2.95%0.0188✓1.733.9M2022-02-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16010.159685-0.26%0.1551-3.12%0.0239✓1.04337k2022-02-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8231.8182-0.26%1.921+5.38%0.0609✗1.171.3M2022-02-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.12070.120373-0.27%0.1181-2.15%0.0119✓1.431.6M2022-02-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum29.6729.5891-0.27%29.81+0.47%0.0156✗1.622.1M2022-02-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.2722.209-0.27%22.26-0.04%0.0081✗1.1428.0M2022-02-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06630.066116-0.28%0.069+4.07%0.0488✗1.22540k2022-02-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum24,905.4424,834.08-0.29%25,186.77+1.13%0.0187✗0.9212.5M2022-02-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.9640.961183-0.29%0.9549-0.94%0.0007✓1.4499k2022-02-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.9921.9253-0.29%22.45+2.09%0.0314✗1.53418k2022-02-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.95670.953824-0.30%0.9491-0.79%0.0002✓1.0214.7M2022-02-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash306.37305.4347-0.31%320.74+4.69%0.0540✗1.017.6M2022-02-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08710.086831-0.31%0.0869-0.23%0.0066✗1.15256k2022-02-05
UOSUltraEthereum1.1721.1684-0.31%1.1381-2.89%0.0202✓1.202.4M2022-02-05
XYMSymbolnative0.18860.188016-0.31%0.1855-1.64%0.0100✓0.68423k2022-02-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.6321.5596-0.33%21.97+1.57%0.0246✗1.1410.4M2022-02-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.42173.4099-0.34%3.4881+1.94%0.0269✗0.8426k2022-02-05
DODODODOEthereum0.5430.541129-0.34%0.533-1.84%0.0081✓1.404.6M2022-02-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.02240.022321-0.35%0.02206-1.52%0.0065✓1.032.7M2022-02-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.142.1323-0.36%2.21+3.27%0.0427✗1.383.7M2022-02-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot20.5120.4353-0.36%21.35+4.10%0.0505✗1.3244.7M2022-02-05
QNTQuantEthereum134.25133.7603-0.36%132.93-0.98%0.0017✓0.918.1M2022-02-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,457.7040,297.17-0.40%41,460.80+2.48%0.0334✗0.9751k2022-02-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.292.2808-0.40%2.31+0.87%0.0188✗1.202.3M2022-02-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum51.3351.1214-0.41%56.8+10.66%0.1109✗1.117.8M2022-02-05
XTZTezosTezos4.01413.9977-0.41%3.9423-1.79%0.0075✓1.272.4M2022-02-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3520.350531-0.42%0.354+0.57%0.0163✗1.281.8M2022-02-05
DIADIAEthereum1.011.0057-0.42%1.01+0.00%0.0093✗1.00369k2022-02-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.30640.305103-0.42%0.3148+2.74%0.0367✗1.06566k2022-02-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.563.5447-0.43%3.6+1.12%0.0196✗0.82708k2022-02-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.050940.050718-0.44%0.05051-0.84%0.0009✓1.005.3M2022-02-05
MANADecentralandEthereum2.81852.8062-0.44%3.0145+6.95%0.0760✗0.882.8M2022-02-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59940.596737-0.44%0.6186+3.20%0.0415✗1.091.6M2022-02-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.433.4145-0.45%3.42-0.29%0.0087✗1.4021.7M2022-02-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.204720.203782-0.46%0.20531+0.29%0.0150✗1.4932k2022-02-05
MOVRMoonriverBase88.736288.3261-0.46%85.8205-3.29%0.0220✓1.35351k2022-02-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07980.079427-0.47%0.1089+36.47%0.3251✗1.8826.7M2022-02-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.67930.676096-0.47%0.7727+13.75%0.1408✗1.431.1M2022-02-05
HIVEHivenative1.10731.1017-0.50%1.166+5.30%0.0637✗1.401.9M2022-02-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.1330.9449-0.59%30.76-1.19%0.0004✓1.10110.8M2022-02-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.80.79512-0.61%0.77-3.75%0.0227✓1.871.0M2022-02-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.535.4959-0.62%5.76+4.16%0.0530✗1.203.0M2022-02-05
SUSHISushiEthereum4.474.442-0.63%4.68+4.70%0.0589✗1.338.4M2022-02-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.7485.711-0.64%5.769+0.37%0.0152✗1.001.4M2022-02-05
API3Api3Ethereum3.573.5458-0.68%3.57+0.00%0.0083✗0.291.5M2022-02-05
BTTCBTTC0.000002230.000002215-0.68%0.00000226+1.35%0.0253✗1.0015.7M2022-02-05
IMXImmutableEthereum32.9774-0.75%2.89-3.67%0.0250✓0.952.2M2022-02-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.017.9478-0.78%8.15+1.75%0.0269✗0.361.7M2022-02-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.241.2303-0.78%1.21-2.42%0.0102✓1.27490k2022-02-05
FTTFTXEthereum46.0345.6557-0.81%46.16+0.28%0.0168✗1.1534.8M2022-02-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1240.122934-0.86%0.128+3.23%0.0454✗1.00110k2022-02-05
PROPropyEthereum2.12.0815-0.88%2.22+5.71%0.0695✗1.002.8M2022-02-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.08812.067-1.01%2.054-1.63%0.0030✓0.663.5M2022-02-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.26091.2473-1.08%1.2863+2.01%0.0358✗1.002.8M2022-02-05
STXStacksnative1.551.5333-1.08%1.58+1.94%0.0350✗1.001.3M2022-02-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.15835.0779-1.56%4.7941-7.06%0.0562✓0.25376k2022-02-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.04080.04002-1.91%0.0368-9.80%0.0760✓1.55490k2022-02-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.428.8091-2.01%28.35-3.57%0.0113✓0.95484k2022-02-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.