2022-02-02 · +1d

lstm_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0652

145 of 145 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+1.13%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

49.7%

in alpha space · 68.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+1.10%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.37	0.373121	+0.84%	0.3716	+0.43%	0.0224	✗	1.67	1.9M	2022-02-03
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4666	0.470103	+0.75%	0.4765	+2.12%	0.0076	✗	1.93	46.2M	2022-02-03
XMR	Monero	Monero	145.08	145.9463	+0.60%	146.89	+1.25%	0.0045	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-02-03
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	151.26	152.0898	+0.55%	152.86	+1.06%	0.0105	✗	1.42	12.2M	2022-02-03
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00952	0.00957	+0.53%	0.00935	-1.79%	0.0374	✗	1.29	1.9M	2022-02-03
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.76	13.8308	+0.51%	13.95	+1.38%	0.0023	✓	1.00	762k	2022-02-03
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0418	0.042006	+0.49%	0.03949	-5.53%	0.0740	✗	1.11	9.1M	2022-02-03
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.465	0.467244	+0.48%	0.526	+13.12%	0.1018	✓	1.52	4.6M	2022-02-03
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.63	1.6377	+0.47%	1.66	+1.84%	0.0007	✓	1.30	2.0M	2022-02-03
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,682.66	2,694.72	+0.45%	2,697.59	+0.56%	0.0110	✗	1.11	575.5M	2022-02-03
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.25	0.25111	+0.44%	0.254	+1.60%	0.0011	✓	0.94	70k	2022-02-03
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.037204	0.037359	+0.42%	0.03828	+2.89%	0.0077	✓	1.52	149k	2022-02-03
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8016	6.8299	+0.42%	6.7329	-1.01%	0.0246	✗	0.94	4.2M	2022-02-03
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.279	1.2843	+0.41%	1.294	+1.17%	0.0061	✗	1.25	3.5M	2022-02-03
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1357	3.1478	+0.39%	3.2104	+2.38%	0.0076	✓	1.10	2.7M	2022-02-03
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02927	0.029382	+0.38%	0.02918	-0.31%	0.0164	✗	0.87	8.4M	2022-02-03
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.53	6.5549	+0.38%	6.88	+5.36%	0.0458	✓	0.24	1.1M	2022-02-03
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	162.31	162.9206	+0.38%	162.76	+0.28%	0.0139	✗	1.18	1.3M	2022-02-03
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.33	26.4278	+0.37%	29.72	+12.88%	0.1046	✓	1.17	120.6M	2022-02-03
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	47.6	47.7751	+0.37%	51.23	+7.63%	0.0511	✓	1.71	8.8M	2022-02-03
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04359	0.043748	+0.36%	0.04805	+10.23%	0.0828	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-03
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.77	5.7906	+0.36%	5.65	-2.08%	0.0350	✗	0.95	835k	2022-02-03
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.79	15.8463	+0.36%	16.31	+3.29%	0.0155	✓	1.22	85.9M	2022-02-03
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.49	5.5093	+0.35%	5.71	+4.01%	0.0237	✓	1.10	2.1M	2022-02-03
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002064	0.000020711	+0.34%	0.00002075	+0.53%	0.0135	✗	1.40	1.6M	2022-02-03
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.081	5.0983	+0.34%	4.748	-6.55%	0.0821	✗	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-03
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4048	0.406157	+0.34%	0.4067	+0.47%	0.0134	✗	1.35	10.0M	2022-02-03
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	98.35	98.6764	+0.33%	101.02	+2.71%	0.0089	✓	1.33	7.0M	2022-02-03
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.719	0.72137	+0.33%	0.718	-0.14%	0.0164	✗	1.07	1.7M	2022-02-03
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9455	0.948584	+0.33%	1.0602	+12.13%	0.0945	✓	1.53	1.9M	2022-02-03
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.81012	0.812747	+0.32%	0.8263	+2.00%	0.0023	✓	1.72	419k	2022-02-03
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1125	1.1161	+0.32%	1.1541	+3.74%	0.0225	✓	1.01	338k	2022-02-03
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.754	5.7718	+0.31%	5.773	+0.33%	0.0091	✗	0.85	116k	2022-02-03
