8=======>

2022-02-04 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 147 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1026
147 of 147 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.97%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
24.5%
in alpha space · 32.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.50%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (147 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.241.2243-1.27%1.21-2.42%0.0053✓1.27490k2022-02-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07980.078863-1.17%0.1089+36.47%0.3322✗1.8826.7M2022-02-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.429.0586-1.16%28.35-3.57%0.0199✓0.95484k2022-02-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.433.3935-1.06%3.42-0.29%0.0148✗1.4021.7M2022-02-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.7485.6877-1.05%5.769+0.37%0.0193✗1.001.4M2022-02-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.26091.248-1.02%1.2863+2.01%0.0353✗1.002.8M2022-02-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum24,905.4424,652.02-1.02%25,186.77+1.13%0.0261✗0.9212.5M2022-02-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.15835.109-0.96%4.7941-7.06%0.0623✓0.25376k2022-02-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.42173.3903-0.92%3.4881+1.94%0.0327✗0.8426k2022-02-05
SUSHISushiEthereum4.474.4291-0.92%4.68+4.70%0.0618✗1.338.4M2022-02-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.08812.0696-0.89%2.054-1.63%0.0042✓0.663.5M2022-02-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.04080.040441-0.88%0.0368-9.80%0.0865✓1.55490k2022-02-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.2722.0791-0.86%22.26-0.04%0.0139✗1.1428.0M2022-02-05
IMXImmutableEthereum32.9751-0.83%2.89-3.67%0.0243✓0.952.2M2022-02-05
HIVEHivenative1.10731.0982-0.82%1.166+5.30%0.0670✗1.401.9M2022-02-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1240.12305-0.77%0.128+3.23%0.0445✗1.00110k2022-02-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.53180.527835-0.75%0.5202-2.18%0.0055✓1.8044.4M2022-02-05
STXStacksnative1.551.5389-0.72%1.58+1.94%0.0314✗1.001.3M2022-02-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16010.15896-0.71%0.1551-3.12%0.0193✓1.04337k2022-02-05
FTTFTXEthereum46.0345.7155-0.68%46.16+0.28%0.0155✗1.1534.8M2022-02-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7211.7093-0.68%1.761+2.32%0.0353✗1.101.6M2022-02-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.410.407226-0.68%0.4421+7.83%0.0901✗1.571.8M2022-02-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59940.595409-0.67%0.6186+3.20%0.0437✗1.091.6M2022-02-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.050940.050603-0.66%0.05051-0.84%0.0032✓1.005.3M2022-02-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0165620.016455-0.65%0.016433-0.78%0.0045✓1.152.7M2022-02-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.1330.9366-0.62%30.76-1.19%0.0002✓1.10110.8M2022-02-05
QNTQuantEthereum134.25133.4234-0.62%132.93-0.98%0.0009✓0.918.1M2022-02-05
PROPropyEthereum2.12.0875-0.59%2.22+5.71%0.0666✗1.002.8M2022-02-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.082390.081904-0.59%0.085+3.17%0.0409✗0.7480k2022-02-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.204720.203533-0.58%0.20531+0.29%0.0162✗1.4932k2022-02-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.017.9636-0.58%8.15+1.75%0.0249✗0.361.7M2022-02-05
DODODODOEthereum0.5430.539988-0.55%0.533-1.84%0.0060✓1.404.6M2022-02-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,457.7040,236.16-0.55%41,460.80+2.48%0.0349✗0.9751k2022-02-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.563.541-0.53%3.6+1.12%0.0207✗0.82708k2022-02-05
BTTCBTTC0.000002230.000002218-0.53%0.00000226+1.35%0.0237✗1.0015.7M2022-02-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0396450.039434-0.53%0.039527-0.30%0.0088✗1.28123k2022-02-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.30640.304778-0.53%0.3148+2.74%0.0377✗1.06566k2022-02-05
MANADecentralandEthereum2.81852.804-0.52%3.0145+6.95%0.0769✗0.882.8M2022-02-05
AAVEAaveEthereum166.87166.0412-0.50%166.2-0.40%0.0078✗1.3511.5M2022-02-05
DIADIAEthereum1.011.005-0.49%1.01+0.00%0.0100✗1.00369k2022-02-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.535.5031-0.49%5.76+4.16%0.0517✗1.203.0M2022-02-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.5117.425-0.49%17.77+1.48%0.0255✗1.1679.4M2022-02-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1479470.147232-0.48%0.147026-0.62%0.0037✓1.017.1M2022-02-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8231.8142-0.48%1.921+5.38%0.0631✗1.171.3M2022-02-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.12.0899-0.48%2.17+3.33%0.0441✗1.272.3M2022-02-05