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00607	0.006089	+0.31%	0.00612	+0.82%	0.0204	✗	2.33	22.6M	2022-02-03
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0126	0.012638	+0.30%	0.01236	-1.90%	0.0319	✗	0.88	13k	2022-02-03
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.46	2.4673	+0.30%	2.49	+1.22%	0.0043	✗	1.22	566k	2022-02-03
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,923.39	37,033.10	+0.30%	37,329.91	+1.10%	0.0030	✗	1.00	717.4M	2022-02-03
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.9	1.9055	+0.29%	2.04	+7.37%	0.0516	✓	1.51	3.9M	2022-02-03
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.4	3.4097	+0.29%	3.4	+0.00%	0.0054	✗	0.23	1.5M	2022-02-03
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1803	0.180804	+0.28%	0.1839	+2.00%	0.0024	✓	1.33	3.7M	2022-02-03
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,883.40	37,989.00	+0.28%	37,210.50	-1.78%	0.0317	✗	1.01	51k	2022-02-03
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.37	3.3789	+0.27%	3.38	+0.30%	0.0134	✗	1.25	2.4M	2022-02-03
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9235	0.925946	+0.26%	0.936	+1.35%	0.0020	✓	1.17	34.5M	2022-02-03
SOL	Solana	Solana	101.99	102.258	+0.26%	101.93	-0.06%	0.0165	✗	1.22	187.6M	2022-02-03
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05325	0.053389	+0.26%	0.05362	+0.69%	0.0112	✗	1.42	1.6M	2022-02-03
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6005	1.6046	+0.26%	1.6279	+1.71%	0.0025	✓	1.09	79k	2022-02-03
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.058639	0.058789	+0.26%	0.05985	+2.07%	0.0078	✓	0.92	403k	2022-02-03
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8664	0.868609	+0.25%	0.8505	-1.84%	0.0412	✗	1.83	852k	2022-02-03
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	67.87	68.0427	+0.25%	68.49	+0.91%	0.0085	✗	1.37	89.7M	2022-02-03
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5398	0.541158	+0.25%	0.5436	+0.70%	0.0099	✗	1.32	2.8M	2022-02-03
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.41	2.4159	+0.25%	2.44	+1.24%	0.0012	✓	1.02	667k	2022-02-03
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2314	0.231969	+0.25%	0.2361	+2.03%	0.0049	✓	1.17	1.9M	2022-02-03
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.564	7.5825	+0.25%	7.128	-5.76%	0.0646	✗	0.26	41k	2022-02-03
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	23.57	23.6276	+0.24%	23.46	-0.47%	0.0159	✗	0.80	484k	2022-02-03
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.6307	4.6418	+0.24%	4.7256	+2.05%	0.0037	✓	1.30	365k	2022-02-03
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.87	1.8745	+0.24%	1.89	+1.07%	0.0061	✗	1.31	2.8M	2022-02-03
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020246	0.020294	+0.24%	0.020346	+0.49%	0.0087	✗	1.03	2.7M	2022-02-03
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.166	3.1734	+0.23%	3.456	+9.16%	0.0758	✓	0.87	766k	2022-02-03
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.83	7.8481	+0.23%	8.19	+4.60%	0.0282	✓	1.31	2.7M	2022-02-03
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.09	14.1217	+0.22%	14.45	+2.56%	0.0153	✓	0.70	851k	2022-02-03
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.04	5.051	+0.22%	5.17	+2.58%	0.0150	✓	0.75	404k	2022-02-03
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.05	6.0631	+0.22%	6.12	+1.16%	0.0002	✓	0.87	529k	2022-02-03
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	121.22	121.4777	+0.21%	125	+3.12%	0.0143	✓	1.31	59k	2022-02-03
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.5718	0.573009	+0.21%	0.613557	+7.30%	0.0552	✓	1.20	3.3M	2022-02-03
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	26.29	26.3446	+0.21%	27.88	+6.05%	0.0449	✓	1.08	3.4M	2022-02-03
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.035872	0.035944	+0.20%	0.036103	+0.64%	0.0093	✗	1.25	9.4M	2022-02-03
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08941	0.089588	+0.20%	0.09321	+4.25%	0.0283	✓	1.03	46k	2022-02-03
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0599	0.060017	+0.19%	0.0616	+2.84%	0.0120	✓	1.29	554k	2022-02-03
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.641218	+0.19%	0.66	+3.12%	0.0084	✓	1.87	1.0M	2022-02-03
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.3042	3.3104	+0.19%	3.1745	-3.93%	0.0515	✗	0.87	25k	2022-02-03
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0268	1.0287	+0.19%	1.061	+3.33%	0.0183	✓	1.15	113.2M	2022-02-03