XTZTezosTezos4.01413.9948-0.48%3.9423-1.79%0.0068✓1.272.4M2022-02-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.02240.022293-0.48%0.02206-1.52%0.0053✓1.032.7M2022-02-05
QTUMQtumQtum6.87616.8434-0.48%6.9281+0.76%0.0194✗1.40174k2022-02-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.95670.952164-0.47%0.9491-0.79%0.0019✓1.0214.7M2022-02-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.4546.4236-0.47%6.514+0.93%0.0189✗0.98320k2022-02-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.80.796255-0.47%0.77-3.75%0.0241✓1.871.0M2022-02-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.1315.0612-0.45%15.3+1.12%0.0206✗0.97731k2022-02-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.899080.895022-0.45%0.92529+2.92%0.0413✗1.60351k2022-02-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.387.3467-0.45%7.24-1.90%0.0131✓0.301.1M2022-02-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.9640.959673-0.45%0.9549-0.94%0.0023✓1.4499k2022-02-05
XEMNEMnative0.10960.109124-0.43%0.1129+3.01%0.0388✗0.9540k2022-02-05
XVGVergenative0.010840.010794-0.43%0.01122+3.51%0.0451✗1.261.4M2022-02-05
LUNATerraTerra 254.0653.8308-0.42%55.39+2.46%0.0357✗1.428.8M2022-02-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.098590.098178-0.42%0.10107+2.52%0.0340✗0.9747k2022-02-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,614.6441,441.13-0.42%41,404.85-0.50%0.0042✗1.00682.8M2022-02-05
API3Api3Ethereum3.573.5551-0.42%3.57+0.00%0.0056✗0.291.5M2022-02-05
XYMSymbolnative0.18860.187825-0.41%0.1855-1.64%0.0090✓0.68423k2022-02-05
CBKCobakEthereum2.4952.4848-0.41%2.562+2.69%0.0357✗1.0121k2022-02-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.6321.5429-0.40%21.97+1.57%0.0254✗1.1410.4M2022-02-05
BANDBandEthereum3.843.8247-0.40%3.9+1.56%0.0258✗1.252.2M2022-02-05
ADACardanoCardano1.13981.1353-0.40%1.1255-1.25%0.0031✓1.10113.2M2022-02-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013630.013576-0.39%0.01353-0.73%0.0010✓0.8813k2022-02-05
XMRMoneroMonero165.31164.6667-0.39%168.71+2.06%0.0294✗1.011.8M2022-02-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3520.350642-0.39%0.354+0.57%0.0160✗1.281.8M2022-02-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.9714.9127-0.38%15.87+6.01%0.0655✗0.66908k2022-02-05
ZECZcashZcash107.21106.8025-0.38%116.08+8.27%0.0896✗1.246.6M2022-02-05
SCSiacoinnative0.011190.011148-0.38%0.01154+3.13%0.0397✗1.01572k2022-02-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.142.1319-0.38%2.21+3.27%0.0429✗1.383.7M2022-02-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01060.01056-0.38%0.01113+5.00%0.0591✗1.291.7M2022-02-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06630.066054-0.37%0.069+4.07%0.0498✗1.22540k2022-02-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.04080.04065-0.37%0.040382-1.02%0.0004✓1.238.8M2022-02-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin121.42120.9744-0.37%121.8+0.31%0.0133✗1.2933.0M2022-02-05
XLMStellarStellar0.2092160.208448-0.37%0.213222+1.91%0.0276✗0.9925.3M2022-02-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.9921.9093-0.37%22.45+2.09%0.0321✗1.53418k2022-02-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.466.4363-0.37%6.52+0.93%0.0171✗0.83483k2022-02-05
UOSUltraEthereum1.1721.1678-0.36%1.1381-2.89%0.0197✓1.202.4M2022-02-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08710.086785-0.36%0.0869-0.23%0.0071✗1.15256k2022-02-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12620.125747-0.36%0.1293+2.46%0.0344✗1.293.3M2022-02-05
COMPCompoundEthereum132.7132.2248-0.36%136.68+3.00%0.0393✗1.2354k2022-02-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.056920.056717-0.36%0.05888+3.44%0.0441✗1.321.5M2022-02-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.729.5967-0.35%29.42-0.94%0.0008✓1.033.8M2022-02-05
MINAMina Protocolnative2.712.7006-0.35%2.9+7.01%0.0772✗1.17494k2022-02-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.1863.175-0.35%3.2266+1.27%0.0209✗0.942.2M2022-02-05
MOVRMoonriverBase88.736288.4323-0.34%85.8205-3.29%0.0232✓1.35351k2022-02-05
KCSKuCoinnative19.44719.3807-0.34%19.686+1.23%0.0228✗1.4110.5M2022-02-05
GITCOINGITCOIN7.9967.9688-0.34%8.166+2.13%0.0262✗0.3440k2022-02-05
ZENHorizenBase43.1943.0434-0.34%45.61+5.60%0.0657✗1.54568k2022-02-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.59020.588206-0.34%0.5995+1.58%0.0253✗1.252.7M2022-02-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.99870.995329-0.34%1.0021+0.34%0.0124✗1.1029.7M2022-02-05
XECeCashnative0.000082670.000082392-0.34%0.0000839+1.49%0.0237✗1.095.5M2022-02-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.899.857-0.33%10.1+2.12%0.0279✗0.70660k2022-02-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.12070.1203-0.33%0.1181-2.15%0.0113✓1.431.6M2022-02-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.292.2824-0.33%2.31+0.87%0.0181✗1.202.3M2022-02-05