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.22	5.2294	+0.18%	5.12	-1.92%	0.0327	✗	1.05	1000k	2022-02-03
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.02	6.0306	+0.18%	6.17	+2.49%	0.0142	✓	0.80	504k	2022-02-03
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,029.36	23,069.79	+0.18%	23,620.52	+2.57%	0.0129	✓	0.97	14.8M	2022-02-03
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		90	90.1551	+0.17%	89.8	-0.22%	0.0143	✗	0.94	1.6M	2022-02-03
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4277	0.428427	+0.17%	0.4435	+3.69%	0.0189	✓	1.43	2.2M	2022-02-03
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1348	0.135021	+0.16%	0.139	+3.12%	0.0181	✓	1.00	337k	2022-02-03
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	73.5972	73.7165	+0.16%	74.5146	+1.25%	0.0033	✗	1.29	383k	2022-02-03
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014783	0.014807	+0.16%	0.014662	-0.82%	0.0225	✗	1.16	2.7M	2022-02-03
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.998	4.0044	+0.16%	4.136	+3.45%	0.0234	✓	0.82	351k	2022-02-03
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.034	0.034053	+0.16%	0.0321	-5.59%	0.0750	✗	1.46	513k	2022-02-03
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0352	3.0398	+0.15%	3.0916	+1.86%	0.0056	✓	1.03	2.2M	2022-02-03
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00983	0.009845	+0.15%	0.01026	+4.37%	0.0300	✓	1.03	565k	2022-02-03
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.883	5.8919	+0.15%	6.085	+3.43%	0.0210	✓	1.03	341k	2022-02-03
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	108.36	108.5214	+0.15%	111.02	+2.45%	0.0079	✓	1.36	33.8M	2022-02-03
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	18.01	18.0355	+0.14%	18.42	+2.28%	0.0010	✓	1.83	3.9M	2022-02-03
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	113.54	113.6987	+0.14%	135.16	+19.04%	0.1619	✓	1.00	7.6M	2022-02-03
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0643	0.064389	+0.14%	0.0657	+2.18%	0.0081	✓	1.10	21k	2022-02-03
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.13	38.1827	+0.14%	38.69	+1.47%	0.0044	✗	1.60	626k	2022-02-03
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.53	10.5436	+0.13%	10.39	-1.33%	0.0295	✗	1.35	12.5M	2022-02-03
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.582	2.5853	+0.13%	2.618	+1.39%	0.0038	✗	1.50	986k	2022-02-03
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.03	3.0339	+0.13%	3.09	+1.98%	0.0094	✓	0.81	262k	2022-02-03
XVG	Verge	native	0.00978	0.009791	+0.12%	0.00994	+1.64%	0.0006	✓	1.32	1.5M	2022-02-03
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1092	0.109318	+0.11%	0.1138	+4.21%	0.0256	✓	1.33	3.6M	2022-02-03
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.883	0.883949	+0.11%	0.874	-1.02%	0.0264	✗	1.38	2.3M	2022-02-03
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6281	0.628763	+0.11%	0.6171	-1.75%	0.0356	✗	1.54	1.2M	2022-02-03
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8404	0.841256	+0.10%	0.9279	+10.41%	0.0859	✓	1.10	15.7M	2022-02-03
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2783	0.27858	+0.10%	0.2853	+2.52%	0.0059	✓	1.63	4.3M	2022-02-03
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.025	6.0309	+0.10%	6.0981	+1.21%	0.0047	✗	1.44	174k	2022-02-03
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03913	0.039168	+0.10%	0.04063	+3.83%	0.0245	✓	1.11	29k	2022-02-03
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.137104	0.137234	+0.09%	0.13787	+0.56%	0.0070	✗	1.06	7.1M	2022-02-03
DASH	Dash	Dash	93.05	93.1309	+0.09%	95.23	+2.34%	0.0094	✓	1.18	2.9M	2022-02-03
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.193151	0.193317	+0.09%	0.19506	+0.99%	0.0023	✗	1.03	26.2M	2022-02-03
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007582	0.000075879	+0.08%	0.0000764	+0.76%	0.0056	✗	1.14	5.7M	2022-02-03
KCS	KuCoin	native	17.776	17.7886	+0.07%	17.927	+0.85%	0.0088	✗	1.51	10.6M	2022-02-03
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.09	4.0924	+0.06%	4.09	+0.00%	0.0159	✗	1.40	8.8M	2022-02-03
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.11	3.1115	+0.05%	3.11	+0.00%	0.0166	✗	1.47	23.3M	2022-02-03
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	26.55	26.5626	+0.05%	25.37	-4.44%	0.0642	✗	1.66	2.5M	2022-02-03
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07379	0.073824	+0.05%	0.07603	+3.04%	0.0214	✓	0.74	80k	2022-02-03
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.696	1.6967	+0.04%	1.695	-0.06%	0.0148	✗	1.27	1.4M	2022-02-03
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.09	20.0954	+0.03%	19.28	-4.03%	0.0587	✗	1.57	438k	2022-02-03
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1064	2.1069	+0.02%	2.0772	-1.39%	0.0276	✗	1.22	888k	2022-02-03
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0423	1.0425	+0.02%	1.0898	+4.56%	0.0305	✓	1.27	2.4M	2022-02-03
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	21.59	21.5948	+0.02%	20.81	-3.61%	0.0504	✗	1.22	34.3M	2022-02-03
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.278	0.277992	-0.00%	0.2929	+5.36%	0.0398	✗	1.14	545k	2022-02-03
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	4.1355	4.1353	-0.00%	4.1115	-0.58%	0.0058	✓	0.01	376k	2022-02-03
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.18	2.1796	-0.02%	2.25	+3.21%	0.0160	✗	1.44	2.3M	2022-02-03
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.316	0.315947	-0.02%	0.328	+3.80%	0.0226	✗	1.36	1.8M	2022-02-03
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19118	0.191122	-0.03%	0.19482	+1.90%	0.0013	✗	1.63	25k	2022-02-03
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	278	277.9093	-0.03%	281.46	+1.24%	0.0013	✗	1.04	6.8M	2022-02-03
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.19	20.1833	-0.03%	20.37	+0.89%	0.0040	✓	1.20	11.3M	2022-02-03
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.76	18.7528	-0.04%	18.93	+0.91%	0.0059	✓	1.40	47.3M	2022-02-03
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0794	0.079368	-0.04%	0.0807	+1.64%	0.0033	✗	1.22	299k	2022-02-03
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.537	2.5359	-0.04%	2.6813	+5.69%	0.0453	✗	0.95	3.1M	2022-02-03
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.11	0.109929	-0.06%	0.1064	-3.27%	0.0490	✓	1.50	1.6M	2022-02-03
XEM	NEM	native	0.1015	0.101408	-0.09%	0.1027	+1.18%	0.0017	✗	1.00	41k	2022-02-03
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.03	3.0269	-0.10%	3.39	+11.88%	0.0975	✗	1.45	2.2M	2022-02-03
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	49.12	49.0658	-0.11%	48.5	-1.26%	0.0246	✓	1.19	8.0M	2022-02-03
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8666	0.865574	-0.12%	0.8308	-4.13%	0.0570	✓	1.46	103k	2022-02-03
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.36	9.3473	-0.14%	9.57	+2.24%	0.0153	✗	0.76	709k	2022-02-03
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	42.9	42.8235	-0.18%	42.77	-0.30%	0.0147	✓	1.23	37.0M	2022-02-03
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.54	7.5226	-0.23%	7.27	-3.58%	0.0374	✓	0.30	1.8M	2022-02-03
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.589	1.5849	-0.26%	1.629	+2.52%	0.0146	✗	1.17	1.6M	2022-02-03
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1756	0.175132	-0.27%	0.1775	+1.08%	0.0059	✗	0.69	457k	2022-02-03
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.235	2.2288	-0.28%	2.366	+5.86%	0.0481	✗	1.07	22k	2022-02-03
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.7524	3.74	-0.33%	3.8358	+2.22%	0.0101	✗	1.38	2.5M	2022-02-03
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.24	1.2352	-0.39%	1.2058	-2.76%	0.0350	✓	1.00	2.9M	2022-02-03
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5361	0.533948	-0.40%	0.5612	+4.68%	0.0371	✗	1.16	1.7M	2022-02-03
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0786	0.078228	-0.47%	0.0779	-0.89%	0.0321	✓	2.55	25.7M	2022-02-03
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.33	5.3047	-0.47%	5.09	-4.50%	0.0552	✓	1.27	3.0M	2022-02-03
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.12	2.1099	-0.48%	2.01	-5.19%	0.0594	✓	1.00	2.9M	2022-02-03
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8613	1.8459	-0.83%	2.0312	+9.13%	0.0879	✗	0.71	3.2M	2022-02-03
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.119	0.117947	-0.88%	0.119	+0.00%	0.0021	✓	1.00	125k	2022-02-03
STX	Stacks	native	1.41	1.3969	-0.93%	1.43	+1.42%	0.0125	✗	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-03
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.36	1.3042	-4.11%	1.24	-8.82%	0.0665	✓	1.46	490k	2022-02-03

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.