KSMKusamaHydration180.53179.9413-0.33%185.88+2.96%0.0383✗1.161.1M2022-02-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.3734.3587-0.33%4.51+3.13%0.0381✗0.79351k2022-02-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.44060.439178-0.32%0.4481+1.70%0.0266✗1.289.7M2022-02-05
DASHDashDash103.07102.739-0.32%103.6+0.51%0.0141✗1.132.7M2022-02-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.652.6415-0.32%2.66+0.38%0.0120✗0.99604k2022-02-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.270.269136-0.32%0.265-1.85%0.0109✓0.9067k2022-02-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot20.5120.4464-0.31%21.35+4.10%0.0499✗1.3244.7M2022-02-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4581.4535-0.31%1.519+4.18%0.0503✗1.233.4M2022-02-05
STORJStorjEthereum1.24941.2455-0.31%1.3221+5.82%0.0646✗0.97333k2022-02-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.9177.6701-0.31%77.09-1.05%0.0008✓1.3389.7M2022-02-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.98374.9685-0.31%5.1203+2.74%0.0362✗1.22364k2022-02-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044070.043936-0.30%0.04465+1.32%0.0215✗1.0729k2022-02-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7342.7258-0.30%2.728-0.22%0.0075✗1.33986k2022-02-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2343.2243-0.30%3.231-0.09%0.0060✗0.77212k2022-02-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum51.3351.1778-0.30%56.8+10.66%0.1098✗1.117.8M2022-02-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6473320.645458-0.29%0.652675+0.83%0.0168✗1.123.5M2022-02-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.79251.7874-0.29%1.8014+0.50%0.0133✗1.0776k2022-02-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3733.3633-0.29%3.3404-0.97%0.0016✓1.042.6M2022-02-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.031210.031121-0.29%0.03104-0.54%0.0017✓0.847.7M2022-02-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.48720.485808-0.29%0.4932+1.23%0.0220✗1.362.0M2022-02-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.6520.5914-0.28%20.04-2.95%0.0184✓1.733.9M2022-02-05
SOLSolanaSolana112.69112.3747-0.28%113.8+0.99%0.0185✗1.17191.4M2022-02-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum29.6729.5881-0.28%29.81+0.47%0.0156✗1.622.1M2022-02-05
ETHEthereumEthereum2,998.192,990.25-0.26%3,014.50+0.54%0.0136✗1.09573.1M2022-02-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9780.975476-0.26%0.976-0.20%0.0073✗1.342.3M2022-02-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.771.7655-0.25%1.79+1.13%0.0199✗1.221.8M2022-02-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV95.6195.3735-0.25%96.73+1.17%0.0187✗0.901.7M2022-02-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25130.250693-0.24%0.2627+4.54%0.0523✗1.101.8M2022-02-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash306.37305.6351-0.24%320.74+4.69%0.0534✗1.017.6M2022-02-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.395.3771-0.24%5.47+1.48%0.0208✗0.72398k2022-02-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.436.4148-0.24%6.46+0.47%0.0108✗0.75481k2022-02-05
UMAUMAEthereum6.196.1755-0.23%6.4+3.39%0.0411✗1.061.9M2022-02-05
XVSVenusEthereum8.728.6997-0.23%8.67-0.57%0.0028✗1.242.5M2022-02-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07040.070241-0.23%0.0763+8.38%0.0880✗1.0519k2022-02-05
UNIUniswapEthereum11.1811.1554-0.22%11.27+0.81%0.0166✗1.2712.5M2022-02-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.476.4561-0.22%6.67+3.09%0.0376✗0.99818k2022-02-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.30980.309201-0.19%0.3102+0.13%0.0110✗1.534.1M2022-02-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.1236.1117-0.18%6.059-1.05%0.0045✓0.82103k2022-02-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.67930.678061-0.18%0.7727+13.75%0.1379✗1.431.1M2022-02-05
RADRadworksEthereum5.445.4305-0.17%5.48+0.74%0.0141✗0.99952k2022-02-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.20230.201961-0.17%0.2088+3.21%0.0397✗1.273.6M2022-02-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00002220.000022163-0.17%0.00002254+1.53%0.0233✗1.271.4M2022-02-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.042260.042201-0.14%0.0405-4.16%0.0357✓1.079.0M2022-02-05
GTGateEthereum7.03867.029-0.14%7.0234-0.22%0.0036✗0.874.1M2022-02-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7720.770975-0.13%0.778+0.78%0.0143✗1.031.6M2022-02-05
NANOnanopayBase2.2072.2045-0.12%2.1933-0.62%0.0007✓1.14888k2022-02-05
TRXTRONTron0.064450.064379-0.11%0.064762+0.48%0.0105✗0.90396k2022-02-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.91130.910634-0.07%0.9682+6.24%0.0697✗1.67783k2022-02-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006630.006627-0.05%0.00674+1.66%0.0272✗2.0320.3M2022-02-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.